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BB 100 with Barcolors6/19/15 I added confirmation highlight bars to the code. In other words, if a candle bounced off the lower Bollinger band, it needed one more close above the previous candle to confirm a higher probability that a change in investor sentiment has reversed. Same is true for upper Bollinger band bounces. I also added confirmation highlight bars to the 100 sma (the basis). The idea is that lower and upper bands are potential points of support and resistance. The same is true of the basis if a trend is to continue. 6/28/15 I added a plotshape to identify closes above/below TLine. One thing this system points out is it operates best in a trend reversal. Consolidations will whipsaw the indicator too much. I have found that when this happens, if using daily candles, switch to hourly, 30 min, etc., to catch a better signal. Nothing moves in a straight line. As with any indicator, it is a tool to be used in conjunction with the art AND science of trading. As always, try the indicator for a time so that you are comfortable enough to use real money. This is designed to be used with "BB 25 with Barcolors".
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh rmwaddelljr
BB 100 with Barcolors6/19/15 I added confirmation highlight bars to the code. In other words, if a candle bounced off the lower Bollinger band, it needed one more close above the previous candle to confirm a higher probability that a change in investor sentiment has reversed. Same is true for upper Bollinger band bounces. I also added confirmation highlight bars to the 100 sma (the basis). The idea is that lower and upper bands are potential points of support and resistance. The same is true of the basis if a trend is to continue. Nothing moves in a straight line. As with any indicator, it is a tool to be used in conjunction with the art AND science of trading. As always, try the indicator for a time so that you are comfortable enough to use real money. This is designed to be used with "BB 25 with Barcolors".
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh rmwaddelljr
INFLECTION NEXUS - SPAINFLECTION NEXUS - SPA (Shadow Portfolio Adaptive) Foreword: The Living Algorithm For decades, technical analysis has been a conversation between a trader and a static chart. We apply our indicators with their fixed-length inputs, and we hope that our rigid tools can somehow capture the essence of a market that is fluid, chaotic, and perpetually evolving. When our tools fail, we are told to "adapt." But what if the tools themselves could learn that lesson? What if our indicators could adapt not just for us, but with us? This script, INFLECTION NEXUS - SPA, is the realization of that vision. It is an advanced analytical framework built around a revolutionary core: the Shadow Portfolio Adaptive (SPA) Engine . The buy and sell signals you see on the chart are an evolution of the logic from my previous work, "Turning Point." However, this is not a simple combination of two scripts. The SPA engine so fundamentally transforms the nature of the analysis that it creates an entirely new class of indicator. This publication is a showcase of that groundbreaking, self-learning engine. This system is undeniably complex. When you first load it, the sheer volume of information may feel overwhelming. That is a testament to the depth of its analysis. This guide is designed to be your comprehensive manual, to break down every single component, every color, every number, into simple, understandable concepts. By the end of this document, you will not only master its functions but will also possess a deeper understanding of the market dynamics it is designed to reveal. Chapter 1: The Paradigm Shift - Why the SPA Engine is a Leap Forward To grasp the innovation here, we must first deconstruct the severe limitations of traditional "adaptive" indicators. Part A: The Traditional Model - Driving by the Rear-View Mirror Conventional "adaptive" systems are fundamentally reactive. They operate on a slow, inefficient loop: they wait for their own specific, biased signal to fire, wait for that trade to close, and only after a long and statistically significant "warm-up" period of 50-100 trades do they finally make a small, retrospective adjustment. They are always adapting to a market that no longer exists. Part B: The SPA Model - The Proactive Co-Pilot The Shadow Portfolio Adaptive (SPA) engine is a complete re-imagining of this process. It is not reactive; it is proactive, data-saturated, and instantly aware. Continuous, Unbiased Learning: The SPA engine does not wait for a signal to learn. Its Shadow Portfolio is constantly running 5-bar long and short trades in the background. It learns from every single 5-bar slice of market action , giving it a continuous, unbiased stream of performance data. It is the difference between reading a textbook chapter and having a live sparring partner in the ring 24/7. Instantaneous Market Awareness - The End of the "Warm-Up": This is the critical innovation. The SPA engine does not require a 100-trade warm-up period. The learning does not start after 50 trades; it begins on the 6th bar of the chart when the first shadow trade closes. From that moment on, the system is market-aware, analyzing data, and capable of making intelligent adjustments. The SPA engine is not adapting to old wins and losses. It is adapting, in near real-time, to the market's ever-shifting character, volatility, and personality. Chapter 2: The Anatomy of the SPA Engine - A Granular Deep Dive The engine is composed of three primary systems that work in a sophisticated, interconnected symphony. Section 1: The Shadow Portfolio (The Information Harvester) What it is, Simply: Think of this as the script's eyes and ears. It's a team of 10 virtual traders (5 long, 5 short) who are constantly taking small, quick trades to feel out the market. How it Works, Simply: On every new bar, a new "long" trader and a new "short" trader enter the market. Exactly 5 bars later, they close their positions. This cycle is perpetual and relentless. The Critical 'Why': Because these virtual traders enter and exit based on a fixed time (5 bars), not on a "good" or "bad" signal, their results are completely unbiased . They are simply measuring: "What happened to price over the last 5 bars?" This provides the raw, untainted truth about the market's behavior that the rest of the system needs to learn effectively. The Golden Metric (ATR Normalization): The engine doesn't just look at dollar P&L. It's smarter than that. It asks a more intelligent question: "How much did this trade make relative to the current volatility?" Analogy: Imagine a flea and an elephant. If they both jump 1 inch, who is more impressive? The flea. The SPA engine understands this. A $10 profit when the market is dead quiet is far more significant than a $10 profit during a wild, volatile swing. The Formula: realized_atr = (close - trade.entry) / trade.atr_entry. It takes the raw profit and divides it by the Average True Range (a measure of volatility) at the moment of entry. This gives a pure, "apples-to-apples" score for every single trade, which is the foundational data point for all learning. Section 2: The Cognitive Map (The Long-Term Brain) What it is, Simply: This is the engine's deep memory, its library of experiences. Imagine a giant, 64-square chessboard (8x8 grid). Each square on the board represents a very specific type of market environment. The Two Dimensions of Thought (The 'How'): How does it know which square we are on? It looks