RSI and Stochastic Probability Based Price Target IndicatorHello,
Releasing this beta indicator. It is somewhat experimental but I have had some good success with it so I figured I would share it!
What is it?
This is an indicator that combines RSI and Stochastics with probability levels.
How it works?
This works by applying a regression based analysis on both Stochastics and RSI to attempt to predict a likely close price of the stock.
It also assess the normal distribution range the stock is trading in. With this information it does the following:
2 lines are plotted:
Yellow line: This is the stochastic line. This represents the smoothed version of the stochastic price prediction of the most likely close price.
White Line: This is the RSI line. It represents the smoothed version of the RSI price prediction of the most likely close price.
When the Yellow Line (Stochastic Line) crosses over the White Line (the RSI line), this is a bearish indication. It will signal a bearish cross (red arrow) to signal that some selling or pullback may follow.
IF this bearish cross happens while the stock is trading in a low probability upper zone (anything 13% or less), it will trigger a label to print with a pullback price. The pullback price is the "regression to the mean" assumption price. Its the current mean at the time of the bearish cross.
The inverse is true if it is a bullish cross. If the stock has a bullish cross and is trading in a low probability bearish range, it will print the price target for a regression back to the upward mean.
Additional information:
The indicator also provides a data table. This data table provides you with the current probability range (i.e. whether the stock is trading in the 68% probability zone or the outer 13, 2.1 or 0.1 probability zones), as well as the overall probability of a move up or down.
It also provides the next bull and bear targets. These are calculated based on the next probability zone located immediately above and below the current trading zone of the stock.
Smoothing vs Non-smoothed data:
For those who like to assess RSI and Stochastic for divergences, there is an option in the indicator to un-smooth the stochastic and RSI lines. Doing so looks like this:
Un-smoothing the RSI and stochastic will not affect the analysis or price targets. However it does add some noise to the chart and makes it slightly difficult to check for crosses. But whatever your preference is you can use.
Cross Indicators :
A bearish cross (stochastic crosses above RSI line) is signalled with a red arrow down shape.
A bullish cross (RSI crosses above stochastic line) is signalled with a green arrow up shape.
Labels vs Arrows:
The arrows are lax in their signalling. They will signal at any cross. Thus you are inclined to get false signals.
The labels are programmed to only trigger on high probability setups.
Please keep this in mind when using the indicator!
Warning and disclaimer:
As with all indicators, no indicator is 100% perfect.
This will not replace the need for solid analysis, risk management and planning.
This is also kind of beta in its approach. As such, there are no real rules on how it should be or can be applied rigorously. Thus, its important to exercise caution and not rely on this alone. Do your due diligence before using or applying this indicator to your trading regimen.
As it is kind of different, I am interested in hearing your feedback and experience using it. Let me know your feedback, experiences and suggestions below.
Also, because it does have a lot of moving parts, I have done a tutorial video on its use linked below:
Thanks for checking it out, safe trades everyone and take care!
Cari skrip untuk "pullback"
Money Flow IntensityThis indicator works very similarly to Elder's Force Index (EFI) and builds on top of what I have for the Money Flow Line (see my other scripts). It combines price movements with volume to create sort of "dollar flow" pressure up and down, looking for "smart money" ("big money") to make their move.
The indicator uses a lookback period to calculate a standard deviation of the movement intensity, then creates gradients to visualize how intense the movement is relative to other movements. This helps measure the pull away from the average more easily than with the Money Flow Line alone.
Much like with EFI, high intensity moves can indicate two things:
1. Strength and conviction in the current direction OR...
2. A reversal is coming soon
You can also watch for waning volume in the current direction, indicating that a trend is losing interest and may be due for a pullback.
There is no way to know, but combining this with price action and a trend indicator can help give you some good educated guesses about what could happen next. Combine with averaging in or out and managing risk appropriately. Good luck :)
CM_Williams_Vix_Fix - Market Top and Bottom with multi-timeframeThis is a modification of CM_Williams_Vix_Fix indicator to include both market tops and bottoms with multi-timeframe support. The original indicator only finds market bottoms.
All credits go to the original author ChrisMoody.
Original script link
Working:
The histogram above 0 signifies the trend of market going UP and the histogram below 0 signifies the trend of market going DOWN.
The histogram bar is calculated using "LookBack Period Standard Deviation High" number of candles. A threshold is calculated using bollinger bands and based on percentile of "Look Back Period Percentile High" number of candles.
