Machine Learning RSI [BackQuant]Machine Learning RSI
The Machine Learning RSI is a cutting-edge trading indicator that combines the power of Relative Strength Index (RSI) with Machine Learning (ML) clustering techniques to dynamically determine overbought and oversold thresholds. This advanced indicator adapts to market conditions in real-time, offering traders a robust tool for identifying optimal entry and exit points with increased precision.
Core Concept: Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI is a well-known momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, oscillating between 0 and 100. Typically, RSI values above 70 are considered overbought, and values below 30 are considered oversold. However, static thresholds may not be effective in all market conditions.
This script enhances the RSI by integrating a dynamic thresholding system powered by Machine Learning clustering, allowing it to adapt thresholds based on historical RSI behavior and market context.
Machine Learning Clustering for Dynamic Thresholds
The Machine Learning (ML) component uses clustering to calculate dynamic thresholds for overbought and oversold levels. Instead of relying on fixed RSI levels, this indicator clusters historical RSI values into three groups using a percentile-based initialization and iterative optimization:
Cluster 1: Represents lower RSI values (typically associated with oversold conditions).
Cluster 2: Represents mid-range RSI values.
Cluster 3: Represents higher RSI values (typically associated with overbought conditions).
Dynamic thresholds are determined as follows:
Long Threshold: The upper centroid value of Cluster 3.
Short Threshold: The lower centroid value of Cluster 1.
This approach ensures that the indicator adapts to the current market regime, providing more accurate signals in volatile or trending conditions.
Smoothing Options for RSI
To further enhance the effectiveness of the RSI, this script allows traders to apply various smoothing methods to the RSI calculation, including:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
Linear Regression (LINREG)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA)
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA)
Adaptive Linear Moving Average (ALMA)
T3 Moving Average
Traders can select their preferred smoothing method and adjust the smoothing period to suit their trading style and market conditions. The option to smooth the RSI reduces noise and makes the indicator more reliable for detecting trends and reversals.
Long and Short Signals
The indicator generates long and short signals based on the relationship between the RSI value and the dynamic thresholds:
Long Signals: Triggered when the RSI crosses above the long threshold, signaling bullish momentum.
Short Signals: Triggered when the RSI falls below the short threshold, signaling bearish momentum.
These signals are dynamically adjusted to reflect real-time market conditions, making them more robust than static RSI signals.
Visualization and Clustering Insights
The Machine Learning RSI provides an intuitive and visually rich interface, including:
RSI Line: Plotted in real-time, color-coded based on its position relative to the dynamic thresholds (green for long, red for short, gray for neutral).
Dynamic Threshold Lines: The script plots the long and short thresholds calculated by the ML clustering process, providing a clear visual reference for overbought and oversold levels.
Cluster Plots: Each RSI cluster is displayed with distinct colors (green, orange, and red) to give traders insights into how RSI values are grouped and how the dynamic thresholds are derived.
Customization Options
The Machine Learning RSI is highly customizable, allowing traders to tailor the indicator to their preferences:
RSI Settings : Adjust the RSI length, source price, and smoothing method to match your trading strategy.
Threshold Settings : Define the range and step size for clustering thresholds, allowing you to fine-tune the clustering process.
Optimization Settings : Control the performance memory, maximum clustering steps, and maximum data points for ML calculations to ensure optimal performance.
UI Settings : Customize the appearance of the RSI plot, dynamic thresholds, and cluster plots. Traders can also enable or disable candle coloring based on trend direction.
Alerts and Automation
To assist traders in staying on top of market movements, the script includes alert conditions for key events:
Long Signal: When the RSI crosses above the long threshold.
Short Signal: When the RSI crosses below the short threshold.
These alerts can be configured to notify traders in real-time, enabling timely decisions without constant chart monitoring.
Trading Applications
The Machine Learning RSI is versatile and can be applied to various trading strategies, including:
Trend Following: By dynamically adjusting thresholds, this indicator is effective in identifying and following trends in real-time.
Reversal Trading: The ML clustering process helps identify extreme RSI levels, offering reliable signals for reversals.
Range-Bound Trading: The dynamic thresholds adapt to market conditions, making the indicator suitable for trading in sideways markets where static thresholds often fail.
Final Thoughts
The Machine Learning RSI represents a significant advancement in RSI-based trading indicators. By integrating Machine Learning clustering techniques, this script overcomes the limitations of static thresholds, providing dynamic, adaptive signals that respond to market conditions in real-time. With its robust visualization, customizable settings, and alert capabilities, this indicator is a powerful tool for traders seeking to enhance their momentum analysis and improve decision-making.
As always, thorough backtesting and integration into a broader trading strategy are recommended to maximize the effectiveness!
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PDF Smoothed Moving Average [BackQuant]PDF Smoothed Moving Average
Introducing BackQuant’s PDF Smoothed Moving Average (PDF-MA) — an innovative trading indicator that applies Probability Density Function (PDF) weighting to moving averages, creating a unique, trend-following tool that offers adaptive smoothing to price movements. This advanced indicator gives traders an edge by blending PDF-weighted values with conventional moving averages, helping to capture trend shifts with enhanced clarity.
Core Concept: Probability Density Function (PDF) Smoothing
The Probability Density Function (PDF) provides a mathematical approach to applying adaptive weighting to data points based on a specified variance and mean. In the PDF-MA indicator, the PDF function is used to weight price data, adding a layer of probabilistic smoothing that enhances the detection of trend strength while reducing noise.
The PDF weights are controlled by two key parameters:
Variance: Determines the spread of the weights, where higher values spread out the weighting effect, providing broader smoothing.
Mean : Centers the weights around a particular price value, influencing the trend’s directionality and sensitivity.
These PDF weights are applied to each price point over the chosen period, creating an adaptive and smooth moving average that more closely reflects the underlying price trend.
Blending PDF with Standard Moving Averages
To further improve the PDF-MA, this indicator combines the PDF-weighted average with a traditional moving average, selected by the user as either an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) or Simple Moving Average (SMA). This blended approach leverages the strengths of each method: the responsiveness of PDF smoothing and the robustness of conventional moving averages.
Smoothing Method: Traders can choose between EMA and SMA for the additional moving average layer. The EMA is more responsive to recent prices, while the SMA provides a consistent average across the selected period.
Smoothing Period: Controls the length of the lookback period, affecting how sensitive the average is to price changes.
The result is a PDF-MA that provides a reliable trend line, reflecting both the PDF weighting and traditional moving average values, ideal for use in trend-following and momentum-based strategies.
Trend Detection and Candle Coloring
The PDF-MA includes a built-in trend detection feature that dynamically colors candles based on the direction of the smoothed moving average:
Uptrend: When the PDF-MA value is increasing, the trend is considered bullish, and candles are colored green, indicating potential buying conditions.
Downtrend: When the PDF-MA value is decreasing, the trend is considered bearish, and candles are colored red, signaling potential selling or shorting conditions.
These color-coded candles provide a quick visual reference for the trend direction, helping traders make real-time decisions based on the current market trend.
Customization and Visualization Options
This indicator offers a range of customization options, allowing traders to tailor it to their specific preferences and trading environment:
Price Source : Choose the price data for calculation, with options like close, open, high, low, or HLC3.
Variance and Mean : Fine-tune the PDF weighting parameters to control the indicator’s sensitivity and responsiveness to price data.
Smoothing Method : Select either EMA or SMA to customize the conventional moving average layer used in conjunction with the PDF.
Smoothing Period : Set the lookback period for the moving average, with a longer period providing more stability and a shorter period offering greater sensitivity.
Candle Coloring : Enable or disable candle coloring based on trend direction, providing additional clarity in identifying bullish and bearish phases.
Trading Applications
The PDF Smoothed Moving Average can be applied across various trading strategies and timeframes:
Trend Following : By smoothing price data with PDF weighting, this indicator helps traders identify long-term trends while filtering out short-term noise.
Reversal Trading : The PDF-MA’s trend coloring feature can help pinpoint potential reversal points by showing shifts in the trend direction, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at optimal moments.
Swing Trading : The PDF-MA provides a clear trend line that swing traders can use to capture intermediate price moves, following the trend direction until it shifts.
Final Thoughts
The PDF Smoothed Moving Average is a highly adaptable indicator that combines probabilistic smoothing with traditional moving averages, providing a nuanced view of market trends. By integrating PDF-based weighting with the flexibility of EMA or SMA smoothing, this indicator offers traders an advanced tool for trend analysis that adapts to changing market conditions with reduced lag and increased accuracy.
Whether you’re trading trends, reversals, or swings, the PDF-MA offers valuable insights into the direction and strength of price movements, making it a versatile addition to any trading strategy.
Savitzky-Golay Z-Score [BackQuant]Savitzky-Golay Z-Score
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is a powerful trading indicator that combines the precision of the Savitzky-Golay filter with the statistical strength of the Z-Score. This advanced indicator is designed to detect trend shifts, identify overbought or oversold conditions, and highlight potential divergences in the market, providing traders with a unique edge in detecting momentum changes and trend reversals.
Core Concept: Savitzky-Golay Filter
The Savitzky-Golay filter is a widely-used smoothing technique that preserves important signal features such as peak detection while filtering out noise. In this indicator, the filter is applied to price data (default set to HLC3) to smooth out volatility and produce a cleaner trend line. By specifying the window size and polynomial degree, traders can fine-tune the degree of smoothing to match their preferred trading style or market conditions.
Z-Score: Measuring Deviation
The Z-Score is a statistical measure that indicates how far the current price is from its mean in terms of standard deviations. In trading, the Z-Score can be used to identify extreme price moves that are likely to revert or continue trending. A positive Z-Score means the price is above the mean, while a negative Z-Score indicates the price is below the mean.
This script calculates the Z-Score based on the Savitzky-Golay filtered price, enabling traders to detect moments when the price is diverging from its typical range and may present an opportunity for a trade.
Long and Short Conditions
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score generates clear long and short signals based on the Z-Score value:
Long Signals : When the Z-Score is positive, indicating the price is above its smoothed mean, a long signal is generated. The color of the bars turns green, signaling upward momentum.
Short Signals : When the Z-Score is negative, indicating the price is below its smoothed mean, a short signal is generated. The bars turn red, signaling downward momentum.
These signals allow traders to follow the prevailing trend with confidence, using statistical backing to avoid false signals from short-term volatility.
Standard Deviation Levels and Extreme Levels
This indicator includes several features to help visualize overbought and oversold conditions:
Standard Deviation Levels: The script plots horizontal lines at +1, +2, -1, and -2 standard deviations. These levels provide a reference for how far the current price is from the mean, allowing traders to quickly identify when the price is moving into extreme territory.
Extreme Levels: Additional extreme levels at +3 and +4 (and their negative counterparts) are plotted to highlight areas where the price is highly likely to revert. These extreme levels provide important insight into market conditions that are far outside the norm, signaling caution or potential reversal zones.
The indicator also adapts the color shading of these extreme zones based on the Z-Score’s strength. For example, the area between +3 and +4 is shaded with a stronger color when the Z-Score approaches these values, giving a visual representation of market pressure.