at two things: The Market's Personality (X-Axis): Is the market behaving like a disciplined soldier, marching in a clear trend? Or is it like a chaotic, unpredictable child, running all over the place? The engine calculates a "Regime" score to figure this out. The Market's Energy Level (Y-Axis): Is the market sleepy and quiet, or is it wide-awake and hyperactive? The engine measures "Normalized Volatility" to determine this. The Power of Generalization (The 'Why'): When a Shadow Portfolio trade closes, its result is recorded in the corresponding square on the chessboard. But here's the clever part: it also shares a little bit of that lesson with the squares immediately next to it (using a Gaussian Kernel). Analogy: If you touch a hot stove and learn "don't touch," your brain is smart enough to know you probably shouldn't touch the hot oven door next to it either, even if you haven't touched it directly. The Cognitive Map does the same thing, allowing it to make intelligent inferences even in market conditions it has seen less frequently. Each square remembers what indicator settings worked best in that specific environment. Section 3: The Adaptive Engine (The Central Nervous System) What it is, Simply: This is the conductor of the orchestra. It takes information from all other parts of the system and decides exactly what to do. The Symphony of Inputs: It listens to three distinct sources of information before making a decision: The Short-Term Memory (Rolling Stats): It looks at the performance of the last rollN shadow trades. This is its immediate, recent experience. The Long-Term Wisdom (Cognitive Map): It consults the grand library of the Cognitive Map to see what has worked best in the current market type over the long haul. The Gut Instinct (Bin Learning): It keeps a small "mini-batch" of the most recent trades. If this batch shows a very strong, sudden pattern, it can trigger a rapid, reflexive adjustment, like pulling your hand away from a flame. The Fusion Process: It then blends these three opinions together in a sophisticated way. It gives more weight to the opinions it's more confident in (e.g., a Cognitive Map square with hundreds of trades of experience) and uses your Adaptation Intensity (dialK) input to decide how much to listen to its "gut instinct." The final decision is then smoothed to ensure the indicator's parameters change in a stable, intelligent way. Chapter 3: The Control Panel - A Novice's Guide to Every Input This is the most important chapter. Let's break down what these confusing settings actually do in the simplest terms possible. --- SECTION 1: THE DRIVER'S SEAT (SIGNAL ENGINE & BASE SETTINGS) --- 🧾 Signal Engine (Turning Point): What it is: These are the rules for the final BUY and SELL signs. Think of it like this: The SPA engine is the smart robot that tunes your race car. These settings are you, the driver, telling the robot what kind of race you're in. Enable Reversal Mode: You tell the robot, "I want to race on a curvy track with lots of turns." The robot will tune the car to be agile for catching tops and bottoms. Enable Breakout Mode: You tell the robot, "I want to race on a long, straight track." The robot will tune the car for pure speed to follow the trend. Require New Extreme: This is a quality filter. It tells the driver, "Don't look for a turn unless we've just hit a new top speed on the straightaway." It makes sure the reversal is from a real extreme. Min Bars Between Signals: This is the "pit stop" rule. You're telling the robot, "After you show me a sign, wait at least 10 bars before showing another one, so I don't get confused." ⚡ ATR Bands (Base Inputs): What they are: These are the starting settings for your car before the robot starts tuning it. These are your factory defaults. Sensitivity: This is the "Bump Detector." A low number means the car feels every tiny pebble on the road. A high number means it only notices the big speed bumps. You want to set it so it notices the important bumps (real market structure) but ignores the pebbles (noise). ATR Period & Multiplier: These set the starting size of the "safety lane" (the green and blue bands) around your car. The robot's main job is to constantly adjust the size of this safety lane to perfectly fit the current road conditions. 📊 & 📈 Filter Settings (RSI & Volume): What they are: These are your co-pilot's confirmation checks. Enable RSI Filter: Your co-pilot will check the "Engine Temperature" (RSI). He won't let you hit the gas (BUY) if the engine is already overheating (overbought). RSI Length & Lookbacks: These tune how your co-pilot's temperature gauge works. The defaults are standard. Require Volume Spike: Your co-pilot will check the "Crowd Noise" (Volume). He won't give you a signal unless he hears the crowd roar, confirming that a lot of people are interested in this move. 🎯 Signal Quality Control: Enable Major Levels Only: This tells your co-pilot to be extra picky. He will only confirm signals that happen after a huge, powerful move, ignoring all the small stuff. --- SECTION 2: THE ROBOT'S BRAIN (ENGINE & LEARNING CONTROLS) --- 🎛️ Master Control: Adaptation Intensity (dialK): THIS IS THE ROBOT'S PERSONALITY DIAL. Turn it DOWN (1-5): The robot becomes a "Wise Old Professor." It thinks very slowly and carefully, gathers lots of data, and only makes a change when it is 100% sure. Its advice is very reliable but might come a little late. Turn it UP (15-20): The robot becomes a "Hyper-Reactive Teenager." It has a short attention span, reacts instantly to everything it sees, and changes its mind constantly. It's super-fast to new information but might get faked out a lot. The Default (10): A "Skilled Professional." The perfect balance of thoughtful and responsive. Start here. 🧠 Adaptive Engine: Enable Adaptive System: This is the main power button for your robot. Turn it off, and you're driving a normal, non-smart car. Turn it on, and the robot takes over the tuning. Use Shadow Cycle: This turns on the robot's "practice laps." The robot can't learn without practicing. This must be on for the robot to work. Lock ATR Bands: This is a visual choice. "Locked" means the safety lanes on your screen stay where your factory defaults put them (the robot still makes changes to the signals in the background). "Unlocked" means you see the safety lanes moving and changing shape in real-time as the robot tunes them. 🎯 Learning (Global + Risk): What they are: These are the deep-level settings for how your robot's brain processes information. Rolling Window Size: This is the robot's "Short-Term Memory." How many of the last few practice laps should it remember? A small number means it only cares about what just happened. A big number means it remembers the last hour of practice. Learn Rate & Smooth Alpha: This is "How big of a change should the robot make?" and "How smoothly should it make the change?" Think of it as turning the steering wheel. A high learn rate is like yanking the wheel; a low one is like a gentle turn. The smoothing makes sure the turn is graceful. WinRate Thresholds & PnL Cap: These are rules for the robot's learning. They tell it what a "good" or "bad" outcome looks like and tell it to ignore crazy, once-in-a-lifetime events so its memory doesn't get corrupted. --- SECTION 3: THE GARAGE (RISK, MEMORY & VISUALS) --- ⚠️ Risk Management: What they are: These are safety rules you can give to your co-pilot for your own awareness. They appear on the dashboard. The settings: You can set a max number of trades, a max loss for the day, and a "time out" period after a few losses. Apply Risk to Shadow: This is an important switch. If you turn this ON, your safety rules also apply to the robot's practice laps. If you hit your max loss, the robot stops practicing and learning. It's recommended to leave this OFF so the robot can learn 24/7, even if you have stopped trading. 