If the histogram bar above 0 crosses the up threshold then we have market top which is signified by histogram bar having the color green. If the histogram bar below 0 crosses the down threshold then we have market bottom which is signified by histogram bar having the color red.
The market tops and bottoms can also be calculated across multiple timeframes.
Sample usage:
Suppose the market is in an uptrend and the indicator displays red market bottom bar, this might be an indication that the market has reached the end of a pullback. We can use additional indicators like stochastic or rsi to get additional confluence.
This indicator does not repaint but you need to wait for the candle to close.
Adaptive Fisherized ROCIntroduction
Hello community, here I applied the Inverse Fisher Transform, Ehlers dominant cycle determination and smoothing methods on a simple Rate of Change (ROC) indicator
You have a lot of options to adjust the indicator.
Usage
The rate of change is most often used to measure the change in a security's price over time.
That's why it is a momentum indicator.
When it is positive, prices are accelerating upward; when negative, downward.
It is useable on every timeframe and could be a potential filter for you your trading system.
IMO it could help you to confirm entries or find exits (e.g. you have a long open, roc goes negative, you exit).
If you use a trend-following strategy, you could maybe look out for red zones in an in uptrend or green zones in a downtrend to confirm your entry on a pullback.
Signals
ROC above 0 => confirms bullish trend
ROC below 0 => confirms bearish trend
ROC hovers near 0 => price is consolidating
Enjoy! 🚀
SMKEY_ERCROSS_AND_CLIMATICCANDLEThis scripts shows ER cross 0.6 and -0.6.
Green Arrow below candle shows ER crosses above 0.6 and Orange on shows it crosses below 0.6.
Red Arrow below candle shows ER crosses below -0.6 and Blue on shows it crosses above 0.6.
Green Dot shows bearish climatic candle and red dot shows bullish climatic candle. usally this signs for reversal/pullback.
Buy Entry - Green Triangle
Buy Exit - Orange Triangle or Red Dot
Short Entry - Red Triangle
Short Exit - Blue Triangle or Green Dot
Roof and Floors From Actieve InversionesImagine a Funny and visual way to understand Highest Highs and Lowest Lows. That's the way this indicator was conceived.
The way it Works:
The indicator plots lines in highest highs or lowest lows from a period of "Bars", you only have to set the number of Bars you wanna use and the indicator Makes all the stuff.
This is a Long term Indicator, so it can Show useful Floors or Roofs from higher Timeframes:
Cristal = Five Min Bars
Paper = thirty Min Bars
Plastic = 1 Hour Bars
Wood = 4 hours Bars
Metal = Daily Bars
But wait... There is something better than that...
If The Floor or Roof Brokes, the indicator will plot a dashed line and a label ¨Broken Roof or Floor¨ u can use it to set a Limit Order or Stop Order, and wait for the pullback.
Do you want some useful Advice ? Check the junctions from Floor or Roofs that are overlayed in some level.
Have Fun and good trading!!!
RSI by zdmreTraditional interpretations and usage of the RSI dictate that values of 70 or above suggest that a security becomes overbought or overvalued and may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective price pullback. An RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition.
30 = Oversold
70 = Overbought
Thanks @DieGobelMonte for your suggestion.
Honey CypherHoney Cypher Aims to do 4 things
Momentum
Trend Strength
Overbought and oversold zones
Being the most beautiful indicator you ever see
Momentum
The big yellow honey waves primary use is to see the momentum of the market, they can be used in a similar way you would use a MACD or Chaikin Money Flow
On this image you see the honey waves being plotted to the 30 minute timeframe while on the 5 minute chart to have an understanding of longer time momentum in the chart.
Trend Strength
Most tools of the indicator can be used for that but the yellow and purple slope strength lines are made specificaly for this. When you see them curl down you know trend is strengthening towards the downside.
The candle color is based on the amount of Honey waves sloping in one direction. This might be the best tool in the indicator to find Trend Strength. Bright yellow candles mean strong bears while the bright blue candles mean strong bulls.
Overbought and oversold zones
By analysing the waves on a chart you start to learn how big waves can get before a reversal or consolidation period arrives.
You can become profitable with the indicator. But to be honest, my primary focus in making this indicator was find ways to visualise alot of data in a clear and beautiful way.
You should use the indicator with some out of the box ideas instead of just trusting the signals.
examples:
Find a head and shoulders pattern on the top of a huge honey wave.