Divergences: Detecting Hidden and Regular Signals
A key feature of the Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is its ability to detect bullish and bearish divergences, both regular and hidden:
Regular Bullish Divergence: This occurs when the price makes a lower low while the Z-Score forms a higher low. It signals that bearish momentum is weakening, and a bullish reversal could be near.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: This divergence occurs when the price makes a higher low while the Z-Score forms a lower low. It signals that bullish momentum may continue after a temporary pullback.
Regular Bearish Divergence: This occurs when the price makes a higher high while the Z-Score forms a lower high, signaling that bullish momentum is weakening and a bearish reversal may be near.
Hidden Bearish Divergence: This divergence occurs when the price makes a lower high while the Z-Score forms a higher high, indicating that bearish momentum may continue after a temporary rally.
These divergences are plotted directly on the chart, making it easier for traders to spot when the price and momentum are out of sync and when a potential reversal may occur.
Customization and Visualization
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score offers a range of customization options to fit different trading styles:
Window Size and Polynomial Degree: Adjust the window size and polynomial degree of the Savitzky-Golay filter to control how much smoothing is applied to the price data.
Z-Score Lookback Period: Set the lookback period for calculating the Z-Score, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity to short-term or long-term price movements.
Display Options: Choose whether to display standard deviation levels, extreme levels, and divergence labels on the chart.
Bar Color: Color the price bars based on trend direction, with green for bullish trends and red for bearish trends, allowing traders to easily visualize the current momentum.
Divergences: Enable or disable divergence detection, and adjust the lookback periods for pivots used to detect regular and hidden divergences.
Alerts and Automation
To ensure you never miss an important signal, the indicator includes built-in alert conditions for the following events:
Positive Z-Score (Long Signal): Triggers an alert when the Z-Score crosses above zero, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Negative Z-Score (Short Signal): Triggers an alert when the Z-Score crosses below zero, signaling a potential short opportunity.
Shifting Momentum: Alerts when the Z-Score is shifting up or down, providing early warning of changing market conditions.
These alerts can be configured to notify you via email, SMS, or app notification, allowing you to stay on top of the market without having to constantly monitor the chart.
Trading Applications
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is a versatile tool that can be applied across multiple trading strategies:
Trend Following: By smoothing the price and calculating the Z-Score, this indicator helps traders follow the prevailing trend while avoiding false signals from short-term volatility.
Mean Reversion: The Z-Score highlights moments when the price is far from its mean, helping traders identify overbought or oversold conditions and capitalize on potential reversals.
Divergence Trading: Regular and hidden divergences between the Z-Score and price provide early warning of trend reversals, allowing traders to enter trades at opportune moments.
Final Thoughts
The Savitzky-Golay Z-Score is an advanced statistical tool designed to provide a clearer view of market trends and momentum. By applying the Savitzky-Golay filter and Z-Score analysis, this indicator reduces noise and highlights key areas where the market may reverse or accelerate, giving traders a significant edge in understanding price behavior.
Whether you’re a trend follower or a reversal trader, this indicator offers the flexibility and insights you need to navigate complex markets with confidence.
Majors Rotation System [BackQuant]Majors Rotation System
Introducing BackQuant's Majors Rotation System, a comprehensive portfolio management tool for rotating among the major cryptocurrencies—BTC, ETH, and SOL. This system is designed to optimize returns by selecting the strongest-performing asset while avoiding periods of market weakness. It employs a long and cash-only strategy, meaning the system will only hold positions when market conditions are favorable, and will stay in cash during downtrends. Additionally, it incorporates a powerful regime filter to ensure the system is inactive during market-wide downturns.
This script is ideal for crypto traders looking to improve performance by dynamically allocating capital based on real-time performance metrics, rather than relying on a simple buy-and-hold strategy.
Key Features
Dynamic Asset Rotation: The system constantly evaluates the performance of BTC, ETH, and SOL, selecting the strongest asset based on a ratio matrix. This matrix compares the relative strength of each asset to one another, ensuring that your portfolio is always positioned in the cryptocurrency with the most momentum.
Long and Cash-Only Portfolio: This system only takes long positions or remains in cash. By avoiding short positions, it reduces exposure during market downturns. The built-in regime filter ensures the system only operates when the broader market (represented by the TOTAL crypto market cap) is trending up, offering additional protection against unfavorable market conditions.
Equity Tracking: The script provides a real-time visualization of portfolio equity compared to a buy-and-hold strategy. It displays the equity curve of the portfolio while allowing you to compare it against the hypothetical equity of holding BTC, ETH, or SOL individually (Buy and Hold).
Performance Metrics: In addition to equity visualization, the system provides detailed performance metrics, including:
Sharpe Ratio: Measures risk-adjusted returns.
Sortino Ratio: Focuses on downside risk.
Omega Ratio: Evaluates returns relative to risk.
Maximum Drawdown: The maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough.
These metrics allow traders to assess the efficiency of the rotation system compared to simply holding assets.
Visual Cues:
Painted Candles: The script provides a visual trend indicator by painting candles according to the trend of the selected chart, helping traders quickly identify momentum shifts.
Support for Multiple Assets: The system allows users to toggle between BTC, ETH, and SOL or view the entire portfolio at once. It displays key metrics for each asset and offers an intuitive way to understand which asset is currently outperforming.
Regime Filter: A key aspect of this system is the regime filter, which only allows trading in favorable market conditions. It uses a Universal TPI (Trend Performance Indicator) to evaluate whether the overall crypto market (TOTAL Market Cap) and key assets (BTC, ETH) are in a bullish trend. If the market is in a downtrend, the system will exit positions and move into cash.
Customizable Parameters: Users can customize several important aspects of the system:
Starting Date: Choose when the backtest or live trading begins.
Starting Capital: Set the initial capital for backtesting purposes.
Visualization Options: Toggle between base data, ratioed data, and equity plots. Users can also customize the line width and color settings for better chart clarity.
Adaptive Momentum Scoring: The system uses advanced indicators, which are not disclosed (proprietary) to assess the trend and momentum of the selected cryptocurrencies dynamically.
How the Rotation Works
The system uses a universal algorithm to calculate trend and momentum signals for BTC, ETH, and SOL. These signals are processed through a ratio matrix, which compares the performance of each asset against the others. Based on this comparison, the system identifies the strongest asset and allocates capital accordingly.
BTC, ETH, and SOL Scores: These scores represent the relative strength of each asset based on the universal algorithm. The system dynamically selects the asset with the highest score, rotating out of underperforming assets and into the top performer.
Allocation Decisions: The system determines whether to allocate capital to BTC, ETH, SOL, or Cash based on the scores. If none of the assets show strength, the system defaults to cash to protect the portfolio from market downturns.
Equity and Buy-and-Hold Comparisons
This script provides a side-by-side comparison of the portfolio’s equity curve and a buy-and-hold strategy:
Portfolio Equity: Shows the performance of the system as it rotates between BTC, ETH, and SOL.
Buy-and-Hold Equity: Displays how the portfolio would have performed if you simply held BTC, ETH, or SOL without trading.
These comparisons allow traders to see how the dynamic rotation system performs relative to a passive holding strategy.
Alerts and Visual Feedback
The system provides real-time alerts when asset allocations change, notifying traders when the system moves capital between assets or into cash. Additionally, the system offers detailed visual feedback, including:
Equity Curve Plots: Displays the equity curve of the portfolio and the individual assets.
Score Labels: Shows the strength scores for BTC, ETH, and SOL directly on the chart for easy monitoring.
Final Thoughts
The Majors Rotation System offers a powerful way to navigate the highly volatile crypto market by rotating between the strongest performing assets and staying in cash when conditions are unfavorable. With its advanced metrics, equity tracking, and built-in regime filter, this system is designed to optimize returns while minimizing risk.
Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI [BackQuant]Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI
Introducing BackQuant's Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI, a cutting-edge indicator that enhances the classic Relative Strength Index (RSI) by applying both a Savitzky-Golay filter and a median filter to provide smoother and more reliable signals. This advanced approach helps reduce noise and captures true momentum trends with greater precision. Let’s break down how the indicator works, the features it offers, and how it can improve your trading strategy.
Core Concept: Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with levels above 70 typically indicating overbought conditions and levels below 30 indicating oversold conditions. However, the standard RSI can sometimes generate noisy signals, especially in volatile markets, making it challenging to identify reliable entry and exit points.
To improve upon the traditional RSI, this indicator introduces two powerful filters: the Savitzky-Golay filter and a median filter.
Savitzky-Golay Filter: Smoothing with Precision
The Savitzky-Golay filter is a digital filtering technique used to smooth data while preserving important features, such as peaks and trends. Unlike simple moving averages that can distort important price data, the Savitzky-Golay filter uses polynomial regression to fit the data, providing a more accurate and less lagging result.
In this script, the Savitzky-Golay filter is applied to the RSI values to smooth out short-term fluctuations and provide a more reliable signal. By using a window size of 5 and a polynomial degree of 2, the filter effectively reduces noise without compromising the integrity of the underlying price movements.
Median Filter: Reducing Outliers
After applying the Savitzky-Golay filter, the median filter is applied to the smoothed RSI values. The median filter is particularly effective at removing short-lived outliers, further enhancing the accuracy of the RSI by reducing the impact of sudden and temporary price spikes or drops. This combination of filters creates an ultra-smooth RSI that is better suited for detecting true market trends.
Long and Short Signals
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI generates long and short signals based on user-defined threshold levels:
Long Signals: A long signal is triggered when the filtered RSI exceeds the Long Threshold (default set at 176). This indicates that momentum is shifting upward, and it may present a good buying opportunity.
Short Signals: A short signal is generated when the filtered RSI falls below the Short Threshold (default set at 162). This suggests that momentum is weakening, potentially signaling a selling opportunity or exit from a long position.
These threshold levels can be adjusted to suit different market conditions and timeframes, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator.
Customization and Visualization Options
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI comes with several customization options, enabling traders to tailor the indicator to their specific needs:
Calculation Source: Select the price source for the RSI calculation (default is OHLC4, but it can be changed to close, open, high, or low prices).
RSI Period: Adjust the lookback period for the RSI calculation (default is 14).
Median Filter Length: Control the length of the median filter applied to the smoothed RSI, affecting how much noise is removed from the signal.
Threshold Levels: Customize the long and short thresholds to define the sensitivity for generating buy and sell signals.
UI Settings: Choose whether to display the RSI and thresholds on the chart, color the bars according to trend direction, and adjust the line width and colors used for long and short signals.
Visual Feedback: Color-Coded Signals and Thresholds
To make the signals easier to interpret, the indicator offers visual feedback by coloring the price bars and the RSI plot according to the current market trend:
Green Bars indicate long signals when momentum is bullish.
Red Bars indicate short signals when momentum is bearish.
Gray Bars indicate neutral or undecided conditions when no clear signal is present.
In addition, the Long and Short Thresholds can be plotted directly on the chart to provide a clear reference for when signals are triggered, allowing traders to visually gauge the strength of the RSI relative to its thresholds.
Alerts for Automation
For traders who prefer automated notifications, the Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI includes built-in alert conditions for long and short signals. You can configure these alerts to notify you when a buy or sell condition is met, ensuring you never miss a trading opportunity.
