Mulai

Futuresmarket

NY VIX Channel Trend US Futures Day Trade StrategyNY VIX Channel Trend Strategy Summary in one paragraph Session anchored intraday strategy for index futures such as ES and NQ on one to fifteen minute charts. It acts only after the first configurable window of New York Regular Trading Hours and uses a VIX derived daily implied move to form a realistic channel from the session open. Originality comes from using a pure implied volatility yardstick as portable support and resistance, then committing in the direction of the first window close relative to the open. Add it to a clean chart and trade the simple visuals. For conservative alerts use on bar close. Scope and intent • Markets. Index futures ES and NQ • Timeframes. One to thirty minutes • Default demo. ES1 on five minutes • Purpose. Provide a portable intraday yardstick for entries and exits without curve fitting • Limits. This is a strategy. Orders are simulated on standard candles Originality and usefulness • Unique concept. A VIX only channel anchored at 09:30 New York plus a single window trend test • Addresses. False urgency at session open and unrealistic bands from arbitrary multipliers • Testability. Every input is visible and the channel is plotted so users can audit behavior • Portable yardstick. Daily implied move equals VIX percent divided by square root of two hundred fifty two • Protected status. None. Method and use are fully disclosed Method overview in plain language Take the daily VIX or VIX9D value, convert it to a daily fraction by dividing by square root of two hundred fifty two, then anchor a symmetric channel at the New York session open. Observe the first N minutes. If that window closes above the open the bias is long. If it closes below the open the bias is short. One trade per session. Exits occur at the channel boundary or at a bracket based on a user selected VIX factor. Positions are closed a set number of minutes before the session ends. Base measures Return basis. The daily implied move unit equals VIX percent divided by square root of two hundred fifty two and serves as the distance unit for targets and stops. Components • VIX Channel. Top, mid, bottom lines anchored at 09:30 New York. No extra multipliers • Window Trend. Close of the first N minutes relative to the session open sets direction • Risk Bracket. Take profit and stop loss equal to VIX unit times user factor • Session Window. Uses the exchange time of the chart Fusion rule Minimum gates count equals one. The trade only arms after the window has elapsed and a direction exists. One entry per session. Signal rule • Long when the window close is above the session open and the window has completed • Short when the window close is below the session open and the window has completed • Exit on channel touch. Long exits at the top. Short exits at the bottom • Flat thirty minutes before the session close or at the user setting Inputs with guidance Setup • Use VIX9D. Width source. Typical true for fast tone or false for baseline • Use daily OPEN. Toggle for sensitivity to overnight changes Logic • Window minutes. Five to one hundred twenty. Larger values delay entries and reduce whipsaw • VIX factor for TP. Zero point five to two. Raising it widens the profit target • VIX factor for SL. Zero point five to two. Raising it widens the stop • Exit minutes before close. Fifteen to ninety. Raising it exits earlier Properties visible in this publication • Initial capital one hundred thousand USD • Base currency USD • request.security uses lookahead off • Commission cash per contract two point five $ per each contract. Slippage one tick • Default order size method FIXED with value one contract. Pyramiding zero. Process orders on close ON. Bar magnifier OFF. Recalculate after order is filled OFF. Calc on every tick ON Realism and responsible publication No performance claims. Past results never guarantee future outcomes. Fills and slippage vary by venue. Shapes can move while a bar forms and settle on close. Strategy uses standard candles. Honest limitations and failure modes Economic releases and thin liquidity can break the channel. Very quiet regimes can reduce signal contrast. Session windows follow the exchange time of the chart. If both stop and target can be hit within one bar, assume stop first for conservative reading without bar magnifier. Works best in liquid hours of New York RTH. Very large gaps and surprise news may exceed the implied channel. Always validate on the symbols you trade. Entries and exits • Entry logic. After the first window, go long if the window close is above the session open, go short if below • Exit logic. Long exits at the channel top or at the take profit or stop. Short exits at the channel bottom or at the take profit or stop. Flat before session close by the configured minutes • Risk model. Initial stop and target based on the VIX unit times user factors. No trail and no break even. No cooldown • Tie handling. Treat as stop first for conservative interpretation Position sizing Fixed size one contract per trade. Target risk per trade should generally remain near one percent of account equity. Risk is based on the daily volatility value, the max loss from the tests for one year duration with 5min chart was 4%, while the avg loss was below <1% of the total capital. If you have any questions please let me know. Thank you for coming by !
