Parent Session Sweeps + Alert Killzone Ranges with Parent Session Sweep
Key Features:
1. Multiple Session Support: The script tracks three major trading sessions - Asia, London, and New York. Users can customize the timing of these sessions.
2. Killzone Visualization: The strategy visually represents each session's range, either as filled boxes or lines, allowing traders to easily identify key price levels.
3. Parent Session Logic: The core of the strategy revolves around identifying a "parent" session - a session that encompasses the range of the following session. This parent session becomes the basis for potential trade setups.
4. Sweep and Reclaim Setups: The strategy looks for price movements that sweep (break above or below) the parent session's high or low, followed by a reclaim of that level. This price action often indicates a potential reversal.
5. Risk-Reward Filtering: Each potential setup is evaluated based on a user-defined minimum risk-reward ratio, ensuring that only high-quality trade opportunities are considered.
6. Candle Close Filter: An optional filter that checks the characteristics of the candle that reclaims the parent session level, adding an extra layer of confirmation to the setup.
7. Performance Tracking: The strategy keeps track of bullish and bearish setup success rates, providing valuable feedback on its performance over time.
8. Visual Aids: The script draws lines to mark the parent session's high and low, making it easy for traders to identify key levels.
How It Works:
1. The script continuously monitors price action across the defined sessions.
2. When a session fully contains the range of the next session, it's identified as a potential parent session.
3. The strategy then waits for price to sweep either the high or low of this parent session.
4. If a sweep occurs, it looks for a reclaim of the swept level within the parameters set by the user.
5. If a valid setup is identified, the script generates an alert and places a trade (if backtesting or running live).
6. The strategy continues to monitor the trade for either reaching the target (opposite level of the parent session) or hitting the stop loss.
Considerations for Signals:
- Sweep: A break of the parent session's high or low.
- Reclaim: A close back inside the parent session range after a sweep.
- Candle Characteristics: Optional filter for the reclaim candle (e.g., bullish candle for long setups).
- Risk-Reward: Each setup must meet or exceed the user-defined minimum risk-reward ratio.
- Session Timing: The strategy is sensitive to the defined session times, which should be set according to the trader's preferred time zone.
This strategy aims to capitalize on institutional order flow and liquidity patterns in the forex market, providing traders with a systematic approach to identifying potential reversal points with favorable risk-reward profiles.
Cari skrip untuk "backtesting"
The Bar Counter Trend Reversal Strategy [TradeDots]Overview
The Bar Counter Trend Reversal Strategy is designed to identify potential counter-trend reversal points in the market after a series of consecutive rising or falling bars.
By analyzing price movements in conjunction with optional volume confirmation and channel bands (Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels), this strategy aims to detect overbought or oversold conditions where a trend reversal may occur.
🔹How it Works
Consecutive Price Movements
Rising Bars: The strategy detects when there are a specified number of consecutive rising bars (No. of Rises).
Falling Bars: Similarly, it identifies a specified number of consecutive falling bars (No. of Falls).
Volume Confirmation (Optional)
When enabled, the strategy checks for increasing volume during the consecutive price movements, adding an extra layer of confirmation to the potential reversal signal.
Channel Confirmation (Optional)
Channel Type: Choose between Bollinger Bands ("BB") or Keltner Channels ("KC").
Channel Interaction: The strategy checks if the price interacts with the upper or lower channel lines: For short signals, it looks for price moving above the upper channel line. For long signals, it looks for price moving below the lower channel line.
Customization:
No. of Rises/Falls: Set the number of consecutive bars required to trigger a signal.
Volume Confirmation: Enable or disable volume as a confirmation factor.
Channel Confirmation: Enable or disable channel bands as a confirmation factor.
Channel Settings: Adjust the length and multiplier for the Bollinger Bands or Keltner Channels.
Visual Indicators:
Entry Signals: Triangles plotted on the chart indicate potential entry points:
Green upward triangle for long entries.
Red downward triangle for short entries.
Channel Bands: The upper and lower bands are plotted for visual reference.
Strategy Parameters:
Initial Capital: $10,000.
Position Sizing: 80% of equity per trade.
Commission: 0.01% per trade to simulate realistic trading costs.
🔹Usage
Set up the number of Rises/Falls and choose whether if you want to use channel indicators and volume as the confirmation.
Monitor the chart for triangles indicating potential entry points.
Consider the context of the overall market trend and other technical factors.
Backtesting and Optimization:
Use TradingView's Strategy Tester to evaluate performance.
Adjust parameters to optimize results for different market conditions.
🔹 Considerations and Recommendations
Risk Management:
The strategy does not include built-in stop-loss or take-profit levels. It's recommended to implement your own risk management techniques.
Market Conditions:
Performance may vary in different market environments. Testing and adjustments are advised when applying the strategy to new instruments or timeframes.
No Guarantee of Future Results:
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always perform due diligence and consider the risks involved in trading.
TPS Short Strategy by Larry ConnersThe TPS Short strategy aims to capitalize on extreme overbought conditions in an ETF by employing a scaling-in approach when certain technical indicators signal potential reversals. The strategy is designed to short the ETF when it is deemed overextended, based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and moving averages.
Components:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA):
Purpose: Acts as a long-term trend filter. The ETF must be below its 200-day SMA to be eligible for shorting.
Rationale: The 200-day SMA is widely used to gauge the long-term trend of a security. When the price is below this moving average, it is often considered to be in a downtrend (Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll, "The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging Into the Latest Indicators").
2-Period RSI:
Purpose: Measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought conditions.
Criteria: Short 10% of the position when the 2-period RSI is above 75 for two consecutive days.
Rationale: A high RSI value (above 75) indicates that the ETF may be overbought, which could precede a price reversal (J. Welles Wilder, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems").
Scaling-In Mechanism:
Purpose: Gradually increase the short position as the ETF price rises beyond previous entry points.
Scaling Strategy:
20% more when the price is higher than the first entry.
30% more when the price is higher than the second entry.
40% more when the price is higher than the third entry.
Rationale: This incremental approach allows for an increased position size in a worsening trend, potentially increasing profitability if the trend continues to align with the strategy’s premise (Marty Schwartz, "Pit Bull: Lessons from Wall Street's Champion Day Trader").
Exit Conditions:
Criteria: Close all positions when the 2-period RSI drops below 30 or the 10-day SMA crosses above the 30-day SMA.
Rationale: A low RSI value (below 30) suggests that the ETF may be oversold and could be poised for a rebound, while the SMA crossover indicates a potential change in the trend (Martin J. Pring, "Technical Analysis Explained").
Risks and Considerations:
Market Risk:
The strategy assumes that the ETF will continue to decline once shorted. However, markets can be unpredictable, and price movements might not align with the strategy's expectations, especially in a volatile market (Nassim Nicholas Taleb, "The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable").
Scaling Risks:
Scaling into a position as the price increases may increase exposure to adverse price movements. This method can amplify losses if the market moves against the position significantly before any reversal occurs.
Liquidity Risk:
Depending on the ETF’s liquidity, executing large trades in increments might affect the price and increase trading costs. It is crucial to ensure that the ETF has sufficient liquidity to handle large trades without significant slippage (James Altucher, "Trade Like a Hedge Fund").
Execution Risk:
The strategy relies on timely execution of trades based on specific conditions. Delays or errors in order execution can impact performance, especially in fast-moving markets.
Technical Indicator Limitations:
Technical indicators like RSI and SMA are based on historical data and may not always predict future price movements accurately. They can sometimes produce false signals, leading to potential losses if used in isolation (John Murphy, "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets").
Conclusion
The TPS Short strategy utilizes a combination of long-term trend filtering, overbought conditions, and incremental shorting to potentially profit from price reversals. While the strategy has a structured approach and leverages well-known technical indicators, it is essential to be aware of the inherent risks, including market volatility, liquidity issues, and potential limitations of technical indicators. As with any trading strategy, thorough backtesting and risk management are crucial to its successful implementation.
Connors VIX Reversal III invented by Dave LandryThis strategy is based on trading signals derived from the behavior of the Volatility Index (VIX) relative to its 10-day moving average. The rules are split into buying and selling conditions:
Buy Conditions:
The VIX low must be above its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% above its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a buy signal is generated at the market's close.
