PCV (Darren.L-V2)Description:
This indicator combines Bollinger Bands, CCI, and RVI to help identify high-probability zones on M15 charts.
Features:
Bollinger Bands (BB) – displayed on the main chart in light gray. Helps visualize overbought and oversold price levels.
CCI ±100 levels + RVI – displayed in a separate sub-window:
CCI only shows the ±100 reference lines.
RVI displays a cyan main line and a red signal line.
Valid Zone Detection:
Candle closes outside the Bollinger Bands.
RVI crosses above +100 or below -100 (CCI level reference).
Candle closes back inside the BB, confirming a price rebound.
Requires two touches in the same direction to confirm the zone.
Only zones within 20–30 pips range are considered valid.
Usage:
Helps traders spot reversal or bounce zones with clear visual signals.
Suitable for all indices, Forex, and crypto on M15 timeframe.
Cari skrip untuk "美元指数跌破100大关"
MA Availability ETA (SMA100/EMA200)This tool helps traders understand when long-term moving averages become available on any chosen timeframe.
Many new symbols, pairs, or timeframes don’t have enough price history to immediately plot long moving averages like SMA(100) and EMA(200). This script calculates and displays:
✅ Bars Remaining – how many bars are still needed before each moving average can be plotted reliably.
✅ ETA Duration – an estimate of how long (in chart time units) it will take until each MA is available.
✅ Status Table & Label – compact visual summary on the chart and in a table at the top-right corner.
✅ Vertical Marker – a dotted line showing exactly where both SMA(100) & EMA(200) first appear together.
✅ Alerts – optional alerts notify you the moment SMA(100) or EMA(200) become available.
🔑 Features
Works on any timeframe and instrument.
Highlights SMA(100) and EMA(200) on the chart for reference.
Lets you choose whether EMA(200) should be considered ready immediately, or only after a full 200-bar history.
Useful for traders who rely on long-term MA signals (golden cross, dynamic support/resistance, trend confirmation) and want to know when these tools will be ready on fresh charts.
🎯 Use Cases
New listings / low-history assets → See when SMA100 & EMA200 become usable.
Backtesting or forward-testing → Anticipate when long-term signals will first appear.
Trend-following strategies → Prepare in advance for crossovers or key support/resistance confluence zones.
⚠️ Note: ETAs are based on chart resolution and assume continuous data; real-world session gaps, weekends, or illiquid trading can make availability slightly later.
👉 Add this to your chart and you’ll always know when the big moving averages arrive — a critical moment for many upside moves and long-term strategies.
PulseMA Oscillator Normalized v2█ OVERVIEW
PulseMA Oscillator Normalized v2 is a technical indicator designed for the TradingView platform, assisting traders in identifying potential trend reversal points based on price dynamics derived from moving averages. The indicator is normalized for easier interpretation across various market conditions, and its visual presentation with gradients and signals facilitates quick decision-making.
█ CONCEPTS
The core idea of the indicator is to analyze trend dynamics by calculating an oscillator based on a moving average (EMA), which is then normalized and smoothed. It provides insights into trend strength, overbought/oversold levels, and reversal signals, enhanced by gradient visualizations.
Why use it?
Identifying reversal points: The indicator detects overbought and oversold levels, generating buy/sell signals at their crossovers.
Price dynamics analysis: Based on moving averages, it measures how long the price stays above or below the EMA, incorporating trend slope.
Visual clarity: Gradients, fills, and colored lines enable quick chart analysis.
Flexibility: Configurable parameters, such as moving average lengths or normalization period, allow adaptation to various strategies and markets.
How it works?
Trend detection: Calculates a base exponential moving average (EMA with PulseMA Length) and measures how long the price stays above or below it, multiplied by the slope for the oscillator.
Normalization: The oscillator is normalized based on the minimum and maximum values over a lookback period (default 150 bars), scaling it to a range from -100 to 100: (oscillator - min) / (max - min) * 200 - 100. This ensures values are comparable across different instruments and timeframes.
Smoothing: The main line (PulseMA) is the normalized oscillator (oscillatorNorm). The PulseMA MA line is a smoothed version of PulseMA, calculated using an SMA with the PulseMA MA length. As PulseMA MA is smoothed, it reacts more slowly and can be used as a noise filter.
Signals: Generates buy signals when crossing the oversold level upward and sell signals when crossing the overbought level downward. Signals are stronger when PulseMA MA is in the overbought or oversold zone (exceeding the respective thresholds for PulseMA MA).
Visualization: Draws lines with gradients for PulseMA and PulseMA MA, levels with gradients, gradient fill to the zero line, and signals as triangles.
Alerts: Built-in alerts for buy and sell signals.
Settings and customization
PulseMA Length: Length of the base EMA (default 20).
PulseMA MA: Length of the SMA for smoothing PulseMA MA (default 20).
Normalization Lookback Period: Normalization period (default 150, minimum 10).
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Levels for the main line (default 100/-100) and thresholds for PulseMA MA, indicating zones where PulseMA MA exceeds set values (default 50/-50).
Colors and gradients: Customize colors for lines, gradients, and levels; options to enable/disable gradients and fills.
Visualizations: Show PulseMA MA, gradients for overbought/oversold/zero levels, and fills.
█ OTHER SECTIONS
Usage examples
Trend analysis: Observe PulseMA above 0 for an uptrend or below 0 for a downtrend. Use different values for PulseMA Length and PulseMA MA to gain a clearer trend picture. PulseMA MA, being smoothed, reacts more slowly and can serve as a noise filter to confirm trend direction.
Reversal signals: Look for buy triangles when PulseMA crosses the oversold level, especially when PulseMA MA is in the oversold zone. Similarly, look for sell triangles when crossing the overbought level with PulseMA MA in the overbought zone. Such confirmation increases signal reliability.
Customization: Test different values for PulseMA Length and PulseMA MA on a given instrument and timeframe to minimize false signals and tailor the indicator to market specifics.
Notes for users
Combine with other tools, such as support/resistance levels or other oscillators, for greater accuracy.
Test different settings for PulseMA Length and PulseMA MA on the chosen instrument and timeframe to find optimal values.
Arena TP Manager//@version=5
indicator("Arena TP Manager", overlay=true, max_labels_count=500)
// === INPUTS ===
entryPrice = input.float(0.0, "Entry Price", step=0.1)
stopLossPerc = input.float(5.0, "Stop Loss %", step=0.1)
tp1Perc = input.float(10.0, "TP1 %", step=0.1)
tp2Perc = input.float(20.0, "TP2 %", step=0.1)
tp3Perc = input.float(30.0, "TP3 %", step=0.1)
// === CALCULATIONS ===
stopLoss = entryPrice * (1 - stopLossPerc/100)
tp1 = entryPrice * (1 + tp1Perc/100)
tp2 = entryPrice * (1 + tp2Perc/100)
tp3 = entryPrice * (1 + tp3Perc/100)
// === PLOTTING ===
plot(entryPrice > 0 ? entryPrice : na, title="Entry", color=color.yellow, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(entryPrice > 0 ? stopLoss : na, title="Stop Loss", color=color.red, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(entryPrice > 0 ? tp1 : na, title="TP1", color=color.green, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(entryPrice > 0 ? tp2 : na, title="TP2", color=color.green, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr)
plot(entryPrice > 0 ? tp3 : na, title="TP3", color=color.green, linewidth=2, style=plot.style_linebr)
// === LABELS ===
if (entryPrice > 0)
label.new(bar_index, entryPrice, "ENTRY: " + str.tostring(entryPrice), style=label.style_label_up, color=color.yellow, textcolor=color.black)
label.new(bar_index, stopLoss, "SL: " + str.tostring(stopLoss), style=label.style_label_down, color=color.red, textcolor=color.white)
label.new(bar_index, tp1, "TP1: " + str.tostring(tp1), style=label.style_label_up, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white)
label.new(bar_index, tp2, "TP2: " + str.tostring(tp2), style=label.style_label_up, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white)
label.new(bar_index, tp3, "TP3: " + str.tostring(tp3), style=label.style_label_up, color=color.green, textcolor=color.white)
Elliott Wave [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
Elliott Wave automatically finds and draws an Elliott-style 5-wave impulse and a dashed projection for a potential -(a)→(b)→(c) correction. It detects six sequential reversal points from rolling highs/lows — 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, (a) — validates their relative placement, and then renders the wave with labels and horizontal reference lines. If price invalidates the structure by closing back through the Wave-5 level inside a 100-bar window, the pattern is cleared (optionally kept as “broken”) while key dotted levels remain for context.
🔵 CONCEPTS
Reversal harvesting from extremes : The script scans highest/lowest values over a user-set Length and stores swing points with their bar indices.
Six-point validation : A pattern requires six pivots (1…5 and (a)). Their vertical/temporal order must satisfy Elliott-style constraints before drawing.
Impulse + projection : After confirming 1→5, the tool plots a curved polyline through the pivots and a dashed forward path from (a) toward (b) (midpoint of 5 and (a)) and back to (c).
Risk line (invalidator) : The Wave-5 price is tracked; a close back through it within 100 bars marks the structure as broken.
Minimal persistence : When broken, the wave drawing is removed to avoid noise, while dotted horizontals for waves 5 and 4 remain as reference.
🔵 FEATURES
Automatic pivot collection from rolling highs/lows (user-controlled Length ).
Wave labeling : Points 1–5 are printed; the last collected swing is marked b
. Projected i
& i
are shown with a dashed polyline.
Breaker line & cleanup : If price closes above Wave-5 (opposite for bears) within 100 bars, the pattern is removed; only dotted levels of 5 and 4 stay.
Styling controls :
Length (pivot sensitivity)
Text Size for labels (tiny/small/normal/large)
Wave color input
Show Broken toggle to keep invalidated patterns visible
Lightweight memory : Keeps a compact buffer of recent pivots/draws to stay responsive.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Set sensitivity : Increase Length on noisy charts for cleaner pivots; decrease to catch earlier/shorter structures.
Wait for confirmation : Once 1→5 is printed and (a) appears, use the Wave-5 line as your invalidation. A close back through it within ~100 bars removes the active wave (unless Show Broken is on).
Plan with the dashed path : The (a)→(b)→(c) projection offers a scenario for potential corrective movement and risk placement.
Work MTF : Identify cleaner waves on higher TFs; refine execution on lower TFs near the breaker or during the move toward (b).
Seek confluence : Align with structure (S/R), volume/Delta, or your trend filter to avoid counter-context trades.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Elliott Wave systematizes discretionary wave analysis: it detects and labels the 5-wave impulse, projects a plausible (a)-(b)-(c) path, and self-cleans on invalidation. With clear labels, dotted reference levels, and a practical breaker rule, it gives traders an objective framework for scenario planning, invalidation, and timing.
Follow-up Buy / Sell Volume Pressure at Supply / Demand Zones█ Overview:
BE-Volume Footprint & Pressure Candles, is an indicator which is preliminarily designed to analyze the supply and demand patterns based on Rally Base Rally (RBR), Drop Base Drop (DBD), Drop Base Rally (DBR) & Rally Base Drop (RBD) concepts in conjunction to volume pressure. Understanding these concepts are crucial. Let's break down why the "Base" is you Best friend in this context.
Commonness in RBR, DBD, DBR, RBD patterns ?
There is an impulse price movement at first, be it rally (price moving up) or the Drop (price moving down), followed by a period of consolidation which is referred as "BASE" and later with another impulse move of price (Rally or Drop).
Why is the Base Important
1. Market Balance: Base represents a balance between buyers and sellers. This is where decisions are made.
2. Confirmation: It confirms the strength of previous impulse move which has happened.
Base & the Liquidity Play:
Supply & Demand Zone predict the presence of all large orders within the limits of the Base Zone. Price is expected to return to the zone to fill the unfilled orders placed by large players.
For the price to move in the intended direction Liquidity plays the major role. hence indicator aims to help traders in identifying those zones where liquidity exists and the volume pressure helps in confirming that liquidity is making its play.
Bottom pane in the below snapshots is a visual representation of Buyers volume pressure (Green Line & the Green filled area) making the price move upwards vs Sellers volume pressure (Red Line & the Red filled area) making the price move downwards.
Top pane in the below snapshots is a visual representation on the pattern identification (Blue marked zone & the Blue line referred as Liquidity level)
Bullish Pressure On Buy Liquidity:
Bearish Pressure On Sell Liquidity:
█ How It Works:
1. Indicator computes technical & mathematical operations such as ATR, delta of Highs & Lows of the candle and Candle ranges to identify the patterns and marks the liquidity lines accordingly.
2. Indicator then waits for price to return to the liquidity levels and checks if Directional volume pressure to flow-in while the prices hover near the Liquidity zones.
3. Once the Volume pressure is evident, loop in to the ride.
█ When It wont Work:
When there no sufficient Liquidity or sustained Opposite volume pressure, trades are expected to fail.
█ Limitations:
Works only on the scripts which has volume info. Relays on LTF candles to determine intra-bar volumes. Hence, Use on TF greater than 1 min and lesser than 15 min.
█ Indicator Features:
1. StrictEntries: employs' tighter rules (rather most significant setups) on the directional volume pressure applied for the price to move. If unchecked, liberal rules applied on the directional volume pressure leading to more setups being identified.
2. Setup Confirmation period: Indicates Waiting period to analyze the directional volume pressure. Early (lesser wait period) is Risky and Late (longer wait period) is too late for the
ride. Find the quant based on the accuracy of the setup provided in the bottom right table.
3. Algo Enabled with Place Holders:
Indicator is equipped with algo alerts, supported with necessary placeholders to trade any instrument like stock, options etc.
Accepted PlaceHolders (Case Sensitive!!)
1. {{ticker}}-->InstrumentName
2. {{datetime}}-->Date & Time Of Order Placement
3. {{close}}-->LTP Price of Script
4. {{TD}}-->Current Level:
Note: Negative Numbers for Short Setup
5. {{EN}} {{SL}} {{TGT}} {{T1}} {{T2}} --> Trade Levels
6. {{Qty}} {{Qty*x}} --> Qty -> Trade Qty mapped in Settings. Replace x with actual number of your choice for the multiplier
7. {{BS}}-->Based on the Direction of Trade Output shall be with B or S (B == Long Trade & S == Short Trade)
8. {{BUYSELL}}-->Based on the Direction of Trade Output shall be with BUY or SELL (BUY == Long Trade & SELL == Short Trade)
9. {{IBUYSELL}}-->Based on the Direction of Trade Output shall be with BUY or SELL (BUY == SHORT Trade & SELL == LONG Trade)
Dynamic Alerts:
10. { {100R0} }-->Dynamic Place Holder 100 Refers to Strike Difference and Zero refers to ATM
11. { {100R-1} }-->Dynamic Place Holder 100 Refers to Strike Difference and -1 refers to
ATM - 100 strike
12. { {50R2} }-->Dynamic Place Holder 50 Refers to Strike Difference and 2 refers to
ATM + (2 * 50 = 100) strike
13. { {"ddMMyy", 0} }-->Dynamically Picks today date in the specified format.
14. { {"ddMMyy", n} }-->replace n with actual number of your choice to Pick date post today date in the specified format.
15. { {"ddMMyy", "MON"} }-->dynamically pick Monday date (coming Monday, if today is not Monday)
Note. for the 2nd Param-->you can choose to specify either Number OR any letter from =>
16. {{CEPE}} {{ICEPE}} {{CP}} {{ICP}} -> Dynamic Option Side CE or C refers to Calls and PE or P refers to Puts. If "I" is used in PlaceHolder text, On long entries PUTs shall be used
Indicator is equipped with customizable Trade & Risk management settings like multiple Take profit levels, Trailing SL.
Weekly pecentage tracker by PRIVATE
Settings Picture below this link: 👇
i.ibb.co
What it is
A lightweight “Weekly % Tracker” overlay that lets you manually enter weekly performance (in percent) for XAUUSD + up to 10 FX pairs, then shows:
a small table panel with each enabled symbol and its % result
one TOTAL row (Sum / Average / Compounded across all enabled symbols)
an optional mini badge showing the % for a single selected symbol
Nothing is auto-calculated from price—you type the % yourself.
Key settings
Panel: show/hide, position, number of decimals, colors (background, text, green/red).
Total mode:
Sum – adds percentages
Average – mean of enabled rows
Compounded –
(
∏
(
1
+
𝑝
/
100
)
−
1
)
×
100
(∏(1+p/100)−1)×100
Symbols:
XAUUSD (toggle + label + % input)
10 FX pairs (each has On/Off, label text, % input). You can rename labels to any symbol text you want.
Mini badge: show/hide, position, and symbol to display.
