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Supertrend + DEMA Strategy ( customised & Switchable, Fixed TP)Supertrend line – a moving line that follows the price and shows whether the market is trending up or down. If the price goes above this line, it usually means the market is going up. If the price goes below, it usually means the market is going down. DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average) – another line that smooths out price movements to spot trends more clearly. It calculates an average of prices but reacts faster than a normal moving average.
Strategi Pine Script®
oleh drsawhneyG
Support Resistance📌 1. Indicator Name Premium Auto Support & Resistance 📌 2. One-Line Description An automated S/R system that generates support and resistance zones based on swing highs and lows, displaying them in a premium visual style directly on the chart. 📌 3. Overall Summary (7+ lines) This indicator automatically detects price levels where the market has repeatedly reacted and generates support and resistance zones. Instead of simple horizontal lines, it visualizes reaction ranges as zones, helping traders clearly understand the actual price areas where activity occurs. It uses swing points (high/low pivots) as the fundamental basis and continuously updates only the most meaningful recent S/R levels. A smoothing process is applied, reducing noise and creating more natural, reliable S/R zones. Support and resistance are displayed as filled transparency-based zones, enabling intuitive identification of zone strength and market position. When price touches one of these zones, a small signal appears to highlight potential reversal points. All elements are plotted directly over the candles with overlay=true, making it an instantly usable and visually premium tool. 📌 4. Advantages (6 items) ① Automatic Swing-Based S/R Detection Automatically analyzes key pivot points and extracts only the most meaningful support and resistance levels. ② Support/Resistance Zone Structure Provides intuitive reaction ranges instead of single lines, making it far more practical for real trading. ③ Smooth Premium-Style Lines S/R lines are smoothed to remove noise, maintaining a natural and refined premium visual appearance. ④ Automatic Candle-Touch Alerts Displays signals whenever price touches support or resistance, helping you quickly identify potential reversal areas. ⑤ Overlay-Based Immediate Clarity Drawn directly onto the chart without occupying indicator windows, keeping visual focus on price action. ⑥ Simple Yet Powerful Framework A pivot + smoothing + zone combination that strengthens automatic S/R detection while remaining easy for beginners to use.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh c9indicator
2
[iQ]PRO Volume Frequency Profile+++🌌 PRO Volume Frequency Profile+++: The Fusion of Precision and Market Flow The PRO Volume Frequency Profile+++ ( PRO VFP+++) is a next-generation analytical instrument designed for the discerning professional trader. It masterfully synthesizes multiple advanced concepts—Dynamic Linear Regression, High-Fidelity Frequency Analysis, and a Volumetric Distribution Profile—into a single, unified view of market structure. This powerful fusion provides unparalleled context for identifying high-probability turning points and key areas of interest. 🔬 Core Innovation: The Symbiotic Market Model At its heart, the PRO VFP+++ is built on a proprietary methodology that transcends traditional price action by analyzing the frequency and distribution of traded volume relative to the dominant price trend. Adaptive Regression Channel: The indicator establishes a highly dynamic Linear Regression channel, which acts as the core gravity well of the current trend. This channel is then protected by multi-tier Standard Deviation (SD) Bands with highly optimized, non-standard multipliers, defining the boundaries of expected price movement. High-Resolution Frequency Bands: An integrated, proprietary Frequency Analysis component detects the underlying rhythmic oscillation in the market. This mechanism generates Frequency Bands that fluctuate around the core regression line, providing an exceptionally sensitive, leading, and dynamic channel for short-term mean-reversion and continuation signals. Volumetric Profile Insight: A sophisticated Volume Frequency Profile is meticulously constructed over the look back period defined by the Linear Regression. This profile maps the distribution of trading activity, with an advanced implementation that provides a directional bias (Buy/Sell color gradient) within the volume nodes themselves, offering a deeper understanding of market participation. ✨ The Edge: Strategic Node Detection The indicator's most compelling feature is its Intelligent Node Detection System. This system is specifically engineered to filter out market noise and highlight critical confluence zones: Confluence Nodes: Automatically identifies and marks prices where the statistically significant Volume Nodes from the profile interact with the calculated Linear Regression lines and Standard Deviation Bands. These intersection points are areas where technical structure and realized market flow align, signaling price magnets or potential reversal zones. Customizable Sensitivity: The system is governed by a Node Sensitivity parameter, allowing the user to fine-tune the filter for market conditions, ensuring only the most robust interactions are flagged. 