Pivot Regime Anchored VWAP [CHE] Pivot Regime Anchored VWAP — Detects body-based pivot regimes to classify swing highs and lows, anchoring volume-weighted average price lines directly at higher highs and lower lows for adaptive reference levels.
Summary
This indicator identifies shifts between top and bottom regimes through breakouts in candle body highs and lows, labeling swing points as higher highs, lower highs, lower lows, or higher lows. It then draws anchored volume-weighted average price lines starting from the most recent higher high and lower low, providing dynamic support and resistance that evolve with volume flow. These anchored lines differ from standard volume-weighted averages by resetting only at confirmed swing extremes, reducing noise in ranging markets while highlighting momentum shifts in trends.
Motivation: Why this design?
Traders often struggle with static reference lines that fail to adapt to changing market structures, leading to false breaks in volatile conditions or missed continuations in trends. By anchoring volume-weighted average price calculations to body pivot regimes—specifically at higher highs for resistance and lower lows for support—this design creates reference levels tied directly to price structure extremes. This approach addresses the problem of generic moving averages lagging behind swing confirmations, offering a more context-aware tool for intraday or swing trading.
What’s different vs. standard approaches?
- Baseline reference: Traditional volume-weighted average price indicators compute a running total from session start or fixed periods, often ignoring price structure.
- Architecture differences:
- Regime detection via body breakout logic switches between high and low focus dynamically.
- Anchoring limited to confirmed higher highs and lower lows, with historical recalculation for accurate line drawing.
- Polyline rendering rebuilds only on the last bar to manage performance.
- Practical effect: Charts show fewer, more meaningful lines that start at swing points, making it easier to spot confluences with structure breaks rather than cluttered overlays from continuous calculations.
How it works (technical)
The indicator first calculates the maximum and minimum of each candle's open and close to define body highs and lows. It then scans a lookback window for the highest body high and lowest body low. A top regime triggers when the body high from the lookback period exceeds the window's highest, and a bottom regime when the body low falls below the window's lowest. These regime shifts confirm pivots only when crossing from one state to the other.
For top pivots, it compares the new body high against the previous swing high: if greater, it marks a higher high and anchors a new line; otherwise, a lower high. The same logic applies inversely for bottom pivots. Anchored lines use cumulative price-volume products and volumes from the anchor bar onward, subtracting prior cumulatives to isolate the segment. On pivot confirmation, it loops backward from the current bar to the anchor, computing and storing points for the line. New points append as bars advance, ensuring the line reflects ongoing volume weighting.
Initialization uses persistent variables to track the last swing values and anchor bars, starting with neutral states. Data flows from regime detection to pivot classification, then to anchoring and point accumulation, with lines rendered globally on the final bar.
Parameter Guide
Pivot Length — Controls the lookback window for detecting body breakouts, influencing pivot frequency and sensitivity to recent action. Shorter values catch more pivots in choppy conditions; longer smooths for major swings. Default: 30 (bars). Trade-offs/Tips: Min 1; for intraday, try 10–20 to reduce lag but watch for noise; on daily, 50+ for stability.
Show Pivot Labels — Toggles display of text markers at swing points, aiding quick identification of higher highs, lower highs, lower lows, or higher lows. Default: true. Trade-offs/Tips: Disable in multi-indicator setups to declutter; useful for backtesting structure.
HH Color — Sets the line and label color for higher high anchored lines, distinguishing resistance levels. Default: Red (solid). Trade-offs/Tips: Choose contrasting hues for dark/light themes; pair with opacity for fills if added later.
LL Color — Sets the line and label color for lower low anchored lines, distinguishing support levels. Default: Lime (solid). Trade-offs/Tips: As above; green shades work well for bullish contexts without overpowering candles.
Reading & Interpretation
Higher high labels and red lines indicate potential resistance zones where volume weighting begins at a new swing top, suggesting sellers may defend prior highs. Lower low labels and lime lines mark support from a fresh swing bottom, with the line's slope reflecting buyer commitment via volume. Lower highs or higher lows appear as labels without new anchors, signaling possible range-bound action. Line proximity to price shows overextension; crosses may hint at regime shifts, but confirm with volume spikes.
Practical Workflows & Combinations
- Trend following: Enter longs above a rising lower low anchored line after higher low confirmation; filter with rising higher highs for uptrends. Use line breaks as trailing stops.
- Exits/Stops: In downtrends, exit shorts below a higher high line; set aggressive stops above it for scalps, conservative below for swings. Pair with momentum oscillators for divergence.
- Multi-asset/Multi-TF: Defaults suit forex/stocks on 1H–4H; on crypto 15M, shorten length to 15. Scale colors for dark themes; combine with higher timeframe anchors for confluence.
Behavior, Constraints & Performance
Closed-bar logic ensures pivots confirm after the lookback period, with no repainting on historical bars—live bars may adjust until regime shift. No higher timeframe calls, so minimal repaint risk beyond standard delays. Resources include a 2000-bar history limit, label/polyline caps at 200/50, and loops for historical point filling (up to current bar count from anchor, typically under 500 iterations). Known limits: In extreme gaps or low-volume periods, anchors may skew; lines absent until first pivots.
Sensible Defaults & Quick Tuning
Start with the 30-bar length for balanced pivot detection across most assets. For too-frequent pivots in ranges, increase to 50 for fewer signals. If lines lag in trends, reduce to 20 and enable labels for visual cues. In low-volatility assets, widen color contrasts; test on 100-bar history to verify stability.
What this indicator is—and isn’t
This is a structure-aware visualization layer for anchoring volume-weighted references at swing extremes, enhancing manual analysis of regimes and levels. It is not a standalone signal generator or predictive model—always integrate with broader context like order flow or news. Use alongside risk management and position sizing, not as isolated buy/sell triggers.
Many thanks to LuxAlgo for the original script "McDonald's Pattern ". The implementation for body pivots instead of wicks uses a = max(open, close), b = min(open, close) and then highest(a, length) / lowest(b, length). This filters noise from the wicks and detects breakouts over/under bodies. Unusual and targeted, super innovative.
Disclaimer
The content provided, including all code and materials, is strictly for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as, and should not be interpreted as, financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or an offer of any financial product or service. All strategies, tools, and examples discussed are provided for illustrative purposes to demonstrate coding techniques and the functionality of Pine Script within a trading context.
Any results from strategies or tools provided are hypothetical, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve high risk, including the potential loss of principal, and may not be suitable for all individuals. Before making any trading decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional to understand the risks involved.
By using this script, you acknowledge and agree that any trading decisions are made solely at your discretion and risk.
Do not use this indicator on Heikin-Ashi, Renko, Kagi, Point-and-Figure, or Range charts, as these chart types can produce unrealistic results for signal markers and alerts.
Best regards and happy trading
Chervolino
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Dynamic Equity Allocation Model"Cash is Trash"? Not Always. Here's Why Science Beats Guesswork.
Every retail trader knows the frustration: you draw support and resistance lines, you spot patterns, you follow market gurus on social media—and still, when the next bear market hits, your portfolio bleeds red. Meanwhile, institutional investors seem to navigate market turbulence with ease, preserving capital when markets crash and participating when they rally. What's their secret?
The answer isn't insider information or access to exotic derivatives. It's systematic, scientifically validated decision-making. While most retail traders rely on subjective chart analysis and emotional reactions, professional portfolio managers use quantitative models that remove emotion from the equation and process multiple streams of market information simultaneously.
This document presents exactly such a system—not a proprietary black box available only to hedge funds, but a fully transparent, academically grounded framework that any serious investor can understand and apply. The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model (DEAM) synthesizes decades of financial research from Nobel laureates and leading academics into a practical tool for tactical asset allocation.
Stop drawing colorful lines on your chart and start thinking like a quant. This isn't about predicting where the market goes next week—it's about systematically adjusting your risk exposure based on what the data actually tells you. When valuations scream danger, when volatility spikes, when credit markets freeze, when multiple warning signals align—that's when cash isn't trash. That's when cash saves your portfolio.
The irony of "cash is trash" rhetoric is that it ignores timing. Yes, being 100% cash for decades would be disastrous. But being 100% equities through every crisis is equally foolish. The sophisticated approach is dynamic: aggressive when conditions favor risk-taking, defensive when they don't. This model shows you how to make that decision systematically, not emotionally.
Whether you're managing your own retirement portfolio or seeking to understand how institutional allocation strategies work, this comprehensive analysis provides the theoretical foundation, mathematical implementation, and practical guidance to elevate your investment approach from amateur to professional.
The choice is yours: keep hoping your chart patterns work out, or start using the same quantitative methods that professionals rely on. The tools are here. The research is cited. The methodology is explained. All you need to do is read, understand, and apply.
The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model (DEAM) is a quantitative framework for systematic allocation between equities and cash, grounded in modern portfolio theory and empirical market research. The model integrates five scientifically validated dimensions of market analysis—market regime, risk metrics, valuation, sentiment, and macroeconomic conditions—to generate dynamic allocation recommendations ranging from 0% to 100% equity exposure. This work documents the theoretical foundations, mathematical implementation, and practical application of this multi-factor approach.
1. Introduction and Theoretical Background
1.1 The Limitations of Static Portfolio Allocation
Traditional portfolio theory, as formulated by Markowitz (1952) in his seminal work "Portfolio Selection," assumes an optimal static allocation where investors distribute their wealth across asset classes according to their risk aversion. This approach rests on the assumption that returns and risks remain constant over time. However, empirical research demonstrates that this assumption does not hold in reality. Fama and French (1989) showed that expected returns vary over time and correlate with macroeconomic variables such as the spread between long-term and short-term interest rates. Campbell and Shiller (1988) demonstrated that the price-earnings ratio possesses predictive power for future stock returns, providing a foundation for dynamic allocation strategies.
The academic literature on tactical asset allocation has evolved considerably over recent decades. Ilmanen (2011) argues in "Expected Returns" that investors can improve their risk-adjusted returns by considering valuation levels, business cycles, and market sentiment. The Dynamic Equity Allocation Model presented here builds on this research tradition and operationalizes these insights into a practically applicable allocation framework.
1.2 Multi-Factor Approaches in Asset Allocation
Modern financial research has shown that different factors capture distinct aspects of market dynamics and together provide a more robust picture of market conditions than individual indicators. Ross (1976) developed the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, a model that employs multiple factors to explain security returns. Following this multi-factor philosophy, DEAM integrates five complementary analytical dimensions, each tapping different information sources and collectively enabling comprehensive market understanding.
2. Data Foundation and Data Quality
2.1 Data Sources Used
The model draws its data exclusively from publicly available market data via the TradingView platform. This transparency and accessibility is a significant advantage over proprietary models that rely on non-public data. The data foundation encompasses several categories of market information, each capturing specific aspects of market dynamics.
First, price data for the S&P 500 Index is obtained through the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (ticker: SPY). The use of a highly liquid ETF instead of the index itself has practical reasons, as ETF data is available in real-time and reflects actual tradability. In addition to closing prices, high, low, and volume data are captured, which are required for calculating advanced volatility measures.
Fundamental corporate metrics are retrieved via TradingView's Financial Data API. These include earnings per share, price-to-earnings ratio, return on equity, debt-to-equity ratio, dividend yield, and share buyback yield. Cochrane (2011) emphasizes in "Presidential Address: Discount Rates" the central importance of valuation metrics for forecasting future returns, making these fundamental data a cornerstone of the model.
Volatility indicators are represented by the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) and related metrics. The VIX, often referred to as the market's "fear gauge," measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options and serves as a proxy for market participants' risk perception. Whaley (2000) describes in "The Investor Fear Gauge" the construction and interpretation of the VIX and its use as a sentiment indicator.
Macroeconomic data includes yield curve information through US Treasury bonds of various maturities and credit risk premiums through the spread between high-yield bonds and risk-free government bonds. These variables capture the macroeconomic conditions and financing conditions relevant for equity valuation. Estrella and Hardouvelis (1991) showed that the shape of the yield curve has predictive power for future economic activity, justifying the inclusion of these data.
2.2 Handling Missing Data
A practical problem when working with financial data is dealing with missing or unavailable values. The model implements a fallback system where a plausible historical average value is stored for each fundamental metric. When current data is unavailable for a specific point in time, this fallback value is used. This approach ensures that the model remains functional even during temporary data outages and avoids systematic biases from missing data. The use of average values as fallback is conservative, as it generates neither overly optimistic nor pessimistic signals.
3. Component 1: Market Regime Detection
3.1 The Concept of Market Regimes
The idea that financial markets exist in different "regimes" or states that differ in their statistical properties has a long tradition in financial science. Hamilton (1989) developed regime-switching models that allow distinguishing between different market states with different return and volatility characteristics. The practical application of this theory consists of identifying the current market state and adjusting portfolio allocation accordingly.
DEAM classifies market regimes using a scoring system that considers three main dimensions: trend strength, volatility level, and drawdown depth. This multidimensional view is more robust than focusing on individual indicators, as it captures various facets of market dynamics. Classification occurs into six distinct regimes: Strong Bull, Bull Market, Neutral, Correction, Bear Market, and Crisis.
3.2 Trend Analysis Through Moving Averages
Moving averages are among the oldest and most widely used technical indicators and have also received attention in academic literature. Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) examined in "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns" the profitability of trading rules based on moving averages and found evidence for their predictive power, although later studies questioned the robustness of these results when considering transaction costs.
The model calculates three moving averages with different time windows: a 20-day average (approximately one trading month), a 50-day average (approximately one quarter), and a 200-day average (approximately one trading year). The relationship of the current price to these averages and the relationship of the averages to each other provide information about trend strength and direction. When the price trades above all three averages and the short-term average is above the long-term, this indicates an established uptrend. The model assigns points based on these constellations, with longer-term trends weighted more heavily as they are considered more persistent.
3.3 Volatility Regimes
Volatility, understood as the standard deviation of returns, is a central concept of financial theory and serves as the primary risk measure. However, research has shown that volatility is not constant but changes over time and occurs in clusters—a phenomenon first documented by Mandelbrot (1963) and later formalized through ARCH and GARCH models (Engle, 1982; Bollerslev, 1986).
DEAM calculates volatility not only through the classic method of return standard deviation but also uses more advanced estimators such as the Parkinson estimator and the Garman-Klass estimator. These methods utilize intraday information (high and low prices) and are more efficient than simple close-to-close volatility estimators. The Parkinson estimator (Parkinson, 1980) uses the range between high and low of a trading day and is based on the recognition that this information reveals more about true volatility than just the closing price difference. The Garman-Klass estimator (Garman and Klass, 1980) extends this approach by additionally considering opening and closing prices.
The calculated volatility is annualized by multiplying it by the square root of 252 (the average number of trading days per year), enabling standardized comparability. The model compares current volatility with the VIX, the implied volatility from option prices. A low VIX (below 15) signals market comfort and increases the regime score, while a high VIX (above 35) indicates market stress and reduces the score. This interpretation follows the empirical observation that elevated volatility is typically associated with falling markets (Schwert, 1989).
3.4 Drawdown Analysis
A drawdown refers to the percentage decline from the highest point (peak) to the lowest point (trough) during a specific period. This metric is psychologically significant for investors as it represents the maximum loss experienced. Calmar (1991) developed the Calmar Ratio, which relates return to maximum drawdown, underscoring the practical relevance of this metric.
The model calculates current drawdown as the percentage distance from the highest price of the last 252 trading days (one year). A drawdown below 3% is considered negligible and maximally increases the regime score. As drawdown increases, the score decreases progressively, with drawdowns above 20% classified as severe and indicating a crisis or bear market regime. These thresholds are empirically motivated by historical market cycles, in which corrections typically encompassed 5-10% drawdowns, bear markets 20-30%, and crises over 30%.
3.5 Regime Classification
Final regime classification occurs through aggregation of scores from trend (40% weight), volatility (30%), and drawdown (30%). The higher weighting of trend reflects the empirical observation that trend-following strategies have historically delivered robust results (Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, 2012). A total score above 80 signals a strong bull market with established uptrend, low volatility, and minimal losses. At a score below 10, a crisis situation exists requiring defensive positioning. The six regime categories enable a differentiated allocation strategy that not only distinguishes binarily between bullish and bearish but allows gradual gradations.
4. Component 2: Risk-Based Allocation
4.1 Volatility Targeting as Risk Management Approach
The concept of volatility targeting is based on the idea that investors should maximize not returns but risk-adjusted returns. Sharpe (1966, 1994) defined with the Sharpe Ratio the fundamental concept of return per unit of risk, measured as volatility. Volatility targeting goes a step further and adjusts portfolio allocation to achieve constant target volatility. This means that in times of low market volatility, equity allocation is increased, and in times of high volatility, it is reduced.
Moreira and Muir (2017) showed in "Volatility-Managed Portfolios" that strategies that adjust their exposure based on volatility forecasts achieve higher Sharpe Ratios than passive buy-and-hold strategies. DEAM implements this principle by defining a target portfolio volatility (default 12% annualized) and adjusting equity allocation to achieve it. The mathematical foundation is simple: if market volatility is 20% and target volatility is 12%, equity allocation should be 60% (12/20 = 0.6), with the remaining 40% held in cash with zero volatility.
4.2 Market Volatility Calculation
Estimating current market volatility is central to the risk-based allocation approach. The model uses several volatility estimators in parallel and selects the higher value between traditional close-to-close volatility and the Parkinson estimator. This conservative choice ensures the model does not underestimate true volatility, which could lead to excessive risk exposure.
Traditional volatility calculation uses logarithmic returns, as these have mathematically advantageous properties (additive linkage over multiple periods). The logarithmic return is calculated as ln(P_t / P_{t-1}), where P_t is the price at time t. The standard deviation of these returns over a rolling 20-trading-day window is then multiplied by √252 to obtain annualized volatility. This annualization is based on the assumption of independently identically distributed returns, which is an idealization but widely accepted in practice.
The Parkinson estimator uses additional information from the trading range (High minus Low) of each day. The formula is: σ_P = (1/√(4ln2)) × √(1/n × Σln²(H_i/L_i)) × √252, where H_i and L_i are high and low prices. Under ideal conditions, this estimator is approximately five times more efficient than the close-to-close estimator (Parkinson, 1980), as it uses more information per observation.
4.3 Drawdown-Based Position Size Adjustment
In addition to volatility targeting, the model implements drawdown-based risk control. The logic is that deep market declines often signal further losses and therefore justify exposure reduction. This behavior corresponds with the concept of path-dependent risk tolerance: investors who have already suffered losses are typically less willing to take additional risk (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979).
The model defines a maximum portfolio drawdown as a target parameter (default 15%). Since portfolio volatility and portfolio drawdown are proportional to equity allocation (assuming cash has neither volatility nor drawdown), allocation-based control is possible. For example, if the market exhibits a 25% drawdown and target portfolio drawdown is 15%, equity allocation should be at most 60% (15/25).
4.4 Dynamic Risk Adjustment
An advanced feature of DEAM is dynamic adjustment of risk-based allocation through a feedback mechanism. The model continuously estimates what actual portfolio volatility and portfolio drawdown would result at the current allocation. If risk utilization (ratio of actual to target risk) exceeds 1.0, allocation is reduced by an adjustment factor that grows exponentially with overutilization. This implements a form of dynamic feedback that avoids overexposure.
Mathematically, a risk adjustment factor r_adjust is calculated: if risk utilization u > 1, then r_adjust = exp(-0.5 × (u - 1)). This exponential function ensures that moderate overutilization is gently corrected, while strong overutilization triggers drastic reductions. The factor 0.5 in the exponent was empirically calibrated to achieve a balanced ratio between sensitivity and stability.
5. Component 3: Valuation Analysis
5.1 Theoretical Foundations of Fundamental Valuation
DEAM's valuation component is based on the fundamental premise that the intrinsic value of a security is determined by its future cash flows and that deviations between market price and intrinsic value are eventually corrected. Graham and Dodd (1934) established in "Security Analysis" the basic principles of fundamental analysis that remain relevant today. Translated into modern portfolio context, this means that markets with high valuation metrics (high price-earnings ratios) should have lower expected returns than cheaply valued markets.