🗺️ Cognitive Map, STM & Checkpoints: What it is: The robot's "Long-Term Memory" or its entire library of racing experience. Use Cognitive Map & STM: These switches turn on the long-term and short-term memory banks. You want these on for the smartest robot. Map Settings (Grid, Sigma, Half-Life): These are very advanced settings for neuroscientists. They control how the robot's brain is structured and how it forgets old information. The defaults are expertly tuned. The Checkpoint System: This is the "Save Your Game" button for the robot. To Save: Check Emit Checkpoint Now. Go to your alert log, and you will see a very long password. Copy this password. To Load: Paste that password into the Memory Checkpoint box. Then, check Apply Checkpoint On Next Bar. The robot will instantly download all of its saved memories and experience. 🎨 Visuals & 🧩 Display Params: What they are: These are all about how your screen looks. You can control everything: The size and shape of the little diamonds (Entry Orbs), whether you see the purple Adapt Pulse, and where the Dashboards appear on your screen. You can change the Theme to Dark, Light, or Neon. These settings don't change how the robot thinks, only how it presents its information to you. Chapter 4: The Command Center - Decoding the Dashboard PANEL A (INFLECTION NEXUS): Your high-level mission control, showing the engine's classification of the current Market Context and the performance summary of the Shadow Portfolio. PANEL B (SHADOW PORTFOLIO ADAPTIVE): Your deep diagnostic screen. Performance Metrics: View advanced risk-adjusted stats like the Sharpe Ratio to understand the quality of the market movements the engine is learning from. Adaptive Parameters (Live vs Base): THIS IS THE MOST CRITICAL SECTION. It shows the engine's Live parameters right next to your (Base) inputs. When the Live values deviate, the engine is communicating its learned wisdom to you. For example, a Live ATR Multiplier of 2.5 versus your Base of 1.4 is the engine telling you: "Caution. The market is currently experiencing high fake-outs and requires giving positions more room to breathe." This section is a direct translation of the engine's learning into actionable insight. Chapter 5: Reading the Canvas - On-Chart Visuals The Bands (Green/Blue Lines): These are not static Supertrend lines. They are the physical manifestation of the engine's current thinking. As the engine learns and adapts its ATR Period and Multiplier, you will see these bands widen, tighten, and adjust their distance from price. They are alive. The Labels (BUY/SELL): These are the final output of the "Turning Point" logic, now supercharged and informed by the fully adaptive SPA engine. The Purple Pulse (Dot and Background Glow): This is your visual cue that the engine is "thinking." Every time you see this pulse, it means the SPA has just completed a learning cycle and updated its parameters. It is actively recalibrating itself to the market. Chapter 6: A Manifesto on Innovation and Community I want to conclude with a personal note on why I dedicate countless hours to building systems like this and sharing them openly. My purpose is to drive innovation, period. I am not in this space to follow the crowd or to re-package old ideas. The world does not need a 100th version of a slightly modified MACD. Real progress, real breakthroughs, come from venturing into the wilderness, from asking "what if?" and from pursuing concepts that lie at the very edge of possibility. I am not afraid of being wrong. I am not afraid of being bested by my peers. In fact, I welcome it. If another developer takes an idea from this engine, improves it, and builds something even more magnificent, that is a profound win for our entire community. The only failure I recognize is the failure to try. The only trap I fear is the creative complacency of producing sterile, recycled work just to appease the status quo. I love this community, and I believe with every fiber of my being that we have barely scratched the surface of what can be discovered and created. This script is my contribution to that shared journey. It is a tool, an idea, and a challenge to all of us: let's keep pushing. DISCLAIMER: This script is an advanced analytical tool provided for educational and research purposes ONLY. It does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please use this tool responsibly and as part of a comprehensive trading plan. As the great computer scientist Herbert A. Simon, a pioneer of artificial intelligence, famously said: "Learning is any process by which a system improves performance from experience." *Tooltips were updated with a comprehensive guide May this engine enhance your experience. — Dskyz, for DAFE Trading Systems
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh DskyzInvestments
1
Multi SMA + Golden/Death + Heatmap + BB**Multi SMA (50/100/200) + Golden/Death + Candle Heatmap + BB** A practical trend toolkit that blends classic 50/100/200 SMAs with clear crossover labels, special 🚀 Golden / 💀 Death Cross markers, and a readable candle heatmap based on a dynamic regression midline and volatility bands. Optional Bollinger Bands are included for context. * See trend direction at a glance with SMAs. * Get minimal, de-cluttered labels on important crosses (50↔100, 50↔200, 100↔200). * Highlight big regime shifts with special Golden/Death tags. * Read momentum and volatility with the candle heatmap. * Add Bollinger Bands if you want classic mean-reversion context. Designed to be lightweight, non-repainting on confirmed bars, and flexible across timeframes. # What This Indicator Does (plain English) * **Tracks trend** using **SMA 50/100/200** and lets you optionally compute each SMA on a higher or different timeframe (HTF-safe, no lookahead). * **Prints labels** when SMAs cross each other (up or down). You can force signals only after bar close to avoid repaint. * **Marks Golden/Death Crosses** (50 over/under 200) with special labels so major regime changes stand out. * **Colors candles** with a **heatmap** built from a regression midline and volatility bands—greenish above, reddish below, with a smooth gradient. * **Optionally shows Bollinger Bands** (basis SMA + stdev bands) and fills the area between them. * **Includes alert conditions** for Golden and Death Cross so you can automate notifications. --- # Settings — Simple Explanations ## Source * **Source**: Price source used to calculate SMAs and Bollinger basis. Default: `close`. ## SMA 50 * **Show 50**: Turn the SMA(50) line on/off. * **Length 50**: How many bars to average. Lower = faster but noisier. * **Color 50** / **Width 50**: Visual style. * **Timeframe 50**: Optional alternate timeframe for SMA(50). Leave empty to use the chart timeframe. ## SMA 100 * **Show 100**: Turn the SMA(100) line on/off. * **Length 100**: Bars used for the mid-term trend. * **Color 100** / **Width 100**: Visual style. * **Timeframe 100**: Optional alternate timeframe for SMA(100). ## SMA 200 * **Show 200**: Turn the SMA(200) line on/off. * **Length 200**: Bars used for the long-term trend. * **Color 200** / **Width 200**: Visual style. * **Timeframe 200**: Optional alternate timeframe for SMA(200). ## Signals (crossover labels) * **Show crossover signals**: Prints triangle labels on SMA crosses (50↔100, 50↔200, 100↔200). * **Wait for bar close (confirmed)**: If ON, signals only appear after the candle closes (reduces repaint). * **Min bars between same-pair signals**: Minimum spacing to avoid duplicate labels from the same SMA pair too often. * **Trend filter (buy: 50>100>200, sell: 50<100<200)**: Only show bullish labels when SMAs are stacked bullish (50 above 100 above 200), and only show bearish labels when stacked bearish. ### Label Offset * **Offset mode**: Choose how to push labels away from price: * **Percent**: Offset is a % of price. * **ATR x**: Offset is ATR(14) × multiplier. * **Percent of price (%)**: Used when mode = Percent. * **ATR multiplier (for ‘ATR x’)**: Used when mode = ATR x. ### Label Colors * **Bull color** / **Bear color**: Background of triangle labels. * **Bull label text color** / **Bear label text color**: Text color inside the triangles. ## Golden / Death Cross * **Show 🚀 Golden Cross (50↑200)**: Show a special “Golden” label when SMA50 crosses above SMA200. * **Golden label color** / **Golden text color**: Styling for Golden label. * **Show 💀 Death Cross (50↓200)**: Show a special “Death” label when SMA50 crosses below SMA200. * **Death label color** / **Death text color**: Styling for Death label. ## Candle Heatmap * **Enable heatmap candle colors**: Turns the heatmap on/off. * **Length**: Lookback for the regression midline and volatility measure. * **Deviation Multiplier**: Band width around the midline (bigger = wider). * **Volatility basis**: * **RMA Range** (smoothed high-low range) * **Stdev** (standard deviation of close) * **Upper/Middle/Lower color**: Gradient colors for the heatmap. * **Heatmap transparency (0..100)**: 0 = solid, 100 = invisible. * **Force override base candles**: Repaint base candles so heatmap stays visible even if your chart has custom coloring. ## Bollinger Bands (optional) * **Show Bollinger Bands**: Toggle the overlay on/off. * **Length**: Basis SMA length. * **StdDev Multiplier**: Distance of bands from the basis in standard deviations. * **Basis color** / **Band color**: Line colors for basis and bands. * **Bands fill transparency**: Opacity of the fill between upper/lower bands. --- # Features & How It Works ## 1) HTF-Safe SMAs Each SMA can be calculated on the chart timeframe or a higher/different timeframe you choose. The script pulls HTF values **without lookahead** (non-repainting on confirmed bars). ## 2) Crossover Labels (Three Pairs) * **50↔100**, **50↔200**, **100↔200**: * **Triangle Up** label when the first SMA crosses **above** the second. * **Triangle Down** label when it crosses **below**. * Optional **Trend Filter** ensures only signals aligned with the overall stack (50>100>200 for bullish, 50<100<200 for bearish). * **Debounce** spacing avoids repeated labels for the same pair too close together. ## 3) Golden / Death Cross Highlights * **🚀 Golden Cross**: SMA50 crosses **above** SMA200 (often a longer-term bullish regime shift). * **💀 Death Cross**: SMA50 crosses **below** SMA200 (often a longer-term bearish regime shift). * Separate styling so they stand out from regular cross labels. ## 4) Candle Heatmap * Builds a **regression midline** with **volatility bands**; colors candles by their position inside that channel. * Smooth gradient: lower side → reddish, mid → yellowish, upper side → greenish. * Helps you see momentum and “where price sits” relative to a dynamic channel. ## 5) Bollinger Bands (Optional) * Classic **basis SMA** ± **StdDev** bands. * Light visual context for mean-reversion and volatility expansion. ## 6) Alerts * **Golden Cross**: `🚀 GOLDEN CROSS: SMA 50 crossed ABOVE SMA 200` * **Death Cross**: `💀 DEATH CROSS: SMA 50 crossed BELOW SMA 200` Add these to your alerts to get notified automatically. --- # Tips & Notes * For fewer false positives, keep **“Wait for bar close”** ON, especially on lower timeframes. * Use the **Trend Filter** to align signals with the broader stack and cut noise. * For HTF context, set **Timeframe 50/100/200** to higher frames (e.g., H1/H4/D) while you trade on a lower frame. * Heatmap “Length” and “Deviation Multiplier” control smoothness and channel width—tune for your asset’s volatility.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh a_jabbaroff
Markov Chain [3D] | FractalystWhat exactly is a Markov Chain? This indicator uses a Markov Chain model to analyze, quantify, and visualize the transitions between market regimes (Bull, Bear, Neutral) on your chart. It dynamically detects these regimes in real-time, calculates transition probabilities, and displays them as animated 3D spheres and arrows, giving traders intuitive insight into current and future market conditions. How does a Markov Chain work, and how should I read this spheres-and-arrows diagram? Think of three weather modes: Sunny, Rainy, Cloudy. Each sphere is one mode. The loop on a sphere means “stay the same next step” (e.g., Sunny again tomorrow). The arrows leaving a sphere show where things usually go next if they change (e.g., Sunny moving to Cloudy). Some paths matter more than others. A more prominent loop means the current mode tends to persist. A more prominent outgoing arrow means a change to that destination is the usual next step. Direction isn’t symmetric: moving Sunny→Cloudy can behave differently than Cloudy→Sunny. Now relabel the spheres to markets: Bull, Bear, Neutral. Spheres: market regimes (uptrend, downtrend, range). Self‑loop: tendency for the current regime to continue on the next bar. Arrows: the most common next regime if a switch happens. How to read: Start at the sphere that matches current bar state. If the loop stands out, expect continuation. If one outgoing path stands out, that switch is the typical next step. Opposite directions can differ (Bear→Neutral doesn’t have to match Neutral→Bear). What states and transitions are shown? The three market states visualized are: Bullish (Bull): Upward or strong-market regime. Bearish (Bear): Downward or weak-market regime. Neutral: Sideways or range-bound regime. Bidirectional animated arrows and probability labels show how likely the market is to move from one regime to another (e.g., Bull → Bear or Neutral → Bull). How does the regime detection system work? You can use either built-in price returns (based on adaptive Z-score normalization) or supply three custom indicators (such as volume, oscillators, etc.). Values are statistically normalized (Z-scored) over a configurable lookback period. The normalized outputs are classified into Bull, Bear, or Neutral zones. If using three indicators, their regime signals are averaged and smoothed for robustness. How are transition probabilities calculated? On every confirmed bar, the algorithm tracks the sequence of detected market states, then builds a rolling window of transitions. The code maintains a transition count matrix for all regime pairs (e.g., Bull → Bear). Transition probabilities are extracted for each possible state change using Laplace smoothing for numerical stability, and frequently updated in real-time. What is unique about the visualization? 