Find a bottom small wave while the others honey waves are in the opposite direction for entering a pullback.
Use the honey for direction but the yellow and purple slope line crosses for entrys.
Comment your own strategys, I made this open source to be able to get community feedback.
The Honey Cypher waves are calculated in a similar way as the MACD histogram. I've combined MACD formula with some of the lazybear formula. It looks for the distance between 2 moving averages to find trend strength. After that the end results get's smoothed out. It is very satisfying to change that as you can see the honey waves create a melting like motion on each change of smoothing.
Below a preview of the honey cypher moving average lines, all lines have a length that is based on the fibonacci number sequence. Honey cypher measures the distance between for example length 5-8 averages.
I hope this inspires coders to create very beautiful scripts.
Percentage Levels by TimeframePlots the positive and negative percentage levels from a selection of timeframes and sources for any ticker. You can use this within a pullback trading system. For example, if you historically look at the average pullback of large cap stocks and ETF's, you can use this indicator to plot the levels it could pullback to for an entry to go long. It can be used as potential targets when trading a ticker short. Another use for this is to backtest the set percentage targets using TradingView's bar replay feature to see how ETF's and large cap stocks have reacted at these levels. Note: This is intended to be used at timeframes equal to higher than the chart's as it may cause re-painting issues.
Currently percentage levels are statically set to 1, 3, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 30% levels above and below the chosen source (open, high, low, close). You can also display the data based on timeframes from Daily (1D) all the way up to Yearly (12M)
*Not financial advice but in my opinion the current percentage levels set (see above) are best used for ETF's and Large Cap Stocks.
Jan 2
Release Notes: Added the ability to select the historical bars to look back when plotting levels
Jan 2
Release Notes: To get a better display or proper resolution on your charts, change the view settings to "Scale Price Chart Only"
Jan 2
Release Notes: To add % labels for this indicator on the price axis, change your chart settings to include "Indicator Name Label" & "Indicator Last Value". You can find this under the Label section after hitting the gear icon in the bottom right of your chart.
Jan 2
Release Notes: Added: Custom Line Plot Extension Settings. Ideally both values should be equal to display optimal extended lines. To return to a base setting: '1' = Historical Lookback & '0' = Offset Lines. Also note this is dependent on the timeframe you are viewing on the chart.
Jan 2
Release Notes: Removed indicator from example chart that was not needed.
Jan 2
Release Notes: Updated some comments in the Pine Script
Jan 2
Release Notes: Update: Added commentary and instructions in the indicator settings to address recommended line plot settings for Stocks/ETF's vs Futures
Jan 2
Release Notes: Changed title from "Calculation Method" to "Calculation Source"
Jan 4 2021
Normal use of security() dictates that it only be used at timeframes equal to or higher than the chart's as it may cause re-painting
Trendalix EntriesThis script is made to simplify the analysis of trends. It changes the mas based on whether you're looking at stocks or crypto. As these 2 markets currently move differently, they need a slightly different approach.
Crypto trends:
Can move much faster than stocks. Ideally the price should be bouncing above the williams alligators (about the 20-30 MAs).
Stocks:
These swing more than crypto so you need to get deep into these swing to be buying at the bottom of a move. The MAs are much larger, between the 50ma and 400ma. It's much more important here that the slower MAs are strong, i.e 200ma is above the 400ma, than it is that the faster MAs are okay.
For stocks an entry and stop line is drawn. These are only visible when the market is sufficiently in a pullback.
+ Donchian ChannelsThis version of Donchian Channels uses two source options so that one can create a channel using highs and lows rather than one or the other or closes. My thinking was that this would create a more accurate portrayal of price action (or at least contain the greatest scope of it) as seen through the lens of a Donchian Channel. This was actually part of the genesis of my idea around my Ultimate Moving Average.
Besides the single top and bottom plot for the DC's extremities, I've enabled the ability to create outer bands with a variable width that the user can adjust to their preference. I think it's quite nice. I use it in the DC in my other non-overlay indicators.
Besides this additional functionality, the indicator has options to plot lines between the basis and the upper and lower bands, so, basically, splitting the upper and lower channel in half.
There is no magic number to the lookback. I chose 233 as default because it's a fibonacci sequence number and I'm more interested in using the DC like a very long period bias indicator, and the longer lookback gives a much wider window (because highs and lows are so spread apart) with which other faster indicators (supertrend, shorter period moving averages, etc.) can work without making the screen a clutter.
