Mulai

Regression

Lnear Regression ++Here is another amazing script for you guys Target Audience ++ Programmers ++ Linear Regression Enthusiasts Please Use this Indicator If you understand the risk posed by linear regression; ill explain some below Features ++ Raw Formulae for the linear regression --I understand that tradingview explanation on how the linreg function works is not clear to many of you and therefore i included this for developers --Yes its much simpler than you thought, Do Enjoy ++ Alerts --You can get alerts when the lower band is crossed/touched based on your settings --These alerts are not repainting at all. Linear Regression Limits As you traders know, the market changes from time and new levels will get drawn The alerts are based on these new levels and once we have new ones, we keep updating Risk This script is similar to Bollinger Bands style of alerts, If the market moves continuously to one direction after the break of a band, The levels change and you may receive a new signal confirmation Cheers!! Enjoy!! Feel free to ask me for any improvements
Indikator Pine Script™
oleh DevLucem
29
Leavitt Convolutions Multicator - Jay Leavitt, Ph.D.Hot off the press, I present this next generation "Leavitt Convolutions Multicator" employing PSv4.0, originally formulated by Jay Leavitt, Ph.D. for TASC - January 2020 Traders Tips. Basically it's an all-in-one combination of three Leavitt indicators. This triplet indicator, being less than a 60 line implementation at initial release, is a heavily modified version of the original indicator using novel techniques, surpassing Leavitt's original intended design. Utilizing the "Power of Pine", I included the maximum amount of features I could surmise in an ultra small yet powerful package. Configurations are displayed above in multiple scenarios that should be suitable for most traders. Features List Includes: Dark Background - Easily disabled in indicator Settings->Style for "Light" charts or with Pine commenting AND much, much more... You have the source! For those of you who are new to Pine Script, this script may also help you understand advanced programming techniques in Pine and how they may be utilized in a most effective manner. Most notably, the script shows how to potentially combine three indicators in one with Pine. This is commonly what my dense intricate code looks like behind the veil, and if you are wondering why there is no notes, that's because the notation is in the variable naming. The comments section below is solely just for commenting and other remarks, ideas, compliments, etc... regarding only this indicator, not others. When available time provides itself, I will consider your inquiries, thoughts, and concepts presented below in the comments section, should you have any questions or comments regarding this indicator. When my indicators achieve more prevalent use by TV members, I may implement more ideas when they present themselves as worthy additions. As always, "Like" it if you simply just like it with a proper thumbs up, and also return to my scripts list occasionally for additional postings. Have a profitable future everyone!
Indikator Pine Script™
oleh ImmortalFreedom
16
Quadratic Least Squares Moving Average - Smoothing + Forecast Introduction Technical analysis make often uses of classical statistical procedures, one of them being regression analysis, and since fitting polynomial functions that minimize the sum of squares can be achieved with the use of the mean, variance, covariance...etc, technical analyst only needed to replace the mean in all those calculations with a moving average, we then end up with a low lag filter called least squares moving average (lsma) . The least squares moving average could be classified as a rolling linear regression, altho this sound really bad it is useful to understand the relationship of both methods, both have the same form, that is ax + b , where a and b are coefficients of the model. However in a simple linear regression a and b are constant, while the lsma use variables instead. In a simple lsma we model the relationship of the closing price (dependent variable) with a linear sequence (independent variable), therefore x = 1,2,3,4..etc. However we can use polynomial of higher degrees to model such relationship, this is required if we want more reactivity. Therefore we can use a quadratic form, that is ax^2 + bx + c , where a,b and c are variables. This is the quadratic least squares moving average (qlsma), a not so official term, but we'll stick with it because it still represent the aim of the filter quite well. In this indicator i make the calculations of the qlsma less troublesome, therefore one might understand how it would work, note that in general the coefficients of a polynomial regression model are found using matrix calculus. The Indicator A qlsma, unlike the classic lsma, will fit better to the price and will be more reactive, this is the advantage of using an higher degrees for its calculation, we can model more complex relationship. lsma in green, qlsma in red, with both length = 200 However the over/under shoots are greater, i'll explain why in the next sections, but this is one of the drawbacks of using higher degrees. The indicator allow to forecast future values, the ahead period of the forecast is determined by the forecast setting. The value for this setting should be lower than length, else the forecasts can easily over/under shoot which heavily damage the forecast. In order to get a view on how well the forecast is performing you can check