Bitcoin vs. Gold correlation with lagBTC vs Gold (Lag) + Correlation — multi-timeframe, publication notes
What it does
Plots Gold on the same chart as Bitcoin, with a configurable lead/lag.
Lets you choose how the series is displayed:
Gold shifted forward (+lag on chart) — shows gold ahead of BTC on the time axis (visual offset).
Gold aligned to BTC (gold lag) — standard alignment; gold is lagged for calculation and plotted in place.
BTC 200D Lag (BTC shifted forward) — visualizes BTC shifted forward (like popular “BTC 200D Lag” charts).
Computes Pearson correlations between BTC (no lag) and Gold (with lag) over multiple lookback windows equivalent to:
30d, 60d, 90d, 180d, 365d, 2y (730d), 3y (1095d), 5y (1825d).
Shows a table with the correlation values, automatically scaled to the current timeframe.
Why this is useful
A common macro claim is that BTC tends to follow Gold with a delay (e.g., ~200 trading days). This tool lets you:
Visually advance Gold (or BTC) to see that lead-lag relationship on the chart.
Quantify the relationship with rolling correlations.
Switch timeframes (D/W/M/…): everything automatically stays in sync.
Quick start
Open a BTC chart (any exchange).
Add the indicator.
Set Gold symbol (default TVC:GOLD; alternatives: OANDA:XAUUSD, COMEX:GC1!, etc.).
Choose Lag value and Lag unit (Days/Weeks/Months/Years/Bars).
Pick Visual Mode:
To mirror those “BTC 200D Lag” posts: choose “BTC 200D Lag (BTC shifted forward)” with 200 Days.
To view Gold 200D ahead of BTC: select “Gold shifted forward (+lag on chart)” with 200 Days.
Keep Rebase to 100 ON for an apples-to-apples visual scale. (You can move the study to the left price scale if needed.)
Inputs
Gold symbol: external series to pair with BTC.
Lag value: numeric value.
Lag unit: Days, Weeks, Months (≈30d), Years (≈365d), or direct Bars.
Visual mode:
Gold shifted forward (+lag on chart) → gold is offset to the right by the lag (visual only).
Gold aligned to BTC (gold lag) → standard plot (no visual offset); correlations still use lagged gold.
BTC 200D Lag (BTC shifted forward) → BTC is offset to the right by the lag (visual only).
Rebase to 100 (visual): rescales each series to 100 on its first valid bar for clearer comparison.
Show gold without lag (debug): optional reference line.
Show price tag for gold (lag): toggles the track price label.
Timeframe handling
The study uses the current chart timeframe for both BTC and Gold (timeframe.period).
Lag in time units (Days/Weeks/Months/Years) is internally converted to an integer number of bars of the active timeframe (using timeframe.in_seconds).
Example: on W (weekly), 200 days ≈ 29 bars.
On intraday timeframes, days are converted proportionally.
Correlation math
Correlation = ta.correlation(BTC, Gold_lagged, length_in_bars)
Lookback lengths are the bar-equivalents of 30/60/90/180/365/730/1095/1825 days in the active timeframe.
Important: correlations are computed on prices (not returns). If you prefer returns-based correlation (often more statistically robust), duplicate the script and replace price inputs with change(close) or ta.roc(close, 1).
Reading the table
Window: nominal day label (e.g., 30d, 1y, 5y).
Bars (TF): how many bars that window equals on the current timeframe.
Correlation: Pearson coefficient . Background tint shows intensity and sign.
Tips & caveats
Visual offsets (offset=) move series on screen only; they don’t affect the math. The math always uses BTC (no lag) × Gold (lagged).
With large lags on high timeframes, early bars will be na (normal). Scroll forward / reduce lag.
If your Gold feed doesn’t load, try an alternative symbol that your plan supports.
Rebase to 100 helps visibility when BTC ($100k) and Gold ($2k) share a scale.
Months/Years use 30/365-day approximations. For exact control, use Days or Bars.
Correlations on very short lengths or sparse data can be unstable; consider the longer windows for sturdier signals.
This is a visual/analytical tool, not a trading signal. Always apply independent risk management.
Suggested setups
Replicate “BTC 200D Lag” charts:
Visual Mode: BTC 200D Lag (BTC shifted forward)
Lag: 200 Days
Rebase: ON
Gold leads BTC (Gold ahead):
Visual Mode: Gold shifted forward (+lag on chart)
Lag: 200 Days
Rebase: ON
Compatibility: Pine v6, overlay study.
Best with: BTCUSD (any exchange) + a reliable Gold feed.
Author’s note: Lead-lag relationships are not stable over time; treat correlations as descriptive, not predictive.
Cari skrip untuk "美元指数跌破100大关"
Volumatic Fair Value Gaps [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
The Volumatic Fair Value Gaps indicator detects and plots size-filtered Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and immediately analyzes the bullish vs. bearish volume composition inside each gap. When an FVG forms, the tool samples volume from a 10× lower timeframe , splits it into Buy and Sell components, and overlays two compact bars whose percentages always sum to 100%. Each gap also shows its total traded volume . A live dashboard (top-right) summarizes how many bullish and bearish FVGs are currently active and their cumulative volumes—offering a quick read on directional participation and trend pressure.
🔵 CONCEPTS
FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) : Imbalance zones between three consecutive candles where price “skips” trading. The script plots bullish and bearish gaps and extends them until mitigated.
Size Filtering : Only significant gaps (by relative size percentile) are drawn, reducing noise and emphasizing meaningful imbalances.
// Gap Filters
float diff = close > open ? (low - high ) / low * 100 : (low - high) / high *100
float sizeFVG = diff / ta.percentile_nearest_rank(diff, 1000, 100) * 100
bool filterFVG = sizeFVG > 15
Volume Decomposition : For each FVG, the indicator inspects a 10× lower timeframe and aggregates volume of bullish vs. bearish candles inside the gap’s span.
100% Split Bars : Two inline bars per FVG display the % Bull and % Bear shares; their total is always 100%.
Total Gap Volume : A numeric label at the right edge of the FVG shows the total traded volume associated with that gap.
Mitigation Logic : Gaps are removed when price closes through (or touches via high/low—user-selectable) the opposite boundary.
Dashboard Summary : Counts and sums the active bullish/bearish FVGs and their total volumes to gauge directional dominance.
🔵 FEATURES
Bullish & Bearish FVG plotting with independent color controls and visibility toggles.
Adaptive size filter (percentile-based) to keep only impactful gaps.
Lower-TF volume sampling at 10× faster resolution for more granular Buy/Sell breakdown.
Per-FVG volume bars : two horizontal bars showing Bull % and Bear % (sum = 100%).
Per-FVG total volume label displayed at the right end of the gap’s body.
Mitigation source option : choose close or high/low for removing/invalidating gaps.
Overlap control : older overlapped gaps are cleaned to avoid clutter.
Auto-extension : active gaps extend right until mitigated.
Dashboard : shows count of bullish/bearish gaps on chart and cumulative volume totals for each side.
Performance safeguards : caps the number of active FVG boxes to maintain responsiveness.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Turn on/off FVG types : Enable Bullish FVG and/or Bearish FVG depending on your focus.
Tune the filter : The script already filters by relative size; if you need fewer (stronger) signals, increase the percentile threshold in code or reduce the number of displayed boxes.
Choose mitigation source :
close — stricter; gap is removed when a closing price crosses the boundary.
high/low — more sensitive; a wick through the boundary mitigates the gap.
Read the per-FVG bars :
A higher Bull % inside a bullish gap suggests constructive demand backing the imbalance.
A higher Bear % inside a bearish gap suggests supply is enforcing the imbalance.
Use total gap volume : Larger totals imply more meaningful interest at that imbalance; confluence with structure/HTF levels increases relevance.
Watch the dashboard : If bullish counts and cumulative volume exceed bearish, market pressure is likely skewed upward (and vice versa). Combine with trend tools or market structure for entries/exits.
Optional: hide volume bars : Disable Volume Bars when you want a cleaner FVG map while keeping total volume labels and the dashboard.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Volumatic Fair Value Gaps blends precise FVG detection with lower-timeframe volume analytics to show not only where imbalances exist but also who powers them. The per-gap Bull/Bear % bars, total volume labels, and the cumulative dashboard together provide a fast, high-signal read on directional participation. Use the tool to prioritize higher-quality gaps, align with trend bias, and time mitigations or continuations with greater confidence.
ATAI Volume analysis with price action V 1.00ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action
1. Introduction
1.1 Overview
ATAI Volume Analysis with Price Action is a composite indicator designed for TradingView. It combines per‑side volume data —that is, how much buying and selling occurs during each bar—with standard price‑structure elements such as swings, trend lines and support/resistance. By blending these elements the script aims to help a trader understand which side is in control, whether a breakout is genuine, when markets are potentially exhausted and where liquidity providers might be active.
The indicator is built around TradingView’s up/down volume feed accessed via the TradingView/ta/10 library. The following excerpt from the script illustrates how this feed is configured:
import TradingView/ta/10 as tvta
// Determine lower timeframe string based on user choice and chart resolution
string lower_tf_breakout = use_custom_tf_input ? custom_tf_input :
timeframe.isseconds ? "1S" :
timeframe.isintraday ? "1" :
timeframe.isdaily ? "5" : "60"
// Request up/down volume (both positive)
= tvta.requestUpAndDownVolume(lower_tf_breakout)
Lower‑timeframe selection. If you do not specify a custom lower timeframe, the script chooses a default based on your chart resolution: 1 second for second charts, 1 minute for intraday charts, 5 minutes for daily charts and 60 minutes for anything longer. Smaller intervals provide a more precise view of buyer and seller flow but cover fewer bars. Larger intervals cover more history at the cost of granularity.
Tick vs. time bars. Many trading platforms offer a tick / intrabar calculation mode that updates an indicator on every trade rather than only on bar close. Turning on one‑tick calculation will give the most accurate split between buy and sell volume on the current bar, but it typically reduces the amount of historical data available. For the highest fidelity in live trading you can enable this mode; for studying longer histories you might prefer to disable it. When volume data is completely unavailable (some instruments and crypto pairs), all modules that rely on it will remain silent and only the price‑structure backbone will operate.
Figure caption, Each panel shows the indicator’s info table for a different volume sampling interval. In the left chart, the parentheses “(5)” beside the buy‑volume figure denote that the script is aggregating volume over five‑minute bars; the center chart uses “(1)” for one‑minute bars; and the right chart uses “(1T)” for a one‑tick interval. These notations tell you which lower timeframe is driving the volume calculations. Shorter intervals such as 1 minute or 1 tick provide finer detail on buyer and seller flow, but they cover fewer bars; longer intervals like five‑minute bars smooth the data and give more history.
Figure caption, The values in parentheses inside the info table come directly from the Breakout — Settings. The first row shows the custom lower-timeframe used for volume calculations (e.g., “(1)”, “(5)”, or “(1T)”)
2. Price‑Structure Backbone
Even without volume, the indicator draws structural features that underpin all other modules. These features are always on and serve as the reference levels for subsequent calculations.
2.1 What it draws
• Pivots: Swing highs and lows are detected using the pivot_left_input and pivot_right_input settings. A pivot high is identified when the high recorded pivot_right_input bars ago exceeds the highs of the preceding pivot_left_input bars and is also higher than (or equal to) the highs of the subsequent pivot_right_input bars; pivot lows follow the inverse logic. The indicator retains only a fixed number of such pivot points per side, as defined by point_count_input, discarding the oldest ones when the limit is exceeded.
• Trend lines: For each side, the indicator connects the earliest stored pivot and the most recent pivot (oldest high to newest high, and oldest low to newest low). When a new pivot is added or an old one drops out of the lookback window, the line’s endpoints—and therefore its slope—are recalculated accordingly.
• Horizontal support/resistance: The highest high and lowest low within the lookback window defined by length_input are plotted as horizontal dashed lines. These serve as short‑term support and resistance levels.
• Ranked labels: If showPivotLabels is enabled the indicator prints labels such as “HH1”, “HH2”, “LL1” and “LL2” near each pivot. The ranking is determined by comparing the price of each stored pivot: HH1 is the highest high, HH2 is the second highest, and so on; LL1 is the lowest low, LL2 is the second lowest. In the case of equal prices the newer pivot gets the better rank. Labels are offset from price using ½ × ATR × label_atr_multiplier, with the ATR length defined by label_atr_len_input. A dotted connector links each label to the candle’s wick.
2.2 Key settings
• length_input: Window length for finding the highest and lowest values and for determining trend line endpoints. A larger value considers more history and will generate longer trend lines and S/R levels.
• pivot_left_input, pivot_right_input: Strictness of swing confirmation. Higher values require more bars on either side to form a pivot; lower values create more pivots but may include minor swings.
• point_count_input: How many pivots are kept in memory on each side. When new pivots exceed this number the oldest ones are discarded.
• label_atr_len_input and label_atr_multiplier: Determine how far pivot labels are offset from the bar using ATR. Increasing the multiplier moves labels further away from price.
• Styling inputs for trend lines, horizontal lines and labels (color, width and line style).
Figure caption, The chart illustrates how the indicator’s price‑structure backbone operates. In this daily example, the script scans for bars where the high (or low) pivot_right_input bars back is higher (or lower) than the preceding pivot_left_input bars and higher or lower than the subsequent pivot_right_input bars; only those bars are marked as pivots.
These pivot points are stored and ranked: the highest high is labelled “HH1”, the second‑highest “HH2”, and so on, while lows are marked “LL1”, “LL2”, etc. Each label is offset from the price by half of an ATR‑based distance to keep the chart clear, and a dotted connector links the label to the actual candle.
The red diagonal line connects the earliest and latest stored high pivots, and the green line does the same for low pivots; when a new pivot is added or an old one drops out of the lookback window, the end‑points and slopes adjust accordingly. Dashed horizontal lines mark the highest high and lowest low within the current lookback window, providing visual support and resistance levels. Together, these elements form the structural backbone that other modules reference, even when volume data is unavailable.
3. Breakout Module
3.1 Concept
This module confirms that a price break beyond a recent high or low is supported by a genuine shift in buying or selling pressure. It requires price to clear the highest high (“HH1”) or lowest low (“LL1”) and, simultaneously, that the winning side shows a significant volume spike, dominance and ranking. Only when all volume and price conditions pass is a breakout labelled.
3.2 Inputs
• lookback_break_input : This controls the number of bars used to compute moving averages and percentiles for volume. A larger value smooths the averages and percentiles but makes the indicator respond more slowly.
• vol_mult_input : The “spike” multiplier; the current buy or sell volume must be at least this multiple of its moving average over the lookback window to qualify as a breakout.
• rank_threshold_input (0–100) : Defines a volume percentile cutoff: the current buyer/seller volume must be in the top (100−threshold)%(100−threshold)% of all volumes within the lookback window. For example, if set to 80, the current volume must be in the top 20 % of the lookback distribution.
• ratio_threshold_input (0–1) : Specifies the minimum share of total volume that the buyer (for a bullish breakout) or seller (for bearish) must hold on the current bar; the code also requires that the cumulative buyer volume over the lookback window exceeds the seller volume (and vice versa for bearish cases).
• use_custom_tf_input / custom_tf_input : When enabled, these inputs override the automatic choice of lower timeframe for up/down volume; otherwise the script selects a sensible default based on the chart’s timeframe.
• Label appearance settings : Separate options control the ATR-based offset length, offset multiplier, label size and colors for bullish and bearish breakout labels, as well as the connector style and width.
3.3 Detection logic
1. Data preparation : Retrieve per‑side volume from the lower timeframe and take absolute values. Build rolling arrays of the last lookback_break_input values to compute simple moving averages (SMAs), cumulative sums and percentile ranks for buy and sell volume.
2. Volume spike: A spike is flagged when the current buy (or, in the bearish case, sell) volume is at least vol_mult_input times its SMA over the lookback window.
3. Dominance test: The buyer’s (or seller’s) share of total volume on the current bar must meet or exceed ratio_threshold_input. In addition, the cumulative sum of buyer volume over the window must exceed the cumulative sum of seller volume for a bullish breakout (and vice versa for bearish). A separate requirement checks the sign of delta: for bullish breakouts delta_breakout must be non‑negative; for bearish breakouts it must be non‑positive.
4. Percentile rank: The current volume must fall within the top (100 – rank_threshold_input) percent of the lookback distribution—ensuring that the spike is unusually large relative to recent history.
5. Price test: For a bullish signal, the closing price must close above the highest pivot (HH1); for a bearish signal, the close must be below the lowest pivot (LL1).
6. Labeling: When all conditions above are satisfied, the indicator prints “Breakout ↑” above the bar (bullish) or “Breakout ↓” below the bar (bearish). Labels are offset using half of an ATR‑based distance and linked to the candle with a dotted connector.
Figure caption, (Breakout ↑ example) , On this daily chart, price pushes above the red trendline and the highest prior pivot (HH1). The indicator recognizes this as a valid breakout because the buyer‑side volume on the lower timeframe spikes above its recent moving average and buyers dominate the volume statistics over the lookback period; when combined with a close above HH1, this satisfies the breakout conditions. The “Breakout ↑” label appears above the candle, and the info table highlights that up‑volume is elevated relative to its 11‑bar average, buyer share exceeds the dominance threshold and money‑flow metrics support the move.
Figure caption, In this daily example, price breaks below the lowest pivot (LL1) and the lower green trendline. The indicator identifies this as a bearish breakout because sell‑side volume is sharply elevated—about twice its 11‑bar average—and sellers dominate both the bar and the lookback window. With the close falling below LL1, the script triggers a Breakout ↓ label and marks the corresponding row in the info table, which shows strong down volume, negative delta and a seller share comfortably above the dominance threshold.
4. Market Phase Module (Volume Only)
4.1 Concept
Not all markets trend; many cycle between periods of accumulation (buying pressure building up), distribution (selling pressure dominating) and neutral behavior. This module classifies the current bar into one of these phases without using ATR , relying solely on buyer and seller volume statistics. It looks at net flows, ratio changes and an OBV‑like cumulative line with dual‑reference (1‑ and 2‑bar) trends. The result is displayed both as on‑chart labels and in a dedicated row of the info table.
4.2 Inputs
• phase_period_len: Number of bars over which to compute sums and ratios for phase detection.
• phase_ratio_thresh : Minimum buyer share (for accumulation) or minimum seller share (for distribution, derived as 1 − phase_ratio_thresh) of the total volume.
• strict_mode: When enabled, both the 1‑bar and 2‑bar changes in each statistic must agree on the direction (strict confirmation); when disabled, only one of the two references needs to agree (looser confirmation).
• Color customisation for info table cells and label styling for accumulation and distribution phases, including ATR length, multiplier, label size, colors and connector styles.
• show_phase_module: Toggles the entire phase detection subsystem.
• show_phase_labels: Controls whether on‑chart labels are drawn when accumulation or distribution is detected.
4.3 Detection logic
The module computes three families of statistics over the volume window defined by phase_period_len:
1. Net sum (buyers minus sellers): net_sum_phase = Σ(buy) − Σ(sell). A positive value indicates a predominance of buyers. The code also computes the differences between the current value and the values 1 and 2 bars ago (d_net_1, d_net_2) to derive up/down trends.
