Standard Deviation Levels with Settlement Price and VolatilityStandard Deviation Levels with Settlement Price and Volatility.
This indicator plots the standard deviation levels based on the settlement price and the implied volatility. It works for all Equity Stocks and Futures.
For Futures
Symbol Volatility Symbol (Implied Volatility)
NQ VXN
ES VIX
YM VXD
RTY RVX
CL OVX
GC GVZ
BTC DVOL
The plot gives you an ideas that the price has what probability staying in the range of 1SD,2SD,3SD ( In normal distribution method)
Please provide the feedback or comments if you find any improvements
Cari skrip untuk "implied"
RV − IV Spread Alert (SPY vs VIX)Realized vs Implied Volatility Spread (RV − IV) for the S&P 500 / SPY.
Plots the daily difference between 30-day realized volatility (SPY) and implied volatility (VIX) in basis points.
Key insight from the research: when the spread turns and stays above ≈ +50 bps, forward returns historically degrade and volatility of returns rises sharply — a useful early-warning regime flag.
Features:
- Clean daily plot of RV − IV in bps
- Horizontal lines at 0, −50 bps and +50 bps
- Red background when spread > +50 bps
- Built-in alert condition that fires once per bar close when spread closes above +50 bps
- Optional “all-clear” alert when it drops back below
Use on SPY or ES1! daily chart. Perfect for anyone wanting a simple notification when the market enters the “risk-on” volatility regime highlighted by Machina Quanta and the original Bali & Hovakimian (2007) paper.
Nq/ES daily CME risk intervalReverse engineering the risk interval for CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) products based on margin requirements involves understanding the relationship between margin requirements, volatility, and the risk interval (price movement assumed for margin calculation)
The CME uses a methodology called SPAN (Standard Portfolio Analysis of Risk) to calculate margins. At a high level, the initial margin is derived from:
Initial Margin = Risk Interval × Contract Size × Volatility Adjustment Factor
Where:
Risk Interval: The price movement range used in the margin calculation.
Contract Size: The unit size of the futures contract.
Volatility Adjustment Factor: A measure of how much price fluctuation is expected, often tied to historical volatility.
To calculate an approximate of the daily CME risk interval, we need:
Initial Margin Requirement: Available on the CME Group website or broker platforms.
Contract Size: The size of one futures contract (e.g., for the S&P 500 E-mini, it is $50 × index points).
Volatility Adjustment Factor: This is derived from historical volatility or CME's implied volatility estimates.
As we do not have access to CME calculations , the volatility adjustment factor can be estimated using historical volatility: We calculate the standard deviation of daily returns over a specific period (e.g., 20 or 30 or 60 days).
Key Considerations
The exact formulas and parameters used by CME for CME's implied volatility estimates are proprietary, so this calculation based on standard deviation of daily returns is an approximation.
How to use:
Input the maintenance margin obtained from the CME website.
Adjust volatility period calculation.
The indicator displays the range high and low for the trading day.
1.Lines can be used as targets intraday
2.Market tends to snap back in between the lines and close the day in the range
Predicted Funding RatesOverview
The Predicted Funding Rates indicator calculates real-time funding rate estimates for perpetual futures contracts on Binance. It uses triangular weighting algorithms on multiple different timeframes to ensure an accurate prediction.
Funding rates are periodic payments between long and short position holders in perpetual futures markets
If positive, longs pay shorts (usually bullish)
If negative, shorts pay longs (usually bearish)
This is a prediction. Actual funding rates depend on the instantaneous premium index, derived from bid/ask impacts of futures. So whilst it may imitate it similarly, it won't be completely accurate.
This only applies currently to Binance funding rates, as HyperLiquid premium data isn't available. Other Exchanges may be added if their premium data is uploaded.
Methods
Method 1: Collects premium 1-minunute data using triangular weighing over 8 hours. This granular method fills in predicted funding for 4h and less recent data
Method 2: Multi-time frame approach. Daily uses 1 hour data in the calculation, 4h + timeframes use 15M data. This dynamic method fills in higher timeframes and parts where there's unavailable premium data on the 1min.
How it works
1) Premium data is collected across multiple timeframes (depending on the timeframe)
2) Triangular weighing is applied to emphasize recent data points linearly
Tri_Weighing = (data *1 + data *2 + data *3 + data *4) / (1+2+3+4)
3) Finally, the funding rate is calculated
FundingRate = Premium + clamp(interest rate - Premium, -0.05, 0.05)
where the interest rate is 0.01% as per Binance
Triangular weighting is calculated on collected premium data, where recent data receives progressively higher weight (1, 2, 3, 4...). This linear weighting scheme provides responsiveness to recent market conditions while maintaining stability, similar to an exponential moving average but with predictable, linear characteristics
A visual representation:
Data points: ──────────────>
Weights: 1 2 3 4 5
Importance: ▂ ▃ ▅ ▆ █
How to use it
For futures traders:
If funding is trending up, the market can be interpreted as being in a bull market
If trending down, the market can be interpreted as being in a bear market
Even used simply, it allows you to gauge roughly how well the market is performing per funding. It can basically be gauged as a sentiment indicator too
For funding rate traders:
If funding is up, it can indicate a long on implied APR values
If funding is down, it can indicate a short on implied APR values
It also includes an underlying APR, which is the annualized funding rate. For Binance, it is current funding * (24/8) * 365
For Position Traders: Monitor predicted funding rates before entering large positions. Extremely high positive rates (>0.05% for 8-hour periods) suggest overleveraged longs and potential reversal risk. Conversely, extreme negative rates indicate shorts dominance
Table:
Funding rate: Gives the predicted funding rate as a percentage
Current premium: Displays the current premium (difference between perpetual futures price and the underlying spot) as a percentage
Funding period: You can choose between 1 hour funding (HyperLiquid usually) and 8 hour funding (Binance)
APR: Underlying annualized funding rate
What makes it original
Whilst some predicted funding scripts exist, some aren't as accurate or have gaps in data. And seeing as funding values are generally missing from TV tickers, this gives traders accessibility to the script when they would have to use other platforms
Notes
Currently only compatible with symbols that have Binance USDT premium indices
Optimal accuracy is found on timeframes that are 4H or less. On higher timeframes, the accuracy drops off
Actual funding rates may differ
Inputs
Funding Period: Choose between "8 Hour" (standard Binance cycle) or "1 Hour" (divides the 8-hour rate by 8 for granular comparison)
Plot Type: Display as "Funding Rate" (percentage per interval) or "APR" (annualized rate calculated as 8-hour rate × 3 × 365)
Table: Toggle the information table showing current funding rate, premium, funding period, and APR in the top-right corner
Positive Colour: Sets the colour for positive funding rates where longs pay shorts (default: #00ffbb turquoise)
Negative Colour: Sets the colour for negative funding rates where shorts pay longs (default: red)
Table Background: Controls the background colour and transparency of the information table (default: transparent dark blue)
Table Text Colour: Sets the colour for all text labels in the information table (default: white)
Table Text Size: Controls font size with options from Tiny to Huge, with Small as the default balance of readability and space
CMC Macro Regime PanelOverview (what it is):
A macro‑regime gate built entirely from TradingView-native symbols (CRYPTOCAP, FRED, DXY/VIX, HYG/LQD). It aggregates central‑bank liquidity (Fed balance sheet − RRP − Treasury General Account), USD strength, credit conditions, stablecoin flows/dominance, tech beta and BTC–NDX co‑move into one normalized score (CLRC). The panel outputs Risk‑ON/OFF regimes, an Early 3/5 pre‑signal, and an automatic BTC vs ETH vs ALTs preference. It is intentionally scoped to Daily & Weekly reads (no intraday timing). Publish with a clean chart and a clear description as per TradingView rules.
TradingView
Why we also use other TradingView screens (and why that is compliant)
This script pulls data via request.security() from official TV symbols only; users often want to open the raw series on separate charts to sanity‑check:
CRYPTOCAP indices: TOTAL, TOTAL2, TOTAL3 (market cap aggregates) and dominance tickers like BTC.D, USDT.D. Helpful for regime & rotation (ALTs vs BTC). TradingView provides definitions for crypto market cap and dominance symbols.