the option "Show past predicted values". Of course understanding the logic behind the forecast is important, in short regressions models best fit a certain curve to the data, this curve can be a line (linear regression), a parabola (quadratic regression) and so on, the type of curve is determined by the degree of the polynomial used, here 2, which is a parabola. Lets use a linear regression model as example : ax + b where x is a linear sequence 1,2,3...and a/b are constants. Our goal is to find the values for a and b that minimize the sum of squares of the line with the dependent variable y, here the closing price, so our hypothesis is that : closing price = ax + b + ε where ε is white noise, a component that the model couldn't forecast. The forecast of the closing price 14 step ahead would be equal to : closing price 14 step aheads = a(x+14) + b Since x is a linear sequence we only need to sum it with the forecasting horizon period, the same is done here with : a*(n+forecast)^2 + b*(n + forecast) + c Note that the forecast proposed in the indicator is more for teaching purpose that anything else, this indicator can't possibly forecast future values, even on a meh rate. Low lag filters have been used to provide noise free crosses with slow moving average, a bad practice in my opinion due to the ability low lag filters have to overshoot/undershoot, more interesting use cases might be to use the qlsma as input for other indicators. On The Code Some of you might know that i posted a "quadratic regression" indicator long ago, the original calculations was coming from a forum, but because the calculation was ugly as hell as well as extra inefficient (dogfood level) i had to do something about it, the name was also terribly misleading. We can see in the code that we make heavy use of the variance and covariance, both estimated with : VAR(x) = SMA(x^2) - SMA(x)^2 COV(x,y) = SMA(xy) - SMA(x)SMA(y) Those elements are then combined, we can easily recognize the intercept element c , who don't change much from the classical lsma. As Digital Filter The frequency response of the qlsma is similar to the one of the lsma, those filters amplify certain frequencies in the passband, and have ripples in the stop band. There is something interesting about those filters, first using higher degrees allow to greater boost of the frequencies in the passband, which result in greater over/under shoots. Another funny thing is that the peak/valley of the ripples is equal the peak or valley in the ripples of another lsma of different degree. The transient response of those filters, that is impulse response, step response...etc is related to the degree of the polynomial used, therefore lets denote a lsma of degree p : lsma(p) , the impulse response of lsma(p) is a polynomial of degree p, and the step response is simple a polynomial of order p+1. This is why it was more interesting to estimate the qlsma using convolution, however we can no longer forecast future values. Conclusion I proposed a more usable quadratic least squares moving average, with more options, as well as a cleaner and more efficient code. The process of shrinking the original code is made easier when you know about the estimations of both variance and covariance. I hope the proposed indicator/calculation is useful. Thx for reading !
Indikator Pine Script™
oleh alexgrover
33
Regression Channel [DW]This is an experimental study which calculates a linear regression channel over a specified period or interval using custom moving average types for its calculations. Linear regression is a linear approach to modeling the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. In linear regression, the relationships are modeled using linear predictor functions whose unknown model parameters are estimated from the data. The regression channel in this study is modeled using the least squares approach with four base average types to choose from: -> Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA) -> Exponential Moving Average (EMA) -> Simple Moving Average (SMA) -> Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) When using VWMA, if no volume is present, the calculation will automatically switch to tick volume, making it compatible with any cryptocurrency, stock, currency pair, or index you want to analyze. There are two window types for calculation in this script as well: -> Continuous, which generates a regression model over a fixed number of bars continuously. -> Interval, which generates a regression model that only moves its starting point when a new interval starts. The number of bars for calculation cumulatively increases until the end of the interval. The channel is generated by calculating standard deviation multiplied by the channel width coefficient, adding it to and subtracting it from the regression line, then dividing it into quartiles. To observe the path of the regression, I've included a tracer line, which follows the current point of the regression line. This is also referred to as a Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA). For added predictive capability, there is an option to extend the channel lines into the future. A custom bar color scheme based on channel direction and price proximity to the current regression value is included. I don't necessarily recommend using this tool as a standalone, but rather as a supplement to your analysis systems. Regression analysis is far from an exact science. However, with the right combination of tools and strategies in place, it can greatly enhance your analysis and trading.