2. Buyer ratio: The instantaneous ratio TF_buy_breakout / TF_tot_breakout and the window ratio Σ(buy) / Σ(total). The current ratio must exceed phase_ratio_thresh for accumulation or fall below 1 − phase_ratio_thresh for distribution. The first and second differences of the window ratio (d_ratio_1, d_ratio_2) determine trend direction.
3. OBV‑like cumulative net flow: An on‑balance volume analogue obv_net_phase increments by TF_buy_breakout − TF_sell_breakout each bar. Its differences over the last 1 and 2 bars (d_obv_1, d_obv_2) provide trend clues.
The algorithm then combines these signals:
• For strict mode , accumulation requires: (a) current ratio ≥ threshold, (b) cumulative ratio ≥ threshold, (c) both ratio differences ≥ 0, (d) net sum differences ≥ 0, and (e) OBV differences ≥ 0. Distribution is the mirror case.
• For loose mode , it relaxes the directional tests: either the 1‑ or the 2‑bar difference needs to agree in each category.
If all conditions for accumulation are satisfied, the phase is labelled “Accumulation” ; if all conditions for distribution are satisfied, it’s labelled “Distribution” ; otherwise the phase is “Neutral” .
4.4 Outputs
• Info table row : Row 8 displays “Market Phase (Vol)” on the left and the detected phase (Accumulation, Distribution or Neutral) on the right. The text colour of both cells matches a user‑selectable palette (typically green for accumulation, red for distribution and grey for neutral).
• On‑chart labels : When show_phase_labels is enabled and a phase persists for at least one bar, the module prints a label above the bar ( “Accum” ) or below the bar ( “Dist” ) with a dashed or dotted connector. The label is offset using ATR based on phase_label_atr_len_input and phase_label_multiplier and is styled according to user preferences.
Figure caption, The chart displays a red “Dist” label above a particular bar, indicating that the accumulation/distribution module identified a distribution phase at that point. The detection is based on seller dominance: during that bar, the net buyer-minus-seller flow and the OBV‑style cumulative flow were trending down, and the buyer ratio had dropped below the preset threshold. These conditions satisfy the distribution criteria in strict mode. The label is placed above the bar using an ATR‑based offset and a dashed connector. By the time of the current bar in the screenshot, the phase indicator shows “Neutral” in the info table—signaling that neither accumulation nor distribution conditions are currently met—yet the historical “Dist” label remains to mark where the prior distribution phase began.
Figure caption, In this example the market phase module has signaled an Accumulation phase. Three bars before the current candle, the algorithm detected a shift toward buyers: up‑volume exceeded its moving average, down‑volume was below average, and the buyer share of total volume climbed above the threshold while the on‑balance net flow and cumulative ratios were trending upwards. The blue “Accum” label anchored below that bar marks the start of the phase; it remains on the chart because successive bars continue to satisfy the accumulation conditions. The info table confirms this: the “Market Phase (Vol)” row still reads Accumulation, and the ratio and sum rows show buyers dominating both on the current bar and across the lookback window.
5. OB/OS Spike Module
5.1 What overbought/oversold means here
In many markets, a rapid extension up or down is often followed by a period of consolidation or reversal. The indicator interprets overbought (OB) conditions as abnormally strong selling risk at or after a price rally and oversold (OS) conditions as unusually strong buying risk after a decline. Importantly, these are not direct trade signals; rather they flag areas where caution or contrarian setups may be appropriate.
5.2 Inputs
• minHits_obos (1–7): Minimum number of oscillators that must agree on an overbought or oversold condition for a label to print.
• syncWin_obos: Length of a small sliding window over which oscillator votes are smoothed by taking the maximum count observed. This helps filter out choppy signals.
• Volume spike criteria: kVolRatio_obos (ratio of current volume to its SMA) and zVolThr_obos (Z‑score threshold) across volLen_obos. Either threshold can trigger a spike.
• Oscillator toggles and periods: Each of RSI, Stochastic (K and D), Williams %R, CCI, MFI, DeMarker and Stochastic RSI can be independently enabled; their periods are adjustable.
• Label appearance: ATR‑based offset, size, colors for OB and OS labels, plus connector style and width.
5.3 Detection logic
1. Directional volume spikes: Volume spikes are computed separately for buyer and seller volumes. A sell volume spike (sellVolSpike) flags a potential OverBought bar, while a buy volume spike (buyVolSpike) flags a potential OverSold bar. A spike occurs when the respective volume exceeds kVolRatio_obos times its simple moving average over the window or when its Z‑score exceeds zVolThr_obos.
2. Oscillator votes: For each enabled oscillator, calculate its overbought and oversold state using standard thresholds (e.g., RSI ≥ 70 for OB and ≤ 30 for OS; Stochastic %K/%D ≥ 80 for OB and ≤ 20 for OS; etc.). Count how many oscillators vote for OB and how many vote for OS.
3. Minimum hits: Apply the smoothing window syncWin_obos to the vote counts using a maximum‑of‑last‑N approach. A candidate bar is only considered if the smoothed OB hit count ≥ minHits_obos (for OverBought) or the smoothed OS hit count ≥ minHits_obos (for OverSold).
4. Tie‑breaking: If both OverBought and OverSold spike conditions are present on the same bar, compare the smoothed hit counts: the side with the higher count is selected; ties default to OverBought.
5. Label printing: When conditions are met, the bar is labelled as “OverBought X/7” above the candle or “OverSold X/7” below it. “X” is the number of oscillators confirming, and the bracket lists the abbreviations of contributing oscillators. Labels are offset from price using half of an ATR‑scaled distance and can optionally include a dotted or dashed connector line.
Figure caption, In this chart the overbought/oversold module has flagged an OverSold signal. A sell‑off from the prior highs brought price down to the lower trend‑line, where the bar marked “OverSold 3/7 DeM” appears. This label indicates that on that bar the module detected a buy‑side volume spike and that at least three of the seven enabled oscillators—in this case including the DeMarker—were in oversold territory. The label is printed below the candle with a dotted connector, signaling that the market may be temporarily exhausted on the downside. After this oversold print, price begins to rebound towards the upper red trend‑line and higher pivot levels.
Figure caption, This example shows the overbought/oversold module in action. In the left‑hand panel you can see the OB/OS settings where each oscillator (RSI, Stochastic, Williams %R, CCI, MFI, DeMarker and Stochastic RSI) can be enabled or disabled, and the ATR length and label offset multiplier adjusted. On the chart itself, price has pushed up to the descending red trendline and triggered an “OverBought 3/7” label. That means the sell‑side volume spiked relative to its average and three out of the seven enabled oscillators were in overbought territory. The label is offset above the candle by half of an ATR and connected with a dashed line, signaling that upside momentum may be overextended and a pause or pullback could follow.
6. Buyer/Seller Trap Module
6.1 Concept
A bull trap occurs when price appears to break above resistance, attracting buyers, but fails to sustain the move and quickly reverses, leaving a long upper wick and trapping late entrants. A bear trap is the opposite: price breaks below support, lures in sellers, then snaps back, leaving a long lower wick and trapping shorts. This module detects such traps by looking for price structure sweeps, order‑flow mismatches and dominance reversals. It uses a scoring system to differentiate risk from confirmed traps.
6.2 Inputs
• trap_lookback_len: Window length used to rank extremes and detect sweeps.
• trap_wick_threshold: Minimum proportion of a bar’s range that must be wick (upper for bull traps, lower for bear traps) to qualify as a sweep.
• trap_score_risk: Minimum aggregated score required to flag a trap risk. (The code defines a trap_score_confirm input, but confirmation is actually based on price reversal rather than a separate score threshold.)
• trap_confirm_bars: Maximum number of bars allowed for price to reverse and confirm the trap. If price does not reverse in this window, the risk label will expire or remain unconfirmed.
• Label settings: ATR length and multiplier for offsetting, size, colours for risk and confirmed labels, and connector style and width. Separate settings exist for bull and bear traps.
• Toggle inputs: show_trap_module and show_trap_labels enable the module and control whether labels are drawn on the chart.
6.3 Scoring logic
The module assigns points to several conditions and sums them to determine whether a trap risk is present. For bull traps, the score is built from the following (bear traps mirror the logic with highs and lows swapped):
1. Sweep (2 points): Price trades above the high pivot (HH1) but fails to close above it and leaves a long upper wick at least trap_wick_threshold × range. For bear traps, price dips below the low pivot (LL1), fails to close below and leaves a long lower wick.
2. Close break (1 point): Price closes beyond HH1 or LL1 without leaving a long wick.
3. Candle/delta mismatch (2 points): The candle closes bullish yet the order flow delta is negative or the seller ratio exceeds 50%, indicating hidden supply. Conversely, a bearish close with positive delta or buyer dominance suggests hidden demand.
4. Dominance inversion (2 points): The current bar’s buyer volume has the highest rank in the lookback window while cumulative sums favor sellers, or vice versa.
5. Low‑volume break (1 point): Price crosses the pivot but total volume is below its moving average.
The total score for each side is compared to trap_score_risk. If the score is high enough, a “Bull Trap Risk” or “Bear Trap Risk” label is drawn, offset from the candle by half of an ATR‑scaled distance using a dashed outline. If, within trap_confirm_bars, price reverses beyond the opposite level—drops back below the high pivot for bull traps or rises above the low pivot for bear traps—the label is upgraded to a solid “Bull Trap” or “Bear Trap” . In this version of the code, there is no separate score threshold for confirmation: the variable trap_score_confirm is unused; confirmation depends solely on a successful price reversal within the specified number of bars.
Figure caption, In this example the trap module has flagged a Bear Trap Risk. Price initially breaks below the most recent low pivot (LL1), but the bar closes back above that level and leaves a long lower wick, suggesting a failed push lower. Combined with a mismatch between the candle direction and the order flow (buyers regain control) and a reversal in volume dominance, the aggregate score exceeds the risk threshold, so a dashed “Bear Trap Risk” label prints beneath the bar. The green and red trend lines mark the current low and high pivot trajectories, while the horizontal dashed lines show the highest and lowest values in the lookback window. If, within the next few bars, price closes decisively above the support, the risk label would upgrade to a solid “Bear Trap” label.
Figure caption, In this example the trap module has identified both ends of a price range. Near the highs, price briefly pushes above the descending red trendline and the recent pivot high, but fails to close there and leaves a noticeable upper wick. That combination of a sweep above resistance and order‑flow mismatch generates a Bull Trap Risk label with a dashed outline, warning that the upside break may not hold. At the opposite extreme, price later dips below the green trendline and the labelled low pivot, then quickly snaps back and closes higher. The long lower wick and subsequent price reversal upgrade the previous bear‑trap risk into a confirmed Bear Trap (solid label), indicating that sellers were caught on a false breakdown. Horizontal dashed lines mark the highest high and lowest low of the lookback window, while the red and green diagonals connect the earliest and latest pivot highs and lows to visualize the range.
7. Sharp Move Module
7.1 Concept
Markets sometimes display absorption or climax behavior—periods when one side steadily gains the upper hand before price breaks out with a sharp move. This module evaluates several order‑flow and volume conditions to anticipate such moves. Users can choose how many conditions must be met to flag a risk and how many (plus a price break) are required for confirmation.
7.2 Inputs
• sharp Lookback: Number of bars in the window used to compute moving averages, sums, percentile ranks and reference levels.
• sharpPercentile: Minimum percentile rank for the current side’s volume; the current buy (or sell) volume must be greater than or equal to this percentile of historical volumes over the lookback window.
• sharpVolMult: Multiplier used in the volume climax check. The current side’s volume must exceed this multiple of its average to count as a climax.
• sharpRatioThr: Minimum dominance ratio (current side’s volume relative to the opposite side) used in both the instant and cumulative dominance checks.
• sharpChurnThr: Maximum ratio of a bar’s range to its ATR for absorption/churn detection; lower values indicate more absorption (large volume in a small range).
• sharpScoreRisk: Minimum number of conditions that must be true to print a risk label.
• sharpScoreConfirm: Minimum number of conditions plus a price break required for confirmation.
• sharpCvdThr: Threshold for cumulative delta divergence versus price change (positive for bullish accumulation, negative for bearish distribution).
• Label settings: ATR length (sharpATRlen) and multiplier (sharpLabelMult) for positioning labels, label size, colors and connector styles for bullish and bearish sharp moves.
• Toggles: enableSharp activates the module; show_sharp_labels controls whether labels are drawn.
7.3 Conditions (six per side)
For each side, the indicator computes six boolean conditions and sums them to form a score:
1. Dominance (instant and cumulative):
– Instant dominance: current buy volume ≥ sharpRatioThr × current sell volume.
– Cumulative dominance: sum of buy volumes over the window ≥ sharpRatioThr × sum of sell volumes (and vice versa for bearish checks).
2. Accumulation/Distribution divergence: Over the lookback window, cumulative delta rises by at least sharpCvdThr while price fails to rise (bullish), or cumulative delta falls by at least sharpCvdThr while price fails to fall (bearish).
3. Volume climax: The current side’s volume is ≥ sharpVolMult × its average and the product of volume and bar range is the highest in the lookback window.
4. Absorption/Churn: The current side’s volume divided by the bar’s range equals the highest value in the window and the bar’s range divided by ATR ≤ sharpChurnThr (indicating large volume within a small range).
5. Percentile rank: The current side’s volume percentile rank is ≥ sharp Percentile.
6. Mirror logic for sellers: The above checks are repeated with buyer and seller roles swapped and the price break levels reversed.
Each condition that passes contributes one point to the corresponding side’s score (0 or 1). Risk and confirmation thresholds are then applied to these scores.
7.4 Scoring and labels
• Risk: If scoreBull ≥ sharpScoreRisk, a “Sharp ↑ Risk” label is drawn above the bar. If scoreBear ≥ sharpScoreRisk, a “Sharp ↓ Risk” label is drawn below the bar.
• Confirmation: A risk label is upgraded to “Sharp ↑” when scoreBull ≥ sharpScoreConfirm and the bar closes above the highest recent pivot (HH1); for bearish cases, confirmation requires scoreBear ≥ sharpScoreConfirm and a close below the lowest pivot (LL1).
• Label positioning: Labels are offset from the candle by ATR × sharpLabelMult (full ATR times multiplier), not half, and may include a dashed or dotted connector line if enabled.
Figure caption, In this chart both bullish and bearish sharp‑move setups have been flagged. Earlier in the range, a “Sharp ↓ Risk” label appears beneath a candle: the sell‑side score met the risk threshold, signaling that the combination of strong sell volume, dominance and absorption within a narrow range suggested a potential sharp decline. The price did not close below the lower pivot, so this label remains a “risk” and no confirmation occurred. Later, as the market recovered and volume shifted back to the buy side, a “Sharp ↑ Risk” label prints above a candle near the top of the channel. Here, buy‑side dominance, cumulative delta divergence and a volume climax aligned, but price has not yet closed above the upper pivot (HH1), so the alert is still a risk rather than a confirmed sharp‑up move.
Figure caption, In this chart a Sharp ↑ label is displayed above a candle, indicating that the sharp move module has confirmed a bullish breakout. Prior bars satisfied the risk threshold — showing buy‑side dominance, positive cumulative delta divergence, a volume climax and strong absorption in a narrow range — and this candle closes above the highest recent pivot, upgrading the earlier “Sharp ↑ Risk” alert to a full Sharp ↑ signal. The green label is offset from the candle with a dashed connector, while the red and green trend lines trace the high and low pivot trajectories and the dashed horizontals mark the highest and lowest values of the lookback window.
8. Market‑Maker / Spread‑Capture Module
8.1 Concept
Liquidity providers often “capture the spread” by buying and selling in almost equal amounts within a very narrow price range. These bars can signal temporary congestion before a move or reflect algorithmic activity. This module flags bars where both buyer and seller volumes are high, the price range is only a few ticks and the buy/sell split remains close to 50%. It helps traders spot potential liquidity pockets.
8.2 Inputs
• scalpLookback: Window length used to compute volume averages.
• scalpVolMult: Multiplier applied to each side’s average volume; both buy and sell volumes must exceed this multiple.
• scalpTickCount: Maximum allowed number of ticks in a bar’s range (calculated as (high − low) / minTick). A value of 1 or 2 captures ultra‑small bars; increasing it relaxes the range requirement.
• scalpDeltaRatio: Maximum deviation from a perfect 50/50 split. For example, 0.05 means the buyer share must be between 45% and 55%.
• Label settings: ATR length, multiplier, size, colors, connector style and width.
• Toggles : show_scalp_module and show_scalp_labels to enable the module and its labels.
8.3 Signal
When, on the current bar, both TF_buy_breakout and TF_sell_breakout exceed scalpVolMult times their respective averages and (high − low)/minTick ≤ scalpTickCount and the buyer share is within scalpDeltaRatio of 50%, the module prints a “Spread ↔” label above the bar. The label uses the same ATR offset logic as other modules and draws a connector if enabled.
Figure caption, In this chart the spread‑capture module has identified a potential liquidity pocket. Buyer and seller volumes both spiked above their recent averages, yet the candle’s range measured only a couple of ticks and the buy/sell split stayed close to 50 %. This combination met the module’s criteria, so it printed a grey “Spread ↔” label above the bar. The red and green trend lines link the earliest and latest high and low pivots, and the dashed horizontals mark the highest high and lowest low within the current lookback window.
9. Money Flow Module
9.1 Concept
To translate volume into a monetary measure, this module multiplies each side’s volume by the closing price. It tracks buying and selling system money default currency on a per-bar basis and sums them over a chosen period. The difference between buy and sell currencies (Δ$) shows net inflow or outflow.
9.2 Inputs
• mf_period_len_mf: Number of bars used for summing buy and sell dollars.
• Label appearance settings: ATR length, multiplier, size, colors for up/down labels, and connector style and width.
• Toggles: Use enableMoneyFlowLabel_mf and showMFLabels to control whether the module and its labels are displayed.
9.3 Calculations
• Per-bar money: Buy $ = TF_buy_breakout × close; Sell $ = TF_sell_breakout × close. Their difference is Δ$ = Buy $ − Sell $.
• Summations: Over mf_period_len_mf bars, compute Σ Buy $, Σ Sell $ and ΣΔ$ using math.sum().
• Info table entries: Rows 9–13 display these values as texts like “↑ USD 1234 (1M)” or “ΣΔ USD −5678 (14)”, with colors reflecting whether buyers or sellers dominate.
• Money flow status: If Δ$ is positive the bar is marked “Money flow in” ; if negative, “Money flow out” ; if zero, “Neutral”. The cumulative status is similarly derived from ΣΔ.Labels print at the bar that changes the sign of ΣΔ, offset using ATR × label multiplier and styled per user preferences.
Figure caption, The chart illustrates a steady rise toward the highest recent pivot (HH1) with price riding between a rising green trend‑line and a red trend‑line drawn through earlier pivot highs. A green Money flow in label appears above the bar near the top of the channel, signaling that net dollar flow turned positive on this bar: buy‑side dollar volume exceeded sell‑side dollar volume, pushing the cumulative sum ΣΔ$ above zero. In the info table, the “Money flow (bar)” and “Money flow Σ” rows both read In, confirming that the indicator’s money‑flow module has detected an inflow at both bar and aggregate levels, while other modules (pivots, trend lines and support/resistance) remain active to provide structural context.
