MAGNUS® CyclesThis indicator will help you if you struggle making any profit in bitcoin.
It generates very few signals with very nice profit potential ( around 100% this year ! ).
Perfect tool for longterm swing traders and new traders that need help figuring out the midterm trend.
Use it with these parameters only:
weekly: 13, 5, 12
daily: 92, 21, 96
Cari skrip untuk "bitcoin"
QuantLabs Multi Asset Similarity Matrix [V3 Final]The Market is a graph. See the flows:
The QuantLabs MASM is not a standard correlation table. It is an Alpha-Grade Scanner architected to reveal the hidden "hydraulic" relationships between global macro assets in real-time.
Rebuilt from the ground up for Version 3, this engine pushes the absolute limits of the Pine Script™ runtime. It utilizes a proprietary Logarithmic Math Engine, Symmetric Compute Optimization, and a futuristic "Ghost Mode" interface to deliver a 15x15 real-time correlation matrix with zero lag.
Under the Hood: The Quant Architecture
We stripped away standard libraries to build a lean, high-performance engine designed for institutional-grade accuracy.
1. Alpha Math Engine (Logarithmic Returns) Most tools calculate correlation based on Price, which generates spurious signals (e.g., "Everything is correlated in a bull run").
The Solution: Our engine computes Logarithmic Returns (log(close /close )) by default. This measures the correlation of change (Velocity & Vector), not price levels.
The Result: A mathematically rigorous view of statistical relationships that filters out the noise of general market drift.
Dual-Core: Toggle seamlessly between "Alpha Mode" (Log Returns) for verified stats and "Visual Mode" (Price) for trend alignment.
Calculation Modes: Pearson (Standard), Euclidean (Distance), Cosine (Vector), Manhattan (Grid).
2. Symmetric Compute Optimization Calculating a 15x15 matrix requires evaluating 225 unique relationships per bar, which often crashes memory limits.
The Fix: The V3 Engine utilizes Symmetric Logic, recognizing that Correlation(A, B) == Correlation(B, A).
The Gain: By computing only the lower triangle of the matrix and mirroring pointers to the upper triangle, we reduced computational load by 50%, ensuring a lightning-fast data feed even on lower timeframes.
3. Context-Aware "Ghost Mode" The UI is designed for professional traders who need focus, not clutter.
Smart Detection: The matrix automatically detects your current chart's Ticker ID. If you are trading QQQ, the matrix will visually highlight the Nas100 row and column, making them opaque and bright while dimming the rest.
Dynamic Transparency: Irrelevant data ("Noise" < 0.3 correlation) fades into the background. Only significant "Alpha Signals" (> 0.7) glow with full Neon Saturation.
Key Features
Dominant Flow Scanner: The matrix scans all 105 unique pairs every tick and prints the #1 Strongest Correlation at the bottom of the pane (e.g., DOMINANT FLOW: Bitcoin ↔ Nas100 ).
Streak Counter: A "Stubbornness" metric that tracks how many consecutive days a strong correlation has persisted. Instantly identify if a move is a "flash event" or a "structural trend."
Neon Palette: Proprietary color mapping using Electric Blue (+1.0) for lockstep correlation and Deep Red (-1.0) for inverse hedging.
Usage Guide
Placement: Best viewed in a bottom pane (Footer).
Assets: Pre-loaded with the Essential 15 Macro Drivers (Indices, BTC, Gold, Oil, Rates, FX, Key Sectors). Fully editable via settings (Ticker|Name).
Reading the Grid:
🔵 Bright Blue: Assets moving in lockstep (Risk-On).
🔴 Bright Red: Assets moving perfectly opposite (Hedge/Risk-Off).
⚫ Faded/Black: No statistical relationship (Decoupled).
Key Improvements Made:
Formatting: Added clear bullet points and bolding to make it scannable.
Clarity: Clarified the "Logarithmic Returns" section to explain why it matters (Velocity vs. Price Levels).
Tone: Maintained the "high-tech/quant" vibe but removed slightly clunky phrases like "spurious signals" (unless you prefer that academic tone, in which case I left it in as it fits the persona).
Structure: Grouped the "Modes" under the Math Engine for better logic.
Created and designed with love by David James @QuantLabs : )
Arbitrage Detector [LuxAlgo]The Arbitrage Detector unveils hidden spreads in the crypto and forex markets. It compares the same asset on the main crypto exchanges and forex brokers and displays both prices and volumes on a dashboard, as well as the maximum spread detected on a histogram divided by four user-selected percentiles. This allows traders to detect unusual, high, typical, or low spreads.
This highly customizable tool features automatic source selection (crypto or forex) based on the asset in the chart, as well as current and historical spread detection. It also features a dashboard with sortable columns and a historical histogram with percentiles and different smoothing options.
🔶 USAGE
Arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of price differences for the same asset across different markets. Arbitrage traders look for these discrepancies to profit from buying where it’s cheaper and selling where it’s more expensive to capture the spread.
For begginers this tool is an easy way to understand how prices can vary between markets, helping you avoid trading at a disadvantage.
For advanced traders it is a fast tool to spot arbitrage opportunities or inefficiencies that can be exploited for profit.
Arbitrage opportunities are often short‑lived, but they can be highly profitable. By showing you where spreads exist, this tool helps traders:
Understand market inefficiencies
Avoid trading at unfavorable prices
Identify potential profit opportunities across exchanges
As we can see in the image, the tool consists of two main graphics: a dashboard on the main chart and a histogram in the pane below.
Both are useful for understanding the behavior of the same asset on different crypto exchanges or forex brokers.
The tool's main goal is to detect and categorize spread activity across the major crypto and forex sources. The comparison uses data from up to 19 crypto exchanges and 13 forex brokers.
🔹 Forex or Crypto
The tool selects the appropriate sources (crypto exchanges or forex brokers) based on the asset in the chart. Traders can choose which one to use.
The image shows the prices and volumes for Bitcoin and the euro across the main sources, sorted by descending average price over the last 20 days.
🔹 Dashboard
The dashboard displays a list of all sources with four main columns: last price, average price, volume, and total volume.
All four columns can be sorted in ascending or descending order, or left unsorted. A background gradient color is displayed for the sorted column.
Price and volume delta information between the chart asset and each exchange can be enabled or disabled from the settings panel.
🔹 Histogram
The histogram is excellent for visualizing historical values and comparing them with the asset price.
In this case, we have the Euro/U.S. Dollar daily chart. As we can see, the unusual spread activity detected since 2016, with values at or above 98%, is usually a good indication of increased trader activity, which may result in a key price area where the market could turn around.
By default, the histogram has the gradient and smoothing auto features enabled.
The differences are visible in the chart above. On top is an adaptive moving average with higher values for unusual activity. At the bottom is an exponential moving average with a length of 9.
The differences between the gradient and solid colors are evident. In the first case, the colors are in sync with the data values, becoming more yellow with higher values and more green with lower values. In the second case, the colors are solid and only distinguish data above or below the defined percentiles.
🔶 SETTINGS
Sources: Choose between crypto exchanges, forex brokers, or automatic selection based on the asset in the chart.
Average Length: Select the length for the price and volume averages.
🔹 Percentiles
Percentile Length: Select the length for the percentile calculation, or enable the use of the full dataset. Enabling this option may result in runtime errors due to exceeding the allotted resources.
Unusual % >: Select the unusual percentile.
High % >: Select the high percentile.
Typical % >: Select the typical percentile.
🔹 Dashboard
Dashboard: Enable or disable the dashboard.
Sorting: Select the sorting column and direction.
Position: Select the dashboard location.
Size: Select the dashboard size.
Price Delta: Show the price difference between each exchange and the asset on the chart.
Volume Delta: Show the volume difference between each exchange and the asset on the chart.
🔹 Style
Unusual: Enable the plot of the unusual percentile and select its color.
High: Enable the plot of the high percentile and select its color.
Typical: Enable the plot of the typical percentile and select its color.
Low: Select the color for the low percentile.
Percentiles Auto Color: Enable auto color for all plotted percentiles.
Histogram Gradient: Enable the gradient color for the histogram.
Histogram Smoothing: Select the length of the EMA smoothing for the histogram or enable the Auto feature. The Auto feature uses an adaptive moving average with the data percent rank as the efficiency ratio.
NCL Noise FilterOne of our Favorite Indicators - the NeoChartLabs Noise Filter.
FILTER OUT THE NOISE and focus on the moves that matter, toggle the settings to match your preference.
Or switch the Duration Setting to Institutional on a high timeframe (1W+) to locate great spot buying opportunities near cycle tops and bottoms.
Volume Filter: The volume filter automatically turns OFF when you switch to Major Macro Cycle or Institutional Baseline, as those high-timeframe structural breaks are often valid even on lower relative volume.
You can change the volume requirement by checking the volume of the current breakout bar against its Relative Volume (RVOL) - A setting of 0 turns this OFF.
A common professional standard is to require the breakout volume to be at least 1.5x to 2x higher than the 20-period average volume.
*we recommend using a higher volume setting on low timeframes under the 4HR to reduce false signals.
MTF Filter:
*we recommend to set at least 1 timeframe above your trade (i.e if you enter on the 2hour set to the 4 hour)
It prevents entering trades that are essentially minor pullbacks in a much larger opposing trend.
By integrating a higher timeframe EMA (e.g., a 200-period EMA from a 4x higher timeframe), you can filter out counter-trend trades that have a higher probability of failing.
ATR Filter:
Filters "Fake-Outs": It forces the price to not just "touch" the trendline, but to break it with enough force to clear the current average volatility.
Adaptive: Unlike a fixed pip/dollar amount, the ATR adjusts to the asset. On Bitcoin, the threshold might be $500; on a penny stock, it might be $0.05.
Bullish Cross: The price must close above the support trendline + (0.5 * ATR).
Bearish Cross: The price must close below the resistance trendline - (0.5 * ATR).
MACD Filter:
Bullish Crosses require the MACD Histogram to be increasing (showing positive momentum acceleration).