TradingView
+3
TradingView
+3
TradingView
+3
FRED releases: WALCL (Fed assets, weekly), RRPONTSYD (ON RRP, daily), WTREGEN (TGA, weekly), M2SL (M2, monthly). These are the official macro sources exposed on TV.
FRED
+3
FRED
+3
FRED
+3
Risk proxies: TVC:DXY (USD index), TVC:VIX (implied vol), AMEX:HYG/AMEX:LQD (credit), NASDAQ:NDX (tech beta), BINANCE:ETHBTC. VIX/NDX relationship is well-documented; VIX measures 30‑day expected S&P500 vol.
TradingView
+2
TradingView
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Compliance note: Using multiple screens is optional for users, but it explains/justifies how components work together (a requirement for public scripts). Keep publication chart clean; use extra screens only to illustrate in the description.
TradingView
How it works (high level)
Liquidity block (Weekly/Monthly)
Net Liquidity = WALCL − RRPONTSYD − WTREGEN (YoY z‑score). WALCL is weekly (as of Wednesday) via H.4.1; RRP is daily; TGA is a Fed liability series. M2 YoY is monthly.
FRED
+3
FRED
+3
FRED
+3
Risk conditions (Daily)
DXY 3‑month momentum (inverted), VIX level (inverted), Credit (HYG/LQD ratio or HY OAS). VIX is a 30‑day constant‑maturity implied vol index per Cboe methodology.
Cboe
+1
Crypto‑internal (Daily)
Stablecoins (USDT+USDC+DAI 30‑day log change), USDT dominance (20‑day, inverted), TOTAL3 (63‑day momentum). Dominance symbols on TV follow a documented formula.
TradingView
Beta & co‑move (Daily)
NDX 63‑day momentum, BTC↔NDX 90‑day correlation.
All components become z‑scores (optionally clipped), weighted, missing inputs drop and weights renormalize. We never use lookahead; we confirm on bar close to avoid repainting per Pine docs (barstate.isconfirmed, multi‑TF).
TradingView
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TradingView
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What you see on the chart
White line (CLRC) = macro regime score.
Background: Green = Risk‑ON, Red = Risk‑OFF, Teal = Early 3/5 (pre‑signal).
Table: shows each component’s z‑score and the Preference: BTC / ETH / ALTs / Mixed.
Signals & interpretation
Designed for Daily (1D) and Weekly (1W) only.
Regime gates (default Fast preset):
Enter ON: CLRC ≥ +0.8; Hold ON while ≥ +0.5.
Enter OFF: CLRC ≤ −1.0; Hold OFF while ≤ −0.5.
0 / ±1 reading: CLRC is a standardized composite.
~0 = neutral baseline (no macro edge).
≥ +1 = strong macro tailwind (≈ +1σ).
≤ −1 = strong headwind (≈ −1σ).
Early 3/5 (teal): a fast pre‑signal when at least 3 of 5 daily checks align: USDT.D↓, DXY↓, VIX↓, HYG/LQD↑, ETHBTC↑ or TOTAL3↑. It often precedes a full ON flip—use for pre‑positioning rather than full sizing.
BTC/ETH/ALTs selector (only when ON):
ALTs when BTC.D↓ and (ETHBTC↑ or TOTAL3↑) ⇒ rotate down the risk curve.
BTC when BTC.D↑ and ETHBTC↓ ⇒ keep it concentrated.
ETH when ETHBTC↑ while BTC.D flat/up ⇒ add ETH beta.
(Dominance mechanics are documented by TV.)
TradingView
Dissonance (incompatibility) rules — when to stand down
Use these overrides to avoid false comfort:
CLRC > +1 but USDT.D↑ and/or VIX spikes day‑over‑day → downgrade to Neutral; wait for USDT.D to stabilize and VIX to cool (VIX is a fear gauge of 30‑day expectation).
Cboe Global Markets
CLRC > +1 but DXY↑ sharply (USD squeeze) → size below normal; require DXY momentum to roll over.
CLRC < −1 but Early 3/5 = true two days in a row → start reducing underweights; look for ON flip within a few bars.
NetLiq improving (W) but credit (HYG/LQD) deteriorating (D) → treat as mixed regime; prefer BTC over ALTs.
How to use (step‑by‑step)
A. Read on Daily (1D) — main regime
Open CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3, 1D (panel applied).
Wait for bar close (use alerts on confirmed bar). Pine docs recommend barstate.isconfirmed to avoid repainting on realtime bars.
TradingView
If ON, check Preference (BTC / ETH / ALTs).
Then drop to 4H on your trading pair for micro entries (this indicator itself is not for intraday timing).
B. Confirm weekly macro (1W) — once per week)
Review WALCL/RRP/TGA after the H.4.1 release on Thursdays ~4:30 pm ET. WALCL is “Weekly, as of Wednesday”; M2 is Monthly—so do not expect daily responsiveness from these.
Federal Reserve
+2
FRED
+2
Recommended check times (practical schedule)
Daily regime read: right after your chart’s daily close (confirmed bar). For consistent timing across crypto, many users set chart timezone to UTC and read ~00:05 UTC; you can change chart timezone in TV’s settings.
TradingView
In‑day monitoring: optional spot checks 16:00 & 20:00 UTC (DXY/VIX move during US hours), but act only after the daily bar confirms.
Weekly macro pass: Thu 21:30–22:30 UTC (after H.4.1 4:30 pm ET) or Fri after daily close, to let weekly FRED series propagate.
Federal Reserve
Limitations & data latency (be explicit)
Higher‑TF data & confirmation: FRED weekly/monthly series will not reflect intraday risk in crypto; we aggregate them for regime, not for entry timing.
Repainting 101: Realtime bars move until close. This script does not use lookahead and follows Pine guidance on multi‑TF series; still, always act on confirmed bars.
TradingView
+1
Public‑library compliance: Title EN‑only; description starts in EN; clean chart; justify component mash‑up; no lookahead; no unrealistic claims.
TradingView
Alerts you can use
“Macro Risk‑ON (entry)” — fires on ON flip (confirmed bar).
“Macro Risk‑OFF (entry)” — fires on OFF flip.
“Early 3/5” — fires when the teal pre‑signal appears (not a regime flip).
“Preference change” — BTC/ETH/ALTs toggles while ON.
Publish note: Alerts are fine; just avoid implying guaranteed accuracy/performance.
TradingView
Background research (why these inputs matter)
Liquidity → Crypto: Fed H.4.1 timing and series definitions (WALCL, RRP, TGA) formalize the “net liquidity” concept used here.
FRED
+3
Federal Reserve
+3
FRED
+3
Stablecoins ↔ Non‑stable crypto: empirical work shows bi‑directional causality between stablecoin market cap and non‑stable crypto cap; stablecoin growth co‑moves with broader crypto activity.
Global liquidity link: world liquidity positively relates to total crypto market cap; lagged effects are observed at monthly horizons.
VIX/Uncertainty effect: fear shocks impair BTC’s “safe haven” behavior; VIX is a meaningful risk‑off read.
Options Max Pain Calculator [BackQuant]Options Max Pain Calculator
A visualization tool that models option expiry dynamics by calculating "max pain" levels, displaying synthetic open interest curves, gamma exposure profiles, and pin-risk zones to help identify where market makers have the least payout exposure.
What is Max Pain?
Max Pain is the theoretical expiration price where the total dollar value of outstanding options would be minimized. At this price level, option holders collectively experience maximum losses while option writers (typically market makers) have minimal payout obligations. This creates a natural gravitational pull as expiration approaches.
Core Features
Visual Analysis Components:
Max Pain Line: Horizontal line showing the calculated minimum pain level
Strike Level Grid: Major support and resistance levels at key option strikes
Pin Zone: Highlighted area around max pain where price may gravitate
Pain Heatmap: Color-coded visualization showing pain distribution across prices
Gamma Exposure Profile: Bar chart displaying net gamma at each strike level
Real-time Dashboard: Summary statistics and risk metrics
Synthetic Market Modeling**
Since Pine Script cannot access live options data, the indicator creates realistic synthetic open interest distributions based on configurable market parameters including volume patterns, put/call ratios, and market maker positioning.
How It Works
Strike Generation:
The tool creates a grid of option strikes centered around the current price. You can control the range, density, and whether strikes snap to realistic market increments.