Trading Applications
This indicator is versatile and can be used in a variety of trading strategies:
Trend Following: The combination of Savitzky-Golay and median filtering makes this RSI particularly useful for identifying strong trends without being misled by short-term noise. Traders can use the long and short signals to enter trades in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Reversal Trading: By adjusting the threshold levels, traders can use this indicator to spot potential reversals. When the RSI moves from overbought to oversold levels (or vice versa), it may signal a shift in market direction.
Swing Trading: The smoothed RSI provides a clear signal for short to medium-term price movements, making it an excellent tool for swing traders looking to capitalize on momentum shifts.
Risk Management: The filtered RSI can be used as part of a broader risk management strategy, helping traders avoid false signals and stay in trades only when the momentum is strong.
Final Thoughts
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI takes the classic RSI to the next level by applying advanced smoothing techniques that reduce noise and improve signal reliability. Whether you’re a trend follower, swing trader, or reversal trader, this indicator provides a more refined approach to momentum analysis, helping you make better-informed trading decisions.
As with all indicators, it is important to backtest thoroughly and incorporate sound risk management strategies when using the Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI in your trading system.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Kalman For Loop [BackQuant]Kalman For Loop
Introducing BackQuant's Kalman For Loop (Kalman FL) — a highly adaptive trading indicator that uses a Kalman filter to smooth price data and generate actionable long and short signals. This advanced indicator is designed to help traders identify trends, filter out market noise, and optimize their entry and exit points with precision. Let’s explore how this indicator works, its key features, and how it can enhance your trading strategies.
Core Concept: Kalman Filter
The Kalman Filter is a mathematical algorithm used to estimate the state of a system by filtering noisy data. It is widely used in areas such as control systems, signal processing, and time-series analysis. In the context of trading, a Kalman filter can be applied to price data to smooth out short-term fluctuations, providing a clearer view of the underlying trend.
Unlike moving averages, which use fixed weights to smooth data, the Kalman Filter adjusts its estimate dynamically based on the relationship between the process noise and the measurement noise. This makes the filter more adaptive to changing market conditions, providing more accurate trend detection without the lag associated with traditional smoothing techniques.
Please see the original Kalman Price Filter
In this script, the Kalman For Loop applies the Kalman filter to the price source (default set to the closing price) to generate a smoothed price series, which is then used to calculate signals.
Adaptive Smoothing with Process and Measurement Noise
Two key parameters govern the behavior of the Kalman filter:
Process Noise: This controls the extent to which the model allows for uncertainty in price changes. A lower process noise value will make the filter smoother but slower to react to price changes, while a higher value makes it more sensitive to recent price fluctuations.
Measurement Noise: This represents the uncertainty or "noise" in the observed price data. A higher measurement noise value gives the filter more leeway to ignore short-term fluctuations, focusing on the broader trend. Lowering the measurement noise makes the filter more responsive to minor changes in price.
These settings allow traders to fine-tune the Kalman filter’s sensitivity, adjusting it to match their preferred trading style or market conditions.
For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
The Kalman FL further enhances the effectiveness of the Kalman filter by using a for-loop scoring system. This mechanism evaluates the smoothed price over a range of periods (defined by the Calculation Start and Calculation End inputs), assigning a score based on whether the current filtered price is higher or lower than previous values.
Long Signals: A long signal is generated when the for-loop score surpasses the Long Threshold (default set at 20), indicating a strong upward trend. This helps traders identify potential buying opportunities.
Short Signals: A short signal is triggered when the score crosses below the Short Threshold (default set at -10), signaling a potential downtrend or selling opportunity.
These signals are plotted on the chart, giving traders a clear visual indication of when to enter long or short positions.
Customization and Visualization Options
The Kalman For Loop comes with a range of customization options to give traders full control over how the indicator operates and is displayed on the chart:
Kalman Price Source: Choose the price data used for the Kalman filter (default is the closing price), allowing you to apply the filter to other price points like open, high, or low.
Filter Order: Set the order of the Kalman filter (default is 5), controlling how far back the filter looks in its calculations.
Process and Measurement Noise: Fine-tune the sensitivity of the Kalman filter by adjusting these noise parameters.
Signal Line Width and Colors: Customize the appearance of the signal line and the colors used to indicate long and short conditions.
Threshold Lines: Toggle the display of the long and short threshold lines on the chart for better visual clarity.
The indicator also includes the option to color the candlesticks based on the current trend direction, allowing traders to quickly identify changes in market sentiment. In addition, a background color feature further highlights the overall trend by shading the background in green for long signals and red for short signals.
Trading Applications
The Kalman For Loop is a versatile tool that can be adapted to a variety of trading strategies and markets. Some of the primary use cases include:
Trend Following: The adaptive nature of the Kalman filter helps traders identify the start of new trends with greater precision. The for-loop scoring system quantifies the strength of the trend, making it easier to stay in trades for longer when the trend remains strong.
Mean Reversion: For traders looking to capitalize on short-term reversals, the Kalman filter's ability to smooth price data makes it easier to spot when price has deviated too far from its expected path, potentially signaling a reversal.
Noise Reduction: The Kalman filter excels at filtering out short-term price noise, allowing traders to focus on the broader market movements without being distracted by minor fluctuations.
Risk Management: By providing clear long and short signals based on filtered price data, the Kalman FL helps traders manage risk by entering positions only when the trend is well-defined, reducing the chances of false signals.
Alerts and Automation
To further assist traders, the Kalman For Loop includes built-in alert conditions that notify you when a long or short signal is generated. These alerts can be configured to trigger notifications, helping you stay on top of market movements without constantly monitoring the chart.
Final Thoughts
The Kalman For Loop is a powerful and adaptive trading indicator that combines the precision of the Kalman filter with a for-loop scoring mechanism to generate reliable long and short signals. Whether you’re a trend follower or a reversal trader, this indicator offers the flexibility and accuracy needed to navigate complex markets with confidence.
As always, it’s important to backtest the indicator and adjust the settings to fit your trading style and market conditions. No indicator is perfect, and the Kalman FL should be used alongside other tools and sound risk management practices for the best results.
BBPct FL Impulse [BackQuant]BBPct FL Impulse
Introducing BackQuant's BBPct FL Impulse — a powerful and unique trading indicator designed to detect impulse moves and exhaustion points in the market. This leading indicator combines Bollinger Band Percentage (BBPct) calculations with a for-loop system to generate clear long and short signals. Additionally, it plots support and resistance exhaustion levels directly on the chart, providing traders with a visual representation of key market levels.
The BBPct FL Impulse is designed for traders who want to anticipate price movements rather than react to lagging indicators. By utilizing the Bollinger Band Percentage, this indicator identifies moments when the price is pushing toward extremes, signaling the likelihood of impulse moves. It goes a step further by providing exhaustion levels where the market may reverse or pause, helping traders identify potential entries and exits.
Core Concept: Bollinger Band Percentage (BBPct)
The BBPct is the primary calculation driving this indicator. It measures where the price is relative to its Bollinger Bands, allowing traders to gauge overbought or oversold conditions. Bollinger Bands are a well-known tool used to define high and low points based on standard deviation from a moving average. The BBPct takes this one step further by showing how far the price is within the bands, as a percentage.
In this script, the BBPct is calculated using the closing price over a customizable BBPct Length (default set to 70) and a Multiplier that defines the width of the bands based on standard deviation. This helps detect when price pushes toward its upper or lower boundaries, indicating potential breakouts or pullbacks.
For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
The for-loop scoring system adds a layer of sophistication to this indicator. It evaluates the BBPct over a range of periods (defined by the Start and End parameters) and generates a score that measures the direction and strength of the price movement.
Long Signals: A long signal is triggered when the score surpasses the Long Threshold (default set at 40), indicating a strong bullish impulse.
Short Signals: A short signal (labeled as "Cash" in this script) is triggered when the score crosses under the Short Threshold (default set at -10), suggesting the price has lost momentum and a bearish move may be coming.
These signals are highlighted on the chart with green triangles for Long and red triangles for Cash, giving traders clear visual cues for potential buy and sell points.
Key Feature: Exhaustion Levels (Support and Resistance)
One of the standout features of this script is the automatic plotting of Exhaustion Support and Resistance Levels. These levels represent points in the market where the price is likely to exhaust its movement and potentially reverse.
Support is plotted when the price shows signs of bullish exhaustion (low price points).
Resistance is plotted when the price shows signs of bearish exhaustion (high price points).
This dynamic support and resistance system uses a custom function based on price swings, analyzing exhaustion patterns to detect significant levels. The indicator allows traders to visualize key market zones where potential reversals or slowdowns may occur, helping to refine trade entries and exits.
Customization & Visualization
This indicator comes with a range of customizable settings, giving traders full control over how the signals are generated and displayed on the chart:
Calculation Source: Choose the price data used for the BBPct calculation (default is the closing price).
BBPct Length: Set the lookback period for the BBPct calculation, adjusting how smooth or reactive the indicator is to price changes.
Multiplier: Adjust the multiplier for the Bollinger Band calculation, controlling how wide or narrow the bands are and thereby affecting sensitivity.
Thresholds for Signals: Customize the thresholds for long and short signals, allowing you to fine-tune the sensitivity to different market conditions.
Show Long and Cash Signals: Toggle the display of long and short signals on the chart.
Exhaustion Levels: Toggle the display of support and resistance levels, adjusting the length of swings and the thickness of the lines to suit your preferences.
Trading Applications
The BBPct FL Impulse indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders identify impulse moves and exhaustion points. Some of its key applications include:
Breakout Trading: By using the BBPct to detect when price moves toward the extremes of the Bollinger Bands, traders can anticipate potential breakouts and catch the beginning of strong price moves.
Reversal Trading: The exhaustion support and resistance levels provide key areas where price may reverse, allowing reversal traders to identify potential entries as the market shows signs of exhaustion.
Trend Following: The for-loop scoring system helps quantify the strength of price moves, enabling trend-following traders to stay in winning trades as long as the impulse remains strong.
Risk Management: By providing clear support and resistance levels, the indicator helps traders manage risk more effectively by highlighting zones where price may pause or reverse, allowing for better stop-loss placement.
Final Thoughts
The BBPct FL Impulse is an advanced indicator that combines the precision of Bollinger Band Percentage calculations with the power of a for-loop scoring system and dynamic exhaustion levels. Whether you're looking to trade breakouts, reversals, or trends, this indicator offers the tools to help you make informed decisions in the market.
As always, it's important to backtest the indicator and adapt it to your specific trading style and market. No indicator is infallible, and it should be used as part of a broader trading strategy that includes sound risk management practices.
Adaptive Gaussian MA For Loop [BackQuant]Adaptive Gaussian MA For Loop
PLEASE Read the following carefully before applying this indicator to your trading system. Knowing the core logic behind the tools you're using allows you to integrate them into your strategy with confidence and precision.
Introducing BackQuant's Adaptive Gaussian Moving Average For Loop (AGMA FL) — a sophisticated trading indicator that merges the Gaussian Moving Average (GMA) with adaptive volatility to provide dynamic trend analysis. This unique indicator further enhances its effectiveness by utilizing a for-loop scoring mechanism to detect potential shifts in market direction. Let's dive into the components, the rationale behind them, and how this indicator can be practically applied to your trading strategies.
