Emas / Dollar A.S.
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MONDAY SELL SCENARIO (High Confidence Short)

101
๐Ÿ”ฅ Current Market Overview
๐Ÿ’ฒ Current Price: $2,936.260
๐Ÿš€ High of the Day (HOD): $2,938.050
๐Ÿ›‘ Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.016
๐Ÿ“‰ Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,940.010
๐Ÿ“Š Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,935.000
๐Ÿ”ป Institutional Support (S1): $2,925.104
๐Ÿ“‰ Deep Institutional Demand Zone: $2,920.283
๐Ÿ” Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis
โœ… $2,940 is acting as a key resistance level, with price failing to break above.
โœ… Large resting sell orders are positioned between $2,940-$2,950, confirming institutional supply.
โœ… Institutions are likely engineering a stop-hunt above $2,940 before a sharp move down.
โœ… Buyers absorbed liquidity at $2,925, suggesting strong institutional demand in that area.
โœ… A failure to sustain above $2,940 will confirm further downside movement.

๐Ÿ’ก Key Takeaways:

Institutions are selling into strength at $2,940, signaling distribution.
The previous rejection at $2,940 indicates liquidity traps to lure in late buyers before a sell-off.
If $2,938-$2,940 rejects again, expect downside momentum toward $2,925.
๐Ÿ“ˆ Technical Analysis โ€“ Momentum & Trend Indicators
โœ… Best Indicator Combination
โœ”๏ธ Fibonacci Retracement Levels:

38.2% Retracement: $2,937
50% Retracement: $2,944
61.8% Retracement: $2,949
๐Ÿ”ฅ $2,950 remains the final liquidity grab level before a drop.
โœ”๏ธ 50 EMA & 200 EMA Analysis:

Price is currently at the 50 EMA (~$2,935).
200 EMA near $2,942 acts as strong resistance.
โœ”๏ธ RSI (7):

Currently at 55, slightly bullish but near overbought zones.
A rejection at 60+ levels will confirm a bearish reversal.
โœ”๏ธ VWAP (Institutional Price Level):

VWAP is positioned around $2,938-$2,940.
Failure to sustain above VWAP signals institutional shorting.
โœ”๏ธ MACD (Momentum Shift Indicator):

Bullish momentum is fading, with MACD nearing a bearish crossover.
If the histogram turns red, expect a decline below $2,930.
๐Ÿ“Š Buy or Sell? What is the Best Trade Setup Now?
๐Ÿ”ฅ SELL SCENARIO (High Confidence Short)
๐Ÿ“Œ Reason: Institutional rejection at $2,940-$2,942 + liquidity grab confirmation.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Trade Execution Plan
๐Ÿš€ Entry: Sell at $2,938-$2,940 (VWAP Rejection Zone).
๐Ÿ›‘ Stop-Loss (SL): $2,946 (Above liquidity trap zone).
๐Ÿ“‰ Take-Profit (TP):
๐ŸŽฏ TP1: $2,935 (50 EMA support).
๐ŸŽฏ TP2: $2,930 (Dynamic support).
๐ŸŽฏ TP3: $2,925 (Institutional demand zone).
๐ŸŽฏ TP4: $2,920 (Liquidity grab zone).
๐Ÿ“Š Risk-Reward Ratio: 4:1 (Tight SL, high probability trade).
๐Ÿ”ฅ FINAL DECISION โ€“ BEST ENTRY POINT
๐Ÿšจ SELL between $2,938 - $2,940 with SL at $2,946 and TP at $2,925.
๐Ÿ“‰ Institutions are likely engineering a stop-hunt above $2,940 before a sharp sell-off.
๐Ÿš€ If price taps into $2,938-$2,940 and rejects, execute the short aggressively!
๐Ÿฆ Maximize R:R by keeping SL tight and aiming for institutional demand levels! ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ”ฅ

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