Profitable Loser Model [MMT]Profitable Loser Model
Overview
The Profitable Loser Model is a powerful PineScript v6 indicator designed to enhance your trading by visualizing key price levels, session open zones, Fibonacci retracements, and premium/discount zones. This overlay indicator provides traders with a customizable toolkit to analyze market structure across any timeframe, making it ideal for intraday and swing trading strategies.
Features
Open Zone Visualization
- Plots a box based on the open and close of the first candle in a user-defined timeframe (default: 5-minute).
- Customizable box color, projection offset, and label size (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large).
- Displays a timeframe label (e.g., "5m Open Zone") for quick reference, toggleable on/off.
Session Open Lines
- Optionally draws horizontal lines at key session opens (8:30 AM, 9:30 AM, 1:30 PM, Midnight, New York time).
- Customize line color, style (Solid, Dashed, Dotted), width, and label size for each session.
- Perfect for identifying critical intraday price levels.
Premium and Discount Zones
- Highlights premium (above midpoint) and discount (below midpoint) zones based on session high/low.
- Toggleable with customizable colors and projection offsets.
- Helps traders spot overbought/oversold areas for potential mean-reversion trades.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
- Plots user-defined Fibonacci levels (default: 0.23, 0.35, 0.5, 0.62, 0.705, 0.79, 0.886, 1, 1.1).
- Customizable line style, width, color, and labels (showing percentage and/or price).
- Dynamically adjusts based on price movement relative to the open zone.
Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) Levels
- Highlights TP (default: 0.23) and SL (default: 1.1) Fibonacci levels with distinct colors.
- Fully customizable to align with your risk-reward strategy.
How It Works
- Session Detection : Resets daily (or per user-defined timeframe) to capture the first candle's open, high, low, and close.
- Open Zone : Draws a box between the open and close, extended forward by the projection offset.
- Session Lines : Plots lines at specified session opens with customizable styles and labels.
- Fibonacci Retracement : Adjusts levels dynamically based on session high/low and price action.
- Premium/Discount Zones : Calculated from the session range midpoint, updated in real-time.
Settings
- Open Zone :
- Timeframe (default: 5m), Calculate Timeframe (default: Daily).
- Toggle label, adjust size, box color, and projection offset.
- Session Open Lines :
- Enable/disable lines for 8:30 AM, 9:30 AM, 1:30 PM, Midnight.
- Customize color, style, width, label size, and vertical offset.
- Premium/Discount Zones :
- Toggle visibility, set colors, and adjust projection offset.
- Fibonacci Retracement :
- Toggle visibility, set custom levels, line style, width, color, and label options.
- Adjust projection offset.
- TP/SL :
- Set TP/SL Fibonacci levels and colors.
Use Cases
- Intraday Trading : Use session open lines and open zones to trade key market hours.
- Swing Trading : Leverage Fibonacci levels for potential reversal or continuation zones.
- Risk Management : Set precise TP/SL levels based on Fibonacci retracements.
- Market Structure : Identify overbought/oversold zones with premium/discount areas.
Notes
- Optimized with `dynamic_requests = true` for efficient real-time data handling.
- Visual elements (boxes, lines, labels) are cleaned up at the start of each new session.
- Session lines use New York time (`America/New_York`) for alignment with major markets.
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Profitable Mondays & Losing FridaysHere's a Pine Script that marks profitable Mondays and losing Fridays for a given stock:
Explanation
Input Parameter: The script allows you to input the stock symbol, defaulting to SPX.
Daily Returns: It calculates the daily return based on the closing price.
Day Identification: It checks if the current day is Monday or Friday.
Conditions:
Profitable Mondays: Marks with a green background if Monday's return is positive.
Losing Fridays: Marks with a red background if Friday's return is negative.
Visualization: Uses bgcolor to highlight the respective days on the chart.
You can adjust the stockSymbol input to analyze different stocks.
Profitable Contrarian scalpingUses the 5 period and 10 period VMWAs that have been smoothed with a 5 period SMA of the close price. Normally, a short crossover long formation signals a buy signal, but as scalpers know, the 1 minute chart moves so fast and with so much volatility that lagging indicators get wrecked by the market. According, this strategy operates under the assumption that by the time this lagging indicator makes a signal, the price is ready to reverse. Losses are taken swiftly in the case of a continuation pattern. This indicator averages a 55-65% profitable rate and is almost always a positive P/L on the 1 minute chart of the most commonly traded assets.
Of course, there may be validity for this indicator outside the 1 minute chart, but I have found such success to be very limited. Accordingly, use this indicator on SPY, TQQQ, TSLA, AMZN, and major cryptos on the 1 min chart.
Volty Expan Close Strategy with Backtest Date RangeInput Information
Length Numeric 5 Number of bars used to determine the average true range.