Understanding the Gaussian Moving Average (GMA)
The Gaussian Moving Average (GMA) is a smoothed moving average that applies Gaussian weighting to price data. Gaussian weighting gives more significance to data points near the center of the lookback window, making the GMA particularly effective at reducing noise while maintaining sensitivity to changes in price direction. In contrast to simpler moving averages like the SMA or EMA, GMA provides a more refined smoothing function, which can help traders follow the true trend in volatile markets.
In this script, the GMA is calculated over a defined Calculation Period (default 14), applying a Gaussian filter to smooth out market fluctuations and provide a clearer view of underlying trends.
Adaptive Volatility: A Dynamic Edge
The Adaptive feature in this indicator gives it the ability to adjust its sensitivity based on current market volatility. If the Adaptive option is enabled, the GMA uses a standard deviation-based volatility measure (with a default period of 20) to dynamically adjust the width of the Gaussian filter, allowing the GMA to react faster in volatile markets and more slowly in calm conditions. This dynamic nature ensures that the GMA stays relevant across different market environments.
When the Adaptive setting is disabled, the script defaults to a constant standard deviation value (default 1.0), providing a more stable but less responsive smoothing function.
Why Use Adaptive Gaussian Moving Average?
The Gaussian Moving Average already provides smoother results than standard moving averages, but by adding an adaptive component, the indicator becomes even more responsive to real-time price changes. In fast-moving or highly volatile markets, this adaptation allows traders to react quicker to emerging trends. Conversely, in quieter markets, it reduces over-sensitivity to minor fluctuations, thus lowering the risk of false signals.
For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
The heart of this indicator lies in its for-loop scoring system, which evaluates the smoothed price data (the GMA) over a specified range, comparing it to previous values. This scoring system assigns a numerical value based on whether the current GMA is higher or lower than previous values, creating a trend score.
Long Signals: These are generated when the for-loop score surpasses the Long Threshold (default set at 40), signaling that the GMA is gaining upward momentum, potentially identifying a favorable buying opportunity.
Short Signals: These are triggered when the score crosses below the Short Threshold (default set at -10), indicating that the market may be losing strength and that a selling or shorting opportunity could be emerging.
Thresholds & Customization Options
This indicator offers a high degree of flexibility, allowing you to fine-tune the settings according to your trading style and risk preferences:
Calculation Period: Adjust the lookback period for the Gaussian filter, affecting how smooth or responsive the indicator is to price changes.
Adaptive Mode: Toggle the adaptive feature on or off, allowing the GMA to dynamically adjust based on market volatility or remain consistent with a fixed standard deviation.
Volatility Settings: Control the standard deviation period for adaptive mode, fine-tuning how quickly the GMA responds to shifts in volatility.
For-Loop Settings: Modify the start and end points for the for-loop score calculation, adjusting the depth of analysis for trend signals.
Thresholds for Signals: Set custom long and short thresholds to determine when buy or sell signals should be generated.
Visualization Options: Choose to color bars based on trend direction, plot signal lines, or adjust the background color to reflect current market sentiment visually.
Trading Applications
The Adaptive Gaussian MA For Loop can be applied to a variety of trading styles and markets. Here are some key ways you can use this indicator in practice:
Trend Following: The combination of Gaussian smoothing and adaptive volatility helps traders stay on top of market trends, identifying significant momentum shifts while filtering out noise. The for-loop scoring system enhances this by providing a numerical representation of trend strength, making it easier to spot when a new trend is emerging or when an existing one is gaining strength.
Mean Reversion: For traders looking to capitalize on short-term market corrections, the adaptive nature of this indicator makes it easier to identify when price action is deviating too far from its smoothed trend, allowing for strategic entries and exits based on overbought or oversold conditions.
Swing Trading: With its ability to capture medium-term price movements while avoiding the noise of short-term fluctuations, this indicator is well-suited for swing traders who aim to profit from market reversals or short-to-mid-term trends.
Volatility Management: The adaptive feature allows the indicator to adjust dynamically in volatile markets, ensuring that it remains responsive in times of increased uncertainty while avoiding unnecessary noise in calmer periods. This makes it an effective tool for traders who want to manage risk by staying in tune with changing market conditions.
Final Thoughts
The Adaptive Gaussian MA For Loop is a powerful and flexible indicator that merges the elegance of Gaussian smoothing with the adaptability of volatility-based adjustments. By incorporating a for-loop scoring mechanism, this indicator provides traders with a comprehensive view of market trends and potential trade opportunities.
It’s important to test the settings on historical data and adapt them to your specific trading style, timeframe, and market conditions. As with any technical tool, the AGMA For Loop should be used in conjunction with other indicators and solid risk management practices for the best results.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Two Pole Butterworth For Loop [BackQuant]Two Pole Butterworth For Loop
PLEASE read the following carefully, as understanding the underlying concepts and logic behind the indicator is key to incorporating it into your trading system in a sound and methodical manner.
Introducing BackQuant's Two Pole Butterworth For Loop (2P BW FL) — an advanced indicator that fuses the power of the Two Pole Butterworth filter with a dynamic for-loop scoring mechanism. This unique approach is designed to extract actionable trading signals by smoothing out price data and then analyzing it using a comparative scoring method. Let's delve into how this indicator works, why it was created, and how it can be used in various trading scenarios.
Understanding the Two Pole Butterworth Filter
The Butterworth filter is a signal processing tool known for its smooth response and minimal distortion. It's often used in electronic and communication systems to filter out unwanted noise. In trading, the Butterworth filter can be applied to price data to smooth out the volatility, providing traders with a clearer view of underlying trends without the whipsaws often associated with market noise.
The Two Pole Butterworth variant further enhances this effect by applying the filter with two poles, effectively creating a sharper transition between the passband and stopband. In simple terms, this allows the filter to follow the price action more closely, reacting to changes while maintaining smoothness.
In this script, the Two Pole Butterworth filter is applied to the Calculation Source (default is set to the closing price), creating a smoothed price series that serves as the foundation for further analysis.
Why Use a Two Pole Butterworth Filter?
The Two Pole Butterworth filter is chosen for its ability to reduce lag while maintaining a smooth output. This makes it an ideal choice for traders who want to capture trends without being misled by short-term volatility or market noise. By filtering the price data, the Two Pole Butterworth enables traders to focus on the broader market movements and avoid false signals.
The For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
In addition to the Butterworth filter, this script uses a for-loop scoring system to evaluate the smoothed price data. The for-loop compares the current value of the filtered price (referred to as "subject") to previous values over a defined range (set by the start and end input). The score is calculated based on whether the subject is higher or lower than the previous points, and the cumulative score is used to determine the strength of the trend.
Long and Short Signal Logic
Long Signals: A long signal is triggered when the score surpasses the Long Threshold (default set at 40). This suggests that the price has built sufficient upward momentum, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Short Signals: A short signal is triggered when the score crosses under the Short Threshold (default set at -10). This indicates weakening price action or a potential downtrend, signaling a possible selling or shorting opportunity.
By utilizing this scoring system, the indicator identifies moments when the price momentum is shifting, helping traders enter positions at opportune times.
Customization and Visualization Options
One of the strengths of this indicator is its flexibility. Traders can customize various settings to fit their personal trading style or adapt it to different markets and timeframes:
Calculation Periods: Adjust the lookback period for the Butterworth filter, allowing for shorter or longer smoothing depending on the desired sensitivity.
Threshold Levels: Set the long and short thresholds to define when signals should be triggered, giving you control over the balance between sensitivity and specificity.
Signal Line Width and Colors: Customize the visual presentation of the indicator on the chart, including the width of the signal line and the colors used for long and short conditions.
Candlestick and Background Colors: If desired, the indicator can color the candlesticks or the background according to the detected trend, offering additional clarity at a glance.
Trading Applications
This Two Pole Butterworth For Loop indicator is versatile and can be adapted to various market conditions and trading strategies. Here are a few use cases where this indicator shines:
Trend Following: The Butterworth filter smooths the price data, making it easier to follow trends and identify when they are gaining or losing strength. The for-loop scoring system enhances this by providing a clear indication of how strong the current trend is compared to recent history.
Mean Reversion: For traders looking to identify potential reversals, the indicator’s ability to compare the filtered price to previous values over a range of periods allows it to spot moments when the trend may be losing steam, potentially signaling a reversal.
Swing Trading: The combination of smoothing and scoring allows swing traders to capture short to medium-term price movements by filtering out the noise and focusing on significant shifts in momentum.
Risk Management: By providing clear long and short signals, this indicator helps traders manage their risk by offering well-defined entry and exit points. The smooth nature of the Butterworth filter also reduces the risk of getting caught in false signals due to market noise.
Final Thoughts
The Two Pole Butterworth For Loop indicator offers traders a powerful combination of smoothing and scoring to detect meaningful trends and shifts in price momentum. Whether you are a trend follower, swing trader, or someone looking to refine your entry and exit points, this indicator provides the tools to make more informed trading decisions.
As always, it's essential to backtest the indicator on historical data and tailor the settings to your specific trading style and market. While the Butterworth filter helps reduce noise and smooth trends, no indicator can predict the future with absolute certainty, so it should be used in conjunction with other tools and sound risk management practices.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Fourier For Loop [BackQuant]Fourier For Loop
PLEASE Read the following, as understanding an indicator's functionality is essential before integrating it into a trading strategy. Knowing the core logic behind each tool allows for a sound and strategic approach to trading.
Introducing BackQuant's Fourier For Loop (FFL) — a cutting-edge trading indicator that combines Fourier transforms with a for-loop scoring mechanism. This innovative approach leverages mathematical precision to extract trends and reversals in the market, helping traders make informed decisions. Let's break down the components, rationale, and potential use-cases of this indicator.
Understanding Fourier Transform in Trading
The Fourier Transform decomposes price movements into their frequency components, allowing for a detailed analysis of cyclical behavior in the market. By transforming the price data from the time domain into the frequency domain, this indicator identifies underlying patterns that traditional methods may overlook.
In this script, Fourier transforms are applied to the specified calculation source (defaulted to HLC3). The transformation yields magnitude values that can be used to score market movements over a defined range. This scoring process helps uncover long and short signals based on relative strength and trend direction.
Why Use Fourier Transforms?
Fourier Transforms excel in identifying recurring cycles and smoothing noisy data, making them ideal for fast-paced markets where price movements may be erratic. They also provide a unique perspective on market volatility, offering traders additional insights beyond standard indicators.
Calculation Logic: For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
The For Loop Scoring mechanism compares the magnitude of each transformed point in the series, summing the results to generate a score. This score forms the backbone of the signal generation system.
Long Signals: Generated when the score surpasses the defined long threshold (default set at 40). This indicates a strong bullish trend, signaling potential upward momentum.
Short Signals: Triggered when the score crosses under the short threshold (default set at -10). This suggests a bearish trend or potential downside risk.'
Thresholds & Customization
The indicator offers customizable settings to fit various trading styles:
Calculation Periods: Control how many periods the Fourier transform covers.
Long/Short Thresholds: Adjust the sensitivity of the signals to match different timeframes or risk preferences.
Visualization Options: Traders can visualize the thresholds, change the color of bars based on trend direction, and even color the background for enhanced clarity.
Trading Applications
This Fourier For Loop indicator is designed to be versatile across various market conditions and timeframes. Some of its key use-cases include:
Cycle Detection: Fourier transforms help identify recurring patterns or cycles, giving traders a head-start on market direction.