In this example the Money Flow module signals a net outflow. Price has been trending downward: successive high pivots form a falling red trend‑line and the low pivots form a descending green support line. When the latest bar broke below the previous low pivot (LL1), both the bar‑level and cumulative net dollar flow turned negative—selling volume at the close exceeded buying volume and pushed the cumulative Δ$ below zero. The module reacts by printing a red “Money flow out” label beneath the candle; the info table confirms that the “Money flow (bar)” and “Money flow Σ” rows both show Out, indicating sustained dominance of sellers in this period.
10. Info Table
10.1 Purpose
When enabled, the Info Table appears in the lower right of your chart. It summarises key values computed by the indicator—such as buy and sell volume, delta, total volume, breakout status, market phase, and money flow—so you can see at a glance which side is dominant and which signals are active.
10.2 Symbols
• ↑ / ↓ — Up (↑) denotes buy volume or money; down (↓) denotes sell volume or money.
• MA — Moving average. In the table it shows the average value of a series over the lookback period.
• Σ (Sigma) — Cumulative sum over the chosen lookback period.
• Δ (Delta) — Difference between buy and sell values.
• B / S — Buyer and seller share of total volume, expressed as percentages.
• Ref. Price — Reference price for breakout calculations, based on the latest pivot.
• Status — Indicates whether a breakout condition is currently active (True) or has failed.
10.3 Row definitions
1. Up volume / MA up volume – Displays current buy volume on the lower timeframe and its moving average over the lookback period.
2. Down volume / MA down volume – Shows current sell volume and its moving average; sell values are formatted in red for clarity.
3. Δ / ΣΔ – Lists the difference between buy and sell volume for the current bar and the cumulative delta volume over the lookback period.
4. Σ / MA Σ (Vol/MA) – Total volume (buy + sell) for the bar, with the ratio of this volume to its moving average; the right cell shows the average total volume.
5. B/S ratio – Buy and sell share of the total volume: current bar percentages and the average percentages across the lookback period.
6. Buyer Rank / Seller Rank – Ranks the bar’s buy and sell volumes among the last (n) bars; lower rank numbers indicate higher relative volume.
7. Σ Buy / Σ Sell – Sum of buy and sell volumes over the lookback window, indicating which side has traded more.
8. Breakout UP / DOWN – Shows the breakout thresholds (Ref. Price) and whether the breakout condition is active (True) or has failed.
9. Market Phase (Vol) – Reports the current volume‑only phase: Accumulation, Distribution or Neutral.
10. Money Flow – The final rows display dollar amounts and status:
– ↑ USD / Σ↑ USD – Buy dollars for the current bar and the cumulative sum over the money‑flow period.
– ↓ USD / Σ↓ USD – Sell dollars and their cumulative sum.
– Δ USD / ΣΔ USD – Net dollar difference (buy minus sell) for the bar and cumulatively.
– Money flow (bar) – Indicates whether the bar’s net dollar flow is positive (In), negative (Out) or neutral.
– Money flow Σ – Shows whether the cumulative net dollar flow across the chosen period is positive, negative or neutral.
The chart above shows a sequence of different signals from the indicator. A Bull Trap Risk appears after price briefly pushes above resistance but fails to hold, then a green Accum label identifies an accumulation phase. An upward breakout follows, confirmed by a Money flow in print. Later, a Sharp ↓ Risk warns of a possible sharp downturn; after price dips below support but quickly recovers, a Bear Trap label marks a false breakdown. The highlighted info table in the center summarizes key metrics at that moment, including current and average buy/sell volumes, net delta, total volume versus its moving average, breakout status (up and down), market phase (volume), and bar‑level and cumulative money flow (In/Out).
11. Conclusion & Final Remarks
This indicator was developed as a holistic study of market structure and order flow. It brings together several well‑known concepts from technical analysis—breakouts, accumulation and distribution phases, overbought and oversold extremes, bull and bear traps, sharp directional moves, market‑maker spread bars and money flow—into a single Pine Script tool. Each module is based on widely recognized trading ideas and was implemented after consulting reference materials and example strategies, so you can see in real time how these concepts interact on your chart.
A distinctive feature of this indicator is its reliance on per‑side volume: instead of tallying only total volume, it separately measures buy and sell transactions on a lower time frame. This approach gives a clearer view of who is in control—buyers or sellers—and helps filter breakouts, detect phases of accumulation or distribution, recognize potential traps, anticipate sharp moves and gauge whether liquidity providers are active. The money‑flow module extends this analysis by converting volume into currency values and tracking net inflow or outflow across a chosen window.
Although comprehensive, this indicator is intended solely as a guide. It highlights conditions and statistics that many traders find useful, but it does not generate trading signals or guarantee results. Ultimately, you remain responsible for your positions. Use the information presented here to inform your analysis, combine it with other tools and risk‑management techniques, and always make your own decisions when trading.
PCV (Darren.L-V2)Description:
This indicator combines Bollinger Bands, CCI, and RVI to help identify high-probability zones on M15 charts.
Features:
Bollinger Bands (BB) – displayed on the main chart in light gray. Helps visualize overbought and oversold price levels.
CCI ±100 levels + RVI – displayed in a separate sub-window:
CCI only shows the ±100 reference lines.
RVI displays a cyan main line and a red signal line.
Valid Zone Detection:
Candle closes outside the Bollinger Bands.
RVI crosses above +100 or below -100 (CCI level reference).
Candle closes back inside the BB, confirming a price rebound.
Requires two touches in the same direction to confirm the zone.
Only zones within 20–30 pips range are considered valid.
Usage:
Helps traders spot reversal or bounce zones with clear visual signals.
Suitable for all indices, Forex, and crypto on M15 timeframe.
MA Availability ETA (SMA100/EMA200)This tool helps traders understand when long-term moving averages become available on any chosen timeframe.
Many new symbols, pairs, or timeframes don’t have enough price history to immediately plot long moving averages like SMA(100) and EMA(200). This script calculates and displays:
✅ Bars Remaining – how many bars are still needed before each moving average can be plotted reliably.
✅ ETA Duration – an estimate of how long (in chart time units) it will take until each MA is available.
✅ Status Table & Label – compact visual summary on the chart and in a table at the top-right corner.
✅ Vertical Marker – a dotted line showing exactly where both SMA(100) & EMA(200) first appear together.
✅ Alerts – optional alerts notify you the moment SMA(100) or EMA(200) become available.
🔑 Features
Works on any timeframe and instrument.
Highlights SMA(100) and EMA(200) on the chart for reference.
Lets you choose whether EMA(200) should be considered ready immediately, or only after a full 200-bar history.
Useful for traders who rely on long-term MA signals (golden cross, dynamic support/resistance, trend confirmation) and want to know when these tools will be ready on fresh charts.
🎯 Use Cases
New listings / low-history assets → See when SMA100 & EMA200 become usable.
Backtesting or forward-testing → Anticipate when long-term signals will first appear.
Trend-following strategies → Prepare in advance for crossovers or key support/resistance confluence zones.
⚠️ Note: ETAs are based on chart resolution and assume continuous data; real-world session gaps, weekends, or illiquid trading can make availability slightly later.
👉 Add this to your chart and you’ll always know when the big moving averages arrive — a critical moment for many upside moves and long-term strategies.
PulseMA Oscillator Normalized v2█ OVERVIEW
PulseMA Oscillator Normalized v2 is a technical indicator designed for the TradingView platform, assisting traders in identifying potential trend reversal points based on price dynamics derived from moving averages. The indicator is normalized for easier interpretation across various market conditions, and its visual presentation with gradients and signals facilitates quick decision-making.
█ CONCEPTS
The core idea of the indicator is to analyze trend dynamics by calculating an oscillator based on a moving average (EMA), which is then normalized and smoothed. It provides insights into trend strength, overbought/oversold levels, and reversal signals, enhanced by gradient visualizations.
Why use it?
Identifying reversal points: The indicator detects overbought and oversold levels, generating buy/sell signals at their crossovers.
Price dynamics analysis: Based on moving averages, it measures how long the price stays above or below the EMA, incorporating trend slope.
Visual clarity: Gradients, fills, and colored lines enable quick chart analysis.
Flexibility: Configurable parameters, such as moving average lengths or normalization period, allow adaptation to various strategies and markets.
How it works?
Trend detection: Calculates a base exponential moving average (EMA with PulseMA Length) and measures how long the price stays above or below it, multiplied by the slope for the oscillator.
Normalization: The oscillator is normalized based on the minimum and maximum values over a lookback period (default 150 bars), scaling it to a range from -100 to 100: (oscillator - min) / (max - min) * 200 - 100. This ensures values are comparable across different instruments and timeframes.
Smoothing: The main line (PulseMA) is the normalized oscillator (oscillatorNorm). The PulseMA MA line is a smoothed version of PulseMA, calculated using an SMA with the PulseMA MA length. As PulseMA MA is smoothed, it reacts more slowly and can be used as a noise filter.
Signals: Generates buy signals when crossing the oversold level upward and sell signals when crossing the overbought level downward. Signals are stronger when PulseMA MA is in the overbought or oversold zone (exceeding the respective thresholds for PulseMA MA).
Visualization: Draws lines with gradients for PulseMA and PulseMA MA, levels with gradients, gradient fill to the zero line, and signals as triangles.
Alerts: Built-in alerts for buy and sell signals.
Settings and customization
PulseMA Length: Length of the base EMA (default 20).
PulseMA MA: Length of the SMA for smoothing PulseMA MA (default 20).
Normalization Lookback Period: Normalization period (default 150, minimum 10).
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Levels for the main line (default 100/-100) and thresholds for PulseMA MA, indicating zones where PulseMA MA exceeds set values (default 50/-50).
Colors and gradients: Customize colors for lines, gradients, and levels; options to enable/disable gradients and fills.
Visualizations: Show PulseMA MA, gradients for overbought/oversold/zero levels, and fills.
█ OTHER SECTIONS
Usage examples
Trend analysis: Observe PulseMA above 0 for an uptrend or below 0 for a downtrend. Use different values for PulseMA Length and PulseMA MA to gain a clearer trend picture. PulseMA MA, being smoothed, reacts more slowly and can serve as a noise filter to confirm trend direction.
Reversal signals: Look for buy triangles when PulseMA crosses the oversold level, especially when PulseMA MA is in the oversold zone. Similarly, look for sell triangles when crossing the overbought level with PulseMA MA in the overbought zone. Such confirmation increases signal reliability.
Customization: Test different values for PulseMA Length and PulseMA MA on a given instrument and timeframe to minimize false signals and tailor the indicator to market specifics.
Notes for users
Combine with other tools, such as support/resistance levels or other oscillators, for greater accuracy.
Test different settings for PulseMA Length and PulseMA MA on the chosen instrument and timeframe to find optimal values.
Elliott Wave [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
Elliott Wave automatically finds and draws an Elliott-style 5-wave impulse and a dashed projection for a potential -(a)→(b)→(c) correction. It detects six sequential reversal points from rolling highs/lows — 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, (a) — validates their relative placement, and then renders the wave with labels and horizontal reference lines. If price invalidates the structure by closing back through the Wave-5 level inside a 100-bar window, the pattern is cleared (optionally kept as “broken”) while key dotted levels remain for context.
🔵 CONCEPTS
Reversal harvesting from extremes : The script scans highest/lowest values over a user-set Length and stores swing points with their bar indices.
Six-point validation : A pattern requires six pivots (1…5 and (a)). Their vertical/temporal order must satisfy Elliott-style constraints before drawing.
Impulse + projection : After confirming 1→5, the tool plots a curved polyline through the pivots and a dashed forward path from (a) toward (b) (midpoint of 5 and (a)) and back to (c).
Risk line (invalidator) : The Wave-5 price is tracked; a close back through it within 100 bars marks the structure as broken.
Minimal persistence : When broken, the wave drawing is removed to avoid noise, while dotted horizontals for waves 5 and 4 remain as reference.
🔵 FEATURES
Automatic pivot collection from rolling highs/lows (user-controlled Length ).
Wave labeling : Points 1–5 are printed; the last collected swing is marked b
. Projected i
& i
are shown with a dashed polyline.
Breaker line & cleanup : If price closes above Wave-5 (opposite for bears) within 100 bars, the pattern is removed; only dotted levels of 5 and 4 stay.
Styling controls :
Length (pivot sensitivity)
Text Size for labels (tiny/small/normal/large)
Wave color input
Show Broken toggle to keep invalidated patterns visible
Lightweight memory : Keeps a compact buffer of recent pivots/draws to stay responsive.
🔵 HOW TO USE
Set sensitivity : Increase Length on noisy charts for cleaner pivots; decrease to catch earlier/shorter structures.
Wait for confirmation : Once 1→5 is printed and (a) appears, use the Wave-5 line as your invalidation. A close back through it within ~100 bars removes the active wave (unless Show Broken is on).
Plan with the dashed path : The (a)→(b)→(c) projection offers a scenario for potential corrective movement and risk placement.
Work MTF : Identify cleaner waves on higher TFs; refine execution on lower TFs near the breaker or during the move toward (b).
Seek confluence : Align with structure (S/R), volume/Delta, or your trend filter to avoid counter-context trades.
🔵 CONCLUSION
Elliott Wave systematizes discretionary wave analysis: it detects and labels the 5-wave impulse, projects a plausible (a)-(b)-(c) path, and self-cleans on invalidation. With clear labels, dotted reference levels, and a practical breaker rule, it gives traders an objective framework for scenario planning, invalidation, and timing.
Follow-up Buy / Sell Volume Pressure at Supply / Demand Zones█ Overview:
BE-Volume Footprint & Pressure Candles, is an indicator which is preliminarily designed to analyze the supply and demand patterns based on Rally Base Rally (RBR), Drop Base Drop (DBD), Drop Base Rally (DBR) & Rally Base Drop (RBD) concepts in conjunction to volume pressure. Understanding these concepts are crucial. Let's break down why the "Base" is you Best friend in this context.
Commonness in RBR, DBD, DBR, RBD patterns ?
There is an impulse price movement at first, be it rally (price moving up) or the Drop (price moving down), followed by a period of consolidation which is referred as "BASE" and later with another impulse move of price (Rally or Drop).
Why is the Base Important
1. Market Balance: Base represents a balance between buyers and sellers. This is where decisions are made.
2. Confirmation: It confirms the strength of previous impulse move which has happened.
Base & the Liquidity Play:
Supply & Demand Zone predict the presence of all large orders within the limits of the Base Zone. Price is expected to return to the zone to fill the unfilled orders placed by large players.
For the price to move in the intended direction Liquidity plays the major role. hence indicator aims to help traders in identifying those zones where liquidity exists and the volume pressure helps in confirming that liquidity is making its play.
Bottom pane in the below snapshots is a visual representation of Buyers volume pressure (Green Line & the Green filled area) making the price move upwards vs Sellers volume pressure (Red Line & the Red filled area) making the price move downwards.
Top pane in the below snapshots is a visual representation on the pattern identification (Blue marked zone & the Blue line referred as Liquidity level)
Bullish Pressure On Buy Liquidity:
Bearish Pressure On Sell Liquidity:
█ How It Works:
1. Indicator computes technical & mathematical operations such as ATR, delta of Highs & Lows of the candle and Candle ranges to identify the patterns and marks the liquidity lines accordingly.
2. Indicator then waits for price to return to the liquidity levels and checks if Directional volume pressure to flow-in while the prices hover near the Liquidity zones.
3. Once the Volume pressure is evident, loop in to the ride.
█ When It wont Work:
When there no sufficient Liquidity or sustained Opposite volume pressure, trades are expected to fail.
█ Limitations:
Works only on the scripts which has volume info. Relays on LTF candles to determine intra-bar volumes. Hence, Use on TF greater than 1 min and lesser than 15 min.
█ Indicator Features:
1. StrictEntries: employs' tighter rules (rather most significant setups) on the directional volume pressure applied for the price to move. If unchecked, liberal rules applied on the directional volume pressure leading to more setups being identified.
2. Setup Confirmation period: Indicates Waiting period to analyze the directional volume pressure. Early (lesser wait period) is Risky and Late (longer wait period) is too late for the
ride. Find the quant based on the accuracy of the setup provided in the bottom right table.
3. Algo Enabled with Place Holders:
Indicator is equipped with algo alerts, supported with necessary placeholders to trade any instrument like stock, options etc.
Accepted PlaceHolders (Case Sensitive!!)
1. {{ticker}}-->InstrumentName
2. {{datetime}}-->Date & Time Of Order Placement
3. {{close}}-->LTP Price of Script
4. {{TD}}-->Current Level:
Note: Negative Numbers for Short Setup
5. {{EN}} {{SL}} {{TGT}} {{T1}} {{T2}} --> Trade Levels
6. {{Qty}} {{Qty*x}} --> Qty -> Trade Qty mapped in Settings. Replace x with actual number of your choice for the multiplier
7. {{BS}}-->Based on the Direction of Trade Output shall be with B or S (B == Long Trade & S == Short Trade)
8. {{BUYSELL}}-->Based on the Direction of Trade Output shall be with BUY or SELL (BUY == Long Trade & SELL == Short Trade)
9. {{IBUYSELL}}-->Based on the Direction of Trade Output shall be with BUY or SELL (BUY == SHORT Trade & SELL == LONG Trade)
Dynamic Alerts:
10. { {100R0} }-->Dynamic Place Holder 100 Refers to Strike Difference and Zero refers to ATM
11. { {100R-1} }-->Dynamic Place Holder 100 Refers to Strike Difference and -1 refers to
ATM - 100 strike
12. { {50R2} }-->Dynamic Place Holder 50 Refers to Strike Difference and 2 refers to
ATM + (2 * 50 = 100) strike
13. { {"ddMMyy", 0} }-->Dynamically Picks today date in the specified format.
14. { {"ddMMyy", n} }-->replace n with actual number of your choice to Pick date post today date in the specified format.
15. { {"ddMMyy", "MON"} }-->dynamically pick Monday date (coming Monday, if today is not Monday)
Note. for the 2nd Param-->you can choose to specify either Number OR any letter from =>
16. {{CEPE}} {{ICEPE}} {{CP}} {{ICP}} -> Dynamic Option Side CE or C refers to Calls and PE or P refers to Puts. If "I" is used in PlaceHolder text, On long entries PUTs shall be used
Indicator is equipped with customizable Trade & Risk management settings like multiple Take profit levels, Trailing SL.
Weekly pecentage tracker by PRIVATE
Settings Picture below this link: 👇
i.ibb.co
What it is
A lightweight “Weekly % Tracker” overlay that lets you manually enter weekly performance (in percent) for XAUUSD + up to 10 FX pairs, then shows:
a small table panel with each enabled symbol and its % result
one TOTAL row (Sum / Average / Compounded across all enabled symbols)
an optional mini badge showing the % for a single selected symbol
Nothing is auto-calculated from price—you type the % yourself.
Key settings
Panel: show/hide, position, number of decimals, colors (background, text, green/red).