Campbell and Shiller (1988) developed the Cyclically Adjusted P/E Ratio (CAPE), which smooths earnings over a full business cycle. Their empirical analysis showed that this ratio has significant predictive power for 10-year returns. Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013) demonstrated in "Value and Momentum Everywhere" that value effects exist not only in individual stocks but also in asset classes and markets.
5.2 Equity Risk Premium as Central Valuation Metric
The Equity Risk Premium (ERP) is defined as the expected excess return of stocks over risk-free government bonds. It is the theoretical heart of valuation analysis, as it represents the compensation investors demand for bearing equity risk. Damodaran (2012) discusses in "Equity Risk Premiums: Determinants, Estimation and Implications" various methods for ERP estimation.
DEAM calculates ERP not through a single method but combines four complementary approaches with different weights. This multi-method strategy increases estimation robustness and avoids dependence on single, potentially erroneous inputs.
The first method (35% weight) uses earnings yield, calculated as 1/P/E or directly from operating earnings data, and subtracts the 10-year Treasury yield. This method follows Fed Model logic (Yardeni, 2003), although this model has theoretical weaknesses as it does not consistently treat inflation (Asness, 2003).
The second method (30% weight) extends earnings yield by share buyback yield. Share buybacks are a form of capital return to shareholders and increase value per share. Boudoukh et al. (2007) showed in "The Total Shareholder Yield" that the sum of dividend yield and buyback yield is a better predictor of future returns than dividend yield alone.
The third method (20% weight) implements the Gordon Growth Model (Gordon, 1962), which models stock value as the sum of discounted future dividends. Under constant growth g assumption: Expected Return = Dividend Yield + g. The model estimates sustainable growth as g = ROE × (1 - Payout Ratio), where ROE is return on equity and payout ratio is the ratio of dividends to earnings. This formula follows from equity theory: unretained earnings are reinvested at ROE and generate additional earnings growth.
The fourth method (15% weight) combines total shareholder yield (Dividend + Buybacks) with implied growth derived from revenue growth. This method considers that companies with strong revenue growth should generate higher future earnings, even if current valuations do not yet fully reflect this.
The final ERP is the weighted average of these four methods. A high ERP (above 4%) signals attractive valuations and increases the valuation score to 95 out of 100 possible points. A negative ERP, where stocks have lower expected returns than bonds, results in a minimal score of 10.
5.3 Quality Adjustments to Valuation
Valuation metrics alone can be misleading if not interpreted in the context of company quality. A company with a low P/E may be cheap or fundamentally problematic. The model therefore implements quality adjustments based on growth, profitability, and capital structure.
Revenue growth above 10% annually adds 10 points to the valuation score, moderate growth above 5% adds 5 points. This adjustment reflects that growth has independent value (Modigliani and Miller, 1961, extended by later growth theory). Net margin above 15% signals pricing power and operational efficiency and increases the score by 5 points, while low margins below 8% indicate competitive pressure and subtract 5 points.
Return on equity (ROE) above 20% characterizes outstanding capital efficiency and increases the score by 5 points. Piotroski (2000) showed in "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information" that fundamental quality signals such as high ROE can improve the performance of value strategies.
Capital structure is evaluated through the debt-to-equity ratio. A conservative ratio below 1.0 multiplies the valuation score by 1.2, while high leverage above 2.0 applies a multiplier of 0.8. This adjustment reflects that high debt constrains financial flexibility and can become problematic in crisis times (Korteweg, 2010).
6. Component 4: Sentiment Analysis
6.1 The Role of Sentiment in Financial Markets
Investor sentiment, defined as the collective psychological attitude of market participants, influences asset prices independently of fundamental data. Baker and Wurgler (2006, 2007) developed a sentiment index and showed that periods of high sentiment are followed by overvaluations that later correct. This insight justifies integrating a sentiment component into allocation decisions.
Sentiment is difficult to measure directly but can be proxied through market indicators. The VIX is the most widely used sentiment indicator, as it aggregates implied volatility from option prices. High VIX values reflect elevated uncertainty and risk aversion, while low values signal market comfort. Whaley (2009) refers to the VIX as the "Investor Fear Gauge" and documents its role as a contrarian indicator: extremely high values typically occur at market bottoms, while low values occur at tops.
6.2 VIX-Based Sentiment Assessment
DEAM uses statistical normalization of the VIX by calculating the Z-score: z = (VIX_current - VIX_average) / VIX_standard_deviation. The Z-score indicates how many standard deviations the current VIX is from the historical average. This approach is more robust than absolute thresholds, as it adapts to the average volatility level, which can vary over longer periods.
A Z-score below -1.5 (VIX is 1.5 standard deviations below average) signals exceptionally low risk perception and adds 40 points to the sentiment score. This may seem counterintuitive—shouldn't low fear be bullish? However, the logic follows the contrarian principle: when no one is afraid, everyone is already invested, and there is limited further upside potential (Zweig, 1973). Conversely, a Z-score above 1.5 (extreme fear) adds -40 points, reflecting market panic but simultaneously suggesting potential buying opportunities.
6.3 VIX Term Structure as Sentiment Signal
The VIX term structure provides additional sentiment information. Normally, the VIX trades in contango, meaning longer-term VIX futures have higher prices than short-term. This reflects that short-term volatility is currently known, while long-term volatility is more uncertain and carries a risk premium. The model compares the VIX with VIX9D (9-day volatility) and identifies backwardation (VIX > 1.05 × VIX9D) and steep backwardation (VIX > 1.15 × VIX9D).
Backwardation occurs when short-term implied volatility is higher than longer-term, which typically happens during market stress. Investors anticipate immediate turbulence but expect calming. Psychologically, this reflects acute fear. The model subtracts 15 points for backwardation and 30 for steep backwardation, as these constellations signal elevated risk. Simon and Wiggins (2001) analyzed the VIX futures curve and showed that backwardation is associated with market declines.
6.4 Safe-Haven Flows
During crisis times, investors flee from risky assets into safe havens: gold, US dollar, and Japanese yen. This "flight to quality" is a sentiment signal. The model calculates the performance of these assets relative to stocks over the last 20 trading days. When gold or the dollar strongly rise while stocks fall, this indicates elevated risk aversion.
The safe-haven component is calculated as the difference between safe-haven performance and stock performance. Positive values (safe havens outperform) subtract up to 20 points from the sentiment score, negative values (stocks outperform) add up to 10 points. The asymmetric treatment (larger deduction for risk-off than bonus for risk-on) reflects that risk-off movements are typically sharper and more informative than risk-on phases.
Baur and Lucey (2010) examined safe-haven properties of gold and showed that gold indeed exhibits negative correlation with stocks during extreme market movements, confirming its role as crisis protection.
7. Component 5: Macroeconomic Analysis
7.1 The Yield Curve as Economic Indicator
The yield curve, represented as yields of government bonds of various maturities, contains aggregated expectations about future interest rates, inflation, and economic growth. The slope of the yield curve has remarkable predictive power for recessions. Estrella and Mishkin (1998) showed that an inverted yield curve (short-term rates higher than long-term) predicts recessions with high reliability. This is because inverted curves reflect restrictive monetary policy: the central bank raises short-term rates to combat inflation, dampening economic activity.
DEAM calculates two spread measures: the 2-year-minus-10-year spread and the 3-month-minus-10-year spread. A steep, positive curve (spreads above 1.5% and 2% respectively) signals healthy growth expectations and generates the maximum yield curve score of 40 points. A flat curve (spreads near zero) reduces the score to 20 points. An inverted curve (negative spreads) is particularly alarming and results in only 10 points.
The choice of two different spreads increases analysis robustness. The 2-10 spread is most established in academic literature, while the 3M-10Y spread is often considered more sensitive, as the 3-month rate directly reflects current monetary policy (Ang, Piazzesi, and Wei, 2006).
7.2 Credit Conditions and Spreads
Credit spreads—the yield difference between risky corporate bonds and safe government bonds—reflect risk perception in the credit market. Gilchrist and Zakrajšek (2012) constructed an "Excess Bond Premium" that measures the component of credit spreads not explained by fundamentals and showed this is a predictor of future economic activity and stock returns.
The model approximates credit spread by comparing the yield of high-yield bond ETFs (HYG) with investment-grade bond ETFs (LQD). A narrow spread below 200 basis points signals healthy credit conditions and risk appetite, contributing 30 points to the macro score. Very wide spreads above 1000 basis points (as during the 2008 financial crisis) signal credit crunch and generate zero points.
Additionally, the model evaluates whether "flight to quality" is occurring, identified through strong performance of Treasury bonds (TLT) with simultaneous weakness in high-yield bonds. This constellation indicates elevated risk aversion and reduces the credit conditions score.
7.3 Financial Stability at Corporate Level
While the yield curve and credit spreads reflect macroeconomic conditions, financial stability evaluates the health of companies themselves. The model uses the aggregated debt-to-equity ratio and return on equity of the S&P 500 as proxies for corporate health.
A low leverage level below 0.5 combined with high ROE above 15% signals robust corporate balance sheets and generates 20 points. This combination is particularly valuable as it represents both defensive strength (low debt means crisis resistance) and offensive strength (high ROE means earnings power). High leverage above 1.5 generates only 5 points, as it implies vulnerability to interest rate increases and recessions.
Korteweg (2010) showed in "The Net Benefits to Leverage" that optimal debt maximizes firm value, but excessive debt increases distress costs. At the aggregated market level, high debt indicates fragilities that can become problematic during stress phases.
8. Component 6: Crisis Detection
8.1 The Need for Systematic Crisis Detection
Financial crises are rare but extremely impactful events that suspend normal statistical relationships. During normal market volatility, diversified portfolios and traditional risk management approaches function, but during systemic crises, seemingly independent assets suddenly correlate strongly, and losses exceed historical expectations (Longin and Solnik, 2001). This justifies a separate crisis detection mechanism that operates independently of regular allocation components.
Reinhart and Rogoff (2009) documented in "This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly" recurring patterns in financial crises: extreme volatility, massive drawdowns, credit market dysfunction, and asset price collapse. DEAM operationalizes these patterns into quantifiable crisis indicators.
8.2 Multi-Signal Crisis Identification
The model uses a counter-based approach where various stress signals are identified and aggregated. This methodology is more robust than relying on a single indicator, as true crises typically occur simultaneously across multiple dimensions. A single signal may be a false alarm, but the simultaneous presence of multiple signals increases confidence.
The first indicator is a VIX above the crisis threshold (default 40), adding one point. A VIX above 60 (as in 2008 and March 2020) adds two additional points, as such extreme values are historically very rare. This tiered approach captures the intensity of volatility.
The second indicator is market drawdown. A drawdown above 15% adds one point, as corrections of this magnitude can be potential harbingers of larger crises. A drawdown above 25% adds another point, as historical bear markets typically encompass 25-40% drawdowns.
The third indicator is credit market spreads above 500 basis points, adding one point. Such wide spreads occur only during significant credit market disruptions, as in 2008 during the Lehman crisis.
The fourth indicator identifies simultaneous losses in stocks and bonds. Normally, Treasury bonds act as a hedge against equity risk (negative correlation), but when both fall simultaneously, this indicates systemic liquidity problems or inflation/stagflation fears. The model checks whether both SPY and TLT have fallen more than 10% and 5% respectively over 5 trading days, adding two points.
The fifth indicator is a volume spike combined with negative returns. Extreme trading volumes (above twice the 20-day average) with falling prices signal panic selling. This adds one point.
A crisis situation is diagnosed when at least 3 indicators trigger, a severe crisis at 5 or more indicators. These thresholds were calibrated through historical backtesting to identify true crises (2008, 2020) without generating excessive false alarms.
8.3 Crisis-Based Allocation Override
When a crisis is detected, the system overrides the normal allocation recommendation and caps equity allocation at maximum 25%. In a severe crisis, the cap is set at 10%. This drastic defensive posture follows the empirical observation that crises typically require time to develop and that early reduction can avoid substantial losses (Faber, 2007).
This override logic implements a "safety first" principle: in situations of existential danger to the portfolio, capital preservation becomes the top priority. Roy (1952) formalized this approach in "Safety First and the Holding of Assets," arguing that investors should primarily minimize ruin probability.
9. Integration and Final Allocation Calculation
9.1 Component Weighting
The final allocation recommendation emerges through weighted aggregation of the five components. The standard weighting is: Market Regime 35%, Risk Management 25%, Valuation 20%, Sentiment 15%, Macro 5%. These weights reflect both theoretical considerations and empirical backtesting results.
The highest weighting of market regime is based on evidence that trend-following and momentum strategies have delivered robust results across various asset classes and time periods (Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen, 2012). Current market momentum is highly informative for the near future, although it provides no information about long-term expectations.
The substantial weighting of risk management (25%) follows from the central importance of risk control. Wealth preservation is the foundation of long-term wealth creation, and systematic risk management is demonstrably value-creating (Moreira and Muir, 2017).
The valuation component receives 20% weight, based on the long-term mean reversion of valuation metrics. While valuation has limited short-term predictive power (bull and bear markets can begin at any valuation), the long-term relationship between valuation and returns is robustly documented (Campbell and Shiller, 1988).
Sentiment (15%) and Macro (5%) receive lower weights, as these factors are subtler and harder to measure. Sentiment is valuable as a contrarian indicator at extremes but less informative in normal ranges. Macro variables such as the yield curve have strong predictive power for recessions, but the transmission from recessions to stock market performance is complex and temporally variable.
9.2 Model Type Adjustments
DEAM allows users to choose between four model types: Conservative, Balanced, Aggressive, and Adaptive. This choice modifies the final allocation through additive adjustments.
Conservative mode subtracts 10 percentage points from allocation, resulting in consistently more cautious positioning. This is suitable for risk-averse investors or those with limited investment horizons. Aggressive mode adds 10 percentage points, suitable for risk-tolerant investors with long horizons.
Adaptive mode implements procyclical adjustment based on short-term momentum: if the market has risen more than 5% in the last 20 days, 5 percentage points are added; if it has declined more than 5%, 5 points are subtracted. This logic follows the observation that short-term momentum persists (Jegadeesh and Titman, 1993), but the moderate size of adjustment avoids excessive timing bets.
Balanced mode makes no adjustment and uses raw model output. This neutral setting is suitable for investors who wish to trust model recommendations unchanged.
9.3 Smoothing and Stability
The allocation resulting from aggregation undergoes final smoothing through a simple moving average over 3 periods. This smoothing is crucial for model practicality, as it reduces frequent trading and thus transaction costs. Without smoothing, the model could fluctuate between adjacent allocations with every small input change.
The choice of 3 periods as smoothing window is a compromise between responsiveness and stability. Longer smoothing would excessively delay signals and impede response to true regime changes. Shorter or no smoothing would allow too much noise. Empirical tests showed that 3-period smoothing offers an optimal ratio between these goals.
10. Visualization and Interpretation
10.1 Main Output: Equity Allocation
DEAM's primary output is a time series from 0 to 100 representing the recommended percentage allocation to equities. This representation is intuitive: 100% means full investment in stocks (specifically: an S&P 500 ETF), 0% means complete cash position, and intermediate values correspond to mixed portfolios. A value of 60% means, for example: invest 60% of wealth in SPY, hold 40% in money market instruments or cash.
The time series is color-coded to enable quick visual interpretation. Green shades represent high allocations (above 80%, bullish), red shades low allocations (below 20%, bearish), and neutral colors middle allocations. The chart background is dynamically colored based on the signal, enhancing readability in different market phases.
10.2 Dashboard Metrics
A tabular dashboard presents key metrics compactly. This includes current allocation, cash allocation (complement), an aggregated signal (BULLISH/NEUTRAL/BEARISH), current market regime, VIX level, market drawdown, and crisis status.
Additionally, fundamental metrics are displayed: P/E Ratio, Equity Risk Premium, Return on Equity, Debt-to-Equity Ratio, and Total Shareholder Yield. This transparency allows users to understand model decisions and form their own assessments.
Component scores (Regime, Risk, Valuation, Sentiment, Macro) are also displayed, each normalized on a 0-100 scale. This shows which factors primarily drive the current recommendation. If, for example, the Risk score is very low (20) while other scores are moderate (50-60), this indicates that risk management considerations are pulling allocation down.
10.3 Component Breakdown (Optional)
Advanced users can display individual components as separate lines in the chart. This enables analysis of component dynamics: do all components move synchronously, or are there divergences? Divergences can be particularly informative. If, for example, the market regime is bullish (high score) but the valuation component is very negative, this signals an overbought market not fundamentally supported—a classic "bubble warning."
This feature is disabled by default to keep the chart clean but can be activated for deeper analysis.
10.4 Confidence Bands
The model optionally displays uncertainty bands around the main allocation line. These are calculated as ±1 standard deviation of allocation over a rolling 20-period window. Wide bands indicate high volatility of model recommendations, suggesting uncertain market conditions. Narrow bands indicate stable recommendations.
This visualization implements a concept of epistemic uncertainty—uncertainty about the model estimate itself, not just market volatility. In phases where various indicators send conflicting signals, the allocation recommendation becomes more volatile, manifesting in wider bands. Users can understand this as a warning to act more cautiously or consult alternative information sources.
11. Alert System
11.1 Allocation Alerts
DEAM implements an alert system that notifies users of significant events. Allocation alerts trigger when smoothed allocation crosses certain thresholds. An alert is generated when allocation reaches 80% (from below), signaling strong bullish conditions. Another alert triggers when allocation falls to 20%, indicating defensive positioning.
These thresholds are not arbitrary but correspond with boundaries between model regimes. An allocation of 80% roughly corresponds to a clear bull market regime, while 20% corresponds to a bear market regime. Alerts at these points are therefore informative about fundamental regime shifts.
11.2 Crisis Alerts
Separate alerts trigger upon detection of crisis and severe crisis. These alerts have highest priority as they signal large risks. A crisis alert should prompt investors to review their portfolio and potentially take defensive measures beyond the automatic model recommendation (e.g., hedging through put options, rebalancing to more defensive sectors).
11.3 Regime Change Alerts
An alert triggers upon change of market regime (e.g., from Neutral to Correction, or from Bull Market to Strong Bull). Regime changes are highly informative events that typically entail substantial allocation changes. These alerts enable investors to proactively respond to changes in market dynamics.
11.4 Risk Breach Alerts
A specialized alert triggers when actual portfolio risk utilization exceeds target parameters by 20%. This is a warning signal that the risk management system is reaching its limits, possibly because market volatility is rising faster than allocation can be reduced. In such situations, investors should consider manual interventions.
12. Practical Application and Limitations
12.1 Portfolio Implementation
DEAM generates a recommendation for allocation between equities (S&P 500) and cash. Implementation by an investor can take various forms. The most direct method is using an S&P 500 ETF (e.g., SPY, VOO) for equity allocation and a money market fund or savings account for cash allocation.
A rebalancing strategy is required to synchronize actual allocation with model recommendation. Two approaches are possible: (1) rule-based rebalancing at every 10% deviation between actual and target, or (2) time-based monthly rebalancing. Both have trade-offs between responsiveness and transaction costs. Empirical evidence (Jaconetti, Kinniry, and Zilbering, 2010) suggests rebalancing frequency has moderate impact on performance, and investors should optimize based on their transaction costs.
12.2 Adaptation to Individual Preferences
The model offers numerous adjustment parameters. Component weights can be modified if investors place more or less belief in certain factors. A fundamentally-oriented investor might increase valuation weight, while a technical trader might increase regime weight.
Risk target parameters (target volatility, max drawdown) should be adapted to individual risk tolerance. Younger investors with long investment horizons can choose higher target volatility (15-18%), while retirees may prefer lower volatility (8-10%). This adjustment systematically shifts average equity allocation.
Crisis thresholds can be adjusted based on preference for sensitivity versus specificity of crisis detection. Lower thresholds (e.g., VIX > 35 instead of 40) increase sensitivity (more crises are detected) but reduce specificity (more false alarms). Higher thresholds have the reverse effect.