Open Interest Modeling:
Using your inputs for average volume, put/call ratios, and market maker behavior, the indicator generates synthetic open interest that mirrors real market dynamics:
Higher volume at-the-money with decay as strikes move further out
Adjustable put/call bias to reflect current market sentiment
Market maker inventory effects and typical short-gamma positioning
Weekly options boost for near-term expirations
Pain Calculation:
For each potential expiry price, the tool calculates total option payouts:
Call options contribute pain when finishing in-the-money
Put options contribute pain when finishing in-the-money
The strike with minimum total pain becomes the Max Pain level
Gamma Analysis:
Net gamma exposure is calculated at each strike using standard option pricing models, showing where hedging flows may be most intense. Positive gamma creates price support while negative gamma can amplify moves.
Key Settings
Basic Configuration:
Number of Strikes: Controls grid density (recommended: 15-25)
Days to Expiration: Time until option expiry
Strike Range: Price range around current level (recommended: 8-15%)
Strike Increment: Spacing between strikes
Market Parameters:
Average Daily Volume: Baseline for synthetic open interest
Put/Call Volume Ratio: Market sentiment bias (>1.0 = bearish, <1.0 = bullish) It does not work if set to 1.0
Implied Volatility: Current option volatility estimate
Market Maker Factors: Dealer positioning and hedging intensity
Display Options:
Model Complexity: Simple (line only), Standard (+ zones), Advanced (+ heatmap/gamma)
Visual Elements: Toggle individual components on/off
Theme: Dark/Light mode
Update Frequency: Real-time or daily calculation
Reading the Display
Dashboard Table (Top Right):
Current Price vs Max Pain Level
Distance to Pain: Percentage gap (smaller = higher pin risk)
Pin Risk Assessment: HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW based on proximity and time
Days to Expiry and Strike Count
Model complexity level
Visual Elements:
Red Line: Max Pain level where payout is minimized
Colored Zone: Pin risk area around max pain
Dotted Lines: Major strike levels (green = support, orange = resistance)
Color Bar: Pain heatmap (blue = high pain, red = low pain/max pain zones)
Horizontal Bars: Gamma exposure (green = positive, red = negative)
Yellow Dotted Line: Gamma flip level where hedging behavior changes
Trading Applications
Expiration Pinning:
When price is near max pain with limited time remaining, there's increased probability of gravitating toward that level as market makers hedge their positions.
Support and Resistance:
High open interest strikes often act as magnets, with max pain representing the strongest gravitational pull.
Volatility Expectations:
Above gamma flip: Expect dampened volatility (long gamma environment)
Below gamma flip: Expect amplified moves (short gamma environment)
Risk Assessment:
The pin risk indicator helps gauge likelihood of price manipulation near expiry, with HIGH risk suggesting potential range-bound action.
Best Practices
Setup Recommendations
Start with Model Complexity set to "Standard"
Use realistic strike ranges (8-12% for most assets)
Set put/call ratio based on current market sentiment
Adjust implied volatility to match current levels
Interpretation Guidelines:
Small distance to pain + short time = high pin probability
Large gamma bars indicate key hedging levels to monitor
Heatmap intensity shows strength of pain concentration
Multiple nearby strikes can create wider pin zones
Update Strategy:
Use "Daily" updates for cleaner visuals during trading hours
Switch to "Every Bar" for real-time analysis near expiration
Monitor changes in max pain level as new options activity emerges
Important Disclaimers
This is a modeling tool using synthetic data, not live market information. While the calculations are mathematically sound and the modeling realistic, actual market dynamics involve numerous factors not captured in any single indicator.
Max pain represents theoretical minimum payout levels and suggests where natural market forces may create gravitational pull, but it does not guarantee price movement or predict exact expiration levels. Market gaps, news events, and changing volatility can override these dynamics.
Use this tool as additional context for your analysis, not as a standalone trading signal. The synthetic nature of the data makes it most valuable for understanding market structure and potential zones of interest rather than precise price prediction.
Technical Notes
The indicator uses established option pricing principles with simplified implementations optimized for Pine Script performance. Gamma calculations use standard financial models while pain calculations follow the industry-standard definition of minimized option payouts.
All visual elements use fixed positioning to prevent movement when scrolling charts, and the tool includes performance optimizations to handle real-time calculation without timeout errors.
Monthly Expected Move (IV + Realized)What it does
Overlays 1-month expected move bands on price using both forward-looking options data and backward-looking realized movement:
IV30 band — from your pasted 30-day implied vol (%)
Straddle band — from your pasted ATM ~30-DTE call+put total
HV band — from Historical Volatility computed on-chart
ATR band — from ATR% extrapolated to ~1 trading month
Use it to quickly answer: “How much could this stock move in ~1 month?” and “Is the market now pricing more/less movement than we’ve actually been getting?”
Inputs (quick)
Implied (forward-looking)
Use IV30 (%) — paste annualized IV30 from your options platform.
Use ATM 30-DTE Straddle — paste Call+Put total (per share) at the ATM strike, ~30 DTE.
Realized (backward-looking)
HV lookback (days) — default 21 (≈1 trading month).
ATR length — default 14.
Note: TradingView can’t fetch option data automatically. Paste the IV30 % or the straddle total you read from your broker (use Mark/mid prices).
How it’s calculated
IV band (±%) = IV30 × √(21/252) (annualized → ~1-month).
Straddle band (±%) = (ATM Call + Put) / Spot to that expiry (≈30 DTE).
HV band (±%) = stdev(log returns, N) × √252 × √(21/252).
ATR band (±%) = (ATR(len)/Close) × √21.
All bands are plotted as upper/lower envelopes around price, plus an on-chart readout of each ±% for quick scanning.
How to use it (at a glance)
IV/Straddle bands wider than HV/ATR → market expects bigger movement than recent actuals (possible catalyst/expansion).
All bands narrow → likely a low-mover; look elsewhere if you want action.
HV > IV → realized swings exceed current pricing (mean-reversion or vol bleed often follows).
Pro tips
For ATM straddle: pick the expiry closest to ~30 DTE, use the ATM strike (closest to spot), and add Call Mark + Put Mark (per share). If the exact ATM strike isn’t quoted, average the two neighboring strikes.
The simple straddle/spot heuristic can read slightly below the IV-derived 1σ; that’s normal.
Keep the chart on daily timeframe—the math assumes trading-day conventions (~252/yr, ~21/mo).
IV PercentileIV Percentile Indicator - Brief Description
What It Does
The IV Percentile Indicator measures where current implied volatility ranks compared to the past year, showing what percentage of time volatility was lower than today's level.
How It Works
Data Collection:
Tracks implied volatility (or historical volatility as proxy) for each trading day
Stores the last 252 days (1 year) of volatility readings
Uses VIX data for SPY/SPX, historical volatility for other stocks
Calculation:
IV Percentile = (Days with IV below current level) ÷ (Total days) × 100
Example: If IV Percentile = 75%, it means current volatility is higher than 75% of the past year's readings.
Visual Output
Main Display:
Blue line showing percentile (0-100%)
Reference lines at key levels (20%, 30%, 50%, 70%, 80%)
Color-coded backgrounds for quick identification
Info table with current readings
Key Levels:
80%+ (Red): Very high IV → Sell premium
70-79% (Orange): High IV → Consider selling
30-20% (Green): Low IV → Consider buying
<20% (Bright Green): Very low IV → Buy premium
Trading Application
When IV Percentile is HIGH (70%+):
Options are expensive relative to recent history
Good time to sell premium (iron condors, credit spreads)
Expect volatility to decrease toward normal levels
When IV Percentile is LOW (30%-):
Options are cheap relative to recent history
Good time to buy premium (straddles, long options)
Expect volatility to increase from compressed levels
Core Logic
The indicator helps answer: "Is this a good time to buy or sell options based on how expensive/cheap they are compared to recent history?" It removes the guesswork from volatility timing by providing historical context for current option prices.
ADR, ATR & VOL OverlayThis is a combined version of 2 of my other indicators:
ADR / ATR Overlay
VOL / AVG Overlay
This indicator will display the following as an overlay on your chart:
ADR
% of ADR
ADR % of Price
ATR
% of ATR
ATR % of Price
Custom Session Volume
Average For Selected Session
Volume Percentage Comparison
Description:
ADR : Average Day Range
% of ADR : Percentage that the current price move has covered its average.