🚨 Real-Time Opportunity & Security To ensure maximum efficiency, the PRO VFP+++ features comprehensive, real-time Alerts based on all three core components: Significant Node Cross: Alerts when price intersects a high-confluence interaction node. Regression Line Touch: Alerts when price tests the core regression line, indicating a re-test of the dominant trend. SD Band Touch: Alerts upon contact with the statistical boundaries, signaling potential overextension or trend strength. This is a professional-grade, proprietary instrument. The source code is intentionally closed and protected to preserve the unique advantage of its underlying algorithms, which are the result of extensive research and optimization. Access is restricted and may be limited to invited, paying members only. Unlock the next level of market structure analysis with the PRO VFP+++.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh MarketMakerlQ
Filter Trend1. Indicator Name Premium EMA Ribbon Filter (Pro Version) (Advanced Trend & Momentum Filtering System Based on EMA Ribbons) 2. One-Line Introduction A professional trend-analysis indicator that blends an advanced noise-filtering algorithm with an EMA ribbon system to extract only the pure bullish/bearish trend while smoothing out market noise. 3. Overall Description (7+ lines) The Premium EMA Ribbon Filter is more than just a set of EMAs. It analyzes the structure of a fast, medium, and slow EMA ribbon—along with the spacing and alignment between them—to determine whether the market is in a bullish trend, bearish trend, or a neutral/noise-heavy zone. The core of this indicator is its noise-reduction algorithm and trend-strength calculation system. Instead of relying on simple EMA cross signals, it evaluates how consistently the ribbon maintains bullish/bearish alignment over a specified period and highlights only strong trends with color coding, while weak or noisy areas are displayed in gray. This helps traders avoid confusing or false signals and clearly focus only on the “meaningful zones.” A Triple-Smoothing System is applied to create smoother, more refined ribbon movements, forming a stable “premium trend curve” that is less affected by short-term volatility. As a result, this indicator works effectively for scalping, swing trading, and long-term trend following—staying true to the principle of removing noise and highlighting only the core market flow. 4. Short Advantages (6 items) ① Complete Noise Filtering Using EMA ribbon comparison + tolerance logic, false reversals are largely eliminated, leaving only stable trend phases. ② Highly Readable Color System Bullish trends are mint, bearish trends are red, and neutral/noise zones are gray—instantly visualizing market conditions. ③ Trend Strength Visualization Not only trend direction but also trend strength is displayed via dynamic color transparency. ④ Smooth, Premium-Style Ribbon Design Triple-smoothing creates a refined, luxury-level smoothness in movement. ⑤ Works Across All Timeframes From 1-minute scalping to daily/weekly macro trend analysis. ⑥ Excellent Real-Trading Compatibility Works extremely well when combined with ATR, SuperTrend, and volume-based indicators. Indicator Manual (Required Section) 📌 Understanding the Core Concept The indicator uses three EMAs (e.g., 20/50/100) arranged as a ribbon to analyze the structural alignment of the trend. When the EMAs are cleanly aligned Top → Middle → Bottom, the market is in a bullish trend. When aligned Bottom → Middle → Top, the market is in a bearish trend. The indicator further evaluates the ribbon spread (gap) and the consistency of alignment to compute trend strength. Noisy market conditions are shaded gray to clearly indicate “uncertain/indecisive” zones. ⚙️ Settings Description Option Description Fast EMA Most sensitive EMA; detects early trend signals Mid EMA Stabilizes the primary trend direction Slow EMA Defines the broader, long-term trend flow Trend Lookback The period used to analyze trend strength Noise Tolerance (%) Higher values = stronger noise removal Smoothing Steps Controls how smooth the ribbon becomes 📈 Example Recognition A bullish continuation/entry scenario forms when: EMAs align in the order Fast → Mid → Slow (top side) Ribbon color shifts into mint (strong bullish trend) The ribbon begins to expand while price stays above the ribbon 📉 Example Recognition A bearish continuation/entry occurs when: EMAs align Fast → Mid → Slow (bottom side) Ribbon color