12.3 Limitations and Disclaimers
DEAM is based on historical relationships between indicators and market performance. There is no guarantee these relationships will persist in the future. Structural changes in markets (e.g., through regulation, technology, or central bank policy) can break established patterns. This is the fundamental problem of induction in financial science (Taleb, 2007).
The model is optimized for US equities (S&P 500). Application to other markets (international stocks, bonds, commodities) would require recalibration. The indicators and thresholds are specific to the statistical properties of the US equity market.
The model cannot eliminate losses. Even with perfect crisis prediction, an investor following the model would lose money in bear markets—just less than a buy-and-hold investor. The goal is risk-adjusted performance improvement, not risk elimination.
Transaction costs are not modeled. In practice, spreads, commissions, and taxes reduce net returns. Frequent trading can cause substantial costs. Model smoothing helps minimize this, but users should consider their specific cost situation.
The model reacts to information; it does not anticipate it. During sudden shocks (e.g., 9/11, COVID-19 lockdowns), the model can only react after price movements, not before. This limitation is inherent to all reactive systems.
12.4 Relationship to Other Strategies
DEAM is a tactical asset allocation approach and should be viewed as a complement, not replacement, for strategic asset allocation. Brinson, Hood, and Beebower (1986) showed in their influential study "Determinants of Portfolio Performance" that strategic asset allocation (long-term policy allocation) explains the majority of portfolio performance, but this leaves room for tactical adjustments based on market timing.
The model can be combined with value and momentum strategies at the individual stock level. While DEAM controls overall market exposure, within-equity decisions can be optimized through stock-picking models. This separation between strategic (market exposure) and tactical (stock selection) levels follows classical portfolio theory.
The model does not replace diversification across asset classes. A complete portfolio should also include bonds, international stocks, real estate, and alternative investments. DEAM addresses only the US equity allocation decision within a broader portfolio.
13. Scientific Foundation and Evaluation
13.1 Theoretical Consistency
DEAM's components are based on established financial theory and empirical evidence. The market regime component follows from regime-switching models (Hamilton, 1989) and trend-following literature. The risk management component implements volatility targeting (Moreira and Muir, 2017) and modern portfolio theory (Markowitz, 1952). The valuation component is based on discounted cash flow theory and empirical value research (Campbell and Shiller, 1988; Fama and French, 1992). The sentiment component integrates behavioral finance (Baker and Wurgler, 2006). The macro component uses established business cycle indicators (Estrella and Mishkin, 1998).
This theoretical grounding distinguishes DEAM from purely data-mining-based approaches that identify patterns without causal theory. Theory-guided models have greater probability of functioning out-of-sample, as they are based on fundamental mechanisms, not random correlations (Lo and MacKinlay, 1990).
13.2 Empirical Validation
While this document does not present detailed backtest analysis, it should be noted that rigorous validation of a tactical asset allocation model should include several elements:
In-sample testing establishes whether the model functions at all in the data on which it was calibrated. Out-of-sample testing is crucial: the model should be tested in time periods not used for development. Walk-forward analysis, where the model is successively trained on rolling windows and tested in the next window, approximates real implementation.
Performance metrics should be risk-adjusted. Pure return consideration is misleading, as higher returns often only compensate for higher risk. Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Calmar Ratio, and Maximum Drawdown are relevant metrics. Comparison with benchmarks (Buy-and-Hold S&P 500, 60/40 Stock/Bond portfolio) contextualizes performance.
Robustness checks test sensitivity to parameter variation. If the model only functions at specific parameter settings, this indicates overfitting. Robust models show consistent performance over a range of plausible parameters.
13.3 Comparison with Existing Literature
DEAM fits into the broader literature on tactical asset allocation. Faber (2007) presented a simple momentum-based timing system that goes long when the market is above its 10-month average, otherwise cash. This simple system avoided large drawdowns in bear markets. DEAM can be understood as a sophistication of this approach that integrates multiple information sources.
Ilmanen (2011) discusses various timing factors in "Expected Returns" and argues for multi-factor approaches. DEAM operationalizes this philosophy. Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen (2013) showed that value and momentum effects work across asset classes, justifying cross-asset application of regime and valuation signals.
Ang (2014) emphasizes in "Asset Management: A Systematic Approach to Factor Investing" the importance of systematic, rule-based approaches over discretionary decisions. DEAM is fully systematic and eliminates emotional biases that plague individual investors (overconfidence, hindsight bias, loss aversion).
References
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PriceActionLibrary "PriceAction"
Hi all!
This library will help you to plot the market structure and liquidity. By now, the only part in the price action section is liquidity, but I plan to add more later on. The market structure will be split into two parts, 'Internal' and 'Swing' with separate pivot lengths. For these two trends it will show you:
• Break of structure (BOS)
• Change of character (CHoCH/CHoCH+) (mandatory)
• Equal high/low (EQH/EQL)
It's inspired by "Smart Money Concepts (SMC) " by LuxAlgo.
This library is now the same code as the code in my library 'MarketStructure', but it has evolved into a more price action oriented library than just a market structure library. This is more accurate and I will continue working on this library to keep it growing.
This code does not provide any examples, but you can look at my indicators 'Market structure' () and 'Order blocks' (), where I use the 'MarketStructure' library (which is the same code).
Market structure
Both of these market structures can be enabled/disabled by setting them to 'na'. The pivots lengths can be configured separately. The pivots found will be the 'base' of and will show you when price breaks it. When that happens a break of structure or a change of character will be created. The latest 5 pivots found within the current trends will be kept to take action on. They are cleared on a change of character, so nothing (break of structures or change of characters) can happen on pivots before a trend change. The internal market structure is shown with dashed lines and swing market structure is shown with solid lines.
Labels for a change of character can have either the text 'CHoCH' or 'CHoCH+'. A Change of Character plus is formed when price fails to form a higher high or a lower low before reversing. Note that a pivot that is created after the change of character might have a higher high or a lower low, thus not making the break a 'CHoCH+'. This is not changed after the pivot is found but is kept as is.
A break of structure is removed if an earlier pivot within the same trend is broken, i.e. another break of structure (with a longer distance) is created. Like in the images below, the first pivot (in the first image) is removed when an earlier pivot's higher price within the same trend is broken (the second image):
[image [https://www.tradingview.com/x/PRP6YtPA/
Equal high/lows have a configurable color setting and can be configured to be extended to the right. Equal high/lows are only possible if it's not been broken by price. A factor (percentage of width) of the Average True Length (of length 14) that the pivot must be within to to be considered an Equal high/low. Equal highs/lows can be of 2 pivots or more.
You are able to show the pivots that are used. "HH" (higher high), "HL" (higher low), "LH" (lower high), "LL" (lower low) and "H"/"L" (for pivots (high/low) when the trend has changed) are the labels used. There are also labels for break of structures ('BOS') and change of characters ('CHoCH' or 'CHoCH+'). The size of these texts is set in the 'FontSize' setting.
When programming I focused on simplicity and ease of read. I did not focus on performance, I will do so if it's a problem (haven't noticed it is one yet).
You can set alerts for when a change of character, break of structure or an equal high/low (new or an addition to a previously found) happens. The alerts that are fired are on 'once_per_bar_close' to avoid repainting. This has the drawback to alert you when the bar closes.
Price action
The indicator will create lines and zones for spotted liquidity. It will draw a line (with dotted style) at the price level that was liquidated, but it will also draw a zone from that level to the bar that broke the pivot high or low price. If that zone is large the liquidation is big and might be significant. This can be disabled in the settings. You can also change the confirmation candles (that does not close above or below the pivot level) needed after a liquidation and how many pivots back to look at.
The lines and boxes drawn will look like this if the color is orange:
Hope this is of help!
Will draw out the market structure for the disired pivot length.
Liqudity(liquidity)
Will draw liquidity.
Parameters:
liquidity (Liquidity) : The 'PriceAction.Liquidity' object.
Pivot(structure)
Sets the pivots in the structure.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
PivotLabels(structure)
Draws labels for the pivots found.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
EqualHighOrLow(structure)
Draws the boxes for equal highs/lows. Also creates labels for the pivots included.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
BreakOfStructure(structure)
Will create lines when a break of strycture occures.
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
Returns: A boolean that represents if a break of structure was found or not.
ChangeOfCharacter(structure)
Will create lines when a change of character occures. This line will have a label with "CHoCH" or "CHoCH+".
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
Returns: A boolean that represents if a change of character was found or not.
VisualizeCurrent(structure)
Will create a box with a background for between the latest high and low pivots. This can be used as the current trading range (if the pivots broke strucure somehow).
Parameters:
structure (Structure)
StructureBreak
Holds drawings for a structure break.
Fields:
Line (series line) : The line object.
Label (series label) : The label object.
Pivot
Holds all the values for a found pivot.
Fields:
Price (series float) : The price of the pivot.
BarIndex (series int) : The bar_index where the pivot occured.
Type (series int) : The type of the pivot (-1 = low, 1 = high).
Time (series int) : The time where the pivot occured.
BreakOfStructureBroken (series bool) : Sets to true if a break of structure has happened.
LiquidityBroken (series bool) : Sets to true if a liquidity of the price level has happened.
ChangeOfCharacterBroken (series bool) : Sets to true if a change of character has happened.
Structure
Holds all the values for the market structure.
Fields:
LeftLength (series int) : Define the left length of the pivots used.
RightLength (series int) : Define the right length of the pivots used.
Type (series Type) : Set the type of the market structure. Two types can be used, 'internal' and 'swing' (0 = internal, 1 = swing).
Trend (series int) : This will be set internally and can be -1 = downtrend, 1 = uptrend.
EqualPivotsFactor (series float) : Set how the limits are for an equal pivot. This is a factor of the Average True Length (ATR) of length 14. If a low pivot is considered to be equal if it doesn't break the low pivot (is at a lower value) and is inside the previous low pivot + this limit.
ExtendEqualPivotsZones (series bool) : Set to true if you want the equal pivots zones to be extended.
ExtendEqualPivotsStyle (series string) : Set the style of equal pivot zones.
ExtendEqualPivotsColor (series color) : Set the color of equal pivot zones.
EqualHighs (array) : Holds the boxes for zones that contains equal highs.
EqualLows (array) : Holds the boxes for zones that contains equal lows.
BreakOfStructures (array) : Holds all the break of structures within the trend (before a change of character).
Pivots (array) : All the pivots in the current trend, added with the latest first, this is cleared when the trend changes.
FontSize (series int) : Holds the size of the font displayed.
AlertChangeOfCharacter (series bool) : Holds true or false if a change of character should be alerted or not.
AlertBreakOfStructure (series bool) : Holds true or false if a break of structure should be alerted or not.
AlerEqualPivots (series bool) : Holds true or false if equal highs/lows should be alerted or not.
Liquidity
Holds all the values for liquidity.
Fields:
LiquidityPivotsHigh (array) : All high pivots for liquidity.
LiquidityPivotsLow (array) : All low pivots for liquidity.
LiquidityConfirmationBars (series int) : The number of bars to confirm that a liquidity is valid.
LiquidityPivotsLookback (series int) : A number of pivots to look back for.
FontSize (series int) : Holds the size of the font displayed.
PriceAction
Holds all the values for the general price action and the market structures.
Fields:
Liquidity (Liquidity)
Swing (Structure) : Placeholder for all objects used for the swing market structure.
Internal (Structure) : Placeholder for all objects used for the internal market structure.
Markov Chain [3D] | FractalystWhat exactly is a Markov Chain?
This indicator uses a Markov Chain model to analyze, quantify, and visualize the transitions between market regimes (Bull, Bear, Neutral) on your chart. It dynamically detects these regimes in real-time, calculates transition probabilities, and displays them as animated 3D spheres and arrows, giving traders intuitive insight into current and future market conditions.
How does a Markov Chain work, and how should I read this spheres-and-arrows diagram?
Think of three weather modes: Sunny, Rainy, Cloudy.
Each sphere is one mode. The loop on a sphere means “stay the same next step” (e.g., Sunny again tomorrow).
The arrows leaving a sphere show where things usually go next if they change (e.g., Sunny moving to Cloudy).
Some paths matter more than others. A more prominent loop means the current mode tends to persist. A more prominent outgoing arrow means a change to that destination is the usual next step.
Direction isn’t symmetric: moving Sunny→Cloudy can behave differently than Cloudy→Sunny.
Now relabel the spheres to markets: Bull, Bear, Neutral.
Spheres: market regimes (uptrend, downtrend, range).
Self‑loop: tendency for the current regime to continue on the next bar.
Arrows: the most common next regime if a switch happens.
How to read: Start at the sphere that matches current bar state. If the loop stands out, expect continuation. If one outgoing path stands out, that switch is the typical next step. Opposite directions can differ (Bear→Neutral doesn’t have to match Neutral→Bear).
What states and transitions are shown?
The three market states visualized are:
Bullish (Bull): Upward or strong-market regime.
Bearish (Bear): Downward or weak-market regime.
Neutral: Sideways or range-bound regime.
Bidirectional animated arrows and probability labels show how likely the market is to move from one regime to another (e.g., Bull → Bear or Neutral → Bull).
How does the regime detection system work?
You can use either built-in price returns (based on adaptive Z-score normalization) or supply three custom indicators (such as volume, oscillators, etc.).
Values are statistically normalized (Z-scored) over a configurable lookback period.
The normalized outputs are classified into Bull, Bear, or Neutral zones.
If using three indicators, their regime signals are averaged and smoothed for robustness.
How are transition probabilities calculated?
On every confirmed bar, the algorithm tracks the sequence of detected market states, then builds a rolling window of transitions.
The code maintains a transition count matrix for all regime pairs (e.g., Bull → Bear).
Transition probabilities are extracted for each possible state change using Laplace smoothing for numerical stability, and frequently updated in real-time.
What is unique about the visualization?
3D animated spheres represent each regime and change visually when active.
Animated, bidirectional arrows reveal transition probabilities and allow you to see both dominant and less likely regime flows.
Particles (moving dots) animate along the arrows, enhancing the perception of regime flow direction and speed.
All elements dynamically update with each new price bar, providing a live market map in an intuitive, engaging format.
Can I use custom indicators for regime classification?
Yes! Enable the "Custom Indicators" switch and select any three chart series as inputs. These will be normalized and combined (each with equal weight), broadening the regime classification beyond just price-based movement.
What does the “Lookback Period” control?
Lookback Period (default: 100) sets how much historical data builds the probability matrix. Shorter periods adapt faster to regime changes but may be noisier. Longer periods are more stable but slower to adapt.
How is this different from a Hidden Markov Model (HMM)?
It sets the window for both regime detection and probability calculations. Lower values make the system more reactive, but potentially noisier. Higher values smooth estimates and make the system more robust.
How is this Markov Chain different from a Hidden Markov Model (HMM)?
Markov Chain (as here): All market regimes (Bull, Bear, Neutral) are directly observable on the chart. The transition matrix is built from actual detected regimes, keeping the model simple and interpretable.
Hidden Markov Model: The actual regimes are unobservable ("hidden") and must be inferred from market output or indicator "emissions" using statistical learning algorithms. HMMs are more complex, can capture more subtle structure, but are harder to visualize and require additional machine learning steps for training.
A standard Markov Chain models transitions between observable states using a simple transition matrix, while a Hidden Markov Model assumes the true states are hidden (latent) and must be inferred from observable “emissions” like price or volume data. In practical terms, a Markov Chain is transparent and easier to implement and interpret; an HMM is more expressive but requires statistical inference to estimate hidden states from data.
Markov Chain: states are observable; you directly count or estimate transition probabilities between visible states. This makes it simpler, faster, and easier to validate and tune.
HMM: states are hidden; you only observe emissions generated by those latent states. Learning involves machine learning/statistical algorithms (commonly Baum–Welch/EM for training and Viterbi for decoding) to infer both the transition dynamics and the most likely hidden state sequence from data.
How does the indicator avoid “repainting” or look-ahead bias?
All regime changes and matrix updates happen only on confirmed (closed) bars, so no future data is leaked, ensuring reliable real-time operation.
Are there practical tuning tips?
Tune the Lookback Period for your asset/timeframe: shorter for fast markets, longer for stability.
Use custom indicators if your asset has unique regime drivers.
Watch for rapid changes in transition probabilities as early warning of a possible regime shift.
Who is this indicator for?
Quants and quantitative researchers exploring probabilistic market modeling, especially those interested in regime-switching dynamics and Markov models.
Programmers and system developers who need a probabilistic regime filter for systematic and algorithmic backtesting:
The Markov Chain indicator is ideally suited for programmatic integration via its bias output (1 = Bull, 0 = Neutral, -1 = Bear).
Although the visualization is engaging, the core output is designed for automated, rules-based workflows—not for discretionary/manual trading decisions.
Developers can connect the indicator’s output directly to their Pine Script logic (using input.source()), allowing rapid and robust backtesting of regime-based strategies.
It acts as a plug-and-play regime filter: simply plug the bias output into your entry/exit logic, and you have a scientifically robust, probabilistically-derived signal for filtering, timing, position sizing, or risk regimes.
The MC's output is intentionally "trinary" (1/0/-1), focusing on clear regime states for unambiguous decision-making in code. If you require nuanced, multi-probability or soft-label state vectors, consider expanding the indicator or stacking it with a probability-weighted logic layer in your scripting.
Because it avoids subjectivity, this approach is optimal for systematic quants, algo developers building backtested, repeatable strategies based on probabilistic regime analysis.
What's the mathematical foundation behind this?
The mathematical foundation behind this Markov Chain indicator—and probabilistic regime detection in finance—draws from two principal models: the (standard) Markov Chain and the Hidden Markov Model (HMM).
How to use this indicator programmatically?
The Markov Chain indicator automatically exports a bias value (+1 for Bullish, -1 for Bearish, 0 for Neutral) as a plot visible in the Data Window. This allows you to integrate its regime signal into your own scripts and strategies for backtesting, automation, or live trading.
Step-by-Step Integration with Pine Script (input.source)
Add the Markov Chain indicator to your chart.
This must be done first, since your custom script will "pull" the bias signal from the indicator's plot.
In your strategy, create an input using input.source()
Example:
//@version=5
strategy("MC Bias Strategy Example")
mcBias = input.source(close, "MC Bias Source")
After saving, go to your script’s settings. For the “MC Bias Source” input, select the plot/output of the Markov Chain indicator (typically its bias plot).
Use the bias in your trading logic
Example (long only on Bull, flat otherwise):
if mcBias == 1
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
else
strategy.close("Long")
For more advanced workflows, combine mcBias with additional filters or trailing stops.
How does this work behind-the-scenes?
TradingView’s input.source() lets you use any plot from another indicator as a real-time, “live” data feed in your own script (source).
The selected bias signal is available to your Pine code as a variable, enabling logical decisions based on regime (trend-following, mean-reversion, etc.).
This enables powerful strategy modularity : decouple regime detection from entry/exit logic, allowing fast experimentation without rewriting core signal code.
Integrating 45+ Indicators with Your Markov Chain — How & Why
The Enhanced Custom Indicators Export script exports a massive suite of over 45 technical indicators—ranging from classic momentum (RSI, MACD, Stochastic, etc.) to trend, volume, volatility, and oscillator tools—all pre-calculated, centered/scaled, and available as plots.