Sell Conditions:
The VIX high must be below its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% below its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a sell signal is generated at the market's close.
Exit Conditions:
For long positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday below its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
For short positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday above its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
This strategy is primarily a mean-reversion strategy, where the market is expected to revert to a more normal state after the VIX exhibits extreme behavior (i.e., large deviations from its moving average).
About Dave Landry
Dave Landry is a well-known figure in the world of trading, particularly in technical analysis. He is an author, trader, and educator, best known for his work on swing trading strategies. Landry focuses on trend-following and momentum-based techniques, teaching traders how to capitalize on shorter-term price swings in the market. He has written books like "Dave Landry on Swing Trading" and "The Layman's Guide to Trading Stocks," which emphasize practical, actionable trading strategies.
About Connors Research
Connors Research is a financial research firm known for its quantitative research in financial markets. Founded by Larry Connors, the firm specializes in developing high-probability trading systems based on historical market behavior. Connors’ work is widely respected for its data-driven approach, including systems like the RSI(2) strategy, which focuses on short-term mean reversion. The firm also provides trading education and tools for institutional and retail traders alike, emphasizing strategies that can be backtested and quantified.
Risks of the Strategy
While this strategy may appear to offer promising opportunities to exploit extreme VIX movements, it carries several risks:
Market Volatility: The VIX itself is a measure of market volatility, meaning the strategy can be exposed to sudden and unpredictable market swings. This can result in whipsaws, where positions are opened and closed in rapid succession due to sharp reversals in the VIX.
Overfitting: Strategies based on specific conditions like the VIX closing 10% above or below its moving average can be subject to overfitting, meaning they work well in historical tests but may underperform in live markets. This is a common issue in quantitative trading systems that are not adaptable to changing market conditions .
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The core assumption behind this strategy is that markets will revert to their mean after extreme movements. However, during periods of sustained trends (e.g., market crashes or rallies), this assumption may break down, leading to prolonged drawdowns.
Liquidity and Slippage: Depending on the asset being traded (e.g., S&P 500 futures, ETFs), liquidity issues or slippage could occur when executing trades at market close, particularly in volatile conditions. This could increase costs or worsen trade execution.
Scientific Explanation of the Strategy
The VIX is often referred to as the "fear gauge" because it measures the market's expectations of volatility based on options prices. Research has shown that the VIX tends to spike during periods of market stress and revert to lower levels when conditions stabilize . Mean reversion strategies like this one assume that extreme VIX levels are unsustainable in the long run, which aligns with findings from academic literature on volatility and market behavior.
Studies have found that the VIX is inversely correlated with stock market returns, meaning that higher VIX levels often correspond to lower stock prices and vice versa . By using the VIX’s relationship with its 10-day moving average, this strategy aims to capture reversals in market sentiment. The 10% threshold is designed to identify moments when the VIX is significantly deviating from its norm, signaling a potential reversal.
However, academic research also highlights the limitations of relying on the VIX alone for trading signals. The VIX does not predict market direction, only volatility, meaning that it cannot indicate the magnitude of price movements . Furthermore, extreme VIX levels can persist longer than expected, particularly during financial crises.
In conclusion, while the strategy is grounded in well-established financial principles (e.g., mean reversion and the relationship between volatility and market performance), it carries inherent risks and should be used with caution. Backtesting and careful risk management are essential before applying this strategy in live markets.
Larry Connors RSI 3 StrategyThe Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is a short-term mean-reversion trading strategy. It combines a moving average filter and a modified version of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify potential buying opportunities in an uptrend. The strategy assumes that a short-term pullback within a long-term uptrend is an opportunity to buy at a discount before the trend resumes.
Components of the Strategy:
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA): The price must be above the 200-day SMA, indicating a long-term uptrend.
2-Period RSI: This is a very short-term RSI, used to measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. The standard RSI is typically calculated over 14 periods, but Connors uses just 2 periods to capture extreme overbought and oversold conditions.
Three-Day RSI Drop: The RSI must decline for three consecutive days, with the first drop occurring from an RSI reading above 60.
RSI Below 10: After the three-day drop, the RSI must reach a level below 10, indicating a highly oversold condition.
Buy Condition: All the above conditions must be satisfied to trigger a buy order.
Sell Condition: The strategy closes the position when the RSI rises above 70, signaling that the asset is overbought.
Who Was Larry Connors?
Larry Connors is a trader, author, and founder of Connors Research, a firm specializing in quantitative trading research. He is best known for developing strategies that focus on short-term market movements. Connors co-authored several popular books, including "Street Smarts: High Probability Short-Term Trading Strategies" with Linda Raschke, which has become a staple among traders seeking reliable, rule-based strategies. His research often emphasizes simplicity and robust testing, which appeals to both retail and institutional traders.
Scientific Foundations
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), originally developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in an asset. However, the use of a 2-period RSI in Connors' strategy is unconventional, as most traders rely on longer periods, such as 14. Connors' research showed that using a shorter period like 2 can better capture short-term reversals, particularly when combined with a longer-term trend filter such as the 200-day SMA.
Connors' strategies, including this one, are built on empirical research using historical data. For example, in a study of over 1,000 signals generated by this strategy, Connors found that it performed consistently well across various markets, especially when trading ETFs and large-cap stocks (Connors & Alvarez, 2009).
Risks and Considerations
While the Larry Connors RSI 3 Strategy is backed by empirical research, it is not without risks:
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The strategy is based on the premise that markets revert to the mean. However, in strong trending markets, the strategy may underperform as prices can remain oversold or overbought for extended periods.
Short-Term Nature: The strategy focuses on very short-term movements, which can result in frequent trading. High trading frequency can lead to increased transaction costs, which may erode profits.
Market Conditions: The strategy performs best in certain market environments, particularly in stable uptrends. In highly volatile or strongly trending markets, the strategy's performance can deteriorate.
Data and Backtesting Limitations: While backtests may show positive results, they rely on historical data and do not account for future market conditions, slippage, or liquidity issues.
Scientific literature suggests that while technical analysis strategies like this can be effective in certain market conditions, they are not foolproof. According to Lo et al. (2000), technical strategies may show patterns that are statistically significant, but these patterns often diminish once they are widely adopted by traders.
References
Connors, L., & Alvarez, C. (2009). Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work. TradingMarkets Publishing Group.
Lo, A. W., Mamaysky, H., & Wang, J. (2000). Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation. The Journal of Finance, 55(4), 1705-1770.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research
Larry Connors 3 Day High/Low StrategyThe Larry Connors 3 Day High/Low Strategy is a short-term mean-reversion trading strategy that is designed to identify potential buying opportunities when a security is oversold. This strategy is based on the principles developed by Larry Connors, a well-known trading system developer and author.
Key Strategy Elements:
1. Trend Confirmation: The strategy first confirms that the security is in a long-term uptrend by ensuring that the closing price is above the 200-day moving average (condition1). This rule helps filter trades to align with the longer-term trend.
2. Short-Term Pullback: The strategy looks for a short-term pullback by ensuring that the closing price is below the 5-day moving average (condition2). This identifies potential entry points when the price temporarily moves against the longer-term trend.
3. Three Consecutive Lower Highs and Lows:
• The high and low two days ago are lower than those of the day before (condition3).
• The high and low yesterday are lower than those of two days ago (condition4).
• Today’s high and low are lower than yesterday’s (condition5).
These conditions are used to identify a sequence of declining highs and lows, signaling a short-term pullback or oversold condition in the context of an overall uptrend.
4. Entry and Exit Signals:
• Buy Signal: A buy order is triggered when all the above conditions are met (buyCondition).
• Sell Signal: A sell order is executed when the closing price is above the 5-day moving average (sellCondition), indicating that the pullback might be ending.
Risks of the Strategy
1. Mean Reversion Failure: This strategy relies on the assumption that prices will revert to the mean after a short-term pullback. In strong downtrends or during market crashes, prices may continue to decline, leading to significant losses.
2. Whipsaws and False Signals: The strategy may generate false signals, especially in choppy or sideways markets where the price does not follow a clear trend. This can lead to frequent small losses that can add up over time.