Bearish Crosses require the MACD Histogram to be decreasing (showing negative momentum acceleration).
RSI Filter:
Bullish Breakout (Cross of the lower/support trendline): You would want the RSI to be rising or above 50, showing that buyers are in control.
Bearish Breakdown (Cross of the upper/resistance trendline): You would want the RSI to be falling or below 50, showing sellers are in control.
Market Structure Shifts (CHoCH) - identifying Trends with bullish/bearish dashed horizontal lines for each CHoCH providing a cleaner visualization of the support or resistance level that price has just violated.
Duration Table for 1Week Charts
Trading Style Fractal Length (p) Pattern Span Confirmation Delay
Standard Swing 2 5 Weeks 2 Weeks
Intermediate Trend 5 11 Weeks 5 Weeks
Major Macro Cycle 10–20 21–41 Weeks 10–20 Weeks
Institutional Baseline 44 ~2 Years ~10 Months
BTC - VDD Multiple (Approx)Overview & Philosophy
⚠️ Note: This indicator is optimized for the Daily (1D) Timeframe. Please switch your chart to 1D for accurate signal reading.
The BTC – VDD Multiple (Approx) is an advanced oscillator designed to identify market overheating and cycle tops by analyzing the velocity of value moving through the market.
In traditional On-Chain Analysis, Value Days Destroyed (VDD) is a premier metric for spotting macro tops. It multiplies the coin age (how long a coin was held) by the price at which it was moved. When old coins (HODLer money) move at high prices, VDD spikes, signaling massive profit-taking.
The Problem: Real "Coin Days Destroyed" (CDD) data is typically locked behind institutional paywalls or unavailable on standard TradingView plans.
The Solution: This script calculates a Deterministic Proxy. By analyzing the relationship between Exchange Volume, Price, and a Dormancy Constant, we can approximate the structure of the VDD Multiple without needing a premium data feed.
Methodology
The VDD Multiple works by comparing short-term market velocity against a long-term baseline.
1. The Proxy Calculation
Since we cannot directly access the age of coins on TradingView, we model the economic weight of the move:
Proxy Value = Exchange Volume * Price * Dormancy Factor
This creates a synthetic representation of "Value Throughput."
2. The Multiple
We compare the immediate heat of the market against the yearly trend:
• Short-Term MA (2 Days): Captures flash spikes and sudden liquidity exit events.
• Long-Term MA (365 Days): Represents the baseline "hum" of network activity.
VDD Multiple = Short Term MA / Long Term MA
How to Read the Chart
The indicator plots the Multiple as a line and uses background highlighting to signal extreme regimes.
🔴 The Red Zone (Overheated > 2.9)
Meaning: Current value transfer is ~3x higher than the yearly average.
Interpretation: Historically, sharp spikes into the Red Zone correlate with Local or Cycle Tops. This indicates that massive volume is changing hands at high prices—typically a sign of "Smart Money" distributing into "Dumb Money" FOMO.
Note: In strong bull runs, price can push higher even after a VDD spike, but the risk/reward ratio is extremely poor here.
🟢 The Green Zone (Undervalued < 0.75)
Meaning: Market activity is quiet and below the yearly baseline.
Interpretation: These are periods of apathy or accumulation. Historically, extended time spent in the Green Zone (the "flatline") has offered the best asymmetric buying opportunities.
🟠 The Orange Line (Neutral)
Meaning: The market is in transition or equilibrium.
Strategy & Context
This indicator is best used as a Macro Cycle Tool, not a day-trading signal.
• Exit Strategy: Look for "Clusters" of Red Spikes. A single spike often marks a local correction, but a cluster of intense spikes while price makes new highs (Divergence) is a strong Cycle Top warning.
• Entry Strategy: Historically the best entries occur when the indicator flattens out in the Green Zone for weeks or months. This suggests sellers are exhausted and the market has reached a floor.
Credits
This script is an approximation of the original VDD Multiple concept. Full credit for the underlying on-chain theory goes to the pioneers of this metric:
• Concept: The original Value Days Destroyed metric was popularized by Hans Hauge and Glassnode.
• The Multiple: The specific application of a Short/Long MA Multiple on VDD is widely attributed to analysts like TXMC and Bitbo.
This script adapts these concepts for the free TradingView environment using exchange volume proxies.
Settings
• Data Source: Defaults to BINANCE:BTCUSDT to capture high-volume liquidity.
• Short MA: Default is 2 Days to capture rapid velocity spikes.
• Long MA: Default is 365 Days to track the annual trend.
Disclaimer
This tool is an approximation based on exchange volume, not raw blockchain data. While exchange volume and on-chain volume are highly correlated during cycle extremes, they are not identical. This script is for educational and research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, onchain, vdd, cdd, valuation, cycle, top, bottom, Rob Maths
Tailwind.(BTC)Imagine the price of Bitcoin is like a person climbing a staircase.
The Steps (Grid): Instead of watching every single price movement, the strategy divides the market into fixed steps. In your configuration, each step measures **3,000 points**. (Examples: 60,000, 63,000, 66,000...).
The Signal: We buy only when the price climbs a full step decisively.
The "Expensive Price" Filter: If the price jumps the step but lands too far away (the candle closes too high), we do not buy. It is like trying to board a train that has already started moving too fast; the risk is too high.
Rigid Exits: The Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) are calculated from the edge of the step, not from the specific price where you managed to buy. This preserves the geometric structure of the market.
The Code Logic (Step-by-Step)
A. The Math of the Grid (`math.floor`)
pinescript
level_base = math.floor(close / step_size) * step_size
This is the most important line.
What does it do? It rounds the price down to the nearest multiple of 3,000.
Example: If BTC is at 64,500 and the step size is 3,000:
1. Divide: $64,500 / 3,000 = 21.5$
2. `math.floor` (Floor): Removes the decimals $\rightarrow$ remains $21$.
3. Multiply: $21 * 3,000 = 63,000$.
Result: The code knows that the current "floor" is **63,000**, regardless of whether the price is at 63,001 or 65,999.
B. The Strict Breakout (`strict_cross`)
pinescript
strict_cross = (open < level_base) and (close > level_base)
Most strategies only check if `close > level`. We do things slightly differently:
`open < level_base`: Requires the candle to have "born" *below* the line (e.g., opened at 62,900).
`close > level_base`: Requires the candle to have *finished* above the line (e.g., closed at 63,200).
Why? This avoids entering on gaps (price jumps where the market opens already very high) and confirms that there was real buying power crossing the line.
C. The "Expensive Price" Filter (`max_dist_pct`)
pinescript
limit_price_entry = level_base + (step_size * (max_dist_pct / 100.0))
price_is_valid = close <= limit_price_entry
Here you apply the percentage rule:
-If the level is 63,000 and the next is 66,000 (a difference of 3,000).
-If `max_dist_pct` is **60%**, the limit is $63,000 + (60\% \text{ of } 3,000) = 64,800$.
-If the breakout candle closes at **65,000**, the variable `price_is_valid` will be **false** and it will not enter the trade. This avoids buying at the ceiling.
D. TP and SL Calculation (Anchored to the Level)
pinescript
take_profit = level_base + (step_size * tp_mult)
stop_loss = level_base - (step_size * sl_mult)
Note that we use `level_base` and not `close`.
-If you entered because the price broke 63,000, your SL is calculated starting from 63,000.
-If your SL is 1.0x, your stop will be exactly at 60,000.
This is crucial: If you bought "expensive" (e.g., at 63,500), your real stop is wider (3,500 points) than if you bought cheap (63,100). Because you filter out expensive entries, you protect your Risk/Reward ratio.
E. Visual Management (`var line`)
The code uses `var` variables to remember the TP and SL lines and the `line.set_x2` function to stretch them to the right while the operation remains open, providing that visual reference on the chart until the trade ends.
Workflow Summary
Strategy Parameters:
Total Capital: $20,000
We will use 10% of total capital per trade.
Commissions: 0.1% per trade.
TP: 1.4
SL: 1
Step Size (Grid): 3,000
We use the 200 EMA as a trend filter.
Feel free to experiment with the parameters to your liking. Cheers.
CT Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0
Systemic Stress & Market Regime Monitor
OVERVIEW
Wall Street-grade structural monitoring now open-source.
CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0 is a real-time systemic risk tool designed to detect fragility before it hits price. Built by former institutional traders, it delivers structural insight typically reserved for desks inside hedge funds and global macro desks.
This isn’t about finding entries or exits, it’s about understanding the environment you're trading in, and recognizing when it's shifting.
WHAT IT DOES
• Monitors six key market domains: Equities, Rates/Credit, FX (USD stress), Commodities, Crypto, and Macro
• Detects volatility stress, cross-domain coupling, and regime synchronization
• Classifies market structure into Normal → Fragile → Critical
• Shows a live dashboard with scores, coupling levels, and structural state
• Plots event markers (T1, T2, T3) for structural transitions
• Implements hysteresis logic to model post-stress 'memory
• Supports both single-domain ("Local Mode") and system-wide monitoring
HOW IT WORKS
This engine does not rely on traditional TA. No moving averages. No MACD. No patterns. No guesswork.
Instead, it measures how markets are behaving beneath price detecting when stress is:
• Building internally
• Spreading across domains
• Synchronizing into systemic fragility
T1 (🟠) — Early instability: acceleration in market coupling
T2 (🔵) — Fragile regime: multiple domains simultaneously stressed
T3 (🔴) — Critical regime: synchronized, system-wide stress
These are not buy/sell signals. They are structural regime alerts, the same kind used by institutions to cut risk before stress cascades.
WHY IT MATTERS
Most retail tools are reactive. They interpret surface-level patterns after the move.
This tool is different. It’s proactive – measuring pressure before it breaks structure.
Institutions have used structural fragility models like this for years. This script helps close that gap, giving everyday traders the same early warnings that pros use to reduce exposure and sidestep systemic blowups.
It’s not about finding the edge.
It’s about not getting crushed when the system breaks.
