2024-12-04 美股三大指數 - 日內交易分析

Diupdate
Bias: Short
支持論點
  • 價格daily連續多日向上拉升,是否有短線回測的機會
    cuplikan

潛在風險
  • HTF bullish momentum

盤前走勢與預期分析
  • 價格早盤向上拉升,Nas100&SPX突破歷史高點,持續向上走升
  • US30目前維持上緣區間震盪(44800 - 45000)
  • 今天等待23點數據公布後,觀察價格是否有空的機會
Trade aktif
short on SPX
潛在看價格創高後,短線上的回測
但仍舊留意在HTF我們仍在多方趨勢
Catatan
cuplikan
價格收了很長的下影線,I don't like it
Nas100相較震盪有撐,large caps不弱
價格如果收上6074,gonna closed half to manage the loss
Catatan
cuplikan
價格收上6074,停損一半
Catatan
will see from here
if price hit our SL then it is what it is
cuplikan
Trading ditutup: stop tercapai
stopped out,it is what it is
we took the risk and accepted it
cuplikan
Catatan
這筆交易我們屬於T(test) trade,我們知道存在風險,對於Nas100來看,價格前日破高,潛在如果有bullish momentum持續,價格的確有機會向上拉升
但同時對於SPX來看,HTF structure,價格已連續向上拉升多日,的確也有機會看到短線的回測
overall,the risk was there but the probability was there as well
所以我們透過manage risk來達到最佳的交易
Double Top or BottomSupply and DemandSupport and Resistance

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