NumATRs Numeric .75 Factor used to calculate a percentage of the average true range, used to
Long and short entry based on a percentage of price movement beyond the average range.
Profitable and simple strategy..
VWAP + Fibo Dev Extensions StrategyBased on my VWAP + Fibo deviations indicator, I tested some strategies to see if the indicator can be profitable; and I got it !
This strategy uses:
H1 timeframe
Weekly VWAP
+1.618 / +2.618 / -1.618 / -2.618 Deviations Extensions to create 2 bands
The value of the deviation
First, the 2 bands are plotted : +1.618/+2.618 painted in red and -1.618/-2.618 painted in lime.
Then, we wait for the deviation value to reach at least 150 (see thumbnail) to avoid littles moves when the gaps between bands are too short.
Entry long position :
first candle must crossunder the -1.618 level and low have to stay over the -2.618
low of the second one must stay in the lime band
enter the third one if the deviation value is over limit (150)
Exit long position :
TP : when a high crossover VWAP
SL : when a low crossunder -2.618
Entry short position :
first candle must crossover the +1.618 level and high have to stay under the +2.618
high of the second one must stay in the red band
enter the third one if the deviation value is over limit (150)
Exit short position :
TP : when a low crossunder VWAP
SL : when a high crossover +2.618
Notes :
this strategy uses pyramiding (5), be careful and calculate your risk management
the comission value is set to 0.08% to include slippages when entering a trade because of market orders
This strategy is not an advice to invest, make your own decisions.
Cheat Code- Example 1; Short-Term; Follow the Trend BINANCE:BTCUSDT ; BINANCE:ETHUSDT ; BINANCE:FILUSDT ;
This strategy is simple and easy to read and takes advantage of conditional signs of trend reversals. It works best in 10-minute time frames for most large and mid-cap crypto. This code is a tutorial for creating a profitable yet easy strategy, and hopefully, it can be put to good use :)
Long Term Profitable Swing | AbbasA Story of a Profitable Swing Trading Strategy
Imagine you're sailing across the ocean, looking for the perfect wave to ride. Swing trading is quite similar—you're navigating the stock market, searching for the ideal moments to enter and exit trades. This strategy, created by Abbas, helps you find those waves and ride them effectively to profitable outcomes.
🌊 Finding the Perfect Wave (Entry)
Our journey begins with two simple signs that tell us a great trading opportunity is forming:
- Moving Averages: We use two lines that follow price trends—the faster one (EMA 16) reacts quickly to recent price moves, and the slower one (EMA 30) gives us a longer-term perspective. When the faster line crosses above the slower line, it's like a clear signal saying, "Hey! The wave is rising, and prices might move higher!"
- RSI Momentum: Next, we check a tool called the RSI, which measures momentum (how strongly prices are moving). If the RSI number is above 50, it means there's enough strength behind this rising wave to carry us forward.
When both signals appear together, that's our green light. It's time to jump on our surfboard and start riding this promising wave.
⚓ Safely Riding the Wave (Risk Management)
While we're riding this wave, we want to ensure we're safe from sudden surprises. To do this, we use something called the Average True Range (ATR), which measures how volatile (or bumpy) the price movements are:
- Stop-Loss: To avoid falling too hard, we set a safety line (stop-loss) 8 times the ATR below our entry price. This helps ensure we exit if the wave suddenly turns against us, protecting us from heavy losses.
- Take Profit: We also set a goal to exit the trade at 11 times the ATR above our entry. This way, we capture significant profits when the wave reaches a nice high point.
🌟 Multiple Rides, Bigger Adventures
This strategy allows us to take multiple positions simultaneously—like riding several waves at once, up to 5. Each trade we make uses only 10% of our trading capital, keeping risks manageable and giving us multiple opportunities to win big.
🗺️ Easy to Follow Settings
Here are the basic settings we use:
- Fast EMA**: 16
- Slow EMA**: 30
- RSI Length**: 9
- RSI Threshold**: 50
- ATR Length**: 21
- ATR Stop-Loss Multiplier**: 8
- ATR Take-Profit Multiplier**: 11
These settings are flexible—you can adjust them to better suit different markets or your personal trading style.
🎉 Riding the Waves of Success
This simple yet powerful swing trading approach helps you confidently enter trades, clearly know when to exit, and effectively manage your risk. It’s a reliable way to ride market waves, capture profits, and minimize losses.
Happy trading, and may you find many profitable waves to ride! 🌊✨
Please test, and take into account that it depends on taking multiple longs within the swing, and you only get to invest 25/30% of your equity.
BTC Profitable Wallets StrategyBTC Profitable Wallets Strategy - plots the percentage of profitable BTC wallets and places long orders when the profitable wallet share crosses above 50%, historically a very accurate point to catch the next Bull Run early.
The only setting is a smoothing option using the Moving Average method and length of your choice.
On Chain Data is queried from IntoTheBlock.
