Indeks Nifty 50
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So What is happening in Nifty? What to expect this week?

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Certainly the global headwinds in banking and inflation are rocking the markets all over the world. India with strong economic momentum is a bright spot in global economy but it is still feeling the effect and can continue to feel so in the short to medium term context. In the long run Indian story certainly looks at good valuation. As soon as US Fed signals for a Pause Indian indices will certainly pick up the lost momentum and range bound trading sessions.

The pattern that is forming right now on Nifty is called Base Formation pattern and certainly in past whenever we have seen such patterns we see a 500 to 1000 point rally. At times the base formation pattern fails too and goes for further consolidation at a step below. The step below in this case can be 16747 level if this base breaks or 16347 level as we can read the chart right now.

In case of taking off from this base the major resistance can be near 17543/17532 levels where we have 50 and 200 days EMA. If these levels are crossed the next resistance can be 18170 to 18260 range. If Nifty launches from here the relief rally can be seen. Next week and monthly closing above 50/200 EMA is required for rally to become significant in any way.
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Same view base building is in progress. Crossing 17100 and 17200 zones is very difficult as there is immense resistance there. As soon as Nifty reaches this zone we see short selling. Algo trading + Option writing near this level is responcible for the same. Somethings got to give now on either side. Nifty might attempt to cross the hurdle again tomorrow.

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