Overnight Positioning w EMA - Strategy [presentTrading]I've recently started researching Market Timing strategies, and it’s proving to be quite an interesting area of study. The idea of predicting optimal times to enter and exit the market, based on historical data and various indicators, brings a dynamic edge to trading. Additionally, it is integrated with the 3commas bot for automated trade execution.
I'm still working on it. Welcome to share your point of view.
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Overnight Positioning with EMA " is designed to capitalize on market inefficiencies during the overnight trading period. This strategy takes a position shortly before the market closes and exits shortly after it opens the following day. What sets this strategy apart is the integration of an optional Exponential Moving Average (EMA) filter, which ensures that trades are aligned with the underlying trend. The strategy provides flexibility by allowing users to select between different global market sessions, such as the US, Asia, and Europe.
It is integrated with the 3commas bot for automated trade execution and has a built-in mechanism to avoid holding positions over the weekend by force-closing positions on Fridays before the market closes.
BTCUSD 20 mins Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The core logic of this strategy is simple: enter trades before market close and exit them after market open, taking advantage of potential price movements during the overnight period. Here’s how it works in more detail:
🔶 Market Timing
The strategy determines the local market open and close times based on the selected market (US, Asia, Europe) and adjusts entry and exit points accordingly. The entry is triggered a specific number of minutes before market close, and the exit is triggered a specific number of minutes after market open.
🔶 EMA Filter
The strategy includes an optional EMA filter to help ensure that trades are taken in the direction of the prevailing trend. The EMA is calculated over a user-defined timeframe and length. The entry is only allowed if the closing price is above the EMA (for long positions), which helps to filter out trades that might go against the trend.
The EMA formula:
```
EMA(t) = +
```
Where:
- EMA(t) is the current EMA value
- Close(t) is the current closing price
- n is the length of the EMA
- EMA(t-1) is the previous period's EMA value
🔶 Entry Logic
The strategy monitors the market time in the selected timezone. Once the current time reaches the defined entry period (e.g., 20 minutes before market close), and the EMA condition is satisfied, a long position is entered.
- Entry time calculation:
```
entryTime = marketCloseTime - entryMinutesBeforeClose * 60 * 1000
```
🔶 Exit Logic
Exits are triggered based on a specified time after the market opens. The strategy checks if the current time is within the defined exit period (e.g., 20 minutes after market open) and closes any open long positions.
- Exit time calculation:
exitTime = marketOpenTime + exitMinutesAfterOpen * 60 * 1000
🔶 Force Close on Fridays
To avoid the risk of holding positions over the weekend, the strategy force-closes any open positions 5 minutes before the market close on Fridays.
- Force close logic:
isFriday = (dayofweek(currentTime, marketTimezone) == dayofweek.friday)
█ Trade Direction
This strategy is designed exclusively for long trades. It enters a long position before market close and exits the position after market open. There is no shorting involved in this strategy, and it focuses on capturing upward momentum during the overnight session.
█ Usage
This strategy is suitable for traders who want to take advantage of price movements that occur during the overnight period without holding positions for extended periods. It automates entry and exit times, ensuring that trades are placed at the appropriate times based on the market session selected by the user. The 3commas bot integration also allows for automated execution, making it ideal for traders who wish to set it and forget it. The strategy is flexible enough to work across various global markets, depending on the trader's preference.
█ Default Settings
1. entryMinutesBeforeClose (Default = 20 minutes):
This setting determines how many minutes before the market close the strategy will enter a long position. A shorter duration could mean missing out on potential movements, while a longer duration could expose the position to greater price fluctuations before the market closes.
2. exitMinutesAfterOpen (Default = 20 minutes):
This setting controls how many minutes after the market opens the position will be exited. A shorter exit time minimizes exposure to market volatility at the open, while a longer exit time could capture more of the overnight price movement.
3. emaLength (Default = 100):
The length of the EMA affects how the strategy filters trades. A shorter EMA (e.g., 50) reacts more quickly to price changes, allowing more frequent entries, while a longer EMA (e.g., 200) smooths out price action and only allows entries when there is a stronger underlying trend.