This is a 'HODL' strategy, with no exit given. If you'd like to see the historical performance check the Open Profit or place a sell order at the current date.
Simple and Profitable Scalping Strategy (ForexSignals TV)Strategy is based on the "SIMPLE and PROFITABLE Forex Scalping Strategy" taken from YouTube channel ForexSignals TV.
See video for a detailed explaination of the whole strategy.
I'm not entirely happy with the performance of this strategy yet however I do believe it has potential as the concept makes a lot of sense.
I'm open to any ideas people have on how it could be improved.
Strategy incorporates the following features:
Risk management:
Configurable X% loss per stop (default to 1%)
Configurable R:R ratio
Trade entry:
Based on stratgey conditions outlined below
Trade exit:
Based on stratgey conditions outlined below
Backtesting:
Configurable backtesting range by date
Trade drawings:
Each entry condition indicator can be turned on and off
TP/SL boxes drawn for all trades. Can be turned on and off
Trade exit information labels. Can be turned on and off
NOTE: Trade drawings will only be applicable when using overlay strategies
Debugging:
Includes section with useful debugging techniques
Strategy conditions
Trade entry:
LONG
C1: On higher timeframe trend EMAs, Fast EMA must be above Slow EMA
C2: On higher timeframe trend EMAs, price must be above Fast EMA
C3: On current timeframe entry EMAs, Fast EMA must be above Medium EMA and Medium EMA must be above Slow EMA
C4: On current timeframe entry EMAs, all 3 EMA lines must have fanned out in upward direction for previous X candles (configurable)
C5: On current timeframe entry EMAs, previous candle must have closed above and not touched any EMA lines
C6: On current timeframe entry EMAs, current candle must have pulled back to touch the EMA line(s)
C7: Price must break through the high of the last X candles (plus price buffer) to trigger entry (stop order entry)
SHORT
C1: On higher timeframe trend EMAs, Fast EMA must be below Slow EMA
C2: On higher timeframe trend EMAs, price must be below Fast EMA
C3: On current timeframe entry EMAs, Fast EMA must be below Medium EMA and Medium EMA must be below Slow EMA
C4: On current timeframe entry EMAs, all 3 EMA lines must have fanned out in downward direction for previous X candles (configurable)
C5: On current timeframe entry EMAs, previous candle must have closed above and not touched any EMA lines
C6: On current timeframe entry EMAs, current candle must have pulled back to touch the EMA line(s)
C7: Price must break through the low of the last X candles (plus price buffer) to trigger entry (stop order entry)
Trade entry:
Calculated position size based on risk tolerance
Entry price is a stop order set just above (buffer configurable) the recent swing high/low (long/short)
Trade exit:
Stop Loss is set just below (buffer configurable) trigger candle's low/high (long/short)
Take Profit calculated from Stop Loss using R:R ratio
Credits
"SIMPLE and PROFITABLE Forex Scalping Strategy" taken from YouTube channel ForexSignals TV
ATR_RSI_Strategy v2 with no repaint [liwei666]🎲 Overview
🎯 this is a optimized version based on ATR_RSI_Strategy with no-repaint.
Sharpe ratio: 1.4, trade times: 116 ,
trade symbol: BINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP 15M
you can get same backtesting result with the correct settings.
🎲 Strategy Logic
🎯 the core logic is quite simple, use ATR and RSI and SMA
1. when price is in high volatility ( atr_value > atr_ma);
2. wait for a break signal (rsi_value > rsi_buy or rsi_value < rsi_sell);
3. entry Long or Short,use trailing stop-loss to max security and percent TP to keep profit.
🎲 Settings
🎯 there are 7 input properties in script, but I only finetune 4 of them ( bold field below ),
you may change other parameter to get better result by yourself.
atr_length: length to get atr value
atr_ma_length : length of smoothing atr value
atr_ma_norm_min : atr_ma normalized min value, filter high volatility ranges
atr_ma_norm_max : atr_ma normalized max value, filter high volatility ranges
rsi_length : length to get rsi value
rsi_entry: 50 +/- rsi_entry to get entry threshold
trailing_percent: trailing stop-loss percent
🎲 Usage
🎯 the commission set to 0.05% , part of exchange the commission is less than 0.05% in reality,
but I will still use 0.05% in my next script.
🎯 this script use 50% of equity to size positions follow general script position,
you can adjust the value to fix size or 100% of equity to compare result with other strategy,
but I still suggest you use 5-10% of equity for each strategy in reality.
🎯any questions please comment below. if there are any words violate House Rule, please tell me below and i will revise immediately
don't want be hiddened again 😂😂
Additionally, I plan to publish 20 profitable strategies in 2023;
let‘s witness it together!
Hope this strategy will be usefull for you :)
enjoy! 🚀🚀🚀
What is ProfitableBTC, BNB or your favorite Alt Coin? This indicator shows what is profitable at the moment. Red bars are alt days, green bars are BTC days. Otherwise, it is a BNB day.