Total mode:
Sum – adds percentages
Average – mean of enabled rows
Compounded –
(
∏
(
1
+
𝑝
/
100
)
−
1
)
×
100
(∏(1+p/100)−1)×100
Symbols:
XAUUSD (toggle + label + % input)
10 FX pairs (each has On/Off, label text, % input). You can rename labels to any symbol text you want.
Mini badge: show/hide, position, and symbol to display.
How it works
Overlay indicator: overlay=true; just draws UI on the chart (no plots).
Arrays (syms, vals, ons) collect the row data in order: XAU first, then FX1…FX10.
Helpers:
posFrom() converts a position string (e.g., “Top Right”) into a position.* constant.
wp_col() picks green/red/neutral based on the sign of the %.
wp_round() rounds values to the selected decimals.
calc_total() computes the TOTAL with the chosen mode over enabled rows only.
Table creation logic:
Counts how many rows are enabled.
If none enabled or panel is off: the panel table is deleted, so no box/background is visible.
If enabled and on: the panel is (re)created at the chosen position.
On each last bar (barstate.islast), it clears the table to transparent (bgcolor=na) and then fills one row per enabled symbol, followed by a single TOTAL row.
Mini badge:
Always (re)created on position change.
Shows selected symbol’s % (or “-” if that symbol isn’t enabled or has no value).
Colors text green/red by sign.
Notes & limits
It’s manual input—the script doesn’t read trades or P/L from price.
You can rename each row’s label to match any symbol name you want.
When no rows are enabled, the panel disappears entirely (no empty background).
Designed to be light: only draws tables; no heavy plotting.
If you want the TOTAL row to be optional, or different color thresholds, or CSV-style export/import of the values, say the word and I’ll add it.
Pivot Matrix & Multi-Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics________________________________________
📘 Study Material for Pivot Matrix & Multi Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics
(By aiTrendview — Educational Use Only)
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🎯 Introduction
The Pivot Matrix & Multi Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics indicator is designed to help traders visualize pivot points, support/resistance levels, VWAP, and volume flow analytics all in one place. Rather than giving explicit buy/sell calls, the dashboard provides reference insights so a learner may understand how different technical levels interact in real time.
This document explains its functionality step by step with formulas and usage guides.
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1️⃣ Pivot System Logic
Pivot points are classic tools for mapping market support and resistance levels.
✦ How Calculated?
Using the Traditional Method:
• Pivot Point (PP):
PP=Highprev+Lowprev+Closeprev3PP = \frac{High_{prev} + Low_{prev} + Close_{prev}}{3}PP=3Highprev+Lowprev+Closeprev
• First Support/Resistance:
R1=2×PP−Lowprev,S1=2×PP−HighprevR1 = 2 \times PP - Low_{prev}, \quad S1 = 2 \times PP - High_{prev}R1=2×PP−Lowprev,S1=2×PP−Highprev
• Second Support/Resistance:
R2=PP+(Highprev−Lowprev),S2=PP−(Highprev−Lowprev)R2 = PP + (High_{prev} - Low_{prev}), \quad S2 = PP - (High_{prev} - Low_{prev})R2=PP+(Highprev−Lowprev),S2=PP−(Highprev−Lowprev)
• Third Levels:
R3=Highprev+2×(PP−Lowprev),S3=Lowprev−2×(Highprev−PP)R3 = High_{prev} + 2 \times (PP - Low_{prev}), \quad S3 = Low_{prev} - 2 \times (High_{prev} - PP)R3=Highprev+2×(PP−Lowprev),S3=Lowprev−2×(Highprev−PP)
• Similarly, R4/R5 and S4/S5 are extrapolated from extended range multipliers.
✦ How Used?
• Price above PP → bullish control bias.
• Price below PP → bearish control bias.
• R1–R5 levels act as resistances; S1–S5 act as supports.
Learners should watch how candles behave when approaching R/S zones to spot breakout vs. rejection conditions.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Multi Timeframe Logic
The indicator allows using daily-based pivot values (via request.security). This ensures alignment with institutional daily levels, not just intraday recalculations.
✦ Teaching Value
Understanding MTF pivots shows how markets respect higher timeframe levels (daily > intraday, weekly > daily). This helps learners grasp nested support-resistance structures.
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3️⃣ VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
Formula:
VWAPt=∑(Pricei×Volumei)∑(Volumei),Pricei=High+Low+Close3VWAP_t = \frac{\sum (Price_i \times Volume_i)}{\sum (Volume_i)}, \quad Price_i = \frac{High + Low + Close}{3}VWAPt=∑(Volumei)∑(Pricei×Volumei),Pricei=3High+Low+Close
Usage:
• VWAP is used as an institutional benchmark of fair value.
• Above VWAP = bullish flow.
• Below VWAP = bearish flow.
Learners should check whether price respects VWAP as a magnet or uses it as support/resistance.
________________________________________
4️⃣ Volume Flow Analysis
The script classifies buy volume, sell volume, and neutral volume.
• Buy Volume = if close > open.
• Sell Volume = if close < open.
• Neutral Volume = if close = open.
For daily tracking:
Buy%=DayBuyVolDayTotalVol×100,Sell%=DaySellVolDayTotalVol×100Buy\% = \frac{DayBuyVol}{DayTotalVol} \times 100, \quad Sell\% = \frac{DaySellVol}{DayTotalVol} \times 100Buy%=DayTotalVolDayBuyVol×100,Sell%=DayTotalVolDaySellVol×100
Usage for Learners:
• Dominant Buy% → accumulation/ bullish pressure.
• Dominant Sell% → distribution/ bearish pressure.
• Balanced → sideways liquidity building.
This teaches observation of order flow bias rather than relying only on price.
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5️⃣ Dashboard Progress Bars & Colors
The script uses visual progress bars and dynamic colors for clarity. For example:
• VWAP Backgrounds: Green shades when price strongly above VWAP, Red when below.
• Volume Bars: More green blocks mean buying dominance, red means selling pressure.
This visual design turns concepts into easy-to-digest cues, useful for training.
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6️⃣ Market Status Summary
Finally, the dashboard synthesizes all data points:
• Price vs Pivot (above or below).
• Price vs VWAP (above or below).
• Volume Pressure (buy side vs sell side).
Status Rule:
• If all three align bullish → Status box turns green.
• If mixed → Neutral grey.
• If bearish dominance → weaker tone.
Why Important?
This teaches learners that market conditions should align in confluence across indicators before confidence arises.
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⚠️ Strict Disclaimer (aiTrendview)
The Pivot Matrix & Multi Timeframe Support-Resistance Analytics tool is developed by aiTrendview for strictly educational and research purposes.
❌ It does NOT provide buy/sell recommendations.
❌ It does NOT guarantee profits.
❌ Unauthorized use, copying, or redistribution of this code is prohibited.
⚠️ Trading Risk Warning:
• Trading involves high risk of financial loss.
• You may lose more than your capital.
• Past levels and indicators do not predict future outcomes.
This tool must be viewed as a visual education aid to practice technical analysis skills, not as trading advice.
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✅ Now you have a step by step study guide:
• Pivot calculations explained
• VWAP with logic
• Volume breakdown
• Visual analytics
• Status confluence logic
• Disclaimer for compliance
________________________________________
⚠️ Warning:
• Trading financial markets involves substantial risk.
• You can lose more money than you invest.
• Past performance of indicators does not guarantee future results.
• This script must not be copied, resold, or republished without authorization from aiTrendview.
By using this material or the code, you agree to take full responsibility for your trading decisions and acknowledge that this is not financial advice.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer and Warning (From aiTrendview)
This Dynamic Trading Dashboard is created strictly for educational and research purposes on the TradingView platform. It does not provide financial advice, buy/sell recommendations, or guaranteed returns. Any use of this tool in live trading is completely at the user’s own risk. Markets are inherently risky; losses can exceed initial investment.
The intellectual property of this script and its methodology belongs to aiTrendview. Unauthorized reproduction, modification, or redistribution of this code is strictly prohibited. By using this study material or the script, you acknowledge personal responsibility for any trading outcomes. Always consult professional financial advisors before making investment decisions.
Market Outlook Score (MOS)Overview
The "Market Outlook Score (MOS)" is a custom technical indicator designed for TradingView, written in Pine Script version 6. It provides a quantitative assessment of market conditions by aggregating multiple factors, including trend strength across different timeframes, directional movement (via ADX), momentum (via RSI changes), volume dynamics, and volatility stability (via ATR). The MOS is calculated as a weighted score that ranges typically between -1 and +1 (though it can exceed these bounds in extreme conditions), where positive values suggest bullish (long) opportunities, negative values indicate bearish (short) setups, and values near zero imply neutral or indecisive markets.
This indicator is particularly useful for traders seeking a holistic "outlook" score to gauge potential entry points or market bias. It overlays on a separate pane (non-overlay mode) and visualizes the score through horizontal threshold lines and dynamic labels showing the numeric MOS value along with a simple trading decision ("Long", "Short", or "Neutral"). The script avoids using the plot function for compatibility reasons (e.g., potential TradingView bugs) and instead relies on hline for static lines and label.new for per-bar annotations.
Key features:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Incorporates slope data from 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute charts to capture short-term trends.
Trend and Strength Integration: Uses ADX to weight trend bias, ensuring stronger signals in trending markets.
Momentum and Volume: Includes RSI momentum impulses and volume deviations for added confirmation.
Volatility Adjustment: Factors in ATR changes to assess market stability.
Customizable Inputs: Allows users to tweak periods for lookback, ADX, and ATR.
Decision Labels: Automatically classifies the MOS into actionable categories with visual labels.
This indicator is best suited for intraday or swing trading on volatile assets like stocks, forex, or cryptocurrencies. It does not generate buy/sell signals directly but can be combined with other tools (e.g., moving averages or oscillators) for comprehensive strategies.
Inputs
The script provides three user-configurable inputs via TradingView's input panel:
Lookback Period (lookback):
Type: Integer
Default: 20
Range: Minimum 10, Maximum 50
Purpose: Defines the number of bars used in slope calculations for trend analysis. A shorter lookback makes the indicator more sensitive to recent price action, while a longer one smooths out noise for longer-term trends.
ADX Period (adxPeriod):
Type: Integer
Default: 14
Range: Minimum 5, Maximum 30
Purpose: Sets the smoothing period for the Average Directional Index (ADX) and its components (DI+ and DI-). Standard value is 14, but shorter periods increase responsiveness, and longer ones reduce false signals.
ATR Period (atrPeriod):
Type: Integer
Default: 14
Range: Minimum 5, Maximum 30
Purpose: Determines the period for the Average True Range (ATR) calculation, which measures volatility. Adjust this to match your trading timeframe—shorter for scalping, longer for positional trading.
These inputs allow customization without editing the code, making the indicator adaptable to different market conditions or user preferences.
Core Calculations
The MOS is computed through a series of steps, blending trend, momentum, volume, and volatility metrics. Here's a breakdown:
Multi-Timeframe Slopes:
The script fetches data from higher timeframes (5m, 15m, 30m) using request.security.
Slope calculation: For each timeframe, it computes the linear regression slope of price over the lookback period using the formula:
textslope = correlation(close, bar_index, lookback) * stdev(close, lookback) / stdev(bar_index, lookback)
This measures the rate of price change, where positive slopes indicate uptrends and negative slopes indicate downtrends.
Variables: slope5m, slope15m, slope30m.
ATR (Average True Range):
Calculated using ta.atr(atrPeriod).
Represents average volatility over the specified period. Used later to derive volatility stability.
ADX (Average Directional Index):
A detailed, manual implementation (not using built-in ta.adx for customization):
Computes upward movement (upMove = high - high ) and downward movement (downMove = low - low).
Derives +DM (Plus Directional Movement) and -DM (Minus Directional Movement) by filtering non-relevant moves.
Smooths true range (trur = ta.rma(ta.tr(true), adxPeriod)).
Calculates +DI and -DI: plusDI = 100 * ta.rma(plusDM, adxPeriod) / trur, similarly for minusDI.
DX: dx = 100 * abs(plusDI - minusDI) / max(plusDI + minusDI, 0.0001).
ADX: adx = ta.rma(dx, adxPeriod).
ADX values above 25 typically indicate strong trends; here, it's normalized (divided by 50) to influence the trend bias.
Volume Delta (5m Timeframe):
Fetches 5m volume: volume_5m = request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "5", volume, lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on).
Computes a 12-period SMA of volume: avgVolume = ta.sma(volume_5m, 12).
Delta: (volume_5m - avgVolume) / avgVolume (or 0 if avgVolume is zero).
This measures relative volume spikes, where positive deltas suggest increased interest (bullish) and negative suggest waning activity (bearish).
MOS Components and Final Calculation:
Trend Bias: Average of the three slopes, normalized by close price and scaled by 100, then weighted by ADX influence: (slope5m + slope15m + slope30m) / 3 / close * 100 * (adx / 50).
Emphasizes trends in strong ADX conditions.
Momentum Impulse: Change in 5m RSI(14) over 1 bar, divided by 50: ta.change(request.security(syminfo.tickerid, "5", ta.rsi(close, 14), lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_on), 1) / 50.
Captures short-term momentum shifts.
Volatility Clarity: 1 - ta.change(atr, 1) / max(atr, 0.0001).
Measures ATR stability; values near 1 indicate low volatility changes (clearer trends), while lower values suggest erratic markets.
MOS Formula: Weighted average:
textmos = (0.35 * trendBias + 0.25 * momentumImpulse + 0.2 * volumeDelta + 0.2 * volatilityClarity)
Weights prioritize trend (35%) and momentum (25%), with volume and volatility at 20% each. These can be adjusted in code for experimentation.
Trading Decision:
A variable mosDecision starts as "Neutral".
If mos > 0.15, set to "Long".
If mos < -0.15, set to "Short".
Thresholds (0.15 and -0.15) are hardcoded but can be modified.
Visualization and Outputs
Threshold Lines (using hline):
Long Threshold: Horizontal dashed green line at +0.15.
Short Threshold: Horizontal dashed red line at -0.15.
Neutral Line: Horizontal dashed gray line at 0.
These provide visual reference points for MOS interpretation.
Dynamic Labels (using label.new):
Placed at each bar's index and MOS value.
Text: Formatted MOS value (e.g., "0.2345") followed by a newline and the decision (e.g., "Long").
Style: Downward-pointing label with gray background and white text for readability.
This replaces a traditional plot line, showing exact values and decisions per bar without cluttering the chart.
The indicator appears in a separate pane below the main price chart, making it easy to monitor alongside price action.
Usage Instructions
Adding to TradingView:
Copy the script into TradingView's Pine Script editor.
Save and add to your chart via the "Indicators" menu.
Select a symbol and timeframe (e.g., 1-minute for intraday).
Interpretation:
Long Signal: MOS > 0.15 – Consider bullish positions if supported by other indicators.
Short Signal: MOS < -0.15 – Potential bearish setups.
Neutral: Between -0.15 and 0.15 – Avoid trades or wait for confirmation.
Watch for MOS crossings of thresholds for momentum shifts.
Combine with price patterns, support/resistance, or volume for better accuracy.
Limitations and Considerations:
Lookahead Bias: Uses barmerge.lookahead_on for multi-timeframe data, which may introduce minor forward-looking bias in backtesting (use with caution).
No Alerts Built-In: Add custom alerts via TradingView's alert system based on MOS conditions.
Performance: Tested for compatibility; may require adjustments for illiquid assets or extreme volatility.
Backtesting: Use TradingView's strategy tester to evaluate historical performance, but remember past results don't guarantee future outcomes.
Customization: Edit weights in the MOS formula or thresholds to fit your strategy.
This indicator distills complex market data into a single score, aiding decision-making while encouraging users to verify signals with additional analysis. If you need modifications, such as restoring plot functionality or adding features, provide details for further refinement.
The Barking Rat LiteMomentum & FVG Reversion Strategy
The Barking Rat Lite is a disciplined, short-term mean-reversion strategy that combines RSI momentum filtering, EMA bands, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) detection to identify short-term reversal points. Designed for practical use on volatile markets, it focuses on precise entries and ATR-based take profit management to balance opportunity and risk.
Core Concept
This strategy seeks potential reversals when short-term price action shows exhaustion outside an EMA band, confirmed by momentum and FVG signals:
EMA Bands:
Parameters used: A 20-period EMA (fast) and 100-period EMA (slow).
Why chosen:
- The 20 EMA is sensitive to short-term moves and reflects immediate momentum.
- The 100 EMA provides a slower, structural anchor.
When price trades outside both bands, it often signals overextension relative to both short-term and medium-term trends.
Application in strategy:
- Long entries are only considered when price dips below both EMAs, identifying potential undervaluation.
- Short entries are only considered when price rises above both EMAs, identifying potential overvaluation.
This dual-band filter avoids counter-trend signals that would occur if only a single EMA was used, making entries more selective..
Fair Value Gap Detection (FVG):
Parameters used: The script checks for dislocations using a 12-bar lookback (i.e. comparing current highs/lows with values 12 candles back).
Why chosen:
- A 12-bar displacement highlights significant inefficiencies in price structure while filtering out micro-gaps that appear every few bars in high-volatility markets.
- By aligning FVG signals with candle direction (bullish = close > open, bearish = close < open), the strategy avoids random gaps and instead targets ones that suggest exhaustion.
Application in strategy:
- Bullish FVGs form when earlier lows sit above current highs, hinting at downward over-extension.
- Bearish FVGs form when earlier highs sit below current lows, hinting at upward over-extension.
This gives the strategy a structural filter beyond simple oscillators, ensuring signals have price-dislocation context.
RSI Momentum Filter:
Parameters used: 14-period RSI with thresholds of 80 (overbought) and 20 (oversold).
Why chosen:
- RSI(14) is a widely recognized momentum measure that balances responsiveness with stability.
- The thresholds are intentionally extreme (80/20 vs. the more common 70/30), so the strategy only engages at genuine exhaustion points rather than frequent minor corrections.
Application in strategy:
- Longs trigger when RSI < 20, suggesting oversold exhaustion.
- Shorts trigger when RSI > 80, suggesting overbought exhaustion.
This ensures entries are not just technically valid but also backed by momentum extremes, raising conviction.
ATR-Based Take Profit:
Parameters used: 14-period ATR, with a default multiplier of 4.
Why chosen:
- ATR(14) reflects the prevailing volatility environment without reacting too much to outliers.
- A multiplier of 4 is a pragmatic compromise: wide enough to let trades breathe in volatile conditions, but tight enough to enforce disciplined exits before mean reversion fades.
Application in strategy:
- At entry, a fixed target is set = Entry Price ± (ATR × 4).
- This target scales automatically with volatility: narrower in calm periods, wider in explosive markets.
By avoiding discretionary exits, the system maintains rule-based discipline.
