Supply Weighted Moving AverageUse on a Weekly timeframe:
This moving average channel is weighted based on the new BTC offer:
I believe that the slope of the Bitcoin trend line correlates with the new supply and availability problem.
Thanks MJShahsavar
Original script "Weighted average moving average of the offer: Onchin"
Analisis Fundamental
Crypto addict 7 Accurate Buy & Sell indicators
The below indicators are recommended on the daily chart only.
Yellow Diamond - Possible bottom of the market. This diamond will only flash a few times in a cycle on the BTC chart. This is actually one the BEST buying signal
Green Buy – Buy
Red Sell - Sell / take profits
BIG red cross – Possible top and best signal to sell or take profits
BIG green cross – possible bottom and the best signal to buy
Silver Line – 111 MA
The modified 111 moving average is also a very good indicator. The market will test this support/resistance before the 200 moving average.
Purple line – 200 MA
The modified 200 moving average is a very good indicator. You will get a feel if the markets are in a up or down trend and identifying support and resistance areas. A daily candle close above the line is support and markets can move upwards. A daily close below indicate resistance and markets will move downwards
Red line – Confirmed bullish / bearish cycle!!
Green Line - This MA line indicate the bottom of the cycle - your absolute best entry point for the next cycle. This MA got a 10-year accurate record.
Remember that past history does not guarantee future results.
Crude Oil: Backwardation Vs ContangoCrude Oil, CL
Plots Futures Curve: Futures contract prices over the next 3.5 years; to easily visualize Backwardation Vs Contango(carrying charge) markets.
Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation(As the above; contract prices decreasing into the future): it's a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW.
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
TO UPDATE (every year or so): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of several similar Futures Curve indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains | VIX | Crude Oil
If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the multiple indicators)
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below.
-If this takes too long to load (due to so many security calls); comment out the more distant future half of the contracts; and their respective labels. Or comment out every other contract and every other label if you prefer.
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 20th June 2022
© twingall
VWAP/EMA50/EMA200We script this one for combining VWAP , EMA50 and EMA200. The tool is fantastic if traders know how VWAP , EMA work? Just adding this script in your favorite and work like charm:
VWAP: How to trade with that
- One of the simplest uses of the VWAP is gauging support and/or resistance.
- A trader who is long a stock can use the VWAP as a target exit if its trading below.
- A stock trading over intraday VWAP may be bullish , while a stock trading under may be bearish .
EMA 50/EMA200: How to trade with that timeframe 50-day or 200-day period
- Identify the trend of market in longterm
- Golden-cross (short term EMA cross above longterm EMA ) is call golden-cross signals. It is opportunity for buying.
- Deal-cross ( short term EMA cross below longterm EMA ) is call dead-cross signals. It is opportunity for selling.
- Identify support levels
- Identify resistance levels
Let me know if you see anything else that should be added/changed.
VIX: Backwardation Vs ContangoVIX: Backwardation Vs Contango
Quickly visualize Contango vs Backwardation in the S&P 500 Volatility Index by plotting the prices of the futures contracts over the next 9 months
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
TO UPDATE(every few months recommended): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of several similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains | VIX
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and pin to Scale A to plot on the same scale as price
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
Metals:Backwardation/ContangoMETALS: Gold , Silver , Copper ( GC , SI, HG)
Quickly visualize carrying charge market vs backwardized market by comparing the price of the next 2 years of futures contracts.
Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation (contract prices decreasing into the future): its a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW.
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
There's likely some more efficient way to write this; e.g. when plotting for Gold ( GC ); 21 of the security requests are redundant; but they are still made; and can make this slower to load
TO UPDATE(once a year will do): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of three similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains
-If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities ; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the 3 seperate indicators)
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below.
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
Grains:Backwardation/ContangoGRAINS: Wheat , Soybeans , Corn (ZW, ZS, ZC )
Quickly visualize carrying charge market vs backwardized market by comparing the price of the next 2 years of futures contracts.
Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation (contract prices decreasing into the future): its a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW.
The above chart shows a nice example of backwardation.
Note: indicator does not map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
There's likely some more efficient way to write this; e.g. when plotting for Wheat (ZW); 15 of the security requests are redundant; but they are still made; and can make this slower to load
TO UPDATE(once a year will do): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of three similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains
-If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities ; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the 3 seperate indicators)
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below.
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
Meats: Backwardation/CantangoMEATS: Live Cattle , Feeder Cattle, Lean Hogs (LE, GF , HE)
Quickly visualize carrying charge market vs backwardized market by comparing the price of the next 2 years of futures contracts.
Carrying charge (contract prices increasing into the future) = normal, representing the costs of carrying/storage of a commodity. When this is flipped to Backwardation (contract prices decreasing into the future): its a bullish sign: Buyers want this commodity, and they want it NOW.