Trend Following: The for-loop scoring system helps confirm the strength of trends, allowing traders to enter positions with greater confidence.
Risk Management: With clearly defined long and short signals, traders can manage their positions effectively, minimizing exposure to false signals.
Final Note
Incorporating this indicator into your trading strategy adds a layer of mathematical precision to traditional technical analysis. Be sure to adjust the calculation start/end points and thresholds to match your specific trading style, and remember that no indicator guarantees success. Always backtest thoroughly and integrate the Fourier For Loop into a balanced trading system.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future .
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Kalman PSaR [BackQuant]Kalman PSaR
Overview and Innovation
The Kalman PSaR combines the well-known Parabolic SAR (PSaR) with the advanced smoothing capabilities of the Kalman Filter . This innovative tool aims to enhance the traditional PSaR by integrating Kalman filtering, which reduces noise and improves trend detection. The Kalman PSaR adapts dynamically to price movements, making it a highly effective indicator for spotting trend shifts while minimizing the impact of false signals caused by market volatility.
Please Find the Basic Kalman Here:
Kalman Filter Dynamics
The Kalman Filter is a powerful algorithm for estimating the true value of a system amidst noisy data. In the Kalman PSaR, this filter is applied to the high, low, and closing prices, resulting in a smoother and more accurate representation of price action. The filter’s parameters—process noise and measurement noise—are customizable, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator to market conditions. By reducing the impact of noise, the Kalman-filtered PSaR offers clearer signals for identifying trend reversals and continuations.
Enhanced PSaR Calculation
The traditional Parabolic SAR is a popular trend-following indicator that highlights potential entry and exit points based on price acceleration. In the Kalman PSaR, this calculation is enhanced by the Kalman-filtered prices, providing a smoother and more reliable signal. The indicator continuously updates based on the acceleration factor and max step values, while the Kalman filter ensures that sudden price spikes or market noise do not trigger false signals.
Min Step and Max Step: These settings control the sensitivity of the PSaR. The Min Step sets the initial acceleration factor, while the Max Step limits how fast the PSaR adapts to price changes, helping traders fine-tune the indicator’s responsiveness.
Optional Smoothing Techniques To further enhance the signal clarity, the Kalman PSaR includes an optional smoothing feature. Traders can choose from various smoothing methods, such as SMA, Hull, EMA, WMA, TEMA, and more, to reduce short-term fluctuations and emphasize the underlying trend. The smoothing period is customizable, allowing traders to adjust the indicator’s behavior according to their preferred trading style and timeframe.
Color-Coded Candle Painting The Kalman PSaR features color-coded candles that change according to the trend direction. When the price is above the PSaR, candles are painted green to indicate a long trend, and when the price is below the PSaR, candles are painted red to signal a short trend. This visual representation makes it easy to interpret market sentiment at a glance, improving decision-making speed during fast-moving markets.
Key Features and Customization
Kalman Filter Customization: The process noise and measurement noise parameters allow traders to adjust how aggressively the filter adapts to price changes, making it suitable for both volatile and stable markets.
Smoothing Options: A variety of moving average types, such as SMA, Hull, EMA, and more, can be applied to smooth the PSaR values, ensuring that the signal remains clear even in choppy markets.
Dynamic Trend Detection: The Kalman PSaR dynamically updates based on price movements, helping traders spot trend reversals early while filtering out false signals caused by short-term volatility.
Bar Coloring and PSaR Plotting: Traders can choose to color candles based on trend direction or plot the PSaR directly on the chart for additional visual clarity.
Practical Applications
Trend-Following Strategies: The Kalman PSaR excels in trend-following strategies by providing timely signals of trend changes. The dynamic nature of the indicator allows traders to capture significant price movements while avoiding market noise.
Reversal Identification: The indicator’s ability to filter out noise and provide smoother signals makes it ideal for identifying reversals in volatile markets.
Risk Management: By plotting clear stop levels based on the PSaR, traders can use this indicator to effectively manage risk, placing stop-loss orders at key points based on the trend direction.
Conclusion
The Kalman PSaR is a fusion of the classic Parabolic SAR and the Kalman filter, offering enhanced trend detection with reduced noise. Its customizable filtering and smoothing options, combined with dynamic trend-following capabilities, make it a versatile tool for traders seeking to improve their timing and signal accuracy. The adaptive nature of the Kalman filter, combined with the robust PSaR logic, helps traders stay on the right side of the market and manage risk more effectively.
Fisher Divergence Overlay [BackQuant]Fisher Divergence Overlay
You can find the other Fisher Script Here !
Overlay Adaptation The Fisher Divergence Overlay is a newly enhanced version of the original Fisher Transformation indicator, designed specifically to be plotted directly on price charts. This adaptation allows traders to visualize Fisher Transform signals, divergences, and trend shifts directly over the price action, offering a more intuitive way to monitor market trends and potential reversals without the need for separate indicator windows. The overlay structure is particularly useful for spotting divergences and shifts in momentum as they relate to key price levels.
Why Turn the Fisher into an Overlay?
By transforming the Fisher Divergence indicator into an overlay, traders gain a more direct view of the relationship between price movements and the Fisher Transformation's signals. Divergences and midline crossovers, key components of the Fisher strategy, can now be clearly seen relative to the current price action. The decision to integrate this functionality as an overlay allows for a cleaner and more insightful trading experience, helping traders make quicker, more informed decisions based on market dynamics.
Midline Cross Signals : The overlay makes it easy to see when the Fisher Transform crosses above or below the midline, a critical signal for potential trend reversals.
Divergence Signals : Both regular and hidden divergences are plotted directly over price bars, offering immediate visual confirmation of potential trend shifts.
Key Features of the Overlay Version
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA): The Fisher Transformation in this overlay version can be adapted using Kaufman’s Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA). This enhances the Fisher's responsiveness to current market volatility, smoothing out price data while maintaining the accuracy of trend signals.
Divergence Detection: The overlay includes both regular and hidden bullish and bearish divergence detection, with these divergences plotted directly on the price chart. This visual feedback makes it easier for traders to spot when the momentum of the Fisher Transform deviates from the actual price movement, often signaling potential reversals.
Dynamic Bar Coloring: The bars are color-coded based on either the Fisher trend or divergences, allowing traders to visually interpret market sentiment without additional analysis. Green bars signal an upward trend or bullish divergence, while red bars indicate a downward trend or bearish divergence.
Take Profit Hues: In conjunction with a normalized RSI, the overlay includes background hues for overbought and oversold conditions, providing additional context for exit points or potential reversals.
How to Use the Fisher Overlay Traders can use this overlay to streamline their workflow by having both the Fisher signals and price action in the same visual space. The key signals include:
Midline Cross Signals: A crossover of the Fisher Transform above the midline often indicates a shift toward bullish momentum, while a cross below suggests bearish momentum.
Divergences: Regular and hidden divergences, displayed directly on the chart, help traders identify moments when the momentum of the Fisher Transform is in contrast with price movements, signaling potential reversals.
RSI Confluence: Overbought and oversold signals, provided by the integrated RSI, give further insight into potential exhaustion points in the market, marked by background color changes on the chart.
Strategic Value of the Fisher Divergence Overlay
This overlay offers a streamlined, efficient way to interpret Fisher Transform signals, divergences, and confluence signals like RSI in real-time. The visual integration of these signals with price action enhances decision-making by providing immediate context, making it easier to spot high-probability trade setups.
Trend Confirmation: The overlay version helps confirm trends by visually aligning Fisher Transform signals with price levels. Traders can use this feature to strengthen their conviction before entering or exiting a trade.
Adaptability: With the option to use KAMA for adaptive price smoothing, this overlay remains responsive across different market environments, making it suitable for both trending and volatile markets.
Summary and Interpretation Tips
It enhances the traditional Fisher Transform with visual elements like divergence detection, RSI confluence, and midline cross signals. By overlaying these elements directly on the price chart, traders can quickly interpret key signals and make better trading decisions.
Use this indicator to identify trend shifts and potential reversals by focusing on midline crossovers and divergences. The visual cues—bar colors, divergence labels, and background hues—make it easy to spot actionable moments without cluttering the chart. For best results, combine this overlay with other trend-following tools to confirm your trades and maximize the utility of Fisher Transform signals.
Multi-Kernel CCI [BackQuant]Multi-Kernel CCI
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
It offers a fresh take on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) by integrating three distinct kernel functions—Exponential Decay, Gaussian Decay, and Cosine Decay—to create a more robust and adaptive momentum indicator. The use of these kernel functions allows the CCI calculation to be more responsive to price changes while smoothing out noise, providing traders with clearer trend signals and reducing false alerts in varying market conditions.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The core of this indicator is a multi-kernel approach to calculating the CCI, where three different decay kernels are applied to the price source. Each kernel provides a unique weighting mechanism for price data over a user-defined lookback period. The result is an average of these three kernel calculations, which serves as the foundation for the CCI calculation. This innovative approach makes the Multi-Kernel CCI more adaptive to different market conditions compared to traditional CCI calculations.
Exponential Decay Kernel: Applies an exponential weighting to recent price data, giving more importance to recent values while smoothing out older data.
Gaussian Decay Kernel: Weights data using a Gaussian function, ensuring smooth transitions between price points and reducing outliers' impact.
Cosine Decay Kernel: Utilizes a cosine function to apply a unique oscillating weight to the data, capturing cyclical market movements more effectively.
Adaptive Thresholding: Like the Adaptive Momentum Oscillator, this indicator adjusts its long and short thresholds dynamically using percentile-based calculations over historical CCI values.
Features and User Inputs The Multi-Kernel CCI offers a wide range of customization options for traders:
Kernel Calculation Length & Alpha: Traders can fine-tune the sensitivity of the CCI by adjusting the length of the kernel calculation and the alpha parameter for the Exponential Decay Kernel.
Adaptive Thresholds: The indicator provides percentile-based thresholds for both long and short signals, allowing traders to dynamically adjust their signals based on historical data.
Extreme Value Detection: This feature highlights extreme overbought and oversold conditions with customizable thresholds and background hues, visually aiding in identifying high-probability reversal zones.
Divergence Detection: The script includes a divergence detection feature, identifying regular and hidden bullish or bearish divergences to help traders spot potential trend reversals.
Practical Applications The Multi-Kernel CCI excels in markets where adaptive trend detection and momentum confirmation are critical. Traders can leverage this tool in several ways:
Adaptive Trend Following: The dynamically adjusting thresholds allow traders to capture trends more effectively while avoiding false signals during consolidations or choppy markets.
Reversal Detection: The multi-kernel approach ensures that reversals are detected with greater precision, particularly in volatile markets where traditional indicators might fail.
Divergence Identification: With built-in divergence detection, the indicator provides traders with an early warning of potential trend reversals, helping to time their entries and exits more effectively.
Advantages and Strategic Value The Multi-Kernel CCI offers several strategic advantages over traditional CCI indicators:
Multi-Kernel Smoothing:
By using multiple decay kernels, this CCI calculation is better suited to detect subtle changes in market momentum, reducing the impact of noise and providing clearer trend signals.
Dynamic Thresholds:
The adaptive percentile-based thresholds ensure that the indicator remains relevant across different market conditions, enhancing signal accuracy.