Visual Signals on Chart
Blue “▲” below candle: Potential long entry
Orange/Yellow “▼” above candle: Potential short entry
Green “✔️”: Trade closed at ATR take profit
Blue (20 EMA) & Orange (100 EMA) lines: Dynamic channel reference
⚙️Strategy report properties
Position size: 25% equity per trade
Initial capital: 10,000.00 USDT
Pyramiding: 10 entries per direction
Slippage: 2 ticks
Commission: 0.055% per side
Backtest timeframe: 1-minute
Backtest instrument: HYPEUSDT
Backtesting range: Jul 28, 2025 — Aug 17, 2025
Note on Sample Size:
You’ll notice the report displays fewer than the ideal 100 trades in the strategy report above. This is intentional. The goal of the script is to isolate high-quality, short-term reversal opportunities while filtering out low-conviction setups. This means that the Barking Rat Lite strategy is very selective, filtering out over 90% of market noise. The brief timeframe shown in the strategy report here illustrates its filtering logic over a short window — not its full capabilities. As a result, even on lower timeframes like the 1-minute chart, signals are deliberately sparse — each one must pass all criteria before triggering.
For a larger dataset:
Once the strategy is applied to your chart, users are encouraged to expand the lookback range or apply the strategy to other volatile pairs to view a full sample.
💡Why 25% Equity Per Trade?
While it's always best to size positions based on personal risk tolerance, we defaulted to 25% equity per trade in the backtesting data — and here’s why:
Backtests using this sizing show manageable drawdowns even under volatile periods.
The strategy generates a sizeable number of trades, reducing reliance on a single outcome.
Combined with conservative filters, the 25% setting offers a balance between aggression and control.
Users are strongly encouraged to customize this to suit their risk profile.
What makes Barking Rat Lite valuable
Combines multiple layers of confirmation: EMA bands + FVG + RSI
Adaptive to volatility: ATR-based exits scale with market conditions
Clear, actionable visuals: Easy to monitor and manage trades
NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner# NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner
## 🎯 Overview
The NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner analyzes the top-weighted stocks in the NASDAQ-100 index to provide real-time bullish/bearish sentiment signals that can help predict NAS100 price movements. This indicator combines multiple technical analysis methods to give traders a comprehensive view of underlying market sentiment.
## 📊 How It Works
The indicator calculates sentiment scores for major NASDAQ-100 components (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA, AVGO, COST, NFLX) using:
- **RSI Analysis**: Identifies overbought/oversold conditions
- **Moving Average Trends**: Compares fast vs slow MA positioning
- **Volume Confirmation**: Validates moves with volume thresholds
- **Price Momentum**: Analyzes recent price direction
- **Market Cap Weighting**: Uses actual NASDAQ-100 weightings for accuracy
## 🚀 Key Features
### Real-Time Sentiment Analysis
- Weighted composite score based on individual stock analysis
- Color-coded sentiment line (Green = Bullish, Red = Bearish)
- Dynamic background coloring for strong signals
### Interactive Data Table
- Shows individual stock scores and signals
- Bullish/Bearish stock count summary
- Customizable position and size
### Smart Signal System
- **Bullish Signals**: Green triangle up when sentiment crosses threshold
- **Bearish Signals**: Red triangle down when sentiment falls below threshold
- **Alert Conditions**: Automatic notifications for signal changes
## ⚙️ Customization Options
### Technical Analysis Settings
- **RSI Period**: Adjust lookback period (default: 14)
- **RSI Levels**: Set overbought/oversold thresholds
- **Moving Averages**: Configure fast/slow MA periods
- **Volume Threshold**: Set volume confirmation multiplier
### Signal Thresholds
- **Bullish/Bearish Levels**: Customize trigger points
- **Strong Signal Levels**: Set extreme sentiment thresholds
- Fine-tune sensitivity to market conditions
### Display Options
- **Toggle Table**: Show/hide sentiment data table
- **Table Position**: 6 position options (Top/Bottom/Middle + Left/Right)
- **Table Size**: Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, or Large
- **Background Colors**: Enable/disable signal backgrounds
- **Signal Arrows**: Show/hide buy/sell indicators
### Stock Selection
- **Individual Control**: Enable/disable any of the 10 major stocks
- **Dynamic Weighting**: Automatically adjusts calculations based on selected stocks
- **Flexible Analysis**: Focus on specific sectors or market leaders
## 📈 How to Use
### 1. Basic Setup
1. Add the indicator to your NAS100 chart
2. Default settings work well for most traders
3. Observe the sentiment line and signals
### 2. Signal Interpretation
- **Score > 30**: Bullish bias for NAS100
- **Score > 50**: Strong bullish signal
- **Score -30 to 30**: Neutral/consolidation
- **Score < -30**: Bearish bias for NAS100
- **Score < -50**: Strong bearish signal
### 3. Trading Strategies
**Trend Following:**
- Buy NAS100 when bullish signals appear
- Sell/short when bearish signals trigger
- Use background colors for quick visual confirmation
**Divergence Trading:**
- Watch for sentiment/price divergences
- Strong sentiment with weak NAS100 price = potential breakout
- Weak sentiment with strong NAS100 price = potential reversal
**Consensus Trading:**
- Monitor bullish/bearish stock counts in table
- 8+ stocks aligned = strong directional bias
- Mixed signals = wait for clearer consensus
### 4. Advanced Usage
- Combine with your existing NAS100 trading strategy
- Use multiple timeframes for confirmation
- Adjust thresholds based on market volatility
- Focus on specific stocks by disabling others
## 🔔 Alert Setup
The indicator includes built-in alert conditions:
1. Go to TradingView Alerts
2. Select "NAS100 Component Sentiment Scanner"
3. Choose from available alert types:
- NAS100 Bullish Signal
- NAS100 Bearish Signal
- Strong Bullish Consensus
- Strong Bearish Consensus
## 💡 Pro Tips
### Optimization
- **High Volatility**: Increase signal thresholds (±40, ±60)
- **Low Volatility**: Decrease thresholds (±20, ±40)
- **Day Trading**: Use smaller table, focus on real-time signals
- **Swing Trading**: Enable background colors, larger thresholds
### Best Practices
- Don't use as a standalone system - combine with price action
- Check individual stock table for context
- Monitor during market open for most reliable signals
- Consider earnings seasons for individual stock impacts
### Market Conditions
- **Trending Markets**: Higher accuracy, use with trend following
- **Ranging Markets**: Watch for false signals, increase thresholds
- **News Events**: Individual stock news can skew sentiment temporarily
## 🎨 Visual Guide
- **Green Line Above Zero**: Bullish sentiment building
- **Red Line Below Zero**: Bearish sentiment building
- **Background Color Changes**: Strong signal confirmation
- **Triangle Arrows**: Entry/exit signal points
- **Table Colors**: Quick sentiment overview
## ⚠️ Important Notes
- This indicator analyzes component stocks, not NAS100 directly
- Market cap weightings approximate real NASDAQ-100 weightings
- Sentiment can change rapidly during volatile periods
- Always use proper risk management
- Combine with other technical analysis tools
## 🔧 Troubleshooting
- **No signals**: Check if thresholds are too extreme
- **Too many signals**: Increase threshold sensitivity
- **Table not showing**: Ensure "Show Sentiment Table" is enabled
- **Missing stocks**: Verify individual stock toggles in settings
---
**Suitable for**: Day traders, swing traders, NAS100 specialists, index traders
**Best Timeframes**: 5min, 15min, 1H, 4H
**Market Sessions**: US market hours for highest accuracy
Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5.1Chart-Only Scanner — Pro Table v2.5
User Manual (Pine Script v6)
What this tool does (in one line)
A compact, on-chart table that scores the current chart symbol (or an optional override) using momentum, volume, trend, volatility, and pattern checks—so you can quickly decide UP, DOWN, or WAIT.
Quick Start (90 seconds)
Add the indicator to any chart and timeframe (1m…1M).
Leave “Override chart symbol” = OFF to auto-use the chart’s symbol.
Choose your layout:
Row (wide horizontal strip), or Grid (title + labeled cells).
Pick a size preset (Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile).
Optional: turn on “Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50)” and set HTF Multiplier (e.g., 4 ⇒ if chart is 15m, HTF is 60m).
Watch the table:
DIR (↑/↓/→), ROC%, MOM, VOL, EMA stack, HTF, REV, SCORE, ACT.
Add an alert if you want: the script fires when |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
What to expect
A small table appears on the chart corner you choose, updating each bar (or only at bar close if you keep default smart-update).
The ACT cell shows 🔥 (strong), 👀 (medium), or ⏳ (weak).
Panels & Settings (every option explained)
Core
Momentum Period: Lookback for rate-of-change (ROC%). Shorter = more reactive; longer = smoother.
ROC% Threshold: Minimum absolute ROC% to call direction UP (↑) or DOWN (↓); otherwise →.
Require Volume Confirmation: If ON and VOL ≤ 1.0, the SCORE is forced to 0 (prevents low-volume false positives).
Override chart symbol + Custom symbol: By default, the indicator uses the chart’s symbol. Turn this ON to lock to a specific ticker (e.g., a perpetual).
Higher TF
Use Higher TF (EMA 20/50): Compares EMA20 vs EMA50 on a higher timeframe.
HTF Multiplier: Higher TF = (chart TF × multiplier).
Example: on 3H chart with multiplier 2 ⇒ HTF = 6H.
Volatility & Oscillators
ATR Length: Used to show ATR% (ATR relative to price).
RSI Length: Standard RSI; colors: green ≤30 (oversold), red ≥70 (overbought).
Stoch %K Length: With %D = SMA(%K, 3).
MACD Fast/Slow/Signal: Standard MACD values; we display Line, Signal, Histogram (L/S/H).
ADX Length (Wilder): Wilder’s smoothing (internal derivation); also shows +DI / −DI if you enable the ADX column.
EMAs / Trend
EMA Fast/Mid/Slow: We compute EMA(20/50/200) by default (editable).
EMA Stack: Bull if Fast > Mid > Slow; Bear if Fast < Mid < Slow; Flat otherwise.
Benchmark (optional, OFF by default)
Show Relative Strength vs Benchmark: Displays RS% = ROC(symbol) − ROC(benchmark) over the Momentum Period.
Benchmark Symbol: Ticker used for comparison (e.g., BTCUSDT as a market proxy).
Columns (show/hide)
Toggle which fields appear in the table. Hiding unused fields keeps the layout clean (especially on mobile).
Display
Layout Mode:
Row = a single two-row strip; each column is a metric.
Grid = a title row plus labeled pairs (label/value) arranged in rows.
Size Preset: Micro, Small, Medium, Large, Mobile change text size and the grid density.
Table Corner: Where the panel sits (e.g., Top Right).
Opaque Table Background: ON = dark card; OFF = transparent(ish).
Update Every Bar: ON = update intra-bar; OFF = smart update (last bar / real-time / confirmed history).
Action threshold (|score|): The cutoff for 🔥 and alert firing (default 70).
How to read each field
CHART: The active symbol name (or your custom override).
DIR: ↑ (ROC% > threshold), ↓ (ROC% < −threshold), → otherwise.
ROC%: Rate of change over Momentum Period.
Formula: (Close − Close ) / Close × 100.
MOM: A scaled momentum score: min(100, |ROC%| × 10).
VOL: Volume ratio vs 20-bar SMA: Volume / SMA(Volume,20).
1.5 highlights as yellow (significant participation).
ATR%: (ATR / Close) × 100 (volatility relative to price).
RSI: Colored for extremes: ≤30 green, ≥70 red.
Stoch K/D: %K and %D numbers.
MACD L/S/H: Line, Signal, Histogram. Histogram color reflects sign (green > 0, red < 0).
ADX, +DI, −DI: Trend strength and directional components (Wilder). ADX ≥ 25 is highlighted.
EMA 20/50/200: Current EMA values (editable lengths).
STACK: Bull/Bear/Flat as defined above.
VWAP%: (Close − VWAP) / Close × 100 (premium/discount to VWAP).
HTF: ▲ if HTF EMA20 > EMA50; ▼ if <; · if flat/off.
RS%: Symbol’s ROC% − Benchmark ROC% (positive = outperforming).
REV (reversal):
🟢 Eng/Pin = bullish engulfing or bullish pin detected,
🔴 Eng/Pin = bearish engulfing or bearish pin,
· = none.
SCORE (absolute shown as a number; sign shown via DIR and ACT):
Components:
base = MOM × 0.4
volBonus = VOL > 1.5 ? 20 : VOL × 13.33
htfBonus = use_mtf ? (HTF == DIR ? 30 : HTF == 0 ? 15 : 0) : 0
trendBonus = (STACK == DIR) ? 10 : 0
macdBonus = 0 (placeholder for future versions)
scoreRaw = base + volBonus + htfBonus + trendBonus + macdBonus
SCORE = DIR ≥ 0 ? scoreRaw : −scoreRaw
If Require Volume Confirmation and VOL ≤ 1.0 ⇒ SCORE = 0.
ACT:
🔥 if |SCORE| ≥ threshold
👀 if 50 < |SCORE| < threshold
⏳ otherwise
Practical examples
Strong long (trend + participation)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +3.2, MOM ≈ 32, VOL = 1.9, STACK = Bull, HTF = ▲, REV = 🟢
SCORE: base(12.8) + volBonus(20) + htfBonus(30) + trend(10) ≈ 73 → ACT = 🔥
Action idea: look for longs on pullbacks; confirm risk with ATR%.
Weak long (no volume)
DIR = ↑, ROC% = +1.0, but VOL = 0.8 and Require Volume Confirmation = ON
SCORE forced to 0 → ACT = ⏳
Action: wait for volume > 1.0 or turn off confirmation knowingly.
Bearish reversal warning
DIR = →, REV = 🔴 (bearish engulfing), RSI = 68, HTF = ▼
SCORE may be mid-range; ACT = 👀
Action: watch for breakdown and rising VOL.
Alerts (how to use)
The script calls alert() whenever |SCORE| ≥ Action threshold.
To receive pop-ups, sounds, or emails: click “⏰ Alerts” in TradingView, choose this indicator, and pick “Any alert() function call.”
The alert message includes: symbol, |SCORE|, DIR.
Layout, Size, and Corner tips
Row is best when you want a compact status ribbon across the top.
Grid is clearer on big screens or when you enable many columns.
Size:
Mobile = one pair per row (tall, readable)
Micro/Small = dense; good for many fields
Large = presentation/screenshots
Corner: If the table overlaps price, change the corner or set Opaque Background = OFF.
Repaint & timeframe behavior
Default smart update prefers stability (last bar / live / confirmed history).
For a stricter, “close-only” behavior (less repaint): turn Update Every Bar = OFF and avoid Heikin Ashi when you want raw market OHLC (HA modifies price inputs).
HTF logic is derived from a clean, integer multiple of your chart timeframe (via multiplier). It works with 3H/4H and any TF.
Performance notes
The script analyzes one symbol (chart or override) with multiple metrics using efficient tuple requests.
If you later want a multi-symbol grid, do it with pages (10–15 per page + rotate) to stay within platform limits (recommended future add-on).
Troubleshooting
No table visible
Ensure the indicator is added and not hidden.
Try toggling Opaque Background or switch Corner (it might be behind other drawings).
Keep Columns count reasonable for the chosen Size.
If you turned ON Override, verify the Custom symbol exists on your data provider.
Numbers look different on HA candles
Heikin Ashi modifies OHLC; switch to regular candles if you need raw price metrics.
3H/4H issues
Use integer HTF Multiplier (e.g., 2, 4). The tool builds the correct string internally; no manual timeframe strings needed.
Power user tips
Volume gating: keeping Require Volume Confirmation = ON filters most fake moves; if you’re a scalper, reduce strictness or turn it off.
Action threshold: 60–80 is typical. Higher = fewer but stronger signals.
Benchmark RS%: great for spotting leaders/laggards; positive RS% = outperformance vs benchmark.
Change policy & safety
This version doesn’t alter your historical logic you tested (no radical changes).
Any future “radical” change (score weights, HTF logic, UI hiding data) will ship with a toggle and an Impact Statement so you can keep old behavior if you prefer.
Glossary (quick)
ROC%: Percent change over N bars.
MOM: Scaled momentum (0–100).
VOL ratio: Volume vs 20-bar average.
ATR%: ATR as % of price.
ADX/DI: Trend strength / direction components (Wilder).
EMA stack: Relationship between EMAs (bullish/bearish/flat).
VWAP%: Premium/discount to VWAP.
RS%: Relative strength vs benchmark.
Coin Jin Multi SMA+ BB+ SMA forecast Ver 2.0Coin Jin Multi SMA + BB + SMA Forecast 2.0
개요
여러 개의 단순이동평균(SMA: 5/20/60/112/224/448/896 + 사용자 정의 X1/X2), 볼린저 밴드(BB), 그리고 접선 기반 곡선 예측선을 한 번에 표시합니다. 예측선은 선형회귀 기울기와 그 변화율(가속도)을 EMA로 스무딩해 곡선 외삽으로 앞으로 그려지며, 어떤 줌에서도 깔끔하게 보이도록 점선(dotted) 스타일을 강제할 수 있습니다.
스택 마커(정배열/역배열) 안내
조건: 이동평균이 정배열(5>20>60>112>224>448>(896)) 또는 역배열(5<20<60<112<224<448<(896))로 새로 전환되는 순간 삼각형 마커가 생성됩니다.
896일선 포함(with 896): SOLID 마커로 표시, Bull = 초록색, Bear = 빨간색.
896일선 미포함(no 896): HOLLOW(윤곽) 마커로 표시, 시선을 덜 끌도록 투명도 70 적용(Bull = 연두, Bear = 빨강 동일색).
방향: Bull = ▼(위, abovebar) / Bear = ▲(아래, belowbar) 로 배치됩니다.
주요 기능
SMA 7종 기본 + 사용자 정의 SMA 2개(X1/X2) 추가(기본 꺼짐, 길이/색/두께/타입 자유).
BB: 길이/배수/선두께/밴드 채움(기본 90% 투명) 지원.
예측선: Forward bars(1–100, 기본 30), 기울기 산출 길이, 스무딩 강도, 세그먼트 개수, 점/대시 스타일 선택 및 도트 강제.
스택(정/역배열) 전환 마커: with 896=SOLID, no 896=HOLLOW(투명도 70).
처음 사용하는 분들을 위한 팁 (중요)
가격 스케일을 ‘우측’으로 고정하세요.
방법 ① 차트 우측 축을 사용(기본).
방법 ② 지표 레전드의 ‘⋯’ 메뉴 → Move to → Right scale.
예측선이 본선과 어긋나 보이면 스케일이 좌측/양측으로 되어 있거나 자동 합침된 경우이니 Right scale로 맞춰주세요.
입력 요약
MA Source, 각 SMA on/off·길이·색·두께·타입
BB length/mult/width/fill/opacity(기본 90)
Forecast bars ahead(1–100), slope lookback, smoothing, segments, style/opacity, 적용 대상 선택(SMA별)
주의/면책
예측선은 가격 예언 도구가 아니라 시각적 외삽 보조지표입니다. 단독 매매 판단에 사용하지 마세요.
공개 스크린샷은 본 지표만 보이도록 깔끔하게 캡처해 주세요(다른 지표/드로잉 혼합 금지).
변경사항(v2.0)
곡선 예측선 안정화 및 도트 강제 개선.
스택 마커 no 896 상태 HOLLOW 투명도 70 적용(가독성 향상).
사용자 정의 SMA X1/X2 추가(기본 OFF).