How it works
Overlay indicator: overlay=true; just draws UI on the chart (no plots).
Arrays (syms, vals, ons) collect the row data in order: XAU first, then FX1…FX10.
Helpers:
posFrom() converts a position string (e.g., “Top Right”) into a position.* constant.
wp_col() picks green/red/neutral based on the sign of the %.
wp_round() rounds values to the selected decimals.
calc_total() computes the TOTAL with the chosen mode over enabled rows only.
Table creation logic:
Counts how many rows are enabled.
If none enabled or panel is off: the panel table is deleted, so no box/background is visible.
If enabled and on: the panel is (re)created at the chosen position.
On each last bar (barstate.islast), it clears the table to transparent (bgcolor=na) and then fills one row per enabled symbol, followed by a single TOTAL row.
Mini badge:
Always (re)created on position change.
Shows selected symbol’s % (or “-” if that symbol isn’t enabled or has no value).
Colors text green/red by sign.
Notes & limits
It’s manual input—the script doesn’t read trades or P/L from price.
You can rename each row’s label to match any symbol name you want.
When no rows are enabled, the panel disappears entirely (no empty background).
Designed to be light: only draws tables; no heavy plotting.
If you want the TOTAL row to be optional, or different color thresholds, or CSV-style export/import of the values, say the word and I’ll add it.
Pivot Matrix & Multi-Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics________________________________________
📘 Study Material for Pivot Matrix & Multi Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics
(By aiTrendview — Educational Use Only)
________________________________________
🎯 Introduction
The Pivot Matrix & Multi Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics indicator is designed to help traders visualize pivot points, support/resistance levels, VWAP, and volume flow analytics all in one place. Rather than giving explicit buy/sell calls, the dashboard provides reference insights so a learner may understand how different technical levels interact in real time.
This document explains its functionality step by step with formulas and usage guides.
________________________________________
1️⃣ Pivot System Logic
Pivot points are classic tools for mapping market support and resistance levels.
✦ How Calculated?
Using the Traditional Method:
• Pivot Point (PP):
PP=Highprev+Lowprev+Closeprev3PP = \frac{High_{prev} + Low_{prev} + Close_{prev}}{3}PP=3Highprev+Lowprev+Closeprev
• First Support/Resistance:
R1=2×PP−Lowprev,S1=2×PP−HighprevR1 = 2 \times PP - Low_{prev}, \quad S1 = 2 \times PP - High_{prev}R1=2×PP−Lowprev,S1=2×PP−Highprev
• Second Support/Resistance:
R2=PP+(Highprev−Lowprev),S2=PP−(Highprev−Lowprev)R2 = PP + (High_{prev} - Low_{prev}), \quad S2 = PP - (High_{prev} - Low_{prev})R2=PP+(Highprev−Lowprev),S2=PP−(Highprev−Lowprev)
• Third Levels:
R3=Highprev+2×(PP−Lowprev),S3=Lowprev−2×(Highprev−PP)R3 = High_{prev} + 2 \times (PP - Low_{prev}), \quad S3 = Low_{prev} - 2 \times (High_{prev} - PP)R3=Highprev+2×(PP−Lowprev),S3=Lowprev−2×(Highprev−PP)
• Similarly, R4/R5 and S4/S5 are extrapolated from extended range multipliers.
✦ How Used?
• Price above PP → bullish control bias.
• Price below PP → bearish control bias.
• R1–R5 levels act as resistances; S1–S5 act as supports.
Learners should watch how candles behave when approaching R/S zones to spot breakout vs. rejection conditions.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Multi Timeframe Logic
The indicator allows using daily-based pivot values (via request.security). This ensures alignment with institutional daily levels, not just intraday recalculations.
✦ Teaching Value
Understanding MTF pivots shows how markets respect higher timeframe levels (daily > intraday, weekly > daily). This helps learners grasp nested support-resistance structures.
________________________________________
3️⃣ VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
Formula:
VWAPt=∑(Pricei×Volumei)∑(Volumei),Pricei=High+Low+Close3VWAP_t = \frac{\sum (Price_i \times Volume_i)}{\sum (Volume_i)}, \quad Price_i = \frac{High + Low + Close}{3}VWAPt=∑(Volumei)∑(Pricei×Volumei),Pricei=3High+Low+Close
Usage:
• VWAP is used as an institutional benchmark of fair value.
• Above VWAP = bullish flow.
• Below VWAP = bearish flow.
Learners should check whether price respects VWAP as a magnet or uses it as support/resistance.
________________________________________
4️⃣ Volume Flow Analysis
The script classifies buy volume, sell volume, and neutral volume.
• Buy Volume = if close > open.
• Sell Volume = if close < open.
• Neutral Volume = if close = open.
For daily tracking:
Buy%=DayBuyVolDayTotalVol×100,Sell%=DaySellVolDayTotalVol×100Buy\% = \frac{DayBuyVol}{DayTotalVol} \times 100, \quad Sell\% = \frac{DaySellVol}{DayTotalVol} \times 100Buy%=DayTotalVolDayBuyVol×100,Sell%=DayTotalVolDaySellVol×100
Usage for Learners:
• Dominant Buy% → accumulation/ bullish pressure.
• Dominant Sell% → distribution/ bearish pressure.
• Balanced → sideways liquidity building.
This teaches observation of order flow bias rather than relying only on price.
________________________________________
5️⃣ Dashboard Progress Bars & Colors
The script uses visual progress bars and dynamic colors for clarity. For example:
• VWAP Backgrounds: Green shades when price strongly above VWAP, Red when below.
• Volume Bars: More green blocks mean buying dominance, red means selling pressure.
This visual design turns concepts into easy-to-digest cues, useful for training.
________________________________________
6️⃣ Market Status Summary
Finally, the dashboard synthesizes all data points:
• Price vs Pivot (above or below).
• Price vs VWAP (above or below).
• Volume Pressure (buy side vs sell side).
Status Rule:
• If all three align bullish → Status box turns green.
• If mixed → Neutral grey.
• If bearish dominance → weaker tone.
Why Important?
This teaches learners that market conditions should align in confluence across indicators before confidence arises.
________________________________________
⚠️ Strict Disclaimer (aiTrendview)
The Pivot Matrix & Multi Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics tool is developed by aiTrendview for strictly educational and research purposes.
❌ It does NOT provide buy/sell recommendations.
❌ It does NOT guarantee profits.
❌ Unauthorized use, copying, or redistribution of this code is prohibited.
⚠️ Trading Risk Warning:
• Trading involves high risk of financial loss.
• You may lose more than your capital.
• Past levels and indicators do not predict future outcomes.
This tool must be viewed as a visual education aid to practice technical analysis skills, not as trading advice.
________________________________________
✅ Now you have a step by step study guide:
• Pivot calculations explained
• VWAP with logic
• Volume breakdown
• Visual analytics
• Status confluence logic
• Disclaimer for compliance
________________________________________
⚠️ Warning:
• Trading financial markets involves substantial risk.
• You can lose more money than you invest.
• Past performance of indicators does not guarantee future results.
• This script must not be copied, resold, or republished without authorization from aiTrendview.
By using this material or the code, you agree to take full responsibility for your trading decisions and acknowledge that this is not financial advice.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer and Warning (From aiTrendview)
This Dynamic Trading Dashboard is created strictly for educational and research purposes on the TradingView platform. It does not provide financial advice, buy/sell recommendations, or guaranteed returns. Any use of this tool in live trading is completely at the user’s own risk. Markets are inherently risky; losses can exceed initial investment.
The intellectual property of this script and its methodology belongs to aiTrendview. Unauthorized reproduction, modification, or redistribution of this code is strictly prohibited. By using this study material or the script, you acknowledge personal responsibility for any trading outcomes. Always consult professional financial advisors before making investment decisions.
Market Outlook Score (MOS)Overview
The "Market Outlook Score (MOS)" is a custom technical indicator designed for TradingView, written in Pine Script version 6. It provides a quantitative assessment of market conditions by aggregating multiple factors, including trend strength across different timeframes, directional movement (via ADX), momentum (via RSI changes), volume dynamics, and volatility stability (via ATR). The MOS is calculated as a weighted score that ranges typically between -1 and +1 (though it can exceed these bounds in extreme conditions), where positive values suggest bullish (long) opportunities, negative values indicate bearish (short) setups, and values near zero imply neutral or indecisive markets.
This indicator is particularly useful for traders seeking a holistic "outlook" score to gauge potential entry points or market bias. It overlays on a separate pane (non-overlay mode) and visualizes the score through horizontal threshold lines and dynamic labels showing the numeric MOS value along with a simple trading decision ("Long", "Short", or "Neutral"). The script avoids using the plot function for compatibility reasons (e.g., potential TradingView bugs) and instead relies on hline for static lines and label.new for per-bar annotations.
Key features:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Incorporates slope data from 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute charts to capture short-term trends.
Trend and Strength Integration: Uses ADX to weight trend bias, ensuring stronger signals in trending markets.
Momentum and Volume: Includes RSI momentum impulses and volume deviations for added confirmation.
Volatility Adjustment: Factors in ATR changes to assess market stability.
Customizable Inputs: Allows users to tweak periods for lookback, ADX, and ATR.
Decision Labels: Automatically classifies the MOS into actionable categories with visual labels.
This indicator is best suited for intraday or swing trading on volatile assets like stocks, forex, or cryptocurrencies. It does not generate buy/sell signals directly but can be combined with other tools (e.g., moving averages or oscillators) for comprehensive strategies.
Inputs
The script provides three user-configurable inputs via TradingView's input panel:
Lookback Period (lookback):
Type: Integer
Default: 20
Range: Minimum 10, Maximum 50
Purpose: Defines the number of bars used in slope calculations for trend analysis. A shorter lookback makes the indicator more sensitive to recent price action, while a longer one smooths out noise for longer-term trends.
ADX Period (adxPeriod):
Type: Integer
Default: 14
Range: Minimum 5, Maximum 30
Purpose: Sets the smoothing period for the Average Directional Index (ADX) and its components (DI+ and DI-). Standard value is 14, but shorter periods increase responsiveness, and longer ones reduce false signals.
ATR Period (atrPeriod):
Type: Integer
Default: 14
Range: Minimum 5, Maximum 30
Purpose: Determines the period for the Average True Range (ATR) calculation, which measures volatility. Adjust this to match your trading timeframe—shorter for scalping, longer for positional trading.
These inputs allow customization without editing the code, making the indicator adaptable to different market conditions or user preferences.
Core Calculations
The MOS is computed through a series of steps, blending trend, momentum, volume, and volatility metrics. Here's a breakdown:
Multi-Timeframe Slopes:
The script fetches data from higher timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m) using request.security.
Slope calculation: For each timeframe, it computes the linear regression slope of price over the lookback period using the formula:
textslope = correlation(close, bar_index, lookback) * stdev(close, lookback) / stdev(bar_index, lookback)
This measures the rate of price change, where positive slopes indicate uptrends and negative slopes indicate downtrends.
Variables: slope5m, slope15m, slope30m.
ATR (Average True Range):
Calculated using ta.atr(atrPeriod).
Represents average volatility over the specified period. Used later to derive volatility stability.
ADX (Average Directional Index):
A detailed, manual implementation (not using built-in ta.adx for customization):
Computes upward movement (upMove = high - high ) and downward movement (downMove = low - low).
Derives +DM (Plus Directional Movement) and -DM (Minus Directional Movement) by filtering non-relevant moves.
Smooths true range (trur = ta.rma(ta.tr(true), adxPeriod)).
Calculates +DI and -DI: plusDI = 100 * ta.rma(plusDM, adxPeriod) / trur, similarly for minusDI.
DX: dx = 100 * abs(plusDI - minusDI) / max(plusDI + minusDI, 0.0001).
ADX: adx = ta.rma(dx, adxPeriod).
ADX values above 25 typically indicate strong trends; here, it's normalized (divided by 50) to influence the trend bias.
Volume Delta (5m Timeframe):
Fetches 5m volume: volume_5m = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "5", volume, lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on).
Computes a 12-period SMA of volume: avgVolume = ta.sma(volume_5m, 12).
Delta: (volume_5m - avgVolume) / avgVolume (or 0 if avgVolume is zero).
This measures relative volume spikes, where positive deltas suggest increased interest (bullish) and negative suggest waning activity (bearish).
MOS Components and Final Calculation:
Trend Bias: Average of the three slopes, normalized by close price and scaled by 100, then weighted by ADX influence: (slope5m + slope15m + slope30m) / 3 / close * 100 * (adx / 50).
Emphasizes trends in strong ADX conditions.
Momentum Impulse: Change in 5m RSI(14) over 1 bar, divided by 50: ta.change(request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "5", ta.rsi(close, 14), lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on), 1) / 50.
Captures short-term momentum shifts.
Volatility Clarity: 1 - ta.change(atr, 1) / max(atr, 0.0001).
Measures ATR stability; values near 1 indicate low volatility changes (clearer trends), while lower values suggest erratic markets.
MOS Formula: Weighted average:
textmos = (0.35 * trendBias + 0.25 * momentumImpulse + 0.2 * volumeDelta + 0.2 * volatilityClarity)
Weights prioritize trend (35%) and momentum (25%), with volume and volatility at 20% each. These can be adjusted in code for experimentation.
Trading Decision:
A variable mosDecision starts as "Neutral".
If mos > 0.15, set to "Long".
If mos < -0.15, set to "Short".
Thresholds (0.15 and -0.15) are hardcoded but can be modified.
Visualization and Outputs
Threshold Lines (using hline):
Long Threshold: Horizontal dashed green line at +0.15.
Short Threshold: Horizontal dashed red line at -0.15.
Neutral Line: Horizontal dashed gray line at 0.
These provide visual reference points for MOS interpretation.
Dynamic Labels (using label.new):
Placed at each bar's index and MOS value.
Text: Formatted MOS value (e.g., "0.2345") followed by a newline and the decision (e.g., "Long").
Style: Downward-pointing label with gray background and white text for readability.
This replaces a traditional plot line, showing exact values and decisions per bar without cluttering the chart.
The indicator appears in a separate pane below the main price chart, making it easy to monitor alongside price action.
Usage Instructions
Adding to TradingView:
Copy the script into TradingView's Pine Script editor.
Save and add to your chart via the "Indicators" menu.
Select a symbol and timeframe (e.g., 1-minute for intraday).
Interpretation:
Long Signal: MOS > 0.15 – Consider bullish positions if supported by other indicators.
Short Signal: MOS < -0.15 – Potential bearish setups.
Neutral: Between -0.15 and 0.15 – Avoid trades or wait for confirmation.
Watch for MOS crossings of thresholds for momentum shifts.
Combine with price patterns, support/resistance, or volume for better accuracy.
Limitations and Considerations:
Lookahead Bias: Uses barmerge.lookahead_on for multi-timeframe data, which may introduce minor forward-looking bias in backtesting (use with caution).
No Alerts Built-In: Add custom alerts via TradingView's alert system based on MOS conditions.
Performance: Tested for compatibility; may require adjustments for illiquid assets or extreme volatility.
Backtesting: Use TradingView's strategy tester to evaluate historical performance, but remember past results don't guarantee future outcomes.
Customization: Edit weights in the MOS formula or thresholds to fit your strategy.
This indicator distills complex market data into a single score, aiding decision-making while encouraging users to verify signals with additional analysis. If you need modifications, such as restoring plot functionality or adding features, provide details for further refinement.
The Barking Rat LiteMomentum & FVG Reversion Strategy
The Barking Rat Lite is a disciplined, short-term mean-reversion strategy that combines RSI momentum filtering, EMA bands, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) detection to identify short-term reversal points. Designed for practical use on volatile markets, it focuses on precise entries and ATR-based take profit management to balance opportunity and risk.
Core Concept
This strategy seeks potential reversals when short-term price action shows exhaustion outside an EMA band, confirmed by momentum and FVG signals:
EMA Bands:
Parameters used: A 20-period EMA (fast) and 100-period EMA (slow).
Why chosen:
- The 20 EMA is sensitive to short-term moves and reflects immediate momentum.
- The 100 EMA provides a slower, structural anchor.
When price trades outside both bands, it often signals overextension relative to both short-term and medium-term trends.
Application in strategy:
- Long entries are only considered when price dips below both EMAs, identifying potential undervaluation.
- Short entries are only considered when price rises above both EMAs, identifying potential overvaluation.
This dual-band filter avoids counter-trend signals that would occur if only a single EMA was used, making entries more selective..
