Breakout & Retest Entry Signals & the Break-vs-RetestOVERVIEW
"Wait for the retest" is the most repeated piece of advice in breakout trading. It is also, as far as I can tell, completely untested by the people who repeat it.
This tool settles it — on your instrument, with your settings — by taking BOTH entries on the SAME breaks and grading them against the same control:
PER-TRADE EDGE expectancy vs control · n
Break entry +0.09R +0.02R · n=412
Retest — CLEAN +0.31R +0.02R · n=118
Retest — DEEP -0.04R +0.02R · n=76
clean vs deep (t) 3.41 CLEAN IS BETTER
BUT — HOW OFTEN DO YOU GET IT?
Breaks that ever retested 47.0% (194/412)
after a run of >3 closes 31.2% vs 55.8% otherwise
False-break rate 13.3%
EXPECTED VALUE PER BREAK
Take every break +0.09R (100% of breaks)
Wait for the retest +0.06R (47% of breaks)
VERDICT NO DIFFERENCE — pick either
That last block is the entire point. A better per-trade edge is worthless if you only get the trade half the time — so the WAIT policy is scored as P(retest) x E , because on every break that never retests you get NOTHING. The two are then compared with a significance test, and the verdict is allowed to be "no difference".
It is a research and framing tool. NOT a strategy, NOT a signal service, NOT a validated edge.
WHAT IT ALREADY FOUND — measured live on NIFTY futures
timeframe breaks retested false breaks verdict
1m 334 49.4% 29.6% NO DIFFERENCE
3m 323 53.3% 13.6% NO DIFFERENCE
5m 328 53.4% 14.0% NO DIFFERENCE
15m 306 51.0% 12.7% TAKE THE BREAK
1h 274 50.0% 16.4% NO DIFFERENCE
TWO THINGS JUMP OUT.
The retest rate is 50-53% on every timeframe. Bulkowski, measuring throwbacks across 10,348 chart patterns on US daily stocks, found 50-60%. A completely different market, a completely different method, and the same number. That is a real phenomenon, not an artefact of the detector.
The false-break rate is 26.5% on the 1m and 13-15% everywhere else. THE ONE-MINUTE BREAK IS TWICE AS LIKELY TO BE A LIE. That is not folklore, it is this instrument's own number, and it is exactly the kind of thing a trader should know before choosing a timeframe.
And the verdict, on four of the five: NO DIFFERENCE — pick either. Once the geometry is honest and the test is a real one, the great break-versus-retest argument simply does not resolve on this instrument at most speeds. On the 15m it does resolve — and it says TAKE THE BREAK, which is the opposite of what almost everyone will tell you.
That is what a measurement looks like. It disagrees with the folklore on one timeframe, refuses to take a side on four others, and does not care what you were hoping for. No tool that needs to sell you a signal would ever print "NO DIFFERENCE".
THE ONE THING EVERYONE GETS BACKWARDS
Thomas Bulkowski measured throwbacks and pullbacks across 10,348 chart patterns. His finding:
"Do throwbacks hurt performance? YES: 97% of the time chart patterns with upward breakouts
perform better post-breakout WITHOUT a throwback."
"Do pullbacks hurt performance? YES: 91% of chart pattern types with downward breakouts
perform better if a pullback does NOT occur."
Read that again. The retest is not a gift. It is a SYMPTOM — evidence that the move is weak, that supply came back, that the break did not have the strength to run.
And yet "wait for the retest" is good advice for a completely different reason: it gives you a better price and a tighter stop.
BOTH ARE TRUE AT ONCE. They are two opposing effects on the same trade, and they have never been put on one scale and netted out. That is what this script does. The retest may still win — a better entry can outweigh a weaker move — but nobody has ever checked, and the answer is different on every instrument and every timeframe.
A CLEAN RETEST AND A DEEP ONE ARE NOT THE SAME EVENT
Bulkowski again, and this is his sharpest single finding on the subject: during a throwback, if price REMAINS ABOVE the breakout price the subsequent rise averages 40%. If it drops BELOW the breakout price and then recovers, the rise averages 29%. That is 400 samples versus 2,767.