3. Dependence on Historical Patterns: The strategy is based on historical price patterns, which do not always predict future price movements accurately. Sudden market news or economic changes can disrupt the pattern.
4. Lack of Risk Management: The strategy as written does not include stop losses or position sizing rules, which can expose traders to larger-than-expected losses if conditions change rapidly.
About Larry Connors
Larry Connors is a renowned trader, author, and founder of Connors Research and TradingMarkets.com. He is widely recognized for his development of quantitative trading strategies, especially those focusing on short-term mean reversion techniques. Connors has authored several books on trading, including “Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work” and “Street Smarts,” co-authored with Linda Raschke. His strategies are known for their systematic, rules-based approach and have been widely used by traders and investment professionals.
Connors’ research often emphasizes the importance of trading with the trend, managing risk, and using statistically validated techniques to improve trading outcomes. His work has been influential in the field of quantitative trading, providing accessible strategies for traders at various skill levels.
References
1. Connors, L., & Raschke, L. (1995). Street Smarts: High Probability Short-Term Trading Strategies.
2. Connors, L. (2009). Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work.
3. Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1988). Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices. Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), 246-273.
This strategy and its variations are popular among traders looking to capitalize on short-term price movements while aligning with longer-term trends. However, like all trading strategies, it requires rigorous backtesting and risk management to ensure its effectiveness under different market conditions.
Trend Signals with TP & SL [UAlgo] StrategyThe "Trend Signals with TP & SL Strategy" is a trading strategy designed to capture trend continuation signals while incorporating sophisticated risk management techniques. This strategy is tailored for traders who wish to capitalize on trending market conditions with precise entry and exit points, automatically calculating Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels based on either Average True Range (ATR) or percentage values. The strategy aims to enhance trade management by preventing multiple simultaneous positions and dynamically adapting to changing market conditions.
This strategy is highly configurable, allowing traders to adjust sensitivity, the ATR calculation method, and the cloud moving average length. Additionally, the strategy can display buy and sell signals directly on the chart, along with visual representation of entry points, stop losses, and take profits. It also features a cloud-based trend analysis using a MACD-driven color fill that indicates the strength and direction of the trend.
🔶 Key Features
Configurable Trend Continuation Signals:
Source Selection: The strategy uses the midpoint of the high-low range as the default source, but it is adjustable.
Sensitivity: The sensitivity of the trend signals can be adjusted using a multiplier, ranging from 0.5 to 5.
ATR Calculation: The strategy allows users to choose between two ATR calculation methods for better adaptability to different market conditions.
Cloud Moving Average: Traders can adjust the cloud moving average length, which is used in conjunction with MACD to provide a visual trend indication.
Take Profit & Stop Loss Management:
ATR-Based or Percent-Based: The strategy offers flexibility in setting TP and SL levels, allowing traders to choose between ATR-based multipliers or fixed percentage values.
Dynamic Adjustment: TP and SL levels are dynamically adjusted according to the selected method, ensuring trades are managed based on real-time market conditions.
Prevention of Multiple Positions:
Single Position Control: To reduce risk and enhance strategy reliability, the strategy includes an option to prevent multiple positions from being opened simultaneously.
Visual Trade Indicators:
Buy/Sell Signals: Clearly displays buy and sell signals on the chart for easy interpretation.
Entry, SL, and TP Lines: Draws lines for entry price, stop loss, and take profit directly on the chart, helping traders to monitor trades visually.
Trend Cloud: A color-filled cloud based on MACD and the cloud moving average provides a visual cue of the trend’s direction and strength.
Performance Summary Table:
In-Chart Statistics: A table in the top right of the chart displays key performance metrics, including total trades, wins, losses, and win rate percentage, offering a quick overview of the strategy’s effectiveness.
🔶 Interpreting the Indicator
Trend Signals: The strategy identifies trend continuation signals based on price action relative to an ATR-based threshold. A buy signal is generated when the price crosses above a key level, indicating an uptrend. Conversely, a sell signal occurs when the price crosses below a level, signaling a downtrend.
Cloud Visualization: The cloud, derived from MACD and moving averages, changes color to reflect the current trend. A positive cloud in aqua suggests an uptrend, while a red cloud indicates a downtrend. The transparency of the cloud offers further nuance, with more solid colors denoting stronger trends.
Entry and Exit Management: Once a trend signal is generated, the strategy automatically sets TP and SL levels based on your chosen method (ATR or percentage). The stop loss and take profit lines will appear on the chart, showing where the strategy will exit the trade. If the price reaches either the SL or TP, the trade is closed, and the respective line is deleted from the chart.
Performance Metrics: The strategy’s performance is tracked in real-time with an in-chart table. This table provides essential information about the number of trades executed, the win/loss ratio, and the overall win rate. This information helps traders assess the strategy's effectiveness and make necessary adjustments.
This strategy is designed for those who seek to engage with trending markets, offering robust tools for entry, exit, and overall trade management. By understanding and leveraging these features, traders can potentially improve their trading outcomes and risk management.
🔷 Related Script
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
MACD with 1D Stochastic Confirmation Reversal StrategyOverview
The MACD with 1D Stochastic Confirmation Reversal Strategy utilizes MACD indicator in conjunction with 1 day timeframe Stochastic indicators to obtain the high probability short-term trend reversal signals. The main idea is to wait until MACD line crosses up it’s signal line, at the same time Stochastic indicator on 1D time frame shall show the uptrend (will be discussed in methodology) and not to be in the oversold territory. Strategy works on time frames from 30 min to 4 hours and opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Higher time frame confirmation: Strategy utilizes 1D Stochastic to establish the major trend and confirm the local reversals with the higher probability.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
MACD line of MACD indicator shall cross over the signal line of MACD indicator.
1D time frame Stochastic’s K line shall be above the D line.
1D time frame Stochastic’s K line value shall be below 80 (not overbought)
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 3.25, value multiplied by ATR to be subtracted from position entry price to setup stop loss)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 4.25, value multiplied by ATR to be added to position entry price to setup trailing profit activation level)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20, period for EMA, when price reached trailing profit activation level EMA will stop out of position if price closes below it)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart, in our example we use default settings.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages 2 time frames analysis to have the high probability reversal setups on lower time frame in the direction of the 1D time frame trend. That’s why it’s recommended to use this strategy on 30 min – 4 hours time frames.
To have an approximation of 1D time frame trend strategy utilizes classical Stochastic indicator. The Stochastic Indicator is a momentum oscillator that compares a security's closing price to its price range over a specific period. It's used to identify overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and readings below 20 indicating oversold conditions.
It consists of two lines:
%K: The main line, calculated using the formula (CurrentClose−LowestLow)/(HighestHigh−LowestLow)×100 . Highest and lowest price taken for 14 periods.
%D: A smoothed moving average of %K, often used as a signal line.
Strategy logic assumes that on 1D time frame it’s uptrend in %K line is above the %D line. Moreover, we can consider long trade only in %K line is below 80. It means that in overbought state the long trade will not be opened due to higher probability of pullback or even major trend reversal. If these conditions are met we are going to our working (lower) time frame.
On the chosen time frame, we remind you that for correct work of this strategy you shall use 30min – 4h time frames, MACD line shall cross over it’s signal line. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a popular momentum and trend-following indicator used in technical analysis. It helps traders identify changes in the strength, direction, momentum, and duration of a trend in a stock's price.
The MACD consists of three components:
MACD Line: This is the difference between a short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a long-term EMA, typically calculated as: MACD Line=12-period EMA−26-period
Signal Line: This is a 9-period EMA of the MACD Line, which helps to identify buy or sell signals. When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it can be a bullish signal (suggesting a buy); when it crosses below, it can be a bearish signal (suggesting a sell).
Histogram: The histogram shows the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line, visually representing the momentum of the trend. Positive histogram values indicate increasing bullish momentum, while negative values indicate increasing bearish momentum.