Fair Value Gap Detection (FVG):
Parameters used: The script checks for dislocations using a 12-bar lookback (i.e. comparing current highs/lows with values 12 candles back).
Why chosen:
- A 12-bar displacement highlights significant inefficiencies in price structure while filtering out micro-gaps that appear every few bars in high-volatility markets.
- By aligning FVG signals with candle direction (bullish = close > open, bearish = close < open), the strategy avoids random gaps and instead targets ones that suggest exhaustion.
Application in strategy:
- Bullish FVGs form when earlier lows sit above current highs, hinting at downward over-extension.
- Bearish FVGs form when earlier highs sit below current lows, hinting at upward over-extension.
This gives the strategy a structural filter beyond simple oscillators, ensuring signals have price-dislocation context.
RSI Momentum Filter:
Parameters used: 14-period RSI with thresholds of 80 (overbought) and 20 (oversold).
Why chosen:
- RSI(14) is a widely recognized momentum measure that balances responsiveness with stability.
- The thresholds are intentionally extreme (80/20 vs. the more common 70/30), so the strategy only engages at genuine exhaustion points rather than frequent minor corrections.
Application in strategy:
- Longs trigger when RSI < 20, suggesting oversold exhaustion.
- Shorts trigger when RSI > 80, suggesting overbought exhaustion.
This ensures entries are not just technically valid but also backed by momentum extremes, raising conviction.
ATR-Based Take Profit:
Parameters used: 14-period ATR, with a default multiplier of 4.
Why chosen:
- ATR(14) reflects the prevailing volatility environment without reacting too much to outliers.
- A multiplier of 4 is a pragmatic compromise: wide enough to let trades breathe in volatile conditions, but tight enough to enforce disciplined exits before mean reversion fades.
Application in strategy:
- At entry, a fixed target is set = Entry Price ± (ATR × 4).
- This target scales automatically with volatility: narrower in calm periods, wider in explosive markets.
By avoiding discretionary exits, the system maintains rule-based discipline.
Visual Signals on Chart
Blue “▲” below candle: Potential long entry
Orange/Yellow “▼” above candle: Potential short entry
Green “✔️”: Trade closed at ATR take profit
Blue (20 EMA) & Orange (100 EMA) lines: Dynamic channel reference
⚙️Strategy report properties
Position size: 25% equity per trade
Initial capital: 10,000.00 USDT
Pyramiding: 10 entries per direction
Slippage: 2 ticks
Commission: 0.055% per side
Backtest timeframe: 1-minute
Backtest instrument: HYPEUSDT
Backtesting range: Jul 28, 2025 — Aug 17, 2025
Note on Sample Size:
You’ll notice the report displays fewer than the ideal 100 trades in the strategy report above. This is intentional. The goal of the script is to isolate high-quality, short-term reversal opportunities while filtering out low-conviction setups. This means that the Barking Rat Lite strategy is very selective, filtering out over 90% of market noise. The brief timeframe shown in the strategy report here illustrates its filtering logic over a short window — not its full capabilities. As a result, even on lower timeframes like the 1-minute chart, signals are deliberately sparse — each one must pass all criteria before triggering.
For a larger dataset:
Once the strategy is applied to your chart, users are encouraged to expand the lookback range or apply the strategy to other volatile pairs to view a full sample.
💡Why 25% Equity Per Trade?
While it's always best to size positions based on personal risk tolerance, we defaulted to 25% equity per trade in the backtesting data — and here’s why:
Backtests using this sizing show manageable drawdowns even under volatile periods.
The strategy generates a sizeable number of trades, reducing reliance on a single outcome.
Combined with conservative filters, the 25% setting offers a balance between aggression and control.
Users are strongly encouraged to customize this to suit their risk profile.
What makes Barking Rat Lite valuable
Combines multiple layers of confirmation: EMA bands + FVG + RSI
Adaptive to volatility: ATR-based exits scale with market conditions
Clear, actionable visuals: Easy to monitor and manage trades
NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner# NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner
## 🎯 Overview
The NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner analyzes the top-weighted stocks in the NASDAQ-100 index to provide real-time bullish/bearish sentiment signals that can help predict NAS100 price movements. This indicator combines multiple technical analysis methods to give traders a comprehensive view of underlying market sentiment.
## 📊 How It Works
The indicator calculates sentiment scores for major NASDAQ-100 components (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA, AVGO, COST, NFLX) using:
- **RSI Analysis**: Identifies overbought/oversold conditions
- **Moving Average Trends**: Compares fast vs slow MA positioning
- **Volume Confirmation**: Validates moves with volume thresholds
- **Price Momentum**: Analyzes recent price direction
- **Market Cap Weighting**: Uses actual NASDAQ-100 weightings for accuracy
## 🚀 Key Features
### Real-Time Sentiment Analysis
- Weighted composite score based on individual stock analysis
- Color-coded sentiment line (Green = Bullish, Red = Bearish)
- Dynamic background coloring for strong signals
### Interactive Data Table
- Shows individual stock scores and signals
- Bullish/Bearish stock count summary
- Customizable position and size
### Smart Signal System
- **Bullish Signals**: Green triangle up when sentiment crosses threshold
- **Bearish Signals**: Red triangle down when sentiment falls below threshold
- **Alert Conditions**: Automatic notifications for signal changes
## ⚙️ Customization Options
### Technical Analysis Settings
- **RSI Period**: Adjust lookback period (default: 14)
- **RSI Levels**: Set overbought/oversold thresholds
- **Moving Averages**: Configure fast/slow MA periods
- **Volume Threshold**: Set volume confirmation multiplier
### Signal Thresholds
- **Bullish/Bearish Levels**: Customize trigger points
- **Strong Signal Levels**: Set extreme sentiment thresholds
- Fine-tune sensitivity to market conditions
### Display Options
- **Toggle Table**: Show/hide sentiment data table
- **Table Position**: 6 position options (Top/Bottom/Middle + Left/Right)
- **Table Size**: Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, or Large
- **Background Colors**: Enable/disable signal backgrounds
- **Signal Arrows**: Show/hide buy/sell indicators
### Stock Selection
- **Individual Control**: Enable/disable any of the 10 major stocks
- **Dynamic Weighting**: Automatically adjusts calculations based on selected stocks
- **Flexible Analysis**: Focus on specific sectors or market leaders
## 📈 How to Use
### 1. Basic Setup
1. Add the indicator to your NAS100 chart
2. Default settings work well for most traders
3. Observe the sentiment line and signals
### 2. Signal Interpretation
- **Score > 30**: Bullish bias for NAS100
- **Score > 50**: Strong bullish signal
- **Score -30 to 30**: Neutral/consolidation
- **Score < -30**: Bearish bias for NAS100
- **Score < -50**: Strong bearish signal
### 3. Trading Strategies
**Trend Following:**
- Buy NAS100 when bullish signals appear
- Sell/short when bearish signals trigger
- Use background colors for quick visual confirmation
**Divergence Trading:**
- Watch for sentiment/price divergences
- Strong sentiment with weak NAS100 price = potential breakout
- Weak sentiment with strong NAS100 price = potential reversal
**Consensus Trading:**
- Monitor bullish/bearish stock counts in table
- 8+ stocks aligned = strong directional bias
- Mixed signals = wait for clearer consensus
### 4. Advanced Usage
- Combine with your existing NAS100 trading strategy
- Use multiple timeframes for confirmation
- Adjust thresholds based on market volatility
- Focus on specific stocks by disabling others
## 🔔 Alert Setup
The indicator includes built-in alert conditions:
1. Go to TradingView Alerts
2. Select "NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner"
3. Choose from available alert types:
- NAS100 Bullish Signal
- NAS100 Bearish Signal
- Strong Bullish Consensus
- Strong Bearish Consensus
## 💡 Pro Tips
### Optimization
- **High Volatility**: Increase signal thresholds (±40, ±60)
- **Low Volatility**: Decrease thresholds (±20, ±40)
- **Day Trading**: Use smaller table, focus on real-time signals
- **Swing Trading**: Enable background colors, larger thresholds
### Best Practices
- Don't use as a standalone system - combine with price action
- Check individual stock table for context
- Monitor during market open for most reliable signals
- Consider earnings seasons for individual stock impacts
### Market Conditions
- **Trending Markets**: Higher accuracy, use with trend following
- **Ranging Markets**: Watch for false signals, increase thresholds
- **News Events**: Individual stock news can skew sentiment temporarily
## 🎨 Visual Guide
- **Green Line Above Zero**: Bullish sentiment building
- **Red Line Below Zero**: Bearish sentiment building
- **Background Color Changes**: Strong signal confirmation
- **Triangle Arrows**: Entry/exit signal points
- **Table Colors**: Quick sentiment overview
## ⚠️ Important Notes
- This indicator analyzes component stocks, not NAS100 directly
- Market cap weightings approximate real NASDAQ-100 weightings
- Sentiment can change rapidly during volatile periods
- Always use proper risk management
- Combine with other technical analysis tools
## 🔧 Troubleshooting
- **No signals**: Check if thresholds are too extreme
- **Too many signals**: Increase threshold sensitivity
- **Table not showing**: Ensure "Show Sentiment Table" is enabled
- **Missing stocks**: Verify individual stock toggles in settings
---
**Suitable for**: Day traders, swing traders, NAS100 specialists, index traders
**Best Timeframes**: 5min, 15min, 1H, 4H
**Market Sessions**: US market hours for highest accuracy
Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5.1Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5
User Manual (Pine Script v6)
What this tool does (in one line)
A compact, on-chart table that scores the current chart symbol (or an optional override) using momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pattern checks—so you can quickly decide UP, DOWN, or WAIT.
Quick Start (90 seconds)
Add the indicator to any chart and timeframe (1m…1M).
Leave “Override chart symbol” = OFF to auto-use the chart’s symbol.
Choose your layout:
Row (wide horizontal strip), or Grid (title + labeled cells).
Pick a size preset (Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile).
Optional: turn on “Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50)” and set HTF Multiplier (e.g., 4 ⇒ if chart is 15m, HTF is 60m).
Watch the table:
DIR (↑/↓/→), ROC%, MOM, VOL, EMA stack, HTF, REV, SCORE, ACT.
Add an alert if you want: the script fires when |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
What to expect
A small table appears on the chart corner you choose, updating each bar (or only at bar close if you keep default smart-update).
The ACT cell shows 🔥 (strong), 👀 (medium), or ⏳ (weak).
Panels & Settings (every option explained)
Core
Momentum Period: Lookback for rate-of-change (ROC%). Shorter = more reactive; longer = smoother.
ROC% Threshold: Minimum absolute ROC% to call direction UP (↑) or DOWN (↓); otherwise →.
Require Volume Confirmation: If ON and VOL ≤ 1.0, the SCORE is forced to 0 (prevents low-volume false positives).
Override chart symbol + Custom symbol: By default, the indicator uses the chart’s symbol. Turn this ON to lock to a specific ticker (e.g., a perpetual).
Higher TF
Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50): Compares EMA20 vs EMA50 on a higher timeframe.
HTF Multiplier: Higher TF = (chart TF × multiplier).
Example: on 3H chart with multiplier 2 ⇒ HTF = 6H.
Volatility & Oscillators
ATR Length: Used to show ATR% (ATR relative to price).
RSI Length: Standard RSI; colors: green ≤30 (oversold), red ≥70 (overbought).
Stoch %K Length: With %D = SMA(%K, 3).
MACD Fast/Slow/Signal: Standard MACD values; we display Line, Signal, Histogram (L/S/H).
ADX Length (Wilder): Wilder’s smoothing (internal derivation); also shows +DI / −DI if you enable the ADX column.
EMAs / Trend
EMA Fast/Mid/Slow: We compute EMA(20/50/200) by default (editable).
EMA Stack: Bull if Fast > Mid > Slow; Bear if Fast < Mid < Slow; Flat otherwise.
Benchmark (optional, OFF by default)
Show Relative Strength vs Benchmark: Displays RS% = ROC(symbol) − ROC(benchmark) over the Momentum Period.
Benchmark Symbol: Ticker used for comparison (e.g., BTCUSDT as a market proxy).
Columns (show/hide)
Toggle which fields appear in the table. Hiding unused fields keeps the layout clean (especially on mobile).
Display
Layout Mode:
Row = a single two-row strip; each column is a metric.
Grid = a title row plus labeled pairs (label/value) arranged in rows.
Size Preset: Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile change text size and the grid density.
Table Corner: Where the panel sits (e.g., Top Right).
Opaque Table Background: ON = dark card; OFF = transparent(ish).
Update Every Bar: ON = update intra-bar; OFF = smart update (last bar / real-time / confirmed history).
Action threshold (|score|): The cutoff for 🔥 and alert firing (default 70).
How to read each field
CHART: The active symbol name (or your custom override).
DIR: ↑ (ROC% > threshold), ↓ (ROC% < −threshold), → otherwise.
ROC%: Rate of change over Momentum Period.
Formula: (Close − Close ) / Close × 100.
MOM: A scaled momentum score: min(100, |ROC%| × 10).
VOL: Volume ratio vs 20-bar SMA: Volume / SMA(Volume,20).
1.5 highlights as yellow (significant participation).
ATR%: (ATR / Close) × 100 (volatility relative to price).
RSI: Colored for extremes: ≤30 green, ≥70 red.
Stoch K/D: %K and %D numbers.
MACD L/S/H: Line, Signal, Histogram. Histogram color reflects sign (green > 0, red < 0).
ADX, +DI, −DI: Trend strength and directional components (Wilder). ADX ≥ 25 is highlighted.
EMA 20/50/200: Current EMA values (editable lengths).
STACK: Bull/Bear/Flat as defined above.
VWAP%: (Close − VWAP) / Close × 100 (premium/discount to VWAP).
HTF: ▲ if HTF EMA20 > EMA50; ▼ if <; · if flat/off.
RS%: Symbol’s ROC% − Benchmark ROC% (positive = outperforming).
REV (reversal):
🟢 Eng/Pin = bullish engulfing or bullish pin detected,
🔴 Eng/Pin = bearish engulfing or bearish pin,
· = none.
SCORE (absolute shown as a number; sign shown via DIR and ACT):
Components:
base = MOM × 0.4
volBonus = VOL > 1.5 ? 20 : VOL × 13.33
htfBonus = use_mtf ? (HTF == DIR ? 30 : HTF == 0 ? 15 : 0) : 0
trendBonus = (STACK == DIR) ? 10 : 0
macdBonus = 0 (placeholder for future versions)
scoreRaw = base + volBonus + htfBonus + trendBonus + macdBonus
SCORE = DIR ≥ 0 ? scoreRaw : −scoreRaw
If Require Volume Confirmation and VOL ≤ 1.0 ⇒ SCORE = 0.
ACT:
🔥 if |SCORE| ≥ threshold
👀 if 50 < |SCORE| < threshold
⏳ otherwise
Practical examples
Strong long (trend + participation)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +3.2, MOM ≈ 32, VOL = 1.9, STACK = Bull, HTF = ▲, REV = 🟢
SCORE: base(12.8) + volBonus(20) + htfBonus(30) + trend(10) ≈ 73 → ACT = 🔥
Action idea: look for longs on pullbacks; confirm risk with ATR%.
Weak long (no volume)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +1.0, but VOL = 0.8 and Require Volume Confirmation = ON
SCORE forced to 0 → ACT = ⏳
Action: wait for volume > 1.0 or turn off confirmation knowingly.
Bearish reversal warning
DIR = →, REV = 🔴 (bearish engulfing), RSI = 68, HTF = ▼
SCORE may be mid-range; ACT = 👀
Action: watch for breakdown and rising VOL.
Alerts (how to use)
The script calls alert() whenever |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
To receive pop-ups, sounds, or emails: click “⏰ Alerts” in TradingView, choose this indicator, and pick “Any alert() function call.”
The alert message includes: symbol, |SCORE|, DIR.
Layout, Size, and Corner tips
Row is best when you want a compact status ribbon across the top.
Grid is clearer on big screens or when you enable many columns.
Size:
Mobile = one pair per row (tall, readable)
Micro/Small = dense; good for many fields
Large = presentation/screenshots
Corner: If the table overlaps price, change the corner or set Opaque Background = OFF.
Repaint & timeframe behavior
Default smart update prefers stability (last bar / live / confirmed history).
For a stricter, “close-only” behavior (less repaint): turn Update Every Bar = OFF and avoid Heikin Ashi when you want raw market OHLC (HA modifies price inputs).
HTF logic is derived from a clean, integer multiple of your chart timeframe (via multiplier). It works with 3H/4H and any TF.