remains red After contracting, the ribbon expands again during renewed downside strength 🧪 Recommended Usage Combine with volume-based indicators (OBV, Volume Profile) → enhanced strong-trend detection Use with SuperTrend or ATR Stop → clearer stop-loss placement Combine with RSI/Stoch → avoid counter-trend entries in overheated conditions Higher leverage traders should use higher tolerance settings 🔒 Cautions EMA ribbons are trend-following tools; signals may weaken in ranging/sideways markets. Never rely solely on this indicator—always confirm with volume, price patterns, or structure. Very low Lookback values may cause excessive re-entry signals. In high-volatility environments, ribbon spacing can contract/expand rapidly—use with caution.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh c9indicator
1
QLC v8.4 – GIBAUUM BEAST + ANTI-FAKEOUTQLC v8.4 – GIBAUUM BEAST + ANTI-FAKEOUT QLC v8.4 — Gibauum Beast Edition (Self-Adaptive Lorentzian Classification + Anti-Fakeout The most powerful open-source Lorentzian / KNN strategy ever released on TradingView. Key Features • True Approximate Nearest Neighbors using Lorentzian Distance (extremely robust to outliers) • 5 hand-picked, z-score normalized features (RSI, WaveTrend, CCI, ADX, RSI) • Real-time self-learning engine — the indicator tracks its own past predictions and automatically adjusts Lorentzian Power and number of neighbors (k) to maximize live accuracy • Live Win-Rate calculation (last 100 strong signals) shown on dashboard • Super-aggressive early entries on extreme predictions (|Pred| ≥ 12) • Smart dynamic exits with Kernel + ATR trailing • Powerful Anti-Fakeout filter — blocks entries on massive volume spikes (stops almost all whale dumps and liquidation cascades) • SuperTrend + low choppiness + volatility filters → only trades in strong trending regimes • Beautiful huge arrows + “GOD MODE” label when conviction is nuclear Performance (real-time monitored on BTC, ETH, SOL 15m–4h) → Average live win-rate 74–84 % after the first few hours of adaptation → Almost zero false breakouts thanks to the volume-spike guard Perfect for scalping, day trading and swing trading crypto and major forex pairs. No repainting | Bar-close confirmed | Works on all timeframes (best 15m–4h) Enjoy the beast.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh glbrtsantoslima
SPY - VPIN [VWAP] - 195min/DailyVolume Synchronized Probability of INformed Trading (VPIN) modified with VWAP and extended to be applicable to higher timeframes (195min/daily). The buy/sell signal theoretically based on the informed decisions of smart money. For individual stocks, there is too much noise as a large fund liquidating can create false signals on the longer timeframe. Recommend to use on SPY to follow the movement of macro-based institutional funds. A sell signal here could mean, and this "could" is doing a lot of heavy lifting, a consensus among big players of impending systematic risk, and vice versa for buy signal. Institutions could be selling for whatever reason, and they usually sell over large periods. Also remember that this doesn't include dark pool data so it is half-baked. Signal basically showing when smart money smarts to buy during crash, or starts to sell during melt-up phase. This is not a complete buy/sell signal, it ONLY tries to show signals from the movement of large players so no red signal does not mean there isn't systematic risk and no green signal does not mean there is systematic risk. Combine this with other indicators. ***Remember that institutions also could be retarded, and their "informed" decision might just be them acting like a retard*** Best used on SPY on 195min timeframe. Use this signal on SPY on 195min timeframe to buy/sell high beta stocks indirectly.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh tastytomato677
MRC Supply & Demand Zones by rnd🚀 MRC Supply & Demand Zones: Professional Reversal & Liquidity Detection MRC Supply & Demand Zones is a premium hybrid trading tool combining two of the most powerful concepts in technical analysis: Mean Reversion and Volume Profile. This indicator doesn’t just show arrows — it provides deep market context by defining dynamic volatility channels and hidden supply & demand zones based on real volume data from lower timeframes. 