The color of the basis may also be made relevant to higher timeframe information. What I mean by this is that you can set it so that the basis of the current timeframe is colored based on the candle close of the higher timeframe of your choosing. If you're looking at an hourly chart, and you set the color to Daily, the basis will be colored based on the candle close (above or below the basis) of the previous day. If the previous daily close was above the basis, that positive color will be reflected in the basis, even if the current hourly candle closes are below the hourly basis. This could potentially be useful for setting a higher timeframe directional bias and reacting off price crossing the lower timeframe basis (or whatever your trigger for entering a trade might be). This is also optional in my Ultimate Moving Average indicator.
You can also set the entire indicator to whatever time frame you want if you want to see where the actual basis, or other levels are on that higher timeframe.
Further additions include fibonacci retracement levels. These are calculated off the high and the low of the Donchian Channels themselves.
You will see that there are only three retracement levels (.786, .705, .382), one of which is not a fib level, but what some people call the 'OTE,' or optimal trade entry. If you want more info on the OTE just web search it. So, why no .618 or .236? Reason being that the .618 overlaps the .382, and the .236 is extremely close to the .786. This sounds confusing, but the retracement levels I'm using are derived from the high and low, so it was unnecessary to have all five levels from each. I could have just calculated from the high, or just from the low, and used all the levels, but I chose to just calculate three levels from the high and three from the low because that gives a sort of mirror image balance, and that appeals to me, and the utility of the indicator is the same.
The plot lines are all colored, and I've filled certain zones between them. There is a center zone filled between both .382 levels, and an upper and lower zone filled between the .786 and either the high or the low.
If you like the colored zones, but don't like the plots because they cause screen compression, turn off the plots under the "style" tab.
There are alerts for candle closes across every line.
I should state that, regarding the fibs, obviously the length of the Channels is going to affect to what levels price retraces to. A shorter lookback means you will see more changes in highs and lows, and therefore retraces are often going to be full retraces within the bands unless price is trending hard. A longer lookback means you will see smaller retraces. Using this in conjunction with key high timeframe levels and/or a moving average can give great confidence in a trade entry. Additionally, if you have a short bias it may help in finding levels or entering a trade on a pullback. It could also be good for trade targets. But again, the lookback you choose for this indicator is going to dictate its use in the system you're building or already have. A 9 EMA and a 200 EMA, while fundamentally the same, are going to be used somewhat differently while doing your chart analysis.
Additional images below.
Same image as main, but with supertrend and my +UMA to help with chart analysis.
Image with the fib stuff turned on.
Zoomed out image with the same.
Shorter lookback period.
Zoomed in image of shorter lookback.
All-Time High with Percentage Drops for ETF's and Large CapsPlots the percentage drop levels from the All-Time High of any ticker. You can use this within a pullback trading system. For example, if you historically look at the average pullback of large cap stocks and ETF's, you can use this indicator to plot the levels it could pullback to for an entry to go long. It can be used as potential targets when trading a ticker short. Another use for this is to backtest the set percentage targets using TradingView's bar replay feature to see how ETF's and large cap stocks have reacted at these levels.
Currently percentage levels are statically set to 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, & 20% levels below the All-Time High.
*Not financial advice but in my opinion the current percentage levels set (see above) are best used for ETF's and Large Cap Stocks.
tunnel trading betaThe original author of the tunnel trading system: youtuber：Teacher Jin
This is a set of indicators system that trades completely based on the moving average. It belongs to the right trading. The idea is as follows:
(1) Basic trend (major trend)
When the short-term moving average is higher than the long-term moving average, it is an upward trend; otherwise, it is a downward trend.
The tentative short-term moving average is ema12, and the long-term moving average is ema169.
(2) The first type of buying point (or short point): trend establishment
Starting from the bar where the uptrend is established, the first outgoing bar is the first buying point. (Outgoing means that the closing price is higher than the opening price and higher than the high point of the previous bar)
Starting from the bar where the downtrend is established, the first bar to fall is the first shorting point. (Fall means that the closing price is lower than the opening price and lower than the low point of the previous bar)
(3) The second type of buying point (or short point): the buying point when pulling back (or the short point when rebounding)
The buying point at the time of pullback (callback) means that the general trend is up, but the small trend is down. You can buy when it is clear that the down trend is over.