Whether you trade crypto, stocks, FX, or macro, this engine helps answer:
• Is the system stable right now?
• Are stress levels rising across markets?
• Is it time to tighten risk?
Institutions don’t wait for breakouts. They monitor structure.
Now, you can too.
KEY FEATURES
• Works on any asset class and any timeframe
• Fully customizable domain selection
• Three-tier structural alert system (T1–T3)
• Real-time dashboard: stress scores, states, and coupling levels
• Hysteresis modeling: post-stress “memory” detection
• Supports single-domain (local) or multi-domain (systemic) monitoring
• PineScript alerts built-in
RECOMMENDED USE
Active traders - all asset classes
Use the dashboard and T1–T3 alerts to stay aware of structural risk in real time.
Track multi-timeframe alignment to detect where risk originates and how it spreads across markets.
Crypto trader s
Monitor upstream domains (Equities, FX, Rates, Macro) to detect pressure before it reaches crypto.
Identify reflexive stress before Bitcoin reacts — and stay ahead of contagion events.
Macro & systematic traders
Use T1–T3 transitions as volatility filters, exposure governors, or dynamic risk overlays.
Build regime-aware models that adapt to shifting systemic conditions.
Examples & Visuals
Question: Would it have helped to know that at 9:30 on October 9th and again at 10:00 on October 10th that critical states were detected in the structural behavior of Bitcoin? Take a look:
30 min chart BTC shows two distinct T3 (critical) regime detections October 9th and 10:30 October 10th
5m BTC chart reveals high frequency instability for the same period, identifying instability, fragility, criticality
The 30minute BTC chart at 16:30 Friday October 10th,, a few hours after first detecting critical systemic risk
RISK DISCLAIMER
This is a structural analysis tool, not a predictive signal. It does not provide financial advice, trade entries, or forecasts. Use at your own risk. Full disclaimer embedded in the script.
Complexity Trading - From Wall St to Main St
No patterns. No repainting. No mysticism. Just logic, math, science and market structure - now made accessible to everyone.
Developer of LPPL Critical Pulse (LPPLCP), the Temporal Phase Model (TPM) and other
other advanced structural and attractor based systems inspired by Sornette’s LPPL framework and other differentiated thinkers.
Note on Methodology
This tool is not predictive, and not designed for academic publication.
It is a real-time structural monitoring system inspired by academically established concepts,
including LPPL attractor dynamics, cross-asset coupling, reflexivity, and phase regime transitions, implemented within the real-time constraints of PineScript, and intended for visual, exploratory, and diagnostic use.
Market + Direction + Entry + Hold + Exit v1.5 FINALOverview
This script is a complete trend-based trading framework designed to filter market conditions, determine directional bias, detect high-quality pullback entries, manage active trades, and identify trend-weakening exit points.
It is optimized for NQ futures, Gold (XAUUSD), and Bitcoin, with adaptive parameters for each asset.
The logic focuses on trading only when conditions are favorable, aligning entries with the primary trend, and avoiding low-probability setups.
1. Market Condition Filter
Before any signal appears, the script checks whether the market is active using three conditions:
ATR compared to ATR moving average (volatility condition)
Volume compared to average volume (liquidity condition)
Price distance from VWAP (suppression of mean-reversion environments)
A trade environment is considered active when at least two of these three conditions are positive.
2. Trend Direction Filter
Directional bias is defined by:
EMA21 relative to EMA55
Price relative to VWAP
Heikin-Ashi structure
When these conditions align, the script switches into long-only or short-only mode.
No counter-trend signals are displayed.
3. Entry Logic (L, L2, L3 and S, S2, S3)
The system identifies pullback entries within a confirmed trend.
Long entries require:
Uptrend confirmation
Price dipping toward EMA21 or EMA55
A constructive Heikin-Ashi candle
Market environment active
Short entries mirror the same structure in bearish conditions.
Re-entries (L2, L3, S2, S3) are given only if the trend remains intact after the first entry.
4. Hold Logic
A hold signal appears if momentum remains aligned with the trend.
Momentum is evaluated using the Stochastic indicator (K and D lines).
5. Exit Logic
An exit signal appears when:
The recent structural low (for longs) or high (for shorts) is broken, and
The EMA slope indicates weakening trend strength
This combination identifies high-probability trend exhaustion.
How to Use
Add the script to your chart.
Select an asset preset (NQ, GOLD, BTC).
Wait for the market to be active.
Follow the entry signals (L, L2, L3 or S, S2, S3).
Hold signals help confirm continuation.
Exit signals indicate potential trend reversal or weakness.
Feature Summary
Market environment filter
Trend direction filter
Pullback-based entry system
Multi-stage re-entry framework
Momentum-based hold signal
Structure-based exit
Asset-adaptive parameters
Clean chart visualization
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational use.
It does not constitute financial advice.
Always backtest before using in live markets.
개요
이 스크립트는 시장 상태 필터링, 추세 방향 판단, 고품질 눌림목 진입, 보유 판단, 추세 약화 기반 청산까지 모두 포함하는 완전한 트레이딩 프레임워크입니다.
NQ, 골드(XAUUSD), 비트코인에 맞게 최적화되어 있습니다.
1. 시장 필터
다음 세 가지 중 두 가지 이상이 충족될 때만 매매 환경을 ‘활성’으로 판단합니다.
ATR 기준 변동성 체크
거래량 활성도 체크
가격의 VWAP 거리 체크
2. 방향(추세) 필터
다음 조건을 기반으로 상승·하락 추세를 결정합니다.
EMA21 vs EMA55
가격 vs VWAP
Heikin-Ashi 구조
이 조건이 일치할 때만 롱 전용 또는 숏 전용 모드로 진입합니다.
3. 진입 로직
추세가 유지되는 상태에서 EMA21 또는 EMA55까지 눌림이 나올 때
L 또는 S 신호를 제공합니다.
추세가 유지되면 L2/L3, S2/S3 재진입 신호가 추가로 발생합니다.
4. 보유(Hold)
모멘텀이 추세 방향과 일치할 때 보유 신호를 제공합니다.
5. 청산(Exit)
다음 두 조건이 동시에 나타날 때 청산 신호가 표시됩니다.
직전 구조(스윙)가 붕괴될 때
EMA 기울기가 약화될 때
사용 방법
차트에 스크립트를 추가합니다.
자산 프리셋(NQ, GOLD, BTC)을 선택합니다.
시장이 활성일 때만 신호를 참고합니다.
L/S 진입 신호와 보유/청산 신호를 활용해 매매 흐름을 관리합니다.
Crypto ATR Position Sizer + LeverageThis indicator is a "heads-up display" for crypto traders who need real time risk management without manually calculating position sizes. It uses Average True Range (ATR) to dynamically place Stop Losses based on current market volatility and automatically calculates the exact position size needed to respect your risk percentage.
Key Features:
Dynamic Risk Management: Stop Loss and Take Profit levels adjust automatically based on market volatility (ATR).
Auto-Position Sizing: Calculates the exact Quantity (in coins) and Position Value (in $) to ensure you never risk more than your defined percentage (e.g., 1% or 2%).
Leverage Calculator: Instantly sees the "Required Leverage" needed to execute the trade size relative to your account balance.
Crypto Precision: Displays up to 8 decimal places, making it compatible with both Bitcoin and low-sat altcoins.
Toggable Direction: Switch between Long and Short biases instantly via the settings menu.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Open Settings and input your Account Balance and Risk %.
Choose your direction (Long or Short) using the checkboxes.
The label will display your Entry, SL, TP, Coin Quantity, and Required Leverage in real-time.
SUPERTREND VALIDADO ADX EMAS VWAP # Modular Trading System - SuperTrend + ADX + Multi-Filter Confirmation
## Overview
Professional modular trading system designed for trend-following strategies on 4H timeframes. Features a clean, mobile-optimized interface with customizable filters and real-time status monitoring.