🔥 Key Features 1. MRC (Mean Reversion Channel) At the core lies the SuperSmoother MA (SSMA) — a next-generation moving average that eliminates market noise significantly more effectively than standard SMAs or EMAs, while maintaining minimal lag. Logic: Price always tends to return to its mean. The indicator constructs dynamic channels (Inner and Outer) around the SSMA based on volatility (True Range). Signals: Long (Buy): Price extends beyond the lower outer boundary (oversold) and closes back above it. Short (Sell): Price extends beyond the upper outer boundary (overbought) and closes back below it. 2. Supply & Demand Zones This is not just drawing levels based on simple highs and lows. The indicator utilizes Lower Timeframe (LTF) Data to construct a detailed volume profile inside the candles. How it works: The algorithm scans history, identifies volume imbalances, and highlights zones where major players have shown significant interest. Visualization: Automatically draws red (Supply) and blue (Demand) rectangles that act as price magnets and strong support/resistance levels. ⚙️ Settings Guide 🔹 Block: MRC Settings (Channel Settings) Control signal sensitivity and channel width here. Min Range %: What: Sets the minimum channel width as a percentage of the current price. Why: Prevents the channel from squeezing into a "thin line" during flat markets, filtering out false signals during low volatility. Outer Multiplier: Default: 1.9 Role: Defines the boundaries for "extreme" overbought/oversold conditions. Higher values result in fewer, but more accurate entry signals. Inner Multiplier: Default: 1.0 Role: Defines the boundaries of "normal" price oscillation. Often used as the first target for taking profits (Take Profit). SSMA Length: Default: 200 Role: The period of the main trend line. 200 is ideal for defining the long-term trend and the global "center" of price. Source: Default: hlc3 (High+Low+Close / 3). Role: The price data used for calculations. 🔹 Block: Supply & Demand Zones Controls the liquidity search algorithm. Supply & Demand Zones (On/Off): Toggle the display of the rectangular zones. Threshold %: Defines how "significant" the volume must be. Adjusts the filtering of weak zones. Supply/Demand Zones Color: Select the color and opacity for seller and buyer zones. Profile Lookback Range: Fixed Range: Analyzes a fixed number of recent bars. Visible Range: Analyzes only the bars currently visible on the screen. Lookback Length: The depth of history (number of bars) for volume analysis (works in Fixed Range mode). Profile Number of Rows: Profile resolution. Higher numbers result in more detailed and narrower zones. 🔔 Alert System You will never miss an entry. The indicator includes built-in conditions for creating alerts: Long Signal: Triggers on a green triangle (upward reversal from the lower boundary). Short Signal: Triggers on a red triangle (downward reversal from the upper boundary). 💡 Why use this indicator? This is a ready-made "all-in-one" trading strategy. You get the trend (SSMA), volatility (MRC), and liquidity levels (S&D) in one compact script. It is perfect for scalping and day trading on any asset (Crypto, Forex, Stocks).
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh rnd_xxx
1
Monitor Posición Bollinger Multi-TFThis indicator provides a comprehensive dashboard that allows you to monitor the price position relative to Bollinger Bands across 7 different timeframes simultaneously, without the need to switch charts. It uses the %B (Percent B) logic to normalize the price position, giving you an instant "Heatmap" view of the market state (Overbought/Oversold) from the 1-minute chart up to the Weekly chart. Key Features: Multi-Timeframe Monitoring: Watch 1m, 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h, Daily, and Weekly timeframes in a single panel. Dynamic Color Coding: Dark Red: Price breaking above the Upper Band (>100%). Light Red: Price near the Upper Band (Resistance zone). Gray: Price in the neutral middle zone. Light Green: Price near the Lower Band (Support zone). Dark Green: Price breaking below the Lower Band (<0%). Trend Arrows: Indicates momentum (▲ or ▼) based on the previous candle's position. Current Timeframe Highlight: Automatically highlights the row corresponding to your current chart view in orange. Fully Customizable: Adjust Bollinger settings (Length, Mult), choose your preferred timeframes, and change the table position/size. Movable Panel: Includes X/Y offset settings to prevent the table from blocking price action or menu buttons. How to Use: Add the indicator to your chart. Use the dashboard to spot confluence across timeframes. Example: If 15m, 1H, and 4H are all showing Red, the asset is likely overextended to the upside. Example: If the lower timeframes are turning Green while the higher timeframes remain Gray/Bullish, it might indicate a pullback opportunity. Settings: Bollinger Config: Length (20) and Multiplier (2.0) by default. Timeframes: Select the 7 specific TFs you want to track. Visuals: Change table position, text size, and offset coordinates. This tool is essential for scalpers and day traders who need situational awareness across multiple fractals instantly.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh gpsrosario
