Bull Flag Formation: The chart indicates a bull flag pattern, a bullish continuation pattern that usually occurs after a strong uptrend (flagpole). The consolidation within the flag is typically a pause before the next upward move.
Trendlines: The yellow trendlines outlining the flag suggest that the price is currently testing the upper boundary of this consolidation range.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels 78.60%: This level is around 2431.637 (coincides with a 4HR LQZ), acting as a strong resistance zone.
61.80%: Around 2410.880, which the current price has just crossed, potentially indicating bullish momentum.
50.00%: Around 2393.940, served as a support level during the consolidation.
38.20%: Around 2372.760, another support level during the consolidation.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ) 4HR LQZ at 2431.637: A significant resistance zone that aligns with the 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level. This is a critical area to watch for potential price reaction.
4HR LQZ at 2349.449: A key support zone which held during the recent consolidation phase. Price Action
Current Price: At 2410.880, the price is approaching the critical resistance at the 4HR LQZ (2431.637).
Breakout Potential: If the price can break and hold above the 2431.637 level, it may confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, targeting higher liquidity zones.
Support Levels: The price needs to stay above the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level (2410.880) to maintain bullish momentum. A drop below could lead to further consolidation or a bearish reversal.
Daily Bull Flag Upper Trendline: The price nearing the upper trendline of the daily bull flag indicates potential breakout if breached. Lower Trendline: Support if the price pulls back.
Trading Strategy
Long Entry: Upon a confirmed breakout above the 4HR LQZ at 2431.637, with a potential target of the next daily liquidity zone at 2475.281. Use the 50.00% retracement level (2393.940) as a support for placing stop-loss to protect against downside risk.
Short Entry: If the price fails to break above the 4HR LQZ and shows bearish reversal signs, a short trade could be considered with a target back to the lower 4HR LQZ at 2349.449. Use the current price level (2410.880) as a resistance for stop-loss placement.
Risk Management: Utilize appropriate position sizing and risk management to account for volatility and potential price fluctuations.
Summary Bullish Outlook: If the price breaks above the 2431.637 level, indicating a continuation of the bull flag pattern, with targets at 2475.281 and beyond.
Bearish Outlook: If the price fails to break above 2431.637 and shows a reversal, potential downside targets include 2393.940 and 2349.449.
Monitoring the price action around these critical levels will be crucial in determining the next significant move for XAUUSD.
Help you better understand your personal risk tolerance
Guide you through emotionally charged decisions
Improve your overall trading confidence and performance
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.