Two concepts need to be defined here: "pullback (callback)" and "end of down trend". The definition of pullback is that when the general trend is rising, bar falls below the long-term moving average, and at this time the short-term moving average is still higher than the long-term moving average; The definition of the end of a down trend is that it is outgoing and ema12 is on the rise.
In the same way, we can know what is the "short point when rebounding":
The big trend is down, but the small trend is up. When it is clear that the rise is over, you can go short.
(4) Setting of Stop Loss and Take Profit
When going long:
Stop Loss Price: The low point of a bar before the buying point.
Stop-profit price: After the stop-loss price is determined, the profit-loss ratio is 3:1 to determine the stop-profit price. (The default value is 3, the user can modify it)
When shorting:
Stop Loss Price: The high point of a bar before the purchase point.
Stop-profit price: After the stop-loss price is determined, the profit-loss ratio is 3:1 to determine the stop-profit level. (The default value is 3, the user can modify it)
Chinese introduction:
隧道交易体系的原作者：油管金老师看盘室
这是一套完全根据均线进行交易的指标体系，属于右侧交易，思路如下：
（1） 基本趋势（大趋势）
短期均线高于长期均线时，是上涨趋势；反之，是下降趋势。
暂定短期均线为ema12，长期均线为ema169。
（2） 第一种买入点（或做空点）：趋势确立
从上涨趋势确立的那根bar开始，第一个出头的bar，是第一买入点。（出头，是指收盘价高于开盘价，且高于前一根bar的高点）
从下降趋势确立的那根bar开始，第一个落尾的bar，是第一做空点。（落尾，是指收盘价低于开盘价，且低于前一根bar的低点）
（3） 第二种买入点（或做空点）：拉回时的买入点（或反弹时的做空点）
拉回时（回调时）的买入点，是指大趋势是上涨，但小趋势是下跌，当明确下跌结束时，可以买入。
这里需要定义2个概念：“拉回（回调）”和“下跌结束”。拉回的定义是，大趋势是上涨时，bar跌破长期均线，此时短期均线仍高于长期均线；下跌结束的定义是，出头且ema12在上升。
同理可知什么是“反弹时的做空点”：
大趋势是下跌，但小趋势是上涨，当明确上涨结束时，可以做空。
（4） 止损位和止盈位的设置
做多时：
止损位：买入点前一根bar的低点。
止盈位：止损位确定后，按盈亏比3:1确定止盈位。（默认值为3，用户可以修改）
做空时：
止损位：买入点前一根bar的高点。
止盈位：止损位确定后，按盈亏比3:1确定止盈位。（默认值为3，用户可以修改）
donchain support&resistance levels [LM]Hello Traders,
I would like to introduce you donchain support&resistance levels. The idea is to look for important levels that are identified by donchain line, where donchain usualy spents a lot of time without any move usualy turns out to be good level for bounces.
Also note that when there is a big spread between first line and second line it usually leads to some pullback.
Here you have an example of big spread:
You are also able to show donchain lines and not only horizontals this you can find in settings:
Enjoy!
EMA BANDS//Trades have been checked periodically on daily charts with normal, basically, you'll set in trades for weeks, months, and years in some cases depending on the time frame and strategy you use, DO NOT TRADE ON MARGIN INTEREST WILL RUIN YOU.
//You can use the strategies on lower timeframes, however, you'll need to be able to execute trades during all market hours if you choose anything less than a daily.
//You MUST stay in your trade until the very end. that means even if you open the trade and you're super in red DON'T DUMP.
//Set stop losses to no more than 50% of your entry price. Less is better but understand that you may be stomped out of a trade that could reverse after a 40-49% pullback.
//I suggest you pull initial capital out after you 2x to lock in your profit.
//You must also have the ability to sell/buy after market hours, you'll make your trades generally one-two hours post-market in most cases.
//The green line gives a simple average of the last 1618 candles. The further price action is from the mean, the more the price will be pulled back. (Ideally)
//Strategy One (Safe/Slow)
//Buy when the closing price is less than the lower bounds of all bands. This does not include the green "Mean" line
//Sell when the closing price is greater than the upper bounds of all bands. Again, this does not include the green "Mean" line
//Strategy Two (Neutral)
//Buy when the closing price is less than the bounds of 3-4 out of the 4 bands.
//Sell when the closing price is greater than the bounds of 3-4 out of the 4 bands.
//This means that you execute trades even if the closing price is still within one band.