Pooling those two throws away the strongest signal in the whole idea. So they are separated:
CLEAN retest — price came back and touched the level, but never CLOSED back through it.
DEEP retest — price CLOSED back through the level, then recovered.
They are graded separately, tested against each other, and labelled separately on the chart. If clean beats deep on your instrument, then "wait for the retest" is not one rule — it is two, and only one of them works.
AND CAN YOU SEE IT COMING?
The real, unpriced cost of a WAIT policy is that roughly half the time you never get filled. So it matters enormously whether you can predict which breaks will retest.
Bulkowski found that if price has more than three consecutively higher closes ending the day before the breakout, the throwback probability drops materially. So the panel reports the retest rate SPLIT BY THAT:
after a run of >3 closes 31.2% vs 55.8% otherwise
If the split is real on your instrument, then after a strong run into the break you should simply TAKE IT — because the retest you are waiting for is probably never coming.
IS YOUR VOLUME FILTER EARNING ITS KEEP?
Every trader is taught that a breakout must be confirmed by volume. Bulkowski's volume study says that after an ABOVE-average-volume breakout, FAILURES DOUBLE and the likelihood of a throwback TRIPLES, while the move itself is barely better.
That is testable — but only if the low-volume breaks are allowed into the sample. So VOLUME IS NOT A GATE ON THE RECORD. Every break is recorded; volume gates only the SIGNAL. The panel then reports what your filter is actually worth:
Break ON volume +0.11R n=246
Break OFF volume +0.06R n=166
on vs off (t) 0.82 no difference — it is doing nothing
The record is a fact about the market. The filter is a decision about the trade. They are kept apart, and this is what happens when you stop assuming and start measuring.
IDENTICAL GEOMETRY — and why this is not a detail
The target used to be THE NEXT OPPOSING LEVEL. That quietly destroyed the entire experiment.
The BREAK entry sits PAST the level (it closed through it). The RETEST entry sits BACK AT the level. So the retest is systematically FARTHER from the next opposing level, and was therefore being handed a BIGGER R:R for the SAME RISK — on every single trade, by construction. Live, that produced an R:R of 5.0 on one timeframe and 0.66 on another, and the on-chart key was cheerfully claiming "identical geometry" while the geometry was tilted toward the retest.
The trade now uses a FIXED R multiple, identical for the break, the retest and the control. The next opposing level is still drawn, and still tested — separately, as a descriptive statistic, with its hit rate reported next to its distance in R.
THE ANTI-BIAS GUARDS
ENTRY IS THE CLOSE, for both entries and for the control. Entering the retest AT the level — a better price than the close — while the break enters at its close would hand the retest a free head start on every trade, and settle the oldest argument in trading by rigging it.
THE CONTROL IS DIRECTION-MATCHED. Breaks run with the trend, so a direction-skewed event set measured against a symmetric 50/50 control inherits the drift for free and calls it an edge. Longs are compared only with control longs, shorts only with control shorts, and the control is blended back using the events' OWN direction mix.
EVERY VERDICT IS A TEST, NOT A COMPARISON. Break-vs-wait, clean-vs-deep, volume-on-vs-off — each is a Welch t-test that has to clear |t| > 1.96 before it is allowed to be a finding. For the wait policy, the variance of P(retest) x E is propagated by the delta method, because it is a product of two estimates and both carry error. A verdict that flips on a tenth of an R is not a verdict, it is noise wearing a costume.
Both barriers on one bar: the STOP is assumed first — conservative, and the only assumption that cannot flatter the result. Unresolved trades at the horizon are marked to market, not booked as losses.
THE LEVELS
Levels come from the extrema of a KERNEL-SMOOTHED price series (Nadaraya-Watson) rather than raw pivots, so they track the structure rather than the noise. A break requires a CLOSE beyond the level with displacement, not a wick. A false break is one that closes back inside quickly. All of it is computed on confirmed bars; the kernel is causal and never looks forward.