// Enhanced Custom Indicators Export - 45 Technical Indicators
// Comprehensive technical analysis suite for advanced market regime detection
//@version=6
indicator('Enhanced Custom Indicators Export | Fractalyst', shorttitle='Enhanced CI Export', overlay=false, scale=scale.right, max_labels_count=500, max_lines_count=500)
// |----- Input Parameters -----| //
momentum_group = "Momentum Indicators"
trend_group = "Trend Indicators"
volume_group = "Volume Indicators"
volatility_group = "Volatility Indicators"
oscillator_group = "Oscillator Indicators"
display_group = "Display Settings"
// Common lengths
length_14 = input.int(14, "Standard Length (14)", minval=1, maxval=100, group=momentum_group)
length_20 = input.int(20, "Medium Length (20)", minval=1, maxval=200, group=trend_group)
length_50 = input.int(50, "Long Length (50)", minval=1, maxval=200, group=trend_group)
// Display options
show_table = input.bool(true, "Show Values Table", group=display_group)
table_size = input.string("Small", "Table Size", options= , group=display_group)
// |----- MOMENTUM INDICATORS (15 indicators) -----| //
// 1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
rsi_14 = ta.rsi(close, length_14)
rsi_centered = rsi_14 - 50
// 2. Stochastic Oscillator
stoch_k = ta.stoch(close, high, low, length_14)
stoch_d = ta.sma(stoch_k, 3)
stoch_centered = stoch_k - 50
// 3. Williams %R
williams_r = ta.stoch(close, high, low, length_14) - 100
// 4. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
= ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9)
// 5. Momentum (Rate of Change)
momentum = ta.mom(close, length_14)
momentum_pct = (momentum / close ) * 100
// 6. Rate of Change (ROC)
roc = ta.roc(close, length_14)
// 7. Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
cci = ta.cci(close, length_20)
// 8. Money Flow Index (MFI)
mfi = ta.mfi(close, length_14)
mfi_centered = mfi - 50
// 9. Awesome Oscillator (AO)
ao = ta.sma(hl2, 5) - ta.sma(hl2, 34)
// 10. Accelerator Oscillator (AC)
ac = ao - ta.sma(ao, 5)
// 11. Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)
cmo = ta.cmo(close, length_14)
// 12. Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO)
dpo = close - ta.sma(close, length_20)
// 13. Price Oscillator (PPO)
ppo = ta.sma(close, 12) - ta.sma(close, 26)
ppo_pct = (ppo / ta.sma(close, 26)) * 100
// 14. TRIX
trix_ema1 = ta.ema(close, length_14)
trix_ema2 = ta.ema(trix_ema1, length_14)
trix_ema3 = ta.ema(trix_ema2, length_14)
trix = ta.roc(trix_ema3, 1) * 10000
// 15. Klinger Oscillator
klinger = ta.ema(volume * (high + low + close) / 3, 34) - ta.ema(volume * (high + low + close) / 3, 55)
// 16. Fisher Transform
fisher_hl2 = 0.5 * (hl2 - ta.lowest(hl2, 10)) / (ta.highest(hl2, 10) - ta.lowest(hl2, 10)) - 0.25
fisher = 0.5 * math.log((1 + fisher_hl2) / (1 - fisher_hl2))
// 17. Stochastic RSI
stoch_rsi = ta.stoch(rsi_14, rsi_14, rsi_14, length_14)
stoch_rsi_centered = stoch_rsi - 50
// 18. Relative Vigor Index (RVI)
rvi_num = ta.swma(close - open)
rvi_den = ta.swma(high - low)
rvi = rvi_den != 0 ? rvi_num / rvi_den : 0
// 19. Balance of Power (BOP)
bop = (close - open) / (high - low)
// |----- TREND INDICATORS (10 indicators) -----| //
// 20. Simple Moving Average Momentum
sma_20 = ta.sma(close, length_20)
sma_momentum = ((close - sma_20) / sma_20) * 100
// 21. Exponential Moving Average Momentum
ema_20 = ta.ema(close, length_20)
ema_momentum = ((close - ema_20) / ema_20) * 100
// 22. Parabolic SAR
sar = ta.sar(0.02, 0.02, 0.2)
sar_trend = close > sar ? 1 : -1
// 23. Linear Regression Slope
lr_slope = ta.linreg(close, length_20, 0) - ta.linreg(close, length_20, 1)
// 24. Moving Average Convergence (MAC)
mac = ta.sma(close, 10) - ta.sma(close, 30)
// 25. Trend Intensity Index (TII)
tii_sum = 0.0
for i = 1 to length_20
tii_sum += close > close ? 1 : 0
tii = (tii_sum / length_20) * 100
// 26. Ichimoku Cloud Components
ichimoku_tenkan = (ta.highest(high, 9) + ta.lowest(low, 9)) / 2
ichimoku_kijun = (ta.highest(high, 26) + ta.lowest(low, 26)) / 2
ichimoku_signal = ichimoku_tenkan > ichimoku_kijun ? 1 : -1
// 27. MESA Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA)
mama_alpha = 2.0 / (length_20 + 1)
mama = ta.ema(close, length_20)
mama_momentum = ((close - mama) / mama) * 100
// 28. Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average (ZLEMA)
zlema_lag = math.round((length_20 - 1) / 2)
zlema_data = close + (close - close )
zlema = ta.ema(zlema_data, length_20)
zlema_momentum = ((close - zlema) / zlema) * 100
// |----- VOLUME INDICATORS (6 indicators) -----| //
// 29. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
obv = ta.obv
// 30. Volume Rate of Change (VROC)
vroc = ta.roc(volume, length_14)
// 31. Price Volume Trend (PVT)
pvt = ta.pvt
// 32. Negative Volume Index (NVI)
nvi = 0.0
nvi := volume < volume ? nvi + ((close - close ) / close ) * nvi : nvi
// 33. Positive Volume Index (PVI)
pvi = 0.0
pvi := volume > volume ? pvi + ((close - close ) / close ) * pvi : pvi
// 34. Volume Oscillator
vol_osc = ta.sma(volume, 5) - ta.sma(volume, 10)
// 35. Ease of Movement (EOM)
eom_distance = high - low
eom_box_height = volume / 1000000
eom = eom_box_height != 0 ? eom_distance / eom_box_height : 0
eom_sma = ta.sma(eom, length_14)
// 36. Force Index
force_index = volume * (close - close )
force_index_sma = ta.sma(force_index, length_14)
// |----- VOLATILITY INDICATORS (10 indicators) -----| //
// 37. Average True Range (ATR)
atr = ta.atr(length_14)
atr_pct = (atr / close) * 100
// 38. Bollinger Bands Position
bb_basis = ta.sma(close, length_20)
bb_dev = 2.0 * ta.stdev(close, length_20)
bb_upper = bb_basis + bb_dev
bb_lower = bb_basis - bb_dev
bb_position = bb_dev != 0 ? (close - bb_basis) / bb_dev : 0
bb_width = bb_dev != 0 ? (bb_upper - bb_lower) / bb_basis * 100 : 0
// 39. Keltner Channels Position
kc_basis = ta.ema(close, length_20)
kc_range = ta.ema(ta.tr, length_20)
kc_upper = kc_basis + (2.0 * kc_range)
kc_lower = kc_basis - (2.0 * kc_range)
kc_position = kc_range != 0 ? (close - kc_basis) / kc_range : 0
// 40. Donchian Channels Position
dc_upper = ta.highest(high, length_20)
dc_lower = ta.lowest(low, length_20)
dc_basis = (dc_upper + dc_lower) / 2
dc_position = (dc_upper - dc_lower) != 0 ? (close - dc_basis) / (dc_upper - dc_lower) : 0
// 41. Standard Deviation
std_dev = ta.stdev(close, length_20)
std_dev_pct = (std_dev / close) * 100
// 42. Relative Volatility Index (RVI)
rvi_up = ta.stdev(close > close ? close : 0, length_14)
rvi_down = ta.stdev(close < close ? close : 0, length_14)
rvi_total = rvi_up + rvi_down
rvi_volatility = rvi_total != 0 ? (rvi_up / rvi_total) * 100 : 50
// 43. Historical Volatility
hv_returns = math.log(close / close )
hv = ta.stdev(hv_returns, length_20) * math.sqrt(252) * 100
// 44. Garman-Klass Volatility
gk_vol = math.log(high/low) * math.log(high/low) - (2*math.log(2)-1) * math.log(close/open) * math.log(close/open)
gk_volatility = math.sqrt(ta.sma(gk_vol, length_20)) * 100
// 45. Parkinson Volatility
park_vol = math.log(high/low) * math.log(high/low)
parkinson = math.sqrt(ta.sma(park_vol, length_20) / (4 * math.log(2))) * 100
// 46. Rogers-Satchell Volatility
rs_vol = math.log(high/close) * math.log(high/open) + math.log(low/close) * math.log(low/open)
rogers_satchell = math.sqrt(ta.sma(rs_vol, length_20)) * 100
// |----- OSCILLATOR INDICATORS (5 indicators) -----| //
// 47. Elder Ray Index
elder_bull = high - ta.ema(close, 13)
elder_bear = low - ta.ema(close, 13)
elder_power = elder_bull + elder_bear
// 48. Schaff Trend Cycle (STC)
stc_macd = ta.ema(close, 23) - ta.ema(close, 50)
stc_k = ta.stoch(stc_macd, stc_macd, stc_macd, 10)
stc_d = ta.ema(stc_k, 3)
stc = ta.stoch(stc_d, stc_d, stc_d, 10)
// 49. Coppock Curve
coppock_roc1 = ta.roc(close, 14)
coppock_roc2 = ta.roc(close, 11)
coppock = ta.wma(coppock_roc1 + coppock_roc2, 10)
// 50. Know Sure Thing (KST)
kst_roc1 = ta.roc(close, 10)
kst_roc2 = ta.roc(close, 15)
kst_roc3 = ta.roc(close, 20)
kst_roc4 = ta.roc(close, 30)
kst = ta.sma(kst_roc1, 10) + 2*ta.sma(kst_roc2, 10) + 3*ta.sma(kst_roc3, 10) + 4*ta.sma(kst_roc4, 15)
// 51. Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO)
ppo_line = ((ta.ema(close, 12) - ta.ema(close, 26)) / ta.ema(close, 26)) * 100
ppo_signal = ta.ema(ppo_line, 9)
ppo_histogram = ppo_line - ppo_signal
// |----- PLOT MAIN INDICATORS -----| //
// Plot key momentum indicators
plot(rsi_centered, title="01_RSI_Centered", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
plot(stoch_centered, title="02_Stoch_Centered", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(williams_r, title="03_Williams_R", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(macd_histogram, title="04_MACD_Histogram", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(cci, title="05_CCI", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
// Plot trend indicators
plot(sma_momentum, title="06_SMA_Momentum", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(ema_momentum, title="07_EMA_Momentum", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
plot(sar_trend, title="08_SAR_Trend", color=color.teal, linewidth=1)
plot(lr_slope, title="09_LR_Slope", color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
plot(mac, title="10_MAC", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1)
// Plot volatility indicators
plot(atr_pct, title="11_ATR_Pct", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1)
plot(bb_position, title="12_BB_Position", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1)
plot(kc_position, title="13_KC_Position", color=color.olive, linewidth=1)
plot(std_dev_pct, title="14_StdDev_Pct", color=color.silver, linewidth=1)
plot(bb_width, title="15_BB_Width", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)
// Plot volume indicators
plot(vroc, title="16_VROC", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(eom_sma, title="17_EOM", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(vol_osc, title="18_Vol_Osc", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
plot(force_index_sma, title="19_Force_Index", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(obv, title="20_OBV", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
// Plot additional oscillators
plot(ao, title="21_Awesome_Osc", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(cmo, title="22_CMO", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
plot(dpo, title="23_DPO", color=color.teal, linewidth=1)
plot(trix, title="24_TRIX", color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
plot(fisher, title="25_Fisher", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1)
// Plot more momentum indicators
plot(mfi_centered, title="26_MFI_Centered", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1)
plot(ac, title="27_AC", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1)
plot(ppo_pct, title="28_PPO_Pct", color=color.olive, linewidth=1)
plot(stoch_rsi_centered, title="29_StochRSI_Centered", color=color.silver, linewidth=1)
plot(klinger, title="30_Klinger", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)
// Plot trend continuation
plot(tii, title="31_TII", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(ichimoku_signal, title="32_Ichimoku_Signal", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(mama_momentum, title="33_MAMA_Momentum", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
plot(zlema_momentum, title="34_ZLEMA_Momentum", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(bop, title="35_BOP", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
// Plot volume continuation
plot(nvi, title="36_NVI", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(pvi, title="37_PVI", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
plot(momentum_pct, title="38_Momentum_Pct", color=color.teal, linewidth=1)
plot(roc, title="39_ROC", color=color.lime, linewidth=1)
plot(rvi, title="40_RVI", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1)
// Plot volatility continuation
plot(dc_position, title="41_DC_Position", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1)
plot(rvi_volatility, title="42_RVI_Volatility", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1)
plot(hv, title="43_Historical_Vol", color=color.olive, linewidth=1)
plot(gk_volatility, title="44_GK_Volatility", color=color.silver, linewidth=1)
plot(parkinson, title="45_Parkinson_Vol", color=color.gray, linewidth=1)
// Plot final oscillators
plot(rogers_satchell, title="46_RS_Volatility", color=color.blue, linewidth=1)
plot(elder_power, title="47_Elder_Power", color=color.red, linewidth=1)
plot(stc, title="48_STC", color=color.green, linewidth=1)
plot(coppock, title="49_Coppock", color=color.orange, linewidth=1)
plot(kst, title="50_KST", color=color.purple, linewidth=1)
// Plot final indicators
plot(ppo_histogram, title="51_PPO_Histogram", color=color.navy, linewidth=1)
plot(pvt, title="52_PVT", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1)
// |----- Reference Lines -----| //
hline(0, "Zero Line", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dashed, linewidth=1)
hline(50, "Midline", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
hline(-50, "Lower Midline", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
hline(25, "Upper Threshold", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
hline(-25, "Lower Threshold", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1)
// |----- Enhanced Information Table -----| //
if show_table and barstate.islast
table_position = position.top_right
table_text_size = table_size == "Tiny" ? size.tiny : table_size == "Small" ? size.small : size.normal
var table info_table = table.new(table_position, 3, 18, bgcolor=color.new(color.white, 85), border_width=1, border_color=color.gray)
// Headers
table.cell(info_table, 0, 0, 'Category', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 0, 'Indicator', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70))
table.cell(info_table, 2, 0, 'Value', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70))
// Key Momentum Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 1, 'MOMENTUM', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 1, 'RSI Centered', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 1, str.tostring(rsi_centered, '0.00'), text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 2, '', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 2, 'Stoch Centered', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 2, str.tostring(stoch_centered, '0.00'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 3, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 3, 'Williams %R', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 3, str.tostring(williams_r, '0.00'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 4, '', text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 4, 'MACD Histogram', text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 4, str.tostring(macd_histogram, '0.000'), text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 5, '', text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 5, 'CCI', text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 5, str.tostring(cci, '0.00'), text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Trend Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 6, 'TREND', text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.navy, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 6, 'SMA Momentum %', text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 6, str.tostring(sma_momentum, '0.00'), text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 7, '', text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 7, 'EMA Momentum %', text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 7, str.tostring(ema_momentum, '0.00'), text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 8, '', text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 8, 'SAR Trend', text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 8, str.tostring(sar_trend, '0'), text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 9, '', text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 9, 'Linear Regression', text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 9, str.tostring(lr_slope, '0.000'), text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Volatility Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 10, 'VOLATILITY', text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.yellow, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 10, 'ATR %', text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 10, str.tostring(atr_pct, '0.00'), text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 11, '', text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 11, 'BB Position', text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 11, str.tostring(bb_position, '0.00'), text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 12, '', text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 12, 'KC Position', text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 12, str.tostring(kc_position, '0.00'), text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Volume Indicators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 13, 'VOLUME', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 13, 'Volume ROC', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 13, str.tostring(vroc, '0.00'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 14, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 14, 'EOM', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 14, str.tostring(eom_sma, '0.000'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
// Key Oscillators
table.cell(info_table, 0, 15, 'OSCILLATORS', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 90))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 15, 'Awesome Osc', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 15, str.tostring(ao, '0.000'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 0, 16, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 1, 16, 'Fisher Transform', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
table.cell(info_table, 2, 16, str.tostring(fisher, '0.000'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size)
// Summary Statistics
table.cell(info_table, 0, 17, 'SUMMARY', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.gray, 70))
table.cell(info_table, 1, 17, 'Total Indicators: 52', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size)
regime_color = rsi_centered > 10 ? color.green : rsi_centered < -10 ? color.red : color.gray
regime_text = rsi_centered > 10 ? "BULLISH" : rsi_centered < -10 ? "BEARISH" : "NEUTRAL"
table.cell(info_table, 2, 17, regime_text, text_color=regime_color, text_size=table_text_size)
This makes it the perfect “indicator backbone” for quantitative and systematic traders who want to prototype, combine, and test new regime detection models—especially in combination with the Markov Chain indicator.
How to use this script with the Markov Chain for research and backtesting:
Add the Enhanced Indicator Export to your chart.
Every calculated indicator is available as an individual data stream.
Connect the indicator(s) you want as custom input(s) to the Markov Chain’s “Custom Indicators” option.
In the Markov Chain indicator’s settings, turn ON the custom indicator mode.
For each of the three custom indicator inputs, select the exported plot from the Enhanced Export script—the menu lists all 45+ signals by name.
This creates a powerful, modular regime-detection engine where you can mix-and-match momentum, trend, volume, or custom combinations for advanced filtering.
Backtest regime logic directly.
Once you’ve connected your chosen indicators, the Markov Chain script performs regime detection (Bull/Neutral/Bear) based on your selected features—not just price returns.
The regime detection is robust, automatically normalized (using Z-score), and outputs bias (1, -1, 0) for plug-and-play integration.
Export the regime bias for programmatic use.
As described above, use input.source() in your Pine Script strategy or system and link the bias output.
You can now filter signals, control trade direction/size, or design pairs-trading that respect true, indicator-driven market regimes.
With this framework, you’re not limited to static or simplistic regime filters. You can rigorously define, test, and refine what “market regime” means for your strategies—using the technical features that matter most to you.
Optimize your signal generation by backtesting across a universe of meaningful indicator blends.
Enhance risk management with objective, real-time regime boundaries.
Accelerate your research: iterate quickly, swap indicator components, and see results with minimal code changes.
Automate multi-asset or pairs-trading by integrating regime context directly into strategy logic.
Add both scripts to your chart, connect your preferred features, and start investigating your best regime-based trades—entirely within the TradingView ecosystem.
References & Further Reading
Ang, A., & Bekaert, G. (2002). “Regime Switches in Interest Rates.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 163–182.
Hamilton, J. D. (1989). “A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle.” Econometrica, 57(2), 357–384.
Markov, A. A. (1906). "Extension of the Limit Theorems of Probability Theory to a Sum of Variables Connected in a Chain." The Notes of the Imperial Academy of Sciences of St. Petersburg.
Guidolin, M., & Timmermann, A. (2007). “Asset Allocation under Multivariate Regime Switching.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31(11), 3503–3544.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. New York Institute of Finance.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). “Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731–1764.
Zucchini, W., MacDonald, I. L., & Langrock, R. (2017). Hidden Markov Models for Time Series: An Introduction Using R (2nd ed.). Chapman and Hall/CRC.
On Quantitative Finance and Markov Models:
Lo, A. W., & Hasanhodzic, J. (2009). The Heretics of Finance: Conversations with Leading Practitioners of Technical Analysis. Bloomberg Press.
Patterson, S. (2016). The Man Who Solved the Market: How Jim Simons Launched the Quant Revolution. Penguin Press.
TradingView Pine Script Documentation: www.tradingview.com
TradingView Blog: “Use an Input From Another Indicator With Your Strategy” www.tradingview.com
GeeksforGeeks: “What is the Difference Between Markov Chains and Hidden Markov Models?” www.geeksforgeeks.org
What makes this indicator original and unique?
- On‑chart, real‑time Markov. The chain is drawn directly on your chart. You see the current regime, its tendency to stay (self‑loop), and the usual next step (arrows) as bars confirm.
- Source‑agnostic by design. The engine runs on any series you select via input.source() — price, your own oscillator, a composite score, anything you compute in the script.
- Automatic normalization + regime mapping. Different inputs live on different scales. The script standardizes your chosen source and maps it into clear regimes (e.g., Bull / Bear / Neutral) without you micromanaging thresholds each time.
- Rolling, bar‑by‑bar learning. Transition tendencies are computed from a rolling window of confirmed bars. What you see is exactly what the market did in that window.