Performance notes
The script analyzes one symbol (chart or override) with multiple metrics using efficient tuple requests.
If you later want a multi-symbol grid, do it with pages (10–15 per page + rotate) to stay within platform limits (recommended future add-on).
Troubleshooting
No table visible
Ensure the indicator is added and not hidden.
Try toggling Opaque Background or switch Corner (it might be behind other drawings).
Keep Columns count reasonable for the chosen Size.
If you turned ON Override, verify the Custom symbol exists on your data provider.
Numbers look different on HA candles
Heikin Ashi modifies OHLC; switch to regular candles if you need raw price metrics.
3H/4H issues
Use integer HTF Multiplier (e.g., 2, 4). The tool builds the correct string internally; no manual timeframe strings needed.
Power user tips
Volume gating: keeping Require Volume Confirmation = ON filters most fake moves; if you’re a scalper, reduce strictness or turn it off.
Action threshold: 60–80 is typical. Higher = fewer but stronger signals.
Benchmark RS%: great for spotting leaders/laggards; positive RS% = outperformance vs benchmark.
Change policy & safety
This version doesn’t alter your historical logic you tested (no radical changes).
Any future “radical” change (score weights, HTF logic, UI hiding data) will ship with a toggle and an Impact Statement so you can keep old behavior if you prefer.
Glossary (quick)
ROC%: Percent change over N bars.
MOM: Scaled momentum (0–100).
VOL ratio: Volume vs 20-bar average.
ATR%: ATR as % of price.
ADX/DI: Trend strength / direction components (Wilder).
EMA stack: Relationship between EMAs (bullish/bearish/flat).
VWAP%: Premium/discount to VWAP.
RS%: Relative strength vs benchmark.
Coin Jin Multi SMA+ BB+ SMA forecast Ver 2.0Coin Jin Multi SMA + BB + SMA Forecast 2.0
개요
여러 개의 단순이동평균(SMA: 5/20/60/112/224/448/896 + 사용자 정의 X1/X2), 볼린저 밴드(BB), 그리고 접선 기반 곡선 예측선을 한 번에 표시합니다. 예측선은 선형회귀 기울기와 그 변화율(가속도)을 EMA로 스무딩해 곡선 외삽으로 앞으로 그려지며, 어떤 줌에서도 깔끔하게 보이도록 점선(dotted) 스타일을 강제할 수 있습니다.
스택 마커(정배열/역배열) 안내
조건: 이동평균이 정배열(5>20>60>112>224>448>(896)) 또는 역배열(5<20<60<112<224<448<(896))로 새로 전환되는 순간 삼각형 마커가 생성됩니다.
896일선 포함(with 896): SOLID 마커로 표시, Bull = 초록색, Bear = 빨간색.
896일선 미포함(no 896): HOLLOW(윤곽) 마커로 표시, 시선을 덜 끌도록 투명도 70 적용(Bull = 연두, Bear = 빨강 동일색).
방향: Bull = ▼(위, abovebar) / Bear = ▲(아래, belowbar) 로 배치됩니다.
주요 기능
SMA 7종 기본 + 사용자 정의 SMA 2개(X1/X2) 추가(기본 꺼짐, 길이/색/두께/타입 자유).
BB: 길이/배수/선두께/밴드 채움(기본 90% 투명) 지원.
예측선: Forward bars(1–100, 기본 30), 기울기 산출 길이, 스무딩 강도, 세그먼트 개수, 점/대시 스타일 선택 및 도트 강제.
스택(정/역배열) 전환 마커: with 896=SOLID, no 896=HOLLOW(투명도 70).
처음 사용하는 분들을 위한 팁 (중요)
가격 스케일을 ‘우측’으로 고정하세요.
방법 ① 차트 우측 축을 사용(기본).
방법 ② 지표 레전드의 ‘⋯’ 메뉴 → Move to → Right scale.
예측선이 본선과 어긋나 보이면 스케일이 좌측/양측으로 되어 있거나 자동 합침된 경우이니 Right scale로 맞춰주세요.
입력 요약
MA Source, 각 SMA on/off·길이·색·두께·타입
BB length/mult/width/fill/opacity(기본 90)
Forecast bars ahead(1–100), slope lookback, smoothing, segments, style/opacity, 적용 대상 선택(SMA별)
주의/면책
예측선은 가격 예언 도구가 아니라 시각적 외삽 보조지표입니다. 단독 매매 판단에 사용하지 마세요.
공개 스크린샷은 본 지표만 보이도록 깔끔하게 캡처해 주세요(다른 지표/드로잉 혼합 금지).
변경사항(v2.0)
곡선 예측선 안정화 및 도트 강제 개선.
스택 마커 no 896 상태 HOLLOW 투명도 70 적용(가독성 향상).
사용자 정의 SMA X1/X2 추가(기본 OFF).
Coin Jin Multi SMA + BB + SMA Forecast 2.0 (English)
Overview
This indicator plots multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMA: 5/20/60/112/224/448/896 + two user-defined X1/X2), Bollinger Bands, and a tangent-based curved forecast in one overlay. The forecast extrapolates forward using the linear-regression slope and its rate of change (acceleration) smoothed by EMA, and you can force a dotted look so it stays clean at any zoom level.
Stack Markers (Bullish/Bearish alignment)
Markers appear only when a full bullish stack (5>20>60>112>224>448>(896)) or bearish stack (5<20<60<112<224<448<(896)) is newly formed.
With 896 included: shown as SOLID triangles — Bull = green, Bear = red.
Without 896: shown as HOLLOW (outline) with 70 transparency to reduce visual weight — Bull = lime, Bear = red (same hue).
Orientation: Bull = ▼ abovebar, Bear = ▲ belowbar.
Features
7 standard SMAs + two custom SMAs (X1/X2) (default OFF; fully configurable length/color/width/style).
BB with length/multiplier/width/fill (default fill opacity 90%).
Forecast controls: forward bars (1–100, default 30), slope window, smoothing, segment count, style/opacity, force dotted option.
Stack markers: with 896 = SOLID, without 896 = HOLLOW (70 transparency).
First-time setup (Important)
Pin the indicator to the Right price scale.
Option A: Use the right price axis.
Option B: Indicator legend “⋯” → Move to → Right scale.
If the forecast appears detached from the MA, your series is likely on the left/both scales; switch to Right scale.
Inputs
MA source; per-SMA on/off, length, color, width, style
BB length/multiplier/width/fill/opacity (default 90)
Forecast bars ahead (1–100), slope lookback, smoothing, segments, style/opacity, per-SMA apply switches
Disclaimer
The forecast is a visual extrapolation, not a price prediction. Do not use it alone to make trading decisions.
For publication, please use a clean screenshot that shows only this indicator (no mixed overlays).
What’s new in v2.0
More robust curved forecast with improved “force dotted” rendering.
HOLLOW (no 896) markers now use 70 transparency for better readability.
Added two user-defined SMAs (X1/X2), OFF by default.
Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster [BackQuant]Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster
Plain-English overview
This tool projects a cone of plausible future prices by combining two ideas that traders already use intuitively: seasonality and uncertainty. It watches how your market typically behaves around this calendar date, turns that seasonal tendency into a small daily “drift,” then runs many randomized price paths forward to estimate where price could land tomorrow, next week, or a month from now. The result is a probability cone with a clear expected path, plus optional overlays that show how past years tended to move from this point on the calendar. It is a planning tool, not a crystal ball: the goal is to quantify ranges and odds so you can size, place stops, set targets, and time entries with more realism.
What Monte Carlo is and why quants rely on it
• Definition . Monte Carlo simulation is a way to answer “what might happen next?” when there is randomness in the system. Instead of producing a single forecast, it generates thousands of alternate futures by repeatedly sampling random shocks and adding them to a model of how prices evolve.
• Why it is used . Markets are noisy. A single point forecast hides risk. Monte Carlo gives a distribution of outcomes so you can reason in probabilities: the median path, the 68% band, the 95% band, tail risks, and the chance of hitting a specific level within a horizon.
• Core strengths in quant finance .
– Path-dependent questions : “What is the probability we touch a stop before a target?” “What is the expected drawdown on the way to my objective?”
– Pricing and risk : Useful for path-dependent options, Value-at-Risk (VaR), expected shortfall (CVaR), stress paths, and scenario analysis when closed-form formulas are unrealistic.
– Planning under uncertainty : Portfolio construction and rebalancing rules can be tested against a cloud of plausible futures rather than a single guess.
• Why it fits trading workflows . It turns gut feel like “seasonality is supportive here” into quantitative ranges: “median path suggests +X% with a 68% band of ±Y%; stop at Z has only ~16% odds of being tagged in N days.”
How this indicator builds its probability cone
1) Seasonal pattern discovery
The script builds two day-of-year maps as new data arrives:
• A return map where each calendar day stores an exponentially smoothed average of that day’s log return (yesterday→today). The smoothing (90% old, 10% new) behaves like an EWMA, letting older seasons matter while adapting to new information.
• A volatility map that tracks the typical absolute return for the same calendar day.
It calculates the day-of-year carefully (with leap-year adjustment) and indexes into a 365-slot seasonal array so “March 18” is compared with past March 18ths. This becomes the seasonal bias that gently nudges simulations up or down on each forecast day.
2) Choice of randomness engine
You can pick how the future shocks are generated:
• Daily mode uses a Gaussian draw with the seasonal bias as the mean and a volatility that comes from realized returns, scaled down to avoid over-fitting. It relies on the Box–Muller transform internally to turn two uniform random numbers into one normal shock.
• Weekly mode uses bootstrap sampling from the seasonal return history (resampling actual historical daily drifts and then blending in a fraction of the seasonal bias). Bootstrapping is robust when the empirical distribution has asymmetry or fatter tails than a normal distribution.
Both modes seed their random draws deterministically per path and day, which makes plots reproducible bar-to-bar and avoids flickering bands.
3) Volatility scaling to current conditions
Markets do not always live in average volatility. The engine computes a simple volatility factor from ATR(20)/price and scales the simulated shocks up or down within sensible bounds (clamped between 0.5× and 2.0×). When the current regime is quiet, the cone narrows; when ranges expand, the cone widens. This prevents the classic mistake of projecting calm markets into a storm or vice versa.
4) Many futures, summarized by percentiles
The model generates a matrix of price paths (capped at 100 runs for performance inside TradingView), each path stepping forward for your selected horizon. For each forecast day it sorts the simulated prices and pulls key percentiles:
• 5th and 95th → approximate 95% band (outer cone).
• 16th and 84th → approximate 68% band (inner cone).
• 50th → the median or “expected path.”
These are drawn as polylines so you can immediately see central tendency and dispersion.
5) A historical overlay (optional)
Turn on the overlay to sketch a dotted path of what a purely seasonal projection would look like for the next ~30 days using only the return map, no randomness. This is not a forecast; it is a visual reminder of the seasonal drift you are biasing toward.
Inputs you control and how to think about them
Monte Carlo Simulation
• Price Series for Calculation . The source series, typically close.
• Enable Probability Forecasts . Master switch for simulation and drawing.
• Simulation Iterations . Requested number of paths to run. Internally capped at 100 to protect performance, which is generally enough to estimate the percentiles for a trading chart. If you need ultra-smooth bands, shorten the horizon.
• Forecast Days Ahead . The length of the cone. Longer horizons dilute seasonal signal and widen uncertainty.
• Probability Bands . Draw all bands, just 95%, just 68%, or a custom level (display logic remains 68/95 internally; the custom number is for labeling and color choice).
• Pattern Resolution . Daily leans on day-of-year effects like “turn-of-month” or holiday patterns. Weekly biases toward day-of-week tendencies and bootstraps from history.
• Volatility Scaling . On by default so the cone respects today’s range context.
Plotting & UI
• Probability Cone . Plots the outer and inner percentile envelopes.
• Expected Path . Plots the median line through the cone.
• Historical Overlay . Dotted seasonal-only projection for context.
• Band Transparency/Colors . Customize primary (outer) and secondary (inner) band colors and the mean path color. Use higher transparency for cleaner charts.
What appears on your chart
• A cone starting at the most recent bar, fanning outward. The outer lines are the ~95% band; the inner lines are the ~68% band.
• A median path (default blue) running through the center of the cone.
• An info panel on the final historical bar that summarizes simulation count, forecast days, number of seasonal patterns learned, the current day-of-year, expected percentage return to the median, and the approximate 95% half-range in percent.
• Optional historical seasonal path drawn as dotted segments for the next 30 bars.
How to use it in trading
1) Position sizing and stop logic
The cone translates “volatility plus seasonality” into distances.
• Put stops outside the inner band if you want only ~16% odds of a stop-out due to noise before your thesis can play.
• Size positions so that a test of the inner band is survivable and a test of the outer band is rare but acceptable.
• If your target sits inside the 68% band at your horizon, the payoff is likely modest; outside the 68% but inside the 95% can justify “one-good-push” trades; beyond the 95% band is a low-probability flyer—consider scaling plans or optionality.
2) Entry timing with seasonal bias
When the median path slopes up from this calendar date and the cone is relatively narrow, a pullback toward the lower inner band can be a high-quality entry with a tight invalidation. If the median slopes down, fade rallies toward the upper band or step aside if it clashes with your system.
3) Target selection
Project your time horizon to N bars ahead, then pick targets around the median or the opposite inner band depending on your style. You can also anchor dynamic take-profits to the moving median as new bars arrive.
4) Scenario planning & “what-ifs”
Before events, glance at the cone: if the 95% band already spans a huge range, trade smaller, expect whips, and avoid placing stops at obvious band edges. If the cone is unusually tight, consider breakout tactics and be ready to add if volatility expands beyond the inner band with follow-through.
5) Options and vol tactics
• When the cone is tight : Prefer long gamma structures (debit spreads) only if you expect a regime shift; otherwise premium selling may dominate.
• When the cone is wide : Debit structures benefit from range; credit spreads need wider wings or smaller size. Align with your separate IV metrics.
Reading the probability cone like a pro
• Cone slope = seasonal drift. Upward slope means the calendar has historically favored positive drift from this date, downward slope the opposite.
• Cone width = regime volatility. A widening fan tells you that uncertainty grows fast; a narrow cone says the market typically stays contained.
• Mean vs. price gap . If spot trades well above the median path and the upper band, mean-reversion risk is high. If spot presses the lower inner band in an up-sloping cone, you are in the “buy fear” zone.
• Touches and pierces . Touching the inner band is common noise; piercing it with momentum signals potential regime change; the outer band should be rare and often brings snap-backs unless there is a structural catalyst.
Methodological notes (what the code actually does)
• Log returns are used for additivity and better statistical behavior: sim_ret is applied via exp(sim_ret) to evolve price.
• Seasonal arrays are updated online with EWMA (90/10) so the model keeps learning as each bar arrives.
• Leap years are handled; indexing still normalizes into a 365-slot map so the seasonal pattern remains stable.
• Gaussian engine (Daily mode) centers shocks on the seasonal bias with a conservative standard deviation.
• Bootstrap engine (Weekly mode) resamples from observed seasonal returns and adds a fraction of the bias, which captures skew and fat tails better.
• Volatility adjustment multiplies each daily shock by a factor derived from ATR(20)/price, clamped between 0.5 and 2.0 to avoid extreme cones.
• Performance guardrails : simulations are capped at 100 paths; the probability cone uses polylines (no heavy fills) and only draws on the last confirmed bar to keep charts responsive.
• Prerequisite data : at least ~30 seasonal entries are required before the model will draw a cone; otherwise it waits for more history.
Strengths and limitations
• Strengths :
– Probabilistic thinking replaces single-point guessing.
– Seasonality adds a small but meaningful directional bias that many markets exhibit.
– Volatility scaling adapts to the current regime so the cone stays realistic.
• Limitations :
– Seasonality can break around structural changes, policy shifts, or one-off events.
– The number of paths is performance-limited; percentile estimates are good for trading, not for academic precision.
– The model assumes tomorrow’s randomness resembles recent randomness; if regime shifts violently, the cone will lag until the EWMA adapts.
– Holidays and missing sessions can thin the seasonal sample for some assets; be cautious with very short histories.
Tuning guide
• Horizon : 10–20 bars for tactical trades; 30+ for swing planning when you care more about broad ranges than precise targets.
• Iterations : The default 100 is enough for stable 5/16/50/84/95 percentiles. If you crave smoother lines, shorten the horizon or run on higher timeframes.
• Daily vs. Weekly : Daily for equities and crypto where month-end and turn-of-month effects matter; Weekly for futures and FX where day-of-week behavior is strong.