NON-REPAINT
The kernel confirms an extremum a half-window late, so a level appears some bars AFTER the swing that created it. That lag is the price of not repainting and it is paid deliberately. Levels, breaks, false breaks, retests, signals and every calibration event are computed on CONFIRMED bars only. Nothing is drawn and then moved.
DATA AND SCOPE
Any symbol, any timeframe. ATR-normalised throughout. Volume improves the SIGNAL but is not required, and it never gates the RECORD.
EXPORTS (Data Window — consume from other scripts via input.source())
EXP_Level, EXP_Break, EXP_FalseBreak, EXP_Retest, EXP_Entry, EXP_Stop, EXP_Target, EXP_NextLevel, EXP_WaitEdge
CONCEPT CREDIT
Support/resistance, polarity and the breakout-retest idea are long-standing public trading concepts with no single author; the written tradition runs through Charles Dow, Richard Wyckoff and Edwards & Magee. The formal TRADING-RANGE BREAK was first tested at scale by William Brock, Josef Lakonishok and Blake LeBaron, Journal of Finance 47(5), 1992 — and their results were later shown to be vulnerable to data-snooping (Sullivan, Timmermann and White, 1999), which is exactly why this tool measures the rule on YOUR instrument rather than asserting it.
The throwback and pullback statistics that motivate the clean/deep split, the run-length predictor and the volume test are from Thomas Bulkowski ("Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns"; thepatternsite.com). His numbers are measured on US daily stocks. Whether they hold on YOUR instrument is precisely the question this script exists to answer — and it may well answer "no".
Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression — Nadaraya and Watson (1964); its use for technical pattern recognition — Lo, Mamaysky and Wang, Journal of Finance 55(4), 2000. Triple-barrier forward labelling — Marcos Lopez de Prado. Welch's t-test — B. L. Welch. ATR — J. Welles Wilder.
The break-vs-wait availability weighting, the delta-method significance test, the clean/deep retest split, the volume-filter test and the direction-matched control are the author's own. Clean-room implementation; no third-party Pine code is reused. Not affiliated with, nor endorsed by, any of the above.
HONESTY AND LIMITATIONS
Calibration is IN-SAMPLE, with no costs or slippage, and uses overlapping windows. A proven in-sample edge is NOT a guarantee out-of-sample. Real fills, spreads and commissions will reduce it — and they will hurt the break entry more than the retest entry, because the break enters into momentum.
Bulkowski's throwback statistics are measured on US daily stocks over decades. They are the reason the questions are asked. They are NOT the answer, and this tool will tell you so if your instrument disagrees.
The verdict is allowed to be "NO DIFFERENCE — pick either", and on many instruments it will be. That is a real result. A tool that cannot report its own failure is an advertisement, not a measurement.
Nothing in this script predicts price.
DISCLAIMER
Research and educational tool only. NOT financial advice, NOT a recommendation, and NO guarantee of results. Entry, stop and target output is arithmetic, not advice. Trading carries risk of loss. Test out-of-sample and make your own decisions. The author accepts no liability for any use.
Indikator
True Breakout Pattern [TradingFinder] Breakout Signal Indicator🔵 Introduction
In many market conditions, what initially appears to be a decisive breakout often turns out to be nothing more than a false breakout or fake breakout. Price breaks through a key swing level or an important support and resistance zone, only to quickly return to its previous range.
These failed breakouts, which are often the result of liquidity traps or market manipulation, serve more as a warning sign of structural weakness than confirmation of a new trend.
This indicator is designed around the concept of the fake breakout.
The logic is simple but precise : when price breaks a swing level and returns to that level within a maximum of five candles, the move is considered a false breakout. At this point, a Fibonacci retracement is applied to the recent price swing to evaluate the pullback area.
If price, within ten candles after the return to the breakout level, enters the Fibonacci zone between 0.618 and 1.0, the setup becomes valid for a potential entry. This area is identified as a long entry zone, with the stop loss placed just beyond the 1.0 level and the take profit defined based on the desired risk-to-reward ratio.
