*SMT* = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. I'm Sorry, but you won't convince me that Bitcoin knows it has created a triangle and that it knows how to react from that? It does and will remember price levels, that's it. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward attacking where there is Liquidity (Equal Highs, Equal Lows, phantom Trendlines etc.) and Balance (Fair Value Gaps, Liquidity Voids.) That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
TLDR; Entry: 92.3-92.5 Stop Loss: (88.5-89.2 Depending on Broker and how much your willing to give up below the Bullish Order Block) Take Profit 1: 96.3-96.4 20-25% of profit removed here (Move SL to 90) Take Profit 2: 97.4-97.6 (Bulk of the trade off here up to 85%-98% of the trade, move stop into break even) Take Profit 3: 99.5-99.6 (127% Extension meets the Fair Value Gap Above the equal highs/Liquidity Line
On the Hourly it appears that after price had broker the structure of the lower dealing range, it retraced back down to the breaker of that range and continued up until it hit equal highs with the price before th major drop off. These equal high are creating artificial Liquidity meaning that most traders who see the equal highs automatically think "Resistance" It may be met with some resistance but smart money or Institutional traders know that there are retail traders that have their shorts sitting there with, most likely, a short stop loss.... Or a buy stop with a short stop loss. I see this everytime, The price will come trigger the buy stop people and to take out the SL of the people Shorting with a limit, then it falls more to take the buy stop traders SL out, then continue up to find an imbalance or liquidity. And there's an imbalance at exactly the 127% extension.If there's a slight chance that doesn't happen I do have multiple take profits set up, but more than likely this will be the scenario. I've seen play out so many times that I know there's players in the room with large amounts of money able to manipulate the charts right when they want to. If this doesn't Happen, I'LL be Surprised.
You're either trading with Smart Money Theory or your just burning your money money. Believe me, I've been there.
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