Coin Jin Multi SMA + BB + SMA Forecast 2.0 (English)
Overview
This indicator plots multiple Simple Moving Averages (SMA: 5/20/60/112/224/448/896 + two user-defined X1/X2), Bollinger Bands, and a tangent-based curved forecast in one overlay. The forecast extrapolates forward using the linear-regression slope and its rate of change (acceleration) smoothed by EMA, and you can force a dotted look so it stays clean at any zoom level.
Stack Markers (Bullish/Bearish alignment)
Markers appear only when a full bullish stack (5>20>60>112>224>448>(896)) or bearish stack (5<20<60<112<224<448<(896)) is newly formed.
With 896 included: shown as SOLID triangles — Bull = green, Bear = red.
Without 896: shown as HOLLOW (outline) with 70 transparency to reduce visual weight — Bull = lime, Bear = red (same hue).
Orientation: Bull = ▼ abovebar, Bear = ▲ belowbar.
Features
7 standard SMAs + two custom SMAs (X1/X2) (default OFF; fully configurable length/color/width/style).
BB with length/multiplier/width/fill (default fill opacity 90%).
Forecast controls: forward bars (1–100, default 30), slope window, smoothing, segment count, style/opacity, force dotted option.
Stack markers: with 896 = SOLID, without 896 = HOLLOW (70 transparency).
First-time setup (Important)
Pin the indicator to the Right price scale.
Option A: Use the right price axis.
Option B: Indicator legend “⋯” → Move to → Right scale.
If the forecast appears detached from the MA, your series is likely on the left/both scales; switch to Right scale.
Inputs
MA source; per-SMA on/off, length, color, width, style
BB length/multiplier/width/fill/opacity (default 90)
Forecast bars ahead (1–100), slope lookback, smoothing, segments, style/opacity, per-SMA apply switches
Disclaimer
The forecast is a visual extrapolation, not a price prediction. Do not use it alone to make trading decisions.
For publication, please use a clean screenshot that shows only this indicator (no mixed overlays).
What’s new in v2.0
More robust curved forecast with improved “force dotted” rendering.
HOLLOW (no 896) markers now use 70 transparency for better readability.
Added two user-defined SMAs (X1/X2), OFF by default.
Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster [BackQuant]Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster
Plain-English overview
This tool projects a cone of plausible future prices by combining two ideas that traders already use intuitively: seasonality and uncertainty. It watches how your market typically behaves around this calendar date, turns that seasonal tendency into a small daily “drift,” then runs many randomized price paths forward to estimate where price could land tomorrow, next week, or a month from now. The result is a probability cone with a clear expected path, plus optional overlays that show how past years tended to move from this point on the calendar. It is a planning tool, not a crystal ball: the goal is to quantify ranges and odds so you can size, place stops, set targets, and time entries with more realism.
What Monte Carlo is and why quants rely on it
• Definition . Monte Carlo simulation is a way to answer “what might happen next?” when there is randomness in the system. Instead of producing a single forecast, it generates thousands of alternate futures by repeatedly sampling random shocks and adding them to a model of how prices evolve.
• Why it is used . Markets are noisy. A single point forecast hides risk. Monte Carlo gives a distribution of outcomes so you can reason in probabilities: the median path, the 68% band, the 95% band, tail risks, and the chance of hitting a specific level within a horizon.
• Core strengths in quant finance .
– Path-dependent questions : “What is the probability we touch a stop before a target?” “What is the expected drawdown on the way to my objective?”
– Pricing and risk : Useful for path-dependent options, Value-at-Risk (VaR), expected shortfall (CVaR), stress paths, and scenario analysis when closed-form formulas are unrealistic.
– Planning under uncertainty : Portfolio construction and rebalancing rules can be tested against a cloud of plausible futures rather than a single guess.
• Why it fits trading workflows . It turns gut feel like “seasonality is supportive here” into quantitative ranges: “median path suggests +X% with a 68% band of ±Y%; stop at Z has only ~16% odds of being tagged in N days.”
How this indicator builds its probability cone
1) Seasonal pattern discovery
The script builds two day-of-year maps as new data arrives:
• A return map where each calendar day stores an exponentially smoothed average of that day’s log return (yesterday→today). The smoothing (90% old, 10% new) behaves like an EWMA, letting older seasons matter while adapting to new information.
• A volatility map that tracks the typical absolute return for the same calendar day.
It calculates the day-of-year carefully (with leap-year adjustment) and indexes into a 365-slot seasonal array so “March 18” is compared with past March 18ths. This becomes the seasonal bias that gently nudges simulations up or down on each forecast day.
2) Choice of randomness engine
You can pick how the future shocks are generated:
• Daily mode uses a Gaussian draw with the seasonal bias as the mean and a volatility that comes from realized returns, scaled down to avoid over-fitting. It relies on the Box–Muller transform internally to turn two uniform random numbers into one normal shock.
• Weekly mode uses bootstrap sampling from the seasonal return history (resampling actual historical daily drifts and then blending in a fraction of the seasonal bias). Bootstrapping is robust when the empirical distribution has asymmetry or fatter tails than a normal distribution.
Both modes seed their random draws deterministically per path and day, which makes plots reproducible bar-to-bar and avoids flickering bands.
3) Volatility scaling to current conditions
Markets do not always live in average volatility. The engine computes a simple volatility factor from ATR(20)/price and scales the simulated shocks up or down within sensible bounds (clamped between 0.5× and 2.0×). When the current regime is quiet, the cone narrows; when ranges expand, the cone widens. This prevents the classic mistake of projecting calm markets into a storm or vice versa.
4) Many futures, summarized by percentiles
The model generates a matrix of price paths (capped at 100 runs for performance inside TradingView), each path stepping forward for your selected horizon. For each forecast day it sorts the simulated prices and pulls key percentiles:
• 5th and 95th → approximate 95% band (outer cone).
• 16th and 84th → approximate 68% band (inner cone).
• 50th → the median or “expected path.”
These are drawn as polylines so you can immediately see central tendency and dispersion.
5) A historical overlay (optional)
Turn on the overlay to sketch a dotted path of what a purely seasonal projection would look like for the next ~30 days using only the return map, no randomness. This is not a forecast; it is a visual reminder of the seasonal drift you are biasing toward.
Inputs you control and how to think about them
Monte Carlo Simulation
• Price Series for Calculation . The source series, typically close.
• Enable Probability Forecasts . Master switch for simulation and drawing.
• Simulation Iterations . Requested number of paths to run. Internally capped at 100 to protect performance, which is generally enough to estimate the percentiles for a trading chart. If you need ultra-smooth bands, shorten the horizon.
• Forecast Days Ahead . The length of the cone. Longer horizons dilute seasonal signal and widen uncertainty.
• Probability Bands . Draw all bands, just 95%, just 68%, or a custom level (display logic remains 68/95 internally; the custom number is for labeling and color choice).
• Pattern Resolution . Daily leans on day-of-year effects like “turn-of-month” or holiday patterns. Weekly biases toward day-of-week tendencies and bootstraps from history.
• Volatility Scaling . On by default so the cone respects today’s range context.
Plotting & UI
• Probability Cone . Plots the outer and inner percentile envelopes.
• Expected Path . Plots the median line through the cone.
• Historical Overlay . Dotted seasonal-only projection for context.
• Band Transparency/Colors . Customize primary (outer) and secondary (inner) band colors and the mean path color. Use higher transparency for cleaner charts.
What appears on your chart
• A cone starting at the most recent bar, fanning outward. The outer lines are the ~95% band; the inner lines are the ~68% band.
• A median path (default blue) running through the center of the cone.
• An info panel on the final historical bar that summarizes simulation count, forecast days, number of seasonal patterns learned, the current day-of-year, expected percentage return to the median, and the approximate 95% half-range in percent.
• Optional historical seasonal path drawn as dotted segments for the next 30 bars.
How to use it in trading
1) Position sizing and stop logic
The cone translates “volatility plus seasonality” into distances.
• Put stops outside the inner band if you want only ~16% odds of a stop-out due to noise before your thesis can play.
• Size positions so that a test of the inner band is survivable and a test of the outer band is rare but acceptable.
• If your target sits inside the 68% band at your horizon, the payoff is likely modest; outside the 68% but inside the 95% can justify “one-good-push” trades; beyond the 95% band is a low-probability flyer—consider scaling plans or optionality.
2) Entry timing with seasonal bias
When the median path slopes up from this calendar date and the cone is relatively narrow, a pullback toward the lower inner band can be a high-quality entry with a tight invalidation. If the median slopes down, fade rallies toward the upper band or step aside if it clashes with your system.
3) Target selection
Project your time horizon to N bars ahead, then pick targets around the median or the opposite inner band depending on your style. You can also anchor dynamic take-profits to the moving median as new bars arrive.
4) Scenario planning & “what-ifs”
Before events, glance at the cone: if the 95% band already spans a huge range, trade smaller, expect whips, and avoid placing stops at obvious band edges. If the cone is unusually tight, consider breakout tactics and be ready to add if volatility expands beyond the inner band with follow-through.
5) Options and vol tactics
• When the cone is tight : Prefer long gamma structures (debit spreads) only if you expect a regime shift; otherwise premium selling may dominate.
• When the cone is wide : Debit structures benefit from range; credit spreads need wider wings or smaller size. Align with your separate IV metrics.
Reading the probability cone like a pro
• Cone slope = seasonal drift. Upward slope means the calendar has historically favored positive drift from this date, downward slope the opposite.
• Cone width = regime volatility. A widening fan tells you that uncertainty grows fast; a narrow cone says the market typically stays contained.
• Mean vs. price gap . If spot trades well above the median path and the upper band, mean-reversion risk is high. If spot presses the lower inner band in an up-sloping cone, you are in the “buy fear” zone.
• Touches and pierces . Touching the inner band is common noise; piercing it with momentum signals potential regime change; the outer band should be rare and often brings snap-backs unless there is a structural catalyst.
Methodological notes (what the code actually does)
• Log returns are used for additivity and better statistical behavior: sim_ret is applied via exp(sim_ret) to evolve price.
• Seasonal arrays are updated online with EWMA (90/10) so the model keeps learning as each bar arrives.
• Leap years are handled; indexing still normalizes into a 365-slot map so the seasonal pattern remains stable.
• Gaussian engine (Daily mode) centers shocks on the seasonal bias with a conservative standard deviation.
• Bootstrap engine (Weekly mode) resamples from observed seasonal returns and adds a fraction of the bias, which captures skew and fat tails better.
• Volatility adjustment multiplies each daily shock by a factor derived from ATR(20)/price, clamped between 0.5 and 2.0 to avoid extreme cones.
• Performance guardrails : simulations are capped at 100 paths; the probability cone uses polylines (no heavy fills) and only draws on the last confirmed bar to keep charts responsive.
• Prerequisite data : at least ~30 seasonal entries are required before the model will draw a cone; otherwise it waits for more history.
Strengths and limitations
• Strengths :
– Probabilistic thinking replaces single-point guessing.
– Seasonality adds a small but meaningful directional bias that many markets exhibit.
– Volatility scaling adapts to the current regime so the cone stays realistic.
• Limitations :
– Seasonality can break around structural changes, policy shifts, or one-off events.
– The number of paths is performance-limited; percentile estimates are good for trading, not for academic precision.
– The model assumes tomorrow’s randomness resembles recent randomness; if regime shifts violently, the cone will lag until the EWMA adapts.
– Holidays and missing sessions can thin the seasonal sample for some assets; be cautious with very short histories.
Tuning guide
• Horizon : 10–20 bars for tactical trades; 30+ for swing planning when you care more about broad ranges than precise targets.
• Iterations : The default 100 is enough for stable 5/16/50/84/95 percentiles. If you crave smoother lines, shorten the horizon or run on higher timeframes.
• Daily vs. Weekly : Daily for equities and crypto where month-end and turn-of-month effects matter; Weekly for futures and FX where day-of-week behavior is strong.
• Volatility scaling : Keep it on. Turn off only when you intentionally want a “pure seasonality” cone unaffected by current turbulence.
Workflow examples
• Swing continuation : Cone slopes up, price pulls into the lower inner band, your system fires. Enter near the band, stop just outside the outer line for the next 3–5 bars, target near the median or the opposite inner band.
• Fade extremes : Cone is flat or down, price gaps to the upper outer band on news, then stalls. Favor mean-reversion toward the median, size small if volatility scaling is elevated.
• Event play : Before CPI or earnings on a proxy index, check cone width. If the inner band is already wide, cut size or prefer options structures that benefit from range.
Good habits
• Pair the cone with your entry engine (breakout, pullback, order flow). Let Monte Carlo do range math; let your system do signal quality.
• Do not anchor blindly to the median; recalc after each bar. When the cone’s slope flips or width jumps, the plan should adapt.
• Validate seasonality for your symbol and timeframe; not every market has strong calendar effects.
Summary
The Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster wraps institutional risk planning into a single overlay: a data-driven seasonal drift, realistic volatility scaling, and a probabilistic cone that answers “where could we be, with what odds?” within your trading horizon. Use it to place stops where randomness is less likely to take you out, to set targets aligned with realistic travel, and to size positions with confidence born from distributions rather than hunches. It will not predict the future, but it will keep your decisions anchored to probabilities—the language markets actually speak.
Prime NumbersPrime Numbers highlights prime numbers (no surprise there 😅), tokens and the recent "active" feature in "input".
🔸 CONCEPTS
🔹 What are Prime Numbers?
A prime number (or a prime) is a natural number greater than 1 that is not a product of two smaller natural numbers.
Wikipedia: Prime number
🔹 Prime Factorization
The fundamental theorem of arithmetic states that every integer larger than 1 can be written as a product of one or more primes. More strongly, this product is unique in the sense that any two prime factorizations of the same number will have the same number of copies of the same primes, although their ordering may differ. So, although there are many different ways of finding a factorization using an integer factorization algorithm, they all must produce the same result. Primes can thus be considered the "basic building blocks" of the natural numbers.
Wikipedia: Fundamental theorem of arithmetic
Math Is Fun: Prime Factorization
We divide a given number by Prime Numbers until only Primes remain.
Example:
24 / 2 = 12 | 24 / 3 = 8
12 / 3 = 4 | 8 / 2 = 4
4 / 2 = 2 | 4 / 2 = 2
|
24 = 2 x 3 x 2 | 24 = 3 x 2 x 2
or | or
24 = 2² x 3 | 24 = 2² x 3
In other words, every natural/integer number above 1 has a unique representation as a product of prime numbers, no matter how the number is divided. Only the order can change, but the factors (the basic elements) are always the same.
🔸 USAGE
The Prime Numbers publication contains two use cases:
Prime Factorization: performed on "close" prices, or a manual chosen number.
List Prime Numbers: shows a list of Prime Numbers.
The other two options are discussed in the DETAILS chapter:
Prime Factorization Without Arrays
Find Prime Numbers
🔹 Prime Factorization
Users can choose to perform Prime Factorization on close prices or a manually given number.
❗️ Note that this option only applies to close prices above 1, which are also rounded since Prime Factorization can only be performed on natural (integer) numbers above 1.
In the image below, the left example shows Prime Factorization performed on each close price for the latest 50 bars (which is set with "Run script only on 'Last x Bars'" -> 50).
The right example shows Prime Factorization performed on a manually given number, in this case "1,340,011". This is done only on the last bar.
When the "Source" option "close price" is chosen, one can toggle "Also current price", where both the historical and the latest current price are factored. If disabled, only historical prices are factored.
Note that, depending on the chosen options, only applicable settings are available, due to a recent feature, namely the parameter "active" in settings.
Setting the "Source" option to "Manual - Limited" will factorize any given number between 1 and 1,340,011, the latter being the highest value in the available arrays with primes.
Setting to "Manual - Not Limited" enables the user to enter a higher number. If all factors of the manual entered number are in the 1 - 1,340,011 range, these factors will be shown; however, if a factor is higher than 1,340,011, the calculation will stop, after which a warning is shown:
The calculated factors are displayed as a label where identical factors are simplified with an exponent notation in superscript.
For example 2 x 2 x 2 x 5 x 7 x 7 will be noted as 2³ x 5 x 7²
🔹 List Prime Numbers
The "List Prime Numbers" option enables users to enter a number, where the first found Prime Number is shown, together with the next x Prime Numbers ("Amount", max. 200)
The highest shown Prime Number is 1,340,011.
One can set the number of shown columns to customize the displayed numbers ("Max. columns", max. 20).
🔸 DETAILS
The Prime Numbers publication consists out of 4 parts:
Prime Factorization Without Arrays
Prime Factorization
List Prime Numbers
Find Prime Numbers
The usage of "Prime Factorization" and "List Prime Numbers" is explained above.
🔹 Prime Factorization Without Arrays
This option is only there to highlight a hurdle while performing Prime Factorization.
The basic method of Prime Factorization is to divide the base number by 2, 3, ... until the result is an integer number. Continue until the remaining number and its factors are all primes.
The division should be done by primes, but then you need to know which one is a prime.
In practice, one performs a loop from 2 to the base number.
Example:
Base_number = input.int(24)
arr = array.new()
n = Base_number
go = true
while go
for i = 2 to n
if n % i == 0
if n / i == 1
go := false
arr.push(i)
label.new(bar_index, high, str.tostring(arr))
else
arr.push(i)
n /= i
break
Small numbers won't cause issues, but when performing the calculations on, for example, 124,001 and a timeframe of, for example, 1 hour, the script will struggle and finally give a runtime error.
How to solve this?
If we use an array with only primes, we need fewer calculations since if we divide by a non-prime number, we have to divide further until all factors are primes.
I've filled arrays with prime numbers and made libraries of them. (see chapter "Find Prime Numbers" to know how these primes were found).
🔹 Tokens
A hurdle was to fill the libraries with as many prime numbers as possible.
Initially, the maximum token limit of a library was 80K.
Very recently, that limit was lifted to 100K. Kudos to the TradingView developers!
What are tokens?
Tokens are the smallest elements of a program that are meaningful to the compiler. They are also known as the fundamental building blocks of the program.
I have included a code block below the publication code (// - - - Educational (2) - - - ) which, if copied and made to a library, will contain exactly 100K tokens.
Adding more exported functions will throw a "too many tokens" error when saving the library. Subtracting 100K from the shown amount of tokens gives you the amount of used tokens for that particular function.
In that way, one can experiment with the impact of each code addition in terms of tokens.
For example adding the following code in the library:
export a() => a = array.from(1) will result in a 100,041 tokens error, in other words (100,041 - 100,000) that functions contains 41 tokens.
Some more examples, some are straightforward, others are not )
// adding these lines in one of the arrays results in x tokens
, 1 // 2 tokens
, 111, 111, 111 // 12 tokens
, 1111 // 5 tokens
, 111111111 // 10 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 // 20 tokens
, 1234567890123456789 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 + 1 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 + 8 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 + 9 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 * 1 // 20 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 * 9 // 21 tokens
, 9999999999999999999 // 21 tokens
, 1111111111111111111 * 10 // 21 tokens
, 11111111111111111110 // 21 tokens
//adding these functions to the library results in x tokens
export f() => 1 // 4 tokens
export f() => v = 1 // 4 tokens
export f() => var v = 1 // 4 tokens
export f() => var v = 1, v // 4 tokens
//adding these functions to the library results in x tokens
export a() => const arraya = array.from(1) // 42 tokens
export a() => arraya = array.from(1) // 42 tokens
export a() => a = array.from(1) // 41 tokens
export a() => array.from(1) // 32 tokens
export a() => a = array.new() // 44 tokens
export a() => a = array.new(), a.push(1) // 56 tokens
What if we could lower the amount of tokens, so we can export more Prime Numbers?