Visual and Analytical Aids:
With features like extreme value detection and divergence spotting, this indicator equips traders with powerful tools to confirm trend strength and identify potential reversals.
Summary and Usage Tips
The Multi-Kernel CCI is a highly versatile tool for traders seeking a more adaptive and robust momentum indicator. Its multi-kernel foundation provides smoother, more reliable signals, while the adaptive thresholds and divergence detection features help traders refine their entries and exits. The dynamic nature of this indicator makes it ideal for both trend-following and reversal strategies in volatile markets.
Traders should experiment with the kernel calculation length and alpha parameter to align the indicator's sensitivity with their specific trading style and market conditions. Additionally, the adaptive thresholds can be fine-tuned to ensure the CCI captures the most significant trend changes without being overly reactive to short-term fluctuations.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Adaptive Momentum Oscillator [BackQuant]Adaptive Momentum Oscillator
Please take time to read the following.
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The Adaptive Momentum Oscillator brings a new approach to momentum trading by introducing percentile-based adaptive thresholding. Unlike traditional momentum oscillators that rely on static overbought and oversold levels, this indicator adjusts dynamically to changing market conditions, providing more relevant signals in real-time. By combining percentile-based thresholds with a smoothed momentum oscillator, this tool allows traders to detect trend shifts with a higher degree of accuracy.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The core of this oscillator uses a lookback period to calculate the highest and lowest values of a smoothed price source (using a non-robust moving average). These values are then used to compute the oscillator, which normalizes the current price between the lookback high and low. The true innovation lies in its adaptive thresholds, which adjust based on percentiles of past oscillator values over a user-defined lookback period.
Lookback Period: The indicator checks the highest and lowest smoothed price over a set period, which becomes the basis for calculating momentum.
Percentile-Based Thresholds: The upper and lower thresholds are dynamically set at user-defined percentiles of historical momentum values, allowing the oscillator to adapt to the volatility and strength of the market.
Smoothing Length: Users can adjust the smoothing of the source input to fine-tune the sensitivity of the oscillator.
Features and User Inputs offer a host of customizable settings to suit different market conditions and trading strategies:
Adaptive Thresholding: Traders can set the lookback period and define the percentile levels for the upper (long) and lower (short) thresholds. This provides the ability to dynamically adjust to changing market conditions and avoid static thresholds that may become irrelevant over time.
Signal Line Customization: Users can configure the signal line width, colors for long, short, and neutral conditions, and choose whether to display adaptive threshold lines on the chart.
Candle Coloring: An optional feature allows traders to color the price bars based on the oscillator's trend signal, adding a visual confirmation layer for trend shifts.
Practical Applications
This oscillator is particularly effective in markets where the strength and direction of momentum are essential for identifying potential trend reversals or confirming ongoing trends. Traders can leverage the Adaptive Momentum Oscillator to:
Capture Adaptive Trends: The percentile-based thresholds adjust dynamically, ensuring that traders catch significant trends while filtering out market noise.
Avoid False Signals: By adapting to historical momentum levels, the oscillator reduces the risk of false breakouts or breakdowns, allowing for more reliable entries and exits.
Optimize Entries and Exits: With dynamically adjusting thresholds, the oscillator helps traders time their positions more effectively, minimizing the risk of getting caught in choppy or uncertain markets.
Advantages and Strategic Value
It offers a clear advantage over traditional static oscillators by continuously adjusting its sensitivity to market conditions. The adaptive percentile thresholds ensure that the indicator remains relevant, regardless of changes in volatility or market direction. This feature, combined with a customizable UI, makes the Adaptive Momentum Oscillator a powerful tool for traders looking to refine their momentum-based strategies with dynamic thresholds.
Summary and Usage Tips
The Adaptive Momentum Oscillator is a versatile tool for both trend-following and contrarian traders. Its dynamic nature allows for better alignment with current market conditions, while its user-friendly inputs offer extensive customization options. Traders are encouraged to experiment with the percentile-based threshold settings to find the optimal balance between signal sensitivity and noise reduction, particularly in fast-moving or volatile markets.
This indicator is best used in combination with other trend-confirmation tools, offering a dynamic layer to your trading system.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
DEMA Adaptive DMI [BackQuant]DEMA Adaptive DMI
PLEASE Read the following, knowing what an indicator does at its core before adding it into a system is pivotal. The core concepts can allow you to include it in a logical and sound manner.
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The DEMA Adaptive DMI blends the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) with the Directional Movement Index (DMI) to offer a unique approach to trend-following. By applying DEMA to the high and low prices, this indicator refines the traditional DMI calculation, enhancing its responsiveness to price changes. This results in a more adaptive and timely measure of market trends and momentum, providing traders with a more refined tool for capturing directional movements in the market.
Technical Composition and Calculation
At its core, the DEMA Adaptive DMI calculates the DEMA for both the high and low prices over a user-defined period. This dual application of DEMA serves to smooth out price fluctuations while retaining sensitivity to market movements. The DMI is then derived from the changes in these DEMA values, producing a set of plus and minus directional indicators that reflect the prevailing trend. Additionally, an Average Directional Index (ADX) is computed to measure the strength of the trend, with the entire process being dynamically adjusted based on the DEMA calculations.
DEMA Application:
The DEMA is applied to both high and low prices to reduce lag and provide a smoother representation of price action.
Directional Movement Calculation: The DMI is calculated using the smoothed price changes, resulting in plus and minus indicators that accurately reflect market trends.
ADX Calculation:
The ADX is computed to quantify the strength of the trend, offering traders insight into whether the market is trending strongly or is in a phase of consolidation.
Features and User Inputs The DEMA Adaptive DMI offers a range of customizable options to suit different trading styles and market conditions:
DEMA Calculation Period: Users can set the period for the DEMA calculation, allowing for adjustments based on the desired sensitivity.
DMI Length: The length of the DMI calculation can be adjusted, providing flexibility in how trends are measured.
ADX Smoothing Period: The smoothing period for the ADX can be customized to fine-tune the trend strength measurement.
Divergence Detection: Optional divergence detection features allow traders to spot potential reversals based on the DMI and price action.
Visualization options include static high and low levels to mark extreme DMI thresholds, the ability to color bars according to trend direction, and background hues to highlight overbought and oversold conditions.
Practical Applications
The DEMA Adaptive DMI is particularly effective in markets where trend strength and direction are crucial for successful trading. Traders can leverage this indicator to:
Identify Trend Reversals:
Detect potential trend reversals by monitoring the DMI and ADX in conjunction with divergence signals.
Trend Confirmation:
Use the DEMA-based DMI to confirm the strength and direction of a trend, aiding in the timing of entries and exits.
Strategic Positioning:
The indicator's responsiveness allows traders to position themselves effectively in fast-moving markets, reducing the risk of late entries or exits.
Advantages and Strategic Value
By integrating the DEMA with the DMI, this indicator provides a more adaptive and timely measure of market trends. The reduced lag from the DEMA ensures that traders receive signals that are closely aligned with current market conditions, while the dynamic DMI calculation offers a more accurate representation of trend direction and strength. This makes the DEMA Adaptive DMI a valuable tool for traders looking to enhance their trend-following strategies with a focus on precision and adaptability.
Summary and Usage Tips
The DEMA Adaptive DMI is a sophisticated trend-following indicator that combines the benefits of DEMA and DMI into a single, powerful tool. Traders are encouraged to incorporate this indicator into their trading systems for a more nuanced and responsive approach to trend detection and confirmation. Whether used for identifying trend reversals, confirming trend strength, or strategically positioning in the market, the DEMA Adaptive DMI offers a versatile and reliable solution for trend-following strategies.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Moving Average Z-Score Suite [BackQuant]Moving Average Z-Score Suite
1. What is this indicator
The Moving Average Z-Score Suite is a versatile indicator designed to help traders identify and capitalize on market trends by utilizing a variety of moving averages. This indicator transforms selected moving averages into a Z-Score oscillator, providing clear signals for potential buy and sell opportunities. The indicator includes options to choose from eleven different moving average types, each offering unique benefits and characteristics. It also provides additional features such as standard deviation levels, extreme levels, and divergence detection, enhancing its utility in various market conditions.
2. What is a Z-Score
A Z-Score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It is measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. For instance, a Z-Score of 1.0 means the value is one standard deviation above the mean, while a Z-Score of -1.0 indicates it is one standard deviation below the mean. In the context of financial markets, Z-Scores can be used to identify overbought or oversold conditions by determining how far a particular value (such as a moving average) deviates from its historical mean.
3. What moving averages can be used
The Moving Average Z-Score Suite allows users to select from the following eleven moving averages:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA)
Running Moving Average (RMA)
Linear Regression Curve (LINREG) (This script can be found standalone )
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA)
Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA)
Kalman Hull Moving Average (KHMA)
T3 Moving Average
Each of these moving averages has distinct properties and reacts differently to price changes, allowing traders to select the one that best fits their trading style and market conditions.
4. Why Turning a Moving Average into a Z-Score is Innovative and Its Benefits
Transforming a moving average into a Z-Score is an innovative approach because it normalizes the moving average values, making them more comparable across different periods and instruments. This normalization process helps in identifying extreme price movements and mean-reversion opportunities more effectively. By converting the moving average into a Z-Score, traders can better gauge the relative strength or weakness of a trend and detect potential reversals. This method enhances the traditional moving average analysis by adding a statistical perspective, providing clearer and more objective trading signals.
5. How It Can Be Used in the Context of a Trading System
In a trading system, it can be used to generate buy and sell signals based on the Z-Score values. When the Z-Score crosses above zero, it indicates a potential buying opportunity, suggesting that the price is above its mean and possibly trending upward. Conversely, a Z-Score crossing below zero signals a potential selling opportunity, indicating that the price is below its mean and might be trending downward. Additionally, the indicator's ability to show standard deviation levels and extreme levels helps traders set profit targets and stop-loss levels, improving risk management and trade planning.
6. How It Can Be Used for Trend Following
For trend-following strategies, it can be particularly useful. The Z-Score oscillator helps traders identify the strength and direction of a trend. By monitoring the Z-Score and its rate of change, traders can confirm the persistence of a trend and make informed decisions to enter or exit trades. The indicator's divergence detection feature further enhances trend-following by identifying potential reversals before they occur, allowing traders to capitalize on trend shifts. By providing a clear and quantifiable measure of trend strength, this indicator supports disciplined and systematic trend-following strategies.
No backtests for this indicator due to the many options and ways it can be used,
Enjoy
Fourier Adjusted Average True Range [BackQuant]Fourier Adjusted Average True Range
1. Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The FA-ATR leverages the principles of Fourier analysis to dissect market prices into their constituent cyclical components. By applying Fourier Transform to the price data, the FA-ATR captures the dominant cycles and trends which are often obscured in noisy market data. This integration allows the FA-ATR to adapt its readings based on underlying market dynamics, offering a refined view of volatility that is sensitive to both market direction and momentum.
2. Technical Composition and Calculation
The core of the FA-ATR involves calculating the traditional ATR, which measures market volatility by decomposing the entire range of price movements. The FA-ATR extends this by incorporating a Fourier Transform of price data to assess cyclical patterns over a user-defined period 'N'. This process synthesizes both the magnitude of price changes and their rhythmic occurrences, resulting in a more comprehensive volatility indicator.