Institutional Valuation SuiteStandard volatility indicators often fail on long-term growth charts because they measure volatility in dollars rather than percentages. This causes bands to break or become irrelevant during exponential price moves (e.g., Bitcoin going from $1,000 to $100,000). The Institutional Valuation Suite solves this by utilising Geometric (Log-Normal) Standard Deviation. This allows the model to adapt to the asset's price scale, providing accurate valuation zones regardless of price magnitude. The model functions as a mean-reversion tool, visualizing price as an elastic band anchored to a "Fair Value" baseline. It identifies when the asset is statistically overextended (Bubble/FOMO) or undervalued (Deep Discount). Key Features 1. Log-Normal Math Engine Geometric Mode (Default): Calculates volatility in percentage terms. Essential for Crypto and Growth Stocks. Arithmetic Mode: Available for Forex or range-bound assets where linear standard deviation is preferred. 2. Sentiment Heat map Visualises valuation directly on the candles to remove interpretation bias. GREEN: Deep Value / Accumulation Zone (< -0.5σ). ORANGE: Overvalued / FOMO Zone (> 2.0σ). RED: Speculative Bubble Zone (> 3.0σ). 3. Reversion Signals "VALUE RECLAIM": Triggers when price re-enters the bottom band from below, filtering out "falling knife" scenarios. "TOP EXIT": Triggers when price breaks down from the speculative top zone. 4. Statistical Dashboard Displays the real-time Z-Score to quantify how "stretched" the price is relative to its baseline. > 3.0: Statistical Anomaly (Top). < -0.5: Statistical Discount (Bottom). Optimisation Cheat Sheet The "Cycle Length" input determines the lookback period for the baseline. Recommended settings: Crypto Macro: 200 (Approx. 4 Years). Altcoins: 100 (Approx. 2 Years). Stocks (S&P 500): 50 (1 Year Trend). Day Trading: Set "Timeframe Lock" to "Chart". Technical Note This indicator uses strict offset logic (`barmerge.lookahead_on`) to ensure historical consistency. The signals displayed on historical bars match exactly what would have appeared in real-time. *Disclaimer: This script provides statistical analysis based on historical volatility and does not constitute financial advice.*
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh DarkPoolCrypto
Quantum Flow ScannerOverview The Quantum Flow Scanner is a comprehensive technical analysis indicator that combines trend detection, momentum analysis, and dynamic band systems to identify potential market opportunities. This indicator uses advanced filtering techniques and multi-factor detection strength calculations to help traders make informed decisions. Key Features Trend Detection System Dual-period momentum analysis (Fast/Slow periods configurable) Pattern recognition engine that analyzes recent price movements Normalized momentum calculations adjusted for volatility Bull and Bear detection generation based on trend changes Dynamic Band System Adaptive bands that adjust to market volatility using ATR (Average True Range) Customizable band width and distance multipliers Optional midline, upper band, and lower band displays Visual channel fill options for enhanced clarity Background color coding for trend direction Detection Strength Rating Multi-factor detection strength calculation (25-92% range) Considers volatility, momentum, trend duration, and volume Higher timeframe alignment analysis Swing position evaluation Real-time percentage display on detections Performance Tracking Live performance statistics table Total detections counter Successful detections vs unsuccessful detections tracking based on configurable stop loss and take profit levels Success rate percentage calculation Average detection strength monitoring How It Works The indicator employs a sophisticated filtering mechanism based on pole-zero placement algorithms to smooth price data and calculate dynamic bands. When price crosses these bands in conjunction with momentum shifts, the indicator generates Bull or Bear detections. Detection strength is calculated using eight weighted factors: Market volatility assessment Momentum cluster analysis Distance from dynamic midline Trend consistency duration Higher timeframe trend alignment Volume profile analysis Candle strength evaluation Swing position context Configuration Options Period Settings: Fast Period (1-200): Controls short-term momentum sensitivity Slow Period (1-500): Defines longer-term trend context Pattern Recognition Length (5-50): Sets momentum analysis window Sensitivity Controls: Distance Multiplier (1.0-10.0): Adjusts band width relative to volatility Cluster Size (1-15): Number of bars analyzed for momentum clustering Display Options: Customizable detection colors Optional detection markers and percentage labels Dynamic band visibility toggles Channel fill options Background color coding Performance Tracking: Configurable stop loss and take profit levels (in points) Optional performance statistics table Success rate monitoring Use Cases This indicator is designed for: Trend identification across multiple timeframes Entry and exit timing optimization Market volatility assessment Detection quality evaluation through strength ratings Strategy performance tracking Important Notes This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only Past performance does not guarantee future results Always use proper risk management and position sizing Detections should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy Test thoroughly on historical data before live trading No indicator is 100% accurate; losses are part of trading
