Fractal Breakout Trend Following StrategyOverview
The Fractal Breakout Trend Following Strategy is a trend-following system which utilizes the Willams Fractals and Alligator to execute the long trades on the fractal's breakouts which have a high probability to be the new uptrend phase beginning. This system also uses the normalized Average True Range indicator to filter trades after a large moves, because it's more likely to see the trend continuation after a consolidation period. Strategy can execute only long trades.
Unique Features
Trend and volatility filtering system: Strategy uses Williams Alligator to filter the counter-trend fractals breakouts and normalized Average True Range to avoid the trades after large moves, when volatility is high
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Flexible Risk Management: Users can choose the stop-loss percent (by default = 3%) for trades, but strategy also has the dynamic stop-loss level using down fractals.
Methodology
The strategy places stop order at the last valid fractal breakout level. Validity of this fractal is defined by the Williams Alligator indicator. If at the moment of time when price breaking the last fractal price is higher than Alligator's teeth line (8 period SMA shifted 5 bars in the future) this is a valid breakout. Moreover strategy has the additional volatility filtering system using normalized ATR. It calculates the average normalized ATR for last user-defined number of bars and if this value lower than the user-defined threshold value the long trade is executed.
When trade is opened, script places the stop loss at the price higher of two levels: user defined stop-loss from the position entry price or down fractal validation level. The down fractal is valid with the rule, opposite as the up fractal validation. Price shall break to the downside the last down fractal below the Willians Alligator's teeth line.
Strategy has no fixed take profit. Exit level changes with the down fractal validation level. If price is in strong uptrend trade is going to be active until last down fractal is not valid. Strategy closes trade when price hits the down fractal validation level.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a combined approach to risk management:
It allows positions to ride the trend as long as the price continues to move favorably, aiming to capture significant price movements. It features a user-defined stop-loss parameter to mitigate risks based on individual risk tolerance. By default, this stop-loss is set to a 3% drop from the entry point, but it can be adjusted according to the trader's preferences.
Justification of Methodology
This strategy leverages Williams Fractals to open long trade when price has broken the key resistance level to the upside. This resistance level is the last up fractal and is shall be broken above the Williams Alligator's teeth line to be qualified as the valid breakout according to this strategy. The Alligator filtering increases the probability to avoid the false breakouts against the current trend.
Moreover strategy has an additional filter using Average True Range(ATR) indicator. If average value of ATR for the last user-defined number of bars is lower than user-defined threshold strategy can open the long trade according to open trade condition above. The logic here is following: we want to open trades after period of price consolidation inside the range because before and after a big move price is more likely to be in sideways, but we need a trend move to have a profit.
Another one important feature is how the exit condition is defined. On the one hand, strategy has the user-defined stop-loss (3% below the entry price by default). It's made to give users the opportunity to restrict their losses according to their risk-tolerance. On the other hand, strategy utilizes the dynamic exit level which is defined by down fractal activation. If we assume the breaking up fractal is the beginning of the uptrend, breaking down fractal can be the start of downtrend phase. We don't want to be in long trade if there is a high probability of reversal to the downside. This approach helps to not keep open trade if trend is not developing and hold it if price continues going up.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.05.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 30%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -3.19%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.97%
Net Profit: +3036.90 USDT (+30.37%)
Total Trades: 83 (28.92% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.953
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 963.98 USDT (-8.29%)
Average Profit per Trade: 36.59 USDT (+1.12%)
Average Trade Duration: 72 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h and higher time frames and the BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
Trendstrategy
SuperTrend Enhanced Pivot Reversal - Strategy [PresentTrading]
- Introduction and How it is Different
The SuperTrend Enhanced Pivot Reversal is a unique approach to trading that combines the best of two worlds: the precision of pivot reversal points and the trend-following power of the SuperTrend indicator. This strategy is designed to provide traders with clear entry and exit points, while also filtering out potentially false signals using the SuperTrend indicator.
BTCUSDT 6hr
ETHBTC 6hr
Unlike traditional pivot reversal strategies, this approach uses the SuperTrend indicator as a filter. This means that it only takes trades that align with the overall trend, as determined by the SuperTrend indicator. This can help to reduce the number of false signals and improve the overall profitability of the strategy.