ADR % of Price : The percentage move implied by the average range.
ATR : Average True Range
% of ATR : Percentage that the current price move has covered its average.
ATR % of Price : The percentage move implied by the average true range.
Custom Session Volume : User chosen time frame to monitor volume
Average For Selected Session : Average for the custom session volume
Volume Percentage Comparison : Current session compared to the average (calculated at session close)
Options:
ADR/ATR:
Time Frame
Length
Smoothing
Volume:
Set Custom Time Frame For Calculations
Set Custom Time Frame For Average Comparison
Set Custom Time Zone
Table:
Enable / Disable Each Value
Change Text Color
Change Background Color
Change Table location
Add/Remove extra row for placement
ADR / ATR Example:
The ADR and ATR can be used to provide information about average price moves to help set targets, stop losses, entries and exits based on the potential average moves.
Example: If the "% of ADR" is reading 100%, then 100% of the asset's average price range has been covered, suggesting that an additional move beyond the range has a lower probability.
Example: "ADR % of Price" provides potential price movement in percentage which can be used to asses R/R for asset.
Example: ADR (D) reading is 100% at market close but ATR (D) is at 70% at close. This suggests that there is a potential (coverage) move of 30% in Pre/Post market as suggested by averages.
Custom Volume Session Example:
Set indicator to 30 period average. Set custom time frame to 9:30am to 10:30am Eastern/New York.
When the time frame for the calculation is closed, the indicator will provide a comparison of the current days volume compared to the average of 30 previous days for that same time frame and display it as a percentage in the table.
In this example you could compare how the first hour of the trading day compares to the previous 30 day's average, aiding in evaluating the potential volume for the remainder of the day.
Notes:
Times must be entered in 24 hour format. (1pm = 13:00 etc.)
Volume indicator is for Intra-day time frames, not > Day.
How I use these values:
I use these calculations to determine if a ticker symbol has the necessary range to achieve target gains, to determine if the price oscillation is within "normal" ranges to determine if the trading day will be choppy, and to determine placement of stops and targets within average ranges in combination with support, resistance and retracement levels.
ADR & ATR OverlayADR & ATR Overlay
This indicator will display the following as an overlay on your chart:
ADR
% of ADR
ADR % of Price
ATR
% of ATR
ATR % of Price
Description:
ADR : Average Day Range
% of ADR : Percentage that the current price move has covered its average.
ADR % of Price : The percentage move implied by the average range.
ATR : Average True Range
% of ATR : Percentage that the current price move has covered its average.
ATR % of Price : The percentage move implied by the average true range.
Options:
Time Frame
Length
Smoothing
Enable or Disable each value
Text Color
Background Color
How to use this indicator:
The ADR and ATR can be used to provide information about average price moves to help set targets, stop losses, entries and exits based on the potential average moves.
Example: If the "% of ADR" is reading 100%, then 100% of the asset's average price range has been covered, suggesting that an additional move beyond the range has a lower probability.
Example: "ADR % of Price" provides potential price movement in percentage which can be used to asses R/R for asset.
Example: ADR (D) reading is 100% at market close but ATR (D) is at 70% at close. This suggests that there is a potential move of 30% in Pre/Post market as suggested by averages.
Notes:
These indicators are available as oscillators to place under your chart through trading view but this indicator will place them on the chart in numerical only format.
Please feel free to modify this script if you like but please acknowledge me, I am only a hobby coder so this takes some time & effort.
Tomas' Financial Conditions Z Score"The indicator is a composite z-score comprised of the following four components (equally-weighted):
Credit spreads - ICE BofA High Yield Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLH0A0HYM2) and ICE BofA Corporate Index Option Adjusted Spread (BAMLC0A0CM)
Volatility indexes - VIX (S&P 500 implied volatility) and MOVE (US Treasury bond implied volatility)
I've got it set to a 160-day lookback period, which I think is roughly the best setting after some tinkering.
When the z-score is above zero, it throws a red signal - and when the z-score is below zero, it throws a green signal.
This indicator is a follow-on from the "traffic light financial conditions indicator" that I wrote a thread about a couple of months ago.
I moved on from that previous indicator because it is based on the Federal Reserve's NFCI, which is regularly revised, but I didn't take that into account at the time.
So not a great real-time indicator, if the signal can be subsequently revised in the opposite direction weeks later.
This new indicator is based on real-time market data, so there's no revisions, and it also updates daily, as opposed to weekly for the NFCI"
IV Rank/Percentile with Williams VIX FixDisplay IV Rank / IV Percentile
This indicator is based on William's VixFix, which replicates the VIX—a measure of the implied volatility of the S&P 500 Index (SPX). The key advantage of the VixFix is that it can be applied to any security, not just the SPX.
IV Rank is calculated by identifying the highest and lowest implied volatility (IV) values over a selected number of past periods. It then determines where the current IV lies as a percentage between these two extremes. For example, if over the past five periods the highest IV was 30%, the lowest was 10%, and the current IV is 20%, the IV Rank would be 50%, since 20% is halfway between 10% and 30%.
IV Percentile, on the other hand, considers all past IV values—not just the highest and lowest—and calculates the percentage of these values that are below the current IV. For instance, if the past five IV values were 30%, 10%, 11%, 15%, and 17%, and the current IV is 20%, the IV Rank remains at 50%. However, the IV Percentile is 80% because 4 out of the 5 past values (80%) are below the current IV of 20%.
VIX Statistical Sentiment Index [Nasan]** THIS IS ONLY FOR US STOCK MARKET**
The indicator analyzes market sentiment by computing the Rate of Change (ROC) for the VIX and S&P 500, visualizing the data as histograms with conditional coloring. It measures the correlation between the VIX, the specific stock, and the S&P 500, displaying the results on the chart. The reliability measure combines these correlations, offering an overall assessment of data robustness. One can use this information to gauge the inverse relationship between VIX and S&P 500, the alignment of the specific stock with the market, and the overall reliability of the correlations for informed decision-making based on the inverse relationship of VIX and price movement.
**WHEN THE VIX ROC IS ABOVE ZERO (RED COLOR) AND RASING ONE CAN EXPECT THE PRICE TO MOVE DOWNWARDS, WHEN THE VIX ROC IS BELOW ZERO (GREEN)AND DECREASING ONE CAN EXPECT THE PRICE TO MOVE UPWARDS"
Understanding the VIX Concept:
The VIX, or Volatility Index, is a widely used indicator in finance that measures the market's expectation of volatility over the next 30 days. Here are key points about the VIX:
Fear Gauge:
Often referred to as the "fear gauge," the VIX tends to rise during periods of market uncertainty or fear and fall during calmer market conditions.
Inverse Relationship with Market:
The VIX typically has an inverse relationship with the stock market. When the stock market experiences a sell-off, the VIX tends to rise, indicating increased expected volatility.
Implied Volatility:
The VIX is derived from the prices of options on the S&P 500. It represents the market's expectations for future volatility and is often referred to as "implied volatility."
Contrarian Indicator:
Extremely high VIX levels may indicate oversold conditions, suggesting a potential market rebound. Conversely, very low VIX levels may signal complacency and a potential reversal.
VIX vs. SPX Correlation:
This correlation measures the strength and direction of the relationship between the VIX (Volatility Index) and the S&P 500 (SPX).
A negative correlation indicates an inverse relationship. When the VIX goes up, the SPX tends to go down, and vice versa.
The correlation value closer to -1 suggests a stronger inverse relationship between VIX and SPX.
Stock vs. SPX Correlation:
This correlation measures the strength and direction of the relationship between the closing price of the stock (retrieved using src1) and the S&P 500 (SPX).
This correlation helps assess how closely the stock's price movements align with the broader market represented by the S&P 500.
A positive correlation suggests that the stock tends to move in the same direction as the S&P 500, while a negative correlation indicates an opposite movement.
Reliability Measure:
Combines the squared values of the VIX vs. SPX and Stock vs. SPX correlations and takes the square root to create a reliability measure.
This measure provides an overall assessment of how reliable the correlation information is in guiding decision-making.
Interpretation:
A higher reliability measure implies that the correlations between VIX and SPX, as well as between the stock and SPX, are more robust and consistent.
One can use this reliability measure to gauge the confidence they can place in the correlations when making decisions about the specific stock based on VIX data and its correlation with the broader market.