Note: indicator does NOT map to time axis in the same way as price; it simply plots the progression of contract months out into the future; left to right; so timeframe DOESN'T MATTER for this plot
There's likely some more efficient way to write this; e.g. when plotting for Live Cattle (LE); 8 of the security requests are redundant; but they are still made; and can make this slower to load
TO UPDATE(once a year will do): in REQUEST CONTRACTS section, delete old contracts (top) and add new ones (bottom). Then in PLOTTING section, Delete old contract labels (bottom); add new contract labels (top); adjust the X in 'bar_index-(X+_historical)' numbers accordingly
This is one of three similar indicators: Meats | Metals | Grains
-If you want to build from this; to work on other commodities ; be aware that Tradingview limits the number of contract calls to 40 (hence the 3 seperate indicators)
Tips:
-Right click and reset chart if you can't see the plot; or if you have trouble with the scaling.
-Right click and add to new scale if you prefer this not to overlay directly on price. Or move to new pane below.
--Added historical input: input days back in time; to see the historical shape of the Futures curve via selecting 'days back' snapshot
updated 15th June 2022
© twingall
EPS TableEPS Table for tracking Earning per share
This can be useful for Techo- a fundamental analyst,
If you want more Tables on the fundamental or technical analysis you can contact me here.
Supply Weighted Moving Average: OnchinUse this Onchain Channel in Weekly Timeframe - on BTCUSD BUTSTAMP Chart:
This Moving average channel is weighted based on BTC's new Supply:
I believe the slope of the Bitcoin trend line is correlated to the new supply and the issue of Halving.
The chart below shows this:
In fact, after each Halving, the supply is halved. Halving the supply increases the demand-for-supply ratio and increases the price. But the uptrend slope also halves after each halving.
Therefore, the slope of the bitcoin trend is correlated with the new supply rate. This is the logic of this new metric.
Accordingly, the moving average is weighted based on the new supply. This new channel can identify where bitcoin is too cheap or too expensive in the historical chart. It has also marked support/resistance Supply Weighted Moving Average.
BTC New Supply: OnchainThis Onchain Metric shows the sum of newly issued coins.
This metric is very useful for finding new bull run cycles in the market. The new bull run is accompanied by a significant drop in the new supply.
BTC Supply weighted channel: OnchainUse this oscillator in the weekly time frame and then draw the above linear channel
The premise of this idea is that the trend slope of the bitcoin price correlates with the bitcoin supply chart, which shows the total amount of bitcoin ever created/issued.
Therefore, Bitcoin price is weighted based on Bitcoin supply.
As a result, the above channel has been created, which is a linear channel, and it seems that it can be an oscillator to determine the bitcoin trend, as well as the tops and bottoms of the market.
Bitcoin seems to respect the bottom and top lines of this channel as well as its midline
BTC Leading SOPR: OnchainUse This indicator in Weekly Timeframe:
This Onchain Metric is based on SOPR Moving Average.
This metric is very efficient for finding the tops and bottoms of the market as well as the ascending or descending biases in the market.
You can use it alongside RSI to filter out incorrect rsi signals
overhigh areas signal a top, overlow areas signal a low, zero line cross-up indicates an uptrend bias and its cross-down indicates a downtrend bias in the market
Australian Gross Domestic ProductAustralian Gross Domestic Product. Useful to know when looking at how the economy is going.
Relevant World GDP GroupedLooking at a basket of countries total GDP for comparing size of economy. Makes it easy to select your own groupings of countries for comparison. A country's GDP is the total of consumer spending (C) plus business investment (I) and government spending (G), plus net exports, which is total exports minus total imports (X – M). Alliances visualized was the original idea but wasn't quite sure for a lot of other countries where they stand so it is what it is; feel free to improve.
BTC SOPR Momentum: OnchainThis Onchin metric is based on SOPR data
Use this metric on daily and weekly timeframes:
SOPR:
The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is computed by dividing the realized value (in USD) divided by the value at creation (USD) of a spent output. Or simply: price sold / price paid. Renato Shirakashi created this metric. When SOPR > 1, it means that the owners of the spent outputs are in profit at the time of the transaction; otherwise, they are at a loss. You can find "SOPR" in tradingview indicators
BTC SOPR Momentum: Onchain
This metric is based on SOPR Momentum. I made some changes to it so that its momentum can be checked.
Interpretation:
If the indicator is above the gray level of resistance/support, bitcoin has an uptrend and Bullish bias
If the indicator is below the resistance/ support level, bitcoin has a downtrend and Bearish Bias
Crossup the gray level is a long signal
Cross-down the gray level is a shorts signal
Entering and exit of the indicator to the overhigh area means creating a top
Entering and leaving the indicator to the overflow area means creating a bottom
BlackMEX - Production CostBitcoin's Value as determined by Joules of energy input only
Calculations per Medium article EV = (Energy-in) / (Supply Growth Rate) * (Fiat Factor)
Historic Energy Efficiency data can only be entered monthly due to processing speed constraints of below data load and should be considred an estimate only.
Energy Efficiency Data requires manual updating. Currently accurate as of 28 December 2019
Bitcoin Production Cost
Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI) - Bitcoin's global electricity consumption in TwH.
NB: Uses MONTHLY averages of raw data from CBECI. TV script run-time is too slow with Daily/Weekly data here.