In our script we are interested in only MACD and signal lines. When MACD line crosses signal line there is a high chance that short-term trend reversed to the upside. We use this strategy on 45 min time frame.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.08.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.79%
Maximum Single Profit: +20.14%
Net Profit: +2361.33 USDT (+44.72%)
Total Trades: 123 (44.72% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.623
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 695.80 USDT (-5.48%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.20 USDT (+0.59%)
Average Trade Duration: 30 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe between 30 min and 4 hours and chart (optimal performance observed on 45 min BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Double CCI Confirmed Hull Moving Average Reversal StrategyOverview
The Double CCI Confirmed Hull Moving Average Strategy utilizes hull moving average (HMA) in conjunction with two commodity channel index (CCI) indicators: the slow and fast to increase the probability of entering when the short and mid-term uptrend confirmed. The main idea is to wait until the price breaks the HMA while both CCI are showing that the uptrend has likely been already started. Moreover, strategy uses exponential moving average (EMA) to trail the price when it reaches the specific level. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
Dynamic stop-loss system: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes average true range (ATR) multiplied by user given number subtracted from the position entry price as a dynamic stop loss level.
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Double trade setup confirmation: Strategy utilizes two different period CCI indicators to confirm the breakouts of HMA.
Trailing take profit level: After reaching the trailing profit activation level scrip activate the trailing of long trade using EMA. More information in methodology.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
Short-term period CCI indicator shall be above 0.
Long-term period CCI indicator shall be above 0.
Price shall cross the HMA and candle close above it with the same candle
When long trade is executed, strategy set the stop-loss level at the price ATR multiplied by user-given value below the entry price. This level is recalculated on every next candle close, adjusting to the current market volatility.
At the same time strategy set up the trailing stop validation level. When the price crosses the level equals entry price plus ATR multiplied by user-given value script starts to trail the price with EMA. If price closes below EMA long trade is closed. When the trailing starts, script prints the label “Trailing Activated”.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup the following strategy settings:
ATR Stop Loss (by default = 1.75)
ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level (by default = 2.25)
CCI Fast Length (by default = 25, used for calculation short term period CCI
CCI Slow Length (by default = 50, used for calculation long term period CCI)
Hull MA Length (by default = 34, period of HMA, which shall be broken to open trade)
Trailing EMA Length (by default = 20)
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Before understanding why this particular combination of indicator has been chosen let's briefly explain what is CCI and HMA.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is a momentum-based technical indicator used in trading to measure a security's price relative to its average price over a given period. Developed by Donald Lambert in 1980, the CCI is primarily used to identify cyclical trends in a security, helping traders to spot potential buying or selling opportunities.
The CCI formula is:
CCI = (Typical Price − SMA) / (0.015 × Mean Deviation)
Typical Price (TP): This is calculated as the average of the high, low, and closing prices for the period.
Simple Moving Average (SMA): This is the average of the Typical Prices over a specific number of periods.
Mean Deviation: This is the average of the absolute differences between the Typical Price and the SMA.
The result is a value that typically fluctuates between +100 and -100, though it is not bounded and can go higher or lower depending on the price movement.
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a type of moving average that was developed by Alan Hull to improve upon the traditional moving averages by reducing lag while maintaining smoothness. The goal of the HMA is to create an indicator that is both quick to respond to price changes and less prone to whipsaws (false signals).
How the Hull Moving Average is Calculated?
The Hull Moving Average is calculated using the following steps:
Weighted Moving Average (WMA): The HMA starts by calculating the Weighted Moving Average (WMA) of the price data over a period square root of n (sqrt(n))
Speed Adjustment: A WMA is then calculated for half of the period n/2, and this is multiplied by 2 to give more weight to recent prices.
Lag Reduction: The WMA of the full period n is subtracted from the doubled n/2 WMA.
Final Smoothing: To smooth the result and reduce noise, a WMA is calculated for the square root of the period n.
The formula can be represented as:
HMA(n) = WMA(WMA(n/2) × 2 − WMA(n), sqrt(n))
The Weighted Moving Average (WMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent data points, making it more responsive to recent price changes than a Simple Moving Average (SMA). In a WMA, each data point within the selected period is multiplied by a weight, with the most recent data receiving the highest weight. The sum of these weighted values is then divided by the sum of the weights to produce the WMA.
This strategy leverages HMA of user given period as a critical level which shall be broken to say that probability of trend change to the upside increased. HMA reacts faster than EMA or SMA to the price change, that’s why it increases chances to enter new trade earlier. Long-term period CCI helps to have an approximation of mid-term trend. If it’s above 0 the probability of uptrend increases. Short-period CCI allows to have an approximation of short-term trend reversal from down to uptrend. This approach increases chances to have a long trade setup in the direction of mid-term trend when the short-term trend starts to reverse.
ATR is used to adjust the strategy risk management to the current market volatility. If volatility is low, we don’t need the large stop loss to understand the there is a high probability that we made a mistake opening the trade. User can setup the settings ATR Stop Loss and ATR Trailing Profit Activation Level to realize his own risk to reward preferences, but the unique feature of a strategy is that after reaching trailing profit activation level strategy is trying to follow the trend until it is likely to be finished instead of using fixed risk management settings. It allows sometimes to be involved in the large movements. It’s also important to make a note, that script uses HMA to enter the trade, but for trailing it leverages EMA. It’s used because EMA has no such fast reaction to price move which increases probability not to be stopped out from any significant uptrend move.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2022.07.01 - 2024.08.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 100%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -4.67%
Maximum Single Profit: +19.66%
Net Profit: +14897.94 USDT (+148.98%)
Total Trades: 104 (36.54% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.312
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1302.66 USDT (-9.58%)
Average Profit per Trade: 143.25 USDT (+0.96%)
Average Trade Duration: 34 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 2h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
[INVX] Post-Earnings Announcement DriftWhat does this strategy do?
This Pine Script strategy implements the Post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) strategy, which is a financial market anomaly where a stock's price tends to drift in the direction of the firm's earnings surprise for an extended period of time.
Ref: en.wikipedia.org
An earnings announcement is an official public statement of a company's profitability for a specific time period, typically a quarter or a year. It includes various financial metrics but the most watched figure is the Earnings Per Share (EPS). Analysts estimate the EPS before the announcement, and the actual EPS is compared to this estimate to determine if there was an earnings surprise.
An earnings surprise occurs when the actual EPS is significantly different from the analysts' estimates. A positive earnings surprise indicates that the actual EPS is higher than the estimate, while a negative earnings surprise suggests the EPS is lower than anticipated.
The script takes the following inputs
" Holding periods (bar) " : This input defines the number of periods (or bars) the script will hold a position after the earnings announcement.
" Surprise threshold (%) ": This input sets the minimum percentage for an earnings surprise, which triggers the strategy to enter either a long or short position. In essence, it represents the minimum deviation between the estimated and actual Earnings Per Share (EPS) that will trigger a trade. A higher threshold may lead to fewer, potentially more significant trades, while a lower threshold might result in more frequent, possibly less impactful trades. This parameter allows you to adjust the sensitivity of the strategy to earnings surprises.
Positive earnings surprise
After the earnings announcement, the script compares the actual EPS with the estimated EPS to identify an earnings surprise. If there is a positive earnings surprise, the script will enter a long position. A long position is a bullish strategy where the investor expects the stock price to rise.
Negative earnings surprise
On the other hand, if there is a negative earnings surprise, the script will enter a short position. A short position is a bearish strategy where the investor expects the stock price to fall.
In both scenarios, the position (either long or short) is held for the number of periods specified in the "Holding periods (bar)" input. This strategy is based on the assumption that the stock price will continue to drift in the direction of the earnings surprise for the specified holding period.
Disclaimer: The script provided herein is for educational purposes only. It should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The results of the Pine Script backtesting are hypothetical and should not be considered as a true reflection of the results that might be achieved in a live trading environment. The backtest results are based on historical data and may not take into account certain factors such as actual transaction costs, taxes, or changes in market conditions.
Investors should consult with their financial advisor before making any investment decisions. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of all invested capital.
ADX + CCI + MA - Uncle SamStrategy Name: ADX + CCI + MA - Uncle Sam
Overview
This strategy aims to capitalize on trending markets by combining the Average Directional Index (ADX), Commodity Channel Index (CCI), and a customizable Moving Average (MA). It's designed for traders seeking a balanced approach to both long (buy) and short (sell) opportunities. Special thanks to the creators of the ADX and CCI indicators for their invaluable contributions to technical analysis.