• Volatility scaling : Keep it on. Turn off only when you intentionally want a “pure seasonality” cone unaffected by current turbulence.
Workflow examples
• Swing continuation : Cone slopes up, price pulls into the lower inner band, your system fires. Enter near the band, stop just outside the outer line for the next 3–5 bars, target near the median or the opposite inner band.
• Fade extremes : Cone is flat or down, price gaps to the upper outer band on news, then stalls. Favor mean-reversion toward the median, size small if volatility scaling is elevated.
• Event play : Before CPI or earnings on a proxy index, check cone width. If the inner band is already wide, cut size or prefer options structures that benefit from range.
Good habits
• Pair the cone with your entry engine (breakout, pullback, order flow). Let Monte Carlo do range math; let your system do signal quality.
• Do not anchor blindly to the median; recalc after each bar. When the cone’s slope flips or width jumps, the plan should adapt.
• Validate seasonality for your symbol and timeframe; not every market has strong calendar effects.
Summary
The Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster wraps institutional risk planning into a single overlay: a data-driven seasonal drift, realistic volatility scaling, and a probabilistic cone that answers “where could we be, with what odds?” within your trading horizon. Use it to place stops where randomness is less likely to take you out, to set targets aligned with realistic travel, and to size positions with confidence born from distributions rather than hunches. It will not predict the future, but it will keep your decisions anchored to probabilities—the language markets actually speak.
Prime NumbersPrime Numbers highlights prime numbers (no surprise there 😅), tokens and the recent "active" feature in "input".
🔸 CONCEPTS
🔹 What are Prime Numbers?
A prime number (or a prime) is a natural number greater than 1 that is not a product of two smaller natural numbers.
Wikipedia: Prime number
🔹 Prime Factorization
The fundamental theorem of arithmetic states that every integer larger than 1 can be written as a product of one or more primes. More strongly, this product is unique in the sense that any two prime factorizations of the same number will have the same number of copies of the same primes, although their ordering may differ. So, although there are many different ways of finding a factorization using an integer factorization algorithm, they all must produce the same result. Primes can thus be considered the "basic building blocks" of the natural numbers.
Wikipedia: Fundamental theorem of arithmetic
Math Is Fun: Prime Factorization
We divide a given number by Prime Numbers until only Primes remain.
Example:
24 / 2 = 12 | 24 / 3 = 8
12 / 3 = 4 | 8 / 2 = 4
4 / 2 = 2 | 4 / 2 = 2
|
24 = 2 x 3 x 2 | 24 = 3 x 2 x 2
or | or
24 = 2² x 3 | 24 = 2² x 3
In other words, every natural/integer number above 1 has a unique representation as a product of prime numbers, no matter how the number is divided. Only the order can change, but the factors (the basic elements) are always the same.
🔸 USAGE
The Prime Numbers publication contains two use cases:
Prime Factorization: performed on "close" prices, or a manual chosen number.
List Prime Numbers: shows a list of Prime Numbers.
The other two options are discussed in the DETAILS chapter:
Prime Factorization Without Arrays
Find Prime Numbers
🔹 Prime Factorization
Users can choose to perform Prime Factorization on close prices or a manually given number.
❗️ Note that this option only applies to close prices above 1, which are also rounded since Prime Factorization can only be performed on natural (integer) numbers above 1.
In the image below, the left example shows Prime Factorization performed on each close price for the latest 50 bars (which is set with "Run script only on 'Last x Bars'" -> 50).
The right example shows Prime Factorization performed on a manually given number, in this case "1,340,011". This is done only on the last bar.
When the "Source" option "close price" is chosen, one can toggle "Also current price", where both the historical and the latest current price are factored. If disabled, only historical prices are factored.
Note that, depending on the chosen options, only applicable settings are available, due to a recent feature, namely the parameter "active" in settings.
Setting the "Source" option to "Manual - Limited" will factorize any given number between 1 and 1,340,011, the latter being the highest value in the available arrays with primes.
Setting to "Manual - Not Limited" enables the user to enter a higher number. If all factors of the manual entered number are in the 1 - 1,340,011 range, these factors will be shown; however, if a factor is higher than 1,340,011, the calculation will stop, after which a warning is shown:
The calculated factors are displayed as a label where identical factors are simplified with an exponent notation in superscript.
For example 2 x 2 x 2 x 5 x 7 x 7 will be noted as 2³ x 5 x 7²
🔹 List Prime Numbers
The "List Prime Numbers" option enables users to enter a number, where the first found Prime Number is shown, together with the next x Prime Numbers ("Amount", max. 200)
The highest shown Prime Number is 1,340,011.
One can set the number of shown columns to customize the displayed numbers ("Max. columns", max. 20).
🔸 DETAILS
The Prime Numbers publication consists out of 4 parts:
Prime Factorization Without Arrays
Prime Factorization
List Prime Numbers
Find Prime Numbers
The usage of "Prime Factorization" and "List Prime Numbers" is explained above.
🔹 Prime Factorization Without Arrays
This option is only there to highlight a hurdle while performing Prime Factorization.
The basic method of Prime Factorization is to divide the base number by 2, 3, ... until the result is an integer number. Continue until the remaining number and its factors are all primes.
The division should be done by primes, but then you need to know which one is a prime.
In practice, one performs a loop from 2 to the base number.
Example:
Base_number = input.int(24)
arr = array.new()
n = Base_number
go = true
while go
for i = 2 to n
if n % i == 0
if n / i == 1
go := false
arr.push(i)
label.new(bar_index, high, str.tostring(arr))
else
arr.push(i)
n /= i
break
Small numbers won't cause issues, but when performing the calculations on, for example, 124,001 and a timeframe of, for example, 1 hour, the script will struggle and finally give a runtime error.
How to solve this?
If we use an array with only primes, we need fewer calculations since if we divide by a non-prime number, we have to divide further until all factors are primes.
I've filled arrays with prime numbers and made libraries of them. (see chapter "Find Prime Numbers" to know how these primes were found).
🔹 Tokens
A hurdle was to fill the libraries with as many prime numbers as possible.
Initially, the maximum token limit of a library was 80K.
Very recently, that limit was lifted to 100K. Kudos to the TradingView developers!
What are tokens?
Tokens are the smallest elements of a program that are meaningful to the compiler. They are also known as the fundamental building blocks of the program.
I have included a code block below the publication code (// - - - Educational (2) - - - ) which, if copied and made to a library, will contain exactly 100K tokens.
Adding more exported functions will throw a "too many tokens" error when saving the library. Subtracting 100K from the shown amount of tokens gives you the amount of used tokens for that particular function.
In that way, one can experiment with the impact of each code addition in terms of tokens.
For example adding the following code in the library:
export a() => a = array.from(1) will result in a 100,041 tokens error, in other words (100,041 - 100,000) that functions contains 41 tokens.
Some more examples, some are straightforward, others are not )
// adding these lines in one of the arrays results in x tokens
, 1 // 2 tokens
, 111, 111, 111 // 12 tokens
, 1111 // 5 tokens
, 111111111 // 10 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 // 20 tokens
, 1234567890123456789 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 + 1 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 + 8 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 + 9 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 * 1 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 * 9 // 21 tokens
, 9999999999999999999 // 21 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 * 10 // 21 tokens
, 11111111111111111110 // 21 tokens
//adding these functions to the library results in x tokens
export f() => 1 // 4 tokens
export f() => v = 1 // 4 tokens
export f() => var v = 1 // 4 tokens
export f() => var v = 1, v // 4 tokens
//adding these functions to the library results in x tokens
export a() => const arraya = array.from(1) // 42 tokens
export a() => arraya = array.from(1) // 42 tokens
export a() => a = array.from(1) // 41 tokens
export a() => array.from(1) // 32 tokens
export a() => a = array.new() // 44 tokens
export a() => a = array.new(), a.push(1) // 56 tokens
What if we could lower the amount of tokens, so we can export more Prime Numbers?
Look at this example:
829111, 829121, 829123, 829151, 829159, 829177, 829187, 829193
Eight numbers contain the same number 8291.
If we make a function that removes recurrent values, we get fewer tokens!
829111, 829121, 829123, 829151, 829159, 829177, 829187, 829193
//is transformed to:
829111, 21, 23, 51, 59, 77, 87, 93
The code block below the publication code (// - - - Educational (1) - - - ) shows how these values were reduced. With each step of 100, only the first Prime Number is shown fully.
This function could be enhanced even more to reduce recurrent thousands, tens of thousands, etc.
Using this technique enables us to export more Prime Numbers. The number of necessary libraries was reduced to half or less.
The reduced Prime Numbers are restored using the restoreValues() function, found in the library fikira/Primes_4.
🔹 Find Prime Numbers
This function is merely added to show how I filled arrays with Prime Numbers, which were, in turn, added to libraries (after reduction of recurrent values).
To know whether a number is a Prime Number, we divide the given number by values of the Primes array (Primes 2 -> max. 1,340,011). Once the division results in an integer, where the divisor is smaller than the dividend, the calculation stops since the given number is not a Prime.
When we perform these calculations in a loop, we can check whether a series of numbers is a Prime or not. Each time a number is proven not to be a Prime, the loop starts again with a higher number. Once all Primes of the array are used without the result being an integer, we have found a new Prime Number, which is added to the array.
Doing such calculations on one bar will result in a runtime error.
To solve this, the findPrimeNumbers() function remembers the index of the array. Once a limit has been reached on 1 bar (for example, the number of iterations), calculations will stop on that bar and restart on the next bar.
This spreads the workload over several bars, making it possible to continue these calculations without a runtime error.
The result is placed in log.info() , which can be copied and pasted into a hardcoded array of Prime Number values.
These settings adjust the amount of workload per bar:
Max Size: maximum size of Primes array.
Max Bars Runtime: maximum amount of bars where the function is called.
Max Numbers To Process Per Bar: maximum numbers to check on each bar, whether they are Prime Numbers.
Max Iterations Per Bar: maximum loop calculations per bar.
🔹 The End
❗️ The code and description is written without the help of an LLM, I've only used Grammarly to improve my description (without AI :) )
Major Lows OscillatorDescription
The Major Lows Oscillator is a custom technical indicator designed to identify significant low-price areas by normalizing the current closing price relative to recent lowest lows and highest highs. The oscillator calculates a normalized price percentage over a configurable lookback period, applies exponential moving averages for smoothing, and inverts the result to highlight potential market bottoms.
Calculation Details
Lowest Low Lookback : Finds the lowest low over a user-defined period (default 100 bars).
Highest High Lookback : Calculates the highest high over a short period (default 1 bar), providing a dynamic normalization range.
Normalization : Normalizes the current close within the range defined by the lowest low and highest high, scaled to 0-100.
Smoothing : Applies a 10-period EMA, inversion, and weighted smoothing combining the last valid value and current oscillator reading.
Final Output : Applies a final EMA (period 1) and inverts the oscillator (100 - value) to emphasize major lows.
Features
Customizable midline level for signal alerts (default 50).
Visual midline reference line.
Alerts trigger on oscillator crossing below midline for automated monitoring.
Usage
Useful for complementing existing setups or integration in algorithmic trading strategies.
Changing the input parameters opens new ways to leverage the asymmetric range concept, allowing adaptation to different market regimes and enhancing the oscillator’s sensitivity and utility.
Examples of input combinations and their potential purposes include:
Extremely Asymmetric Setting: Lowest Low Lookback = 200, Highest High Lookback = 1
Focuses on deep long-term lows contrasted with immediate highs, ideal for spotting strong oversold levels within an otherwise bullish short-term momentum.
Symmetric Lookbacks: Lowest Low Lookback = Highest High Lookback = 50
Balances the range equally, creating a normalized oscillator that treats recent lows and highs with the same weight — useful for markets with balanced volatility.
Short but Equal Lookbacks: Lowest Low Lookback = Highest High Lookback = 10
Highly sensitive to recent price swings, this setting can detect rapid shifts and is suited for intraday or very short-term trading.
Inverted Extreme: Lowest Low Lookback = 1, Highest High Lookback = 100
Highlights very recent lows against a long-term high range, possibly signaling quick dips in a generally overextended market.
Inputs
Midline Level : Threshold for alerts (default 50).
Lowest Low Lookback Period : Bars evaluated for lowest low (default 100).
Highest High Lookback Period : Bars evaluated for highest high (default 1).
Alerts
Configured to trigger once per bar close when the oscillator crosses below the midline level.
---
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and analytical use only.
ABS Companion Oscillator — Trend / Exhaustion / New Trend (v1.1)
# ABS Companion Oscillator — Trend / Exhaustion / New Trend (v1.1)
## What it is (quick take)
**ABS CO** is a unified **–100…+100 trend oscillator** that fuses:
* **Regime**: EMA stack (fast/slow/long) + **HTF slope** (e.g., 60-minute)
* **Momentum**: **TSI** vs its signal
* **Stretch**: session-anchored **VWAP Z-score** for exhaustion and “fresh-trend” sanity checks
It paints the oscillator with **lime** in upstate, **red** in downstate, **gray** in neutral, and tags:
* **NEW↑ / NEW↓** when a **new trend** likely starts (zero-line cross with acceptable stretch)
* **EXH↑ / EXH↓** when an **existing trend looks exhausted** (large |Z| + momentum rollback)
> Use it as a **direction filter and context layer**. Works great in front of an entry engine and behind an exit tool.
---
## How to use it (operational workflow)
1. **Read the state**
* **Uptrend** when the oscillator is **≥ upThresh** (default +55) → prefer **long-side** plays.
* **Downtrend** when the oscillator is **≤ dnThresh** (default −55) → prefer **short-side** plays.
* **Neutral** between thresholds → be selective or flat; expect chop.
2. **Act on events**
* **NEW↑ / NEW↓**: zero-line cross with acceptable |Z| (not already overstretched). Treat as **trend start** cues.
* **EXH↑ / EXH↓**: trend state with **high |Z|** and TSI rollback versus its signal. Treat as **trend fatigue**; avoid fresh go-with entries and tighten risk.
3. **Practical pairing**
* Use **up/down state** (or above/below **neutralBand**) as your go/no-go filter for entries.
* Prioritize entries **with** NEW↑/NEW↓ and **without** nearby EXH tags.
* Keep holding while the oscillator stays in state and no EXH appears; consider scaling out on EXH or on your exit tool.
---
## Visual semantics & alerts
* **ABS CO line** (–100…+100): lime in upstate, red in downstate, gray in neutral.
* **Horizontal guides**: `Up` threshold, `Down` threshold, `Zero`, and optional **neutral band** lines.
* **Background heat** (optional): shaded when EXH conditions trigger (lime/red tint with intensity scaled by |Z|).
* **Tags**: `NEW↑`, `NEW↓`, `EXH↑`, `EXH↓`.
**Alerts (stable):**
* **ABS CO — New Uptrend** (NEW↑)
* **ABS CO — New Downtrend** (NEW↓)
* **ABS CO — Exhausted Up** (EXH↑)
* **ABS CO — Exhausted Down** (EXH↓)
Set alerts to **“Once per bar close”** for clean signals.
---
## Non-repainting behavior
* HTF queries use **lookahead\_off**.
* With **Strict NR = true**, the HTF slope is taken from the **prior completed** HTF bar; events evaluate on confirmed bars → **safer, fewer, cleaner**.
* NEW/EXH tags finalize at bar close. Disabling strictness yields earlier but noisier responses.
---
## Every input explained (and how it changes behavior)
### A) Trend & HTF structure
* **EMA Fast / Slow / Long (`emaFastLen`, `emaSlowLen`, `emaLongLen`)**
Control the baseline regime. Larger = smoother, fewer flips; smaller = snappier, more flips.
* **HTF EMA Len (`htfLen`)** & **HTF timeframe (`htfTF`)**
HTF slope filter. Longer len or higher TF = steadier bias (fewer state changes); shorter/ lower = more sensitive.
* **Strict NR (`strictNR`)**
`true` uses the **previous** HTF bar for slope and evaluates on confirmed bars → cleaner, slower.
### B) Momentum (TSI)
* **TSI Long / Short / Signal (`tsiLong`, `tsiShort`, `tsiSig`)**
Standard TSI. Larger values = smoother momentum, fewer EXH triggers; smaller = snappier, more EXH sensitivity.
### C) Stretch (VWAP Z-score)
* **VWAP Z-score length (`zLen`)**
Window for Z over session-anchored VWAP distance. Larger = smoother |Z|; smaller = more reactive stretch detection.
* **Exhaustion |Z| (`zHot`)**
Minimum |Z| to flag **EXH**. Raise to demand **bigger** stretch (fewer EXH); lower to catch milder excess.
