Analysis of gold price trend on Monday
Spot gold fluctuated slightly lower during the Asian session on Monday, currently around 2324. Gold prices rose and fell last Friday. Although a key US inflation report was basically in line with expectations, boosting hopes that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates before September, political uncertainty overshadowed this optimism, and US Treasury yields surged to a nearly three-week high, causing gold to fall after rising!
U.S. Treasury yields reversed earlier losses on Friday as uncertainty over the U.S. presidential election and French parliamentary elections offset a confidence boost from earlier data showing slowing U.S. inflation. Meanwhile, French yields rose on Friday as the first round of the general election is scheduled for Sunday, with polls suggesting a possible victory for France's far-right party.
The US Independence Day will make this an unusual week for economic data, with important releases compressed on either side of the holiday. On Monday, the market will receive the ISM manufacturing purchasing managers' index, followed by the Eurozone CPI flash reading and JOLTS job openings data on Tuesday. ECB President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will also speak at a central bank conference in Portugal.
Gold daily and weekly lines are running in a convergent triangle, but the daily and 4-hour lines appear to be consolidating at high levels for a little longer, which will limit the momentum of bulls. Although the hourly and 4-hour charts are in the upward channel, it can still be seen that they are not strong, so be careful of the need for a retracement at the beginning of the week. The support of the 2318 line needs to be paid attention to below. A breakthrough will increase the strength of the retracement! The upper resistance is 2339, and the operation is to sell high and buy low!
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2318-2320 long, stop loss 2310, target 2335-2345;
Short-term gold 2338-2340 short, stop loss 2349, target 2310-2320;
Note: The above strategy was updated on July 1. This strategy is an Asian trading strategy. Please pay attention to the validity period of the strategy release.
U.S. Treasury yields reversed earlier losses on Friday as uncertainty over the U.S. presidential election and French parliamentary elections offset a confidence boost from earlier data showing slowing U.S. inflation. Meanwhile, French yields rose on Friday as the first round of the general election is scheduled for Sunday, with polls suggesting a possible victory for France's far-right party.
The US Independence Day will make this an unusual week for economic data, with important releases compressed on either side of the holiday. On Monday, the market will receive the ISM manufacturing purchasing managers' index, followed by the Eurozone CPI flash reading and JOLTS job openings data on Tuesday. ECB President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will also speak at a central bank conference in Portugal.
Gold daily and weekly lines are running in a convergent triangle, but the daily and 4-hour lines appear to be consolidating at high levels for a little longer, which will limit the momentum of bulls. Although the hourly and 4-hour charts are in the upward channel, it can still be seen that they are not strong, so be careful of the need for a retracement at the beginning of the week. The support of the 2318 line needs to be paid attention to below. A breakthrough will increase the strength of the retracement! The upper resistance is 2339, and the operation is to sell high and buy low!
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2318-2320 long, stop loss 2310, target 2335-2345;
Short-term gold 2338-2340 short, stop loss 2349, target 2310-2320;
Note: The above strategy was updated on July 1. This strategy is an Asian trading strategy. Please pay attention to the validity period of the strategy release.
Trade aktif:
The rebound is weak and has now reached the lowest point of last Friday at 2319. First observe whether it can be supported before going long.
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Today gold is running according to my analysis chart
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Gold is moving according to the chart, and we have made a profit from going long
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