3D animated spheres represent each regime and change visually when active. Animated, bidirectional arrows reveal transition probabilities and allow you to see both dominant and less likely regime flows. Particles (moving dots) animate along the arrows, enhancing the perception of regime flow direction and speed. All elements dynamically update with each new price bar, providing a live market map in an intuitive, engaging format. Can I use custom indicators for regime classification? Yes! Enable the "Custom Indicators" switch and select any three chart series as inputs. These will be normalized and combined (each with equal weight), broadening the regime classification beyond just price-based movement. What does the “Lookback Period” control? Lookback Period (default: 100) sets how much historical data builds the probability matrix. Shorter periods adapt faster to regime changes but may be noisier. Longer periods are more stable but slower to adapt. How is this different from a Hidden Markov Model (HMM)? It sets the window for both regime detection and probability calculations. Lower values make the system more reactive, but potentially noisier. Higher values smooth estimates and make the system more robust. How is this Markov Chain different from a Hidden Markov Model (HMM)? Markov Chain (as here): All market regimes (Bull, Bear, Neutral) are directly observable on the chart. The transition matrix is built from actual detected regimes, keeping the model simple and interpretable. Hidden Markov Model: The actual regimes are unobservable ("hidden") and must be inferred from market output or indicator "emissions" using statistical learning algorithms. HMMs are more complex, can capture more subtle structure, but are harder to visualize and require additional machine learning steps for training. A standard Markov Chain models transitions between observable states using a simple transition matrix, while a Hidden Markov Model assumes the true states are hidden (latent) and must be inferred from observable “emissions” like price or volume data. In practical terms, a Markov Chain is transparent and easier to implement and interpret; an HMM is more expressive but requires statistical inference to estimate hidden states from data. Markov Chain: states are observable; you directly count or estimate transition probabilities between visible states. This makes it simpler, faster, and easier to validate and tune. HMM: states are hidden; you only observe emissions generated by those latent states. Learning involves machine learning/statistical algorithms (commonly Baum–Welch/EM for training and Viterbi for decoding) to infer both the transition dynamics and the most likely hidden state sequence from data. How does the indicator avoid “repainting” or look-ahead bias? All regime changes and matrix updates happen only on confirmed (closed) bars, so no future data is leaked, ensuring reliable real-time operation. Are there practical tuning tips? Tune the Lookback Period for your asset/timeframe: shorter for fast markets, longer for stability. Use custom indicators if your asset has unique regime drivers. Watch for rapid changes in transition probabilities as early warning of a possible regime shift. Who is this indicator for? Quants and quantitative researchers exploring probabilistic market modeling, especially those interested in regime-switching dynamics and Markov models. Programmers and system developers who need a probabilistic regime filter for systematic and algorithmic backtesting: The Markov Chain indicator is ideally suited for programmatic integration via its bias output (1 = Bull, 0 = Neutral, -1 = Bear). Although the visualization is engaging, the core output is designed for automated, rules-based workflows—not for discretionary/manual trading decisions. Developers can connect the indicator’s output directly to their Pine Script logic (using input.source()), allowing rapid and robust backtesting of regime-based strategies. It acts as a plug-and-play regime filter: simply plug the bias output into your entry/exit logic, and you have a scientifically robust, probabilistically-derived signal for filtering, timing, position sizing, or risk regimes. The MC's output is intentionally "trinary" (1/0/-1), focusing on clear regime states for unambiguous decision-making in code. If you require nuanced, multi-probability or soft-label state vectors, consider expanding the indicator or stacking it with a probability-weighted logic layer in your scripting. Because it avoids subjectivity, this approach is optimal for systematic quants, algo developers building backtested, repeatable strategies based on probabilistic regime analysis. What's the mathematical foundation behind this? The mathematical foundation behind this Markov Chain indicator—and probabilistic regime detection in finance—draws from two principal models: the (standard) Markov Chain and the Hidden Markov Model (HMM). How to use this indicator programmatically? The Markov Chain indicator automatically exports a bias value (+1 for Bullish, -1 for Bearish, 0 for Neutral) as a plot visible in the Data Window. This allows you to integrate its regime signal into your own scripts and strategies for backtesting, automation, or live trading. Step-by-Step Integration with Pine Script (input.source) Add the Markov Chain indicator to your chart. This must be done first, since your custom script will "pull" the bias signal from the indicator's plot. In your strategy, create an input using input.source() Example: //@version=5 strategy("MC Bias Strategy Example") mcBias = input.source(close, "MC Bias Source") After saving, go to your script’s settings. For the “MC Bias Source” input, select the plot/output of the Markov Chain indicator (typically its bias plot). Use the bias in your trading logic Example (long only on Bull, flat otherwise): if mcBias == 1 strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long) else strategy.close("Long") For more advanced workflows, combine mcBias with additional filters or trailing stops. How does this work behind-the-scenes? TradingView’s input.source() lets you use any plot from another indicator as a real-time, “live” data feed in your own script (source). The selected bias signal is available to your Pine code as a variable, enabling logical decisions based on regime (trend-following, mean-reversion, etc.). This enables powerful strategy modularity : decouple regime detection from entry/exit logic, allowing fast experimentation without rewriting core signal code. Integrating 45+ Indicators with Your Markov Chain — How & Why The Enhanced Custom Indicators Export script exports a massive suite of over 45 technical indicators—ranging from classic momentum (RSI, MACD, Stochastic, etc.) to trend, volume, volatility, and oscillator tools—all pre-calculated, centered/scaled, and available as plots. // Enhanced Custom Indicators Export - 45 Technical Indicators // Comprehensive technical analysis suite for advanced market regime detection //@version=6 indicator('Enhanced Custom Indicators Export | Fractalyst', shorttitle='Enhanced CI Export', overlay=false, scale=scale.right, max_labels_count=500, max_lines_count=500) // |----- Input Parameters -----| // momentum_group = "Momentum Indicators" trend_group = "Trend Indicators" volume_group = "Volume Indicators" volatility_group = "Volatility Indicators" oscillator_group = "Oscillator Indicators" display_group = "Display Settings" // Common lengths length_14 = input.int(14, "Standard Length (14)", minval=1, maxval=100, group=momentum_group) length_20 = input.int(20, "Medium Length (20)", minval=1, maxval=200, group=trend_group) length_50 = input.int(50, "Long Length (50)", minval=1, maxval=200, group=trend_group) // Display options show_table = input.bool(true, "Show Values Table", group=display_group) table_size = input.string("Small", "Table Size", options= , group=display_group) // |----- MOMENTUM INDICATORS (15 indicators) -----| // // 1. RSI (Relative Strength Index) rsi_14 = ta.rsi(close, length_14) rsi_centered = rsi_14 - 50 // 2. Stochastic Oscillator stoch_k = ta.stoch(close, high, low, length_14) stoch_d = ta.sma(stoch_k, 3) stoch_centered = stoch_k - 50 // 3. Williams %R williams_r = ta.stoch(close, high, low, length_14) - 100 // 4. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) = ta.macd(close, 12, 26, 9) // 5. Momentum (Rate of Change) momentum = ta.mom(close, length_14) momentum_pct = (momentum / close ) * 100 // 6. Rate of Change (ROC) roc = ta.roc(close, length_14) // 7. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) cci = ta.cci(close, length_20) // 8. Money Flow Index (MFI) mfi = ta.mfi(close, length_14) mfi_centered = mfi - 50 // 9. Awesome Oscillator (AO) ao = ta.sma(hl2, 5) - ta.sma(hl2, 34) // 10. Accelerator Oscillator (AC) ac = ao - ta.sma(ao, 5) // 11. Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) cmo = ta.cmo(close, length_14) // 12. Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) dpo = close - ta.sma(close, length_20) // 13. Price Oscillator (PPO) ppo = ta.sma(close, 12) - ta.sma(close, 26) ppo_pct = (ppo / ta.sma(close, 26)) * 100 // 14. TRIX trix_ema1 = ta.ema(close, length_14) trix_ema2 = ta.ema(trix_ema1, length_14) trix_ema3 = ta.ema(trix_ema2, length_14) trix = ta.roc(trix_ema3, 1) * 10000 // 15. Klinger Oscillator klinger = ta.ema(volume * (high + low + close) / 3, 34) - ta.ema(volume * (high + low + close) / 3, 55) // 16. Fisher Transform fisher_hl2 = 0.5 * (hl2 - ta.lowest(hl2, 10)) / (ta.highest(hl2, 10) - ta.lowest(hl2, 10)) - 0.25 fisher = 0.5 * math.log((1 + fisher_hl2) / (1 - fisher_hl2)) // 17. Stochastic RSI stoch_rsi = ta.stoch(rsi_14, rsi_14, rsi_14, length_14) stoch_rsi_centered = stoch_rsi - 50 // 18. Relative Vigor Index (RVI) rvi_num = ta.swma(close - open) rvi_den = ta.swma(high - low) rvi = rvi_den != 0 ? rvi_num / rvi_den : 0 // 19. Balance of Power (BOP) bop = (close - open) / (high - low) // |----- TREND INDICATORS (10 indicators) -----| // // 20. Simple Moving Average Momentum sma_20 = ta.sma(close, length_20) sma_momentum = ((close - sma_20) / sma_20) * 100 // 21. Exponential Moving Average Momentum ema_20 = ta.ema(close, length_20) ema_momentum = ((close - ema_20) / ema_20) * 100 // 22. Parabolic SAR sar = ta.sar(0.02, 0.02, 0.2) sar_trend = close > sar ? 1 : -1 // 23. Linear Regression Slope lr_slope = ta.linreg(close, length_20, 0) - ta.linreg(close, length_20, 1) // 24. Moving Average Convergence (MAC) mac = ta.sma(close, 10) - ta.sma(close, 30) // 25. Trend Intensity Index (TII) tii_sum = 0.0 for i = 1 to length_20 tii_sum += close > close ? 1 : 0 tii = (tii_sum / length_20) * 100 // 26. Ichimoku Cloud Components ichimoku_tenkan = (ta.highest(high, 9) + ta.lowest(low, 9)) / 2 ichimoku_kijun = (ta.highest(high, 26) + ta.lowest(low, 26)) / 2 ichimoku_signal = ichimoku_tenkan > ichimoku_kijun ? 1 : -1 // 27. MESA Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA) mama_alpha = 2.0 / (length_20 + 1) mama = ta.ema(close, length_20) mama_momentum = ((close - mama) / mama) * 100 // 28. Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average (ZLEMA) zlema_lag = math.round((length_20 - 1) / 2) zlema_data = close + (close - close ) zlema = ta.ema(zlema_data, length_20) zlema_momentum = ((close - zlema) / zlema) * 100 // |----- VOLUME INDICATORS (6 indicators) -----| // // 29. On-Balance Volume (OBV) obv = ta.obv // 30. Volume Rate of Change (VROC) vroc = ta.roc(volume, length_14) // 31. Price Volume Trend (PVT) pvt = ta.pvt // 32. Negative Volume Index (NVI) nvi = 0.0 nvi := volume < volume ? nvi + ((close - close ) / close ) * nvi : nvi // 33. Positive Volume Index (PVI) pvi = 0.0 pvi := volume > volume ? pvi + ((close - close ) / close ) * pvi : pvi // 34. Volume Oscillator vol_osc = ta.sma(volume, 5) - ta.sma(volume, 10) // 35. Ease of Movement (EOM) eom_distance = high - low eom_box_height = volume / 1000000 eom = eom_box_height != 0 ? eom_distance / eom_box_height : 0 eom_sma = ta.sma(eom, length_14) // 36. Force Index force_index = volume * (close - close ) force_index_sma = ta.sma(force_index, length_14) // |----- VOLATILITY INDICATORS (10 indicators) -----| // // 37. Average True Range (ATR) atr = ta.atr(length_14) atr_pct = (atr / close) * 100 // 38. Bollinger Bands Position bb_basis = ta.sma(close, length_20) bb_dev = 2.0 * ta.stdev(close, length_20) bb_upper = bb_basis + bb_dev bb_lower = bb_basis - bb_dev bb_position = bb_dev != 0 ? (close - bb_basis) / bb_dev : 0 bb_width = bb_dev != 0 ? (bb_upper - bb_lower) / bb_basis * 100 : 0 // 39. Keltner Channels Position kc_basis = ta.ema(close, length_20) kc_range = ta.ema(ta.tr, length_20) kc_upper = kc_basis + (2.0 * kc_range) kc_lower = kc_basis - (2.0 * kc_range) kc_position = kc_range != 0 ? (close - kc_basis) / kc_range : 0 // 40. Donchian Channels Position dc_upper = ta.highest(high, length_20) dc_lower = ta.lowest(low, length_20) dc_basis = (dc_upper + dc_lower) / 2 dc_position = (dc_upper - dc_lower) != 0 ? (close - dc_basis) / (dc_upper - dc_lower) : 0 // 41. Standard Deviation std_dev = ta.stdev(close, length_20) std_dev_pct = (std_dev / close) * 100 // 42. Relative Volatility Index (RVI) rvi_up = ta.stdev(close > close ? close : 0, length_14) rvi_down = ta.stdev(close < close ? close : 0, length_14) rvi_total = rvi_up + rvi_down rvi_volatility = rvi_total != 0 ? (rvi_up / rvi_total) * 100 : 50 // 43. Historical Volatility hv_returns = math.log(close / close ) hv = ta.stdev(hv_returns, length_20) * math.sqrt(252) * 100 // 44. Garman-Klass Volatility gk_vol = math.log(high/low) * math.log(high/low) - (2*math.log(2)-1) * math.log(close/open) * math.log(close/open) gk_volatility = math.sqrt(ta.sma(gk_vol, length_20)) * 100 // 45. Parkinson Volatility park_vol = math.log(high/low) * math.log(high/low) parkinson = math.sqrt(ta.sma(park_vol, length_20) / (4 * math.log(2))) * 100 // 46. Rogers-Satchell Volatility rs_vol = math.log(high/close) * math.log(high/open) + math.log(low/close) * math.log(low/open) rogers_satchell = math.sqrt(ta.sma(rs_vol, length_20)) * 100 // |----- OSCILLATOR INDICATORS (5 indicators) -----| // // 47. Elder Ray Index elder_bull = high - ta.ema(close, 13) elder_bear = low - ta.ema(close, 13) elder_power = elder_bull + elder_bear // 48. Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) stc_macd = ta.ema(close, 23) - ta.ema(close, 50) stc_k = ta.stoch(stc_macd, stc_macd, stc_macd, 10) stc_d = ta.ema(stc_k, 3) stc = ta.stoch(stc_d, stc_d, stc_d, 10) // 49. Coppock Curve coppock_roc1 = ta.roc(close, 14) coppock_roc2 = ta.roc(close, 11) coppock = ta.wma(coppock_roc1 + coppock_roc2, 10) // 50. Know Sure Thing (KST) kst_roc1 = ta.roc(close, 10) kst_roc2 = ta.roc(close, 15) kst_roc3 = ta.roc(close, 20) kst_roc4 = ta.roc(close, 30) kst = ta.sma(kst_roc1, 10) + 2*ta.sma(kst_roc2, 10) + 3*ta.sma(kst_roc3, 10) + 4*ta.sma(kst_roc4, 15) // 51. Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) ppo_line = ((ta.ema(close, 12) - ta.ema(close, 26)) / ta.ema(close, 26)) * 100 ppo_signal = ta.ema(ppo_line, 9) ppo_histogram = ppo_line - ppo_signal // |----- PLOT MAIN INDICATORS -----| // // Plot key momentum indicators plot(rsi_centered, title="01_RSI_Centered", color=color.purple, linewidth=1) plot(stoch_centered, title="02_Stoch_Centered", color=color.blue, linewidth=1) plot(williams_r, title="03_Williams_R", color=color.red, linewidth=1) plot(macd_histogram, title="04_MACD_Histogram", color=color.orange, linewidth=1) plot(cci, title="05_CCI", color=color.green, linewidth=1) // Plot trend indicators plot(sma_momentum, title="06_SMA_Momentum", color=color.navy, linewidth=1) plot(ema_momentum, title="07_EMA_Momentum", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1) plot(sar_trend, title="08_SAR_Trend", color=color.teal, linewidth=1) plot(lr_slope, title="09_LR_Slope", color=color.lime, linewidth=1) plot(mac, title="10_MAC", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1) // Plot volatility indicators plot(atr_pct, title="11_ATR_Pct", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1) plot(bb_position, title="12_BB_Position", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1) plot(kc_position, title="13_KC_Position", color=color.olive, linewidth=1) plot(std_dev_pct, title="14_StdDev_Pct", color=color.silver, linewidth=1) plot(bb_width, title="15_BB_Width", color=color.gray, linewidth=1) // Plot volume indicators plot(vroc, title="16_VROC", color=color.blue, linewidth=1) plot(eom_sma, title="17_EOM", color=color.red, linewidth=1) plot(vol_osc, title="18_Vol_Osc", color=color.green, linewidth=1) plot(force_index_sma, title="19_Force_Index", color=color.orange, linewidth=1) plot(obv, title="20_OBV", color=color.purple, linewidth=1) // Plot additional oscillators plot(ao, title="21_Awesome_Osc", color=color.navy, linewidth=1) plot(cmo, title="22_CMO", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1) plot(dpo, title="23_DPO", color=color.teal, linewidth=1) plot(trix, title="24_TRIX", color=color.lime, linewidth=1) plot(fisher, title="25_Fisher", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1) // Plot more momentum indicators plot(mfi_centered, title="26_MFI_Centered", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1) plot(ac, title="27_AC", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1) plot(ppo_pct, title="28_PPO_Pct", color=color.olive, linewidth=1) plot(stoch_rsi_centered, title="29_StochRSI_Centered", color=color.silver, linewidth=1) plot(klinger, title="30_Klinger", color=color.gray, linewidth=1) // Plot trend continuation plot(tii, title="31_TII", color=color.blue, linewidth=1) plot(ichimoku_signal, title="32_Ichimoku_Signal", color=color.red, linewidth=1) plot(mama_momentum, title="33_MAMA_Momentum", color=color.green, linewidth=1) plot(zlema_momentum, title="34_ZLEMA_Momentum", color=color.orange, linewidth=1) plot(bop, title="35_BOP", color=color.purple, linewidth=1) // Plot volume continuation plot(nvi, title="36_NVI", color=color.navy, linewidth=1) plot(pvi, title="37_PVI", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1) plot(momentum_pct, title="38_Momentum_Pct", color=color.teal, linewidth=1) plot(roc, title="39_ROC", color=color.lime, linewidth=1) plot(rvi, title="40_RVI", color=color.fuchsia, linewidth=1) // Plot volatility continuation plot(dc_position, title="41_DC_Position", color=color.yellow, linewidth=1) plot(rvi_volatility, title="42_RVI_Volatility", color=color.aqua, linewidth=1) plot(hv, title="43_Historical_Vol", color=color.olive, linewidth=1) plot(gk_volatility, title="44_GK_Volatility", color=color.silver, linewidth=1) plot(parkinson, title="45_Parkinson_Vol", color=color.gray, linewidth=1) // Plot final oscillators plot(rogers_satchell, title="46_RS_Volatility", color=color.blue, linewidth=1) plot(elder_power, title="47_Elder_Power", color=color.red, linewidth=1) plot(stc, title="48_STC", color=color.green, linewidth=1) plot(coppock, title="49_Coppock", color=color.orange, linewidth=1) plot(kst, title="50_KST", color=color.purple, linewidth=1) // Plot final indicators plot(ppo_histogram, title="51_PPO_Histogram", color=color.navy, linewidth=1) plot(pvt, title="52_PVT", color=color.maroon, linewidth=1) // |----- Reference Lines -----| // hline(0, "Zero Line", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dashed, linewidth=1) hline(50, "Midline", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1) hline(-50, "Lower Midline", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1) hline(25, "Upper Threshold", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1) hline(-25, "Lower Threshold", color=color.gray, linestyle=hline.style_dotted, linewidth=1) // |----- Enhanced Information Table -----| // if show_table and barstate.islast table_position = position.top_right table_text_size = table_size == "Tiny" ? size.tiny : table_size == "Small" ? size.small : size.normal var table info_table = table.new(table_position, 3, 18, bgcolor=color.new(color.white, 85), border_width=1, border_color=color.gray) // Headers table.cell(info_table, 0, 0, 'Category', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70)) table.cell(info_table, 1, 0, 'Indicator', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70)) table.cell(info_table, 2, 0, 'Value', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 70)) // Key Momentum Indicators table.cell(info_table, 0, 1, 'MOMENTUM', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 90)) table.cell(info_table, 1, 1, 'RSI Centered', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 1, str.tostring(rsi_centered, '0.00'), text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 2, '', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 2, 'Stoch Centered', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 2, str.tostring(stoch_centered, '0.00'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 3, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 3, 'Williams %R', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 3, str.tostring(williams_r, '0.00'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 4, '', text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 4, 'MACD Histogram', text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 4, str.tostring(macd_histogram, '0.000'), text_color=color.orange, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 5, '', text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 5, 'CCI', text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 5, str.tostring(cci, '0.00'), text_color=color.green, text_size=table_text_size) // Key Trend Indicators table.cell(info_table, 0, 6, 'TREND', text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.navy, 90)) table.cell(info_table, 1, 6, 'SMA Momentum %', text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 6, str.tostring(sma_momentum, '0.00'), text_color=color.navy, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 7, '', text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 7, 'EMA Momentum %', text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 7, str.tostring(ema_momentum, '0.00'), text_color=color.maroon, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 8, '', text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 8, 'SAR Trend', text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 8, str.tostring(sar_trend, '0'), text_color=color.teal, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 9, '', text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 9, 'Linear Regression', text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 9, str.tostring(lr_slope, '0.000'), text_color=color.lime, text_size=table_text_size) // Key Volatility Indicators table.cell(info_table, 0, 10, 'VOLATILITY', text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.yellow, 90)) table.cell(info_table, 1, 10, 'ATR %', text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 10, str.tostring(atr_pct, '0.00'), text_color=color.yellow, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 11, '', text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 11, 'BB Position', text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 11, str.tostring(bb_position, '0.00'), text_color=color.aqua, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 12, '', text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 12, 'KC Position', text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 