Strategy Concept
The core idea is to identify strong trends with the ADX, confirm potential entry points with the CCI, and use the MA to filter trades in the direction of the broader trend. This approach seeks to avoid entering positions during periods of consolidation or when the trend is weak.
Indicator Logic
ADX (Average Directional Index): The ADX measures the strength of a trend, regardless of its direction. A value above the customizable adx_threshold (default 20) signals a strong trend, making it a prime environment for this strategy.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index): The CCI is a momentum oscillator that helps identify overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) conditions. We use CCI crossovers to time entries in the direction of the prevailing trend.
MA (Moving Average): The MA acts as a trend filter, ensuring we only enter trades aligned with the overall market direction. You have flexibility in choosing the MA type (SMA, EMA, etc.) and its length to suit your trading style and timeframe.
Entry Conditions
Long (Buy):
ADX is above the adx_threshold.
CCI crosses above 100.
Price is above the chosen Moving Average (if MA trend filtering is enabled).
Short (Sell):
ADX is above the adx_threshold.
CCI crosses below -100.
Price is below the chosen Moving Average (if MA trend filtering is enabled).
Exit Conditions
Stop Loss (SL): Each position has a customizable stop-loss percentage to manage risk. The default setting is 1%.
Take Profit (TP): Each position has a customizable take-profit percentage to secure gains. The default setting is 5%.
MA-Based Risk Management (Optional): This feature allows for early exits if the price closes against the MA trend for a specified number of candles. The default setting is 2 candles.
Default Settings
CCI Period: 15
ADX Length: 10
ADX Threshold: 20
MA Type: HMA
MA Length: 200
MA Source: Close
Commission Fee: $0.0
A commission fee is not added, add your trading/platform commission for realistic trading costs.
Backtest Results
The strategy has been backtested on with the default settings and a starting capital of $1000, with 0.0% commission fee. It shows promising results.
Disclaimer: Backtesting is hypothetical and does not guarantee future performance.
Important Considerations:
Customization: The strategy offers extensive customization to tailor it to your preferences. Experiment with different parameters and settings to find what works best for your trading style.
Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, including position sizing and stop losses, to protect your capital.
TSI w SuperTrend decision - Strategy [presentTrading]This strategy aims to improve upon the performance of Traidngview's newly published "Trend Strength Index" indicator by incorporating the SuperTrend for better trade execution and risk management. Enjoy :)
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "TSI with SuperTrend Decision - Strategy" combines the Trend Strength Index (TSI) with SuperTrend indicators to determine entry and exit points. Unlike traditional strategies that rely solely on one indicator, this method leverages the strengths of both TSI and SuperTrend to provide a more nuanced and adaptive trading strategy.
This dual approach allows for capturing trends more effectively, especially in volatile markets.
BTCUSD 8h LS Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Trend Strength Index (TSI)
The TSI is a momentum oscillator that shows both the direction and strength of a trend. It is calculated by comparing the price movement with the bar index over a specified period. The formula for TSI is as follows:
```
TSI = (PC / |PC|)
where:
PC = Change in price over the period
```
In this strategy, TSI is calculated using the closing prices and a default period of 64 bars. The TSI values help identify overbought and oversold conditions, providing signals for potential market reversals.
🔶 SuperTrend Indicator
The SuperTrend is a trend-following indicator based on the average true range (ATR). It helps in identifying the direction of the market trend. The SuperTrend calculation involves:
```
SuperTrend = HLC3 ± (Factor * ATR)
where:
HLC3 = (High + Low + Close) / 3
Factor = User-defined multiplier
ATR = Average True Range over a period
```
The SuperTrend settings in this strategy include a length of 10 bars and a factor of 3.0.
Last Bull Cycle of BTC
🔶 Entry and Exit Conditions
The strategy uses the TSI and SuperTrend together to determine entry and exit points:
- Long Entry: When the SuperTrend indicates a downward trend (st.d < 0) and the TSI is above the oversold level (-0.241).
- Long Exit: When the SuperTrend indicates an upward trend (st.d > 0) and the TSI is below the overbought level (0.241).
- Short Entry: When the SuperTrend indicates an upward trend (st.d > 0) and the TSI is below the overbought level (0.241).
- Short Exit: When the SuperTrend indicates a downward trend (st.d < 0) and the TSI is above the oversold level (-0.241).
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows users to select the trade direction through the `tradeDirection` input. The options are:
- Both: Enables both long and short trades.
- Long: Enables only long trades.
- Short: Enables only short trades.
█ Default Settings
- TSI Length: 64
- SuperTrend Length: 10
- SuperTrend Factor: 3.0
- Trade Direction: Both
- Take Profit (%): 30.0
- Stop Loss (%): 20.0
Impact of Default Settings
- TSI Length: A longer TSI period smooths out noise but may lag in identifying trends. A shorter period is more responsive but can generate false signals.
- SuperTrend Length: A shorter length provides quicker signals but can be prone to whipsaws. A longer length is more reliable but may delay entries and exits.
- SuperTrend Factor: A higher factor increases the distance of the SuperTrend from the price, reducing sensitivity to minor price fluctuations.
- Trade Direction: Allows flexibility in trading strategies by enabling both long and short trades based on market conditions.
- Take Profit and Stop Loss: These settings manage risk by automatically closing trades at predefined profit or loss levels. Higher percentages provide larger potential gains but also higher risk.
VAWSI and Trend Persistance Reversal Strategy SL/TPThis is a completely revamped version of my "RSI and ATR Trend Reversal Strategy."
What's New?
The RSI has been replaced with an original indicator of mine, the "VAWSI," as I've elected to call it.
The standard RSI measures a change in an RMA to determine the strength of a movement.
The VAWSI performs very similarly, except it uses another original indicator of mine, the VAWMA.
VAWMA stands for "Volume (and) ATR Weight Moving Average." It takes an average of the volume and ATR and uses the ratio of each bar to weigh a moving average of the source.
It has the same formula as an RSI, but uses the VAWMA instead of an RMA.
Next we have the Trend Persistence indicator, which is an index on how long a trend has been persisting for. It is another original indicator. It takes the max deviation the source has from lowest/highest of a specified length. It then takes a cumulative measure of that amount, measures the change, then creates a strength index with that amount.
The VAWSI is a measure of an emerging trend, and the Trend Persistence indicator is a measure of how long a trend has persisted.
Finally, the 3rd main indicator, is a slight variation of an ATR. Rather than taking the max of source - low or high- source and source - source , it instead takes the max of high-low and the absolute value of source - the previous source. It then takes the absolute value of the change of this, and normalizes it with the source.
Inputs
Minimum SL/TP ensures that the Stop Loss and Take Profit still exist in untrendy markets. This is the minimum Amount that will always be applied.
VAWSI Weight is a divided by 100 multiplier for the VAWSI. So value of 200 means it is multiplied by 2. Think of it like a percentage.
Trend Persistence weight and ATR Weight are applied the same. Higher the number, the more impactful on the final calculation it is.
Combination Mult is an outright multiplier to the final calculation. So a 2.0 = * 2.0
Trend Persistence Smoothing Length is the length of the weighted moving average applied to the Trend Persistence Strength index.
Length Cycle Decimal is a replacement of length for the script.
Here we used BlackCat1402's Dynamic Length Calculation, which can be found on his page. With his permission we have implemented it into this script. Big shout out to them for not only creating, but allowing us to use it here.
The Length Cycle Decimal is used to calculate the dynamic length. Because TradingView only allows series int for their built-in library, a lot of the baseline indicators we use have to be manually recreated as functions in the following section.
The Strategy
As usual, we use Heiken Ashi values for calculations.
We begin by establishing the minimum SL/TP for use later.
Next we determine the amount of bars back since the last crossup or crossdown of our threshold line.
We then perform some normalization of our multipliers. We want a larger trend or larger VAWSI amount to narrow the threshold, so we have 1 divide them. This way, a higher reading outputs a smaller number and vice versa. We do this for both Trend Persistence, and the VAWSI.
The VAWSI we also normalize, where rather than it being a 0-100 reading of trend direction and strength, we absolute it so that as long as a trend is strong, regardless of direction, it will have a higher reading. With these normalized values, we add them together and simply subtract the ATR measurement rather than having 1 divide it.
