XAUUSD : Comment on USD and Gold exchange rate pairs
Diupdate
Investors will be waiting for economic data with a big impact on the US next week: core PCE data - the Fed's favorite inflation measure.
Core PCE is forecast to increase 0.4% in January, pushing the annual figure down from 2.9% to 2.7%. However, traders should not be surprised if these numbers suddenly increase considering previous CPI and PPI figures.
Persistent price pressures in the economy, coupled with solid employment and hot wage growth, could force the Fed to delay easing to the second half of the year. Such a scenario could push interest rate expectations in a more hawkish direction compared to the current situation.
Higher interest rates for longer could push up US government bond yields in the coming weeks - an outcome that could benefit the USD. In this case, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs will have difficulty trending up in the short term. Gold prices may also come under pressure.
Gold rose slightly on Thursday but hit a hurdle at around $2,030. A rally above this level could push the price towards $2,065.
On the other hand, if sentiment reverses and prices start to decline, support appears at $2,005, near the 100-day SMA. After that, the price target will move down to $1,990, followed by $1,995.
Core PCE is forecast to increase 0.4% in January, pushing the annual figure down from 2.9% to 2.7%. However, traders should not be surprised if these numbers suddenly increase considering previous CPI and PPI figures.
Persistent price pressures in the economy, coupled with solid employment and hot wage growth, could force the Fed to delay easing to the second half of the year. Such a scenario could push interest rate expectations in a more hawkish direction compared to the current situation.
Higher interest rates for longer could push up US government bond yields in the coming weeks - an outcome that could benefit the USD. In this case, the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs will have difficulty trending up in the short term. Gold prices may also come under pressure.
Gold rose slightly on Thursday but hit a hurdle at around $2,030. A rally above this level could push the price towards $2,065.
On the other hand, if sentiment reverses and prices start to decline, support appears at $2,005, near the 100-day SMA. After that, the price target will move down to $1,990, followed by $1,995.
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