The Pivot Reversal Strategy with SuperTrend Filter is particularly well-suited to the cryptocurrency market for the reason of High Volatility. This means that prices can change rapidly in a very short time, making it possible to make a profit quickly. The strategy's use of pivot points allows traders to take advantage of these rapid price changes by identifying potential reversal points
- Strategy: How it Works
The strategy works by identifying pivot reversal points, which are points in the price chart where the price is likely to reverse. These points are identified using a combination of the ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow functions, which find the highest and lowest points in the price chart over a certain period.
Once a pivot reversal point is identified, the strategy checks the direction of the SuperTrend indicator. If the SuperTrend is positive (indicating an uptrend), the strategy will only take long trades. If the SuperTrend is negative (indicating a downtrend), the strategy will only take short trades.
The strategy also includes a stop loss level, which is set as a percentage of the entry price. This helps to limit potential losses if the price moves in the opposite direction to the trade.
- Trade Direction
The trade direction can be set to "Long", "Short", or "Both". This allows the trader to choose whether they want to take only long trades (buying low and selling high), only short trades (selling high and buying low), or both. This can be useful depending on the trader's view of the market and their risk tolerance.
- Usage
To use the Pivot Reversal Strategy with SuperTrend Filter, simply input the desired parameters into the script and apply it to the price chart of the asset you wish to trade. The strategy will then identify potential trade entry and exit points, which will be displayed on the price chart.
- Default Settings
The default settings for the strategy are as follows:
ATR Length: 5
Factor: 2.618
Trade Direction: Both
Stop Loss Level: 20%
Commission: 0.1%
Slippage: 1
Currency: USD
Each trade: 10% of account equity
Initial capital: $10,000
These settings can be adjusted to suit the trader's preferences and risk tolerance. Always remember to test any changes to the settings using historical data before applying them to live trades.
Keltner Channel - Trend Based StrategyThis strategy is based on 3 main indicators.
1st indicator is a trend indicator, which consists of SMA and EMA
2nd is Keltner Channel
3rd is DM indicator.
The conditions for the entry of this strategy are following:
First of all the assets need to be in an upward trend, this will occur when the EMA will cross SMA. The next condition for the entry is the opening and the closure of the candle. The open price of the candle should be in the upper part of the Keltner Channel and the close price should be above the Keltner channel. The third condition for the DM indicator is to be above a certain benchmakr. This benchmark can be set in the settings of the strategy.
The strategy has two potential Take Profit levels and single stop-loss levels. For the more efficient way you may try an use the trailing stop or extend the number of take-profit levels.
MACD Strategy with trailing ATR stopThis is a trend based strategy that uses EMA and SMA intersection for determining the direction of the trend and MACD for the entry signal. At the same time, the strategy uses ATR, which is working as a trailing stop.
The strategy entry will work when the Trend ribbon will turn green and MACD line will crossover the signal line. This strategy also takes into account the pyramiding and allows to enter the second time if the signal will repeat itself.
There are 3 exit points. The first 10% of the position will be closed when the price will increase by 1%. The second portion of 50% will be closed when the price reaches 5% Take profit target. The remaining 40 % of the position will wait for the exit signal which will occur when the price closes below the ATR line.
The strategy is using a fixed amount in dollars, each time the entry occurs the strategy will enter with 100$ in the order.
The strategy can be applied to other crypto assets. However, they will require input changes.
Best of luck with your trading.
Simple Tops/Bottoms, [JackT]A percentage (pyramid) script for BTC/USD, Daily.
Breakdown
The script is following one simple rule:
- Percentage orders based on volume
This is a pyramid setup based on volume but I am handling each order manually which makes it a custom pyramid strategy.
Instead of doing 100% portfolio sell/buy orders this script focuses on the momentum of volume and calculates a percentage of the portfolio that should be traded.
The percentage rises with the level of continuous orders with the same type. This means that if a second sell order is emitted before any buy order the percentage to sell is gradually increased to be higher than the previous sell order. And vise verca with buy orders.
The calculation is exponential rising but it also makes sure that the trade rarely reaches 100%. This enables the script to stay in the market on almost all opportunties given by the indicators.
How to use
The script is created from 3 indicators including Lucid SAR which helps to indicate the major trend.
It is possible to change the settings of the script in order to change the outcome. The settings is fitted to work with BTC/USD and the same settings works somewhat okay with ETH/USD aswell. Though I would recommend to fit the settings to work better with other pairs.
As mentioned, the script focuses on volume , which mean that it works better with major coins.
Enjoy the script and please let me know your thoughts!