* **Max |Z| for NEW (`zNewMax`)**
NEW requires |Z| **≤ zNewMax** (avoid “new trend” when already stretched). Lower = stricter; higher = more NEW tags.
### D) States & thresholds
* **Uptrend threshold (`upThresh`)** / **Downtrend threshold (`dnThresh`)**
Where the oscillator flips into trend states. Widen (e.g., +60/−60) to reduce false states; narrow to get earlier signals.
* **Neutral band (`neutralBand`)**
Visual buffer around zero for “meh” momentum. Larger band = fewer go/no-go flips near zero.
### E) Visuals & tags
* **Show New / Show Exhausted (`showNew`, `showExh`)**
Toggle the tag labels.
* **Shade exhaustion heat (`plotHeat`)**
On = color background when EXH fires. Helpful for scanning.
### F) Smoothing
* **Osc smoothing (`smoothLen`)**
EMA over the raw composite. Higher = steadier line (fewer whip flips); lower = faster turns.
---
## Tuning recipes
* **Trend-day bias (follow moves longer)**
* Raise **`upThresh`** to \~60 and **`dnThresh`** to \~−60
* Keep **`zNewMax`** low (1.0–1.2) to avoid “fresh trend” when stretched
* **`smoothLen`** 3–5 to reduce noise
* **Range-day bias (fade edges)**
* Keep thresholds closer (e.g., +50/−50) for quicker state changes
* Lower **`zHot`** slightly (1.6–1.7) to catch earlier exhaustion
* Consider slightly shorter TSI (e.g., 21/9/5) for faster EXH response
* **Scalping LTF (1–3m)**
* TSI 21/9/5, **`smoothLen`** 1–2
* Thresholds +/-50; **`zNewMax`** 1.0–1.2; **`zHot`** 1.6–1.8
* StrictNR **off** if you want earlier calls (accept more noise)
* **Swing / HTF (1h–D)**
* TSI 35/21/9, **`smoothLen`** 4–7
* Thresholds +/-60\~65; **`zNewMax`** 1.2; **`zHot`** 1.8–2.0
* StrictNR **on** for cleaner bias
---
## Playbooks (how to actually trade it)
* **Go/No-Go Filter**
* Only take **long entries** when the oscillator is **above the neutral band** (preferably ≥ `upThresh`).
* Only take **short entries** when **below** the neutral band (preferably ≤ `dnThresh`).
* Avoid fresh go-with entries if an **EXH** tag appears; let the next setup re-arm.
* **Trend Genesis**
* Treat **NEW↑ / NEW↓** as “green light” for **first pullback** entries in the new direction (ideally within acceptable |Z|).
* **Trend Maturity**
* When in a position and **EXH** prints **against** you, tighten stops, take partials, or lean on your exit tool to protect gains.
---
## Suggested starting points
* **Day trading (5–15m):**
* TSI 25/13/7, `smoothLen=3`, thresholds **+55 / −55**, `zNewMax = 1.2`, `zHot = 1.8`, **StrictNR = true**
* **Scalping (1–3m):**
* TSI 21/9/5, `smoothLen=1–2`, thresholds **+50 / −50**, `zNewMax = 1.1–1.2`, `zHot = 1.6–1.8`, **StrictNR = false** (optional)
* **Swing (1h–D):**
* TSI 35/21/9, `smoothLen=4–6`, thresholds **+60 / −60**, `zNewMax = 1.2`, `zHot = 1.9–2.0`, **StrictNR = true**
---
## Notes & best practices
* **Session anchoring**: Z-score is session-anchored (resets by trading date). If you trade outside standard sessions, verify your data session.
* **Instrument specificity**: Tune **`zHot`**, **`zNewMax`**, and thresholds per symbol and timeframe.
* **Bar-close discipline**: Evaluate tags at **bar close** to avoid intrabar flip-flop.
* This is a **context/confirmation tool**, not a broker or strategy. Combine with your entry/exit rules and position sizing.
---
**Tip:** Start with the suggested day-trading profile. Use this oscillator as your **gate** (only trade with it), let your entry engine time executions, and rely on your exit tool for standardized profit-taking.
Queso Heat IndexQueso Heat Index (QHI) — ATR-Adaptive Edge-Pressure Gauge
QHI measures how strongly price is pressing the edges of a rolling consolidation window. It heats up when price repeatedly pushes the window up , cools down when it pushes down , and drifts back toward neutral when price wanders in the middle. Everything is ATR-normalized so it adapts across symbols and timeframes.
Output: a signed score from −100 … +100
> 0 = bullish pressure (hot)
< 0 = bearish pressure (cold)
≈ 0 = neutral (no side dominating)
What you’ll see on the chart
Rolling “box” (Donchian window): top, bottom, and midline.
Optional compact-box shading when the window height is small relative to ATR.
Background “thermals”: tinted red when Heat > Hot threshold, blue when Heat < Cold threshold (intensity scales with the score).
Optional Heat line (−100..+100), optional 0/±80 thresholds, and optional push markers (PU/PD).
Optional table showing the current Heat score, placeable in any corner.
How it works (under the hood)
Consolidation window — Over lookback bars we track highest high (top), lowest low (bottom), and midpoint. The window is called “compact” when box height ≤ ATR × maxRangeATR .
ATR-based push detection — A bar is a push-up if high > prior window high + (epsATR × ATR + tick buffer) . A push-down if low < prior window low − (epsATR × ATR + tick buffer) . We also measure how many ATRs beyond the edge the bar traveled.
Heat gains (symmetric) — Each push adds/subtracts Heat:
base gain + streak bonus × consecutive pushes + magnitude bonus × ATRs beyond edge .
Decay toward neutral — Each bar, Heat decays by a percentage. Decay is:
– higher in the middle band of the box, and
– adaptive : the farther (in ATRs) from the relevant band (top when hot, bottom when cold), the faster it decays; hugging the band slows decay.
Midpoint bias (optional) — Gentle drift toward hot when trading above mid, toward cold when below mid, with a dead-zone near mid so tiny wobbles don’t matter.
Reset on regime flip (optional) — First valid push from the opposite side can snap Heat back to 0 before applying new gains.
How to read it
Rising hot with slow decay → strong upside pressure; pullbacks that hold near the top band often continue.
Flip to cold after being hot → regime change risk; tighten risk or consider the other side.
Compact window + rising hot (or cold) → squeeze-and-go conditions.
Neutral (≈ 0) → edges aren’t being pressured; expect mean-reversion inside the box.
Key inputs (what they do)
Window & ATR
lookback : size of the Donchian window (longer = smoother, slower).
atrLen : ATR period for all volatility-scaled thresholds.
maxRangeATR : defines “compact” windows for optional shading.
topBottomFrac : how thick the top/bottom bands are (used for decay/pressure logic).
Push detection (ATR-based)
epsATR : how many ATRs beyond the prior edge to count as a real push.
tickBuff : fixed extra ticks beyond the ATR epsilon (filters micro-breaches).
Heat gains
gainBase : main fuel per push.
gainPerStreak : rewards consecutive pushes.
gainPer1ATRBrk : adds more for stronger breakouts past the edge.
resetOppSide : snap back to 0 on the first opposite-side push.
Decay
decayPct : baseline % removed each bar.
decayAccelMid : multiplies decay when price is in the middle band.
adaptiveDecay , decayMinMult , decayPerATR , decayMaxMult : scale decay with ATR distance from the nearest “target” band (top if hot, bottom if cold).
Midpoint bias
useMidBias : enable/disable drift above/below midpoint.
midDeadFrac : width of neutral (no-drift) zone around mid.
midBiasPerBar : max drift per bar at the box edge.
Visuals (all default to OFF for a clean chart)
Plot Heat line + Show 0/±80 lines (only shows thresholds if Heat line is on).
Hot/Cold thresholds & transparency floors for background shading.
Push markers (PU/PD).
Heat score table : toggle on; choose any corner.
Tuning quick-starts
Daily trending equities : lookback 40–60; epsATR 0.10–0.25; gainBase 12–18; gainPerStreak 0.5–1.5; gainPer1ATRBrk 1–2; decayPct 3–6; adaptiveDecay ON (decayPerATR 0.5–0.8).
Intraday / noisy : raise epsATR and tickBuff to filter noise; keep decayPct modest so Heat can build.
Weekly swing : longer lookback/atrLen; slightly lower decayPct so regimes persist.
Alerts (included)
New window HIGH (push-up)
New window LOW (push-down)
Heat turned HOT (crosses above your Hot threshold)
Heat turned COLD (crosses below your Cold threshold)
Best practices & notes
Use QHI as a pressure gauge , not a standalone system—combine with your entry/exit plan and risk rules.
On thin symbols, increase epsATR and/or tickBuff to avoid spurious pushes.
Gap days can register large pushes; ATR scaling helps but consider context.
Want the Heat in a separate pane? Use the companion panel version; keep this overlay for background/box visuals.
Pine v6. Warm-up: values appear as soon as one bar of window history exists.
TL;DR
QHI quantifies how hard price is leaning on a consolidation edge.
It’s ATR-adaptive, streak- and magnitude-aware, and cools off intelligently when momentum fades.
Watch for thermals (background), the score (−100..+100), and fresh push alerts to time entries in the direction of pressure.
RS Ratio vs Benchmark (Colored)📈 RS Ratio vs Benchmark (with Color Change)
A simple but powerful tool to track relative strength against a benchmark like QQQ, SPY, or any other ETF.
🔍 What it Shows
RS Ratio (orange line): Measures how strong a stock is relative to a benchmark.
Moving Average (teal line): Smooths out RS to show trend direction.
Color-coded RS Line:
🟢 Green = RS is above its moving average → strength is increasing.
🔴 Red = RS is below its moving average → strength is fading.
📊 How to Read It
Above 100 = Stock is outperforming the benchmark.
Below 100 = Underperforming.
Rising & Green = Strongest signal — accelerating outperformance.
Above 100 but Red = Consolidating or losing momentum — potential rest period.
Crosses below 100 = Warning sign — underperformance.
✅ Best Uses
Spot leading stocks with strong momentum vs QQQ/SPY.
Identify rotation — when strength shifts between sectors.
Time entries and exits based on RS trends and crossovers.
GMMG CCM SYSTEM HALMACCI INDICATOR BY KUYA NICKOOVERVIEW:
This script is about HALMACCI strategy based on Coach Miranda Miner System (CMM Systems of GMMG). It's an indicator to help traders decide when to enter and exit. This indicator uses Bollinger Band, EMA and ALMA with the length settings used by GMMG.
USAGE:
Apply the indicator to any chart. Best use in lower timeframes (Ex: 5m and 1m). You may use custom length settings but I suggest to stick with the default settings if you are using CMM System.
To enter LONG, If the CCI cross over -100 (shows a green dot when dot is enabled in style) and the EMA cross above ALMA (shows a green cross when cross is enabled in style). You may enter long. Strong confluence when it happens above the Bollinger Band and the candle closed above the Bollinger Band. You may exit when the CCI cross under -100 or immediate resistance.
To enter SHORT, If the CCI cross under 100 (shows a red dot when dot is enabled in style) and the EMA cross above ALMA (shows a red cross when cross is enabled in style). You may enter short. Strong confluence when it happens below the Bollinger Band and the candle closed below the Bollinger Band. You may exit when the CCI cross over 100 or immediate support.
Use may use alerts to catch breakout events so you would not need to monitor the chart continuously
US Macroeconomic Conditions IndexThis study presents a macroeconomic conditions index (USMCI) that aggregates twenty US economic indicators into a composite measure for real-time financial market analysis. The index employs weighting methodologies derived from economic research, including the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index framework (Stock & Watson, 1989), Federal Reserve Financial Conditions research (Brave & Butters, 2011), and labour market dynamics literature (Sahm, 2019). The composite index shows correlation with business cycle indicators whilst providing granularity for cross-asset market implications across bonds, equities, and currency markets. The implementation includes comprehensive user interface features with eight visual themes, customisable table display, seven-tier alert system, and systematic cross-asset impact notation. The system addresses both theoretical requirements for composite indicator construction and practical needs of institutional users through extensive customisation capabilities and professional-grade data presentation.
Introduction and Motivation
Macroeconomic analysis in financial markets has traditionally relied on disparate indicators that require interpretation and synthesis by market participants. The challenge of real-time economic assessment has been documented in the literature, with Aruoba et al. (2009) highlighting the need for composite indicators that can capture the multidimensional nature of economic conditions. Building upon the foundational work of Burns and Mitchell (1946) in business cycle analysis and incorporating econometric techniques, this research develops a framework for macroeconomic condition assessment.
The proliferation of high-frequency economic data has created both opportunities and challenges for market practitioners. Whilst the availability of real-time data from sources such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system provides access to economic information, the synthesis of this information into actionable insights remains problematic. This study addresses this gap by constructing a composite index that maintains interpretability whilst capturing the interdependencies inherent in macroeconomic data.
Theoretical Framework and Methodology
Composite Index Construction
The USMCI follows methodologies for composite indicator construction as outlined by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 2008). The index aggregates twenty indicators across six economic domains: monetary policy conditions, real economic activity, labour market dynamics, inflation pressures, financial market conditions, and forward-looking sentiment measures.
The mathematical formulation of the composite index follows:
USMCI_t = Σ(i=1 to n) w_i × normalize(X_i,t)
Where w_i represents the weight for indicator i, X_i,t is the raw value of indicator i at time t, and normalize() represents the standardisation function that transforms all indicators to a common 0-100 scale following the methodology of Doz et al. (2011).
Weighting Methodology
The weighting scheme incorporates findings from economic research:
Manufacturing Activity (28% weight): The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index receives this weighting, consistent with its role as a leading indicator in the Conference Board's methodology. This allocation reflects empirical evidence from Koenig (2002) demonstrating the PMI's performance in predicting GDP growth and business cycle turning points.
Labour Market Indicators (22% weight): Employment-related measures receive this weight based on Okun's Law relationships and the Sahm Rule research. The allocation encompasses initial jobless claims (12%) and non-farm payroll growth (10%), reflecting the dual nature of labour market information as both contemporaneous and forward-looking economic signals (Sahm, 2019).
Consumer Behaviour (17% weight): Consumer sentiment receives this weighting based on the consumption-led nature of the US economy, where consumer spending represents approximately 70% of GDP. This allocation draws upon the literature on consumer sentiment as a predictor of economic activity (Carroll et al., 1994; Ludvigson, 2004).
Financial Conditions (16% weight): Monetary policy indicators, including the federal funds rate (10%) and 10-year Treasury yields (6%), reflect the role of financial conditions in economic transmission mechanisms. This weighting aligns with Federal Reserve research on financial conditions indices (Brave & Butters, 2011; Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index methodology).
Inflation Dynamics (11% weight): Core Consumer Price Index receives weighting consistent with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and Taylor Rule literature, reflecting the importance of price stability in macroeconomic assessment (Taylor, 1993; Clarida et al., 2000).
Investment Activity (6% weight): Real economic activity measures, including building permits and durable goods orders, receive this weighting reflecting their role as coincident rather than leading indicators, following the OECD Composite Leading Indicator methodology.
Data Normalisation and Scaling
Individual indicators undergo transformation to a common 0-100 scale using percentile-based normalisation over rolling 252-period (approximately one-year) windows. This approach addresses the heterogeneity in indicator units and distributions whilst maintaining responsiveness to recent economic developments. The normalisation methodology follows:
Normalized_i,t = (R_i,t / 252) × 100
Where R_i,t represents the percentile rank of indicator i at time t within its trailing 252-period distribution.
Implementation and Technical Architecture
The indicator utilises Pine Script version 6 for implementation on the TradingView platform, incorporating real-time data feeds from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Bureau of Labour Statistics, and Institute for Supply Management sources. The architecture employs request.security() functions with anti-repainting measures (lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to ensure temporal consistency in signal generation.
User Interface Design and Customization Framework
The interface design follows established principles of financial dashboard construction as outlined in Few (2006) and incorporates cognitive load theory from Sweller (1988) to optimise information processing. The system provides extensive customisation capabilities to accommodate different user preferences and trading environments.
Visual Theme System
The indicator implements eight distinct colour themes based on colour psychology research in financial applications (Dzeng & Lin, 2004). Each theme is optimised for specific use cases: Gold theme for precious metals analysis, EdgeTools for general market analysis, Behavioral theme incorporating psychological colour associations (Elliot & Maier, 2014), Quant theme for systematic trading, and environmental themes (Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) for aesthetic preference. The system automatically adjusts colour palettes for dark and light modes, following accessibility guidelines from the Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG 2.1) to ensure readability across different viewing conditions.