Indikator Pine Script™
oleh DonovanWall
20
Linear Regression BotHello Fellow Traders! ------------------------------------------- This is the newest addition to Gnome Alerts PRO! This is a new trading method designed to take advantage of Linear Regression methods along with using price blocks to make smarter trades. PineScript v4 allows us to get more creative from an indicator perspective and really make some neat stuff. This Bot Script works on all Crypto, Leverage, Forex, & Traditional Exchanges. FEATURES ------------------------ *Goat Alerts & Autoview Ready* - Easy to Use - DCA - Avg Position Tracking -Take Profit - Stop Loss You can get access to any of my scripts by visiting my Website, all links are down below....
Indikator Pine Script™
oleh Crypto_Gnome
Linear Regression Trend ChannelThis is my first public release of indicator code and my PSv4.0 version of "Linear Regression Channel", as it is more commonly known. It replicates TV's built-in "Linear Regression" without the distraction of heavy red/blue fill bleeding into other indicators. We can't fill() line.new() at this time in Pine Script anyways. I entitled it Linear Regression Trend Channel, simply because it seems more accurate as a proper description. I nicely packaged this to the size of an ordinary napkin within 20 lines of compact code, simplifying the math to the most efficient script I could devise that fits in your pocket. This is commonly what my dense intricate code looks like behind the veil, and if you are wondering why there is no notes, that's because the notation is in the variable naming. I excluded Pearson correlation because it doesn't seem very useful to me, and it would comprise of additional lines of code I would rather avoid in this public release. Pearson correlation is included in my invite-only advanced version of "Enhanced Linear Regression Trend Channel", where I have taken Linear Regression Channeling to another level of fully featured novel attainability using this original source code. Features List Includes: "Period" adjustment "Deviation(s)" adjustment "Extend Method" option to extend or not extend the upper, medial, and lower channeling Showcased in the chart below is my free to use "Enhanced Schaff Trend Cycle Indicator", having a common appeal to TV users frequently. If you do have any questions or comments regarding this indicator, I will consider your inquiries, thoughts, and ideas presented below in the comments section, when time provides it. As always, "Like" it if you simply just like it with a proper thumbs up, and also return to my scripts list occasionally for additional postings. Have a profitable future everyone!
Indikator Pine Script™
oleh ImmortalFreedom
20
Time Series ForecastIntroduction Forecasting is a blurry science that deal with lot of uncertainty. Most of the time forecasting is made with the assumption that past values can be used to forecast a time series, the accuracy of the forecast depend on the type of time series, the pre-processing applied to it, the forecast model and the parameters of the model. In tradingview we don't have much forecasting models appart from the linear regression which is definitely not adapted to forecast financial markets, instead we mainly use it as support/resistance indicator. So i wanted to try making a forecasting tool based on the lsma that might provide something at least interesting, i hope you find an use to it. The Method Remember that the regression model and the lsma are closely related, both share the same equation ax + b but the lsma will use running parameters while a and b are constants in a linear regression, the last point of the lsma of period p is the last point of the linear regression that fit a line to the price at time p to 1, try to add a linear regression with count = 100 and an lsma of length = 100 and you will see, this is why the lsma is also called "end point moving average". The forecast of the linear regression is the linear extrapolation of the fitted line, however the proposed indicator forecast is the linear extrapolation between the value of the lsma at time length and the last value of the lsma when short term extrapolation is false, when short term extrapolation is checked the forecast is the linear extrapolation between the lsma value prior to the last point and the last lsma value. long term extrapolation, length = 1000 short term extrapolation, length = 1000 How To Use Intervals are create from the running mean absolute error between the price and the lsma. Those intervals can be interpreted as possible support and resistance levels when using long term extrapolation, make sure that the intervals have been priorly tested, this mean the intervals are more significants. The short term extrapolation is made with the assumption that the price will follow the last two lsma points direction, the forecast tend to become inaccurate during a trend change or when noise affect heavily the lsma. You can test both method accuracy with the replay mode. Comparison With The Linear Regression Both methods share similitudes, but they have different results, lets compare them. In blue the indicator and in red a linear regression of both period 200, the linear regression is always extremely conservative since she fit a line using the least squares method, at the contrary the indicator is less conservative which can be an advantage as well as a problem. Conclusion Linear models are good when what we want to forecast is approximately linear, thats not the case with market price and this is why other methods are used. But the use of the lsma to provide a forecast is still an interesting method that might require further studies. Thanks for reading !