## Core Features
### Validated Components (Backtested)
- **SuperTrend (ATR 10, Multiplier 3.0)**: Primary trend direction filter with visual fill
- **ADX >23**: Trend strength confirmation (14-period)
- Proven performance: 52.11% win rate, 3.162 profit factor over 4 years
### Additional Filters (Optional)
- **DI Spread >9**: Directional movement confirmation
- **Volume > EMA20**: Volume confirmation above 20-period average
- **EMA System**: 7/21/50 with dynamic coloring
- **VWAP**: Daily volume-weighted average price
### Visual Elements
- **SuperTrend Line**: Green (bullish) / Red (bearish) with background fill
- **EMA 7**: Yellow when ADX >23, White when ADX ≤23
- **EMA 21**: Green (price above) / Red (price below)
- **EMA 50**: Blue reference line
- **VWAP**: Orange line
- **PDH/PDL**: Previous day high/low levels
- **EMA Cross Signals**: Small dots marking 7/21 crossovers
### Smart Money Concepts
- Automatic Previous Day High (PDH) / Previous Day Low (PDL) tracking
- Horizontal lines extending from current price
- Clear labeling for support/resistance levels
## Status Dashboard
Compact 2-column table (top-right) shows:
```
FILTERS | STATUS
1. ADX >23 | 47.6 OK / 18.2 NO
2. DI Spread >9 | Bullish / Bearish
3. SuperTrend | Bullish / Bearish
4. Volume >EMA20 | 1.25x OK / 0.14x NO
─────────────────────────────
SIGNAL | BUY / SELL / WAIT
```
Color-coded backgrounds:
- Green: Condition met
- Red: Condition not met
- Yellow: Waiting for confirmation
## Signal Logic
### Entry Conditions
**LONG**: All active filters must align
- SuperTrend bullish (green)
- ADX >23
- DI+ > DI- (if DI Spread enabled)
- Volume > EMA20 (if Volume enabled)
- Price > EMA21 and EMA7 > EMA21 (if EMAs enabled)
**SHORT**: All active filters must align
- SuperTrend bearish (red)
- ADX >23
- DI- > DI+ (if DI Spread enabled)
- Volume > EMA20 (if Volume enabled)
- Price < EMA21 and EMA7 < EMA21 (if EMAs enabled)
### Exit Conditions
- SuperTrend direction change
- Clear "EXIT" markers on chart
### Position Management
- One position per trend (no pyramiding)
- Prevents multiple entries in same direction
- "WAIT" status when conditions partially met
## Settings & Customization
### Filters (Enable/Disable)
**Core Filters:**
- ✓ SuperTrend (VALIDATED)
- ✓ ADX >23 (VALIDATED)
**Additional Filters:**
- ⚠️ DI Spread >9 (EXPERIMENTAL)
- ⚠️ Volume > EMA20 (EXPERIMENTAL)
- ⚠️ EMAs 7/21/50 (EXPERIMENTAL)
**Visual:**
- Show EMA 7/21 Crosses (dots)
### Parameters
**SuperTrend:**
- ATR Period: 10 (default)
- ATR Multiplier: 3.0 (default)
**ADX/DI:**
- ADX Length: 14 (default)
- ADX Threshold: 23 (default)
- DI Spread Threshold: 9 (default)
**Volume:**
- Volume EMA: 20 (default)
**EMAs:**
- Fast EMA: 7 (default)
- Medium EMA: 21 (default)
- Slow EMA: 50 (default)
## Alerts
Pre-configured alerts for:
- Long Signal (BUY - Entry confirmed)
- Short Signal (SELL - Entry confirmed)
- Exit Long (EXIT LONG - SuperTrend changed)
- Exit Short (EXIT SHORT - SuperTrend changed)
- EMA Cross Up (EMA 7 crossed above EMA 21)
- EMA Cross Down (EMA 7 crossed below EMA 21)
## Best Practices
### Recommended Setup (Validated System)
```
Enable ONLY:
- SuperTrend: ON
- ADX >23: ON
- All other filters: OFF
```
### Testing New Filters
1. Enable experimental filters
2. Backtest thoroughly before live trading
3. Compare performance metrics
4. Validate with demo account first
### Timeframe
- Optimized for: 4H charts
- Tested on: Bitcoin/USDT
- Works on: Any trending instrument
## Risk Management
This indicator provides entry/exit signals but does NOT include:
- Stop loss levels
- Take profit targets
- Position sizing
Always use proper risk management:
- Maximum 1-2% risk per trade
- Use stop losses
- Follow your trading plan
## Performance Notes
**Validated Backtest Results (SuperTrend + ADX only):**
- Win Rate: 52.11%
- Profit Factor: 3.162
- Return: +45.46% (4 years)
- Tested Period: 2020-2024
- Instrument: BTC/USDT 4H
**Important:** Adding additional filters changes the system. Results may vary. Always backtest your specific configuration before live trading.
## Mobile Optimization
- Compact table design
- Clear color coding
- Minimal chart clutter
- Large signal text
- Optimized for small screens
## Use Cases
✅ **Ideal for:**
- Trend-following strategies
- Swing trading (4H timeframe)
- Clear market conditions
- Systematic traders
❌ **NOT ideal for:**
- Scalping (too slow)
- Range-bound markets
- Counter-trend strategies
- Lateral/choppy conditions
## Credits & Methodology
Based on proven technical analysis principles:
- SuperTrend (volatility-based trend following)
- ADX (trend strength measurement)
- Directional Indicators (DI+/DI-)
- Volume analysis
- EMA systems
**Designed for:** Disciplined execution over frequent trading
**Philosophy:** Quality setups > Quantity of trades
## Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always:
- Test on demo account first
- Use proper risk management
- Never risk more than you can afford to lose
- Consult a financial advisor
Trading involves substantial risk. This tool does not constitute financial advice.
---
## Version History
**v2.0 (Current)**
- Modular filter system
- 2-column compact status table
- EMA 7 dynamic coloring (yellow when ADX >23)
- EMA 50 + VWAP added
- PDH/PDL levels
- EMA cross markers
- Improved signal logic
- One position per trend
- Multiple alert conditions
---
**For support, updates, or feedback, contact the developer.**
Optimized BTC Mean Reversion (RSI 20/65)📈 Optimized BTC Mean Reversion (RSI 20/65)
Optimized BTC Mean Reversion (RSI 20/65) is a rule-based trading strategy designed to capture mean-reversion moves in strong market structures, primarily optimized for Bitcoin, but adaptable to other liquid cryptocurrencies.
The strategy combines RSI extremes, Stochastic momentum, and EMA trend filtering to identify high-probability reversal zones while maintaining strict risk management.
🔍 Strategy Logic
This system focuses on entering trades when price temporarily deviates from equilibrium, while still respecting the broader trend.
✅ Long Conditions
RSI below 20 (oversold)
Stochastic below 25
Price trading above the 200 EMA (or within a controlled deviation)
Designed to buy sharp pullbacks in bullish conditions
❌ Short Conditions
RSI above 65 (overbought)
Stochastic above 75
Price trading below the 200 EMA
Designed to sell relief rallies in bearish conditions
🛡 Risk Management
Fixed Stop Loss: 4%
Fixed Take Profit: 6%
Risk/Reward: 1 : 1.5
No pyramiding (single position at a time)
Full equity position sizing (adjustable)
All exits are predefined at entry, ensuring consistency and emotional discipline.
📊 Indicators Used
200 EMA – Trend direction filter
RSI (14) – Mean-reversion trigger (20 / 65 levels)
Stochastic Oscillator – Momentum confirmation
👁 Visual Features
EMA plotted directly on chart
Real-time Stop Loss, Take Profit, and Entry Price lines
Clear long/short entry markers
Works on all timeframes (optimized for intraday and swing trading)
🔔 Alerts
Long entry alerts
Short entry alerts
(Perfect for automation or discretionary execution)
⚠️ Disclaimer
This strategy is intended for educational and research purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always test on a demo account and adjust risk parameters to your own trading plan.
CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index"CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index"
Description:
CRUX-3 Macro Regime Index is a higher-timeframe macro indicator designed to evaluate how crypto markets are performing relative to traditional equities. It compares Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader altcoin market (TOTAL3) against the S&P 500 using Z-score normalization to highlight periods of relative outperformance or underperformance.
The indicator incorporates liquidity-based regime detection using Bitcoin dominance and stablecoin dominance to classify market environments as Risk-On, BTC-Led, or Risk-Off. Background shading visually highlights these regimes, helping users identify broader macro conditions rather than short-term trade signals.
CRUX-3 is intended for macro context, regime awareness, and allocation bias decisions, not for precise trade entries or timing.
How to Use:
Weekly timeframe recommended for best results
Rising Z-scores indicate crypto outperforming equities
ETH/SPX typically acts as an early rotation signal
TOTAL3/SPX confirms broader altcoin participation
Regime shading reflects liquidity conditions, not price forecasts
Regime Definitions:
Risk-On: BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance declining
BTC-Led: BTC dominance strong while stablecoin dominance eases
Risk-Off: BTC dominance and stablecoin dominance rising
Notes:
Forward regime bands are statistical reference guides based on historical behavior
This indicator does not predict future prices or market direction
Best used alongside price charts and other macro tools
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or trading recommendations.
Recommended Settings:
Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Z-Score Lookback: 52
Forward Regime Bands: Enabled
Global M2 YoY % Change (USD) 10W-12W LEADthe base script is from @dylanleclair I modified it slightly according to the views on liquidity by professionals — average estimated lead time to price of btc, leading 10-12 weeks. liquidity and bitcoin’s price performance track pretty close and so it’s a cool tool for phase recognition, forward guidance and expectation management.
BTC Regime Oscillator (MC + Spread) [1D]ONLY SUPPOSED TO BE USED FOR BTC PERPS, AND SPOT LEVERAGING:
This is a risk oscillator that measures whether Bitcoin’s price is supported by real capital or is running ahead of it, and converts that into a simple risk-regime oscillator.
It's built with market cap, and FDV, and Z-scores compressed to -100 <-> 100
I created this indicator because I got tired of FOMO Twitter and Wall Street games.
DO NOT USE THIS AS A BEGIN-ALL-AND-END-ALL. YOU NEED TO USE THIS AS A CONFIRMATION INDICATOR, AND ON HTF ONLY (1D>) IF YOU USE THIS ON LOWER TIMEFRAMES, YOU ARE FEEDING YOUR MONEY TO A LOW-LIFE DING BAT ON WALL STREET. HERE IS HOW IT WORKS:
This indicator is Split up by
A) Market Cap
--> Represents real money in BTC
--> Ownership capital
--> If MC is rising, money is entering BTC
B) FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation)
--> For BTC: price(21M) (21,000,000)
--> Represents the theoretical valuation
--> Since BTC really has a fixed cap, FDV mostly tracks the price
C) Oscillators
Both MC and FDV are:
--> Logged (to handle scale)
--> Normalized (Z-score)
--> Compressed to -100 <-> 100
HERE ARE THREE THINGS YOU ARE GOING TO SEE ON THE CHART
A) The market cap oscillator (MC OSC)
--> Normalized trend of real capital
RISING: Indicates capital inflow
FALLING: Indicates capital outflow
B) FDV Oscillator
--> Normalized trend of valuation pressure
ABOVE MC: Price is ahead of capital
BELOW MC: Capital is keeping up
!!!! FDV IS CONTEXT NOT SIGNALS !!!!
C) Spread = (FDV - MC)
--> The difference between valuation and capital
(THIS IS THE CORE SIGNAL)
NEGATIVE: Capital is gonna lead price
NEAR 0: Balanced
POSITIVE: Price leads capital
(THIS MEANS STRESS FOR BTC, NOT DILLUTION!)
WHAT DOES -60, 0, 60 MEAN?:
--> These are meant to serve as risk zones, not buy/sell dynamics; this is not the same as an RSI oscillator.
