OANDA

Gold into Bearish Territory

OANDA:XAUUSD   Emas / Dollar A.S.
Gold has been at risk of a bearish move for a number of weeks but a dollar breakout tipped it over the edge on Thursday.

The dollar index formed an inverse head and shoulders in recent weeks and a break above 91 took out the neckline, which could be a bullish development in the near-term for the greenback.

This is naturally bad news for the yellow metal, which had been struggling to generate much upside momentum in the first place and a move below $1,800 and the 200/233 day SMA is a further warning of tough times ahead.

A break below $1,765 could see support tested around $1,750, with the next major support level below then being $1,700.

We could see a pullback in the dollar after the breakout but it would take something significant to change the near-term outlook.

Rising US yields have driven these moves supported by the economic data. The jobs report was a setback but it will take a lot more to cast doubt on the recovery. Especially against the backdrop of an impending massive stimulus package.

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