- Fast experimentation. Switch the source, adjust the window, and the Markov view updates instantly. It’s a rapid way to test ideas and feel regime persistence/switch behavior.
Integrate your own signals (using input.source())
- In settings, choose the Source . This is powered by input.source() .
- Feed it price, an indicator you compute inside the script, or a custom composite series.
- The script will automatically normalize that series and process it through the Markov engine, mapping it to regimes and updating the on‑chart spheres/arrows in real time.
Credits:
Deep gratitude to @RicardoSantos for both the foundational Markov chain processing engine and inspiring open-source contributions, which made advanced probabilistic market modeling accessible to the TradingView community.
Special thanks to @Alien_Algorithms for the innovative and visually stunning 3D sphere logic that powers the indicator’s animated, regime-based visualization.
Disclaimer
This tool summarizes recent behavior. It is not financial advice and not a guarantee of future results.
Enigma Sniper 369The "Enigma Sniper 369" is a custom-built Pine Script indicator designed for TradingView, tailored specifically for forex traders seeking high-probability entries during high-volatility market sessions.
Unlike generic trend-following or scalping tools, this indicator uniquely combines session-based "kill zones" (London and US sessions), momentum-based candle analysis, and an optional EMA trend filter to pinpoint liquidity grabs and reversal opportunities.
Its originality lies in its focus on liquidity hunting—identifying levels where stop losses are likely clustered (around swing highs/lows and wick midpoints)—and providing visual entry zones that are dynamically removed once price breaches them, reducing clutter and focusing on actionable signals.
The name "369" reflects the structured approach of three key components (session timing, candle logic, and trend filter) working in harmony to snipe precise entries.
What It Does
"Enigma Sniper 369" identifies potential buy and sell opportunities by drawing two types of horizontal lines on the chart during user-defined London and US
session kill zones:
Solid Lines: Mark the swing low (for buys) or swing high (for sells) of a trigger candle, indicating a potential entry point where stop losses might be clustered.
Dotted Lines: Mark the 50% level of the candle’s wick (lower wick for buys, upper wick for sells), serving as a secondary confirmation zone for entries or tighter stop-loss placement.
These lines are plotted only when specific candle conditions are met within the kill zones, and they are automatically deleted once the price crosses them, signaling that the liquidity at that level has likely been grabbed. The indicator also includes an optional EMA filter to ensure trades align with the broader trend, reducing false signals in choppy markets.
How It Works
The indicator’s logic is built on a multi-layered approach:
Kill Zone Timing: Trades are only considered during user-defined London and US session hours (e.g., London from 02:00 to 12:00 UTC, as seen in the screenshots). These sessions are known for high volatility and liquidity, making them ideal for capturing institutional moves.
Candle-Based Momentum Logic:
Buy Signal: A candle must close above its midpoint (indicating bullish momentum) and have a lower low than the previous candle (suggesting a potential liquidity grab below the previous swing low). This is expressed as close > (high + low) / 2 and low < low .
Sell Signal: A candle must close below its midpoint (bearish momentum) and have a higher high than the previous candle (indicating a potential liquidity grab above the previous swing high), expressed as close < (high + low) / 2 and high > high .
These conditions ensure the indicator targets candles that break recent structure to hunt stop losses while showing directional momentum.
Optional EMA Filter: A 50-period EMA (customizable) can be enabled to filter signals based on trend direction.
Buy signals are only generated if the EMA is trending upward (ema_value > ema_value ), and sell signals require a downward EMA trend (ema_value < ema_value ). This reduces noise by aligning entries with the broader market trend.
Liquidity Levels and Deletion Logic:
For a buy signal, a solid green line is drawn at the candle’s low, and a dotted green line at the 50% level of the lower wick (from the candle body’s bottom to the low).
For a sell signal, a solid red line is drawn at the candle’s high, and a dotted red line at the 50% level of the upper wick (from the body’s top to the high).
These lines extend to the right until the price crosses them, at which point they are deleted, indicating the liquidity at that level has been taken (e.g., stop losses triggered).
Alerts: The indicator includes alert conditions for buy and sell signals, notifying traders when a new setup is identified.
Underlying Concepts
The indicator is grounded in the concept of liquidity hunting, a strategy often employed by institutional traders. Markets frequently move to levels where stop losses are clustered—typically just beyond swing highs or lows—before reversing in the opposite direction. The "Enigma Sniper 369" targets these moves by identifying candles that break structure (e.g., a lower low or higher high) during high-volatility sessions, suggesting a potential sweep of stop losses. The 50% wick level acts as a secondary confirmation, as this midpoint often represents a zone where tighter stop losses are placed by retail traders. The optional EMA filter adds a trend-following element, ensuring entries are taken in the direction of the broader market momentum, which is particularly useful on lower timeframes like the 15-minute chart shown in the screenshots.
How to Use It
Here’s a step-by-step guide based on the provided usage example on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart:
Setup the Indicator: Add "Enigma Sniper 369" to your TradingView chart. Adjust the London and US session hours to match your timezone (e.g., London from 02:00 to 12:00 UTC, US from 13:00 to 22:00 UTC). Customize the EMA period (default 50) and line styles/colors if desired.
Identify Kill Zones: The indicator highlights the London session in light green and the US session in light purple, as seen in the screenshots. Focus on these periods for signals, as they are the most volatile and likely to produce liquidity grabs.
Wait for a Signal: Look for solid and dotted lines to appear during the kill zones:
Buy Setup: A solid green line at the swing low and a dotted green line at the 50% lower wick level indicate a potential buy. This suggests the market may have grabbed liquidity below the swing low and is now poised to move higher.
Sell Setup: A solid red line at the swing high and a dotted red line at the 50% upper wick level indicate a potential sell, suggesting liquidity was taken above the swing high.
Place Your Trade:
For a buy, set a buy limit order at the dotted green line (50% wick level), as this is a more conservative entry point. Place your stop loss just below the solid green line (swing low) to cover the full swing. For example, in the screenshots, the market retraces to the dotted line at 1.32980 after a liquidity grab below the swing low, triggering a buy limit order.
For a sell, set a sell limit order at the dotted red line, with a stop loss just above the solid red line.
Monitor Price Action: Once the price crosses a line, it is deleted, indicating the liquidity at that level has been taken. In the screenshots, after the buy limit is triggered, the market moves higher, confirming the setup. The caption notes, “The market returns and tags us in long with a buy limit,” highlighting this retracement strategy.
Additional Context: Use the indicator to identify liquidity levels that may be targeted later. For example, the screenshot notes, “If a new session is about to open I will wait for the grab liquidity to go long,” showing how the indicator can be used to anticipate future moves at session opens (e.g., London open at 1.32980).
Risk Management: Always set a stop loss below the swing low (for buys) or above the swing high (for sells) to protect against adverse moves. The 50% wick level helps tighten entries, improving the risk-reward ratio.
Practical Example
On the GBP/USD 15-minute chart, during the London session (02:00 UTC), the indicator identifies a buy setup with a solid green line at 1.32901 (swing low) and a dotted green line at 1.32980 (50% wick level). The market initially dips below the swing low, grabbing liquidity, then retraces to the dotted line, triggering a buy limit order. The price subsequently rises to 1.33404, yielding a profitable trade. The user notes, “The logic is in the last candle it provides new level to go long,” emphasizing the indicator’s ability to identify fresh levels after a liquidity sweep.
Customization Tips
Adjust the EMA period to suit your timeframe (e.g., a shorter period like 20 for faster signals on lower timeframes).
Modify the session hours to align with your broker’s timezone or specific market conditions.
Use the alert feature to get notified of new setups without constantly monitoring the chart.
Why It’s Useful for Traders
The "Enigma Sniper 369" stands out by combining session timing, momentum-based candle analysis, and liquidity hunting into a single tool. It provides clear, actionable levels for entries and stop losses, removes invalid signals dynamically, and aligns trades with high-probability market conditions. Whether you’re a scalper looking for quick moves during London open or a swing trader targeting session-based reversals, this indicator offers a structured, data-driven approach to trading.
Wick SweepThe Wick Sweep indicator identifies potential trend reversal zones based on price action patterns and swing points. Specifically, it looks for "Wick Sweeps," a concept where the market temporarily breaks a swing low or high (creating a "wick"), only to reverse in the opposite direction. This pattern is often indicative of a market attempting to trap traders before making a larger move. The indicator marks these zones using dashed lines, helping traders spot key areas of potential price action.
Key Features:
* Swing Low and High Detection: The indicator identifies significant swing lows and highs within a user-defined period by employing Williams fractals.
* Wick Sweep Detection: Once a swing low or high is identified, the indicator looks for price movements that break through the low or high (creating a wick) and then reverses direction.
* Fractal Plotting: Optionally, the indicator plots fractal points (triangle shapes) on the chart when a swing low or high is detected. This can assist in visually identifying the potential wick sweep areas.
* Line Plotting: When a wick sweep is detected, a dashed line is drawn at the price level of the failed low or high, visually marking the potential reversal zone.
Inputs:
* Periods: The number of bars used to identify swing highs and lows. A higher value results in fewer, more significant swing points.
* Line Color: The color of the dashed lines drawn when a wick sweep is detected. Customize this to match your chart's theme or preferences.
* Show Fractals: A toggle that, when enabled, plots triangle shapes above and below bars indicating swing highs (up triangles) and swing lows (down triangles).
Functionality:
* Swing High and Low Calculation:
- The indicator calculates the swing low and swing high based on the periods input. A swing low is identified when the current low is the lowest within a range of (2 * periods + 1), with the lowest point being at the center of the period.
- Similarly, a swing high is identified when the current high is the highest within the same range.
* Wick Sweep Detection:
- Once a swing low or high is detected, the script looks for a potential wick. This happens when the price breaks the swing low or high and then reverses in the opposite direction.
- For a valid wick sweep, the price should briefly move beyond the identified swing point but then close in the opposite direction (i.e., a bullish reversal for a swing low and a bearish reversal for a swing high).
- A line is drawn at the price level of the failed low or high when a wick sweep is confirmed.
Confirmations for Reversal:
* The confirmation for a wick sweep requires that the price not only break the swing low/high but also close in the opposite direction (i.e., close above the low for a bullish reversal or close below the high for a bearish reversal).
* The confirmation is further refined by checking that the price movement is within a reasonable distance from the original swing point, which prevents the indicator from marking distant, unimportant price levels.
Additional Notes:
* The Wick Sweep indicator does not provide standalone trading signals; it is best used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as trend analysis, oscillators, or volume indicators.
* The periods input can be adjusted based on the trader’s preferred level of sensitivity. A lower period value will result in more frequent swing points and potentially more signals, while a higher value will focus on more significant market swings.
* The indicator may work well in ranging markets where price tends to oscillate between key support and resistance levels.
OBV by readCrypto
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OBV is used as a leading indicator to predict stock price movements by measuring changes in trading volume.
Reflecting the cumulative value of trading volume,
- When the price rises, if the trading volume increases, OBV rises,
- When the price falls, if the trading volume decreases, OBV falls.
Therefore, the movement of the OBV indicator must be checked along with the price movement, and it has the disadvantage of being unreliable for coins (tokens) with low trading volume.
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(First interpretation method)
By adding a signal line for the OBV indicator,
- If the OBV indicator moves above the signal line, it is likely to show an upward trend,
- If the OBV indicator moves beyond the signal line, it is likely to show a downward trend.
This interpretation method is difficult to use in actual trading strategies because the OBV indicator often moves up and down repeatedly based on the signal line.
Therefore, it is recommended to use this interpretation method as reference when analyzing charts.
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(Second interpretation method)
Draw support and resistance lines based on the high and low points of the OBV indicator
- If the OBV indicator breaks through the previous high point, it is likely to show an upward trend,
- If the OBV indicator breaks through the previous low point, it is likely to show a downward trend.
This interpretation method is a bit more reliable than the first interpretation method, but it has the disadvantage of having to consider support and resistance lines separately based on the high and low points.
-
To compensate for this, a High line for the high point and a Low line for the low point were added.
- If the OBV indicator shows an upward breakout of each line (Low, HL2, High), the price is likely to rise,
- If the OBV indicator shows a downward breakout of each line (Low, HL2, High), the price is likely to fall.
-
Also, the Low and High lines can be interpreted like Bollinger Bands.
That is, if the Low and High lines show a contraction, the price is likely to move sideways, and if they show an expansion, the price is likely to show a trend.
Therefore, if the High line breaks upward in a contracted state,
- It is likely to show an upward trend,
- If the Low line breaks downward, it is likely to show a downward trend.
In an expanded state, you should focus on finding the point to realize profits rather than conducting new transactions.
--------------------------------
It is not easy to interpret the change in actual transaction volume and use it to create a trading strategy.
In particular, it is more difficult in the coin market where multiple exchanges are linked to show movements for one coin (token).
Therefore, the coin market is actively conducting transactions without referring to trading volume at all by following trends.
However, I think that if you interpret the change in trading volume and use it to find a trading point, it can help you find a more accurate trading point.
In that sense, I think that an indicator that adds the High and Low lines of the OBV indicator can be used as meaningful reference material.
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OBV는 거래량의 변화를 측정하여 주가 움직임을 예측하는 선행 지표로 활용됩니다.
거래량의 누적값을 반영하여
- 가격이 상승할 때 거래량이 증가면 OBV가 상승하고,
- 가격이 하락할 때 거래량이 줄면 OBV가 하락하게 됩니다.
따라서, 가격의 움직임과 함께 OBV 지표의 움직임을 확인하여야 하고 거래량이 적은 코인(토큰)에서는 신뢰성이 떨어지는 단점도 가지고 있습니다.
---------------------------------------
(첫번째 해석 방법)
OBV 지표에 대한 Signal선을 추가하여
- OBV 지표가 Signal선 이상에서 이동하게 되면 상승세를 보일 가능성이 높고,
- OBV 지표가 Signal선 이항에서 이동하게 되면 하락세를 보일 가능성이 높습니다.
이러한 해석 방법은 Signal선을 기준으로 OBV 지표가 반복적으로 위아래로 움직임을 보이는 경우가 많기 때문에 실제 거래 전략에 활용되기가 어려운 면이 있습니다.
따라서, 이러한 해설 방법은 차트 분석을 할 때 참고 자료로 활용하는 것이 좋습니다.
-------------------------------
(두번째 해석 방법)
OBV 지표의 고점과 저점을 기준하여 지지와 저항선을 그려
- OBV 지표가 이전 고점을 상향 돌파하면 상승세를 보일 가능성이 높고,
- OBV 지표가 이전 저점을 하향 돌파하면 하락세를 보일 가능성이 높습니다.
이러한 해석 방법은 첫번째 해석 방법보다 좀 더 신뢰성이 있는 방법이지만, 고점과 저점을 기준으로 지지와 저항선을 나누어 생각해야 하는 단점이 있습니다.
-
이를 보완하고자 고점에 대한 High선과 저점에 대한 Low선을 추가하였습니다.
- OBV 지표가 각 선(Low, HL2, High)을 상향 돌파하는 모습을 보이면 가격이 상승할 가능성이 높고,
- OBV 지표가 각 선(Low, HL2, High)을 하향 돌파하는 모습을 보이면 가격이 하락할 가능성이 높습니다.
-
또한, Low선과 High선을 볼린저밴드와 같이 해석할 수 있습니다.
즉, Low선과 High선이 수축하는 모습을 보이면 가격은 횡보할 가능성이 높고, 확장하는 모습을 보이면 가격은 추세를 나타낼 가능성이 높습니다.
따라서, 수축한 상태에서
- High선을 상향 돌파하게 되면 상승세를 나타낼 가능성이 높고,
- Low선을 하향 돌파하게 되면 하락세를 나타낼 가능성이 높습니다.
확장된 상태에서는 신규 거래를 진행하기 보다 수익 실현할 시점을 찾는데 집중해야 합니다.
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실제 거래량의 변화를 해석하여 거래 전략을 만드는데 활용하기가 쉽지 않습니다.
특히, 하나의 코인(토큰)에 대해서 여러 개의 거래소가 연동되어 움직임을 나타내는 코인 시장에서는 더욱 어려움이 있습니다.
따라서, 코인 시장은 추세 추종으로 아예 거래량을 참고하지 않고 거래를 진행하는 방법이 활성화되어 있기도 합니다.
하지만, 거래량의 변화를 해석하여 거래 시점을 찾는데 활용한다면 보다 정확한 거래 시점을 찾는데 도움을 받을 수 있다고 생각합니다.
그러한 의미에서 OBV 지표의 High선과 Low선을 추가한 지표가 의미 있는 참고 자료로 활용될 수 있다고 생각합니다.
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Exposure Oscillator (Cumulative 0 to ±100%)
Exposure Oscillator (Cumulative 0 to ±100%)
This Pine Script indicator plots an "Exposure Oscillator" on the chart, which tracks the cumulative market exposure from a range of technical buy and sell signals. The exposure is measured on a scale from -100% (maximum short exposure) to +100% (maximum long exposure), helping traders assess the strength of their position in the market. It provides an intuitive visual cue to aid decision-making for trend-following strategies.
Buy Signals (Increase Exposure Score by +10%)
Buy Signal 1 (Cross Above 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses above the 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), where the current bar closes above the EMA21, and the previous bar closed below the EMA21. This indicates a potential upward price movement as the market shifts into a bullish trend.
buySignal1 = ta.crossover(close, ema21)
Buy Signal 2 (Trending Above 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price closes above the 21-period EMA for each of the last 5 bars, indicating a sustained bullish trend. It confirms that the price is consistently above the EMA21 for a significant period.
buySignal2 = ta.barssince(close <= ema21) > 5
Buy Signal 3 (Living Above 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price has closed above the 21-period EMA for each of the last 15 bars, demonstrating a strong, prolonged uptrend.
buySignal3 = ta.barssince(close <= ema21) > 15
Buy Signal 4 (Cross Above 50 SMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses above the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), where the current bar closes above the 50 SMA, and the previous bar closed below it. It indicates a shift toward bullish momentum.
buySignal4 = ta.crossover(close, sma50)
Buy Signal 5 (Cross Above 200 SMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses above the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), where the current bar closes above the 200 SMA, and the previous bar closed below it. This suggests a long-term bullish trend.
buySignal5 = ta.crossover(close, sma200)
Buy Signal 6 (Low Above 50 SMA):
This signal is true when the lowest price of the current bar is above the 50-period SMA, indicating strong bullish pressure as the price maintains itself above the moving average.
buySignal6 = low > sma50
Buy Signal 7 (Accumulation Day):
An accumulation day occurs when the closing price is in the upper half of the daily range (greater than 50%) and the volume is larger than the previous bar's volume, suggesting buying pressure and accumulation.
buySignal7 = (close - low) / (high - low) > 0.5 and volume > volume
Buy Signal 8 (Higher High):
This signal occurs when the current bar’s high exceeds the highest high of the previous 14 bars, indicating a breakout or strong upward momentum.
buySignal8 = high > ta.highest(high, 14)
Buy Signal 9 (Key Reversal Bar):
This signal is generated when the stock opens below the low of the previous bar but rallies to close above the previous bar’s high, signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
buySignal9 = open < low and close > high
Buy Signal 10 (Distribution Day Fall Off):
This signal is triggered when a distribution day (a day with high volume and a close near the low of the range) "falls off" the rolling 25-bar period, indicating the end of a bearish trend or selling pressure.
buySignal10 = ta.barssince(close < sma50 and close < sma50) > 25
Sell Signals (Decrease Exposure Score by -10%)
Sell Signal 1 (Cross Below 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses below the 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), where the current bar closes below the EMA21, and the previous bar closed above it. It suggests that the market may be shifting from a bullish trend to a bearish trend.
sellSignal1 = ta.crossunder(close, ema21)
Sell Signal 2 (Trending Below 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price closes below the 21-period EMA for each of the last 5 bars, indicating a sustained bearish trend.
sellSignal2 = ta.barssince(close >= ema21) > 5
Sell Signal 3 (Living Below 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price has closed below the 21-period EMA for each of the last 15 bars, suggesting a strong downtrend.
sellSignal3 = ta.barssince(close >= ema21) > 15
Sell Signal 4 (Cross Below 50 SMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses below the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), where the current bar closes below the 50 SMA, and the previous bar closed above it. It indicates the start of a bearish trend.
sellSignal4 = ta.crossunder(close, sma50)
Sell Signal 5 (Cross Below 200 SMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses below the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), where the current bar closes below the 200 SMA, and the previous bar closed above it. It indicates a long-term bearish trend.
sellSignal5 = ta.crossunder(close, sma200)
Sell Signal 6 (High Below 50 SMA):
This signal is true when the highest price of the current bar is below the 50-period SMA, indicating weak bullishness or a potential bearish reversal.
sellSignal6 = high < sma50
Sell Signal 7 (Distribution Day):
A distribution day is identified when the closing range of a bar is less than 50% and the volume is larger than the previous bar's volume, suggesting that selling pressure is increasing.
sellSignal7 = (close - low) / (high - low) < 0.5 and volume > volume
Sell Signal 8 (Lower Low):
This signal occurs when the current bar's low is less than the lowest low of the previous 14 bars, indicating a breakdown or strong downward momentum.
sellSignal8 = low < ta.lowest(low, 14)
Sell Signal 9 (Downside Reversal Bar):
A downside reversal bar occurs when the stock opens above the previous bar's high but falls to close below the previous bar’s low, signaling a reversal from bullish to bearish.
sellSignal9 = open > high and close < low
Sell Signal 10 (Distribution Cluster):
This signal is triggered when a distribution day occurs three times in the rolling 7-bar period, indicating significant selling pressure.
sellSignal10 = ta.valuewhen((close < low) and volume > volume , 1, 7) >= 3
Theme Mode:
Users can select the theme mode (Auto, Dark, or Light) to match the chart's background or to manually choose a light or dark theme for the oscillator's appearance.