12, str.tostring(kc_position, '0.00'), text_color=color.olive, text_size=table_text_size) // Key Volume Indicators table.cell(info_table, 0, 13, 'VOLUME', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.blue, 90)) table.cell(info_table, 1, 13, 'Volume ROC', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 13, str.tostring(vroc, '0.00'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 14, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 14, 'EOM', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 14, str.tostring(eom_sma, '0.000'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size) // Key Oscillators table.cell(info_table, 0, 15, 'OSCILLATORS', text_color=color.purple, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.purple, 90)) table.cell(info_table, 1, 15, 'Awesome Osc', text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 15, str.tostring(ao, '0.000'), text_color=color.blue, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 0, 16, '', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 1, 16, 'Fisher Transform', text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size) table.cell(info_table, 2, 16, str.tostring(fisher, '0.000'), text_color=color.red, text_size=table_text_size) // Summary Statistics table.cell(info_table, 0, 17, 'SUMMARY', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size, bgcolor=color.new(color.gray, 70)) table.cell(info_table, 1, 17, 'Total Indicators: 52', text_color=color.black, text_size=table_text_size) regime_color = rsi_centered > 10 ? color.green : rsi_centered < -10 ? color.red : color.gray regime_text = rsi_centered > 10 ? "BULLISH" : rsi_centered < -10 ? "BEARISH" : "NEUTRAL" table.cell(info_table, 2, 17, regime_text, text_color=regime_color, text_size=table_text_size) This makes it the perfect “indicator backbone” for quantitative and systematic traders who want to prototype, combine, and test new regime detection models—especially in combination with the Markov Chain indicator. How to use this script with the Markov Chain for research and backtesting: Add the Enhanced Indicator Export to your chart. Every calculated indicator is available as an individual data stream. Connect the indicator(s) you want as custom input(s) to the Markov Chain’s “Custom Indicators” option. In the Markov Chain indicator’s settings, turn ON the custom indicator mode. For each of the three custom indicator inputs, select the exported plot from the Enhanced Export script—the menu lists all 45+ signals by name. This creates a powerful, modular regime-detection engine where you can mix-and-match momentum, trend, volume, or custom combinations for advanced filtering. Backtest regime logic directly. Once you’ve connected your chosen indicators, the Markov Chain script performs regime detection (Bull/Neutral/Bear) based on your selected features—not just price returns. The regime detection is robust, automatically normalized (using Z-score), and outputs bias (1, -1, 0) for plug-and-play integration. Export the regime bias for programmatic use. As described above, use input.source() in your Pine Script strategy or system and link the bias output. You can now filter signals, control trade direction/size, or design pairs-trading that respect true, indicator-driven market regimes. With this framework, you’re not limited to static or simplistic regime filters. You can rigorously define, test, and refine what “market regime” means for your strategies—using the technical features that matter most to you. Optimize your signal generation by backtesting across a universe of meaningful indicator blends. Enhance risk management with objective, real-time regime boundaries. Accelerate your research: iterate quickly, swap indicator components, and see results with minimal code changes. Automate multi-asset or pairs-trading by integrating regime context directly into strategy logic. Add both scripts to your chart, connect your preferred features, and start investigating your best regime-based trades—entirely within the TradingView ecosystem. References & Further Reading Ang, A., & Bekaert, G. (2002). “Regime Switches in Interest Rates.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 163–182. Hamilton, J. D. (1989). “A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle.” Econometrica, 57(2), 357–384. Markov, A. A. (1906). "Extension of the Limit Theorems of Probability Theory to a Sum of Variables Connected in a Chain." The Notes of the Imperial Academy of Sciences of St. Petersburg. Guidolin, M., & Timmermann, A. (2007). “Asset Allocation under Multivariate Regime Switching.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31(11), 3503–3544. Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. New York Institute of Finance. Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). “Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731–1764. Zucchini, W., MacDonald, I. L., & Langrock, R. (2017). Hidden Markov Models for Time Series: An Introduction Using R (2nd ed.). Chapman and Hall/CRC. On Quantitative Finance and Markov Models: Lo, A. W., & Hasanhodzic, J. (2009). The Heretics of Finance: Conversations with Leading Practitioners of Technical Analysis. Bloomberg Press. Patterson, S. (2016). The Man Who Solved the Market: How Jim Simons Launched the Quant Revolution. Penguin Press. TradingView Pine Script Documentation: www.tradingview.com TradingView Blog: “Use an Input From Another Indicator With Your Strategy” www.tradingview.com GeeksforGeeks: “What is the Difference Between Markov Chains and Hidden Markov Models?” www.geeksforgeeks.org What makes this indicator original and unique? - On‑chart, real‑time Markov. The chain is drawn directly on your chart. You see the current regime, its tendency to stay (self‑loop), and the usual next step (arrows) as bars confirm. - Source‑agnostic by design. The engine runs on any series you select via input.source() — price, your own oscillator, a composite score, anything you compute in the script. - Automatic normalization + regime mapping. Different inputs live on different scales. The script standardizes your chosen source and maps it into clear regimes (e.g., Bull / Bear / Neutral) without you micromanaging thresholds each time. - Rolling, bar‑by‑bar learning. Transition tendencies are computed from a rolling window of confirmed bars. What you see is exactly what the market did in that window. - Fast experimentation. Switch the source, adjust the window, and the Markov view updates instantly. It’s a rapid way to test ideas and feel regime persistence/switch behavior. Integrate your own signals (using input.source()) - In settings, choose the Source . This is powered by input.source() . - Feed it price, an indicator you compute inside the script, or a custom composite series. - The script will automatically normalize that series and process it through the Markov engine, mapping it to regimes and updating the on‑chart spheres/arrows in real time. Credits: Deep gratitude to @RicardoSantos for both the foundational Markov chain processing engine and inspiring open-source contributions, which made advanced probabilistic market modeling accessible to the TradingView community. Special thanks to @Alien_Algorithms for the innovative and visually stunning 3D sphere logic that powers the indicator’s animated, regime-based visualization. Disclaimer This tool summarizes recent behavior. It is not financial advice and not a guarantee of future results.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh Fractalyst
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