A) 0 level
--> Price and capital are balanced
--> No structural stress
(TRADE WITH NORMAL POSITION SIZE, AND NORMAL EXPECTATIONS)
B) Below -60 (Supportive/Compressed)
--> BTC is relatively cheap to recent history
--> Capital supports price well
(ALWAYS REMEMBER TO CONFIRM THIS WITH WHAT THE CHART IS TELLING YOU)
--> Press trends
--> Use higher ATRs
--> Pullbacks are better here
C) Above 60 (Overextension, or fragile)
--> BTC is expensive relative to recent history
--> Price is ahead of capital
(ALWAYS REMEMBER TO CONFIRM THIS WITH WHAT THE CHART IS TELLING YOU)
--> Reduce leverage, use smaller ATR
--> Use lower ATRs, TP faster
--> Do not chase breakouts
--> Expect volatility and whipsaws
"Can I press trades right now? Or do I need to hog my capital?"
CONDITIONS:
Spread Less than 0 and below -60 = Press trades
Spread near 0 = Normal trading conditions
Spread is Greater than 0 or above 60+ = Capital protection
Intermarket Swing Projection [LuxAlgo]The Intermarket Swing Projection allows traders to plot price movement swings from any user-selected asset directly onto the chart in the form of zigzags and/or horizontal support and resistance levels.
This tool rescale the external asset price on the user chart, enabling traders to make direct comparisons.
It answers the question of how different the price behavior is between two assets, accounting for each asset's volatility.
🔶 USAGE
This tool is based on swing detection of two different assets: the chart and a user-selected asset. It allows traders to compare two assets on an equal footing while accounting for volatility and price behavior.
Traders can customize the detection by selecting a custom ticker, timeframe, the number of swings and length for swing detection. This makes the tool a Swiss army knife for asset comparison.
As we can see in the image below, the Show Last, Pivot Length, and Spread parameters are key to defining the final output of the tool.
"Show Last" defines how many pivots are displayed. "Pivot Length" is used for pivot detection; a larger value will detect larger market structures. "Spread" defines how far apart the horizontal levels will be from their original location in terms of volatility.
🔹 Comparing different assets
This image shows the Nasdaq 100 futures contract compared to four other futures contracts: S&P 500, gold, bitcoin, and euro/U.S. dollar.
Plotting all of these assets in Nasdaq 100 terms makes it easy to compare and analyze price behaviors and identify key levels.
In the top left chart, we have NQ vs. ES. It's no surprise that they are practically an exact match; a large portion of the S&P 500 is technology.
In the top right chart, NQ vs. GC, we see totally different behaviors. We can clearly see the summer consolidation in gold and the resumption of the uptrend, which took gold above 29,200 NQ points, up from 21,200.
In the bottom right chart, we see bitcoin making new highs, way above the Nasdaq in May, July, and October. However, the last high was way below the Nasdaq prices on October 27—the first lower high in a while. Sellers are pushing down.
Finally, the bottom left chart is NQ vs. 6E. We can see large volatility in the uptrend since February, with NQ unable to catch up until now. The last swing low was almost a match, and 6E is in a range.
As we can see, this tool allows us to perform intermarket analysis properly by accounting for each asset's volatility and price behavior. Then, we plot them on the same scale on equal terms, which makes performing this kind of analysis easy.
As we can see in the chart above, the assets are the same as in the previous image, but the timeframe is 1H with different settings.
Note the horizontal levels acting as support and resistance, as well as how NQ prices react to the zones marked with white circles. These levels are derived from custom assets selected by the user.
🔹 Displaying Elements
Zig-zag allows traders to clearly see the path that the selected asset's price took, as well as its turning points.
Horizontal levels are displayed from those turning points to the present and can be used as support or resistance. Traders can adjust the spread parameter in the settings panel to expand or contract those levels' volatility.
There are two color modes for the levels: average and pivots. In the first mode, green is used for levels below the average and red for levels above the average. The second uses green for swing lows and red for swing highs.
The backpaint feature is enabled by default and allows the swings to be displayed in the correct location. With this feature disabled, the swings will be displayed in the current location when a new swing is detected.
🔶 DETAILS
On a more technical note, the rescaling is formed by calculating three main elements from all the swings detected on the custom and chart assets:
The chart asset's average of all swing points
The chart asset's standard deviation of all swing points
The custom asset's z-score for each swing point
Then, the re-scaled swing point is calculated as the average plus the z-score multiplied by the standard deviation. This makes it possible to plot AAPL swings on an NQ chart, for example.
Thanks to re-scaling, we can directly compare the price behavior of two assets with different price ranges and volatility on the same chart.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Trendlines
Ticker: Select the custom ticker.
Timeframe: Select a custom timeframe.
Show Last: Select how many swing points to display.
Pivot Length: Select the size for swing point detection.
Spread: Volatility multiplier for horizontal levels. Larger values mean the levels are farther apart.
Backpaint: Enable or disable the backpaint feature. When enabled, the drawings will be displayed where they were detected. When disabled, the drawings will be displayed at the moment of detection.
🔹 Style
Show ZigZag: Enable or disable the ZigZag display and choose a line style.
Show Levels: Enable or disable the levels display and choose a line style.
Color Mode: Choose between Average Mode, which colors all levels below the average bullish and all levels above bearish, and Pivot Mode, which colors swing highs bearish and swing lows bullish.
Bullish: Select a bullish color.
Bearish: Select a bearish color.
ZigZag: Select the ZigZag color.
BTC - FRIC: Friction & Realized Intensity CompositeTitle: BTC - FRIC: Friction & Realized Intensity Composite
Data: IntoTheBlock
Overview & Philosophy
FRIC (Friction & Realized Intensity Composite) is a specialized on-chain oscillator designed to visualize the "psychological battlegrounds" of the Bitcoin network.
Most indicators focus on Price or Momentum. FRIC focuses on Cost Basis. It operates on the thesis that the market experiences maximum "Friction" when the price revisits the cost basis of a large number of holders. These are the zones where investors are emotionally triggered to react—either to exit "at breakeven" after a loss (creating resistance) or to defend their entry (creating support).
This indicator answers two questions simultaneously:
Intensity: Is the market hitting a Wall (High Friction) or a Vacuum (Low Friction)?
Valuation: Is this happening at a market bottom or a top?
The "Alpha" (Wall vs. Vacuum)
Why we visualize both extremes: This indicator filters out the "Noise" (the middle range) to show you only the statistically significant anomalies.
1. The "Wall" (Positive Z-Score Bars)
What it is : A statistically high number of addresses are at breakeven.
The Implication : Expect a grind. Price action often slows down or reverses here because "Bag Holders" are selling into strength to get out flat, or new buyers are establishing a floor.
2. The "Vacuum" (Negative Z-Score Bars)
What it is : A statistically low number of addresses are at breakeven.
The Implication : Expect acceleration. The price is moving through a zone where very few people have a cost basis. With no natural "breakeven supply" to block the path, price often enters Price Discovery or Free Fall.
Methodology
The indicator constructs a composite view using two premium metrics from IntoTheBlock:
1. The "Activity" (Friction Z-Score): We utilize the Breakeven Addresses Percentage. This measures the % of all addresses where the current price equals the average cost basis.
- Normalization: We apply a rolling Z-Score (Standard Deviation) to this data.
- The Filter: We hide the "Noise" (e.g., Z-Scores between -2.0 and +2.0) to isolate only the events where market structure is truly stretched.
2. The "Context" (Valuation Heatmap): We utilize the MVRV Ratio to color-code the friction.
Deep Value (< 1.0): Price is below the average "Fair Value" of the network.
Overheated (> 3.0): Price is significantly extended above the "Fair Value."
Credit: The MVRV Ratio was originally conceptualized by Murad Mahmudov and David Puell. It remains one of the gold standards for detecting Bitcoin's fair value deviations.
How to Read the Indicator
The chart is visualized as a Noise-Filtered Heatmap.
1. The Bars (Intensity)
Bars Above Zero: High Friction (Congestion). The market is fighting through a supply wall.
Bars Below Zero: Low Friction (Vacuum). The market is accelerating through thin air.
Gray/Ghosted: Noise. Routine market activity; no significant signal.
2. The Colors (Valuation Context) The color tells you why the friction is happening:
🟦 Deep Blue (The "Capitulation Buy"):
Signal: High Friction + Low MVRV.
Meaning : Investors are panic-selling at breakeven/loss, but the asset is fundamentally undervalued. Historically, these are high-conviction cycle bottoms.
🟥 Dark Red (The "FOMO Sell"):
Signal: High Friction + High MVRV.
Meaning : Investors are churning at high valuations. Smart money is often distributing to late retail arrivers. Historically marks cycle tops.
🟨 Yellow/Orange (The "Trend Battle"):
Signal: High Friction + Neutral MVRV.
Meaning : The market is contesting a level within a trend (e.g., a mid-cycle correction).
Visual Guide & Features
10-Zone Heatmap: A granular color gradient that shifts from Dark Blue (Deep Value) → Sky Blue → Grey (Neutral) → Orange → Dark Red (Top).
Noise Filter
A unique feature that "ghosts out" insignificant data, leaving only the statistically relevant signals visible.
Data Check Monitor
A diagnostic table in the bottom-right corner that confirms the live connection to IntoTheBlock data streams and displays the current regime in real-time.
Settings
Lookback Period (Default: 90): The rolling window used for the Z-Score calculation. Shortening this (e.g., to 30) makes the indicator more sensitive to local volatility; lengthening it (e.g., to 365) aligns it with macro cycles.
Noise Threshold (Default: 2.0): The strictness of the filter. Only friction events exceeding this Z-Score will be highlighted in full color.
Show Status Table : Toggles the on-screen dashboard.
Disclaimer
This script is for research and educational purposes only. It relies on third-party on-chain data which may be subject to latency or revision. Past performance of on-chain metrics does not guarantee future price action.