Exposure Score Calculation: The script calculates a cumulative exposure score based on a series of buy and sell signals.
Buy signals increase the exposure score, while sell signals decrease it. Each signal impacts the score by ±10%.
Signal Conditions: The buy and sell signals are derived from multiple conditions, including crossovers with moving averages (EMA21, SMA50, SMA200), trend behavior, and price/volume analysis.
Oscillator Visualization: The exposure score is visualized as a line on the chart, changing color based on whether the exposure is positive (long position) or negative (short position). It is limited to the range of -100% to +100%.
Position Type: The indicator also indicates the position type based on the exposure score, labeling it as "Long," "Short," or "Neutral."
Horizontal Lines: Reference lines at 0%, 100%, and -100% visually mark neutral, increasing long, and increasing short exposure levels.
Exposure Table: A table displays the current exposure level (in percentage) and position type ("Long," "Short," or "Neutral"), updated dynamically based on the oscillator’s value.
Inputs:
Theme Mode: Choose "Auto" to use the default chart theme, or manually select "Dark" or "Light."
Usage:
This oscillator is designed to help traders track market sentiment, gauge exposure levels, and manage risk. It can be used for long-term trend-following strategies or short-term trades based on moving average crossovers and volume analysis.
The oscillator operates in conjunction with the chart’s price action and provides a visual representation of the market’s current trend strength and exposure.
Important Considerations:
Risk Management: While the exposure score provides valuable insight, it should be combined with other risk management tools and analysis for optimal trading decisions.
Signal Sensitivity: The accuracy and effectiveness of the signals depend on market conditions and may require adjustments based on the user’s trading strategy or timeframe.
Disclaimer:
This script is for educational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk, and users should carefully evaluate all market conditions and apply appropriate risk management strategies before using this tool in live trading environments.
PERFECT PIVOT RANGE DR ABIRAM SIVPRASAD (PPR)PERFECT PIVOT RANGE (PPR) by Dr. Abhiram Sivprasad
The Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of key support and resistance levels based on pivot points across different timeframes. This versatile tool allows users to visualize daily, weekly, and monthly pivots along with high and low levels from previous periods, helping traders identify potential areas of price reversals or breakouts.
Features:
Multi-Timeframe Pivots:
Daily, weekly, and monthly pivot levels (Pivot Point, Support 1 & 2, Resistance 1 & 2).
Helps traders understand price levels across various timeframes, from short-term (daily) to long-term (monthly).
Previous High-Low Levels:
Displays the previous week, month, and day high-low levels to highlight key zones of historical support and resistance.
Traders can easily see areas of price action from prior periods, giving context for future price movements.
Customizable Options:
Users can choose which pivot levels and high-lows to display, allowing for flexibility based on trading preferences.
Visual settings can be toggled on and off to suit different trading strategies and timeframes.
Real-Time Data:
All pivot points and levels are dynamically calculated based on real-time price data, ensuring accurate and up-to-date information for decision-making.
How to Use:
Pivot Points: Use daily, weekly, or monthly pivot points to find potential support or resistance levels. Prices above the pivot suggest bullish sentiment, while prices below indicate bearishness.
Previous High-Low: The high-low levels from previous days, weeks, or months can serve as critical zones where price may reverse or break through, indicating potential trade entries or exits.
Confluence: When pivot points or high-low levels overlap across multiple timeframes, they become even stronger levels of support or resistance.
This indicator is suitable for all types of traders (scalpers, swing traders, and long-term investors) looking to enhance their technical analysis and make more informed trading decisions.
Here are three detailed trading strategies for using the Perfect Pivot Range (PPR) indicator for options, stocks, and commodities:
1. Options Buying Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Buying Call and Put Options Based on Pivot Breakouts
Objective: To capitalize on sharp price movements when key pivot levels are breached, leading to high returns with limited risk in options trading.
Timeframe: 15-minute to 1-hour chart for intraday option trading.
Steps:
Identify the Key Levels:
Use weekly pivots for intraday trading, as they provide more significant levels for options.
Enable the "Previous Week High-Low" to gauge support and resistance from the previous week.
Call Option Setup (Bullish Breakout):
Condition: If the price breaks above the weekly pivot point (PP) with high momentum (indicated by a strong bullish candle), it signifies potential bullishness.
Action: Buy Call Options at the breakout of the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Check if the price is sustaining above the pivot with a minimum of 1-2 candles (depending on timeframe) and the first resistance (R1) isn’t too far away.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous week’s high can be your target for exiting the trade.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the pivot point (PP) to limit risk.
Put Option Setup (Bearish Breakdown):
Condition: If the price breaks below the weekly pivot (PP) with strong bearish momentum, it’s a signal to expect a downward move.
Action: Buy Put Options on a breakdown below the weekly pivot.
Confirmation: Ensure that the price is closing below the pivot, and check for declining volumes or bearish candles.
Target: The first support (S1) or the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss just above the pivot point (PP).
Example:
Let’s say the weekly pivot point (PP) is at 1500, the price breaks above and sustains at 1510. You buy a Call Option with a strike price near 1500, and the target will be the first resistance (R1) at 1530.
2. Stock Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Swing Trading Using Pivot Points and Previous High-Low Levels
Objective: To capture mid-term stock price movements using pivot points and historical high-low levels for better trade entries and exits.
Timeframe: 1-day or 4-hour chart for swing trading.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Start by determining the overall trend of the stock using the weekly pivots. If the price is consistently above the pivot point (PP), the trend is bullish; if below, the trend is bearish.
Buy Setup (Bullish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the stock bounces off the weekly pivot point (PP) or previous week’s low, it signals a bullish reversal.
Action: Enter a long position near the pivot or previous week’s low.
Confirmation: Look for a bullish candle pattern or increasing volumes.
Target: Set your first target at the first resistance (R1) or the previous week’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place your stop-loss just below the previous week’s low or support (S1).
Sell Setup (Bearish Trend Reversal):
Condition: When the price hits the weekly resistance (R1) or previous week’s high and starts to reverse downwards, it’s an opportunity to short-sell the stock.
Action: Enter a short position near the resistance.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volume at the resistance.
Target: Your first target would be the weekly pivot point (PP), with the second target as the previous week’s low.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just above the resistance (R1).
Use Previous High-Low Levels:
The previous week’s high and low are key levels where price reversals often occur, so use them as reference points for potential entry and exit.
Example:
Stock XYZ is trading at 200. The previous week’s low is 195, and it bounces off that level. You enter a long position with a target of 210 (previous week’s high) and place a stop-loss at 193.
3. Commodity Trading Strategy with PPR Indicator
Strategy: Trend Continuation and Reversal in Commodities
Objective: To capitalize on the strong trends in commodities by using pivot points as key support and resistance levels for trend continuation and reversal.
Timeframe: 1-hour to 4-hour charts for commodities like Gold, Crude Oil, Silver, etc.
Steps:
Identify the Trend:
Use monthly pivots for long-term commodities trading since commodities often follow macroeconomic trends.
The monthly pivot point (PP) will give an idea of the long-term trend direction.
Trend Continuation Setup (Bullish Commodity):
Condition: If the price is consistently trading above the monthly pivot and pulling back towards the pivot without breaking below it, it indicates a bullish continuation.
Action: Enter a long position when the price tests the monthly pivot (PP) and starts moving up again.
Confirmation: Look for a strong bullish candle or an increase in volume to confirm the continuation.
Target: The first resistance (R1) or previous month’s high.
Stop-Loss: Place the stop-loss below the monthly pivot (PP).
Trend Reversal Setup (Bearish Commodity):
Condition: When the price reverses from the monthly resistance (R1) or previous month’s high, it’s a signal for a bearish reversal.
Action: Enter a short position at the resistance level.
Confirmation: Watch for bearish candle patterns or decreasing volumes at the resistance.
Target: Set your first target as the monthly pivot (PP) or the first support (S1).
Stop-Loss: Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance level.
Using Previous High-Low for Swing Trades:
The previous month’s high and low are important in commodities. They often act as barriers to price movement, so traders should look for breakouts or reversals near these levels.
Example:
Gold is trading at $1800, with a monthly pivot at $1780 and the previous month’s high at $1830. If the price pulls back to $1780 and starts moving up again, you enter a long trade with a target of $1830, placing your stop-loss below $1770.
Key Points Across All Strategies:
Multiple Timeframes: Always use a combination of timeframes for confirmation. For example, a daily chart may show a bullish setup, but the weekly pivot levels can provide a larger trend context.
Volume: Volume is key in confirming the strength of price movement. Always confirm breakouts or reversals with rising or declining volume.
Risk Management: Set tight stop-loss levels just below support or above resistance to minimize risk and lock in profits at pivot points.
Each of these strategies leverages the powerful pivot and high-low levels provided by the PPR indicator to give traders clear entry, exit, and risk management points across different markets
Azmi Moving AveragesThis trading indicator, designed using Pine Script, incorporates two simple moving averages (SMAs) with the same length but different data sources. Here's a detailed description of the indicator:
### Indicator Overview
**Name:** Two Moving Averages
### Inputs
1. **Length (20):** The period over which the moving averages are calculated. Both moving averages use a length of 20 periods.
2. **Source:**
- **High:** The first moving average is calculated using the high prices of the candles.
- **Low:** The second moving average is calculated using the low prices of the candles.
### Calculations
1. **MA High (maHigh):** This is the simple moving average of the high prices over the specified length (20 periods). It smooths the high prices over time, showing the average high price trend.
2. **MA Low (maLow):** This is the simple moving average of the low prices over the same length (20 periods). It smooths the low prices over time, showing the average low price trend.
### Plotting
- **MA High (Blue Line):** This line represents the moving average of the high prices. It is plotted in blue with a line width of 2.
- **MA Low (Red Line):** This line represents the moving average of the low prices. It is plotted in red with a line width of 2.
### Interpretation
1. **Trend Identification:**
- **Bullish Trend:** When the MA High is above the MA Low, it generally indicates a bullish trend, as the average high prices are higher than the average low prices.
- **Bearish Trend:** When the MA High is below the MA Low, it suggests a bearish trend, as the average high prices are lower than the average low prices.
2. **Support and Resistance:**
- The MA High can act as a dynamic resistance level, where the price may face selling pressure.
- The MA Low can act as a dynamic support level, where the price may find buying interest.
3. **Price Channels:**
- The area between the MA High and MA Low creates a channel that can help traders visualize the range within which the price is fluctuating. This channel can be used to identify potential breakout or breakdown points.
### Example Usage
- **Buy Signal:** A potential buy signal may occur when the price crosses above both the MA High and MA Low, indicating a possible upward trend.
- **Sell Signal:** A potential sell signal may occur when the price crosses below both the MA High and MA Low, indicating a possible downward trend.
This indicator provides a visual representation of the average high and low prices, helping traders identify trends, potential support and resistance levels, and price channels for better trading decisions.
Danger Signals from The Trading MindwheelThe " Danger Signals " indicator, a collaborative creation from the minds at Amphibian Trading and MARA Wealth, serves as your vigilant lookout in the volatile world of stock trading. Drawing from the wisdom encapsulated in "The Trading Mindwheel" and the successful methodologies of legends like William O'Neil and Mark Minervini, this tool is engineered to safeguard your trading journey.
Core Features:
Real-Time Alerts: Identify critical danger signals as they emerge in the market. Whether it's a single day of heightened risk or a pattern forming, stay informed with specific danger signals and a tally of signals for comprehensive decision-making support. The indicator looks for over 30 different signals ranging from simple closing ranges to more complex signals like blow off action.
Tailored Insights with Portfolio Heat Integration: Pair with the "Portfolio Heat" indicator to customize danger signals based on your current positions, entry points, and stops. This personalized approach ensures that the insights are directly relevant to your trading strategy. Certain signals can have different meanings based on where your trade is at in its lifecycle. Blow off action at the beginning of a trend can be viewed as strength, while after an extended run could signal an opportunity to lock in profits.
Forward-Looking Analysis: Leverage the 'Potential Danger Signals' feature to assess future risks. Enter hypothetical price levels to understand potential market reactions before they unfold, enabling proactive trade management.
The indicator offers two different modes of 'Potential Danger Signals', Worst Case or Immediate. Worst Case allows the user to input any price and see what signals would fire based on price reaching that level, while the Immediate mode looks for potential Danger Signals that could happen on the next bar.
This is achieved by adding and subtracting the average daily range to the current bars close while also forecasting the next values of moving averages, vwaps, risk multiples and the relative strength line to see if a Danger Signal would trigger.
User Customization: Flexibility is at your fingertips with toggle options for each danger signal. Tailor the indicator to match your unique trading style and risk tolerance. No two traders are the same, that is why each signal is able to be turned on or off to match your trading personality.
Versatile Application: Ideal for growth stock traders, momentum swing traders, and adherents of the CANSLIM methodology. Whether you're a novice or a seasoned investor, this tool aligns with strategies influenced by trading giants.
Validation and Utility:
Inspired by the trade management principles of Michael Lamothe, the " Danger Signals " indicator is more than just a tool; it's a reflection of tested strategies that highlight the importance of risk management. Through rigorous validation, including the insights from "The Trading Mindwheel," this indicator helps traders navigate the complexities of the market with an informed, strategic approach.
Whether you're contemplating a new position or evaluating an existing one, the " Danger Signals " indicator is designed to provide the clarity needed to avoid potential pitfalls and capitalize on opportunities with confidence. Embrace a smarter way to trade, where awareness and preparation open the door to success.
Let's dive into each of the components of this indicator.
Volume: Volume refers to the number of shares or contracts traded in a security or an entire market during a given period. It is a measure of the total trading activity and liquidity, indicating the overall interest in a stock or market.
Price Action: the analysis of historical prices to inform trading decisions, without the use of technical indicators. It focuses on the movement of prices to identify patterns, trends, and potential reversal points in the market.
Relative Strength Line: The RS line is a popular tool used to compare the performance of a stock, typically calculated as the ratio of the stock's price to a benchmark index's price. It helps identify outperformers and underperformers relative to the market or a specific sector. The RS value is calculated by dividing the close price of the chosen stock by the close price of the comparative symbol (SPX by default).
Average True Range (ATR): ATR is a market volatility indicator used to show the average range prices swing over a specified period. It is calculated by taking the moving average of the true ranges of a stock for a specific period. The true range for a period is the greatest of the following three values:
The difference between the current high and the current low.
The absolute value of the current high minus the previous close.
The absolute value of the current low minus the previous close.
Average Daily Range (ADR): ADR is a measure used in trading to capture the average range between the high and low prices of an asset over a specified number of past trading days. Unlike the Average True Range (ATR), which accounts for gaps in the price from one day to the next, the Average Daily Range focuses solely on the trading range within each day and averages it out.
Anchored VWAP: AVWAP gives the average price of an asset, weighted by volume, starting from a specific anchor point. This provides traders with a dynamic average price considering both price and volume from a specific start point, offering insights into the market's direction and potential support or resistance levels.
Moving Averages: Moving Averages smooth out price data by creating a constantly updated average price over a specific period of time. It helps traders identify trends by flattening out the fluctuations in price data.
Stochastic: A stochastic oscillator is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that compares a particular closing price of an asset to a range of its prices over a certain period of time. The theory behind the stochastic oscillator is that in a market trending upwards, prices will tend to close near their high, and in a market trending downwards, prices close near their low.
While each of these components offer unique insights into market behavior, providing sell signals under specific conditions, the power of combining these different signals lies in their ability to confirm each other's signals. This in turn reduces false positives and provides a more reliable basis for trading decisions
These signals can be recognized at any time, however the indicators power is in it's ability to take into account where a trade is in terms of your entry price and stop.
If a trade just started, it hasn’t earned much leeway. Kind of like a new employee that shows up late on the first day of work. It’s less forgivable than say the person who has been there for a while, has done well, is on time, and then one day comes in late.
Contextual Sensitivity:
For instance, a high volume sell-off coupled with a bearish price action pattern significantly strengthens the sell signal. When the price closes below an Anchored VWAP or a critical moving average in this context, it reaffirms the bearish sentiment, suggesting that the momentum is likely to continue downwards.
By considering the relative strength line (RS) alongside volume and price action, the indicator can differentiate between a normal retracement in a strong uptrend and a when a stock starts to become a laggard.
The integration of ATR and ADR provides a dynamic framework that adjusts to the market's volatility. A sudden increase in ATR or a character change detected through comparing short-term and long-term ADR can alert traders to emerging trends or reversals.
The "Danger Signals" indicator exemplifies the power of integrating diverse technical indicators to create a more sophisticated, responsive, and adaptable trading tool. This approach not only amplifies the individual strengths of each indicator but also mitigates their weaknesses.