This requires manual updating once a month for ongoing accuracy.
Financials Info by zdmreFundamentals provide a method to set the financial value of a company, security, or currency. Included in fundamental analysis is basic qualitative and quantitative information that contributes to the asset's financial or economic well-being. Macroeconomic fundamentals include topics that affect an economy at large. Microeconomic fundamentals focus on the activities within smaller segments of the economy. For businesses, information such as profitability, revenue, assets, liabilities, and growth potential are considered fundamentals
!!! When you change the values in the filter, you will see that the colors in the table change.
!!! Intrinsic Value Explained
There is no universal standard for calculating the intrinsic value of a company. The formula here is a partially differentiated version of the Ben Graham formula.
Formula;
Intrinsic value = Earning Per Share * MultiplierbySpecialRate * AveragePricetoEarnings * Power(Multiplier by SpecialRate, DiscountYear) * USMoneySupply2 / Power((1 + DiscountRate), DiscountYear) * USMoneySupply0
V/T Ratio: Onchain BTC MetricThis is a New Onchain metric that is designed for bitcoin by myself Mjshahsavar (Ghoddusifar), and it is published for the first time in this trading view in this post.
I think this metric has a very high capability to determine the ATH and bottom of the market. This metric can solve a problem that channels are unable to solve. this could be the equivalent of what is known in the stock market as P/E
Calculations:
V/T RATIO = MA (7) of Log ((THE TOTAL VOLUME OF BITCOIN TRANSFERRED ONCHAIN IN USD)/(THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF TRANSACTIONS))
INTERPRETATION:
What is the long-term price channel of Bitcoin? Have you ever thought that maybe drawing a price channel is not right and maybe we should look for something else?
Channel drawing for the price is a subjective and interpretive subject. Look at the charts below, they are all correct in terms of drawing, but no one can say which one will happen. There is no certainty because drawing them is objective.
But who can say which one will definitely work?
We need something more objective. I think V/T Ratio does that.
Just draw the channel. There is only one channel for it. And it has worked historically well to this day.
Compare the drawn channel with the price chart. It works right. When the metric reaches the top line of the channel, it indicates the new ATH and the end of the cycle.
When it reaches the bottom line of the channel, it indicates that the price has reached the bottom.
A Market Cycle:
According to this metric, the bitcoin cycle has 5 stages:
1- Bottom Price: which V/T Ratio touches the bottom line of the channel: In this case, we expect the price to reach the bottom.
2- Semi-high price: that the metric reaches the middle line of the channel: In this case, Bitcoin creates a local top in the MID-Term and Long-Term timeframes
3- Semi-low price: which has a metric return to the lower part of the channel (but the price can still increase)
4- ATH: that Bitcoin reaches its highest historical price
5- It starts after the ATH until the metric reaches the bottom part of the channel again.
Portfolio of open positions ENGHello, I became interested in investing and trading, and there was a huge problem where and how to manage my portfolio,
I tried websites, got a spreadsheet in microsoft excel, and eventually it became possible to manage a portfolio in TradingView.
You enter data about purchases and follow the dynamics of your shares anytime, anywhere.
Added automatic transfer to one currency if the shares are traded in different currencies
The last column is how many percentages each share occupies of the total portfolio
Thanks to the TradingView team for the unique opportunity!
NVT Ratio: OnchainNVT Ratio
Defined as the ratio of market capitalization divided by transacted volume (in USD).
Network Value to Transactions Ratio (NVT Ratio) is defined as the ratio of market capitalization divided by transacted volume in the specified window.
History
NVT first made an appearance as a tweet on Woo Bull account in Feb 2017. In that tweet he promised an explanatory article which came much later in Oct 2017, first debuting on Forbes.
In Feb 2018, Dimitry Kalichkin published his work to improve NVT for use as a more responsive indicator, hence Kalichkin NVT Signal. In the same month, Woo Bull applied some trader techniques to NVT Signal and published an article summarising how to use it within a trading environment.
Interpretation:
NVT Ratio (Network Value to Transactions Ratio) is similar to the PE Ratio used in equity markets.
this indicator measures whether the blockchain network is overvalued or not.
When Bitcoin`s NVT is high, it indicates that its network valuation is outstripping the value being transmitted on its payment network, this can happen when the network is in high growth and investors are valuing it as a high return investment, or alternatively when the price is in an unsustainable bubble.
High: Overvalued Network worth - Bearish
Marketcap is too much valued compared to the low ability to transact coins in terms of volume
Low : Undervalued Network worth - Bullish
Marketcap is undervalued compared to the high ability to transact coins in terms of volume
Bitcoin OnChain & Other MetricsHi all,
In these troubled times, going back to fundamentals can sometimes be a good idea 😊
I put this one up using data retrieved from “Nasdaq Data Link” and their “Blockchain.com” database.
Here is a good place to analyses some Bitcoin data “outside” its price action with 25 different data sets.
Just go to the settings menu and display the ones you are interested in.
If you want me to add more metrics, feel free to DM or comment below!
Hope you enjoy 😉