Tags
bitcoin, btc, on-chain, mvrv, intotheblock, friction, z-score, fundamental, valuation, cycle
FlowTrinity - Crypto Dominance Rotation IndexFlowTrinity — Crypto Dominance Rotation Index
(Tracks BTC / Stablecoin / Altcoin dominance flows with standardized oscillators)
⚪ Overview
FlowTrinity decomposes total crypto market structure into three capital-flow regimes — BTC dominance, Stablecoin dominance, and Altcoin dominance — each normalized into oscillator form. Additionally, a fourth histogram tracks Total Market Cap expansion/contraction relative to BTC+Stable capital, revealing underlying rotation pressure not visible in raw dominance charts.
Each component is standardized through SMA/STD normalization, producing smoothed 0–100 style oscillations that highlight overbought/oversold rotation extremes, risk-on/risk-off transitions, and capital cycle inflection zones.
⚪ Flow Components
Stablecoin Dominance Oscillator —White line
Measures the combined USDT + USDC share of market dominance.
High values indicate increased hedging behavior or sidelined capital.
Low values coincide with renewed risk appetite and capital deployment into crypto assets.
Altcoin Dominance Oscillator — Orange Line
Tracks the share of liquidity rotating into altcoins (Total – BTC – Stable).
Rising values indicate broad market expansion and speculative activity.
Falling values reflect flight-to-safety or concentration back into majors.
BTC Dominance Oscillator — Purple line(off by default
Normalized BTC dominance revealing transitions between Bitcoin-led markets and altcoin-led cycles. Useful for identifying BTC absorption phases vs. altcoins dispersion regimes.
Total–BTC–Stable MarketCap Difference Histogram — histogram
A normalized histogram of total market cap change minus BTC+Stable market cap change.
• Positive → altcoin segment expanding
• Negative → capital retreating into BTC or stables
Acts as a structural layer confirming or contradicting dominance-based signals.
Normalization Logic
All flows use SMA + standard deviation scaling (lookback 7 / smoothing 7), enabling consistent comparison across unrelated dominance and market-cap metrics.
⚪ Use Cases
• Identify shifts between BTC-led and alt-led markets
• Detect early signs of liquidity rotation
• If Stablecoin OSC is oversold, liquidity may soon rotate to BTC or Altcoins, signaling potential price moves.
• If Stablecoin OSC is overbought and Altcoin OSC is oversold, it can indicate an early buying opportunity in Altcoins.
• Watching these oscillator positions helps spot early market rotations and plan entries or exits.
snapshot
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or investment guidance. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk; you are solely responsible for your trading decisions, based on your financial objectives and risk tolerance. The author assumes no liability for any losses arising from the use of this tool.
Gyspy Bot Trade Engine - V1.2B - Alerts - 12-7-25 - SignalLynxGypsy Bot Trade Engine (MK6 V1.2B) - Alerts & Visualization
Brought to you by Signal Lynx | Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
1. Executive Summary & Architecture
Gypsy Bot (MK6 V1.2B) is not merely a strategy; it is a massive, modular Trade Engine built specifically for the TradingView Pine Script V6 environment. While most tools rely on a single dominant indicator to generate signals, Gypsy Bot functions as a sophisticated Consensus Algorithm.
Note: This is the Indicator / Alerts version of the engine. It is designed for visual analysis and generating live alert signals for automation. If you wish to see Backtest data (Equity Curves, Drawdown, Profit Factors), please use the Strategy version of this script.
The engine calculates data from up to 12 distinct Technical Analysis Modules simultaneously on every bar closing. It aggregates these signals into a "Vote Count" and only fires a signal plot when a user-defined threshold of concurring signals is met. This "Voting System" acts as a noise filter, requiring multiple independent mathematical models—ranging from volume flow and momentum to cyclical harmonics and trend strength—to agree on market direction.
Beyond entries, Gypsy Bot features a proprietary Risk Management suite called the Dump Protection Team (DPT). This logic layer operates independently of the entry modules, specifically scanning for "Moon" (Parabolic) or "Nuke" (Crash) volatility events to signal forced exits, preserving capital during Black Swan events.
2. ⚠️ The Philosophy of "Curve Fitting" (Must Read)
One must be careful when applying Gypsy Bot to new pairs or charts.
To be fully transparent: Gypsy Bot is, by definition, a very advanced curve-fitting engine. Because it grants the user granular control over 12 modules, dozens of thresholds, and specific voting requirements, it is extremely easy to "over-fit" the data. You can easily toggle switches until the charts look perfect in hindsight, only to have the signals fail in live markets because they were tuned to historical noise rather than market structure.
To use this engine successfully:
Visual Verification: Do not just look for "green arrows." Look for signals that occur at logical market structure points.
Stability: Ensure signals are not flickering. This script uses closed-candle logic for key decisions to ensure that once a signal plots, it remains painted.
Regular Maintenance is Mandatory: Markets shift regimes (e.g., from Bull Trend to Crab Range). Gypsy Bot settings should be reviewed and adjusted at regular intervals to ensure the voting logic remains aligned with current market volatility.
Timeframe Recommendations:
Gypsy Bot is optimized for High Time Frame (HTF) trend following. It generally produces the most reliable results on charts ranging from 1-Hour to 12-Hours, with the 4-Hour timeframe historically serving as the "sweet spot" for most major cryptocurrency assets.
3. The Voting Mechanism: How Entries Are Generated
The heart of the Gypsy Bot engine is the ActivateOrders input (found in the "Order Signal Modifier" settings).
The engine constantly monitors the output of all enabled Modules.
Long Votes: GoLongCount
Short Votes: GoShortCount
If you have 10 Modules enabled, and you set ActivateOrders to 7:
The engine will ONLY plot a Buy Signal if 7 or more modules return a valid "Buy" signal on the same closed candle.
If only 6 modules agree, the signal is rejected.
4. Technical Deep Dive: The 12 Modules
Gypsy Bot allows you to toggle the following modules On/Off individually to suit the asset you are trading.
Module 1: Modified Slope Angle (MSA)
Logic: Calculates the geometric angle of a moving average relative to the timeline.
Function: Filters out "lazy" trends. A trend is only considered valid if the slope exceeds a specific steepness threshold.
Module 2: Correlation Trend Indicator (CTI)
Logic: Measures how closely the current price action correlates to a straight line (a perfect trend).
Function: Ensures that we are moving up with high statistical correlation, reducing fake-outs.
Module 3: Ehlers Roofing Filter
Logic: A spectral filter combining High-Pass (trend removal) and Super Smoother (noise removal).
Function: Isolates the "Roof" of price action to catch cyclical turning points before standard moving averages.
Module 4: Forecast Oscillator
Logic: Uses Linear Regression forecasting to predict where price "should" be relative to where it is.
Function: Signals when the regression trend flips. Offers "Aggressive" and "Conservative" calculation modes.
Module 5: Chandelier ATR Stop
Logic: A volatility-based trend follower that hangs a "leash" (ATR multiple) from extremes.
Function: Used as an entry filter. If price is above the Chandelier line, the trend is Bullish.
Module 6: Crypto Market Breadth (CMB)
Logic: Pulls data from multiple major tickers (BTC, ETH, and Perpetual Contracts).
Function: Calculates "Market Health." If Bitcoin is rising but the rest of the market is dumping, this module can veto a trade.
Module 7: Directional Index Convergence (DIC)
Logic: Analyzes the convergence/divergence between Fast and Slow Directional Movement indices.
Function: Identifies when trend strength is expanding.
Module 8: Market Thrust Indicator (MTI)
Logic: A volume-weighted breadth indicator using Advance/Decline and Volume data.
Function: One of the most powerful modules. Confirms that price movement is supported by actual volume flow. Recommended setting: "SSMA" (Super Smoother).
Module 9: Simple Ichimoku Cloud
Logic: Traditional Japanese trend analysis.
Function: Checks for a "Kumo Breakout." Price must be fully above/below the Cloud to confirm entry.
Module 10: Simple Harmonic Oscillator
Logic: Analyzes harmonic wave properties to detect cyclical tops and bottoms.
Function: Serves as a counter-trend or early-reversal detector.
Module 11: HSRS Compression / Super AO
Logic: Detects volatility compression (HSRS) or Momentum/Trend confluence (Super AO).
Function: Great for catching explosive moves resulting from consolidation.
Module 12: Fisher Transform (MTF)
Logic: Converts price data into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Function: Identifies extreme price deviations. Uses Multi-Timeframe (MTF) logic to ensure you aren't trading against the major trend.
5. Global Inhibitors (The Veto Power)
Even if 12 out of 12 modules vote "Buy," Gypsy Bot performs a final safety check using Global Inhibitors.
Bitcoin Halving Logic: Prevents trading during chaotic weeks surrounding Halving events (dates projected through 2040).
Miner Capitulation: Uses Hash Rate Ribbons to identify bearish regimes when miners are shutting down.
ADX Filter: Prevents trading in "Flat/Choppy" markets (Low ADX).
CryptoCap Trend: Checks the total Crypto Market Cap chart for broad market alignment.
6. Risk Management & The Dump Protection Team (DPT)
Even in this Indicator version, the RM logic runs to generate Exit Signals.
Dump Protection Team (DPT): Detects "Nuke" (Crash) or "Moon" (Pump) volatility signatures. If triggered, it plots an immediate Exit Signal (Yellow Plot).
Advanced Adaptive Trailing Stop (AATS): Dynamically tightens stops in low volatility ("Dungeon") and loosens them in high volatility ("Penthouse").
Staged Take Profits: Plots TP1, TP2, and TP3 events on the chart for visual confirmation or partial exit alerts.
7. Recommended Setup Guide
When applying Gypsy Bot to a new chart, follow this sequence:
Set Timeframe: 4 Hours (4H).
Tune DPT: Adjust "Dump/Moon Protection" inputs first. These filter out bad signals during high volatility.
Tune Module 8 (MTI): Experiment with the MA Type (SSMA is recommended).
Select Modules: Enable/Disable modules based on the asset's personality (Trending vs. Ranging).
Voting Threshold: Adjust ActivateOrders to filter out noise.
Alert Setup: Once visually satisfied, use the "Any Alert Function Call" option when creating an alert in TradingView to capture all Buy/Sell/Close events generated by the engine.