By combining accurate detection of false breakouts, analysis of price reaction to swing levels, and alignment with Fibonacci retracement logic, this framework allows traders to identify opportunities often missed by others. In a market where failed breakouts are a common and recurring phenomenon, this indicator aims to transform these traps into measurable trading opportunities.
Long Setup :
Short Setup :
🔵 How to Use
This indicator operates based on the recognition of false breakouts from structural levels in the market, specifically swing levels, and combines that with Fibonacci retracement analysis.
In this strategy, trades are only considered when price returns to the broken level within a defined time window and reacts appropriately inside a predefined Fibonacci range. Depending on the direction of the initial breakout, the system outlines two scenarios for long and short setups.
🟣 Long Setup
In the long setup, price initially breaks below a support level or swing low. If the price returns to the broken level within a maximum of five candles, the move is identified as a fake breakout.
At this stage, a Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the recent high to the low. If price, within ten candles of returning to the level, moves into the 0.618 to 1.0 Fibonacci zone, the conditions for a long entry are met.
The stop loss is placed slightly below the 1.0 level, while the take profit is set based on the trader’s preferred risk-reward ratio. This setup aims to capture deeply discounted entries at low risk, aligned with smart money reversals.
🟣 Short Setup
In the short setup, the price breaks above a resistance level or swing high. If the price returns to that level within five candles, the move is again treated as a false breakout. Fibonacci is then drawn from the recent low to the high to observe the retracement area.
Should price enter the 0.618 to 1.0 Fibonacci range within ten candles of returning, a short entry is considered valid. In this case, the stop loss is placed just above the 1.0 level, and the take profit is adjusted based on the intended risk-reward target. This method allows traders to identify high-probability short setups by focusing on failed breakouts and deep pullbacks.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Logical settings
Swing period : You can set the swing detection period.
Valid After Trigger Bars : Limits how many candles after a fake breakout the entry zone remains valid.
Max Swing Back Method : It is in two modes "All" and "Custom". If it is in "All" mode, it will check all swings, and if it is in "Custom" mode, it will check the swings to the extent you determine.
Max Swing Back : You can set the number of swings that will go back for checking.
🟣 Display settings
Displaying or not displaying swings and setting the color of labels and lines.
🟣 Alert Settings
Alert False Breakout : Enables alerts for Breakout.
Message Frequency : Determines the frequency of alerts. Options include 'All' (every function call), 'Once Per Bar' (first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (final script execution of the real-time bar). Default is 'Once per Bar'.
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : Configures the time zone for alert messages. Default is 'UTC'.
🔵 Conclusion
A sound understanding of the false breakout phenomenon and its relationship to structural price behavior is essential for technical traders aiming to improve precision and consistency. Many poor trading decisions stem from misinterpreting failed breakouts and entering too early into weak signals.
A structured approach, grounded in the analysis of swing levels and validated through specific price action and timing rules, can turn these misleading moves into valuable trade opportunities.
This indicator, by combining fake breakout detection with time filters and Fibonacci-based retracement zones, helps traders only engage with the market when multiple confirming factors are in alignment. The result is a strategy that emphasizes probability, risk control, and clarity in decision-making, offering a solid edge in navigating today’s volatile markets.
Indikator
ICT Setup 04 [TradingFinder] SFP Sweep Liquidity Fake CHoCH/BOS🔵 Introduction
In smart money and ICT based trading, liquidity is never random. Some of the most meaningful market moves begin with a liquidity sweep where price intentionally hunts a previous swing high or swing low to trigger stop loss orders and absorb volume.
This manipulation is often followed by a sharp reversal from a reaction zone, creating ideal conditions for a high probability entry. This indicator is built to detect exactly that. It identifies a valid swing point and defines a reaction zone where price is likely to react.
For short setups, the zone lies between the swing high and the maximum of the candle’s open or close. For long setups, it’s drawn from the swing low to the minimum of the open or close.
When price returns to this zone and forms a qualified confirmation candle typically a doji or a small bodied candle that closes inside the zone while sweeping the liquidity this is a potential sign of reversal.