Fourier Transform Application: The Fourier series is calculated using price data to identify the fundamental frequency of market movements. This frequency helps in adjusting the ATR to reflect more accurately the current market conditions.
Dynamic Adjustment: The ATR is then adjusted by the magnitude of the dominant cycle from the Fourier analysis, enhancing or reducing the ATR value based on the intensity and phase of market cycles.
3. Features and User Inputs
Customizability: Traders can modify the Fourier period, ATR period, and the multiplication factor to suit different trading styles and market environments.
Visualization : The FA-ATR can be plotted directly on the chart, providing a visual representation of volatility. Additionally, the option to paint candles according to the trend direction enhances the usability and interpretative ease of the indicator.
Confluence with Moving Averages: Optionally, a moving average of the FA-ATR can be displayed, serving as a confluence factor for confirming trends or potential reversals.
4. Practical Applications
The FA-ATR is particularly useful in markets characterized by periodic fluctuations or those that exhibit strong cyclical trends. Traders can utilize this indicator to:
Adjust Stop-Loss Orders: More accurately set stop-loss orders based on a volatility measure that accounts for cyclical market changes.
Trend Confirmation: Use the FA-ATR to confirm trend strength and sustainability, helping to avoid false signals often encountered in volatile markets.
Strategic Entry and Exit: The indicator's responsiveness to changing market dynamics makes it an excellent tool for planning entries and exits in a trend-following or a breakout trading strategy.
5. Advantages and Strategic Value
By integrating Fourier analysis, the FA-ATR provides a volatility measure that is both adaptive and anticipatory, giving traders a forward-looking tool that adjusts to changes before they become apparent through traditional indicators. This anticipatory feature makes it an invaluable asset for traders looking to gain an edge in fast-paced and rapidly changing market conditions.
6. Summary and Usage Tips
The Fourier Adjusted Average True Range is a cutting-edge development in technical analysis, offering traders an enhanced tool for assessing market volatility with increased accuracy and responsiveness. Its ability to adapt to the market's cyclical nature makes it particularly useful for those trading in highly volatile or cyclically influenced markets.
Traders are encouraged to integrate the FA-ATR into their trading systems as a supplementary tool to improve risk management and decision-making accuracy, thereby potentially increasing the effectiveness of their trading strategies.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Normalised T3 Oscillator [BackQuant]Normalised T3 Oscillator
The Normalised T3 Oscillator is an technical indicator designed to provide traders with a refined measure of market momentum by normalizing the T3 Moving Average. This tool was developed to enhance trading decisions by smoothing price data and reducing market noise, allowing for clearer trend recognition and potential signal generation. Below is a detailed breakdown of the Normalised T3 Oscillator, its methodology, and its application in trading scenarios.
1. Conceptual Foundation and Definition of T3
The T3 Moving Average, originally proposed by Tim Tillson, is renowned for its smoothness and responsiveness, achieved through a combination of multiple Exponential Moving Averages and a volume factor. The Normalised T3 Oscillator extends this concept by normalizing these values to oscillate around a central zero line, which aids in highlighting overbought and oversold conditions.
2. Normalization Process
Normalization in this context refers to the adjustment of the T3 values to ensure that the oscillator provides a standard range of output. This is accomplished by calculating the lowest and highest values of the T3 over a user-defined period and scaling the output between -0.5 to +0.5. This process not only aids in standardizing the indicator across different securities and time frames but also enhances comparative analysis.
3. Integration of the Oscillator and Moving Average
A unique feature of the Normalised T3 Oscillator is the inclusion of a secondary smoothing mechanism via a moving average of the oscillator itself, selectable from various types such as SMA, EMA, and more. This moving average acts as a signal line, providing potential buy or sell triggers when the oscillator crosses this line, thus offering dual layers of analysis—momentum and trend confirmation.
4. Visualization and User Interaction
The indicator is designed with user interaction in mind, featuring customizable parameters such as the length of the T3, normalization period, and type of moving average used for signals. Additionally, the oscillator is plotted with a color-coded scheme that visually represents different strength levels of the market conditions, enhancing readability and quick decision-making.
5. Practical Applications and Strategy Integration
Traders can leverage the Normalised T3 Oscillator in various trading strategies, including trend following, counter-trend plays, and as a component of a broader trading system. It is particularly useful in identifying turning points in the market or confirming ongoing trends. The clear visualization and customizable nature of the oscillator facilitate its adaptation to different trading styles and market environments.
6. Advanced Features and Customization
Further enhancing its utility, the indicator includes options such as painting candles according to the trend, showing static levels for quick reference, and alerts for crossover and crossunder events, which can be integrated into automated trading systems. These features allow for a high degree of personalization, enabling traders to mold the tool according to their specific trading preferences and risk management requirements.
7. Theoretical Justification and Empirical Usage
The use of the T3 smoothing mechanism combined with normalization is theoretically sound, aiming to reduce lag and false signals often associated with traditional moving averages. The practical effectiveness of the Normalised T3 Oscillator should be validated through rigorous backtesting and adjustment of parameters to match historical market conditions and volatility.
8. Conclusion and Utility in Market Analysis
Overall, the Normalised T3 Oscillator by BackQuant stands as a sophisticated tool for market analysis, providing traders with a dynamic and adaptable approach to gauging market momentum. Its development is rooted in the understanding of technical nuances and the demand for a more stable, responsive, and customizable trading indicator.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Kalman Hull RSI [BackQuant]Kalman Hull RSI
At its core, this indicator uses a Kalman filter of price, put inside of a hull moving average function (replacing the weighted moving averages) and then using that as a price source for the the RSI, very similar to the Kalman Hull Supertrend just processing price for a different indicator.
This also allows it to make it more adaptive to price and also sensitive to recent price action. This indicator is also mainly built for trend-following systems
PLEASE Read the following, knowing what an indicator does at its core before adding it into a system is pivotal. The core concepts can allow you to include it in a logical and sound manner.
1. What is a Kalman Filter
The Kalman Filter is an algorithm renowned for its efficiency in estimating the states of a linear dynamic system amidst noisy data. It excels in real-time data processing, making it indispensable in fields requiring precise and adaptive filtering, such as aerospace, robotics, and financial market analysis. By leveraging its predictive capabilities, traders can significantly enhance their market analysis, particularly in estimating price movements more accurately.
If you would like this on its own, with a more in-depth description please see our Kalman Price Filter.
OR our Kalman Hull Supertrend
2. Hull Moving Average (HMA) and Its Core Calculation
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) improves on traditional moving averages by combining the Weighted Moving Average's (WMA) smoothness and reduced lag. Its core calculation involves taking the WMA of the data set and doubling it, then subtracting the WMA of the full period, followed by applying another WMA on the result over the square root of the period's length. This methodology yields a smoother and more responsive moving average, particularly useful for identifying market trends more rapidly.
3. Combining Kalman Filter with HMA
The innovative combination of the Kalman Filter with the Hull Moving Average (KHMA) offers a unique approach to smoothing price data. By applying the Kalman Filter to the price source before its incorporation into the HMA formula, we enhance the adaptiveness and responsiveness of the moving average. This adaptive smoothing method reduces noise more effectively and adjusts more swiftly to price changes, providing traders with clearer signals for market entries or exits.
The calculation is like so:
KHMA(_src, _length) =>
f_kalman(2 * f_kalman(_src, _length / 2) - f_kalman(_src, _length), math.round(math.sqrt(_length)))
Use Case
The Kalman Hull RSI is particularly suited for traders who require a highly adaptive indicator that can respond to rapid market changes without the excessive noise associated with typical RSI calculations. It can be effectively used in markets with high volatility where traditional indicators might lag or produce misleading signals.
Application in a Trading System
The Kalman Hull RSI is versatile in application, suitable for:
Trend Identification: Quickly identify potential reversals or confirmations of existing trends.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Utilize the dynamic RSI thresholds to pinpoint potential entry and exit points, adapting to current market conditions.
Risk Management: Enhance trading strategies by integrating a more reliable measure of momentum, which can lead to improved stop-loss placements and exit strategies.
Core Calculations and Benefits
Dynamic State Estimation: By applying the Kalman Filter, the indicator continually adjusts its calculations based on incoming price data, providing a real-time, smoothed response to price movements.
Reduced Lag: The integration with HMA significantly reduces lag, offering quicker responses to price changes than traditional moving averages or RSI alone.
Increased Accuracy: The dual filtering effect minimizes the impact of price spikes and noise, leading to more accurate signaling for trades.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Gaussian Price Filter [BackQuant]Gaussian Price Filter
Overview and History of the Gaussian Transformation
The Gaussian transformation, often associated with the Gaussian (normal) distribution, is a mathematical function characteristically prominent in statistics and probability theory. The bell-shaped curve of the Gaussian function, expressing the normal distribution, is ubiquitously employed in various scientific and engineering disciplines, including financial market analysis. This transformation's core utility in trading and economic forecasting is derived from its efficacy in smoothing data series and highlighting underlying trends, which are pivotal for making strategic trading decisions.
The Gaussian filter, specifically, is a type of data-smoothing algorithm that mitigates the random "noise" of market price data, thus enhancing the visibility of crucial trend changes and patterns. Historically, this concept was adapted from fields such as signal processing and image editing, where precise extraction of useful information from noisy environments is critical.
1. What is a Gaussian Transformation?
A Gaussian transformation involves the application of a Gaussian function to a set of data points. The function is applied as a filter in the context of trading algorithms to smooth time series data, which helps in identifying the intrinsic trends obscured by market volatility. The transformation is characterized by its parameter, sigma (σ), representing the standard deviation, which determines the width of the Gaussian bell curve. The breadth of this curve impacts the degree of smoothing: a wider curve (higher sigma value) results in more smoothing, beneficial for longer-term trend analysis.
2. Filtering Price with Gaussian Transformation and its Benefits
In the provided Script, the Gaussian transformation is utilized to filter price data. The filtering process involves convolving the price data with Gaussian weights, which are calculated based on the chosen length (the number of data points considered) and sigma. This convolution process smooths out short-term fluctuations and highlights longer-term movements, facilitating a clearer analysis of market trends.
Benefits:
Reduces noise: It filters out minor price movements and random fluctuations, which are often misleading.
Enhances trend recognition: By smoothing the data, it becomes easier to identify significant trends and reversals.
Improves decision-making: Traders can make more informed decisions by focusing on substantive, smoothed data rather than reacting to random noise.
3. Potential Limitations and Issues
While Gaussian filters are highly effective in smoothing data, they are not without limitations:
Lag introduction: Like all moving averages, the Gaussian filter introduces a lag between the actual price movements and the output signal, which can delay decision-making.
Feature blurring: Over-smoothing might obscure significant price movements, especially if a large sigma is used.
Parameter sensitivity: The choice of length and sigma significantly affects the output, requiring optimization and backtesting to determine the best settings for specific market conditions.
4. Extending Gaussian Filters to Other Indicators
The methodology used to filter price data with a Gaussian filter can similarly be applied to other technical indicators, such as RSI (Relative Strength Index) or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). By smoothing these indicators, traders can reduce false signals and enhance the reliability of the indicators' outputs, leading to potentially more accurate signals and better timing for entering or exiting trades.