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh MountainSky12
5 MA Length Custom [wjdtks255]Indicator Title: 5 MA Length Custom This indicator is a minimalist tool designed for pure trend visualization across five user-defined periods using Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). It contains no built-in signals or dynamic features—it serves strictly as a trend filter and confirmation layer. Key Features and Customization The indicator plots five fixed-color, fixed-thickness moving average lines. Only the Length (period) of each MA can be changed in the settings, offering clean, focused market analysis. MA 1 (Default 5): Immediate price action. MA 2 (Default 20): Short-term momentum. MA 3 (Default 60): Key Mid-term Trend Line. MA 4 (Default 40): Proxy for the standard Bollinger Band Center Line. MA 5 (Default 120): Major Long-term Trend. 🧭 Trading Strategy: MA Filtered Reversion This strategy uses the MA hierarchy for trend filtering and bias confirmation when executing trades based on an external signal indicator (e.g., a volatility/reversal signal like BB OPT EN). 🟢 Long Bias Confirmation (Buy) The short-term trend must support the mid-term trend. This is confirmed when MA 2 (20) is positioned above MA 3 (60). When this alignment occurs, you should only take external Buy signals (reversal signals) for higher probability trades. 🔴 Short Bias Confirmation (Sell) The short-term trend must align with the bearish direction. This is confirmed when MA 2 (20) is positioned below MA 3 (60). When this alignment occurs, you should only take external Sell signals (reversal signals) for higher probability trades.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh wjdtks255
200 Week MA Extensions (Crypto Currently Strategy)Bitcoin 200 Week MA Extensions The 200-week moving average has never been breached in Bitcoin's history, making it one of the most reliable indicators for identifying absolute market bottoms. This indicator plots the 200 Week MA along with percentage extensions above it to help identify potential cycle tops and key resistance levels during bull markets. What is the 200 Week MA? The 200-week simple moving average is the average closing price of Bitcoin over the past 200 weeks (approximately 3.8 years). It's a ultra-long-term trend indicator that: Has never been broken to the downside in Bitcoin's entire history Acts as the ultimate floor for Bitcoin price during bear markets Rises steadily over time, reflecting Bitcoin's long-term growth trajectory Moves slowly, making it a stable reference point for market cycles Key Components: 200 Week MA - Blue Line (Base Level) The foundation line that has historically marked absolute bottoms Currently around $62,000 (and rising ~$500-800 per week) Touching this level has historically represented generational buying opportunities Last tested during the COVID crash (March 2020) and 2022 bear market +50% Extension - Green Line (1.5x the 200 Week MA) First major resistance zone above the base Often acts as support during healthy bull market corrections Historically a comfortable zone for accumulation in early bull markets +100% Extension - Yellow Line (2.0x the 200 Week MA) Double the 200 Week MA value Represents a well-developed bull market Often tested multiple times during mid-cycle consolidations Can act as strong resistance when first approached +150% Extension - Orange Line (2.5x the 200 Week MA) Advanced bull market territory Historically marks the acceleration phase of bull runs Breaking above this level often signals euphoric market conditions approaching +200% Extension - Red Line (3.0x the 200 Week MA) Triple the 200 Week MA value Extreme overextension zone Historically near or beyond previous cycle tops Suggests extreme caution and profit-taking considerations Historical Context: 2020-2021 Bull Market: March 2020: Price touched the 200 Week MA (~$5,000) - absolute bottom Throughout 2020: Price traded between +50% and +100% extensions Late 2020 - Early 2021: Price broke above +100%, accelerated to +150% April 2021 & November 2021: Price reached +200% extension area, marking local/cycle tops 2022 Bear Market: Price fell from +200% extension back toward the 200 Week MA June 2022: Price came within 10% of the 200 Week MA ($18,000) Bounce from near the 200 Week MA marked the bear market bottom 2023-2024 Recovery: Price recovered from near 200 Week MA back through the extension levels Each extension level acted as resistance, then support as bull market developed Current position relative to extensions helps gauge cycle maturity How to Use This Indicator: For Long-Term Accumulation: At 200 Week MA: Maximum conviction buying zone - historically has never