UnknownUnicorn194809

GER30 - Waiting on the Sidelines

FX:GER30   Indeks DAX
Yesterday saw a variety of indicators working in tandem to provide a short entry at 11600 level.

- Both the RSI and MACD indicators diverging at the 61.8 - 76.4% retracement of the downtrend from 26th May - 9th June.
- An ending diagonal/ wedge signalling the end of what looks like Wave III
- Bearish engulfing candles at the 11630 double top

Closing the gap from Monday 22nd at 11457 with no Greek deal, we have retraced 38.2% of Wave III.

However the rally from 18th June - 23rd June lasted 5 days, I would be looking for wave IVs correction to last 2.5 - 3 days. Resting in the lower Green Rectangle (38.2 - 50.0% retracement) but not closing under 11285; the high of Wave I.

There I will look for bullish divergences/ optimistic news on Greece to long the beginning of Wave V. A break of 11285 will void this analysis.
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