May of last year, I predicted 10-12 months before the inversion would match the time-frame of inversion and un-inversion seen back in 08. Obviously, the catalyst I did not predict, but the underlying fundamentals were there and 12 months later, we are yet to technically be in a recession. Keep in mind, we need 8 months of data to print for GDP until the quants and macro funds can classify us in a recession.
The original prediction that came to fruition 12-months later is on a personal blog site. Pm me if you would like more details, but I won't advertise the link here, nor do I care to. For those that are curiousu what I saw, and how i was able to come to this prediction, I'm happy to explain it--Cheers,
17:19:40 (UTC)
Wed May 27, 2020