Rule of 16 - LowerThe "Rule of 16" is a simple guideline used by traders and investors to estimate the expected annualized volatility of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) based on the level of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). The VIX, often referred to as the "fear gauge" or "fear index," measures the market's expectations for future volatility. It is calculated using the implied volatility of a specific set of S&P 500 options.
The Rule of 16 provides a rough approximation of the expected annualized percentage change in the S&P 500 based on the VIX level. Here's how it works:
Find the VIX level: Look up the current value of the VIX. Let's say it's currently at 20.
Apply the Rule of 16: Divide the VIX level by 16. In this example, 20 divided by 16 equals 1.25.
Result: The result of this calculation represents the expected annualized percentage change in the S&P 500. In this case, 1.25% is the estimated annualized volatility.
So, according to the Rule of 16, a VIX level of 20 suggests an expected annualized volatility of approximately 1.25% in the S&P 500.
Here's how you can use the Rule of 16:
Market Sentiment: The VIX is often used as an indicator of market sentiment. When the VIX is high (above its historical average), it suggests that investors expect higher market volatility, indicating potential uncertainty or fear in the markets. Conversely, when the VIX is low, it suggests lower expected volatility and potentially more confidence in the markets.
Risk Management: Traders and investors can use the Rule of 16 to estimate the potential risk associated with their portfolios. For example, if you have a portfolio of S&P 500 stocks and the VIX is at 20, you can use the Rule of 16 to estimate that the annualized volatility of your portfolio may be around 1.25%. This information can help you make decisions about position sizing and risk management.
Option Pricing: Options traders may use the Rule of 16 to get a quick estimate of the implied annualized volatility priced into S&P 500 options. It can help them assess whether options are relatively expensive or cheap based on the VIX level.
It's important to note that the Rule of 16 is a simplification and provides only a rough estimate of expected volatility. Market conditions and the relationship between the VIX and the S&P 500 can change over time. Therefore, it should be used as a guideline rather than a precise forecasting tool. Traders and investors should consider other factors and use additional analysis to make informed decisions.
[blackcat] L1 Dynamic Volatility IndicatorThe volatility indicator (Volatility) is used to measure the magnitude and instability of price changes in financial markets or a specific asset. This thing is usually used to assess how risky the market is. The higher the volatility, the greater the fluctuation in asset prices, but brother, the risk is also relatively high! Here are some related terms and explanations:
- Historical Volatility: The actual volatility of asset prices over a certain period of time in the past. This thing is measured by calculating historical data.
- Implied Volatility: The volatility inferred from option market prices, used to measure market expectations for future price fluctuations.
- VIX Index (Volatility Index): Often referred to as the "fear index," it predicts the volatility of the US stock market within 30 days in advance. This is one of the most famous volatility indicators in global financial markets.
Volatility indicators are very important for investors and traders because they can help them understand how unstable and risky the market is, thereby making wiser investment decisions.
Today I want to introduce a volatility indicator that I have privately held for many years. It can use colors to judge sharp rises and falls! Of course, if you are smart enough, you can also predict some potential sharp rises and falls by looking at the trend!
In the financial field, volatility indicators measure the magnitude and instability of price changes in different assets. They are usually used to assess the level of market risk. The higher the volatility, the greater the fluctuation in asset prices and therefore higher risk. Historical Volatility refers to the actual volatility of asset prices over a certain period of time in the past, which can be measured by calculating historical data; while Implied Volatility is derived from option market prices and used to measure market expectations for future price fluctuations. In addition, VIX Index is commonly known as "fear index" and is used to predict volatility in the US stock market within 30 days. It is one of the most famous volatility indicators in global financial markets.
Volatility indicators are very important for investors and traders because they help them understand market uncertainty and risk, enabling them to make wiser investment decisions. The L1 Dynamic Volatility Indicator that I am introducing today is an indicator that measures volatility and can also judge sharp rises and falls through colors!
This indicator combines two technical indicators: Dynamic Volatility (DV) and ATR (Average True Range), displaying warnings about sharp rises or falls through color coding. DV has a slow but relatively smooth response, while ATR has a fast but more oscillating response. By utilizing their complementary characteristics, it is possible to construct a structure similar to MACD's fast-slow line structure. Of course, in order to achieve fast-slow lines for DV and ATR, first we need to unify their coordinate axes by normalizing them. Then whenever ATR's yellow line exceeds DV's purple line with both curves rapidly breaking through the threshold of 0.2, sharp rises or falls are imminent.
However, it is important to note that relying solely on the height and direction of these two lines is not enough to determine the direction of sharp rises or falls! Because they only judge the trend of volatility and cannot determine bull or bear markets! But it's okay, I have already considered this issue early on and added a magical gradient color band. When the color band gradually turns warm, it indicates a sharp rise; conversely, when the color band tends towards cool colors, it indicates a sharp fall! Of course, you won't see the color band in sideways consolidation areas, which avoids your involvement in unnecessary trades that would only waste your funds! This indicator is really practical and with it you can better assess market risks and opportunities!
CE - Market Performance TableThe 𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 is a sophisticated market tool designed to provide valuable insights into the current market trends and the approximate current position in the Macroeconomic Regime.
Furthermore the 𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 provides the Correlation Implied Trend for the Asset on the Chart. Lastly it provides information about current "RISK ON" or "RISK OFF" periods.
Methodology:
𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 tracks the 15 underlying Stock ETF's to identify their performance and puts the combined performances together to visualize 42MACRO's GRID Equity Model.
For this it uses the below ETF's:
Dividends (SPHD)
Low Beta (SPLV)
Quality (QUAL)
Defensives (DEF)
Growth (IWF)
High Beta (SPHB)
Cyclicals (IYT, IWN)
Value (IWD)
Small Caps (IWM)
Mid Caps (IWR)
Mega Cap Growth (MGK)
Size (OEF)
Momentum (MTUM)
Large Caps (IWB)
Overall Settings:
The main time values you want to change are:
Correlation Length
- Defines the time horizon for the Correlation Table
ROC Period
- Defines the time horizon for the Performance Table
Normalization lookback
- Defines the time horizon for the Trend calculation of the ETF's
- For longer term Trends over weeks or months a length of 50 is usually pretty accurate
Visuals:
There is a variety of options to change the visual settings of what is being plotted and the two table positions and additional considerations.
Everything that is relevant in the underlying logic that can help comprehension can be visualized with these options.
Market Correlation:
The Market Correlation Table takes the Correlation of the above ETF's to the Asset on the Chart, it furthermore uses the Normalized KAMA Oscillator by IkkeOmar to analyse the current trend of every single ETF.
It then Implies a Correlation based on the Trend and the Correlation to give a probabilistically adjusted expectation for the future Chart Asset Movement. This is strengthened by taking the average of all Implied Trends.
With this the Correlation Table provides valuable insights about probabilistically likely Movement of the Asset, for Traders and Investors alike, over the defined time duration.
Market Performance:
𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 is the actual valuable part of this Indicator.
It provides valuable information about the current market environment (whether it's risk on or risk off), the rough GRID models from 42MACRO and the actual market performance.
This allows you to obtain a deeper understanding of how the market works and makes it simple to identify the actual market direction.
Utility:
The 𝓜𝓪𝓻𝓴𝓮𝓽 𝓟𝓮𝓻𝓯𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓷𝓬𝓮 𝓣𝓪𝓫𝓵𝓮 is divided in 4 Sections which are the GRID regimes:
Economic Growth:
Goldilocks
Reflation
Economic Contraction:
Inflation
Deflation
Top 5 Equity Style Factors:
Are the values green for a specific Column? If so then the market reflects the corresponding GRID behavior.
Bottom 5 Equity Style Factors:
Are the values red for a specific Column? If so then the market reflects the corresponding GRID behavior.
So if we have Goldilocks as current regime we would see green values in the Top 5 Goldilocks Cells and red values in the Bottom 5 Goldilocks Cells.
You will find that Reflation will look similar, as it is also a sign of Economic Growth.
Same is the case for the two Contraction regimes.
VIX HeatmapVIX HeatMap
Instructions:
- To be used with the S&P500 index (ES, SPX, SPY, any S&P ETF) as that's the input from where the CBOE calculates and measures the VIX. Can also be used with the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, & Nasdaq100.