8. Technical Specs
Engine Version: Pine Script V6
Repainting: This indicator uses Closed Candle data for all Risk Management and Entry decisions. This ensures that signals do not vanish after the candle closes.
Visuals:
Blue Plot: Buy/Sell Signal.
Yellow Plot: Risk Management (RM) / DPT Close Signal.
Green/Lime/Olive Plots: Take Profit hits.
Disclaimer:
This script is a complex algorithmic tool for market analysis. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss. Use this tool to assist your own decision-making, not to replace it.
9. About Signal Lynx
Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
Signal Lynx focuses on helping traders and developers bridge the gap between indicator logic and real-world automation. The same RM engine you see here powers multiple internal systems and templates, including other public scripts like the Super-AO Strategy with Advanced Risk Management.
We provide this code open source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 (MPL-2.0) to:
Demonstrate how Adaptive Logic and structured Risk Management can outperform static, one-layer indicators
Give Pine Script users a battle-tested RM backbone they can reuse, remix, and extend
If you are looking to automate your TradingView strategies, route signals to exchanges, or simply want safer, smarter strategy structures, please keep Signal Lynx in your search.
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (Open Source).
If you make beneficial modifications, please consider releasing them back to the community so everyone can benefit.
Gyspy Bot Trade Engine - V1.2B - Strategy 12-7-25 - SignalLynxGypsy Bot Trade Engine (MK6 V1.2B) - Ultimate Strategy & Backtest
Brought to you by Signal Lynx | Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
1. Executive Summary & Architecture
Gypsy Bot (MK6 V1.2B) is not merely a strategy; it is a massive, modular Trade Engine built specifically for the TradingView Pine Script environment. While most strategies rely on a single dominant indicator (like an RSI cross or a MACD flip) to generate signals, Gypsy Bot functions as a sophisticated Consensus Algorithm.
The engine calculates data from up to 12 distinct Technical Analysis Modules simultaneously on every bar closing. It aggregates these signals into a "Vote Count" and only executes a trade entry when a user-defined threshold of concurring signals is met. This "Voting System" acts as a noise filter, requiring multiple independent mathematical models—ranging from volume flow and momentum to cyclical harmonics and trend strength—to agree on market direction before capital is committed.
Beyond entries, Gypsy Bot features a proprietary Risk Management suite called the Dump Protection Team (DPT). This logic layer operates independently of the entry modules, specifically scanning for "Moon" (Parabolic) or "Nuke" (Crash) volatility events to force-exit positions, overriding standard stops to preserve capital during Black Swan events.
2. ⚠️ The Philosophy of "Curve Fitting" (Must Read)
One must be careful when applying Gypsy Bot to new pairs or charts.
To be fully transparent: Gypsy Bot is, by definition, a very advanced curve-fitting engine. Because it grants the user granular control over 12 modules, dozens of thresholds, and specific voting requirements, it is extremely easy to "over-fit" the data. You can easily toggle switches until the backtest shows a 100% win rate, only to have the strategy fail immediately in live markets because it was tuned to historical noise rather than market structure.
To use this engine successfully, you must adopt a specific optimization mindset:
Ignore Raw Net Profit: Do not tune for the highest dollar amount. A strategy that makes $1M in the backtest but has a 40% drawdown is useless.
Prioritize Stability: Look for a high Profit Factor (1.5+), a high Percent Profitable, and a smooth equity curve.
Regular Maintenance is Mandatory: Markets shift regimes (e.g., from Bull Trend to Crab Range). Parameters that worked perfectly in 2021 may fail in 2024. Gypsy Bot settings should be reviewed and adjusted at regular intervals (e.g., quarterly) to ensure the voting logic remains aligned with current market volatility.
Timeframe Recommendations:
Gypsy Bot is optimized for High Time Frame (HTF) trend following. It generally produces the most reliable results on charts ranging from 1-Hour to 12-Hours, with the 4-Hour timeframe historically serving as the "sweet spot" for most major cryptocurrency assets.
3. The Voting Mechanism: How Entries Are Generated
The heart of the Gypsy Bot engine is the ActivateOrders input (found in the "Order Signal Modifier" settings).
The engine constantly monitors the output of all enabled Modules.
Long Votes: GoLongCount
Short Votes: GoShortCount
If you have 10 Modules enabled, and you set ActivateOrders to 7:
The engine will ONLY trigger a Buy Entry if 7 or more modules return a valid "Buy" signal on the same closed candle.
If only 6 modules agree, the trade is rejected.
This allows you to mix "Leading" indicators (Oscillators) with "Lagging" indicators (Moving Averages) to create a high-probability entry signal that requires momentum, volume, and trend to all be in alignment.
4. Technical Deep Dive: The 12 Modules
Gypsy Bot allows you to toggle the following modules On/Off individually to suit the asset you are trading.
Module 1: Modified Slope Angle (MSA)
Logic: Calculates the geometric angle of a moving average relative to the timeline.
Function: It filters out "lazy" trends. A trend is only considered valid if the slope exceeds a specific steepness threshold. This helps avoid entering trades during weak drifts that often precede a reversal.
Module 2: Correlation Trend Indicator (CTI)
Logic: Based on John Ehlers' work, this measures how closely the current price action correlates to a straight line (a perfect trend).
Function: It outputs a confidence score (-1 to 1). Gypsy Bot uses this to ensure that we are not just moving up, but moving up with high statistical correlation, reducing fake-outs.
Module 3: Ehlers Roofing Filter
Logic: A sophisticated spectral filter that combines a High-Pass filter (to remove long-term drift) with a Super Smoother (to remove high-frequency noise).
Function: It attempts to isolate the "Roof" of the price action. It is excellent at catching cyclical turning points before standard moving averages react.
Module 4: Forecast Oscillator
Logic: Uses Linear Regression forecasting to predict where price "should" be relative to where it is.
Function: When the Forecast Oscillator crosses its zero line, it indicates that the regression trend has flipped. We offer both "Aggressive" and "Conservative" calculation modes for this module.
Module 5: Chandelier ATR Stop
Logic: A volatility-based trend follower that hangs a "leash" (ATR multiple) from the highest high (for longs) or lowest low (for shorts).
Function: Used here as an entry filter. If price is above the Chandelier line, the trend is Bullish. It also includes a "Bull/Bear Qualifier" check to ensure structural support.
Module 6: Crypto Market Breadth (CMB)
Logic: This is a macro-filter. It pulls data from multiple major tickers (BTC, ETH, and Perpetual Contracts) across different exchanges.
Function: It calculates a "Market Health" percentage. If Bitcoin is rising but the rest of the market is dumping, this module can veto a trade, ensuring you don't buy into a "fake" rally driven by a single asset.
Module 7: Directional Index Convergence (DIC)
Logic: Analyzes the convergence/divergence between Fast and Slow Directional Movement indices.
Function: Identifies when trend strength is expanding. A buy signal is generated only when the positive directional movement overpowers the negative movement with expanding momentum.
Module 8: Market Thrust Indicator (MTI)
Logic: A volume-weighted breadth indicator. It uses Advance/Decline data and Up/Down Volume data.
Function: This is one of the most powerful modules. It confirms that price movement is supported by actual volume flow. We recommend using the "SSMA" (Super Smoother) MA Type for the cleanest signals on the 4H chart.
Module 9: Simple Ichimoku Cloud
Logic: Traditional Japanese trend analysis using the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen.
Function: Checks for a "Kumo Breakout." Price must be fully above the Cloud (for longs) or below it (for shorts). This is a classic "trend confirmation" module.
Module 10: Simple Harmonic Oscillator
Logic: Analyzes the harmonic wave properties of price action to detect cyclical tops and bottoms.
Function: Serves as a counter-trend or early-reversal detector. It tries to identify when a cycle has bottomed out (for buys) or topped out (for sells) before the main trend indicators catch up.
Module 11: HSRS Compression / Super AO
Logic: Two options in one.
HSRS: Hirashima Sugita Resistance Support. Detects volatility compression (squeezes) relative to dynamic support/resistance bands.
Super AO: A combination of the Awesome Oscillator and SuperTrend logic.
Function: Great for catching explosive moves that result from periods of low volatility (consolidation).
Module 12: Fisher Transform (MTF)
Logic: Converts price data into a Gaussian normal distribution.
Function: Identifies extreme price deviations. This module uses Multi-Timeframe (MTF) logic to look at higher-timeframe trends (e.g., looking at the Daily Fisher while trading the 4H chart) to ensure you aren't trading against the major trend.
5. Global Inhibitors (The Veto Power)
Even if 12 out of 12 modules vote "Buy," Gypsy Bot performs a final safety check using Global Inhibitors. If any of these are triggered, the trade is blocked.
Bitcoin Halving Logic:
Hardcoded dates for past and projected future Bitcoin halvings (up to 2040).
Trading is inhibited or restricted during the chaotic weeks immediately surrounding a Halving event to avoid volatility crushes.
Miner Capitulation:
Uses Hash Rate Ribbons (Moving averages of Hash Rate).
If miners are capitulating (Shutting down rigs due to unprofitability), the engine flags a "Bearish" regime and can flip logic to Short-only or flat.
ADX Filter (Flat Market Protocol):
If the Average Directional Index (ADX) is below a specific threshold (e.g., 20), the market is deemed "Flat/Choppy." The bot will refuse to open trend-following trades in a flat market.
CryptoCap Trend:
Checks the total Crypto Market Cap chart. If the broad market is in a downtrend, it can inhibit Long entries on individual altcoins.
6. Risk Management & The Dump Protection Team (DPT)
Gypsy Bot separates "Entry Logic" from "Risk Management Logic."
Dump Protection Team (DPT)
This is a specialized logic branch designed to save the account during Black Swan events.
Nuke Protection: If the DPT detects a volatility signature consistent with a flash crash, it overrides all other logic and forces an immediate exit.
Moon Protection: If a parabolic pump is detected that violates statistical probability (Bollinger deviations), DPT can force a profit take before the inevitable correction.
