Gold Analysis November 11
Diupdate
Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices held firm around the $2,672-$2,670 range as they entered the European session on Monday, looking vulnerable to extending their recent pullback from an all-time high hit on October 31. The US dollar (USD) remained slightly below a four-month peak hit last Thursday amid optimism over Donald Trump’s expected expansionary policies, becoming the main factor weighing on the commodity for the second straight day.
In the meantime, investors appear to believe that Trump’s policies could boost economic growth and boost inflation, while limiting the Federal Reserve’s ability to ease aggressively. This has helped keep US Treasury yields high and contributed to outflows from non-yielding gold. However, a lighter risk appetite could limit losses for the safe-haven XAU/USD as traders await US consumer inflation data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech later this week.
Technical Analysis
The key breakout zone of 2663-2665 acts as immediate support in the European session on Monday. When this zone is broken, we will not buy half and wait for a retest to sell the breakout to the 2643 zone. When the price bounces strongly from the 2670 zone, the trend is that we will wait to buy when there are Dow breakout points. Our targets are around the 2706 and 2726 zones for SELL plans.
Gold prices held firm around the $2,672-$2,670 range as they entered the European session on Monday, looking vulnerable to extending their recent pullback from an all-time high hit on October 31. The US dollar (USD) remained slightly below a four-month peak hit last Thursday amid optimism over Donald Trump’s expected expansionary policies, becoming the main factor weighing on the commodity for the second straight day.
In the meantime, investors appear to believe that Trump’s policies could boost economic growth and boost inflation, while limiting the Federal Reserve’s ability to ease aggressively. This has helped keep US Treasury yields high and contributed to outflows from non-yielding gold. However, a lighter risk appetite could limit losses for the safe-haven XAU/USD as traders await US consumer inflation data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech later this week.
Technical Analysis
The key breakout zone of 2663-2665 acts as immediate support in the European session on Monday. When this zone is broken, we will not buy half and wait for a retest to sell the breakout to the 2643 zone. When the price bounces strongly from the 2670 zone, the trend is that we will wait to buy when there are Dow breakout points. Our targets are around the 2706 and 2726 zones for SELL plans.
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Gold price struggles to lure buyers amid elevated US bond yields, bullish USD
Gold price hangs near a one-month low touched on Monday and seems vulnerable below the 50-day SMA. Expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump's expansionary policy will boost inflation and force the Fed to delay its easing cycle remain supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields. This favors the USD bulls and validates the negative outlook for the XAU/USD.
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