Strategi Pine Script®
oleh exlux
4
True Seasonal Pattern [tradeviZion]True Seasonal Pattern: Uncover Hidden Market Cycles Markets have rhythms and patterns that repeat with surprising regularity. The True Seasonal Pattern indicator reveals these hidden cycles across different timeframes, helping you anticipate potential market movements based on historical seasonal tendencies. What This Indicator Does The True Seasonal Pattern analyzes years of historical price data to identify recurring seasonal trends. It then plots these patterns on your chart, showing you both the historical pattern and future projection based on past seasonal behavior. Automatic Timeframe Detection: Works with Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts Historical Pattern Analysis: Analyzes up to 100 years of data (customizable) Future Projection: Projects the seasonal pattern ahead on your chart Smart Smoothing: Applies appropriate smoothing based on your timeframe How to Use This Indicator Add the indicator to a Daily, Weekly, or Monthly chart (not designed for intraday timeframes) The indicator automatically detects your chart's timeframe The blue line shows the historical seasonal pattern Watch for potential turning points in the pattern that align with other technical signals Seasonal patterns work best as a supporting factor in your analysis, not as standalone trading signals. They are particularly effective in markets with well-established seasonal influences. Best Applications Futures Markets: Commodities and futures often show strong seasonal tendencies due to production cycles, weather patterns, and economic factors Stock Indices: Many stock markets demonstrate regular seasonal patterns (like the "Sell in May" phenomenon) Individual Stocks: Companies with seasonal business cycles often show predictable price patterns Practical Applications Identify potential turning points based on historical seasonal patterns Plan entries and exits around seasonal tendencies Add seasonal context to your existing technical analysis Understand why certain months or periods might show consistent behavior Pro Tip: For best results, use this tool on instruments with at least 5+ years of historical data. Longer timeframes often reveal more reliable seasonal patterns. Important Notes This indicator works best on Daily, Weekly, and Monthly timeframes - not intraday charts Seasonal patterns are tendencies, not guarantees Always combine seasonal analysis with other technical tools Past patterns may not repeat exactly in the future // Sample of the seasonal calculation approach float yearHigh = array.max(currentYearHighs) float yearLow = array.min(currentYearLows) // Calculate seasonality for each period for i = 0 to array.size(currentYearCloses) - 1 float periodClose = array.get(currentYearCloses, i) if not na(periodClose) and yearHigh != yearLow float seasonality = (periodClose - yearLow) / (yearHigh - yearLow) * 100 I developed this indicator to help traders incorporate seasonal analysis into their trading approach without the complexity of traditional seasonal tools. Whether you're analyzing agricultural commodities, energy futures, or stock indices, understanding the seasonal context can provide valuable insights for your trading decisions. Remember: Markets don't always follow seasonal patterns, but when they do, being aware of these tendencies can give you a meaningful edge in your analysis.
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh TradeVizion
2
Crude Oil: Backwardation Vs ContangoCrude Oil, CL Plots Futures Curve: Futures contract prices over the next 3.5 years; to easily visualize Backwardation Vs Contango(carrying charge) markets. Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation(As the above; contract prices decreasing into the future): it's a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW. Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot TO UPDATE (every year or so): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly This is one of several similar Futures Curve indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains | VIX | Crude Oil If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the multiple indicators) Tips: -Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling. -Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below. -If this takes too long to load (due to so many security calls); comment out the more distant future half of the contracts; and their respective labels. Or comment out every other contract and every other label if you prefer. --Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot updated 20th June 2022 © twingall
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh twingall
1
VIX: Backwardation Vs ContangoVIX: Backwardation Vs Contango Quickly visualize Contango vs Backwardation in the S&P 500 Volatility Index by plotting the prices of the futures contracts over the next 9 months Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot TO UPDATE(every few months recommended): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly This is one of several similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains | VIX Tips: -Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling. -Right click and pin to Scale A to plot on the same scale as price --Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot updated 15th June 2022 © twingall
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh twingall
1
Meats: Backwardation/CantangoMEATS: Live Cattle , Feeder Cattle, Lean Hogs (LE, GF , HE) Quickly visualize carrying charge market vs backwardized market by comparing the price of the next 2 years of futures contracts. Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation (contract prices decreasing into the future): its a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW. Note: indicator does NOT map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot There's likely some more efficient way to write this; e.g. when plotting for Live Cattle (LE); 8 of the security requests are redundant; but they are still made; and can make this slower to load TO UPDATE(once a year will do): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly This is one of three similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains -If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities ; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the 3 seperate indicators) Tips: -Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling. -Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below. --Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot updated 15th June 2022 © twingall
Indikator Pine Script®
oleh twingall