Look at this example:
829111, 829121, 829123, 829151, 829159, 829177, 829187, 829193
Eight numbers contain the same number 8291.
If we make a function that removes recurrent values, we get fewer tokens!
829111, 829121, 829123, 829151, 829159, 829177, 829187, 829193
//is transformed to:
829111, 21, 23, 51, 59, 77, 87, 93
The code block below the publication code (// - - - Educational (1) - - - ) shows how these values were reduced. With each step of 100, only the first Prime Number is shown fully.
This function could be enhanced even more to reduce recurrent thousands, tens of thousands, etc.
Using this technique enables us to export more Prime Numbers. The number of necessary libraries was reduced to half or less.
The reduced Prime Numbers are restored using the restoreValues() function, found in the library fikira/Primes_4.
🔹 Find Prime Numbers
This function is merely added to show how I filled arrays with Prime Numbers, which were, in turn, added to libraries (after reduction of recurrent values).
To know whether a number is a Prime Number, we divide the given number by values of the Primes array (Primes 2 -> max. 1,340,011). Once the division results in an integer, where the divisor is smaller than the dividend, the calculation stops since the given number is not a Prime.
When we perform these calculations in a loop, we can check whether a series of numbers is a Prime or not. Each time a number is proven not to be a Prime, the loop starts again with a higher number. Once all Primes of the array are used without the result being an integer, we have found a new Prime Number, which is added to the array.
Doing such calculations on one bar will result in a runtime error.
To solve this, the findPrimeNumbers() function remembers the index of the array. Once a limit has been reached on 1 bar (for example, the number of iterations), calculations will stop on that bar and restart on the next bar.
This spreads the workload over several bars, making it possible to continue these calculations without a runtime error.
The result is placed in log.info() , which can be copied and pasted into a hardcoded array of Prime Number values.
These settings adjust the amount of workload per bar:
Max Size: maximum size of Primes array.
Max Bars Runtime: maximum amount of bars where the function is called.
Max Numbers To Process Per Bar: maximum numbers to check on each bar, whether they are Prime Numbers.
Max Iterations Per Bar: maximum loop calculations per bar.
🔹 The End
❗️ The code and description is written without the help of an LLM, I've only used Grammarly to improve my description (without AI :) )
Major Lows OscillatorDescription
The Major Lows Oscillator is a custom technical indicator designed to identify significant low-price areas by normalizing the current closing price relative to recent lowest lows and highest highs. The oscillator calculates a normalized price percentage over a configurable lookback period, applies exponential moving averages for smoothing, and inverts the result to highlight potential market bottoms.
Calculation Details
Lowest Low Lookback : Finds the lowest low over a user-defined period (default 100 bars).
Highest High Lookback : Calculates the highest high over a short period (default 1 bar), providing a dynamic normalization range.
Normalization : Normalizes the current close within the range defined by the lowest low and highest high, scaled to 0-100.
Smoothing : Applies a 10-period EMA, inversion, and weighted smoothing combining the last valid value and current oscillator reading.
Final Output : Applies a final EMA (period 1) and inverts the oscillator (100 - value) to emphasize major lows.
Features
Customizable midline level for signal alerts (default 50).
Visual midline reference line.
Alerts trigger on oscillator crossing below midline for automated monitoring.
Usage
Useful for complementing existing setups or integration in algorithmic trading strategies.
Changing the input parameters opens new ways to leverage the asymmetric range concept, allowing adaptation to different market regimes and enhancing the oscillator’s sensitivity and utility.
Examples of input combinations and their potential purposes include:
Extremely Asymmetric Setting: Lowest Low Lookback = 200, Highest High Lookback = 1
Focuses on deep long-term lows contrasted with immediate highs, ideal for spotting strong oversold levels within an otherwise bullish short-term momentum.
Symmetric Lookbacks: Lowest Low Lookback = Highest High Lookback = 50
Balances the range equally, creating a normalized oscillator that treats recent lows and highs with the same weight — useful for markets with balanced volatility.
Short but Equal Lookbacks: Lowest Low Lookback = Highest High Lookback = 10
Highly sensitive to recent price swings, this setting can detect rapid shifts and is suited for intraday or very short-term trading.
Inverted Extreme: Lowest Low Lookback = 1, Highest High Lookback = 100
Highlights very recent lows against a long-term high range, possibly signaling quick dips in a generally overextended market.
Inputs
Midline Level : Threshold for alerts (default 50).
Lowest Low Lookback Period : Bars evaluated for lowest low (default 100).
Highest High Lookback Period : Bars evaluated for highest high (default 1).
Alerts
Configured to trigger once per bar close when the oscillator crosses below the midline level.
---
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and analytical use only.
ABS Companion Oscillator — Trend / Exhaustion / New Trend (v1.1)
# ABS Companion Oscillator — Trend / Exhaustion / New Trend (v1.1)
## What it is (quick take)
**ABS CO** is a unified **–100…+100 trend oscillator** that fuses:
* **Regime**: EMA stack (fast/slow/long) + **HTF slope** (e.g., 60-minute)
* **Momentum**: **TSI** vs its signal
* **Stretch**: session-anchored **VWAP Z-score** for exhaustion and “fresh-trend” sanity checks
It paints the oscillator with **lime** in upstate, **red** in downstate, **gray** in neutral, and tags:
* **NEW↑ / NEW↓** when a **new trend** likely starts (zero-line cross with acceptable stretch)
* **EXH↑ / EXH↓** when an **existing trend looks exhausted** (large |Z| + momentum rollback)
> Use it as a **direction filter and context layer**. Works great in front of an entry engine and behind an exit tool.
---
## How to use it (operational workflow)
1. **Read the state**
* **Uptrend** when the oscillator is **≥ upThresh** (default +55) → prefer **long-side** plays.
* **Downtrend** when the oscillator is **≤ dnThresh** (default −55) → prefer **short-side** plays.
* **Neutral** between thresholds → be selective or flat; expect chop.
2. **Act on events**
* **NEW↑ / NEW↓**: zero-line cross with acceptable |Z| (not already overstretched). Treat as **trend start** cues.
* **EXH↑ / EXH↓**: trend state with **high |Z|** and TSI rollback versus its signal. Treat as **trend fatigue**; avoid fresh go-with entries and tighten risk.
3. **Practical pairing**
* Use **up/down state** (or above/below **neutralBand**) as your go/no-go filter for entries.
* Prioritize entries **with** NEW↑/NEW↓ and **without** nearby EXH tags.
* Keep holding while the oscillator stays in state and no EXH appears; consider scaling out on EXH or on your exit tool.
---
## Visual semantics & alerts
* **ABS CO line** (–100…+100): lime in upstate, red in downstate, gray in neutral.
* **Horizontal guides**: `Up` threshold, `Down` threshold, `Zero`, and optional **neutral band** lines.
* **Background heat** (optional): shaded when EXH conditions trigger (lime/red tint with intensity scaled by |Z|).
* **Tags**: `NEW↑`, `NEW↓`, `EXH↑`, `EXH↓`.
**Alerts (stable):**
* **ABS CO — New Uptrend** (NEW↑)
* **ABS CO — New Downtrend** (NEW↓)
* **ABS CO — Exhausted Up** (EXH↑)
* **ABS CO — Exhausted Down** (EXH↓)
Set alerts to **“Once per bar close”** for clean signals.
---
## Non-repainting behavior
* HTF queries use **lookahead\_off**.
* With **Strict NR = true**, the HTF slope is taken from the **prior completed** HTF bar; events evaluate on confirmed bars → **safer, fewer, cleaner**.
* NEW/EXH tags finalize at bar close. Disabling strictness yields earlier but noisier responses.
---
## Every input explained (and how it changes behavior)
### A) Trend & HTF structure
* **EMA Fast / Slow / Long (`emaFastLen`, `emaSlowLen`, `emaLongLen`)**
Control the baseline regime. Larger = smoother, fewer flips; smaller = snappier, more flips.
* **HTF EMA Len (`htfLen`)** & **HTF timeframe (`htfTF`)**
HTF slope filter. Longer len or higher TF = steadier bias (fewer state changes); shorter/ lower = more sensitive.
* **Strict NR (`strictNR`)**
`true` uses the **previous** HTF bar for slope and evaluates on confirmed bars → cleaner, slower.
### B) Momentum (TSI)
* **TSI Long / Short / Signal (`tsiLong`, `tsiShort`, `tsiSig`)**
Standard TSI. Larger values = smoother momentum, fewer EXH triggers; smaller = snappier, more EXH sensitivity.
### C) Stretch (VWAP Z-score)
* **VWAP Z-score length (`zLen`)**
Window for Z over session-anchored VWAP distance. Larger = smoother |Z|; smaller = more reactive stretch detection.
* **Exhaustion |Z| (`zHot`)**
Minimum |Z| to flag **EXH**. Raise to demand **bigger** stretch (fewer EXH); lower to catch milder excess.
* **Max |Z| for NEW (`zNewMax`)**
NEW requires |Z| **≤ zNewMax** (avoid “new trend” when already stretched). Lower = stricter; higher = more NEW tags.
### D) States & thresholds
* **Uptrend threshold (`upThresh`)** / **Downtrend threshold (`dnThresh`)**
Where the oscillator flips into trend states. Widen (e.g., +60/−60) to reduce false states; narrow to get earlier signals.
* **Neutral band (`neutralBand`)**
Visual buffer around zero for “meh” momentum. Larger band = fewer go/no-go flips near zero.
### E) Visuals & tags
* **Show New / Show Exhausted (`showNew`, `showExh`)**
Toggle the tag labels.
* **Shade exhaustion heat (`plotHeat`)**
On = color background when EXH fires. Helpful for scanning.
### F) Smoothing
* **Osc smoothing (`smoothLen`)**
EMA over the raw composite. Higher = steadier line (fewer whip flips); lower = faster turns.
---
## Tuning recipes
* **Trend-day bias (follow moves longer)**
* Raise **`upThresh`** to \~60 and **`dnThresh`** to \~−60
* Keep **`zNewMax`** low (1.0–1.2) to avoid “fresh trend” when stretched
* **`smoothLen`** 3–5 to reduce noise
* **Range-day bias (fade edges)**
* Keep thresholds closer (e.g., +50/−50) for quicker state changes
* Lower **`zHot`** slightly (1.6–1.7) to catch earlier exhaustion
* Consider slightly shorter TSI (e.g., 21/9/5) for faster EXH response
* **Scalping LTF (1–3m)**
* TSI 21/9/5, **`smoothLen`** 1–2
* Thresholds +/-50; **`zNewMax`** 1.0–1.2; **`zHot`** 1.6–1.8
* StrictNR **off** if you want earlier calls (accept more noise)
* **Swing / HTF (1h–D)**
* TSI 35/21/9, **`smoothLen`** 4–7
* Thresholds +/-60\~65; **`zNewMax`** 1.2; **`zHot`** 1.8–2.0
* StrictNR **on** for cleaner bias
---
## Playbooks (how to actually trade it)
* **Go/No-Go Filter**
* Only take **long entries** when the oscillator is **above the neutral band** (preferably ≥ `upThresh`).
* Only take **short entries** when **below** the neutral band (preferably ≤ `dnThresh`).
* Avoid fresh go-with entries if an **EXH** tag appears; let the next setup re-arm.
* **Trend Genesis**
* Treat **NEW↑ / NEW↓** as “green light” for **first pullback** entries in the new direction (ideally within acceptable |Z|).
* **Trend Maturity**
* When in a position and **EXH** prints **against** you, tighten stops, take partials, or lean on your exit tool to protect gains.
---
## Suggested starting points
* **Day trading (5–15m):**
* TSI 25/13/7, `smoothLen=3`, thresholds **+55 / −55**, `zNewMax = 1.2`, `zHot = 1.8`, **StrictNR = true**
* **Scalping (1–3m):**
* TSI 21/9/5, `smoothLen=1–2`, thresholds **+50 / −50**, `zNewMax = 1.1–1.2`, `zHot = 1.6–1.8`, **StrictNR = false** (optional)
* **Swing (1h–D):**
* TSI 35/21/9, `smoothLen=4–6`, thresholds **+60 / −60**, `zNewMax = 1.2`, `zHot = 1.9–2.0`, **StrictNR = true**
---
## Notes & best practices
* **Session anchoring**: Z-score is session-anchored (resets by trading date). If you trade outside standard sessions, verify your data session.
* **Instrument specificity**: Tune **`zHot`**, **`zNewMax`**, and thresholds per symbol and timeframe.
* **Bar-close discipline**: Evaluate tags at **bar close** to avoid intrabar flip-flop.
* This is a **context/confirmation tool**, not a broker or strategy. Combine with your entry/exit rules and position sizing.
---
**Tip:** Start with the suggested day-trading profile. Use this oscillator as your **gate** (only trade with it), let your entry engine time executions, and rely on your exit tool for standardized profit-taking.
Queso Heat IndexQueso Heat Index (QHI) — ATR-Adaptive Edge-Pressure Gauge
QHI measures how strongly price is pressing the edges of a rolling consolidation window. It heats up when price repeatedly pushes the window up , cools down when it pushes down , and drifts back toward neutral when price wanders in the middle. Everything is ATR-normalized so it adapts across symbols and timeframes.
Output: a signed score from −100 … +100
> 0 = bullish pressure (hot)
< 0 = bearish pressure (cold)
≈ 0 = neutral (no side dominating)
What you’ll see on the chart
Rolling “box” (Donchian window): top, bottom, and midline.
Optional compact-box shading when the window height is small relative to ATR.
Background “thermals”: tinted red when Heat > Hot threshold, blue when Heat < Cold threshold (intensity scales with the score).
Optional Heat line (−100..+100), optional 0/±80 thresholds, and optional push markers (PU/PD).
Optional table showing the current Heat score, placeable in any corner.
How it works (under the hood)
Consolidation window — Over lookback bars we track highest high (top), lowest low (bottom), and midpoint. The window is called “compact” when box height ≤ ATR × maxRangeATR .
ATR-based push detection — A bar is a push-up if high > prior window high + (epsATR × ATR + tick buffer) . A push-down if low < prior window low − (epsATR × ATR + tick buffer) . We also measure how many ATRs beyond the edge the bar traveled.
Heat gains (symmetric) — Each push adds/subtracts Heat:
base gain + streak bonus × consecutive pushes + magnitude bonus × ATRs beyond edge .
Decay toward neutral — Each bar, Heat decays by a percentage. Decay is:
– higher in the middle band of the box, and
– adaptive : the farther (in ATRs) from the relevant band (top when hot, bottom when cold), the faster it decays; hugging the band slows decay.
Midpoint bias (optional) — Gentle drift toward hot when trading above mid, toward cold when below mid, with a dead-zone near mid so tiny wobbles don’t matter.
Reset on regime flip (optional) — First valid push from the opposite side can snap Heat back to 0 before applying new gains.
How to read it
Rising hot with slow decay → strong upside pressure; pullbacks that hold near the top band often continue.
Flip to cold after being hot → regime change risk; tighten risk or consider the other side.
Compact window + rising hot (or cold) → squeeze-and-go conditions.
Neutral (≈ 0) → edges aren’t being pressured; expect mean-reversion inside the box.
Key inputs (what they do)
Window & ATR
lookback : size of the Donchian window (longer = smoother, slower).
atrLen : ATR period for all volatility-scaled thresholds.
maxRangeATR : defines “compact” windows for optional shading.
topBottomFrac : how thick the top/bottom bands are (used for decay/pressure logic).
Push detection (ATR-based)
epsATR : how many ATRs beyond the prior edge to count as a real push.
tickBuff : fixed extra ticks beyond the ATR epsilon (filters micro-breaches).
Heat gains
gainBase : main fuel per push.
gainPerStreak : rewards consecutive pushes.
gainPer1ATRBrk : adds more for stronger breakouts past the edge.
resetOppSide : snap back to 0 on the first opposite-side push.
Decay
decayPct : baseline % removed each bar.
decayAccelMid : multiplies decay when price is in the middle band.
adaptiveDecay , decayMinMult , decayPerATR , decayMaxMult : scale decay with ATR distance from the nearest “target” band (top if hot, bottom if cold).
Midpoint bias
useMidBias : enable/disable drift above/below midpoint.
midDeadFrac : width of neutral (no-drift) zone around mid.
midBiasPerBar : max drift per bar at the box edge.
Visuals (all default to OFF for a clean chart)
Plot Heat line + Show 0/±80 lines (only shows thresholds if Heat line is on).
Hot/Cold thresholds & transparency floors for background shading.
Push markers (PU/PD).
Heat score table : toggle on; choose any corner.
Tuning quick-starts
Daily trending equities : lookback 40–60; epsATR 0.10–0.25; gainBase 12–18; gainPerStreak 0.5–1.5; gainPer1ATRBrk 1–2; decayPct 3–6; adaptiveDecay ON (decayPerATR 0.5–0.8).
Intraday / noisy : raise epsATR and tickBuff to filter noise; keep decayPct modest so Heat can build.
Weekly swing : longer lookback/atrLen; slightly lower decayPct so regimes persist.
Alerts (included)
New window HIGH (push-up)
New window LOW (push-down)
Heat turned HOT (crosses above your Hot threshold)
Heat turned COLD (crosses below your Cold threshold)
Best practices & notes
Use QHI as a pressure gauge , not a standalone system—combine with your entry/exit plan and risk rules.
On thin symbols, increase epsATR and/or tickBuff to avoid spurious pushes.
Gap days can register large pushes; ATR scaling helps but consider context.
Want the Heat in a separate pane? Use the companion panel version; keep this overlay for background/box visuals.
Pine v6. Warm-up: values appear as soon as one bar of window history exists.
TL;DR
QHI quantifies how hard price is leaning on a consolidation edge.
It’s ATR-adaptive, streak- and magnitude-aware, and cools off intelligently when momentum fades.
Watch for thermals (background), the score (−100..+100), and fresh push alerts to time entries in the direction of pressure.
RS Ratio vs Benchmark (Colored)📈 RS Ratio vs Benchmark (with Color Change)
A simple but powerful tool to track relative strength against a benchmark like QQQ, SPY, or any other ETF.
🔍 What it Shows
RS Ratio (orange line): Measures how strong a stock is relative to a benchmark.
Moving Average (teal line): Smooths out RS to show trend direction.
Color-coded RS Line:
🟢 Green = RS is above its moving average → strength is increasing.
🔴 Red = RS is below its moving average → strength is fading.
📊 How to Read It
Above 100 = Stock is outperforming the benchmark.
Below 100 = Underperforming.
Rising & Green = Strongest signal — accelerating outperformance.
Above 100 but Red = Consolidating or losing momentum — potential rest period.
Crosses below 100 = Warning sign — underperformance.
✅ Best Uses
Spot leading stocks with strong momentum vs QQQ/SPY.
Identify rotation — when strength shifts between sectors.
Time entries and exits based on RS trends and crossovers.