Hmm, most of the time it is a BNB day!
Vix FIX / StochRSI StrategyThis strategy is based off of Chris Moody's Vix Fix Indicator . I simply used his indicator and added some rules around it, specifically on entry and exits.
Rules :
Enter upon a filtered or aggressive entry
If there are multiple entry signals, allow pyramiding
Exit when there is Stochastic RSI crossover above 80
This works great on a number of stocks. I am keeping a list of stocks with decent Profit Factors and clean equity curves here .
Possible ways to use this:
Modify this script and setup alerts around the various entries
Use as is with different stocks or currency pairs
Modify entry / exit points to make it more profitable for even more symbols and currencies
Profitable L 1800 Candle Highlight [Beta]
Certainly! Here's a user guide for the provided Pine Script code:
User Guide: 1800 Candle Highlight Indicator
Overview:
The "1800 Candle Highlight" indicator is designed to visually emphasize the 18:00 (6:00 PM) candle on the chart, providing clarity on its open and close prices, and highlighting its timeframe with a distinctive color.
Key Features:
Candle Highlighting: The indicator identifies the candle that opens at 18:00 and visually distinguishes it from other candles on the chart.
Open and Close Prices: The indicator plots the open and close prices of the 18:00 candle as step lines, making it easy to identify price movements during that timeframe.
Background Color: It colors the background within the 18:00 candle's timeframe with a transparent blue shade, providing further emphasis on that period.
Start Marker: A downward triangle shape marks the start of the 18:00 candle, aiding in identifying the beginning of the highlighted timeframe.
Usage:
Overlay: The indicator is designed to be overlaid on the price chart, allowing users to visualize the highlighted candle alongside price movements.
Interpretation: Traders can observe the open and close prices of the 18:00 candle relative to previous and subsequent candles, aiding in analysis and decision-making.
Timeframe Focus: The highlighted candle's timeframe can serve as a reference point for analyzing price action during specific hours, such as the end of a trading day.
Installation:
Access: Users can access the Pine Script editor within the TradingView platform to create a new indicator.
Copy and Paste: Copy the provided Pine Script code and paste it into the editor.
Save and Apply: Save the indicator and apply it to the desired chart, adjusting settings as needed.
Customization:
Color Scheme: Users can customize the colors used for highlighting, open/close prices, and background to suit their preferences and chart aesthetics.
Styling: Adjustments can be made to line styles, widths, and marker sizes to enhance visibility and clarity.
Compatibility:
The indicator is compatible with TradingView's Pine Script version 5 and can be applied to various financial instruments and timeframes supported by the platform.
Disclaimer:
The "1800 Candle Highlight" indicator is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users are encouraged to conduct thorough analysis and consider multiple factors before making trading decisions.
Profitable Supertrend v0.1 - AlphaThis a script to try detect the best combination of supertrend parameters in a space of time. Sadly the script is slow. Evaluate all possibilities params is hard for a pinescript and my knowledge too. In some cases, when you want evaluate many time could be the script fails for timeout. Perhaps with time I could enhance. For this problem of speed the calculate of combinatios it's not complete: In factor use a increment of 0.2 in each param (0.1, 0.3, 0.5 ...) in period the increment for each value is 3. The range for factor it's from 3.0 to 12.0. The range of period it's from 10 to 43
My knowledge don't let me go more far. Perhaps with time I can enhance the script.
TradersAI_UTBotCREDITS to @HPotter for the orginal code.
CREDITS to @Yo_adriiiiaan for recently publishing the UT Bot study based on the original code -
I just added some simple code to turn it into a strategy. Now, anyone can simply add the strategy to their chart to see the backtesting results!
While @Yo_adriiiiaan mentions it works best on a 4-hour timeframe or above, I am happy to share that this seems to be working on a 15-minute chart on e-mini S&P 500 Index (using the KeyValue setting at 10)! You can play around with the different settings, and may be you might discover even better settings.
Hope this helps. Btw, if any of you play with different settings and discover great settings for a specific instrument, please share them with the community here - it will be rewarded back multiple times!
MACD + SMA 200 Strategy (by ChartArt)Here is a combination of the classic MACD (moving average convergence divergence indicator) with the classic slow moving average SMA with period 200 together as a strategy.
This strategy goes long if the MACD histogram and the MACD momentum are both above zero and the fast MACD moving average is above the slow MACD moving average. As additional long filter the recent price has to be above the SMA 200. If the inverse logic is true, the strategy goes short. For the worst case there is a max intraday equity loss of 50% filter.
Save another $999 bucks with my free strategy.