Description:
- Expected Implied Volatility regime simplified & visualized. Know if we are in a high, medium, or low volatility regime, instantly.
- Ranges from Hot to Cold: The hotter the heat-map, the higher the implied volatility and fear & vice versa.
- The VIX HeatMap, color-maps important VIX levels (7 in this case) in measuring volatility for day trading & swing trading.
Using the VIX HeatMap:
- A LOW level volatility environment: Represented by "cooler" colors (Blue & White) depicts that the level of volatility and fear is low. Percentage moves on the index level are going to be tame and less volatile more often than not. Low fear = low perceived risk.
- A MEDIUM level volatility environment: Represented by "warmer" colors (Green & Yellow) depicts that the markets are transitioning from a calmer period or from a more fearful period. Market volatility here will be higher and provide more volatile swings in price.
- A HIGH level volatility environment: Represented by "hotter" colors (Orange, Red, & Purple) depicts that the markets are very fearful at the moment and will have big swings in both directions. Historically, extreme VIX levels tend to coincide with bottoms but are in no way predictive of the exact timing as the volatile moves can continue for an extended period of time.
- Transitioning between the 7 VIX Zones: Each and every one of these specific VIX zone levels is important.
1. Extreme low: <16
2. Low: 16 to 20
3. Normal: 20 to 24
4. Medium: 24 to 28
5. Med-High: 28 to 32
6. High: 32 to 36
7. Extreme high: >36
- These VIX levels in particular measure volatility changes that have a major impact on switching between smaller time frames and measuring depths of a sell move and vice versa. Each level also behaves as its own support & resistance level in terms of taking a bit of effort to switch regimes, and aids in identifying and measuring the potential depth of pullbacks in bull markets and bounces in bear markets to reveal reversal points.
- Examples of VIX level supports depicted on the chart marked with arrows. From left to right:
1. March 10th: Markets jumped 2 volatility levels in 2 days. The fluctuations from blue to yellow to green where a sign that price action would reverse from the selloff.
2. March 28th: As soon as we move from green to the blue VIX level (<20), markets began to rally and only ended when the volatility level moved sub VIX 16 (white).
3. May 4th & 24th: Next we see the 2 dips where volatility levels went from blue to green (VIX > 20), marked bottoms and reversed higher.
4. June 1st: We see a change in VIX regime yet again into lower VIX level and markets rocket higher.
Knowing the current VIX regime is a very important tool and aid in trading, now easily visualized.
SPX Expected MoveThis indicator plots the "expected move" of SPX for today's trading session. Expected move is the amount that SPX is predicted to increase or decrease from its current price, based on the current level of implied volatility. The implied volatility in this indicator is computed from the current value of the VIX (or one of several volatility symbols available on Trading view). The computation is done using standard formula. The resulting plots are labeled as 1 and 2 standard deviations. The default values are to use VIX as well as 252 trading days in the years.
Use the square root of (days to expiration, or in this case a fraction of the day remaining) divided but the square root of (252, or number of trading days in a year).
timeRemaining = math.sqrt(DTE) / math.sqrt(252)
Standard deviation move = SPX bar closing price * (VIX/100) * timeRemaining
4C Expected Move (Weekly Options)This indicator plots the Expected Move (EM) calculated from weekly options pricing, for a quick visual reference.
The EM is the amount that a stock is predicted to increase or decrease from its current price, based on the current level of implied volatility.
This range can be viewed as support and resistance, or once price gets outside of the range, institutional hedging actions can accelerate the move in that direction.
The EM range is based on the Weekly close of the prior week.
It can be useful to know what the weekly EM range is for a stock to understand the probabilities of the overall distance, direction and volatility for the week.
To use this indicator you must have access to a broker with options data (not available on Tradingview).
Look at the stock's option chain and find the weekly expected move. You will have to do your own research to find where this information is displayed depending on your broker.
See screenshot example on the chart. This is the Thinkorswim platform's option chain, and the Implied Volatility % and the calculated EM is circled in red. Use the +- number in parentheses, NOT the % value.
Input that number into the indicator on a weekly basis, ideally on the weekend sometime after the cash market close on Friday, and before the Market open at the beginning of the trading week.
The indicator must be manually updated each week.
It will automatically start over at the beginning of the week.
Volatility barometerIt is the indicator that analyzes the behaviour of VIX against CBOE volaility indices (VIX3M, VIX6M and VIX1Y) and VIX futures (next contract to the front one - VX!2). Because VIX is a derivate of SPX, the indicator shall be used on the SPX chart (or equivalent like SPY).
When the readings get above 90 / below 10, it means the market is overbought / oversold in terms of implied volatility. However, it does not mean it will reverse - if the price go higher along with the indicator readings then everything is fine. There is an alarming situation when the SPX is diverging - e.g. the price go higher, the readings lower. It means the SPX does not play in the same team as IVOL anymore and might reverse.
You can use it in conjunction with other implied volatility indicators for stronger signals: the Correlation overlay ( - the indicator that measures the correlation between VVIX and VIX) and VVIX/VIX ratio (it generates a signal the ratio makes 50wk high).
Black Scholes Model [racer8]This is the Black Scholes Model. This indicator tells you the prices of both a call option & a put option.
Input variables are spot price, strike price, risk free rate %, days to maturity, and implied volatility %.
This indicator was made generally for educational purposes.
By using this indicator, you will develop a better understanding of how options are priced.
This indicator was made to be as simple as possible so that the user can easily understand it.
I recreated the Black Scholes Model because there is very little scripts on TV that are based on the Black Scholes Model.
I am aware that are Black Scholes Model (BSM) scripts already on TV, but mine is not the same. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think there is a BSM script out there yet that relies on the exact same inputs that mine does.
Why use this indicator?
If you don't already have your own IV indicator...
You can use this indicator to approximate the value of implied volatility %.
You already know every input variable except IV%, and you know the call & put option prices.
So put in the numbers for each input and put a random number between 0 to 100 into the IV% input to get the options prices.
Adjust that random number for IV% until the output (options prices) matches correctly with what you already know they are to be.
This is called the trial and error method.
On the other hand, if you already know all input variables including IV%. Then you can use this indicator to find the call & put options prices directly.
Hope this helps. Enjoy 🙂
Density Zones (GM Crossing Clusters) + QHO Spin FlipsINDICATOR NAME
Density Zones (GM Crossing Clusters) + QHO Spin Flips
OVERVIEW
This indicator combines two complementary ideas into a single overlay: *this combines my earlier Geometric Mean Indicator with the Quantum Harmonic Oscillator (Overlay) with additional enhancements*
1) Density Zones (GM Crossing Clusters)
A “Density Zone” is detected when price repeatedly crosses a Geometric Mean equilibrium line (GM) within a rolling lookback window. Conceptually, this identifies regions where the market is repeatedly “snapping” across an equilibrium boundary—high churn, high decision pressure, and repeated re-selection of direction.
2) QHO Spin Flips (Regression-Residual σ Breaches)
A “Spin Flip” is detected when price deviates beyond a configurable σ-threshold (κ) from a regression-based equilibrium, using normalized residuals. Conceptually, this marks excursions into extreme states (decoherence / expansion), which often precede a reversion toward equilibrium and/or a regime re-scaling.
These two systems are related but not identical:
- Density Zones identify where equilibrium crossings cluster (a “singularity”/anchor behavior around GM).
- Spin Flips identify when price exceeds statistically extreme displacement from the regression equilibrium (LSR), indicating expansion beyond typical variance.
CORE CONCEPTS AND FORMULAS
SECTION A — GEOMETRIC MEAN EQUILIBRIUM (GM)
We define two moving averages:
(1) MA1_t = SMA(close_t, L1)
(2) MA2_t = SMA(close_t, L2)
We define the equilibrium anchor as the geometric mean of MA1 and MA2:
(3) GM_t = sqrt( MA1_t * MA2_t )
This GM line acts as an equilibrium boundary. Repeated crossings are interpreted as high “equilibrium churn.”
SECTION B — CROSS EVENTS (UP/DOWN)
A “cross event” is registered when the sign of (close - GM) changes:
Define a sign function s_t:
(4) s_t =
+1 if close_t > GM_t
-1 if close_t < GM_t
s_{t-1} if close_t == GM_t (tie-breaker to avoid false flips)
Then define the crossing event indicator:
(5) crossEvent_t = 1 if s_t != s_{t-1}
0 otherwise
Additionally, the indicator plots explicit cross markers:
- Cross Above GM: crossover(close, GM)
- Cross Below GM: crossunder(close, GM)
These provide directional visual cues and match the original Geometric Mean Indicator behavior.