Here you can see how the different measurements add up. A lower final number suggests imminent reversal, and a higher final number suggests an untrendy or choppy market.
ATR is in orange, the Trend Persistence is blue, the VAWSI is purple, and the final amount is green.
We take this final number and depending on the current trend direction, we multiply it by either the Highest or Lowest source since the last crossup or crossdown. We then take the highest or lowest of this calculation, and have it be our Stop Loss or Take Profit. This number cannot be higher/lower than the previous source to ensure a rapid spike doesn't immediately close your position on a still continuing trend. As well, the threshold cannot be higher/ lower than the the specified Stop Loss and Take Profit
Only after the source has fully crossed these lines do we consider it a crossup or crossdown. We confirm this with a barstate.isconfirmed to prevent repainting. Next, each time there is a crossup or crossdown we enter a long or a short respectively and plot accordingly.
I have the strategy configured to "process on order close" to ensure an accurate backtesting result. You could also set this to false and add a 1 bar delay to the "if crossup" and "if crossdown" lines under strategy so that it is calculated based on the open of the next bar.
Final Notes
The amounts have been preconfigured for performance on RIOT 5 Minute timeframe. Other timeframes are viable as well. With a few changes to the parameters, this strategy has backtested well on NVDA, AAPL, TSLA, and AMD. I recommend before altering settings to try other timeframes first.
This script does not seem to perform nearly as well in typically untrendy and choppy markets such as crypto and forex. With some setting changes, I have seen okay results with crypto, but overfitting could be the cause there.
Thank you very much, and please enjoy.
Entry Fragger - Strategy
For basic instructions please visit my other script "Entry Fragger".
The Signal Logic is explained there.
v1.4:
- Added advanced backtesting with fully customizable entries.
- Fully automated Buy Signals (profitable).
- Adjustable timeframes for signal logic. (requested)
Every setting affects the accuracy and profitability greatly now, based on settings applied.
The strategy performs best on high timeframes with larger capital and no leverage.
Useless for Forex, but absolutely smashes stocks and crypto on mid to high timeframes.
Please read through my other scripts description.
Set values as preferred and try your assets.
It does NOT work on low timeframes and forex!
Hint: BTC 4H, Custom Timeframe 1h, Moon Mode and Show Sell Signals enabled, R2R: 2.
Korneev Reverse RSIRethinking the Legendary Relative Strength Index by John Welles Wilder
The essence of the new approach lies in the reverse use of the so-called "overbought" and "oversold" zones. In his 1978 book, "New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems," where the RSI mechanism was thoroughly described, Wilder writes that one way to use the oscillator is to open a long position when the RSI drops into oversold territory (below 30) and to open a short position when the RSI rises to overbought levels (above 70). However, backtesting this strategy with such inputs yields rather mediocre results.
Based on the calculation formula, the RSI calculates the rate of price change over a certain period. Therefore, overbought and oversold zones will have relative significance (relative to the set calculation period). It is no coincidence that the word "relative" was added to the name of the oscillator. It is worth accepting as an axiom the assertion that the price of an asset is fair at every moment in time.
Essentially, the RSI calculates the strength of a trend. If the oscillator value is above 70, it is highly likely that an upward movement is occurring in the market. Therefore, in the current strategy, a long position is opened precisely at the moment of greatest buyer strength (when RSI > 80), i.e., in the direction of the trend, since counter-trend trading with the RSI has proven to be ineffective. The position is closed after the buyers lose their advantage and the RSI drops to 40.
The strategy is recommended to be used only with long positions, as short positions show negative results. The strategy uses a moving average for the RSI with a period of 14 to smooth the oscillator data.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Переосмысление легендарного осциллятора Relative strength index Джона Уэллса Уайлдера
Суть нового подхода заключается в реверсивном использовании так называемых зон "перекупленности" и "перепроданности". В своей книге от 1978 года "New concepts in tecnical trading systems", в которой был подробно описан механизм работы RSI, Уайлдер пишет, что один из способов использования осциллятора - открытие длинной позиции при снижении RSI в перепроданность (ниже 30) и открытие короткой позиции при повышении RSI до перекупленности (выше 70). Однако бэктест стратегии с такими вводными дает весьма посредственные результаты.
Исходя из формулы расчета, RSI рассчитывает скорость изменения цены за определенный период. Поэтому зоны перекупленности и перепроданности будут иметь относительное значение (относительно установленного периода расчета). Не зря ведь в названии осциллятора было добавлено слово "относительной". Стоит принять за аксиому утверждение, что цена актива справедлива в каждый момент времени.
По сути, RSI рассчитывает силу тренда. Если значение осциллятора выше 70, то на рынке с высокой долей вероятности происходит восходящее движение. Поэтому в текущей стратегии открытие лонга происходит именно в момент наибольшей силы покупателей (когда RSI > 80), то есть в сторону тренда, поскольку контртрендовая торговля по RSI показала свою несостоятельность. Закрытие позиции происходит после того, как покупатели теряют преимущество и RSI снижается до 40.
Стратегию рекомендуется использовать только с длинными позициями, поскольку короткие позиции показывают отрицательный результат. В стратегии используется скользящая средняя для RSI с периодом 14 для сглаживания данных осциллятора.
Trend Following Parabolic Buy Sell Strategy [TradeDots]The Trend Following Parabolic Buy-Sell Strategy leverages the Parabolic SAR in combination with moving average crossovers to deliver buy and sell signals within a trend-following framework.
This strategy synthesizes proven methodologies sourced from various trading tutorials available on platforms such as YouTube and blogs, enabling traders to conduct robust backtesting on their selected trading pairs to assess the strategy's effectiveness.
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy employs four key indicators to orchestrate its trading signals:
1. Trend Alignment: It first assesses the relationship between the price and the predominant trendline to determine the directional stance—taking long positions only when the price trends above the moving average, signaling an upward market trajectory.
2. Momentum Confirmation: Subsequent to trend alignment, the strategy looks for moving average crossovers as a confirmation that the price is gaining momentum in the direction of the intended trades.
3. Signal Finalization: Finally, buy or sell signals are validated using the Parabolic SAR indicator. A long order is validated when the closing price is above the Parabolic SAR dots, and similarly, conditions are reversed for short orders.
4. Risk Management: The strategy institutes a fixed stop-loss at the moving average trendline and a take-profit level determinable by a prefixed risk-reward ratio calculated from the moving average trendline. These parameters are customizable by the users within the strategy settings.
APPLICATION
Designed for assets exhibiting pronounced directional momentum, this strategy aims to capitalize on clear trend movements conducive to achieving set take-profit targets.
As a lagging strategy that waits for multiple confirmatory signals, entry into trades might occasionally lag beyond optimal timing.
Furthermore, in periods of consolidation or sideways movement, the strategy may generate several false signals, suggesting the potential need for additional market condition filters to enhance signal accuracy during volatile phases.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 70%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Khaled Tamim's Avellaneda-Stoikov StrategyDescription:
This strategy applies the Avellaneda-Stoikov (A-S) model to generate buy and sell signals for underlying assets based on option pricing theory. The A-S model estimates bid and ask quotes for options contracts considering factors like volatility (sigma), time to expiration (T), and risk aversion (gamma).
Key Concepts:
Avellaneda-Stoikov Model: A mathematical framework for option pricing that incorporates volatility, time decay, and risk tolerance.
Bid-Ask Quotes: The theoretical buy and sell prices for an option contract.
Inventory Management: The strategy tracks its long or short position based on signals.
How it Works:
A-S Model Calculation: The avellanedaStoikov function calculates bid and ask quotes using the underlying asset's closing price, user-defined parameters (gamma, sigma, T, k, and M), and a small fee (adjustable).
Signal Generation: The strategy generates long signals when the closing price falls below the adjusted bid quote and short signals when it exceeds the adjusted ask quote.
Trade Execution: Buy and sell orders are triggered based on the generated signals (long for buy, short for sell).
Inventory Tracking: The strategy's net profit reflects the current inventory level (long or short position).
Customization:
Gamma (γ): Controls risk aversion in the A-S model (higher values imply lower risk tolerance).
Sigma (σ): Represents the underlying asset's expected volatility.