This strategy works in the backtest on the daily chart of Bitcoin, as well as on the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average daily charts. Current performance as of November 30, 2015 on the SPX500 CFD daily is percent profitable: 68% since the year 1970 with a profit factor of 6.4. Current performance as of November 30, 2015 on the DOWI index daily is percent profitable: 51% since the year 1915 with a profit factor of 10.8.
All trading involves high risk; past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
Simple SuperTrend Strategy for BTCUSD 4HHello guys!, If you are a swing trader and you are looking for a simple trend strategy, you should check this one. Based in the supertrend indicator, this strategy will help you to catch big movements in BTCUSD 4H and avoid losses as much as possible in consolidated situations of the market
This strategy was designed for BTCUSD in 4H timeframe
Backtesting context: 2020-01-02 to 2023-01-05 (The strategy has also worked in previous years)
Trade conditions:
Rules are actually simple, the most important thing is the risk and position management of this strategy
For long:
Once Supertrend changes from a downtrend to a uptrend, you enter into a long position. The stop loss will be defined by the atr stop loss
The first profit will be of 0.75 risk/reward ratio where half position will be closed. When this happens, you move the stop loss to break even.
Now, just will be there two situations:
Once Supertrend changes from a uptrend to a downtrend, you close the other half of the initial long position.
If price goes againts the position, the position will be closed due to breakeven.
For short:
Once Supertrend changes from a uptrend to a downtrend, you enter into a short position. The stop loss will be defined by the atr stop loss
The first profit will be of 0.75 risk/reward ratio where half position will be closed. When this happens, you move the stop loss to break even.
Like in the long position, just will be there two situations:
Once Supertrend changes from a downtrend to a uptrend, you close the other half of the initial short position.
If price goes againts the position, the position will be closed due to breakeven.
Risk management
For calculate the amount of the position you will use just a small percent of your initial capital for the strategy and you will use the atr stop loss for this.
Example: You have 1000 usd and you just want to risk 2,5% of your account, there is a long signal at price of 20,000 usd. The stop loss price from atr stop loss is 19,000. You calculate the distance in percent between 20,000 and 19,000. In this case, that distance would be of 5,0%. Then, you calculate your position by this way: (initial or current capital * risk per trade of your account) / (stop loss distance).
Using these values on the formula: (1000*2,5%)/(5,0%) = 500usd. It means, you have to use 500 usd for risking 2.5% of your account.
We will use this risk management for apply compound interest.
Script functions
Inside of settings, you will find some utilities for display atr stop loss, supertrend or positions.
You will find the settings for risk management at the end of the script if you want to change something. But rebember, do not change values from indicators, the idea is to not over optimize the strategy.
If you want to change the initial capital for backtest the strategy, go to properties, and also enter the commisions of your exchange and slippage for more realistic results.
Signals meanings:
L for long position. CL for close long position.
S for short position. CS for close short position.
Tp for take profit (it also appears when the position is closed due to stop loss, this due to the script uses two kind of positions)
Exit due to break even or due to stop loss
Some things to consider
USE UNDER YOUR OWN RISK. PAST RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT THE FUTURE.
DEPENDING OF % ACCOUNT RISK PER TRADE, YOU COULD REQUIRE LEVERAGE FOR OPEN SOME POSITIONS, SO PLEASE, BE CAREFULL AND USE CORRECTLY THE RISK MANAGEMENT
The amount of trades closed in the backtest are not exactly the real ones. If you want to know the real ones, go to settings and change % of trade for first take profit to 100 for getting the real ones. In the backtest, the real amount of opened trades was of 194.
Indicators used:
Supertrend
Atr stop loss by garethyeo
This is the fist strategy that I publish in tradingview, I will be glad with you for any suggestion, support or advice for future scripts. Do not doubt in make any question you have and if you liked this content, leave a boost. I plan to bring more strategies and useful content for you!
Optimized Heikin Ashi Strategy with Buy/Sell OptionsStrategy Name:
Optimized Heikin Ashi Strategy with Buy/Sell Options
Description:
The Optimized Heikin Ashi Strategy is a trend-following strategy designed to capitalize on market trends by utilizing the smoothness of Heikin Ashi candles. This strategy provides flexible options for trading, allowing users to choose between Buy Only (long-only), Sell Only (short-only), or using both in alternating conditions based on the Heikin Ashi candle signals. The strategy works on any market, but it performs especially well in markets where trends are prevalent, such as cryptocurrency or Forex.
This script offers customizable parameters for the backtest period, Heikin Ashi timeframe, stop loss, and take profit levels, allowing traders to optimize the strategy for their preferred markets or assets.
Key Features:
Trade Type Options:
Buy Only: Enter a long position when a green Heikin Ashi candle appears and exit when a red candle appears.
Sell Only: Enter a short position when a red Heikin Ashi candle appears and exit when a green candle appears.
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Customizable stop loss and take profit percentages allow for flexible risk management.