//You'll still execute orders even if the closing price is outside of all bands
//Strategy Three (Least Safe/Fast)
//Buy when the closing price is less than the bounds of 2-4 out of the 4 bands.
//Sell when the closing price is greater than the bounds of 2-4 out of the 4 bands.
//This means that you execute trades even if the closing price is still within two bands.
//You'll still execute orders even if the closing price is outside of all bands
//You'll still execute orders even if the closing price is outside of 3 of 4 bands
White MAThis modified indicator just based on my 2cent strategy & experience,
which is:-
MA6, MA20, MA50, MA200
However, I always turn off MA20 since I also use BB (20) indicator.
Generally, if small MA cross up big MA, then it becomes entry signal, & vice versa
Each entry signal need confirmation state which is next price should close higher than crossing price.
If price close lower than crossing price, then it will be invalid entry's signal,
while if price keep maintain at same value, then it's mean uncertain for me until it close whether above or below crossing price.
"Strategy 1" (General)
In TF1D, the pattern should fulfill my condition as below:-
- MA20 above MA50 (bullish uptrend)
- Price pullback at least touch MA20 for reversal (making Higher Low)
- Price break resistance of pullback's price
My entry signal only after it close above the resistance, near "support" (RBS, Resistance become Support)
My stop-loss, if and only if price touch previous SMA6 price (or SMA10)
Unfortunately, I haven't had any specific target price. It's depending on what kind of "player" you are. (achievement)
Few TPs those I used:-
- Price touch my Static Resistance on chart obtained from,
~ Pullback price
~ Fibo (1.61++)
~ Higher price in 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, 3 year, and so on. (road to ATH, All Time High)
- Price close outside Upper BB (Dynamic Resistance)
I don't assume sell signal by using crossing indicator as TP, it's more to stop-loss for me. (means stop from loss your profit)
"Strategy 2" (Reversal Entry)
In TF15 minutes, we are assuming entry signal when SMA6 cross up SMA50. However, it's still need confirmation by next closing price.
This strategy can be apply in TF1D although SMA20 doesn't cross up SMA50 yet.
That's all my sharing strategy/system based on my 2cent experience, it's not a prefects strategy but I hope it will gives some idea for you guys in order to obtain your own system.
Sniper SSThis indicator help trader buying on reversal point after pullback. Also help in identify buying and sellling pressure.
To use this indicator:-
Arrow for crossing line to find exactly entry and exit point.
1. Blue line cross over Red line will result green arrow is good for the entry
2. Blue line cross down Red line will result red arrow is good to exit position
Fill area color legend
1. Green - Strong buying pressure - Can entry at this point
2. Fade Green - Buying pressure get weaker - ready for exit
3. Red - Strong selling pressure - can exit at this point
4. Fade Red - Selling pressure get weaker - ready for entry
MAST TrendHello Traders !!
This is a simple super trend based MAST trend.
By default the supertrend is 10 period with 3 ATR multiplier.
A moving average is used to benefit from the pullback entries.
Bullish Pullback : Price above Supertrend & below MA
Bullish: Price above Supertrend and above MA
Bearish pullback : Price below Supertrend & above MA
Bearish : Price below Supertrend & below MA
Refer to investopedia or any relevant articles for in detail about Supertrend.
Ichimoku Time RetracementThis is educational tool for understand pullback measurement .
Price pullback and Time pullback is basic concept for ichimoku.
I change parameters to understand relationship of each line easily and add lines .
Enjoy!!
UCS_Trader Pressure Indicator -V1Welcoming everyone to a simple Indicator. I have used the volume of a stock to establish how commited the market for that particular ticker is when it comes to a direction.
The idea behind the indicator is how much of commitment there is towards a move.
*** This indicator is non directional*** ie., It just measures the commitment behind a move.
Why is it important.
Let's say we have a uptrending stock with low commitment (pressure), the bounce on any pullback will not be able carry that any further. So the pressure on the Pullback could drop the stock below and add additional risk. Only for us to wish and think, we checked that previously.
Essentially, If a Trend is being established with a strong pressure (VOLUME BASED). It is more likely to continue.
How you would use this is upto you. But general ideas in Some of these snapshots.
Concluding -
The trend in combination with TPI - Stronger Trend.
In such stronger trends - A pullback (oppsing the trend) have higher probability to bounce.
NOTE - Experiement with the indicator and Trade at your own risk This is a tool, not a system.