T: Time to expiration for the hypothetical option (defaults to a short-term option).
k: A constant factor in the A-S model calculations.
M: Minimum price buffer for buy/sell signals (prevents excessive churn).
Important Note:
This strategy simulates option pricing behavior for a theoretical option and does not directly trade options contracts. Backtesting results may not reflect actual market conditions.
Further Considerations:
The 0.1% fee is a placeholder and may need adjustment based on real-world trading costs.
Consider using realistic timeframes for T (e.g., expiry for a real option)
Disclaimer: This strategy is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Volume-Supported Linear Regression Trend Modified StrategyHi everyone, this will be my first published script on Tradingview, maybe more to come.
For quite some time I have been looking for a script that performs no matter if price goes up or down or sideways. I believe this strategy comes pretty close to that. Although nowhere near the so called "buy&hold equity" of BTC, it has produced consistent profits even when price goes down.
It is a strategy which seems to work best on the 1H timeframe for cryptocurrencies.
Just by testing different settings for SL and TP you can customize it for each pair.
THE STRATEGY:
Basically, I used the Volume Supported Linear Regression Trend Model that LonesomeTheBlue has created and modified a few things such as entry and exit conditions. So all credits go to him!
LONG ENTRY: When there is a bullish cross of the short term trend (the histogram/columns), while the long term trend is above 0 and rising.
SHORT ENTRY: When there is a bearish cross (green to red) of the short-term trend (the histogram/columns), while the long term trend is beneath 0 and decreasing.
LONG EXIT: Bearish crossover of short-term trend while long term trend is below 0
SHORT EXIT: Bullish crossover of short-term trend while long term trend is above 0
Combining this with e.g. a SL of 2% and a TP of 20% (as used in my backtesting), combined with pyramiding and correct risk management, it gives pretty consistent results.
Be aware, this is only for educational purpose and in no means financial advise. Past results do not guarantee future results. This strategy can lose money!
Enjoy :)
PS: It works not only on BTC of course, works even better on some other major crypto pairs. I'll leave it to you to find out which ones ;)
Price Based Z-Trend - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
Z-score: a statistical measurement of a score's relationship to the mean in a group of scores.
Simple but effective approach.
The "Price Based Z-Trend - Strategy " leverages the Z-score, a statistical measure that gauges the deviation of a price from its moving average, normalized against its standard deviation. This strategy stands out due to its simplicity and effectiveness, particularly in markets where price movements often revert to a mean. Unlike more complex systems that might rely on a multitude of indicators, the Z-Trend strategy focuses on clear, statistically significant price movements, making it ideal for traders who prefer a streamlined, data-driven approach.
BTCUSD 6h LS Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Calculation of the Z-score
"Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. Z-score is measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. If a Z-score is 0, it indicates that the data point's score is identical to the mean score. A Z-score of 1.0 would indicate a value that is one standard deviation from the mean. Z-scores may be positive or negative, with a positive value indicating the score is above the mean and a negative score indicating it is below the mean."
The Z-score is central to this strategy. It is calculated by taking the difference between the current price and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the price over a user-defined length, then dividing this by the standard deviation of the price over the same length:
z = (x - μ) /σ
Local
🔶 Trading Signals
Trading signals are generated based on the Z-score crossing predefined thresholds:
- Long Entry: When the Z-score crosses above the positive threshold.
- Long Exit: When the Z-score falls below the negative threshold.
- Short Entry: When the Z-score falls below the negative threshold.
- Short Exit: When the Z-score rises above the positive threshold.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows users to select their preferred trading direction through an input option.
█ Usage
To use this strategy effectively, traders should first configure the Z-score thresholds according to their risk tolerance and market volatility. It's also crucial to adjust the length for the EMA and standard deviation calculations based on historical performance and the expected "noise" in price data.
The strategy is designed to be flexible, allowing traders to refine settings to better capture profitable opportunities in specific market conditions.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both
- Standard Deviation Length: 100
- Average Length: 100
- Threshold for Z-score: 1.0
- Bar Color Indicator: Enabled
These settings offer a balanced starting point but can be customized to suit various trading styles and market environments. The strategy's parameters are designed to be adjusted as traders gain experience and refine their approach based on ongoing market analysis.
Z-score is a must-learn approach for every algorithmic trader.
Hurst Future Lines of Demarcation StrategyJ. M. Hurst introduced a concept in technical analysis known as the Future Line of Demarcation (FLD), which serves as a forward-looking tool by incorporating a simple yet profound line into future projections on a financial chart. Specifically, the FLD is constructed by offsetting the price half a cycle ahead into the future on the time axis, relative to the Hurst Cycle of interest. For instance, in the context of a 40 Day Cycle, the FLD would be represented by shifting the current price data 20 days forward on the chart, offering an idea of future price movement anticipations.
The utility of FLDs extends into three critical areas of insight, which form the backbone of the FLD Trading Strategy:
A price crossing the FLD signifies the confirmation of either a peak or trough formation, indicating pivotal moments in price action.
Such crossings also help determine precise price targets for the upcoming peak or trough, aligned with the cycle of examination.
Additionally, the occurrence of a peak in the FLD itself signals a probable zone where the price might experience a trough, helping to anticipate of future price movements.
These insights by Hurst in his "Cycles Trading Course" during the 1970s, are instrumental for traders aiming to determine entry and exit points, and to forecast potential price movements within the market.
To use the FLD Trading Strategy, for example when focusing on the 40 Day Cycle, a trader should primarily concentrate on the interplay between three Hurst Cycles:
The 20 Day FLD (Signal) - Half the length of the Trade Cycle
The 40 Day FLD (Trade) - The Cycle you want to trade
The 80 Day FLD (Trend) - Twice the length of the Trade Cycle
Traders can gauge trend or consolidation by watching for two critical patterns:
Cascading patterns, characterized by several FLDs running parallel with a consistent separation, typically emerge during pronounced market trends, indicating strong directional momentum.
Consolidation patterns, on the other hand, occur when multiple FLDs intersect and navigate within the same price bandwidth, often reversing direction to traverse this range multiple times. This tangled scenario results in the formation of Pause Zones, areas where price momentum is likely to temporarily stall or where the emergence of a significant trend might be delayed.
This simple FLD indicator provides 3 FLDs with optional source input and smoothing, A-through-H FLD interaction background, adjustable “Close the Trade” triggers, and a simple strategy for backtesting it all.
The A-through-H FLD interactions are a framework designed to classify the different types of price movements as they intersect with or diverge from the Future Line of Demarcation (FLD). Each interaction (designated A through H by color) represents a specific phase or characteristic within the cycle, and understanding these can help traders anticipate future price movements and make informed decisions.
The adjustable “Close the Trade” triggers are for setting the crossover/under that determines the trade exits. The options include: Price, Signal FLD, Trade FLD, or Trend FLD. For example, a trader may want to exit trades only when price finally crosses the Trade FLD line.
Shoutouts & Credits for all the raw code, helpful information, ideas & collaboration, conversations together, introductions, indicator feedback, and genuine/selfless help:
🏆 @TerryPascoe
🏅 @Hpotter
👏 @parisboy
Ehlers Combo Strategy🚀 Presenting the Enhanced Ehlers Combo Strategy 🚀
Hello Traders! 👋 I'm thrilled to share the latest version of the Ehlers Combo Strategy v2.0. This powerful algorithm combines Ehlers Elegant Oscillator, Decycler, Instantaneous Trendline, Spearman Rank, and introduces the Signal to Noise Ratio for even more precise trading signals.
📊 Strategy Highlights:
Ehlers Elegant Oscillator: Captures market momentum and turning points.
Ehlers Decycler: Filters out market noise for clearer trend signals.
Instantaneous Trendline: Offers a dynamic view of the market trend.
Spearman Rank: Analyzes market rank correlations for enhanced insights.
Signal to Noise Ratio (SNR): Filters out noise for more accurate signals.
💡 Key Features & Customizations:
Adaptive Length: Enable adaptive length based on the market's current conditions.
SNR Threshold: Set your desired SNR threshold for filtering signals.
Exit Length: Define the length for exit signals.