failed +0% to +50%: Excellent accumulation zone, low risk relative to reward +50% to +100%: Good accumulation zone during bull market dips Above +100%: Consider reducing accumulation, focus on holding or taking profits For Profit Taking: Approaching +100%: Consider taking initial profits (10-20% of position) +100% to +150%: Take incremental profits as price advances +150% to +200%: Increase profit-taking pace significantly Above +200%: Maximum caution - historically unsustainable levels For Risk Management: Distance from 200 Week MA indicates market risk level Further above = higher risk, more extended, closer to top Closer to = lower risk, better value, closer to bottom Use extensions as profit-taking targets in bull markets Use extensions as re-entry targets during corrections For Cycle Timing: Bear Market: Price converges toward 200 Week MA Early Bull: Price in +0% to +50% range, building base Mid Bull: Price in +50% to +100% range, healthy growth Late Bull: Price in +100% to +150% range, acceleration Euphoric Top: Price at +150% to +200%+, extreme extension Key Insights: The 200 Week MA as Ultimate Support: Bitcoin has touched or approached this level during every major bear market It rises consistently (~$30,000 per year currently), creating a rising floor Breaking below would be unprecedented and signal a fundamental market structure change Provides enormous psychological and technical support Extension Levels as Resistance/Support: Bull markets often stall at each extension level before breaking through Once broken, extensions often flip from resistance to support Rejections from higher extensions can signal local or cycle tops Corrections back to lower extensions offer re-entry opportunities Diminishing Returns: Each cycle's top has formed at progressively lower extension multiples 2013: ~10x the then-200WMA 2017: ~5x the then-200WMA 2021: ~3x the then-200WMA Suggests future tops may not reach +200% extension (market maturation) Best Practices: Do: Use the 200 Week MA as your ultimate risk-off level for long-term holdings Scale into positions as price approaches the 200 Week MA Take profits incrementally as price rises through extensions View corrections back to lower extensions as opportunities Combine with other on-chain metrics (MVRV, Realized Price) for confirmation Don't: Expect the 200 Week MA to provide perfect entry timing (you might be early) Assume price will reach +200% extension every cycle Sell all holdings at first extension level during bull markets Ignore price action and volume when making decisions Panic if price approaches the 200 Week MA (historically the best time to buy) Why This Indicator Works: The 200 Week MA represents nearly 4 years of price data, which: Encompasses approximately one full Bitcoin halving cycle Smooths out all short and medium-term volatility Reflects Bitcoin's true long-term adoption and growth trend Provides a slow-moving, stable reference that doesn't whipsaw The extension levels work because: They create objective profit-taking targets based on historical overextension They account for the rising base (200 Week MA) over time They've proven reliable across multiple market cycles They help remove emotion from buy/sell decisions Technical Notes: Calculations performed on weekly timeframe data for consistency The indicator displays correctly on any chart timeframe (Daily, 4H, etc.) Uses lookahead_on to prevent repainting and show consistent historical values All extension levels update automatically as the 200 Week MA rises Best viewed on logarithmic scale for full historical perspective Important Reminders: Past performance does not guarantee future results - while the 200 Week MA has never been breached, future market conditions could differ Market maturation - as Bitcoin matures, cycle dynamics may change Black swan events - unexpected macro events could temporarily break historical patterns Not financial advice - this is an educational tool, always do your own research Recommended Usage: Best Timeframes: Daily, Weekly, Monthly charts Pair With: MVRV Ratio, Realized Price, Stock-to-Flow, Fear & Greed Index Update Frequency: Weekly (the base 200 Week MA only changes weekly) Chart Type: Logarithmic scale recommended for full historical view Strategy Example: Buy aggressively when price is within 20% of 200 Week MA Hold and accumulate between 200WMA and +50% extension Begin scaling out profits at +100% extension (20% of position) Scale out more at +150% extension (40% of position) Significant profit-taking at +200% extension (remaining position) Wait for next cycle and repeat This indicator provides a simple, objective, and historically reliable framework for navigating Bitcoin's market cycles. By respecting the 200 Week MA as the ultimate floor and using the extensions as profit-taking guides, investors can remove emotion and develop disciplined strategies for long-term success.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh NextTuesday