5. Application in Trading
In trading, the Gaussian Price Filter can be strategically used to:
Spot trend reversals: Smoothed price data can more clearly indicate when a trend is starting to change, which is crucial for catching reversals early.
Define entry and exit points: The filtered data points can help in setting more precise entry and exit thresholds, minimizing the risk and maximizing the potential return.
Filter other data streams: Apply the Gaussian filter on volume or open interest data to identify significant changes in market dynamics.
6. Functionality of the Script
The script is designed to:
Calculate Gaussian weights (f_gaussianWeights function): Generates the weights used for the Gaussian kernel based on the provided length and sigma.
Apply the Gaussian filter (f_applyGaussianFilter function): Uses the weights to compute the smoothed price data.
Conditional Trend Detection and Coloring: Determines the trend direction based on the filtered price and colors the price bars on the chart to visually represent the trend.
7. Specific Actions of This Code
The Pine Script provided by BackQuant executes several specific actions:
Input Handling: It allows users to specify the source data (src), kernel length, and sigma directly in the chart settings.
Weight Calculation and Normalization: Computes the Gaussian weights and normalizes them to ensure their sum equals one, which maintains the original data scale.
Filter Application: Applies the normalized Gaussian kernel to the price data to produce a smoothed output.
Trend Identification and Visualization: Identifies whether the market is trending upwards or downwards based on the smoothed data and colors the bars green (up) or red (down) to indicate the trend direction.
Volatility Adjusted Weighted DEMA [BackQuant]Volatility Adjusted Weighted DEMA
The Volatility Adjusted Weighted Double Exponential Moving Average (VAWDEMA) by BackQuant is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed for traders seeking to integrate volatility into their moving average calculations. This innovative indicator adjusts the weighting of the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) according to recent volatility levels, offering a more dynamic and responsive measure of market trends.
Primarily, the single Moving average is very noisy, but can be used in the context of strategy development, where as the crossover, is best used in the context of defining a trading zone/ macro uptrend on higher timeframes.
Why Volatility Adjustment is Beneficial
Volatility is a fundamental aspect of financial markets, reflecting the intensity of price changes. A volatility adjustment in moving averages is beneficial because it allows the indicator to adapt more quickly during periods of high volatility, providing signals that are more aligned with the current market conditions. This makes the VAWDEMA a versatile tool for identifying trend strength and potential reversal points in more volatile markets.
Understanding DEMA and Its Advantages
DEMA is an indicator that aims to reduce the lag associated with traditional moving averages by applying a double smoothing process. The primary benefit of DEMA is its sensitivity and quicker response to price changes, making it an excellent tool for trend following and momentum trading. Incorporating DEMA into your analysis can help capture trends earlier than with simple moving averages.
The Power of Combining Volatility Adjustment with DEMA
By adjusting the weight of the DEMA based on volatility, the VAWDEMA becomes a powerful hybrid indicator. This combination leverages the quick responsiveness of DEMA while dynamically adjusting its sensitivity based on current market volatility. This results in a moving average that is both swift and adaptive, capable of providing more relevant signals for entering and exiting trades.
Core Logic Behind VAWDEMA
The core logic of the VAWDEMA involves calculating the DEMA for a specified period and then adjusting its weighting based on a volatility measure, such as the average true range (ATR) or standard deviation of price changes. This results in a weighted DEMA that reflects both the direction and the volatility of the market, offering insights into potential trend continuations or reversals.
Utilizing the Crossover in a Trading System
The VAWDEMA crossover occurs when two VAWDEMAs of different lengths cross, signaling potential bullish or bearish market conditions. In a trading system, a crossover can be used as a trigger for entry or exit points:
Bullish Signal: When a shorter-period VAWDEMA crosses above a longer-period VAWDEMA, it may indicate an uptrend, suggesting a potential entry point for a long position.
Bearish Signal: Conversely, when a shorter-period VAWDEMA crosses below a longer-period VAWDEMA, it might signal a downtrend, indicating a possible exit point or a short entry.
Incorporating VAWDEMA crossovers into a trading strategy can enhance decision-making by providing timely and adaptive signals that account for both trend direction and market volatility. Traders should combine these signals with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques to develop a well-rounded trading strategy.
Alert Conditions For Trading
alertcondition(vwdema>vwdema , title="VWDEMA Long", message="VWDEMA Long - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
alertcondition(vwdema<vwdema , title="VWDEMA Short", message="VWDEMA Short - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
alertcondition(ta.crossover(crossover, 0), title="VWDEMA Crossover Long", message="VWDEMA Crossover Long - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
alertcondition(ta.crossunder(crossover, 0), title="VWDEMA Crossover Short", message="VWDEMA Crossover Short - {{ticker}} - {{interval}}")
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Kalman Hull Supertrend [BackQuant]Kalman Hull Supertrend
At its core, this indicator uses a Kalman filter of price, put inside of a hull moving average function (replacing the weighted moving averages) and then using that as a price source for the supertrend instead of the normal hl2 (high+low/2).
Therefore, making it more adaptive to price and also sensitive to recent price action.
PLEASE Read the following, knowing what an indicator does at its core before adding it into a system is pivotal. The core concepts can allow you to include it in a logical and sound manner.
1. What is a Kalman Filter
The Kalman Filter is an algorithm renowned for its efficiency in estimating the states of a linear dynamic system amidst noisy data. It excels in real-time data processing, making it indispensable in fields requiring precise and adaptive filtering, such as aerospace, robotics, and financial market analysis. By leveraging its predictive capabilities, traders can significantly enhance their market analysis, particularly in estimating price movements more accurately.
If you would like this on its own, with a more in-depth description please see our Kalman Price Filter.
2. Hull Moving Average (HMA) and Its Core Calculation
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) improves on traditional moving averages by combining the Weighted Moving Average's (WMA) smoothness and reduced lag. Its core calculation involves taking the WMA of the data set and doubling it, then subtracting the WMA of the full period, followed by applying another WMA on the result over the square root of the period's length. This methodology yields a smoother and more responsive moving average, particularly useful for identifying market trends more rapidly.
3. Combining Kalman Filter with HMA
The innovative combination of the Kalman Filter with the Hull Moving Average (KHMA) offers a unique approach to smoothing price data. By applying the Kalman Filter to the price source before its incorporation into the HMA formula, we enhance the adaptiveness and responsiveness of the moving average. This adaptive smoothing method reduces noise more effectively and adjusts more swiftly to price changes, providing traders with clearer signals for market entries or exits.
The calculation is like so:
KHMA(_src, _length) =>
f_kalman(2 * f_kalman(_src, _length / 2) - f_kalman(_src, _length), math.round(math.sqrt(_length)))
4. Integration with Supertrend
Incorporating this adaptive price smoothing technique into the Supertrend indicator further enhances its efficiency. The Supertrend, known for its proficiency in identifying the prevailing market trend and providing clear buy or sell signals, becomes even more powerful with an adaptive price source. This integration allows the Supertrend to adjust more dynamically to market changes, offering traders more accurate and timely trading signals.
5. Application in a Trading System
In a trading system, the Kalman Hull Supertrend indicator can serve as a critical component for identifying market trends and generating signals for potential entry and exit points. Its adaptiveness and sensitivity to price changes make it particularly useful for traders looking to minimize lag in signal generation and improve the accuracy of their market trend analysis. Whether used as a standalone tool or in conjunction with other indicators, its dynamic nature can significantly enhance trading strategies.
6. Core Calculations and Benefits
The core of this indicator lies in its sophisticated filtering and averaging techniques, starting with the Kalman Filter's predictive adjustments, followed by the adaptive smoothing of the Hull Moving Average, and culminating in the trend-detecting capabilities of the Supertrend. This multi-layered approach not only reduces market noise but also adapts to market volatility more effectively. Benefits include improved signal accuracy, reduced lag, and the ability to discern trend changes more promptly, offering traders a competitive edge.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
DEMA RSI Overlay [BackQuant]DEMA RSI Overlay
PLEASE Read the following, knowing what an indicator does at its core before adding it into a system is pivotal. The core concepts can allow you to include it in a logical and sound manner.
Anyways,
BackQuant's new trading indicator that blends the Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to create a unique overlay on the trading chart. This combination is not arbitrary; both the DEMA and RSI are revered for their distinct advantages in trading strategy development. Let's delve into the core components of this script, the rationale behind choosing DEMA and RSI, the logic of long and short signals, and its practical trading applications.
Understanding DEMA
DEMA is an enhanced version of the conventional exponential moving average that aims to reduce the lag inherent in traditional averages. It does this by applying more weight to recent prices. The reduction in lag makes DEMA an excellent tool for tracking price trends more closely. In the context of this script, DEMA serves as the foundation for the RSI calculation, offering a smoother and more responsive signal line that can provide clearer trend indications.
Why DEMA?
DEMA is chosen for its responsiveness to price changes. This characteristic is particularly beneficial in fast-moving markets where entering and exiting positions quickly is crucial. By using DEMA as the price source, the script ensures that the signals generated are timely and reflective of the current market conditions, reducing the risk of entering or exiting a trade based on outdated information.
Integrating RSI
The RSI, a momentum oscillator, measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between zero and 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. In this script, the RSI is calculated based on DEMA, which means it inherits the responsiveness of DEMA, allowing traders to spot potential reversals or continuation signals sooner.
Why RSI?
Incorporating RSI offers a measure of price momentum and market conditions relative to past performance. By setting thresholds for long (buy) and short (sell) signals, the script uses RSI to identify potential turning points in the market, providing traders with strategic entry and exit points.
Calculating Long and Short Signals
Long Signals : These are generated when the RSI of the DEMA crosses above the longThreshold (set at 70 by default) and the closing price is not above the upper volatility band. This suggests that the asset is gaining upward momentum while not being excessively overbought, presenting a potentially favorable buying opportunity.
Short Signals : Generated when the RSI of the DEMA falls below the shortThreshold (set at 55 by default). This indicates that the asset may be losing momentum or entering a downtrend, signaling a possible selling or shorting opportunity.
Logical Soundness
The logic of combining DEMA with RSI for generating trade signals is sound for several reasons:
Timeliness : The use of DEMA ensures that the price source for RSI calculation is up-to-date, making the momentum signals more relevant.
Balance : By setting distinct thresholds for long and short signals, the script balances sensitivity and specificity, aiming to minimize false signals while capturing genuine market movements.
Adaptability : The inclusion of user inputs for periods and thresholds allows traders to customize the indicator to fit various trading styles and timeframes.
Trading Use-Cases
This DEMA RSI Overlay indicator is versatile and can be applied across different markets and timeframes. Its primary use-cases include:
Trend Following: Traders can use it to identify the start of a new trend or the continuation of an existing trend.
Swing Trading: The indicator's sensitivity to price changes makes it ideal for swing traders looking to capitalize on short to medium-term price movements.
Risk Management: By providing clear long and short signals, it helps traders manage their positions more effectively, potentially reducing the risk of significant losses.
Final Note
We have also decided to add in the option of standard deviation bands, calculated on the DEMA, this can be used as a point of confluence rendering trading ranges. Expanding when volatility is high and compressing when it is low.
For example:
This provides the user with a 1, 2, 3 standard deviation band of the DEMA.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