//JackT
Global Market Signals: Is the Trend Your Friend? AlgorithmWelcome!
This is a fully customizable strategy to help generate great trade signals as well as provide basic analysis on any market of your choice. All the trades occur at the open of a candle.
Settings:
1. Long or Short
2. Look back length
3. New Highs or New Lows?
4. Trade Duration
5. Trend SMA Length
6. Above or Below Trend SMA
Example:
Using a Daily SPY chart.
The Default Settings are:
1. Long
2. 10
3. New Lows
4. 5
5. 200
6. Above
What this means is that you will be going long when there is a new 10 day lowest close, you'll hold the trade for 5 days, and the trades only occur above the 200 day simple moving average.
**When you test your settings, make sure that in the Properties tab, you have the "Order Size" set at 100 and in the drop down menu to the right, make sure "% of equity" is selected.**
JackTrendChaser V3Hi everyone! I am so thrilled to announce this!
>> LIMITED TIME OFFER, read below! <<
My name is Jack and I have been trading trends using TA on Forex for 10 years now and have within the past two years been trading Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
I am a part time trader and developer. On a daily basis I work as a software developer creating various algorythms for big data usage - such as machine learning etc. and I have found a passion in creating scripts to predict major trend moves. Which is why I would like to share this script (strategy) with you all!
Looking at the stats it looks amazing! 100% profitability - who doesn't want that?! But that doesn't mean it cannot be improved - I am daily looking into how I can improve this to become even more profitable.
Currently the script have been tested with BTC and ETH:
BTC = 100% profitability and 9 trades since 2016
ETH = 83% profitability and 6 trades since 2016 with a drawdown of $5.
Now - 9 and 6 trades since 2016 isn't many trades but it suites my way of trading perfectly! I aim for the major trends and try to hit the pullbacks as soon as possible.
You can use this script alone or with other complimenting indicators. I like to draw some support and resistance levels for even further verification.
TRIAL OFFER:
Everyone is offered a 15 days trail.
Let me know in the comments if you would like a trail. Please do not PM me for trails.
>> LIMITED TIME OFFER <<
Since this is my first script to publish on TradingView I am offering the FIRST 10 traders a LIFETIME access to the script for a very small price! After that everyone else will be able to buy acces for 1m, 6m, 1y or lifetime (but at a higher price).
So how do you become one of the first 10?! Simpel - just PM me for the details.
I will update this post when the first 10 has been chosen.
>> OBS: I might be away from TradingView up to 24hours at a time because of my job - but don't panic! I will keep track of every message and get back to everyone as soon as possible!
Best regards
Jack
Complete turtles strategy based on the donchian channelsDear Traders and investor,
I want to demonstrate scrypt of the iconic "trend following strategy" coded by my
The main idea was borrowed from the book "Way of the Turtle: The Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary". The strategy is based on the donchian channels and is one of the oldest and easiest strategy in the using. Also strategy include risk managment and trends filter which prevent false entries and high drawndowns. The results are based on the period from 2006 to present, but you can also change timeframe and period of backtesting.
Best regards,
Vlad
S&P 500 Benchmark Strategy
This strategy is a Benchmark Trend trading strategy. I used it primarily to measure my private algorithms against. It works on a variety of instruments at intervals between 1m and 1d (you'll have to play with some of the ranged variables in these cases). It was primarily designed to trade the 15 minute interval on SPX derived products. S&P E-Mini contract featured above.
It hits what I consider to be key targets when developing an algo:
1. Avg Trade is above $50
2. Profit Factor is above 1.2 (preferably above 1.5)
3. Has a relatively small draw-down
4. Is able to be traded both long and short
Notes/Options:
Can trade within market hours (default), outside market hours (with open inside), or anytime
Can adjust lengths for trend calculations
Algo tries its best to avoid fake-outs by using a volume component, this means that it misses 'slow rises' sometimes
By default it tries to only enter trades between 0930 and 1600. If the trade has left the station, it will wait for the next setup.
Stop loss level has a big impact on performance per instrument - default is 20 ticks but this has to be changed per instrument (I plan on updating this with code to auto-magically generate appropriate stop levels
As a Trend Following algorithm, it is vulnerable to chop zones but has been particularly resilient over the past few months when traded at 15m or 1h intervals. It is designed to trade against the 'current' market that has more frequent whipsaws. When used over generic bull market periods, it fails due to the high number of failed short trades and trimmed long trades. It works in a medium/high volatility environment.
