Gold: still targeting the $3K

Regardless of a short pull-back during the previous week, the price of gold is clearly on its path toward the 3K level. There are several factors which impact the market uncertainty at this moment, in which sense, investors will inevitably seek the safe-haven assets to invest. There is fear of trade tariffs, which are very active on the market and its impact on future US economic growth. Then, inflation fears pushed the US equity market more than 1,7% toward the down side on Friday. The posted Michigan Consumer Sentiment data are showing the highest five year inflation expectations since 1995, of 3,5%. This was a signal to markets that the Fed would have to keep interest rates at the higher level for a longer period of time. Overall, analysts are in agreement that fundamentals for gold remain solid.

The price of gold reached another all time highest level during the previous week, at the level of $2.951. The RSI continues to hold at strongly overbought territory since the beginning of February. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend. Potential cross is currently not in store.

The US PCE data will be posted on Friday. In this sense, hold on for another volatile end of the week. Whether this will be the moment for the 3K target for gold, no one can say with certainty. The price of gold is currently moving in an uncharted territory, in which sense, everything is possible. On this path, a small correction is also possible, but taking into account current sentiment, a stronger correction should not be expected. Now, the 3K could be a game changer, if we take into account a larger time frame on a daily chart and highs achieved in April and October 2024. This level should be watched closely.