The effect of using a longer EMA (e.g., 200) would be:
```
EMA(t) = +
```
4. emaTimeframe (Default = 240):
This is the timeframe used for calculating the EMA. A higher timeframe (e.g., 360) would base entries on longer-term trends, while a shorter timeframe (e.g., 60) would respond more quickly to price movements, potentially allowing more frequent trades.
5. useEMA (Default = true):
This toggle enables or disables the EMA filter. When enabled, trades are only taken when the price is above the EMA. Disabling the EMA allows the strategy to enter trades without any trend validation, which could increase the number of trades but also increase risk.
6. Market Selection (Default = US):
This setting determines which global market's open and close times the strategy will use. The selection of the market affects the timing of entries and exits and should be chosen based on the user's preference or geographic focus.
US
US Net LiquidityAnalysis of US Net Liquidity: A Comprehensive Overview
Introduction:
The "US Net Liquidity" indicator offers a detailed analysis of liquidity conditions within the United States, drawing insights from critical financial metrics related to the Federal Reserve (FED) and other government accounts. This tool enables economists to assess liquidity dynamics, identify trends, and inform economic decision-making.
Key Metrics and Interpretation:
1. Smoothing Period: This parameter adjusts the level of detail in the analysis by applying a moving average to the liquidity data. A longer smoothing period results in a smoother trend line, useful for identifying broader liquidity patterns over time.
2. Data Source (Timeframe): Specifies the timeframe of the data used for analysis, typically daily (D). Different timeframes can provide varying perspectives on liquidity trends.
3. Data Categories:
- FED Balance Sheet: Represents the assets and liabilities of the Federal Reserve, offering insights into monetary policy and market interventions.
- US Treasury General Account (TGA): Tracks the balance of the US Treasury's general account, reflecting government cash management and financial stability.
- Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP): Highlights short-term borrowing and lending operations between financial institutions and the Federal Reserve, influencing liquidity conditions.
- Earnings Remittances to the Treasury: Indicates revenues transferred to the US Treasury from various sources, impacting government cash flow and liquidity.
4. Moving Average Length: Determines the duration of the moving average applied to the data. A longer moving average length smoothens out short-term fluctuations, emphasizing longer-term liquidity trends.
Variation Lookback Length: Specifies the historical period used to assess changes and variations in liquidity. A longer lookback length captures more extended trends and fluctuations.
Interpretation:
1. Data Retrieval: Real-time data from specified financial instruments (assets) is retrieved to calculate balances for each category (FED, TGA, RRP, Earnings Remittances).
2. Global Balance Calculation: The global liquidity balance is computed by aggregating the balances of individual categories (FED Balance - TGA Balance - RRP Balance - Earnings Remittances Balance). This metric provides a comprehensive view of net liquidity.
3. Smoothed Global Balance (SMA): The Simple Moving Average (SMA) is applied to the global liquidity balance to enhance clarity and identify underlying trends. A rising SMA suggests improving liquidity conditions, while a declining SMA may indicate tightening liquidity.
Insight Generation and Decision-Making:
1. Trend Analysis: By analyzing smoothed liquidity trends over time, economists can identify periods of liquidity surplus or deficit, which can inform monetary policy decisions and market interventions.
2. Forecasting: Understanding liquidity dynamics aids in economic forecasting, particularly in predicting market liquidity, interest rate movements, and financial stability.
3. Policy Implications: Insights derived from this analysis tool can guide policymakers in formulating effective monetary policies, managing government cash flow, and ensuring financial stability.
Conclusion:
The "US Net Liquidity" analysis tool serves as a valuable resource for economists, offering a data-driven approach to understanding liquidity dynamics within the US economy. By interpreting key metrics and trends, economists can make informed decisions and contribute to macroeconomic stability and growth.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on real-time financial data and should be used for informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice or a substitute for professional expertise.
US Presidential ElectionsThis script can be useful in case of analyzing the impact of US presidential election on the past market.
It has separated settings for showing Inauguration and Election labels.
Net New Highs/Lows (With visible code)Basically the same script than Carusolnsights but without hidding the lines of code...
"This indicator displays the net number of stocks on the Nasdaq Composite making 52-week highs or lows. For instance, if there are 60 new 52-week highs and 20 new 52-week lows, the net number will display 40 net new 52 week highs. This indicator is particularty useful in gauging what the breadth is of the Nasdaq.
