Ethereum Has Entered Its Pre-Expansion Accumulation

kemarin

📊 (1) MARKET STRUCTURE — CLEAN SIDEWAY → BREAKOUT → RE-ACCUMULATION
The chart shows a repeating pattern:
✔ Phase 1: Sideway Zone
ETH repeatedly compresses in sideways zones, forming liquidity pools and equal highs/lows.

✔ Phase 2: Breakout With Strong Momentum
Each sideways block ends with a powerful impulsive candle clear evidence of aggressive buy-side imbalance.

✔ Phase 3: Post-Break Re-Accumulation (CURRENT PHASE)
Price is now inside the highlighted pre-break accumulation zone,
moving in a tight, controlled structure a textbook bullish continuation setup.

This is the phase where institutional traders rebalance orders before the next run.

📍 (2) PRICE BEHAVIOR — BULLS IN FULL CONTROL
-No sharp rejections after the breakout
-Dips are shallow and quickly absorbed
-Market is forming higher low micro-structures
-Momentum clearly stays in the hands of buyers
This confirms the market is not distributing, but absorbing liquidity and building a base.

🌐 (3) MACRO FACTORS SUPPORTING ETH UPSIDE
✔ ETH ETF Approval Momentum (US + Asia)
Regulatory mood continues shifting positively, with multiple jurisdictions preparing Ethereum ETF products. Institutional demand keeps increasing quietly in the background.

✔ Falling US Inflation & Dovish Fed Expectations
Recent CPI and PPI reports show cooling inflation. The market widely expects 2025–2026 rate cuts, which historically push liquidity into risk assets ETH benefits directly.

✔ Ethereum Supply Shock
-Over 27% of ETH is staked
-Net supply remains deflationary under high network activity
-Reduced exchange reserves signal accumulation
This creates a tightening supply environment that amplifies price expansion.

✔ Altcoin Rotation Phase
BTC dominance stabilizing → capital increasingly flows into ETH and large-cap alts.
Macro + on-chain + liquidity flows all align with a bullish continuation.

⏳ (4) HTF CONTEXT — BULL CYCLE CONFIRMED
Higher timeframes show:
-ETH broke out of a weekly compression range
-Structure is fully bullish
-Market currently resetting before next leg
-No bearish reversal signals anywhere in sight
This supports the thesis that the current 1H accumulation is not random, it is part of a much larger bullish leg forming.

🚀 (5) EXPECTATION — HIGH PROBABILITY SCENARIO
ETH is expected to:
-Continue oscillating inside the pre-break accumulation zone
-Form a series of small higher lows as drawn
-Absorb liquidity from both sides
-Break out toward 3,400 → 3,450+
The path of least resistance remains upward.

🎯 (6) TRADING INSIGHT (Non-Signal)
Markets only explode after liquidity is collected.
ETH is doing exactly that holding strong after a breakout and compressing before expansion.

This is the signature behaviour of a healthy bullish trend.

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🔹 MARKET BRIEFING – ETH/USD
Market State:
– Price has broken down from the previous range and is now testing the lower support area, showing weakening momentum after the sharp decline.

Key Levels:
– Support Zone / Target 1: 3152
– Support Zone / Target 2: 3073
– Resistance / Recovery Target 1: 3288
– Resistance / Recovery Target 2: 3393

Next Move:
– Price may form a short-term base around 3152; holding this level could trigger a recovery toward 3288 → 3393.
– If 3152 fails to hold, downside continuation toward 3073 remains the more likely scenario.