In the early European session, gold price (XAU/USD) is making efforts to confidently stay above the $1,980.00 mark, taking into account the delicate state of the USD Index. The precious metal has been receiving fresh support as market participants anticipate the USD Index to remain on a bearish trajectory, given the absence of recovery signals.
In the Asian market, S&P500 futures have recorded decent gains, reflecting a positive market sentiment. This optimistic sentiment stems from the recent clearance of the US debt-ceiling bill in Congress and a decrease in expectations of another interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed). These developments have contributed to an overall positive outlook among market participants.
Despite the positive market sentiment, the USD Index faces challenges and requires a catalyst to prevent further decline. The upcoming United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data will play a crucial role in determining the fate of the USD Index. The data's outcome has the potential to influence market dynamics and provide support to the USD Index if it exceeds expectations.
In terms of our idea, we anticipate a rebound on the resistance area with a subsequent push down in price towards the 1950.000 level. This analysis suggests a potential bearish movement for gold in the near term.
Overall, the gold market is currently influenced by various factors, including the delicate state of the USD Index, positive market sentiment following the debt-ceiling bill clearance, and the anticipation surrounding the upcoming US NFP data. These elements collectively shape the market's outlook and play a crucial role in determining the future trajectory of gold prices.