Portfolio Heat Indicator can be found by clicking on the image below
Danger Signals Included
Price Closes Near Low - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Weekly Low - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less
Price Closes Near Daily Low on Heavy Volume - Daily Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Price Closes Near Weekly Low on Heavy Volume - Weekly Closing Range of 30% or Less on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Weeks
Price Closes Below Moving Average - Price Closes Below One of 5 Selected Moving Averages
Price Closes Below Swing Low - Price Closes Below Most Recent Swing Low
Price Closes Below 1.5 ATR - Price Closes Below Trailing ATR Stop Based on Highest High of Last 10 Days
Price Closes Below AVWAP - Price Closes Below Selected Anchored VWAP (Anchors include: High of base, Low of base, Highest volume of base, Custom date)
Price Shows Aggressive Selling - Current Bars High is Greater Than Previous Day's High and Closes Near the Lows on Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days
Outside Reversal Bar - Price Makes a New High and Closes Near the Lows, Lower Than the Previous Bar's Low
Price Shows Signs of Stalling - Heavy Volume with a Close of Less than 1%
3 Consecutive Days of Lower Lows - 3 Days of Lower Lows
Close Lower than 3 Previous Lows - Close is Less than 3 Previous Lows
Character Change - ADR of Last Shorter Length is Larger than ADR of Longer Length
Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic - Fast Stochastic Crosses Below Slow Stochastic
Fast & Slow Stochastic Curved Down - Both Stochastic Lines Close Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
Lower Lows & Lower Highs Intraday - Lower High and Lower Low on 30 Minute Timeframe
Moving Average Crossunder - Selected MA Crosses Below Other Selected MA
RS Starts Curving Down - Relative Strength Line Closes Lower than Previous Day for 2 Consecutive Days
RS Turns Negative Short Term - RS Closes Below RS of 7 Days Ago
RS Underperforms Price - Relative Strength Line Not at Highs, While Price Is
Moving Average Begins to Flatten Out - First Day MA Doesn't Close Higher
Price Moves Higher on Lighter Volume - Price Makes a New High on Light Volume and 15 Day Average Volume is Less than 50 Day Average
Price Hits % Target - Price Moves Set % Higher from Entry Price
Price Hits R Multiple - Price hits (Entry - Stop Multiplied by Setting) and Added to Entry
Price Hits Overhead Resistance - Price Crosses a Swing High from a Monthly Timeframe Chart from at Least 1 Year Ago
Price Hits Fib Level - Price Crosses a Fib Extension Drawn From Base High to Low
Price Hits a Psychological Level - Price Crosses a Multiple of 0 or 5
Heavy Volume After Significant Move - Above Average and Heaviest Volume of the Last 5 Days 35 Bars or More from Breakout
Moving Averages Begin to Slope Downward - Moving Averages Fall for 2 Consecutive Days
Blow Off Action - Highest Volume, Largest Spread, Multiple Gaps in a Row 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Late Buying Frenzy - ANTS 35 Bars or More Post Breakout
Exhaustion Gap - Gap Up 5% or Higher with Price 125% or More Above 200sma
ZigZag Library [TradingFinder]🔵 Introduction
The "Zig Zag" indicator is an analytical tool that emerges from pricing changes. Essentially, it connects consecutive high and low points in an oscillatory manner. This method helps decipher price changes and can also be useful in identifying traditional patterns.
By sifting through partial price changes, "Zig Zag" can effectively pinpoint price fluctuations within defined time intervals.
🔵 Key Features
1. Drawing the Zig Zag based on Pivot points :
The algorithm is based on pivots that operate consecutively and alternately (switch between high and low swing). In this way, zigzag lines are connected from a swing high to a swing low and from a swing low to a swing high.
Also, with a very low probability, it is possible to have both low pivots and high pivots in one candle. In these cases, the algorithm tries to make the best decision to make the most suitable choice.
You can control what period these decisions are based on through the "PiPe" parameter.
2.Naming and labeling each pivot based on its position as "Higher High" (HH), "Lower Low" (LL), "Higher Low" (HL), and "Lower High" (LH).
Additionally, classic patterns such as HH, LH, LL, and HL can be recognized. All traders analyzing financial markets using classic patterns and Elliot Waves can benefit from the "zigzag" indicator to facilitate their analysis.
" HH ": When the price is higher than the previous peak (Higher High).
" HL ": When the price is higher than the previous low (Higher Low).
" LH ": When the price is lower than the previous peak (Lower High).
" LL ": When the price is lower than the previous low (Lower Low).
🔵 How to Use
First, you can add the library to your code as shown in the example below.
import TFlab/ZigZagLibrary_TradingFinder/1 as ZZ
Function "ZigZag" Parameters :
🟣 Logical Parameters
1. HIGH : You should place the "high" value here. High is a float variable.
2. LOW : You should place the "low" value here. Low is a float variable.
3. BAR_INDEX : You should place the "bar_index" value here. Bar_index is an integer variable.
4. PiPe : The desired pivot period for plotting Zig Zag is placed in this parameter. For example, if you intend to draw a Zig Zag with a Swing Period of 5, you should input 5.
PiPe is an integer variable.
Important :
Apart from the "PiPe" indicator, which is part of the customization capabilities of this indicator, you can create a multi-time frame mode for the indicator using 3 parameters "High", "Low" and "BAR_INDEX". In this way, instead of the data of the current time frame, use the data of other time frames.
Note that it is better to use the current time frame data, because using the multi-time frame mode is associated with challenges that may cause bugs in your code.
🟣 Setting Parameters
5. SHOW_LINE : It's a boolean variable. When true, the Zig Zag line is displayed, and when false, the Zig Zag line display is disabled.
6. STYLE_LINE : In this variable, you can determine the style of the Zig Zag line. You can input one of the 3 options: line.style_solid, line.style_dotted, line.style_dashed. STYLE_LINE is a constant string variable.
7. COLOR_LINE : This variable takes the input of the line color.
8. WIDTH_LINE : The input for this variable is a number from 1 to 3, which is used to adjust the thickness of the line that draws the Zig Zag. WIDTH_LINE is an integer variable.
9. SHOW_LABEL : It's a boolean variable. When true, labels are displayed, and when false, label display is disabled.
10. COLOR_LABEL : The color of the labels is set in this variable.
11. SIZE_LABEL : The size of the labels is set in this variable. You should input one of the following options: size.auto, size.tiny, size.small, size.normal, size.large, size.huge.
12. Show_Support : It's a boolean variable that, when true, plots the last support line, and when false, disables its plotting.
13. Show_Resistance : It's a boolean variable that, when true, plots the last resistance line, and when false, disables its plotting.
Suggestion :
You can use the following code snippet to import Zig Zag into your code for time efficiency.
//import Library
import TFlab/ZigZagLibrary_TradingFinder/1 as ZZ
// Input and Setting
// Zig Zag Line
ShZ = input.bool(true , 'Show Zig Zag Line', group = 'Zig Zag') //Show Zig Zag
PPZ = input.int(5 ,'Pivot Period Zig Zag Line' , group = 'Zig Zag') //Pivot Period Zig Zag
ZLS = input.string(line.style_dashed , 'Zig Zag Line Style' , options = , group = 'Zig Zag' )
//Zig Zag Line Style
ZLC = input.color(color.rgb(0, 0, 0) , 'Zig Zag Line Color' , group = 'Zig Zag') //Zig Zag Line Color
ZLW = input.int(1 , 'Zig Zag Line Width' , group = 'Zig Zag')//Zig Zag Line Width
// Label
ShL = input.bool(true , 'Label', group = 'Label') //Show Label
LC = input.color(color.rgb(0, 0, 0) , 'Label Color' , group = 'Label')//Label Color
LS = input.string(size.tiny , 'Label size' , options = , group = 'Label' )//Label size
Show_Support= input.bool(false, 'Show Last Support',
tooltip = 'Last Support' , group = 'Support and Resistance')
Show_Resistance = input.bool(false, 'Show Last Resistance',
tooltip = 'Last Resistance' , group = 'Support and Resistance')
//Call Function
ZZ.ZigZag(high ,low ,bar_index ,PPZ , ShZ ,ZLS , ZLC, ZLW ,ShL , LC , LS , Show_Support , Show_Resistance )
Key Levels | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new Key Levels indicator! This indicator allows you to see the key levels on the current chart such as previous day lows / highs, pre-market data, yesterday's close, today's open, pivot points, and much more! It's highly user-friendly with every line being individually customizable and having a wide range of text options.
Features of the new Key Levels indicator :
Today & Yesterday High, Low, Open & Close
Previous 3-10th Day Highs & Lows
Pre-Market Highs & Lows
Previous Month High & Low
High & Low Pivots
Combination Of Same Levels
Wide Customization Options
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
Key levels are important areas in a chart where a significant reaction is expected. In this indicator, you can enable up to the previous 10 days highs and lows, yesterday's close / today's open, and the latest pivot points. Key levels generally act like support & resistance. Here are a few examples :
As shown, key levels play an important role determining the current trend and can be useful in identifying potential levels where the market will reverse or breakout.
🚩UNIQUENESS
1. More Key Levels
We believe that past key levels may be as important as current ones. Some of the key-levels indicators do not include them even though strong reactions can happen around them. Thus, our indicator let's you check up to 10 days backwards.
You can select the ones you think that are the most important and just enable them, making the indicator customizable to your liking.
2. Pre-Market Data
With assets that have pre-market data available, it's crucial to analyze it to have a better understanding of the market in regular trading hours. Our indicator will plot pre-market highs and lows, even if your chart is in the regular trading hours only mode. We believe this will be helpful with your analyzing process.
3. Combination
The indicator can dynamically combine same key levels, so you can have a clear look to the chart without lines & text colliding with each other. This would also help you determine stronger key levels as if a key level occured more than a time, it could be a sign that it's a stronger one. An example :
To summarize, using key levels is an essential skill while detecting zones where strong reactions are expected. This indicator provides up to 10 day's high and low levels, and all of them can be individually turned on / off. Traders that believe older key levels can be important and want to look at the whole picture may use this feature. Also for assets that have pre-market data available, the indicator provides pre-market levels as well. Besides all that, High & Low pivots will provide latest key levels so traders can use them in their decisions.
⚙️SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
You can enable / disable :
1. Today's High / Low / Open
2. Yesterday's High / Low / Close
3. 3th-10th Day High / Low
4. Pre-Market High / Low
5. Previous Month High / Low
You can also change the colors and switch their line styles between solid, dashed and dotted.
2. High & Low Pivots
Enabled -> Enable / Disable High & Low Pivots
Pivot Range -> The range used in the detection of pivot points. Larger values will result in less pivot points, while smaller values will provide more pivot points. This essentially determines how many bars to the right & left shouldn't exceed the pivot's high or low.
You can also change the text color and text size of the pivots from the settings.
3. Style settings
Text Offset -> How many bars of offset should the texts have to the right. Increase if text collides with bars while Align Labels option is set to "Right".
Extend Lines -> If enabled, lines will be extended infinitely to right & left. If disabled, all lines will be clamped in their timelines.
Show Line Values -> If enabled, line information text will contain their price.
Align Labels ->
Right = Align line labels to right.
Center = Line labels will always be at the center of the screen.
Bearish Alternate Flag Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws bearish alternate flag patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Broken and Unbroken Peaks and Troughs
Upon the completion of a new swing low the high of the green candle that completes the swing low will be above, below or equal to the current peak price. And similarly, upon the completion of a new swing high the low of the red candle that completes the swing high will be above, below or equal to the current trough price.
If the high price of the green candle that completes the current swing low is higher than or equal to the current peak price then the current peak is broken. If the high of the green candle that completes the current swing low is below the current peak price, then the current peak is unbroken.
Similarly, if the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is lower than or equal to the current trough price then the current trough is broken. If the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is above the current trough price, then the current trough is unbroken.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Bullish and Bearish Alternate Flag Patterns
• Bullish alternate flags are composed of one peak and two troughs. The second trough being higher than the first.
• Bearish alternate flags are composed of one trough and two peaks. The second peak being lower than the first.
In this script I have used minimum and maximum retracement and extension ratios to set parameters for pattern identification:
• Wave 1 of the pattern, referred to as AB, is set to a minimum ratio of 100%.
• Wave 2 of the pattern, referred to as BC, is set to a maximum ratio of 30%.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Unbroken Troughs
• AB Minimum Ratio
• BC Maximum Ratio
• Pole Color
• Flag Color
• Extend Current Flag Lines
• Show Labels
• Label Color
• Show Projection Lines
• Extend Current Projection Lines
Alerts
Users can set alerts for when the patterns occur.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
Bullish Alternate Flag Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws bullish alternate flag patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Broken and Unbroken Peaks and Troughs
Upon the completion of a new swing low the high of the green candle that completes the swing low will be above, below or equal to the current peak price. And similarly, upon the completion of a new swing high the low of the red candle that completes the swing high will be above, below or equal to the current trough price.
If the high price of the green candle that completes the current swing low is higher than or equal to the current peak price then the current peak is broken. If the high of the green candle that completes the current swing low is below the current peak price, then the current peak is unbroken.
Similarly, if the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is lower than or equal to the current trough price then the current trough is broken. If the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is above the current trough price, then the current trough is unbroken.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Bullish and Bearish Alternate Flag Patterns
• Bullish alternate flags are composed of one peak and two troughs. The second trough being higher than the first.
• Bearish alternate flags are composed of one trough and two peaks. The second peak being lower than the first.
In this script I have used minimum and maximum retracement and extension ratios to set parameters for pattern identification:
• Wave 1 of the pattern, referred to as AB, is set to a minimum ratio of 100%.
• Wave 2 of the pattern, referred to as BC, is set to a maximum ratio of 30%.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Unbroken Peaks
• AB Minimum Ratio
• BC Maximum Ratio
• Pole Color
• Flag Color
• Extend Current Flag Lines
• Show Labels
• Label Color
• Show Projection Lines
• Extend Current Projection Lines
Alerts
Users can set alerts for when the patterns occur.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
Bearish Pennant Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws bearish pennant patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Broken and Unbroken Peaks and Troughs
Upon the completion of a new swing low the high of the green candle that completes the swing low will be above, below or equal to the current peak price. And similarly, upon the completion of a new swing high the low of the red candle that completes the swing high will be above, below or equal to the current trough price.
If the high price of the green candle that completes the current swing low is higher than or equal to the current peak price then the current peak is broken. If the high of the green candle that completes the current swing low is below the current peak price, then the current peak is unbroken.
Similarly, if the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is lower than or equal to the current trough price then the current trough is broken. If the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is above the current trough price, then the current trough is unbroken.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Bullish and Bearish Pennant Patterns
• Bullish pennants are generally composed of three troughs and two peaks. The first peak being higher than the second peak and the first trough being lower than both the second and third troughs, with the third trough being higher than the second trough.
• Bearish pennants are generally composed of three peaks and two troughs. The first trough being lower than the second trough and the first peak being higher than both the second and third peaks, with third peak being lower than the second peak.
In this script I have used minimum and maximum retracement and extension ratios to set parameters for pattern identification:
• Wave 1 of the pattern, referred to as AB, is set to a minimum ratio of 100%.
• Wave 2 of the pattern, referred to as BC, is set to a maximum ratio of 30%.
• Wave 3 of the pattern, referred to as CD, has no ratio measurements but will always be below 100% by default.
• Wave 4 of the pattern, referred to as DE, has no ratio measurements but will always be below 100% by default.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Unbroken Troughs
• AB Minimum Ratio
• BC Maximum Ratio
• Pole Color
• Flag Color
• Extend Current Flag Lines
• Show Labels
• Label Color
• Show Projection Lines
• Extend Current Projection Lines
Alerts
Users can set alerts for when the patterns occur.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
Bullish Pennant Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws bullish pennant patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Broken and Unbroken Peaks and Troughs
Upon the completion of a new swing low the high of the green candle that completes the swing low will be above, below or equal to the current peak price. And similarly, upon the completion of a new swing high the low of the red candle that completes the swing high will be above, below or equal to the current trough price.
If the high price of the green candle that completes the current swing low is higher than or equal to the current peak price then the current peak is broken. If the high of the green candle that completes the current swing low is below the current peak price, then the current peak is unbroken.
Similarly, if the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is lower than or equal to the current trough price then the current trough is broken. If the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is above the current trough price, then the current trough is unbroken.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Trends
• A multi-part return line uptrend begins with the formation of a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, and continues until a new downtrend, or lower peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part downtrend begins with the formation of a new downtrend, or lower peak, and continues until a new return line uptrend, or higher peak, completes the trend.
• A multi-part uptrend begins with the formation of a new uptrend, or higher trough, and continues until a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, completes the trend.
• A multi-part return line downtrend begins with the formation of a new return line downtrend, or lower trough, and continues until a new uptrend, or higher trough, completes the trend.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Bullish and Bearish Pennant Patterns
• Bullish pennants are generally composed of three troughs and two peaks. The first peak being higher than the second peak and the first trough being lower than both the second and third troughs, with the third trough being higher than the second trough.
• Bearish pennants are generally composed of three peaks and two troughs. The first trough being lower than the second trough and the first peak being higher than both the second and third peaks, with third peak being lower than the second peak.
In this script I have used minimum and maximum retracement and extension ratios to set parameters for pattern identification:
• Wave 1 of the pattern, referred to as AB, is set to a minimum ratio of 100%.
• Wave 2 of the pattern, referred to as BC, is set to a maximum ratio of 30%.
• Wave 3 of the pattern, referred to as CD, has no ratio measurements but will always be below 100% by default.
• Wave 4 of the pattern, referred to as DE, has no ratio measurements but will always be below 100% by default.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Unbroken Peaks
• AB Minimum Ratio
• BC Maximum Ratio
• Pole Color
• Flag Color
• Extend Current Flag Lines
• Show Labels
• Label Color
• Show Projection Lines
• Extend Current Projection Lines
Alerts
Users can set alerts for when the patterns occur.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work
Bearish Flag Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws bearish flag patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Broken and Unbroken Peaks and Troughs
Upon the completion of a new swing low the high of the green candle that completes the swing low will be above, below or equal to the current peak price. And similarly, upon the completion of a new swing high the low of the red candle that completes the swing high will be above, below or equal to the current trough price.
If the high price of the green candle that completes the current swing low is higher than or equal to the current peak price then the current peak is broken. If the high of the green candle that completes the current swing low is below the current peak price, then the current peak is unbroken.
Similarly, if the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is lower than or equal to the current trough price then the current trough is broken. If the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is above the current trough price, then the current trough is unbroken.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Bullish and Bearish Flag Patterns
• Bullish flags are generally composed of three troughs and two peaks. The first peak being higher than the second peak and the second trough being higher than the first trough. The third trough must be lower than the second trough but higher than the first.
• Bearish flags are generally composed of three peaks and two troughs. The first trough being lower than the second trough and the second peak being lower than the first peak. The third peak must be higher than the second peak but lower than the first.
In this script I have used minimum and maximum retracement and extension ratios to set parameters for pattern identification:
• Wave 1 of the pattern, referred to as AB, is set to a minimum ratio of 100%.
• Wave 2 of the pattern, referred to as BC, is set to a maximum ratio of 30%.
• Wave 3 of the pattern, referred to as CD, has no ratio measurements but will always be below 100% by default.
• Wave 4 of the pattern, referred to as DE, has no ratio measurements but will always be above 100% by default.
• The last measure, referred to as BE, is that of the range set between points B and E as a ratio of the range set by wave 1, which is set to a maximum ratio of 40%.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Unbroken Troughs
• AB Minimum Ratio
• BC Maximum Ratio
• BE Maximum Ratio
• Pole Color
• Flag Color
• Extend Current Flag Lines
• Show Labels
• Label Color
• Show Projection Lines
• Extend Current Projection Lines
Alerts
Users can set alerts for when the patterns occur.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
Bullish Flag Patterns [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator automatically draws bullish flag patterns and price projections derived from the ranges that constitute the patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Swing Highs and Swing Lows
• A swing high is a green candle or series of consecutive green candles followed by a single red candle to complete the swing and form the peak.
• A swing low is a red candle or series of consecutive red candles followed by a single green candle to complete the swing and form the trough.
Peak and Trough Prices (Basic)
• The peak price of a complete swing high is the high price of either the red candle that completes the swing high or the high price of the preceding green candle, depending on which is higher.
• The trough price of a complete swing low is the low price of either the green candle that completes the swing low or the low price of the preceding red candle, depending on which is lower.
Historic Peaks and Troughs
The current, or most recent, peak and trough occurrences are referred to as occurrence zero. Previous peak and trough occurrences are referred to as historic and ordered numerically from right to left, with the most recent historic peak and trough occurrences being occurrence one.
Broken and Unbroken Peaks and Troughs
Upon the completion of a new swing low the high of the green candle that completes the swing low will be above, below or equal to the current peak price. And similarly, upon the completion of a new swing high the low of the red candle that completes the swing high will be above, below or equal to the current trough price.
If the high price of the green candle that completes the current swing low is higher than or equal to the current peak price then the current peak is broken. If the high of the green candle that completes the current swing low is below the current peak price, then the current peak is unbroken.
Similarly, if the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is lower than or equal to the current trough price then the current trough is broken. If the low price of the red candle that completes the current swing high is above the current trough price, then the current trough is unbroken.
Range
The range is simply the difference between the current peak and current trough prices, generally expressed in terms of points or pips.
Upper Trends
• A return line uptrend is formed when the current peak price is higher than the preceding peak price.
• A downtrend is formed when the current peak price is lower than the preceding peak price.
• A double-top is formed when the current peak price is equal to the preceding peak price.