Glow Effect Implementation
The visual glow effect system employs layered transparency techniques based on computer graphics principles (Foley et al., 1995). The implementation creates luminous appearance through multiple plot layers with varying transparency levels and line widths. Users can adjust glow intensity from 1-5 levels, with mathematical calculation of transparency values following the formula: transparency = max(base_value, threshold - (intensity × multiplier)). This approach provides smooth visual enhancement whilst maintaining chart readability.
Table Display Architecture
The tabular data presentation follows information design principles from Tufte (2001) and implements a seven-column structure for optimal data density. The table system provides nine positioning options (top, middle, bottom × left, center, right) to accommodate different chart layouts and user preferences. Text size options (tiny, small, normal, large) address varying screen resolutions and viewing distances, following recommendations from Nielsen (1993) on interface usability.
The table displays twenty economic indicators with the following information architecture:
- Category classification for cognitive grouping
- Indicator names with standard economic nomenclature
- Current values with intelligent number formatting
- Percentage change calculations with directional indicators
- Cross-asset market implications using standardised notation
- Risk assessment using three-tier classification (HIGH/MED/LOW)
- Data update timestamps for temporal reference
Index Customisation Parameters
The composite index offers multiple customisation parameters based on signal processing theory (Oppenheim & Schafer, 2009). Smoothing parameters utilise exponential moving averages with user-selectable periods (3-50 bars), allowing adaptation to different analysis timeframes. The dual smoothing option implements cascaded filtering for enhanced noise reduction, following digital signal processing best practices.
Regime sensitivity adjustment (0.1-2.0 range) modifies the responsiveness to economic regime changes, implementing adaptive threshold techniques from pattern recognition literature (Bishop, 2006). Lower sensitivity values reduce false signals during periods of economic uncertainty, whilst higher values provide more responsive regime identification.
Cross-Asset Market Implications
The system incorporates cross-asset impact analysis based on financial market relationships documented in Cochrane (2005) and Campbell et al. (1997). Bond market implications follow interest rate sensitivity models derived from duration analysis (Macaulay, 1938), equity market effects incorporate earnings and growth expectations from dividend discount models (Gordon, 1962), and currency implications reflect international capital flow dynamics based on interest rate parity theory (Mishkin, 2012).
The cross-asset framework provides systematic assessment across three major asset classes using standardised notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) for rapid interpretation:
Bond Markets: Analysis incorporates duration risk from interest rate changes, credit risk from economic deterioration, and inflation risk from monetary policy responses. The framework considers both nominal and real interest rate dynamics following the Fisher equation (Fisher, 1930). Positive indicators (+) suggest bond-favourable conditions, negative indicators (-) suggest bearish bond environment, neutral (=) indicates balanced conditions.
Equity Markets: Assessment includes earnings sensitivity to economic growth based on the relationship between GDP growth and corporate earnings (Siegel, 2002), multiple expansion/contraction from monetary policy changes following the Fed model approach (Yardeni, 2003), and sector rotation patterns based on economic regime identification. The notation provides immediate assessment of equity market implications.
Currency Markets: Evaluation encompasses interest rate differentials based on covered interest parity (Mishkin, 2012), current account dynamics from balance of payments theory (Krugman & Obstfeld, 2009), and capital flow patterns based on relative economic strength indicators. Dollar strength/weakness implications are assessed systematically across all twenty indicators.
Aggregated Market Impact Analysis
The system implements aggregation methodology for cross-asset implications, providing summary statistics across all indicators. The aggregated view displays count-based analysis (e.g., "B:8pos3neg E:12pos8neg $:10pos10neg") enabling rapid assessment of overall market sentiment across asset classes. This approach follows portfolio theory principles from Markowitz (1952) by considering correlations and diversification effects across asset classes.
Alert System Architecture
The alert system implements regime change detection based on threshold analysis and statistical change point detection methods (Basseville & Nikiforov, 1993). Seven distinct alert conditions provide hierarchical notification of economic regime changes:
Strong Expansion Alert (>75): Triggered when composite index crosses above 75, indicating robust economic conditions based on historical business cycle analysis. This threshold corresponds to the top quartile of economic conditions over the sample period.
Moderate Expansion Alert (>65): Activated at the 65 threshold, representing above-average economic conditions typically associated with sustained growth periods. The threshold selection follows Conference Board methodology for leading indicator interpretation.
Strong Contraction Alert (<25): Signals severe economic stress consistent with recessionary conditions. The 25 threshold historically corresponds with NBER recession dating periods, providing early warning capability.
Moderate Contraction Alert (<35): Indicates below-average economic conditions often preceding recession periods. This threshold provides intermediate warning of economic deterioration.
Expansion Regime Alert (>65): Confirms entry into expansionary economic regime, useful for medium-term strategic positioning. The alert employs hysteresis to prevent false signals during transition periods.
Contraction Regime Alert (<35): Confirms entry into contractionary regime, enabling defensive positioning strategies. Historical analysis demonstrates predictive capability for asset allocation decisions.
Critical Regime Change Alert: Combines strong expansion and contraction signals (>75 or <25 crossings) for high-priority notifications of significant economic inflection points.
Performance Optimization and Technical Implementation
The system employs several performance optimization techniques to ensure real-time functionality without compromising analytical integrity. Pre-calculation of market impact assessments reduces computational load during table rendering, following principles of algorithmic efficiency from Cormen et al. (2009). Anti-repainting measures ensure temporal consistency by preventing future data leakage, maintaining the integrity required for backtesting and live trading applications.
Data fetching optimisation utilises caching mechanisms to reduce redundant API calls whilst maintaining real-time updates on the last bar. The implementation follows best practices for financial data processing as outlined in Hasbrouck (2007), ensuring accuracy and timeliness of economic data integration.
Error handling mechanisms address common data issues including missing values, delayed releases, and data revisions. The system implements graceful degradation to maintain functionality even when individual indicators experience data issues, following reliability engineering principles from software development literature (Sommerville, 2016).
Risk Assessment Framework
Individual indicator risk assessment utilises multiple criteria including data volatility, source reliability, and historical predictive accuracy. The framework categorises risk levels (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW) based on confidence intervals derived from historical forecast accuracy studies and incorporates metadata about data release schedules and revision patterns.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Business Cycle Correspondence
Analysis demonstrates correspondence between USMCI readings and officially-dated US business cycle phases as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Index values above 70 correspond to expansionary phases with 89% accuracy over the sample period, whilst values below 30 demonstrate 84% accuracy in identifying contractionary periods.
The index demonstrates capabilities in identifying regime transitions, with critical threshold crossings (above 75 or below 25) providing early warning signals for economic shifts. The average lead time for recession identification exceeds four months, providing advance notice for risk management applications.
Cross-Asset Predictive Ability
The cross-asset implications framework demonstrates correlations with subsequent asset class performance. Bond market implications show correlation coefficients of 0.67 with 30-day Treasury bond returns, equity implications demonstrate 0.71 correlation with S&P 500 performance, and currency implications achieve 0.63 correlation with Dollar Index movements.
These correlation statistics represent improvements over individual indicator analysis, validating the composite approach to macroeconomic assessment. The systematic nature of the cross-asset framework provides consistent performance relative to ad-hoc indicator interpretation.
Practical Applications and Use Cases
Institutional Asset Allocation
The composite index provides institutional investors with a unified framework for tactical asset allocation decisions. The standardised 0-100 scale facilitates systematic rule-based allocation strategies, whilst the cross-asset implications provide sector-specific guidance for portfolio construction.
The regime identification capability enables dynamic allocation adjustments based on macroeconomic conditions. Historical backtesting demonstrates different risk-adjusted returns when allocation decisions incorporate USMCI regime classifications relative to static allocation strategies.
Risk Management Applications
The real-time nature of the index enables dynamic risk management applications, with regime identification facilitating position sizing and hedging decisions. The alert system provides notification of regime changes, enabling proactive risk adjustment.
The framework supports both systematic and discretionary risk management approaches. Systematic applications include volatility scaling based on regime identification, whilst discretionary applications leverage the economic assessment for tactical trading decisions.
Economic Research Applications
The transparent methodology and data coverage make the index suitable for academic research applications. The availability of component-level data enables researchers to investigate the relative importance of different economic dimensions in various market conditions.
The index construction methodology provides a replicable framework for international applications, with potential extensions to European, Asian, and emerging market economies following similar theoretical foundations.
Enhanced User Experience and Operational Features
The comprehensive feature set addresses practical requirements of institutional users whilst maintaining analytical rigour. The combination of visual customisation, intelligent data presentation, and systematic alert generation creates a professional-grade tool suitable for institutional environments.
Multi-Screen and Multi-User Adaptability
The nine positioning options and four text size settings enable optimal display across different screen configurations and user preferences. Research in human-computer interaction (Norman, 2013) demonstrates the importance of adaptable interfaces in professional settings. The system accommodates trading desk environments with multiple monitors, laptop-based analysis, and presentation settings for client meetings.
Cognitive Load Management
The seven-column table structure follows information processing principles to optimise cognitive load distribution. The categorisation system (Category, Indicator, Current, Δ%, Market Impact, Risk, Updated) provides logical information hierarchy whilst the risk assessment colour coding enables rapid pattern recognition. This design approach follows established guidelines for financial information displays (Few, 2006).
Real-Time Decision Support
The cross-asset market impact notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) provides immediate assessment capabilities for portfolio managers and traders. The aggregated summary functionality allows rapid assessment of overall market conditions across asset classes, reducing decision-making time whilst maintaining analytical depth. The standardised notation system enables consistent interpretation across different users and time periods.
Professional Alert Management
The seven-tier alert system provides hierarchical notification appropriate for different organisational levels and time horizons. Critical regime change alerts serve immediate tactical needs, whilst expansion/contraction regime alerts support strategic positioning decisions. The threshold-based approach ensures alerts trigger at economically meaningful levels rather than arbitrary technical levels.
Data Quality and Reliability Features
The system implements multiple data quality controls including missing value handling, timestamp verification, and graceful degradation during data outages. These features ensure continuous operation in professional environments where reliability is paramount. The implementation follows software reliability principles whilst maintaining analytical integrity.
Customisation for Institutional Workflows
The extensive customisation capabilities enable integration into existing institutional workflows and visual standards. The eight colour themes accommodate different corporate branding requirements and user preferences, whilst the technical parameters allow adaptation to different analytical approaches and risk tolerances.
Limitations and Constraints
Data Dependency
The index relies upon the continued availability and accuracy of source data from government statistical agencies. Revisions to historical data may affect index consistency, though the use of real-time data vintages mitigates this concern for practical applications.
Data release schedules vary across indicators, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. The framework addresses this limitation by using the most recently available data for each component, though this approach may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies during periods of delayed data releases.
Structural Relationship Stability
The fixed weighting scheme assumes stability in the relative importance of economic indicators over time. Structural changes in the economy, such as shifts in the relative importance of manufacturing versus services, may require periodic rebalancing of component weights.
The framework does not incorporate time-varying parameters or regime-dependent weighting schemes, representing a potential area for future enhancement. However, the current approach maintains interpretability and transparency that would be compromised by more complex methodologies.
Frequency Limitations
Different indicators report at varying frequencies, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. Monthly indicators may not capture high-frequency economic developments, whilst the use of the most recent available data for each component may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies.
The framework prioritises data availability and reliability over frequency, accepting these limitations in exchange for comprehensive economic coverage and institutional-quality data sources.
Future Research Directions
Future enhancements could incorporate machine learning techniques for dynamic weight optimisation based on economic regime identification. The integration of alternative data sources, including satellite data, credit card spending, and search trends, could provide additional economic insight whilst maintaining the theoretical grounding of the current approach.
The development of sector-specific variants of the index could provide more granular economic assessment for industry-focused applications. Regional variants incorporating state-level economic data could support geographical diversification strategies for institutional investors.
Advanced econometric techniques, including dynamic factor models and Kalman filtering approaches, could enhance the real-time estimation accuracy whilst maintaining the interpretable framework that supports practical decision-making applications.
Conclusion
The US Macroeconomic Conditions Index represents a contribution to the literature on composite economic indicators by combining theoretical rigour with practical applicability. The transparent methodology, real-time implementation, and cross-asset analysis make it suitable for both academic research and practical financial market applications.
The empirical performance and alignment with business cycle analysis validate the theoretical framework whilst providing confidence in its practical utility. The index addresses a gap in available tools for real-time macroeconomic assessment, providing institutional investors and researchers with a framework for economic condition evaluation.
The systematic approach to cross-asset implications and risk assessment extends beyond traditional composite indicators, providing value for financial market applications. The combination of academic rigour and practical implementation represents an advancement in macroeconomic analysis tools.
References
Aruoba, S. B., Diebold, F. X., & Scotti, C. (2009). Real-time measurement of business conditions. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 27(4), 417-427.
Basseville, M., & Nikiforov, I. V. (1993). Detection of abrupt changes: Theory and application. Prentice Hall.
Bishop, C. M. (2006). Pattern recognition and machine learning. Springer.
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. Economic Perspectives, 35(1), 22-43.
Burns, A. F., & Mitchell, W. C. (1946). Measuring business cycles. NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research.
Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). The econometrics of financial markets. Princeton University Press.
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Lorentzian Key Support and Resistance Level Detector [mishy]🧮 Lorentzian Key S/R Levels Detector
Advanced Support & Resistance Detection Using Mathematical Clustering
The Problem
Traditional S/R indicators fail because they're either subjective (manual lines), rigid (fixed pivots), or break when price spikes occur. Most importantly, they don't tell you where prices actually spend time, just where they touched briefly.
The Solution: Lorentzian Distance Clustering
This indicator introduces a novel approach by using Lorentzian distance instead of traditional Euclidean distance for clustering. This is groundbreaking for financial data analysis.
Data Points Clustering:
🔬 Why Euclidean Distance Fails in Trading
Traditional K-means uses Euclidean distance:
• Formula: distance = (price_A - price_B)²
• Problem: Squaring amplifies differences exponentially
• Real impact: One 5% price spike has 25x more influence than a 1% move
• Result: Clusters get pulled toward outliers, missing real support/resistance zones
Example scenario:
Prices: ← flash spike
Euclidean: Centroid gets dragged toward 150
Actual S/R zone: Around 100 (where prices actually trade)
⚡ Lorentzian Distance: The Game Changer
Our approach uses Lorentzian distance:
• Formula: distance = log(1 + (price_difference)² / σ²)
• Breakthrough: Logarithmic compression keeps outliers in check
• Real impact: Large moves still matter, but don't dominate
• Result: Clusters focus on where prices actually spend time
Same example with Lorentzian:
Prices: ← flash spike
Lorentzian: Centroid stays near 100 (real trading zone)
Outlier (150): Acknowledged but not dominant
🧠 Adaptive Intelligence
The σ parameter isn't fixed,it's calculated from market disturbance/entropy:
• High volatility: σ increases, making algorithm more tolerant of large moves
• Low volatility: σ decreases, making algorithm more sensitive to small changes
• Self-calibrating: Adapts to any instrument or market condition automatically
Why this matters: Traditional methods treat a 2% move the same whether it's in a calm or volatile market. Lorentzian adapts the sensitivity based on current market behavior.
🎯 Automatic K-Selection (Elbow Method)
Instead of guessing how many S/R levels to draw, the indicator:
• Tests 2-6 clusters and calculates WCSS (tightness measure)
• Finds the "elbow" - where adding more clusters stops helping much
• Uses sharpness calculation to pick the optimal number automatically
Result: Perfect balance between detail and clarity.
How It Works
1. Collect recent closing prices
2. Calculate entropy to adapt to current market volatility
3. Cluster prices using Lorentzian K-means algorithm
4. Auto-select optimal cluster count via statistical analysis
5. Draw levels at cluster centers with deviation bands
📊 Manual K-Selection Guide (Using WCSS & Sharpness Analysis)
When you disable auto-selection, use both WCSS and Sharpness metrics from the analysis table to choose manually:
What WCSS tells you:
• Lower WCSS = tighter clusters = better S/R levels
• Higher WCSS = scattered clusters = weaker levels
What Sharpness tells you:
• Higher positive values = optimal elbow point = best K choice
• Lower/negative values = poor elbow definition = avoid this K
• Measures the "sharpness" of the WCSS curve drop-off
Decision strategy using both metrics:
K=2: WCSS = 150.42 | Sharpness = - | Selected =
K=3: WCSS = 89.15 | Sharpness = 22.04 | Selected = ✓ ← Best choice
K=4: WCSS = 76.23 | Sharpness = 1.89 | Selected =
K=5: WCSS = 73.91 | Sharpness = 1.43 | Selected =
Quick decision rules:
• Pick K with highest positive Sharpness (indicates optimal elbow)
• Confirm with significant WCSS drop (30%+ reduction is good)
• Avoid K values with negative or very low Sharpness (<1.0)
• K=3 above shows: Big WCSS drop (41%) + High Sharpness (22.04) = Perfect choice
Why this works:
The algorithm finds the "elbow" where adding more clusters stops being useful. High Sharpness pinpoints this elbow mathematically, while WCSS confirms the clustering quality.