Indikator Pine Script™
oleh alexgrover
24
R2-Adaptive RegressionIntroduction I already mentioned various problems associated with the lsma, one of them being overshoots, so here i propose to use an lsma using a developed and adaptive form of 1st order polynomial to provide several improvements to the lsma. This indicator will adapt to various coefficient of determinations while also using various recursions. More In Depth A 1st order polynomial is in the form : y = ax + b , our indicator however will use : y = a*x + a1*x1 + (1 - (a + a1))*y , where a is the coefficient of determination of a simple lsma and a1 the coefficient of determination of an lsma who try to best fit y to the price. In some cases the coefficient of determination or r-squared is simply the squared correlation between the input and the lsma. The r-squared can tell you if something is trending or not because its the correlation between the rough price containing noise and an estimate of the trend (lsma) . Therefore the filter give more weight to x or x1 based on their respective r-squared, when both r-squared is low the filter give more weight to its precedent output value. Comparison lsma and R2 with both length = 100 The result of the R2 is rougher, faster, have less overshoot than the lsma and also adapt to market conditions. Longer/Shorter terms period can increase the error compared to the lsma because of the R2 trying to adapt to the r-squared. The R2 can also provide good fits when there is an edge, this is due to the part where the lsma fit the filter output to the input (y2) Conclusion I presented a new kind of lsma that adapt itself to various coefficient of determination. The indicator can reduce the sum of squares because of its ability to reduce overshoot as well as remaining stationary when price is not trending. It can be interesting to apply exponential averaging with various smoothing constant as long as you use : (1- (alpha+alpha1)) at the end. Thanks for reading
Indikator Pine Script™
oleh alexgrover
8
Pseudo Polynomial ChannelIntroduction Back when i started using pine i made a script called periodic channel who aimed to rescale an average correlated sine wave to the price...don't worked very well. So i tried to fix problems induced by the indicator without much success, i had to redo it from scratch while abandoning the idea of rescaling correlated smooth functions to the price, at that time i also received requests regarding polynomial channel, some plateformes included this indicator, this led me to the idea to estimate it in order to both respond to the periodic channel problems and the requests i received, i have tried many many things and recently i tweaked a linear extrapolation to have an approximation. Linear Extrapolation To Pseudo Polynomial Regression I could be wrong but a polynomial regression must use constant parameters in order to provide a really smooth output, at least constant for a set of time. The moving averages forms (Savitzky-Golay moving average) who smooth polynomials across a window to the data don't have such smoothness, so how to estimate a polynomial regression while having a parameter providing control over the smoothness, a response to this is by using a recursive linear extrapolation. I posted a linear extrapolation indicator long ago, i used the same formula while adding a function to morph the output and the input in the form of : morph * output + (1-morph) * input How can this provide an estimate of a polynomial regression ? Well i'm not even sure myself but if you use the output as input (morph = 1) for the linear extrapolation function you should get a rough estimate of a line, this is what i thought at first and it proved to be right Based on this observation i thought that it would be possible to get polynomial results by lowering morph, and as expected it worked well but showed a periodic pattern, this is why i smooth k in line 10. 0.9 for morph work well, higher values create sometimes smoother results but damage heavily the estimation. Parameters Morph have been introduced earlier, it control the amount of output and input the linear extrapolation should process, lower values create rougher but more stables results, if you see that the estimation is going nuts lower morph or change length, also lower length if you increase morph . High overshoot, morph to 0.8 can help have a better estimation at the cost of less smoothness. Length control the indicator smoothing, this parameter differ heavily from other filters, therefore low values can create mid/long term smoothing, it can also depend on which market instrument you are applying it, so there are no fixed optimal length. Mult control how spread the bands are, to do so mult multiply the cumulative mean error, you can change this error measurement by anything you want like standard deviation/atr/range but take into account that you may create a separate parameter to control the error instead of length . Mult can be a float and like length can have different optimal values depending on the market the indicator is applied to. Flatten do exactly what is name imply, it flatten the overall output to have a better estimation, can be a float. The result is less smooth. Flatten = 2 More Exemples BTCUSD length = 25 and mult = 4 XPDUSD length = 25 and mult = 1 ALPHABET length = 6 and morph = 0.99 Conclusion I tried to estimate a polynomial channel by using recursion in the linear extrapolation function. This build is way more stable than the periodic channel but its still a bit inaccurate in my opinion. I hope this code can still help someone build something really nice, if so share your results :) I apologize for those expecting a legit polynomial channel build but i really don't know how to do that, as i said parameters for the regression must be constants, i hope it still fine :) Thanks for reading !
Indikator Pine Script™
oleh alexgrover
24