Feedbacks are welcome and will be considered for improvement.
Best Wishes
OathOath consists of 21 and 55 EMA , Commodity Channel Index and Supertrend indicator. It confirms a trend and gives you a signal on a pullback. Original creation worked on 1h EURUSD chart.
Oath is merely a rebrand of my previous Patient Trendfollower strategy. Unlike Patient Trendfollower, Oath has actually a good name and it does not fill your screen with noodles.
►Long setup:
• 21 EMA is above 55 EMA , which is above the Supertrend indicator.
• Commodity Channel Index is an oscillator, which prints into the chart if extreme levels are reached. Green is for a level above 100 or below -100, red is above 140 or below -140 and black is above 180 or below -180.
• If 21 EMA > 55EMA > Supertrend and an oversold signal appear, you can buy into the trend.
• When backtesting on 1h EURUSD , profit target 400 pips worked best with a stop-loss below Supertrend's bottom and the size of your spread. Spread values do not subtract from your profit.
• A picture shows two valid entries.
Further examples can be found in Patient Trendfollower 's description.
Thanks to:
• @everget for providing Supertrend solution.
• Satik FX who hand-tested the system by hand and reported results in this article. He is my main inspiration for creating the complete indicator as one because I want to be able to show and hide it with a single click.
Patient Trendfollower (7)(alpha)Patient Trendfollower consists of 21 and 55 EMA, Commodity Channel Index and Supertrend indicator. It confirms a trend and gives you a signal on a pullback. Original creation worked on 1h EURUSD chart.
►Long setup:
• 21 EMA is above 55 EMA, which is above the Supertrend indicator.
• Commodity Channel Index is an oscillator, which prints into the chart if extreme levels are reached. Green is for a level above 100 or below -100, red is above 140 or below -140 and black is above 180 or below -180.
• If 21 EMA > 55EMA > Supertrend and an oversold signal appear, you can buy into the trend.
• When backtesting on 1h EURUSD, profit target 400 pips worked best with a stop-loss below Supertrend's bottom and the size of your spread.
• A picture shows two valid entries.
: This part still malfunctions and shows red dots over some green ones. It is important to disable red ones in the settings to see green ones.
Some more long signals:
Some short signals:
►Backtesting data with default settings and trading only green CCI signals with mentioned risk management strategy:
• 212 closed trades
• 58.96% profitable with average win trade 348 USD and average loss trade 263 USD when only green signals are followed.
• Profit factor 1.903, Sharpee 0.792
• 20 bars is average for all trades, short trades were 18 bars long on average.
With given data, you can see the strategy is profitable by itself. However, original risk management settings do work only on 1h charts of EURUSD and would need to be adjusted for other instruments based on average volatility.
Even though the profitability is low, you can increase your odds by a great margin, if you properly use price action (impulsive and corrective moves, patterns, bar analysis), if you trade when major exchanges are open, you may also use wave analysis such as Elliot Waves or Market Profiles to predict whether the next day might be a trending day. My backtesting program didn't consider these ideas.
Unfortunately, I won't be making backtesting strategy public with it anytime soon, because it still has some parts that do not work. I am ok with that since I understand the code and know what does malfunction and how. Then, there are parts which I am not sure how to fix yet. This is why the indicator is still considered alpha.
In the future when a strategy is published, you will also be able to set your own overbought/oversold values without entering the code itself and probably some other features. But I am not in a hurry for that. You can give me feedback on UX and try to figure out the best setups for other symbols, it might help to improve the automatic testing script when I know what I should achieve. My main point is to make this public for friends who can already be using it on EURUSD at least.
Close doesn't always have to be 400 pips, you might want to close on a logical level such as strong resistance or a trendline too.
Thanks to:
• @everget for providing Supertrend solution.
• Satik FX who hand-tested the system by hand and reported results in this article . He is my main inspiration for creating the complete indicator as one because I want to be able to show and hide it with a single click. My future scripts will also work as a whole strategy each by itself.
• The number in the script's name comes from Satik's numbering. A mentioned article was his seventh shared strategy.
Strategy MACD vs BBStrategy based on MACD and Bollinger Bands, where BBs are calculatend from macd signal.
Strategy doesn't open at breakout of bands but it waits for a pullback.
Upper and lower bands are used as resistance and support.
There are various parameters that can be optimized.
I have also a study with alerts.
Please use comment section for any feedback or cointact me if you need support.