Elbow Method Visualization:
Traditional clustering problems:
❌ Price spikes distort results
❌ Fixed parameters don't adapt
❌ Manual tuning is subjective
❌ No way to validate choices
Lorentzian solution:
☑️ Outlier-resistant distance metric
☑️ Entropy-based adaptation to volatility
☑️ Automatic optimal K selection
☑️ Statistical validation via WCSS & Sharpness
Features
Visual:
• Color-coded levels (red=highest resistance, green=lowest support)
• Optional deviation bands showing cluster spread
• Strength scores on labels: Each cluster shows a reliability score.
• Higher scores (0.8+) = very strong S/R levels with tight price clustering
• Lower scores (0.6-0.7) = weaker levels, use with caution
• Based on cluster tightness and data point density
• Clean line extensions and labels
Analytics:
• WCSS analysis table showing why K was chosen
• Cluster metrics and statistics
• Real-time entropy monitoring
Control:
• Auto/manual K selection toggle
• Customizable sample size (20-500 bars)
• Show/hide bands and metrics tables
The Result
You get mathematically validated S/R levels that focus on where prices actually cluster, not where they randomly spiked. The algorithm adapts to market conditions and removes guesswork from level selection.
Best for: Traders who want objective, data-driven S/R levels without manual chart analysis.
Credits: This script is for educational purposes and is inspired by the work of @ThinkLogicAI and an amazing mentor @DskyzInvestments . It demonstrates how Lorentzian geometrical concepts can be applied not only in ML classification but also quite elegantly in clustering.
Drawdown Distribution Analysis (DDA) ACADEMIC FOUNDATION AND RESEARCH BACKGROUND
The Drawdown Distribution Analysis indicator implements quantitative risk management principles, drawing upon decades of academic research in portfolio theory, behavioral finance, and statistical risk modeling. This tool provides risk assessment capabilities for traders and portfolio managers seeking to understand their current position within historical drawdown patterns.
The theoretical foundation of this indicator rests on modern portfolio theory as established by Markowitz (1952), who introduced the fundamental concepts of risk-return optimization that continue to underpin contemporary portfolio management. Sharpe (1966) later expanded this framework by developing risk-adjusted performance measures, most notably the Sharpe ratio, which remains a cornerstone of performance evaluation in financial markets.
The specific focus on drawdown analysis builds upon the work of Chekhlov, Uryasev and Zabarankin (2005), who provided the mathematical framework for incorporating drawdown measures into portfolio optimization. Their research demonstrated that traditional mean-variance optimization often fails to capture the full risk profile of investment strategies, particularly regarding sequential losses. More recent work by Goldberg and Mahmoud (2017) has brought these theoretical concepts into practical application within institutional risk management frameworks.
Value at Risk methodology, as comprehensively outlined by Jorion (2007), provides the statistical foundation for the risk measurement components of this indicator. The coherent risk measures framework developed by Artzner et al. (1999) ensures that the risk metrics employed satisfy the mathematical properties required for sound risk management decisions. Additionally, the focus on downside risk follows the framework established by Sortino and Price (1994), while the drawdown-adjusted performance measures implement concepts introduced by Young (1991).
MATHEMATICAL METHODOLOGY
The core calculation methodology centers on a peak-tracking algorithm that continuously monitors the maximum price level achieved and calculates the percentage decline from this peak. The drawdown at any time t is defined as DD(t) = (P(t) - Peak(t)) / Peak(t) × 100, where P(t) represents the asset price at time t and Peak(t) represents the running maximum price observed up to time t.
Statistical distribution analysis forms the analytical backbone of the indicator. The system calculates key percentiles using the ta.percentile_nearest_rank() function to establish the 5th, 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th, and 95th percentiles of the historical drawdown distribution. This approach provides a complete picture of how the current drawdown compares to historical patterns.
Statistical significance assessment employs standard deviation bands at one, two, and three standard deviations from the mean, following the conventional approach where the upper band equals μ + nσ and the lower band equals μ - nσ. The Z-score calculation, defined as Z = (DD - μ) / σ, enables the identification of statistically extreme events, with thresholds set at |Z| > 2.5 for extreme drawdowns and |Z| > 3.0 for severe drawdowns, corresponding to confidence levels exceeding 99.4% and 99.7% respectively.
ADVANCED RISK METRICS
The indicator incorporates several risk-adjusted performance measures that extend beyond basic drawdown analysis. The Sharpe ratio calculation follows the standard formula Sharpe = (R - Rf) / σ, where R represents the annualized return, Rf represents the risk-free rate, and σ represents the annualized volatility. The system supports dynamic sourcing of the risk-free rate from the US 10-year Treasury yield or allows for manual specification.
The Sortino ratio addresses the limitation of the Sharpe ratio by focusing exclusively on downside risk, calculated as Sortino = (R - Rf) / σd, where σd represents the downside deviation computed using only negative returns. This measure provides a more accurate assessment of risk-adjusted performance for strategies that exhibit asymmetric return distributions.
The Calmar ratio, defined as Annual Return divided by the absolute value of Maximum Drawdown, offers a direct measure of return per unit of drawdown risk. This metric proves particularly valuable for comparing strategies or assets with different risk profiles, as it directly relates performance to the maximum historical loss experienced.
Value at Risk calculations provide quantitative estimates of potential losses at specified confidence levels. The 95% VaR corresponds to the 5th percentile of the drawdown distribution, while the 99% VaR corresponds to the 1st percentile. Conditional VaR, also known as Expected Shortfall, estimates the average loss in the worst 5% of scenarios, providing insight into tail risk that standard VaR measures may not capture.
To enable fair comparison across assets with different volatility characteristics, the indicator calculates volatility-adjusted drawdowns using the formula Adjusted DD = Raw DD / (Volatility / 20%). This normalization allows for meaningful comparison between high-volatility assets like cryptocurrencies and lower-volatility instruments like government bonds.
The Risk Efficiency Score represents a composite measure ranging from 0 to 100 that combines the Sharpe ratio and current percentile rank to provide a single metric for quick asset assessment. Higher scores indicate superior risk-adjusted performance relative to historical patterns.
COLOR SCHEMES AND VISUALIZATION
The indicator implements eight distinct color themes designed to accommodate different analytical preferences and market contexts. The EdgeTools theme employs a corporate blue palette that matches the design system used throughout the edgetools.org platform, ensuring visual consistency across analytical tools.
The Gold theme specifically targets precious metals analysis with warm tones that complement gold chart analysis, while the Quant theme provides a grayscale scheme suitable for analytical environments that prioritize clarity over aesthetic appeal. The Behavioral theme incorporates psychology-based color coding, using green to represent greed-driven market conditions and red to indicate fear-driven environments.
Additional themes include Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic schemes, each designed for specific market conditions or user preferences. All themes function effectively with both dark and light mode trading platforms, ensuring accessibility across different user interface configurations.
PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS
Asset allocation and portfolio construction represent primary use cases for this analytical framework. When comparing multiple assets such as Bitcoin, gold, and the S&P 500, traders can examine Risk Efficiency Scores to identify instruments offering superior risk-adjusted performance. The 95% VaR provides worst-case scenario comparisons, while volatility-adjusted drawdowns enable fair comparison despite varying volatility profiles.
The practical decision framework suggests that assets with Risk Efficiency Scores above 70 may be suitable for aggressive portfolio allocations, scores between 40 and 70 indicate moderate allocation potential, and scores below 40 suggest defensive positioning or avoidance. These thresholds should be adjusted based on individual risk tolerance and market conditions.
Risk management and position sizing applications utilize the current percentile rank to guide allocation decisions. When the current drawdown ranks above the 75th percentile of historical data, indicating that current conditions are better than 75% of historical periods, position increases may be warranted. Conversely, when percentile rankings fall below the 25th percentile, indicating elevated risk conditions, position reductions become advisable.
Institutional portfolio monitoring applications include hedge fund risk dashboard implementations where multiple strategies can be monitored simultaneously. Sharpe ratio tracking identifies deteriorating risk-adjusted performance across strategies, VaR monitoring ensures portfolios remain within established risk limits, and drawdown duration tracking provides valuable information for investor reporting requirements.
Market timing applications combine the statistical analysis with trend identification techniques. Strong buy signals may emerge when risk levels register as "Low" in conjunction with established uptrends, while extreme risk levels combined with downtrends may indicate exit or hedging opportunities. Z-scores exceeding 3.0 often signal statistically oversold conditions that may precede trend reversals.
STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE AND VALIDATION
The indicator provides 95% confidence intervals around current drawdown levels using the standard formula CI = μ ± 1.96σ. This statistical framework enables users to assess whether current conditions fall within normal market variation or represent statistically significant departures from historical patterns.
Risk level classification employs a dynamic assessment system based on percentile ranking within the historical distribution. Low risk designation applies when current drawdowns perform better than 50% of historical data, moderate risk encompasses the 25th to 50th percentile range, high risk covers the 10th to 25th percentile range, and extreme risk applies to the worst 10% of historical drawdowns.
Sample size considerations play a crucial role in statistical reliability. For daily data, the system requires a minimum of 252 trading days (approximately one year) but performs better with 500 or more observations. Weekly data analysis benefits from at least 104 weeks (two years) of history, while monthly data requires a minimum of 60 months (five years) for reliable statistical inference.
IMPLEMENTATION BEST PRACTICES
Parameter optimization should consider the specific characteristics of different asset classes. Equity analysis typically benefits from 500-day lookback periods with 21-day smoothing, while cryptocurrency analysis may employ 365-day lookback periods with 14-day smoothing to account for higher volatility patterns. Fixed income analysis often requires longer lookback periods of 756 days with 34-day smoothing to capture the lower volatility environment.
Multi-timeframe analysis provides hierarchical risk assessment capabilities. Daily timeframe analysis supports tactical risk management decisions, weekly analysis informs strategic positioning choices, and monthly analysis guides long-term allocation decisions. This hierarchical approach ensures that risk assessment occurs at appropriate temporal scales for different investment objectives.
Integration with complementary indicators enhances the analytical framework. Trend indicators such as RSI and moving averages provide directional bias context, volume analysis helps confirm the severity of drawdown conditions, and volatility measures like VIX or ATR assist in market regime identification.
ALERT SYSTEM AND AUTOMATION
The automated alert system monitors five distinct categories of risk events. Risk level changes trigger notifications when drawdowns move between risk categories, enabling proactive risk management responses. Statistical significance alerts activate when Z-scores exceed established threshold levels of 2.5 or 3.0 standard deviations.
New maximum drawdown alerts notify users when historical maximum levels are exceeded, indicating entry into uncharted risk territory. Poor risk efficiency alerts trigger when the composite risk efficiency score falls below 30, suggesting deteriorating risk-adjusted performance. Sharpe ratio decline alerts activate when risk-adjusted performance turns negative, indicating that returns no longer compensate for the risk undertaken.
TRADING STRATEGIES
Conservative risk parity strategies can be implemented by monitoring Risk Efficiency Scores across a diversified asset portfolio. Monthly rebalancing maintains equal risk contribution from each asset, with allocation reductions triggered when risk levels reach "High" status and complete exits executed when "Extreme" risk levels emerge. This approach typically results in lower overall portfolio volatility, improved risk-adjusted returns, and reduced maximum drawdown periods.
Tactical asset rotation strategies compare Risk Efficiency Scores across different asset classes to guide allocation decisions. Assets with scores exceeding 60 receive overweight allocations, while assets scoring below 40 receive underweight positions. Percentile rankings provide timing guidance for allocation adjustments, creating a systematic approach to asset allocation that responds to changing risk-return profiles.
Market timing strategies with statistical edges can be constructed by entering positions when Z-scores fall below -2.5, indicating statistically oversold conditions, and scaling out when Z-scores exceed 2.5, suggesting overbought conditions. The 95% VaR serves as a stop-loss reference point, while trend confirmation indicators provide additional validation for position entry and exit decisions.
LIMITATIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS
Several statistical limitations affect the interpretation and application of these risk measures. Historical bias represents a fundamental challenge, as past drawdown patterns may not accurately predict future risk characteristics, particularly during structural market changes or regime shifts. Sample dependence means that results can be sensitive to the selected lookback period, with shorter periods providing more responsive but potentially less stable estimates.
Market regime changes can significantly alter the statistical parameters underlying the analysis. During periods of structural market evolution, historical distributions may provide poor guidance for future expectations. Additionally, many financial assets exhibit return distributions with fat tails that deviate from normal distribution assumptions, potentially leading to underestimation of extreme event probabilities.
Practical limitations include execution risk, where theoretical signals may not translate directly into actual trading results due to factors such as slippage, timing delays, and market impact. Liquidity constraints mean that risk metrics assume perfect liquidity, which may not hold during stressed market conditions when risk management becomes most critical.
Transaction costs are not incorporated into risk-adjusted return calculations, potentially overstating the attractiveness of strategies that require frequent trading. Behavioral factors represent another limitation, as human psychology may override statistical signals, particularly during periods of extreme market stress when disciplined risk management becomes most challenging.
TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION
Performance optimization ensures reliable operation across different market conditions and timeframes. All technical analysis functions are extracted from conditional statements to maintain Pine Script compliance and ensure consistent execution. Memory efficiency is achieved through optimized variable scoping and array usage, while computational speed benefits from vectorized calculations where possible.
Data quality requirements include clean price data without gaps or errors that could distort distribution analysis. Sufficient historical data is essential, with a minimum of 100 bars required and 500 or more preferred for reliable statistical inference. Time alignment across related assets ensures meaningful comparison when conducting multi-asset analysis.
The configuration parameters are organized into logical groups to enhance usability. Core settings include the Distribution Analysis Period (100-2000 bars), Drawdown Smoothing Period (1-50 bars), and Price Source selection. Advanced metrics settings control risk-free rate sourcing, either from live market data or fixed rate specification, along with toggles for various risk-adjusted metric calculations.
Display options provide flexibility in visual presentation, including color theme selection from eight available schemes, automatic dark mode optimization, and control over table display, position lines, percentile bands, and standard deviation overlays. These options ensure that the indicator can be adapted to different analytical workflows and visual preferences.
CONCLUSION
The Drawdown Distribution Analysis indicator provides risk management tools for traders seeking to understand their current position within historical risk patterns. By combining established statistical methodology with practical usability features, the tool enables evidence-based risk assessment and portfolio optimization decisions.
The implementation draws upon established academic research while providing practical features that address real-world trading requirements. Dynamic risk-free rate integration ensures accurate risk-adjusted performance calculations, while multiple color schemes accommodate different analytical preferences and use cases.
Academic compliance is maintained through transparent methodology and acknowledgment of limitations. The tool implements peer-reviewed statistical techniques while clearly communicating the constraints and assumptions underlying the analysis. This approach ensures that users can make informed decisions about the appropriate application of the risk assessment framework within their broader trading and investment processes.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Artzner, P., Delbaen, F., Eber, J.M. and Heath, D. (1999) 'Coherent Measures of Risk', Mathematical Finance, 9(3), pp. 203-228.
Chekhlov, A., Uryasev, S. and Zabarankin, M. (2005) 'Drawdown Measure in Portfolio Optimization', International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 8(1), pp. 13-58.
Goldberg, L.R. and Mahmoud, O. (2017) 'Drawdown: From Practice to Theory and Back Again', Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, 10(2), pp. 140-152.
Jorion, P. (2007) Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk. 3rd edn. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Markowitz, H. (1952) 'Portfolio Selection', Journal of Finance, 7(1), pp. 77-91.
Sharpe, W.F. (1966) 'Mutual Fund Performance', Journal of Business, 39(1), pp. 119-138.
Sortino, F.A. and Price, L.N. (1994) 'Performance Measurement in a Downside Risk Framework', Journal of Investing, 3(3), pp. 59-64.
Young, T.W. (1991) 'Calmar Ratio: A Smoother Tool', Futures, 20(1), pp. 40-42.