The default stop loss is set to 2%, and the default take profit is set to 4%, maintaining a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Heikin Ashi Timeframe:
Traders can select the desired timeframe for Heikin Ashi candle calculation (e.g., 4-hour Heikin Ashi candles for a 1-hour chart).
The strategy smooths out price action and reduces noise, providing clearer signals for entry and exit.
Inputs:
Backtest Start Date / End Date: Specify the period for testing the strategy’s performance.
Heikin Ashi Timeframe: Select the timeframe for Heikin Ashi candle generation. A higher timeframe helps smooth the trend, which is beneficial for trading lower timeframes.
Stop Loss (in %) and Take Profit (in %): Enable or disable stop loss and take profit, and adjust the levels based on market conditions.
Trade Type: Choose between Buy Only or Sell Only based on your market outlook and strategy preference.
Strategy Performance:
In testing with BTC/USD, this strategy performed well in a 4-hour Heikin Ashi timeframe applied on a 1-hour chart over a period from January 1, 2024, to September 12, 2024. The results were as follows:
Initial Capital: 1 USD
Order Size: 100% of equity
Net Profit: +30.74 USD (3,073.52% return)
Percent Profitable: 78.28% of trades were winners.
Profit Factor: 15.825, indicating that the strategy's profitable trades far outweighed its losses.
Max Drawdown: 4.21%, showing low risk exposure relative to the large profit potential.
This strategy is ideal for both beginner and advanced traders who are looking to follow trends and avoid market noise by using Heikin Ashi candles. It is also well-suited for traders who prefer automated risk management through the use of stop loss and take profit levels.
Recommended Use:
Best Markets: This strategy works well on trending markets like cryptocurrency, Forex, or indices.
Timeframes: Works best when applied to lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart) with a higher Heikin Ashi timeframe (e.g., 4-hour candles) to smooth out price action.
Leverage: The strategy performs well with leverage, but users should consider using 2x to 3x leverage to avoid excessive risk and potential liquidation. The strategy's low drawdown allows for moderate leverage use while maintaining risk control.
Customization: Traders can adjust the stop loss and take profit percentages based on their risk appetite and market conditions. A default setting of a 2% stop loss and 4% take profit provides a balanced risk/reward ratio.
Notes:
Risk Management: Traders should enable stop loss and take profit settings to maintain effective risk management and prevent large drawdowns during volatile market conditions.
Optimization: This strategy can be further optimized by adjusting the Heikin Ashi timeframe and risk parameters based on specific market conditions and assets.
Backtesting: The built-in backtesting functionality allows traders to test the strategy across different market conditions and historical data to ensure robustness before applying it to live trading.
How to Apply:
Select your preferred market and chart.
Choose the appropriate Heikin Ashi timeframe based on the chart's timeframe. (e.g., use 4-hour Heikin Ashi candles for 1-hour chart trends).
Adjust stop loss and take profit based on your risk management preference.
Run backtesting to evaluate its performance before applying it in live trading.
This strategy can be further modified and optimized based on personal trading style and market conditions. It’s important to monitor performance regularly and adjust settings as needed to align with market behavior.
Replica of TradingView's Backtesting Engine with ArraysHello everyone,
Here is a perfectly replicated TradingView backtesting engine condensed into a single library function calculated with arrays. It includes TradingView's calculations for Net profit, Total Trades, Percent of Trades Profitable, Profit Factor, Max Drawdown (absolute and percent), and Average Trade (absolute and percent). Here's how TradingView defines each aspect of its backtesting system:
Net Profit: The overall profit or loss achieved.
Total Trades: The total number of closed trades, winning and losing.
Percent Profitable: The percentage of winning trades, the number of winning trades divided by the total number of closed trades.
Profit Factor: The amount of money the strategy made for every unit of money it lost, gross profits divided by gross losses.
Max Drawdown: The greatest loss drawdown, i.e., the greatest possible loss the strategy had compared to its highest profits.
Average Trade: The sum of money gained or lost by the average trade, Net Profit divided by the overall number of closed trades.
Here's how each variable is defined in the library function:
_backtest(bool _enter, bool _exit, float _startQty, float _tradeQty)
bool _enter: When the strategy should enter a trade (entry condition)
bool _exit: When the strategy should exit a trade (exit condition)
float _startQty: The starting capital in the account (for BTCUSD, it is the amount of USD the account starts with)
float _tradeQty: The amount of capital traded (if set to 1000 on BTCUSD, it will trade 1000 USD on each trade)
Currently, this library only works with long strategies, and I've included a commented out section under DEMO STRATEGY where you can replicate my results with TradingView's backtesting engine. There's tons I could do with this beyond what is shown, but this was a project I worked on back in June of 2022 before getting burned out. Feel free to comment with any suggestions or bugs, and I'll try to add or fix them all soon. Here's my list of thing to add to the library currently (may not all be added):
Add commission calculations.