SECTION C — DENSITY MEASURE (CROSSING CLUSTER COUNT)
A Density Zone is based on the number of cross events occurring in the last W bars:
(6) D_t = Σ_{i=0..W-1} crossEvent_{t-i}
This is a “crossing density” score: how many times price has toggled across GM recently.
The script implements this efficiently using a cumulative sum identity:
Let x_t = crossEvent_t.
(7) cumX_t = Σ_{j=0..t} x_j
Then:
(8) D_t = cumX_t - cumX_{t-W} (for t >= W)
cumX_t (for t < W)
SECTION D — DENSITY ZONE TRIGGER
We define a Density Zone state:
(9) isDZ_t = ( D_t >= θ )
where:
- θ (theta) is the user-selected crossing threshold.
Zone edges:
(10) dzStart_t = isDZ_t AND NOT isDZ_{t-1}
(11) dzEnd_t = NOT isDZ_t AND isDZ_{t-1}
SECTION E — DENSITY ZONE BOUNDS
While inside a Density Zone, we track the running high/low to display zone bounds:
(12) dzHi_t = max(dzHi_{t-1}, high_t) if isDZ_t
(13) dzLo_t = min(dzLo_{t-1}, low_t) if isDZ_t
On dzStart:
(14) dzHi_t := high_t
(15) dzLo_t := low_t
Outside zones, bounds are reset to NA.
These bounds visually bracket the “singularity span” (the churn envelope) during each density episode.
SECTION F — QHO EQUILIBRIUM (REGRESSION CENTERLINE)
Define the regression equilibrium (LSR):
(16) m_t = linreg(close_t, L, 0)
This is the “centerline” the QHO system uses as equilibrium.
SECTION G — RESIDUAL AND σ (FIELD WIDTH)
Residual:
(17) r_t = close_t - m_t
Rolling standard deviation of residuals:
(18) σ_t = stdev(r_t, L)
This σ_t is the local volatility/width of the residual field around the regression equilibrium.
SECTION H — NORMALIZED DISPLACEMENT AND SPIN FLIP
Define the standardized displacement:
(19) Y_t = (close_t - m_t) / σ_t
(If σ_t = 0, the script safely treats Y_t = 0.)
Spin Flip trigger uses a user threshold κ:
(20) spinFlip_t = ( |Y_t| > κ )
Directional spin flips:
(21) spinUp_t = ( Y_t > +κ )
(22) spinDn_t = ( Y_t < -κ )
The default κ=3.0 corresponds to “3σ excursions,” which are statistically extreme under a normal residual assumption (even though real markets are not perfectly normal).
SECTION I — QHO BANDS (OPTIONAL VISUALIZATION)
The indicator optionally draws the standard σ-bands around the regression equilibrium:
(23) 1σ bands: m_t ± 1·σ_t
(24) 2σ bands: m_t ± 2·σ_t
(25) 3σ bands: m_t ± 3·σ_t
These provide immediate context for the Spin Flip events.
WHAT YOU SEE ON THE CHART
1) MA1 / MA2 / GM lines (optional)
- MA1 (blue), MA2 (red), GM (green).
- GM is the equilibrium anchor for Density Zones and cross markers.
2) GM Cross Markers (optional)
- “GM↑” label markers appear on bars where close crosses above GM.
- “GM↓” label markers appear on bars where close crosses below GM.
3) Density Zone Shading (optional)
- Background shading appears while isDZ_t = true.
- This is the period where the crossing density D_t is above θ.
4) Density Zone High/Low Bounds (optional)
- Two lines (dzHi / dzLo) are drawn only while in-zone.
- These bounds bracket the full churn envelope during the density episode.
5) QHO Bands (optional)
- 1σ, 2σ, 3σ shaded zones around regression equilibrium.
- These visualize the current variance field.
6) Regression Equilibrium (LSR Centerline)
- The white centerline is the regression equilibrium m_t.
7) Spin Flip Markers
- A circle is plotted when |Y_t| > κ (beyond your chosen σ-threshold).
- Marker size is user-controlled (tiny → huge).
HOW TO USE IT
Step 1 — Pick the equilibrium anchor (GM)
- L1 and L2 define MA1 and MA2.
- GM = sqrt(MA1 * MA2) becomes your equilibrium boundary.
Typical choices:
- Faster equilibrium: L1=20, L2=50 (default-like).
- Slower equilibrium: L1=50, L2=200 (macro anchor).
Interpretation:
- GM acts like a “center of mass” between two moving averages.
- Crosses show when price flips from one side of equilibrium to the other.
Step 2 — Tune Density Zones (W and θ)
- W controls the time window measured (how far back you count crossings).
- θ controls how many crossings qualify as a “density/singularity episode.”
Guideline:
- Larger W = slower, broader density detection.
- Higher θ = only the most intense churn is labeled as a Density Zone.
Interpretation:
- A Density Zone is not “bullish” or “bearish” by itself.
- It is a condition: repeated equilibrium toggling (high churn / high compression).
- These often precede expansions, but direction is not implied by the zone alone.
Step 3 — Tune the QHO spin flip sensitivity (L and κ)
- L controls regression memory and σ estimation length.
- κ controls how extreme the displacement must be to trigger a spin flip.
Guideline:
- Smaller L = more reactive centerline and σ.
- Larger L = smoother, slower “field” definition.
- κ=3.0 = strong extreme filter.
- κ=2.0 = more frequent flips.
Interpretation:
- Spin flips mark when price exits the “normal” residual field.
- In your model language: a moment of decoherence/expansion that is statistically extreme relative to recent equilibrium.
Step 4 — Read the combined behavior (your key thesis)
A) Density Zone forms (GM churn clusters):
- Market repeatedly crosses equilibrium (GM), compressing into a bounded churn envelope.
- dzHi/dzLo show the envelope range.
B) Expansion occurs:
- Price can release away from the density envelope (up or down).
- If it expands far enough relative to regression equilibrium, a Spin Flip triggers (|Y| > κ).
C) Re-coherence:
- After a spin flip, price often returns toward equilibrium structures:
- toward the regression centerline m_t
- and/or back toward the density envelope (dzHi/dzLo) depending on regime behavior.
- The indicator does not guarantee return, but it highlights the condition where return-to-field is statistically likely in many regimes.
IMPORTANT NOTES / DISCLAIMERS
- This indicator is an analytical overlay. It does not provide financial advice.
- Density Zones are condition states derived from GM crossing frequency; they do not predict direction.
- Spin Flips are statistical excursions based on regression residuals and rolling σ; markets have fat tails and non-stationarity, so σ-based thresholds are contextual, not absolute.
- All parameters (L1, L2, W, θ, L, κ) should be tuned per asset, timeframe, and volatility regime.
PARAMETER SUMMARY
Geometric Mean / Density Zones:
- L1: MA1 length
- L2: MA2 length
- GM_t = sqrt(SMA(L1)*SMA(L2))
- W: crossing-count lookback window
- θ: crossing density threshold
- D_t = Σ crossEvent_{t-i} over W
- isDZ_t = (D_t >= θ)
- dzHi/dzLo track envelope bounds while isDZ is true
QHO / Spin Flips:
- L: regression + residual σ length
- m_t = linreg(close, L, 0)
- r_t = close_t - m_t
- σ_t = stdev(r_t, L)
- Y_t = r_t / σ_t
- spinFlip_t = (|Y_t| > κ)
Visual Controls:
- toggles for GM lines, cross markers, zone shading, bounds, QHO bands
- marker size options for GM crosses and spin flips
ALERTS INCLUDED
- Density Zone START / END
- Spin Flip UP / DOWN
- Cross Above GM / Cross Below GM
SUMMARY
This indicator treats the Geometric Mean as an equilibrium boundary and identifies “Density Zones” when price repeatedly crosses that equilibrium within a rolling window, forming a bounded churn envelope (dzHi/dzLo). It also models a regression-based equilibrium field and triggers “Spin Flips” when price makes statistically extreme σ-excursions from that field. Used together, Density Zones highlight compression/decision regions (equilibrium churn), while Spin Flips highlight extreme expansion states (σ-breaches), allowing the user to visualize how price compresses around equilibrium, releases outward, and often re-stabilizes around equilibrium structures over time.