Three days of net 52-week highs show a healthy market which is conducive to increasing exposure. This condition is highlighted with a green background.
Three days of net 52-week lows show an unhealthy market which is conducive to reducing exposure. This condition is high|lighted with a red background."
Hotch SessionSimple Session timer with separate session for Asia, Europe, and the Americas plus an extra custom session timer. each can be turned on and off separately.
The indicator also plots the highs and lows of each session.
This code was modified from the Session timer code found in the original "The Arty" by PheonixBinary but expanded to better include all trading sessions.
The code was written in a manner to be as compact as possible. I had looked at many other Session timers and found entire input sections that were longer than the entirety of this indicator.
Please feel free to use this code in any manner you choose permission not required.
TSI Strength Meter vs USD with divergenceThis indicator consists of two lines. One is a gray line (USD) and the asset indicator is green or red.
The basis of this indicator is the true strength indicator (TSI) with parameters 5,15. Both line sets are based on a TSI (5,15).
The lookback period is for new highs / new lows. Default value is 200 periods.
GREEN/RED LINE
The first that is green and red is whatever you choose to display ( BTC in this case).
The green and red lines indicate going up or going down.
GRAY LINE
The gray line is the US Dollar . So everything is relative to that by default.
ZERO LINE CROSSES
These are momentum shifts. If you see a crossover of both around the zero line, its a good indication there is a change in momentum and a reversal of trend.
NEW HIGHS NEW LOWS
There are 4 new colors added to this indicator. For the asset you are viewing, a lime color means new highs within the lookback period. A new low is indicated by a yellow line color.
The new lows for the USD are white for new lows within the lookback period and blue line for the new highs.
DIVERGENCE
You can also spot divergences easily. For example, if a lime color is seen on the indicator line, that means "new high" but if it occurs below the last "new high" it means the asset is going up to new highs but the indicator is showing us that the readings are below the previous new highs, indicating a negative divergence.
The same goes for the yellow colored lines. higher yellows mean positive divergence.
And with the US Dollar , blue lines dropping means a negative divergence in the US Dollar , while white lines moving up means a positive dollar divergence.
INTERPRETATION
Examples:
If you see a green and sometimes red line of the asset indicator and a gray line that drops below the zero line; it may mean the asset is rising and the trend is up.
If you see a green and red line below the zero line and with a gray line above the zero line , it indicates there is a negative trend. If you suddenly see blue lines on the USD, this means its hitting new lows. If these blue lines then start to slowly move downwards; then we have a positive divergence. If that were to be followed by the green line crossing the zero line, its a pretty good be that the trend is changing and its a very good buying oportunity.
US10Y / DXY - 10 Yield correlated This oscillator tracks the US and US10Y , Script is based in SPX/US oscillator by @someguy
Presidential 2020 Candidate and Undecided Voter Poll StatsThis is just a simple indicator to show the election poll stats and include the value for undecided voters.
RUB/OIL div.Russian ruble - Brent divergence indicator.
Predicts change of USD/RUB rate according to UKOIL price change
Works only in 1m timescale.
Typically, predicts movements in 1-10 min advance.
The idea is that there is a significant correlation between RUB and OIL (appr. 0,95).
But, sometimes a significant delay in USD/RUB response to UKOIL change happens.
The index allows to keep track on such delays and predict upcoming USD/RUB movement.
Trade with care!
How to use it:
Plot it over USDRUB_TOM graph.
Align in line with recent price.
Wait for divergence.
Trade
ATR Pips [LazyBear] [Elixium Mod: FEAR GAUGE]Modified version of ATR Pips
The indicator's value is a third of the daily range which is good to use as a stop loss value for intra day scalping on markets such as index futures and forex.
It's good for detecting and confirming inflection points in the market.
Pip Foundry - Simple OBVMy premium indicators are available for monthly lease at www.tradingview.com
On request from SunnyBTC for trading Forex pairs that do not themselves have any volume indication.
The concept: A simple OBV that will display the volume of a security other than what you are charting.
Edit: This script has been updated.