Add support for shorting
Add a graph that resembles TradingView's overview graph.
Clean and optimize code.
Clean up in a way that makes it easy to add other TradingView calculations (such as Sharpe and Sortino ratio).
Separate all variables, so they become accessible outside of calculations (such as gross profit, gross loss, number of winning trades, number of losing trades, etc.).
Thanks for reading,
OztheWoz
Customizable Non-Repainting HTF MACD MFI Scalper Bot Strategy v2Customizable Non-Repainting HTF MACD MFI Scalper Bot Strategy v2
This script was originally shared by Wunderbit as a free open source script for the community to work with. This is my second published iteration of this idea.
WHAT THIS SCRIPT DOES:
It is intended for use on an algorithmic bot trading platform but can be used for scalping and manual trading.
This strategy is based on the trend-following momentum indicator . It includes the Money Flow index as an additional point for entry.
This is a new and improved version geared for lower timeframes (15-5 minutes), but can be run on larger ones as well. I am testing it live as my high frequency trader.
HOW IT DOES IT:
It uses a combination of MACD and MFI indicators to create entry signals. Parameters for each indicator have been surfaced for user configurability.
Take profits are now trailing profits, and the stop loss is now fixed. Why? I found that the trailing stop loss with ATR in the previous version yields very good results for back tests but becomes very difficult to deploy live due to transaction fees. As you can see the average trade is a higher profit percentage than the previous version.
HOW IS MY VERSION ORIGINAL:
Now instead of using ATR stop loss, we have a fixed stop loss - counter intuitively to what some may believe this performs better in live trading scenarios since it gives the strategy room to move. I noticed that the ATR trailing stop was stopping out too fast and was eating away balance due to transaction fees.
The take profit on the other hand is now a trailing profit with a customizable deviation. This ensures that you can have a minimum profit you want to take in order to exit.
I have depracated the old ATR trailing stop as it became too confusing to have those as different options. I kept the old version for others that want to experiment with it. The source code still requires some cleanup, but its fully functional.
I added in a way to show RSI values and ATR values with a checkbox so that you can use the new an improved ATR Filter (and grab the right RSI values for the RSI filter). This will help to filter out times of very low volatility where we are unlikely to find a profitable trade. Use the "Show Data" checkbox to see what the values are on the indicator pane, then use those values to gauge what you want to filter out.
Both versions
Delayed Signals : The script has been refactored to use a time frame drop down. The higher time frame can be run on a faster chart (recommended on one minute chart for fastest signal confirmation and relay to algotrading platform.)
Repainting Issues : All indicators have been recoded to use the security function that checks to see if the current calculation is in realtime, if it is, then it uses the previous bar for calculation. If you are still experiencing repainting issues based on intended (or non intended use), please provide a report with screenshot and explanation so I can try to address.
Filtering : I have added to additional filters an ABOVE EMA Filter and a BELOW RSI Filter (both can be turned on and off)
Customizable Long and Close Messages : This allows someone to use the script for algorithmic trading without having to alter code. It also means you can use one indicator for all of your different alterts required for your bots.
HOW TO USE IT:
It is intended to be used in the 5-30 minute time frames, but you might be able to get a good configuration for higher time frames. I welcome feedback from other users on what they have found.
Find a pair with high volatility (example KUCOIN:ETH3LUSDT ) - I have found it works particularly well with 3L and 3S tokens for crypto. although it the limitation is that confrigurations I have found to work typically have low R/R ratio, but very high win rate and profit factor.
Ideally set one minute chart for bots, but you can use other charts for manual trading. The signal will be delayed by one bar but I have found configurations that still test well.
Select a time frame in configuration for your indicator calculations.
Select the strategy config for time frame (resolution). I like to use 5 and 15 minutes for scalping scenarios, but I am interested in hearing back from other community memebers.
Optimize your indicator without filters : customize your settings for MACD and MFI that are profitable with your chart and selected time frame calculation. Try different Take Profits (try about 2-5%) and stop loss (try about 5-8%). See if your back test is profitable and continue to optimize.
Use the Trend, RSI, ATR Filter to further refine your signals for entry. You will get less entries but you can increase your win ratio.
You can use the open and close messages for a platform integration, but I choose to set mine up on the destination platform and let the platform close it. With certain platforms you cannot be sure what your entry point actually was compared to Trading View due to slippage and timing, so I let the platform decide when it is actually profitable.
Limitations: this works rather well for short term, and does some good forward testing but back testing large data sets is a problem when switching from very small time frame to large time frame. For instance, finding a configuration that works on a one minute chart but then changing to a 1 hour chart means you lose some of your intra bar calclulations. There are some new features in pine script which might be able to address, this, but I have not had a chance to work on that issue.