Shiori TFGI Lite Technical Fear and Greed Index (Open Source)Shiori’s TFGI Lite
Technical Fear & Greed Index (Open Source)
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English — Official Description
Shiori’s TFGI Lite is an open-source Technical Fear & Greed Index designed to help traders and investors understand market emotion, not predict price.
Instead of generating buy or sell signals, this indicator focuses on answering a calmer, more important question:
> Is the market emotionally stretched away from its own historical balance?
TFGI Lite combines three well-known technical dimensions — volatility, price deviation, and momentum — and normalizes them into a single, intuitive 0–100 sentiment scale.
What This Indicator Is
* A market context tool, not a trading signal
* A way to observe emotional extremes and misalignment
* Designed for any asset, any timeframe
* Fully open source, transparent and adjustable
Core Components
* Fear Factor: Short-term vs long-term ATR ratio with logarithmic compression
* Greed Factor: Price Z-score with tanh-based normalization
* Momentum Factor: Classic RSI as emotional momentum
These factors are blended and gently smoothed to form the current sentiment level.
Historical Baseline & Deviation
TFGI Lite introduces a historical baseline concept:
* The baseline represents the market’s own emotional equilibrium
* Deviation measures how far current sentiment has drifted from that equilibrium
This allows the indicator to highlight conditions such as:
* 🔥 Overheated: High sentiment + strong positive deviation
* 💎 Undervalued: Low sentiment + strong negative deviation
* ⚠️ Misaligned: Emotionally extreme, but inconsistent with historical behavior
How to Use (Lite Philosophy)
* Use TFGI Lite as a background compass, not a trigger
* Combine it with price structure, risk management, and your own strategy
* Extreme readings suggest emotional tension, not immediate reversal
> Think of TFGI Lite as market weather — it tells you the climate, not when to open or close the door.
About Parameters & Customization
All parameters in TFGI Lite are fully adjustable. Markets have different personalities — volatility, sentiment range, and emotional extremes vary by asset and timeframe.
You are encouraged to:
* Adjust fear/greed thresholds based on the asset you trade
* Tune smoothing and baseline lengths to match your timeframe
* Treat sentiment levels as relative, not universal absolutes
There is no single “correct” setting — TFGI Lite is designed to adapt to your market, not force the market into a fixed model.
Important Notes
* This is a technical sentiment indicator, not financial advice
* No future performance is implied
* Designed to reduce emotional decision-making, not replace it
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🇹🇼 繁體中文 — 指標說明
Shiori’s TFGI Lite（技術型恐懼與貪婪指數） 是一款開源的市場情緒指標，目的不是預測價格，而是幫助你理解市場當下的「情緒狀態」。
與其問「現在該不該買或賣」，TFGI Lite 更關心的是：
> 市場情緒是否已經偏離了它自己的歷史平衡？
本指標整合三個常見但關鍵的技術面向，並統一轉換為 0–100 的情緒刻度，讓市場狀態一眼可讀。
這個指標是什麼
* 市場情緒與狀態觀察工具（非買賣訊號）
* 用來辨識情緒極端與錯位狀態
* 適用於任何商品與任何週期
* 完全開源，可學習、可調整
核心構成
* 恐懼因子：短期 / 長期 ATR 比例（對數壓縮）
* 貪婪因子：價格 Z-Score（tanh 正規化）
* 動能因子：RSI 作為情緒動量
歷史基準與偏離
TFGI Lite 引入「歷史情緒基準」的概念：
* 基準代表市場長期的情緒平衡
* 偏離值顯示當前情緒與自身歷史的距離
因此可以辨識：
* 🔥 過熱（高情緒 + 正向偏離）
* 💎 低估（低情緒 + 負向偏離）
* ⚠️ 錯位（情緒極端，但不符合歷史行為）
使用建議（Lite 精神）
* 將 TFGI Lite 作為「背景雷達」，而非進出場依據
* 搭配價格結構、風險控管與個人策略
* 情緒極端不等於立刻反轉
> 你可以把它想像成市場的天氣預報，而不是交易指令。
參數調整與個人化說明
本指標中的所有參數皆可調整。不同市場、不同商品，其波動特性與情緒區間並不相同。
建議你：
* 依標的特性自行調整恐懼 / 貪婪門檻
* 依交易週期調整平滑與基準長度
* 將情緒數值視為「相對狀態」，而非固定答案
TFGI Lite 的設計初衷，是讓你定義市場，而不是被單一參數綁住。
溫馨提示
如果你在調整指標參數時遇到不熟悉的項目，請點擊參數旁邊的 「!」圖示，每個設定都有清楚的說明。
本指標設計為可慢慢探索，請依自己的節奏理解市場狀態。
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🇯🇵 日本語 — インジケーター説明
Shiori’s TFGI Lite は、価格を予測するための指標ではなく、
市場の「感情状態」を可視化するためのオープンソース指標です。
この指標が問いかけるのは、
> 現在の市場感情は、過去のバランスからどれだけ乖離しているのか？
という一点です。
特徴
* 売買シグナルではありません
* 市場心理の極端さやズレを観察するためのツールです
* すべての銘柄・時間軸に対応
* 学習・調整可能なオープンソース
構成要素
* 恐怖要素：ATR 比率（対数圧縮）
* 強欲要素：価格 Z スコア（tanh 正規化）
* モメンタム：RSI
ベースラインと乖離
市場自身の感情的な基準点と、
現在の感情との距離を測定します。
過熱・割安・感情のズレを視覚的に把握できます。
パラメータ調整について
TFGI Lite のすべてのパラメータは調整可能です。市場ごとにボラティリティや感情の振れ幅は異なります。
* 恐怖・強欲の閾値は銘柄に応じて調整してください
* 時間軸に合わせて平滑化やベースライン期間を変更できます
* 数値は絶対値ではなく、相対的な感情状態として捉えてください
この指標は、市場に合わせて柔軟に使うことを前提に設計されています。
フレンドリーヒント
入力項目で分からない設定がある場合は、横に表示されている 「!」アイコン をクリックしてください。各パラメータには分かりやすい説明が用意されています。
このインジケーターは、落ち着いて市場の状態を理解するためのものです。
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🇰🇷 한국어 — 지표 설명
Shiori’s TFGI Lite는 매수·매도 신호를 제공하는 지표가 아니라,
시장 감정의 상태를 이해하기 위한 기술적 심리 지표입니다.
이 지표의 핵심 질문은 다음과 같습니다.
> 현재 시장 감정은 과거의 균형 상태에서 얼마나 벗어나 있는가?
특징
* 거래 신호 아님
* 시장 심리의 과열·저평가·불일치를 관찰
* 모든 자산, 모든 타임프레임 지원
* 오픈소스 기반
구성 요소
* 공포 요인: ATR 비율 (로그 압축)
* 탐욕 요인: Z-Score (tanh 정규화)
* 모멘텀: RSI
활용 방법
TFGI Lite는 배경 지표로 사용하세요.
가격 구조와 리스크 관리와 함께 사용할 때 가장 효과적입니다.
파라미터 조정 안내
TFGI Lite의 모든 설정 값은 사용자가 직접 조정할 수 있습니다. 자산마다 변동성과 감정 범위는 서로 다릅니다.
* 공포 / 탐욕 기준값은 종목 특성에 맞게 조정하세요
* 타임프레임에 따라 스무딩 및 기준 기간을 변경할 수 있습니다
* 감정 수치는 절대적인 값이 아닌 상대적 상태로 해석하세요
이 지표는 하나의 정답을 강요하지 않고, 시장에 맞춰 적응하도록 설계되었습니다.
친절한 안내
설정 값이 익숙하지 않다면, 항목 옆에 있는 "!" 아이콘을 클릭해 보세요. 각 입력값마다 설명이 제공됩니다.
이 지표는 천천히 시장의 맥락을 이해하도록 설계되었습니다.
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Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
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#FearAndGreed #MarketSentiment #TradingPsychology #TechnicalAnalysis #OpenSourceIndicator #Volatility #RSI #ATR #ZScore #MultiAsset #TradingView #Shiori
