EURUSD Short?

A almost certain of a bearish move for the EURUSD ?

1st - Break and retest on that uptrend.
2nd - Touch on that downtrend, if dont break down we go.
3rd - Retrace on the Fibonacci touching the 0.618 a good indication for continnuing the bearish move.
4th - all those 3 points together its a very important area (marked with the circle) we can see a break to the upside or continue the way down.

Best Regards
José Pêssego