XAU/USD 21 October 2024 Intraday Analysis

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Analysis and bias remain unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2024.

Price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS.

Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge.

The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs).

Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line.

At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action.

H4 Chart: cuplikan

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price has continued to surge, driven by a softer stance from the Fed and increasing geopolitical tensions.

Since the last analysis, price has printed a BOS followed by a series of bullish iBOS’.

The internal range of iBOS has narrowed, with price now targeting the weak internal high after reacting from the M15 demand zone.

Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the weak internal high.

M15 Chart: cuplikan
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