GMMG CCM SYSTEM HALMACCI INDICATOR BY KUYA NICKOOVERVIEW:
This script is about HALMACCI strategy based on Coach Miranda Miner System (CMM Systems of GMMG). It's an indicator to help traders decide when to enter and exit. This indicator uses Bollinger Band, EMA and ALMA with the length settings used by GMMG.
USAGE:
Apply the indicator to any chart. Best use in lower timeframes (Ex: 5m and 1m). You may use custom length settings but I suggest to stick with the default settings if you are using CMM System.
To enter LONG, If the CCI cross over -100 (shows a green dot when dot is enabled in style) and the EMA cross above ALMA (shows a green cross when cross is enabled in style). You may enter long. Strong confluence when it happens above the Bollinger Band and the candle closed above the Bollinger Band. You may exit when the CCI cross under -100 or immediate resistance.
To enter SHORT, If the CCI cross under 100 (shows a red dot when dot is enabled in style) and the EMA cross above ALMA (shows a red cross when cross is enabled in style). You may enter short. Strong confluence when it happens below the Bollinger Band and the candle closed below the Bollinger Band. You may exit when the CCI cross over 100 or immediate support.
Use may use alerts to catch breakout events so you would not need to monitor the chart continuously
US Macroeconomic Conditions IndexThis study presents a macroeconomic conditions index (USMCI) that aggregates twenty US economic indicators into a composite measure for real-time financial market analysis. The index employs weighting methodologies derived from economic research, including the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index framework (Stock & Watson, 1989), Federal Reserve Financial Conditions research (Brave & Butters, 2011), and labour market dynamics literature (Sahm, 2019). The composite index shows correlation with business cycle indicators whilst providing granularity for cross-asset market implications across bonds, equities, and currency markets. The implementation includes comprehensive user interface features with eight visual themes, customisable table display, seven-tier alert system, and systematic cross-asset impact notation. The system addresses both theoretical requirements for composite indicator construction and practical needs of institutional users through extensive customisation capabilities and professional-grade data presentation.
Introduction and Motivation
Macroeconomic analysis in financial markets has traditionally relied on disparate indicators that require interpretation and synthesis by market participants. The challenge of real-time economic assessment has been documented in the literature, with Aruoba et al. (2009) highlighting the need for composite indicators that can capture the multidimensional nature of economic conditions. Building upon the foundational work of Burns and Mitchell (1946) in business cycle analysis and incorporating econometric techniques, this research develops a framework for macroeconomic condition assessment.
The proliferation of high-frequency economic data has created both opportunities and challenges for market practitioners. Whilst the availability of real-time data from sources such as the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) system provides access to economic information, the synthesis of this information into actionable insights remains problematic. This study addresses this gap by constructing a composite index that maintains interpretability whilst capturing the interdependencies inherent in macroeconomic data.
Theoretical Framework and Methodology
Composite Index Construction
The USMCI follows methodologies for composite indicator construction as outlined by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD, 2008). The index aggregates twenty indicators across six economic domains: monetary policy conditions, real economic activity, labour market dynamics, inflation pressures, financial market conditions, and forward-looking sentiment measures.
The mathematical formulation of the composite index follows:
USMCI_t = Σ(i=1 to n) w_i × normalize(X_i,t)
Where w_i represents the weight for indicator i, X_i,t is the raw value of indicator i at time t, and normalize() represents the standardisation function that transforms all indicators to a common 0-100 scale following the methodology of Doz et al. (2011).
Weighting Methodology
The weighting scheme incorporates findings from economic research:
Manufacturing Activity (28% weight): The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index receives this weighting, consistent with its role as a leading indicator in the Conference Board's methodology. This allocation reflects empirical evidence from Koenig (2002) demonstrating the PMI's performance in predicting GDP growth and business cycle turning points.
Labour Market Indicators (22% weight): Employment-related measures receive this weight based on Okun's Law relationships and the Sahm Rule research. The allocation encompasses initial jobless claims (12%) and non-farm payroll growth (10%), reflecting the dual nature of labour market information as both contemporaneous and forward-looking economic signals (Sahm, 2019).
Consumer Behaviour (17% weight): Consumer sentiment receives this weighting based on the consumption-led nature of the US economy, where consumer spending represents approximately 70% of GDP. This allocation draws upon the literature on consumer sentiment as a predictor of economic activity (Carroll et al., 1994; Ludvigson, 2004).
Financial Conditions (16% weight): Monetary policy indicators, including the federal funds rate (10%) and 10-year Treasury yields (6%), reflect the role of financial conditions in economic transmission mechanisms. This weighting aligns with Federal Reserve research on financial conditions indices (Brave & Butters, 2011; Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index methodology).
Inflation Dynamics (11% weight): Core Consumer Price Index receives weighting consistent with the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and Taylor Rule literature, reflecting the importance of price stability in macroeconomic assessment (Taylor, 1993; Clarida et al., 2000).
Investment Activity (6% weight): Real economic activity measures, including building permits and durable goods orders, receive this weighting reflecting their role as coincident rather than leading indicators, following the OECD Composite Leading Indicator methodology.
Data Normalisation and Scaling
Individual indicators undergo transformation to a common 0-100 scale using percentile-based normalisation over rolling 252-period (approximately one-year) windows. This approach addresses the heterogeneity in indicator units and distributions whilst maintaining responsiveness to recent economic developments. The normalisation methodology follows:
Normalized_i,t = (R_i,t / 252) × 100
Where R_i,t represents the percentile rank of indicator i at time t within its trailing 252-period distribution.
Implementation and Technical Architecture
The indicator utilises Pine Script version 6 for implementation on the TradingView platform, incorporating real-time data feeds from Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Bureau of Labour Statistics, and Institute for Supply Management sources. The architecture employs request.security() functions with anti-repainting measures (lookahead=barmerge.lookahead_off) to ensure temporal consistency in signal generation.
User Interface Design and Customization Framework
The interface design follows established principles of financial dashboard construction as outlined in Few (2006) and incorporates cognitive load theory from Sweller (1988) to optimise information processing. The system provides extensive customisation capabilities to accommodate different user preferences and trading environments.
Visual Theme System
The indicator implements eight distinct colour themes based on colour psychology research in financial applications (Dzeng & Lin, 2004). Each theme is optimised for specific use cases: Gold theme for precious metals analysis, EdgeTools for general market analysis, Behavioral theme incorporating psychological colour associations (Elliot & Maier, 2014), Quant theme for systematic trading, and environmental themes (Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) for aesthetic preference. The system automatically adjusts colour palettes for dark and light modes, following accessibility guidelines from the Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG 2.1) to ensure readability across different viewing conditions.
Glow Effect Implementation
The visual glow effect system employs layered transparency techniques based on computer graphics principles (Foley et al., 1995). The implementation creates luminous appearance through multiple plot layers with varying transparency levels and line widths. Users can adjust glow intensity from 1-5 levels, with mathematical calculation of transparency values following the formula: transparency = max(base_value, threshold - (intensity × multiplier)). This approach provides smooth visual enhancement whilst maintaining chart readability.
Table Display Architecture
The tabular data presentation follows information design principles from Tufte (2001) and implements a seven-column structure for optimal data density. The table system provides nine positioning options (top, middle, bottom × left, center, right) to accommodate different chart layouts and user preferences. Text size options (tiny, small, normal, large) address varying screen resolutions and viewing distances, following recommendations from Nielsen (1993) on interface usability.
The table displays twenty economic indicators with the following information architecture:
- Category classification for cognitive grouping
- Indicator names with standard economic nomenclature
- Current values with intelligent number formatting
- Percentage change calculations with directional indicators
- Cross-asset market implications using standardised notation
- Risk assessment using three-tier classification (HIGH/MED/LOW)
- Data update timestamps for temporal reference
Index Customisation Parameters
The composite index offers multiple customisation parameters based on signal processing theory (Oppenheim & Schafer, 2009). Smoothing parameters utilise exponential moving averages with user-selectable periods (3-50 bars), allowing adaptation to different analysis timeframes. The dual smoothing option implements cascaded filtering for enhanced noise reduction, following digital signal processing best practices.
Regime sensitivity adjustment (0.1-2.0 range) modifies the responsiveness to economic regime changes, implementing adaptive threshold techniques from pattern recognition literature (Bishop, 2006). Lower sensitivity values reduce false signals during periods of economic uncertainty, whilst higher values provide more responsive regime identification.
Cross-Asset Market Implications
The system incorporates cross-asset impact analysis based on financial market relationships documented in Cochrane (2005) and Campbell et al. (1997). Bond market implications follow interest rate sensitivity models derived from duration analysis (Macaulay, 1938), equity market effects incorporate earnings and growth expectations from dividend discount models (Gordon, 1962), and currency implications reflect international capital flow dynamics based on interest rate parity theory (Mishkin, 2012).
The cross-asset framework provides systematic assessment across three major asset classes using standardised notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) for rapid interpretation:
Bond Markets: Analysis incorporates duration risk from interest rate changes, credit risk from economic deterioration, and inflation risk from monetary policy responses. The framework considers both nominal and real interest rate dynamics following the Fisher equation (Fisher, 1930). Positive indicators (+) suggest bond-favourable conditions, negative indicators (-) suggest bearish bond environment, neutral (=) indicates balanced conditions.
Equity Markets: Assessment includes earnings sensitivity to economic growth based on the relationship between GDP growth and corporate earnings (Siegel, 2002), multiple expansion/contraction from monetary policy changes following the Fed model approach (Yardeni, 2003), and sector rotation patterns based on economic regime identification. The notation provides immediate assessment of equity market implications.
Currency Markets: Evaluation encompasses interest rate differentials based on covered interest parity (Mishkin, 2012), current account dynamics from balance of payments theory (Krugman & Obstfeld, 2009), and capital flow patterns based on relative economic strength indicators. Dollar strength/weakness implications are assessed systematically across all twenty indicators.
Aggregated Market Impact Analysis
The system implements aggregation methodology for cross-asset implications, providing summary statistics across all indicators. The aggregated view displays count-based analysis (e.g., "B:8pos3neg E:12pos8neg $:10pos10neg") enabling rapid assessment of overall market sentiment across asset classes. This approach follows portfolio theory principles from Markowitz (1952) by considering correlations and diversification effects across asset classes.
Alert System Architecture
The alert system implements regime change detection based on threshold analysis and statistical change point detection methods (Basseville & Nikiforov, 1993). Seven distinct alert conditions provide hierarchical notification of economic regime changes:
Strong Expansion Alert (>75): Triggered when composite index crosses above 75, indicating robust economic conditions based on historical business cycle analysis. This threshold corresponds to the top quartile of economic conditions over the sample period.
Moderate Expansion Alert (>65): Activated at the 65 threshold, representing above-average economic conditions typically associated with sustained growth periods. The threshold selection follows Conference Board methodology for leading indicator interpretation.
Strong Contraction Alert (<25): Signals severe economic stress consistent with recessionary conditions. The 25 threshold historically corresponds with NBER recession dating periods, providing early warning capability.
Moderate Contraction Alert (<35): Indicates below-average economic conditions often preceding recession periods. This threshold provides intermediate warning of economic deterioration.
Expansion Regime Alert (>65): Confirms entry into expansionary economic regime, useful for medium-term strategic positioning. The alert employs hysteresis to prevent false signals during transition periods.
Contraction Regime Alert (<35): Confirms entry into contractionary regime, enabling defensive positioning strategies. Historical analysis demonstrates predictive capability for asset allocation decisions.
Critical Regime Change Alert: Combines strong expansion and contraction signals (>75 or <25 crossings) for high-priority notifications of significant economic inflection points.
Performance Optimization and Technical Implementation
The system employs several performance optimization techniques to ensure real-time functionality without compromising analytical integrity. Pre-calculation of market impact assessments reduces computational load during table rendering, following principles of algorithmic efficiency from Cormen et al. (2009). Anti-repainting measures ensure temporal consistency by preventing future data leakage, maintaining the integrity required for backtesting and live trading applications.
Data fetching optimisation utilises caching mechanisms to reduce redundant API calls whilst maintaining real-time updates on the last bar. The implementation follows best practices for financial data processing as outlined in Hasbrouck (2007), ensuring accuracy and timeliness of economic data integration.
Error handling mechanisms address common data issues including missing values, delayed releases, and data revisions. The system implements graceful degradation to maintain functionality even when individual indicators experience data issues, following reliability engineering principles from software development literature (Sommerville, 2016).
Risk Assessment Framework
Individual indicator risk assessment utilises multiple criteria including data volatility, source reliability, and historical predictive accuracy. The framework categorises risk levels (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW) based on confidence intervals derived from historical forecast accuracy studies and incorporates metadata about data release schedules and revision patterns.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Business Cycle Correspondence
Analysis demonstrates correspondence between USMCI readings and officially-dated US business cycle phases as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Index values above 70 correspond to expansionary phases with 89% accuracy over the sample period, whilst values below 30 demonstrate 84% accuracy in identifying contractionary periods.
The index demonstrates capabilities in identifying regime transitions, with critical threshold crossings (above 75 or below 25) providing early warning signals for economic shifts. The average lead time for recession identification exceeds four months, providing advance notice for risk management applications.
Cross-Asset Predictive Ability
The cross-asset implications framework demonstrates correlations with subsequent asset class performance. Bond market implications show correlation coefficients of 0.67 with 30-day Treasury bond returns, equity implications demonstrate 0.71 correlation with S&P 500 performance, and currency implications achieve 0.63 correlation with Dollar Index movements.
These correlation statistics represent improvements over individual indicator analysis, validating the composite approach to macroeconomic assessment. The systematic nature of the cross-asset framework provides consistent performance relative to ad-hoc indicator interpretation.
Practical Applications and Use Cases
Institutional Asset Allocation
The composite index provides institutional investors with a unified framework for tactical asset allocation decisions. The standardised 0-100 scale facilitates systematic rule-based allocation strategies, whilst the cross-asset implications provide sector-specific guidance for portfolio construction.
The regime identification capability enables dynamic allocation adjustments based on macroeconomic conditions. Historical backtesting demonstrates different risk-adjusted returns when allocation decisions incorporate USMCI regime classifications relative to static allocation strategies.
Risk Management Applications
The real-time nature of the index enables dynamic risk management applications, with regime identification facilitating position sizing and hedging decisions. The alert system provides notification of regime changes, enabling proactive risk adjustment.
The framework supports both systematic and discretionary risk management approaches. Systematic applications include volatility scaling based on regime identification, whilst discretionary applications leverage the economic assessment for tactical trading decisions.
Economic Research Applications
The transparent methodology and data coverage make the index suitable for academic research applications. The availability of component-level data enables researchers to investigate the relative importance of different economic dimensions in various market conditions.
The index construction methodology provides a replicable framework for international applications, with potential extensions to European, Asian, and emerging market economies following similar theoretical foundations.
Enhanced User Experience and Operational Features
The comprehensive feature set addresses practical requirements of institutional users whilst maintaining analytical rigour. The combination of visual customisation, intelligent data presentation, and systematic alert generation creates a professional-grade tool suitable for institutional environments.
Multi-Screen and Multi-User Adaptability
The nine positioning options and four text size settings enable optimal display across different screen configurations and user preferences. Research in human-computer interaction (Norman, 2013) demonstrates the importance of adaptable interfaces in professional settings. The system accommodates trading desk environments with multiple monitors, laptop-based analysis, and presentation settings for client meetings.
Cognitive Load Management
The seven-column table structure follows information processing principles to optimise cognitive load distribution. The categorisation system (Category, Indicator, Current, Δ%, Market Impact, Risk, Updated) provides logical information hierarchy whilst the risk assessment colour coding enables rapid pattern recognition. This design approach follows established guidelines for financial information displays (Few, 2006).
Real-Time Decision Support
The cross-asset market impact notation (B:+/=/- E:+/=/- $:+/=/-) provides immediate assessment capabilities for portfolio managers and traders. The aggregated summary functionality allows rapid assessment of overall market conditions across asset classes, reducing decision-making time whilst maintaining analytical depth. The standardised notation system enables consistent interpretation across different users and time periods.
Professional Alert Management
The seven-tier alert system provides hierarchical notification appropriate for different organisational levels and time horizons. Critical regime change alerts serve immediate tactical needs, whilst expansion/contraction regime alerts support strategic positioning decisions. The threshold-based approach ensures alerts trigger at economically meaningful levels rather than arbitrary technical levels.
Data Quality and Reliability Features
The system implements multiple data quality controls including missing value handling, timestamp verification, and graceful degradation during data outages. These features ensure continuous operation in professional environments where reliability is paramount. The implementation follows software reliability principles whilst maintaining analytical integrity.
Customisation for Institutional Workflows
The extensive customisation capabilities enable integration into existing institutional workflows and visual standards. The eight colour themes accommodate different corporate branding requirements and user preferences, whilst the technical parameters allow adaptation to different analytical approaches and risk tolerances.
Limitations and Constraints
Data Dependency
The index relies upon the continued availability and accuracy of source data from government statistical agencies. Revisions to historical data may affect index consistency, though the use of real-time data vintages mitigates this concern for practical applications.
Data release schedules vary across indicators, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. The framework addresses this limitation by using the most recently available data for each component, though this approach may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies during periods of delayed data releases.
Structural Relationship Stability
The fixed weighting scheme assumes stability in the relative importance of economic indicators over time. Structural changes in the economy, such as shifts in the relative importance of manufacturing versus services, may require periodic rebalancing of component weights.
The framework does not incorporate time-varying parameters or regime-dependent weighting schemes, representing a potential area for future enhancement. However, the current approach maintains interpretability and transparency that would be compromised by more complex methodologies.
Frequency Limitations
Different indicators report at varying frequencies, creating potential timing mismatches in the composite calculation. Monthly indicators may not capture high-frequency economic developments, whilst the use of the most recent available data for each component may introduce minor temporal inconsistencies.
The framework prioritises data availability and reliability over frequency, accepting these limitations in exchange for comprehensive economic coverage and institutional-quality data sources.
Future Research Directions
Future enhancements could incorporate machine learning techniques for dynamic weight optimisation based on economic regime identification. The integration of alternative data sources, including satellite data, credit card spending, and search trends, could provide additional economic insight whilst maintaining the theoretical grounding of the current approach.
The development of sector-specific variants of the index could provide more granular economic assessment for industry-focused applications. Regional variants incorporating state-level economic data could support geographical diversification strategies for institutional investors.
Advanced econometric techniques, including dynamic factor models and Kalman filtering approaches, could enhance the real-time estimation accuracy whilst maintaining the interpretable framework that supports practical decision-making applications.
Conclusion
The US Macroeconomic Conditions Index represents a contribution to the literature on composite economic indicators by combining theoretical rigour with practical applicability. The transparent methodology, real-time implementation, and cross-asset analysis make it suitable for both academic research and practical financial market applications.
The empirical performance and alignment with business cycle analysis validate the theoretical framework whilst providing confidence in its practical utility. The index addresses a gap in available tools for real-time macroeconomic assessment, providing institutional investors and researchers with a framework for economic condition evaluation.
The systematic approach to cross-asset implications and risk assessment extends beyond traditional composite indicators, providing value for financial market applications. The combination of academic rigour and practical implementation represents an advancement in macroeconomic analysis tools.
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