📈 Trading Signals:
Long Entry: Elegant Oscillator and Decycler cross above 0, source crosses above Decycler, source is greater than an increasing Instantaneous Trendline, Spearman Rank is positive, and SNR exceeds the threshold.
Long Exit: Source crosses below the Instantaneous Trendline after entering a long position.
Short Entry: Elegant Oscillator and Decycler cross below 0, source crosses below Decycler, source is less than a decreasing Instantaneous Trendline, Spearman Rank is negative, and SNR exceeds the threshold.
Short Exit: Source crosses above the Instantaneous Trendline after entering a short position.
📊 Insights & Enhancements:
Dynamic Length: The strategy adapts its length dynamically based on market conditions.
Improved SNR: Signal to Noise Ratio ensures better filtering of signals.
Enhanced Visualization: The Elegant Oscillator now features improved color coding for a clearer interpretation.
🚨 Disclaimer:
Trading involves risk, and this script should be used judiciously. It's not a guaranteed profit machine, but with careful use, it can be a valuable addition to your toolkit.
Feel free to backtest, tweak, and make it your own! Let's conquer the markets together! 💪📈
🚀✨ Happy Trading! ✨🚀
---
🙌 Credits:
A big shoutout to the original contributors:
@blackcat1402
@cheatcountry
@DasanC
Session Breakout Scalper Trading BotHi Traders !
Introduction:
I have recently been exploring the world of automated algorithmic trading (as I prefer more objective trading strategies over subjective technical analysis (TA)) and would like to share one of my automation compatible (PineConnecter compatible) scripts “Session Breakout Scalper”.
The strategy is really simple and is based on time conditional breakouts although has more ”relatively” advanced optional features such as the regime indicators (Regime Filters) that attempt to filter out noise by adding more confluence states and the ATR multiple SL that takes into account volatility to mitigate the down side risk of the trade.
What is Algorthmic Trading:
Firstly what is algorithmic trading? Algorithmic trading also known as algo-trading, is a method of using computer programs (in this case pine script) to execute trades based on predetermined rules and instructions (this trading strategy). It's like having a robot trader who follows a strict set of commands to buy and sell assets automatically, without any human intervention.
Important Note:
For Algorithmic trading the strategy will require you having an essential TV subscription at the minimum (so that you can set alerts) plus a PineConnecter subscription (scroll down to the .”How does the strategy send signals” headings to read more)
The Strategy Explained:
Is the Time input true ? (this can be changed by toggling times under the “TRADE MEDIAN TIMES” group for user inputs).
Given the above is true the strategy waits x bars after the session and then calculates the highest high (HH) to lowest low (LL) range. For this box to form, the user defined amount of bars must print after the session. The box is symmetrical meaning the HH and LL are calculated over a lookback that is equal to the sum of user defined bars before and after the session (+ 1).
The Strategy then simultaneously defines the HH as the buy level (green line) and the LL as the sell level (red line). note the strategy will set stop orders at these levels respectively.
Enter a buy if price action crosses above the HH, and then cancel the sell order type (The opposite is true for a stop order).
If the momentum based regime filters are true the strategy will check for the regime / regimes to be true, if the regime if false the strategy will exit the current trade, as the regime filter has predicted a slowing / reversal of momentum.
The image below shows the strategy executing these trading rules ( Regime filters, "Trades on chart", "Signal & Label" and "Quantity" have been omitted. "Strategy label plots" has been switched to true)
Other Strategy Rules:
If a new session (time session which is user defined) is true (blue vertical line) and the strategy is currently still in a trade it will exit that trade immediately.
It is possible to also set a range of percentage gain per day that the strategy will try to acquire, if at any point the strategy’s profit is within the percentage range then the position / trade will be exited immediately (This can be changed in the “PERCENT DAY GAIN” group for user inputs)
Stops and Targets:
The strategy has either static (fixed) or variable SL options. TP however is only static. The “STRAT TP & TP” group of user inputs is responsible for the SL and TP values (quoted in pips). Note once the ATR stop is set to true the SL values in the above group no longer have any affect on the SL as expected.
What are the Regime Filters:
The Larry Williams Large Trade Index (LWLTI): The Larry Williams Large Trade Index (LWTI) is a momentum-based technical indicator developed by iconic trader Larry Williams. It identifies potential entries and exits for trades by gauging market sentiment, particularly the buying and selling pressure from large market players. Here's a breakdown of the LWTI:
LWLTI components and their interpretation:
Oscillator: It oscillates between 0 and 100, with 50 acting as the neutral line.
Sentiment Meter: Values above 75 suggest a bearish market dominated by large selling, while readings below 25 indicate a bullish market with strong buying from large players.
Trend Confirmation: Crossing above 75 during an uptrend and below 25 during a downtrend confirms the trend's continuation.
The Andean Oscillator (AO) : The Andean Oscillator is a trend and momentum based indicator designed to measure the degree of variations within individual uptrends and downtrends in the prices.
Regime Filter States:
In trading, a regime filter is a tool used to identify the current state or "regime" of the market.
These Regime filters are integrated within the trading strategy to attempt to lower risk (equity volatility and/or draw down). The regime filters have different states for each market order type (buy and sell). When the regime filters are set to true, if these regime states fail to be true the trade is exited immediately.
For Buy Trades:
LWLTI positive momentum state: Quotient of the lagged trailing difference and the ATR > 50
AO positive momentum state: Bull line > Bear line (signal line is omitted)
For Sell Trades:
LWLTI negative momentum stat: Quotient of the lagged trailing difference and the ATR < 50
AO negative momentum state: Bull line < Bear line (signal line is omitted)
How does the Strategy Send Signals:
The strategy triggers a TV alert (you will neet to set a alert first), TV then sends a HTTP request to the automation software (PineConnecter) which receives the request and then communicates to an MT4/5 EA to automate the trading strategy.
For the strategy to send signals you must have the following
At least a TV essential subscription
This Script added to your chart
A PineConnecter account, which is paid and not free. This will provide you with the expert advisor that executes trades based on these strategies signals.
For more detailed information on the automation process I would recommend you read the PineConnecter documentation and FAQ page.
Dashboard:
This Dashboard (top right by defualt) lists some simple trading statistics and also shows when a trade is live.
Important Notice:
- USE THIS STRATEGY AT YOUR OWN RISK AND ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH & MANUAL BACKTESTING !
- THE STRATEGY WILL NOT EXHIBIT THE BACKTEST PERFORMANCE SEEN BELOW IN ALL MARKETS !
SILVER Midnight Candle Color Strategy 1-Hour Delay and SL/TP Overview:
The "Midnight Candle Color Strategy with 1-Hour Delay and SL/TP" is a unique trading strategy designed for the Forex market. This strategy capitalizes on the color of the midnight candle based on New York time, making trade decisions one hour later, at 1:00 AM.
Key Features:
Time Zone Adjustment: Automatically adjusts to New York time (UTC-5 or UTC-4 during Daylight Saving Time).
Midnight Candle Analysis: Utilizes the color of the midnight candle to gauge market sentiment.
Trade Execution at 1 AM: Trades are executed one hour after midnight based on the previous day's candle color.
Strategic SL/TP: Incorporates predefined stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels for each trade.
How It Works:
The script first determines whether the current bar represents 12:00 AM or 1:00 AM in New York time.
At midnight, it records the color of the candle (green for bullish, red for bearish).
At 1:00 AM, the strategy:
Enters a long position if the midnight candle was green, with specific TP and SL settings.
Enters a short position if the midnight candle was red, again with defined TP and SL.
Visualization:
Optional markers are plotted on the chart for easy visualization of the strategy's entry points at midnight and 1 AM.
Usage Tips:
Ideal for traders focusing on overnight price movements and early morning trends.
Best suited for SILVER trading due to the 24-hour trading cycle.
We recommend backtesting the strategy with historical data to evaluate performance.
Disclaimer:
This strategy is provided for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should conduct their own research and exercise caution while trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
I´m not a signal service, however I´m sharing my signals. For free. If you wish to buy something, contact some other signalist, preferably with 5-10-15-20K followers, selling signals on the premium channel, but in reality not trading them themselves. If you will realise after few blown account that something is wrong, ask yourself why is that. Trading is not pushing the buy-sell button and drinking tequila on the beach. If you want to learn, you know what to do.