Pinescript v4 - The Holy Grail (Trailing Stop)After studying several other scripts, I believe I have found the Holy Grail! (Or perhaps I've just found a bug with Tradingview's Pinescript v4 language) Anyhow, I'm publishing this script in the hope that someone smarter than myself could shed some light on the fact that adding a trailing stop to any strategy seems to make it miraculously...no that's an understatement...incredulously, stupendously, mind-bendingly profitable. I'm talking about INSANE profit factors, higher than 200x, with drawdowns of <10%. Sounds too good to be true? Maybe it is...or you could hook it up to your LIVE broker, and pray it doesn't explode. This is an upgraded version of my original Pin Bar Strategy.
Recommended Chart Settings:
Asset Class: Forex
Time Frame: H1
Long Entry Conditions:
a) Exponential Moving Average Fan up trend
b) Presence of a Bullish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces the Exponential Moving Average Fan
Short Entry Conditions:
a) Exponential Moving Average down trend
b) Presence of a Bearish Pin Bar
c) Pin Bar pierces the Exponential Moving Average Fan
Exit Conditions:
a) Trailing stop is hit
b) Moving Averages cross-back (optional)
c) It's the weekend
Default Robot Settings:
Equity Risk (%): 3 //how much account balance to risk per trade
Stop Loss (x*ATR, Float): 0.5 //stoploss = x * ATR, you can change x
Stop Loss Trail Points (Pips): 1 //the magic sauce, not sure how this works
Stop Loss Trail Offset (Pips): 1 //the magic sauce, not sure how this works
Slow SMA (Period): 50 //slow moving average period
Medium EMA (Period): 18 //medium exponential moving average period
Fast EMA (Period): 6 //fast exponential moving average period
ATR (Period): 14 // average true range period
Cancel Entry After X Bars (Period): 3 //cancel the order after x bars not triggered, you can change x
Backtest Results (2019 to 2020, H1, Default Settings):
AUDUSD - 1604% profit, 239.6 profit factor, 4.9% drawdown (INSANE)
NZDUSD - 1688.7% profit, 100.3 profit factor, 2.5% drawdown
GBPUSD - 1168.8% profit, 98.7 profit factor, 0% drawdown
USDJPY - 900.7% profit, 93.7 profit factor, 4.9% drawdown
USDCAD - 819% profit, 31.7 profit factor, 8.1% drawdown
EURUSD - 685.6% profit, 26.8 profit factor, 5.9% drawdown
USDCHF - 1008% profit, 18.7 profit factor, 8.6% drawdown
GBPJPY - 1173.4% profit, 16.1 profit factor, 7.9% drawdown
EURAUD - 613.3% profit, 14.4 profit factor, 9.8% drawdown
AUDJPY - 1619% profit, 11.26 profit factor, 9.1% drawdown
EURJPY - 897.2% profit, 6 profit factor, 13.8% drawdown
EURGBP - 608.9% profit, 5.3 profit factor, 9.8% drawdown (NOT TOO SHABBY)
As you can clearly see above, this forex robot is projected by the Tradingview backtester to be INSANELY profitable for all common forex pairs. So what was the difference between this strategy and my previous strategies? Check my code and look for "trail_points" and "trail_offset"; you can even look them up in the PineScript v4 documentation. They specify a trailing stop as the exit condition, which automatically closes the trade if price reverses against you.
I however suspect that the backtester is not properly calculating intra-bar price movement, and is using a simplified model. With this simplfied approach, the trailing stop code becomes some sort of "holy grail" generator, making every trade entered profitable.
Risk Warning:
This is a forex trading strategy that involves high risk of equity loss, and backtest performance will not equal future results. You agree to use this script at your own risk.
Hint:
To get more realistic results, and *maybe* overcome the intrabar simulation error, change the settings to: "Stop Loss Trail Points (pips)": 100
I am not sure if this eradicates the bug, but the entries and exits look more proper, and the profit factors are more believable.
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
Outsidebar vs Insidebar, Illusion Strategy (by ChartArt)WARNING: This strategy does not work! Please don't trade with this strategy
I'm sharing this strategy for the following three educational reasons:
1. You can easily find 100% strategies, but if they only seem to work 100% on one asset, they actually don't work at all. Therefore never backtest your strategy only on one asset, especially forward testing is useless, because it tends to repeat the old patterns. Your strategy has to work on as many different assets as possible.
2. The pyramiding of orders can have an impact on the strategy. In this case if you manually change the strategy settings by increasing it from 1 to 100 pyramiding orders changes the percent profitable on "UKOIL" monthly from 100% to 90% profitable. On other assets you can see very different results. Allowing much more pyramiding orders in this case results in opening orders where the background color highlights appear.
3. The Tradingview backtest beta version currently does not close the last open trade during the backtest. In this case going long on "UKOIL" near the top in 2011 as this strategy did would result in a big loss in 2015. But since the trade is still open and not canceled out by a new short order it still appears as if this strategy works 100% profitable. Which it doesn't.