Lower Trends
• An uptrend is formed when the current trough price is higher than the preceding trough price.
• A return line downtrend is formed when the current trough price is lower than the preceding trough price.
• A double-bottom is formed when the current trough price is equal to the preceding trough price.
Wave Cycles
A wave cycle is here defined as a complete two-part move between a swing high and a swing low, or a swing low and a swing high. The first swing high or swing low will set the course for the sequence of wave cycles that follow; for example a chart that begins with a swing low will form its first complete wave cycle upon the formation of the first complete swing high and vice versa.
Figure 1.
Retracement and Extension Ratios
Retracement and extension ratios are calculated by dividing the current range by the preceding range and multiplying the answer by 100. Retracement ratios are those that are equal to or below 100% of the preceding range and extension ratios are those that are above 100% of the preceding range.
Bullish and Bearish Flag Patterns
• Bullish flags are generally composed of three troughs and two peaks. The first peak being higher than the second peak and the second trough being higher than the first trough. The third trough must be lower than the second trough but higher than the first.
• Bearish flags are generally composed of three peaks and two troughs. The first trough being lower than the second trough and the second peak being lower than the first peak. The third peak must be higher than the second peak but lower than the first.
In this script I have used minimum and maximum retracement and extension ratios to set parameters for pattern identification:
• Wave 1 of the pattern, referred to as AB, is set to a minimum ratio of 100%.
• Wave 2 of the pattern, referred to as BC, is set to a maximum ratio of 30%.
• Wave 3 of the pattern, referred to as CD, has no ratio measurements but will always be below 100% by default.
• Wave 4 of the pattern, referred to as DE, has no ratio measurements but will always be above 100% by default.
• The last measure, referred to as BE, is that of the range set between points B and E as a ratio of the range set by wave 1, which is set to a maximum ratio of 40%.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Unbroken Peaks
• AB Minimum Ratio
• BC Maximum Ratio
• BE Maximum Ratio
• Pole Color
• Flag Color
• Extend Current Flag Lines
• Show Labels
• Label Color
• Show Projection Lines
• Extend Current Projection Lines
Alerts
Users can set alerts for when the patterns occur.
█ LIMITATIONS
All green and red candle calculations are based on differences between open and close prices, as such I have made no attempt to account for green candles that gap lower and close below the close price of the preceding candle, or red candles that gap higher and close above the close price of the preceding candle. This may cause some unexpected behaviour on some markets and timeframes. I can only recommend using 24-hour markets, if and where possible, as there are far fewer gaps and, generally, more data to work with.
Market Structure & Liquidity: CHoCHs+Nested Pivots+FVGs+Sweeps//Purpose:
This indicator combines several tools to help traders track and interpret price action/market structure; It can be divided into 4 parts;
1. CHoCHs, 2. Nested Pivot highs & lows, 3. Grade sweeps, 4. FVGs.
This gives the trader a toolkit for determining market structure and shifts in market structure to help determine a bull or bear bias, whether it be short-term, med-term or long-term.
This indicator also helps traders in determining liquidity targets: wether they be voids/gaps (FVGS) or old highs/lows+ typical sweep distances.
Finally, the incorporation of HTF CHoCH levels printing on your LTF chart helps keep the bigger picture in mind and tells traders at a glance if they're above of below Custom HTF CHoCH up or CHoCH down (these HTF CHoCHs can be anything from Hourly up to Monthly).
//Nomenclature:
CHoCH = Change of Character
STH/STL = short-term high or low
MTH/MTL = medium-term high or low
LTH/LTL = long-term high or low
FVG = Fair value gap
CE = consequent encroachement (the midline of a FVG)
~~~ The Four components of this indicator ~~~
1. CHoCHs:
•Best demonstrated in the below charts. This was a method taught to me by @Icecold_crypto. Once a 3 bar fractal pivot gets broken, we count backwards the consecutive higher lows or lower highs, then identify the CHoCH as the opposite end of the candle which ended the consecutive backwards count. This CHoCH (UP or DOWN) then becomes a level to watch, if price passes through it in earnest a trader would consider shifting their bias as market structure is deemed to have shifted.
•HTF CHoCHs: Option to print Higher time frame chochs (default on) of user input HTF. This prints only the last UP choch and only the last DOWN choch from the input HTF. Solid line by default so as to distinguish from local/chart-time CHoCHs. Can be any Higher timeframe you like.
•Show on table: toggle on show table(above/below) option to show in table cells (top right): is price above the latest HTF UP choch, or is price below HTF DOWN choch (or is it sat between the two, in a state of 'uncertainty').
•Most recent CHoCHs which have not been met by price will extend 10 bars into the future.
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: SHOW CHOCHS | Set bars lookback number to limit historical Chochs. Set Live CHoCHs number to control the number of active recent chochs unmet by price. Toggle shrink chochs once hit to declutter chart and minimize old chochs to their origin bars. Set Multi-timeframe color override : to make Color choices auto-set to your preference color for each of 1m, 5m, 15m, H, 4H, D, W, M (where up and down are same color, but 'up' icon for up chochs and down icon for down chochs remain printing as normal)
2. Nested Pivot Highs & Lows; aka 'Pivot Highs & Lows (ST/MT/LT)'
•Based on a seperate, longer lookback/lookforward pivot calculation. Identifies Pivot highs and lows with a 'spikeyness' filter (filtering out weak/rounded/unimpressive Pivot highs/lows)
•by 'nested' I mean that the pivot highs are graded based on whether a pivot high sits between two lower pivot highs or vice versa.
--for example: STH = normal pivot. MTH is pivot high with a lower STH on either side. LTH is a pivot high with a lower MTH on either side. Same applies to pivot lows (STL/MTL/LTL)
•This is a useful way to measure the significance of a high or low. Both in terms of how much it might be typically swept by (see later) and what it would imply for HTF bias were we to break through it in earnest (more than just a sweep).
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: show pivot highs & lows | Bars lookback (historical pivots to show) | Pivots: lookback/lookforward length (determines the scale of your pivot highs/lows) | toggle on/off Apply 'Spikeyness' filter (filters out smooth/unimpressive pivot highs/lows). Set Spikeyness index (determines the strength of this filter if turned on) | Individually toggle on each of STH, MTH, LTH, STL, MTL, LTL along with their label text type , and size . Toggle on/off line for each of these Pivot highs/lows. | Set label spacer (atr multiples above / below) | set line style and line width
3. Grade Sweeps:
•These are directly related to the nested pivots described above. Most assets will have a typical sweep distance. I've added some of my expected sweeps for various assets in the indicator tooltips.
--i.e. Eur/Usd 10-20-30 pips is a typical 'grade' sweep. S&P HKEX:5 - HKEX:10 is a typical grade sweep.
•Each of the ST/MT/LT pivot highs and lows have optional user defined grade sweep boxes which paint above until filled (or user option for historical filled boxes to remain).
•Numbers entered into sweep input boxes are auto converted into appropriate units (i.e. pips for FX, $ or 'handles' for indices, $ for Crypto. Very low $ units can be input for low unit value crypto altcoins.
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: Show sweep boxes | individually select colors of each of STH, MTH, LTH, STL, MTL, LTL sweep boxes. | Set Grade sweep ($/pips) number for each of ST, MT, LT. This auto converts between pips and $ (i.e. FX vs Indices/Crypto). Can be a float as small or large as you like ($0.000001 to HKEX:1000 ). | Set box text position (horizontal & vertical) and size , and color . | Set Box width (bars) (for non extended/ non-auto-terminating at price boxes). | toggle on/off Extend boxes/lines right . | Toggle on/off Shrink Grade sweeps on fill (they will disappear in realtime when filled/passed through)
4. FVGs:
•Fair Value gaps. Represent 'naked' candle bodies where the wicks to either side do not meet, forming a 'gap' of sorts which has a tendency to fill, or at least to fill to midline (CE).
•These are ICT concepts. 'UP' FVGS are known as BISIs (Buyside imbalance, sellside inefficiency); 'DOWN' FVGs are known as SIBIs (Sellside imbalance, buyside inefficiency).
• USER INPUTS: overall setting: show FVGs | Bars lookback (history). | Choose to display: 'UP' FVGs (BISI) and/or 'DOWN FVGs (SIBI) . Choose to display the midline: CE , the color and the line style . Choose threshold: use CE (as opposed to Full Fill) |toggle on/off Shrink FVG on fill (CE hit or Full fill) (declutter chart/see backtesting history)
////••Alerts (general notes & cautionary notes)::
•Alerts are optional for most of the levels printed by this indicator. Set them via the three dots on indicator status line.
•Due to dynamic repainting of levels, alerts should be used with caution. Best use these alerts either for Higher time frame levels, or when closely monitoring price.
--E.g. You may set an alert for down-fill of the latest FVG below; but price will keep marching up; form a newer/higher FVG, and the alert will trigger on THAT FVG being down-filled (not the original)
•Available Alerts:
-FVG(BISI) cross above threshold(CE or full-fill; user choice). Same with FVG(SIBI).
-HTF last CHoCH down, cross below | HTF last CHoCH up, cross above.
-last CHoCH down, cross below | last CHoCH up, cross above.
-LTH cross above, MTH cross above, STH cross above | LTL cross below, MTL cross below, STL cross below.
////••Formatting (general)::
•all table text color is set from the 'Pivot highs & Lows (ST, MT, LT)' section (for those of you who prefer black backgrounds).
•User choice of Line-style, line color, line width. Same with Boxes. Icon choice for chochs. Char or label text choices for ST/MT/LT pivot highs & lows.
////••User Inputs (general):
•Each of the 4 components of this indicator can be easily toggled on/off independently.
•Quite a lot of options and toggle boxes, as described in full above. Please take your time and read through all the tooltips (hover over '!' icon) to get an idea of formatting options.
•Several Lookback periods defined in bars to control how much history is shown for each of the 4 components of this indicator.
•'Shrink on fill' settings on FVGs and CHoCHs: Basically a way to declutter chart; toggle on/off depending on if you're backtesting or reading live price action.
•Table Display: applies to ST/MT/LT pivot highs and to HTF CHoCHs; Toggle table on or off (in part or in full)
////••Credits:
•Credit to ICT (Inner Circle Trader) for some of the concepts used in this indicator (FVGS & CEs; Grade sweeps).
•Credit to @Icecold_crypto for the specific and novel concept of identifying CHoCHs in a simple, objective and effective manner (as demonstrated in the 1st chart below).
CHoCH demo page 1: shifting tweak; arrow diagrams to demonstrate how CHoCHs are defined:
CHoCH demo page 2: Simplified view; short lookback history; few CHoCHs, demo of 'latest' choch being extended into the future by 10 bars:
USAGE: Bitcoin Hourly using HTF daily CHoCHs:
USAGE-2: Cotton Futures (CT1!) 2hr. Painting a rather bullish picture. Above HTF UP CHoCH, Local CHoCHs show bullish order flow, Nice targets above (MTH/LTH + grade sweeps):
Full Demo; 5min chart; CHoCHs, Short term pivot highs/lows, grade sweeps, FVGs:
Full Demo, Eur/Usd 15m: STH, MTH, LTH grade sweeps, CHoCHs, Usage for finding bias (part A):
Full Demo, Eur/Usd 15m: STH, MTH, LTH grade sweeps, CHoCHs, Usage for finding bias, 3hrs later (part B):
Realtime Vs Backtesting(A): btc/usd 15m; FVGs and CHoCHs: shrink on fill, once filled they repaint discreetly on their origin bar only. Realtime (Shrink on fill, declutter chart):
Realtime Vs Backtesting(B): btc/usd 15m; FVGs and CHoCHs: DON'T shrink on fill; they extend to the point where price crosses them, and fix/paint there. Backtesting (seeing historical behaviour):
Double Candle Trend Counter [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator counts the number of confirmed double candle trend scenarios on any given candlestick chart and displays the statistics in a table, which can be repositioned and resized at the user's discretion.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Upper Candle Trends
• A higher high candle is one that closes with a higher high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A lower high candle is one that closes with a lower high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A double-top candle is one that closes with a high price that is equal to the high price of the preceding candle.
Lower Candle Trends
• A higher low candle is one that closes with a higher low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A lower low candle is one that closes with a lower low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A double-bottom candle is one that closes with a low price that is equal to the low price of the preceding candle.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Candle Trends
• A multi-part higher high trend begins with the formation of a new higher high and continues until a new lower high ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower high trend begins with the formation of a new lower high and continues until a new higher high ends the trend.
• A multi-part higher low trend begins with the formation of a new higher low and continues until a new lower low ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower low trend begins with the formation of a new lower low and continues until a new higher low ends the trend.
Double Candle Trends
• A double uptrend candle trend is formed when a candle closes with both a higher high and a higher low.
• A double downtrend candle trend is formed when a candle closes with both a lower high and a lower low.
Multi-Part Double Candle Trends
• A multi-part double uptrend candle trend begins with the formation of a new double uptrend candle trend and continues until a new lower high or lower low ends the trend.
• A multi-part double downtrend candle trend begins with the formation of a new double downtrend candle trend and continues until a new higher high or higher low ends the trend.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Start Date
• End Date
• Position
• Text Size
• Show Plots
Table
The table is colour coded, consists of seven columns and, as many as, thirty-two rows. Blue cells denote the multi-part trend scenarios, green cells denote the corresponding double uptrend candle trend scenarios and red cells denote the corresponding double downtrend candle trend scenarios.
The multi-part double candle trend scenarios are listed in the first column with their corresponding total counts to the right, in the second and fifth columns. The last row in column one, displays the sample period which can be adjusted or hidden via indicator settings.
The third and sixth columns display the double candle trend scenarios as percentages of total 1-part double candle trends. And columns four and seven display the total double candle trend scenarios as percentages of the last, or preceding double candle trend part. For example 4-part double uptrend candle trends as percentages of 3-part double uptrend candle trends.
Plots
I have added plots as a visual aid to the double candle trend scenarios. Green up-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote double uptrend candle trends. Red down-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote double downtrend candle trends.
█ HOW TO USE
This indicator is intended for research purposes, strategy development and strategy optimisation. I hope it will be useful in helping to gain a better understanding of the underlying dynamics at play on any given market and timeframe.
It can, for example, give you an idea of whether the current double candle trend will continue or fail, based on the current trend scenario and what has happened in the past under similar circumstances. Such information can be useful when conducting top down analysis across multiple timeframes and making strategic decisions.
What you do with these statistics and how far you decide to take your research is entirely up to you, the possibilities are endless.
█ LIMITATIONS
Some higher timeframe candles on tickers with larger lookbacks such as the DXY , do not actually contain all the open, high, low and close (OHLC) data at the beginning of the chart. Instead, they use the close price for open, high and low prices. So, while we can determine whether the close price is higher or lower than the preceding close price, there is no way of knowing what actually happened intra-bar for these candles. And by default candles that close at the same price as the open price, will be counted as green. You can avoid this problem by utilising the sample period filter.
It is also worth noting that the sample size will be limited to your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000. If upgrading is currently not an option, you can always keep a rolling tally of the statistics in an excel spreadsheet or something of the like.
Lower Candle Trends [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator simply plots lower candle trends and should be used in conjunction with my Upper Candle Trends indicator as a visual aid to my Upper and Lower Candle Trend Counter indicator.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Upper Candle Trends
• A higher high candle is one that closes with a higher high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A lower high candle is one that closes with a lower high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A double-top candle is one that closes with a high price that is equal to the high price of the preceding candle.
Lower Candle Trends
• A higher low candle is one that closes with a higher low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A lower low candle is one that closes with a lower low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A double-bottom candle is one that closes with a low price that is equal to the low price of the preceding candle.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Candle Trends
• A multi-part higher high trend begins with the formation of a new higher high and continues until a new lower high ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower high trend begins with the formation of a new lower high and continues until a new higher high ends the trend.
• A multi-part higher low trend begins with the formation of a new higher low and continues until a new lower low ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower low trend begins with the formation of a new lower low and continues until a new higher low ends the trend.
█ FEATURES
Plots
Green up-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote higher low trends. Red down-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote lower low trends.
█ LIMITATIONS
Some higher timeframe candles on tickers with larger lookbacks such as the DXY , do not actually contain all the open, high, low and close (OHLC) data at the beginning of the chart. Instead, they use the close price for open, high and low prices. So, while we can determine whether the close price is higher or lower than the preceding close price, there is no way of knowing what actually happened intra-bar for these candles. And by default candles that close at the same price as the open price, will be counted as green.
Upper and Lower Candle Trend Counter [theEccentricTrader]█ OVERVIEW
This indicator counts the number of confirmed upper and lower candle trend scenarios on any given candlestick chart and displays the statistics in a table, which can be repositioned and resized at the user's discretion.
█ CONCEPTS
Green and Red Candles
• A green candle is one that closes with a close price equal to or above the price it opened.
• A red candle is one that closes with a close price that is lower than the price it opened.
Upper Candle Trends
• A higher high candle is one that closes with a higher high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A lower high candle is one that closes with a lower high price than the high price of the preceding candle.
• A double-top candle is one that closes with a high price that is equal to the high price of the preceding candle.
Lower Candle Trends
• A higher low candle is one that closes with a higher low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A lower low candle is one that closes with a lower low price than the low price of the preceding candle.
• A double-bottom candle is one that closes with a low price that is equal to the low price of the preceding candle.
Muti-Part Upper and Lower Candle Trends
• A multi-part higher high trend begins with the formation of a new higher high and continues until a new lower high ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower high trend begins with the formation of a new lower high and continues until a new higher high ends the trend.
• A multi-part higher low trend begins with the formation of a new higher low and continues until a new lower low ends the trend.
• A multi-part lower low trend begins with the formation of a new lower low and continues until a new higher low ends the trend.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Start Date
• End Date
• Position
• Text Size
Table
The table is colour coded, consists of seven columns and, as many as, sixty-two rows. Blue cells denote the multi-part trend scenarios, green cells denote the corresponding upper candle trend scenarios and red cells denote the corresponding lower candle trend scenarios.
The multi-part candle trend scenarios are listed in the first column with their corresponding total counts to the right, in the second and fifth columns. The last row in column one, displays the sample period which can be adjusted or hidden via indicator settings.
The third and sixth columns display the candle trend scenarios as percentages of total 1-part candle trends. And columns four and seven display the total candle trend scenarios as percentages of the last, or preceding candle trend part. For example 4-part higher high trends as a percentages of 3-part higher high trends. This offers more insight into what might happen next at any given point in time.
Plots
For a visual aid to this indicator please use in conjunction with my Upper Candle Trends and Lower Candle Trends indicators which can both be found on my profile page under scripts, or in community scripts under the same names.
Green up-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote higher high trends when above bar and higher low trends when below bar. Red down-arrows, with the number of the trend part, denote lower high trends when above bar and lower low trends when below bar.
█ HOW TO USE
This is intended for research purposes, strategy development and strategy optimisation. I hope it will be useful in helping to gain a better understanding of the underlying dynamics at play on any given market and timeframe.
It can, for example, give you an idea of whether the current upper or lower candle trend will continue or fail, based on the current trend scenario and what has happened in the past under similar circumstances. Such information can be useful when conducting top down analysis across multiple timeframes and making strategic decisions.
What you do with these statistics and how far you decide to take your research is entirely up to you, the possibilities are endless.
█ LIMITATIONS
Some higher timeframe candles on tickers with larger lookbacks such as the DXY , do not actually contain all the open, high, low and close (OHLC) data at the beginning of the chart. Instead, they use the close price for open, high and low prices. So, while we can determine whether the close price is higher or lower than the preceding close price, there is no way of knowing what actually happened intra-bar for these candles. And by default candles that close at the same price as the open price, will be counted as green. You can avoid this problem by utilising the sample period filter.
It is also worth noting that the sample size will be limited to your Trading View subscription plan. Premium users get 20,000 candles worth of data, pro+ and pro users get 10,000, and basic users get 5,000. If upgrading is currently not an option, you can always keep a rolling tally of the statistics in an excel spreadsheet or something of the like.