Advanced Adaptive Trailing Stop (AATS)
Unlike a static trailing stop (e.g., "trail by 5%"), AATS is dynamic.
Penthouse Level: If price is at the top of the HSRS channel (High Volatility), the stop loosens to allow for wicks.
Dungeon Level: If price is compressed at the bottom, the stop tightens to protect capital.
Staged Take Profits
TP1: Scalp a portion (e.g., 10%) to cover fees and secure a win.
TP2: Take the bulk of profit.
TP3: Leave a "Runner" position with a loose trailing stop to catch "Moon" moves.
7. Recommended Setup Guide
When applying Gypsy Bot to a new chart, follow this sequence:
Set Timeframe: 4 Hours (4H).
Reset: Turn OFF Trailing Stop, Stop Loss, and Take Profits. (We want to see raw entry performance first).
Tune DPT: Adjust "Dump/Moon Protection" inputs first. These have the highest impact on net performance.
Tune Module 8 (MTI): This module is a heavy filter. Experiment with the MA Type (SSMA is recommended).
Select Modules: Enable/Disable modules 1-12 based on the asset's personality (Trending vs. Ranging).
Voting Threshold: Adjust ActivateOrders. A lower number = More Trades (Aggressive). A higher number = Fewer, higher conviction trades (Conservative).
Final Polish: Re-enable Stop Losses, Trailing Stops, and Staged Take Profits to smooth the equity curve and define your max risk per trade.
8. Technical Specs
Engine Version: Pine Script V6
Repainting: This strategy uses Closed Candle data for all Risk Management and Entry decisions. This ensures that Backtest results align closely with real-time behavior (no repainting of historical signals).
Alerts: This script generates Strategy alerts. If you require visual-only alerts, see the source code header for instructions on switching to "Study" (Indicator) mode.
Disclaimer:
This script is a complex algorithmic tool for market analysis. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this tool to assist your own decision-making, not to replace it.
9. About Signal Lynx
Automation for the Night-Shift Nation 🌙
Signal Lynx focuses on helping traders and developers bridge the gap between indicator logic and real-world automation. The same RM engine you see here powers multiple internal systems and templates, including other public scripts like the Super-AO Strategy with Advanced Risk Management.
We provide this code open source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 (MPL-2.0) to:
Demonstrate how Adaptive Logic and structured Risk Management can outperform static, one-layer indicators
Give Pine Script users a battle-tested RM backbone they can reuse, remix, and extend
If you are looking to automate your TradingView strategies, route signals to exchanges, or simply want safer, smarter strategy structures, please keep Signal Lynx in your search.
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (Open Source).
If you make beneficial modifications, please consider releasing them back to the community so everyone can benefit.
Moon Boys LineWe have the 44 and 125 day moving averages. When they cross, the trend is bullish or bearish.
Crypto Market Pulse: Dom vs Vol AnalyzerConcept & Methodology
The core logic of this indicator is based on the "Money Flow" theory. It aggregates data from multiple sources (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL, BTC.D, BINANCE:BTCUSDT) to provide a comprehensive market overview in a single panel.
Key Calculations:
Total Market Cap & Volume: Fetches real-time data to determine the overall health of the market.
Inverse Dominance Logic: Unlike standard indicators, this script applies inverse color coding to Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
When BTC Dominance drops, it is colored Green (indicating liquidity flowing into Altcoins).
When BTC Dominance rises, it is colored Red (indicating risk for Altcoins).
Volume Delta: Compares the current timeframe's volume against the previous candle to calculate the percentage change, highlighting sudden liquidity injections.
█ Features
Real-time Dashboard: Displays Cap, Volume, BTC Price, and BTC Dominance.
Altcoin-Focus Coloring: Automatically interprets data to favor Altcoin traders (Green Signals = Good for Alts).
Dynamic Alerts:
Volume Surge Alert: Triggers when volume exceeds a user-defined threshold (default +50%), signaling potential breakout activity.
Dominance Drop Alert: Triggers when BTC Dominance falls significantly, signaling the start of potential Altcoin movement.
█ How to Use
Look for Confluence: The ideal "Altseason" signal is when the Total Cap is Green (Market up) AND BTC Dominance is Green (Dominance down). This indicates money is moving from BTC to Alts.
Volume Confirmation: Use the Volume row to confirm the strength of the move. A price rise without volume is often a fakeout.
Customization: You can adjust the table position and text size from the settings menu to fit your screen setup.
BTC Dynamic Volatility Trend Backtested from 2017 to present, this strategy has delivered a staggering 7100%+ cumulative return. It doesn't just track the market; it dominates it. By capturing major trends and strictly limiting drawdowns, it has significantly outperformed the standard 'Buy & Hold' BTC strategy, proving its ability to generate massive alpha across multiple bull and bear cycles.
自 2017 年至今，本策略实现了惊人的 7100%+ 累计收益率。它不仅仅是跟随市场，更是超越了市场。通过精准捕捉主升浪并严格控制回撤，该策略在穿越多轮牛熊周期后，大幅度跑赢了比特币‘买入持有’（Buy & Hold）的基准收益，展现了极致的阿尔法（Alpha）捕捉能力。"
Introduction ：Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication. This strategy is designed specifically for Bitcoin (BTC), capturing its unique characteristics: high volatility, frequent fakeouts, and massive trend persistence. It abandons complex indicators in favor of a robust logic: "Follow the Trend, Filter the Noise, Let Profits Run."
Core Logic
Trend Filter (Fibonacci EMA 144): We use the 144-period Exponential Moving Average as the baseline. Longs are only taken above this line, and shorts only below. This keeps you on the right side of the major trend.
Volatility Breakout (Donchian Channel 20): Entries are triggered only when price breaks the 20-day high (for longs) or low (for shorts). This confirms momentum and avoids trading in chop.
Dynamic Risk Management (ATR Chandelier Exit):
Instead of fixed % stops, we use Average True Range (ATR) to calculate stop losses.
The Ratchet Mechanism: The stop loss moves up with the price but never moves down (for longs). This locks in profits automatically as the trend develops and exits immediately when volatility turns against you.
Why Use This Strategy?
Zero Repainting: All signals are confirmed.
No Curve Fitting: Uses classic parameters (144, 20) that have worked for decades.
Mental Peace: The strategy handles the exit. You don't need to guess where to sell. It holds through minor corrections and exits only when the trend truly reverses.
Settings
Leverage %: Adjust your position size based on equity (default 100% = 1x).
Timeframe: Recommended for 4H charts.
中文版 (Chinese Version)
简介 ：大道至简。本策略专为 比特币 (BTC) 设计，针对其高波动、假突破多但趋势爆发力强的特点，摒弃了复杂的过度拟合指标，回归交易本质：“顺大势，滤噪音，截断亏损，让利润奔跑”。
核心逻辑
趋势过滤器 (斐波那契 EMA 144)： 使用 144 周期指数移动平均线作为多空分水岭。价格在均线之上只做多，之下只做空。这能有效过滤掉大部分震荡市的噪音。
波动率突破 (唐奇安通道 20)： 只有当价格突破过去 20 根 K 线的最高价（做多）或最低价（做空）时才进场。这确保了我们只在趋势确立的瞬间入场。
动态风控 (ATR 吊灯止损)：
拒绝固定点数止损，使用 ATR（平均真实波幅）根据市场热度动态计算安全距离。
棘轮机制： 止损线会跟随价格上涨而上移，但绝不会下移（做多时）。这实现了自动化的“利润锁定”，既能扛住正常的波动回调，又能在大势反转时果断离场。
策略优势
绝不重绘： 所有信号均为收盘确认或实时触价。
拒绝拟合： 使用经过数十年市场验证的经典参数组合。
心态管理： 策略全自动管理出场。你不需要纠结何时止盈，它会帮你吃到完整的鱼身，直到趋势结束。
使用建议
资金管理： 可通过参数调整仓位占比（默认 100% = 1倍杠杆）。
推荐周期： 建议在4小时 图表上运行效果最佳。
One Point Global Net Liquidity The "Fuel" Behind the MarketMost traders look at price action, but price is often just a reflection of the money supply available in the system. This indicator tracks Global Net Liquidity—the actual amount of fiat currency available to flow into risk assets like Crypto and Equities.
Unlike standard "Money Supply" (M2) charts, this indicator focuses on Central Bank Balance Sheets, which is a more direct proxy for "Quantitative Easing" (QE) and "Quantitative Tightening" (QT).
How It Works (The Formula)
This script aggregates the balance sheets of the "Big 4" Central Banks, which represent ~90% of global liquidity. It automatically converts all values to USD Trillions for a standardized view.
{Global Liquidity} = {US Net Liquidity} + {ECB} + {PBoC} + {BoJ}
1. US Net Liquidity (The "Trader's" Formula) We do not just use the Fed's Total Assets. We subtract the money that is "stuck" outside the private economy:
(+) Fed Balance Sheet: Total Assets.
(-) TGA (Treasury General Account): The government's checking account. When this goes up, liquidity is drained from markets.
(-) RRP (Reverse Repo): Money parked by banks at the Fed overnight. When this goes up, liquidity is removed from the system.
2. Global Additions
ECB (Eurozone): Converted to USD.
PBoC (China): Converted to USD.
BoJ (Japan): Converted to USD.
How to Use This Indicator This indicator is designed as an Overlay on the main chart (using the Left Scale).
Correlation: Generally, when the Orange Line (Liquidity) trends up, Bitcoin and the S&P 500 trend up. When Central Banks tighten (line down), risk assets struggle.
The "Divergence" Signal (Alpha):
Bullish: If Price makes a Lower Low but Liquidity makes a Higher Low, it often signals seller exhaustion and a potential bottom.
Bearish: If Price makes a New High but Liquidity fails to follow (or drops), the rally may be unsupported and prone to a reversal.
Settings
Scale: This indicator is pinned to the Scale Left to allow it to overlay price action without distortion.
Data: Uses daily data from ECONOMICS and FRED feeds.