The candle must show both the sweep and the inability to hold above or below the key level, signaling a fake breakout or failed move. By combining elements of liquidity hunt, reaction zone rejection, and candle based entry confirmation, this tool highlights sniper entry points used by smart money to trap retail traders and reverse the trend. It helps filter out noise and enhances timing, making it ideal for trading in alignment with institutional order flow.
Long Position :
Short Position :
🔵 How to Use
This indicator is designed to highlight precise moments where price sweeps liquidity and reacts within a high probability reversal zone. By identifying clean swing highs and lows and defining a smart reaction zone around them, it filters out weak fakeouts and focuses only on setups with strong institutional footprints.
The tool works best when combined with market structure analysis and is suitable for both scalping and intraday trading. Below is a breakdown of how to interpret the signals for long and short positions based on the visual setups provided.
🟣 Long Setup
In a long setup, the indicator first detects a valid swing low where liquidity has likely accumulated below. A reaction zone is then drawn between the swing low and the minimum of the open or close of the swing candle.
When price returns to this zone, it must sweep the previous low and form a precise confirmation candle, such as a doji or a small bodied candle, that closes inside the zone. This candle must also reject the lower level, showing failure to continue downward.
As shown in the chart, once the liquidity grab is complete and the confirmation candle forms, a clean long signal is issued, indicating a potential bullish reversal backed by smart money behavior.
🟣 Short Setup
In a short setup, the indicator identifies a swing high where buy-side liquidity is resting. It then constructs a reaction zone between the high and the maximum of the open or close of the swing candle. Price must return to this zone, sweep the swing high, and form a bearish confirmation candle inside the zone.
A classic example is a doji or rejection candle that traps breakout buyers and fails to hold above the previous high. In the provided chart, the price aggressively hunts the liquidity above the swing high, but the close within the reaction zone signals exhaustion, prompting a short signal with high reversal probability.
These setups represent moments where price action, liquidity behavior, and candle structure align to offer strong entries. By focusing on clean sweeps and reactive confirmations, the indicator helps traders stay on the side of smart money and avoid common breakout traps.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Logical settings
Swing period : You can set the swing detection period.
Max Swing Back Method : It is in two modes "All" and "Custom". If it is in "All" mode, it will check all swings, and if it is in "Custom" mode, it will check the swings to the extent you determine.
Max Swing Back : You can set the number of swings that will go back for checking.
Maximum Distance Between Swing and Signal :The maximum number of candles allowed between the swing point and the potential signal. The default value is 50, ensuring that only recent and relevant price reactions are considered valid.
🟣 Display settings
Displaying or not displaying swings and setting the color of labels and lines.
🟣 Alert Settings
Alert SFP : Enables alerts for Swing Failure Pattern.
Message Frequency : Determines the frequency of alerts. Options include 'All' (every function call), 'Once Per Bar' (first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (final script execution of the real-time bar). Default is 'Once per Bar'.
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : Configures the time zone for alert messages. Default is 'UTC'.
🔵 Conclusion
This indicator is built for traders who rely on liquidity driven setups and smart money principles. By combining swing structure analysis with precision reaction zones and strict entry confirmation, it isolates the exact moments where price sweeps liquidity and fails to continue. These are high value points where institutional activity often reveals itself, and retail traps unfold.
Unlike generic breakout tools, this script focuses on quality over quantity by requiring both a sweep of a swing high or low and a confirmed rejection candle that closes inside a predefined zone. With customizable swing depth, proximity filters, visual highlights, and alert functions, it offers a complete framework for identifying and acting on fake breakouts with confidence. Whether you trade forex, crypto, or indices, this tool enhances your ability to align with true order flow and take entries where liquidity is most likely to shift.
Indikator
Indikator
Swing Failure Pattern SFP [TradingFinder] SFP ICT Strategy🔵 Introduction
The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), also referred to as a "Fake Breakout" or "False Breakout," is a vital concept in technical analysis. This pattern is derived from classic technical analysis, price action strategies, ICT concepts, and Smart Money Concepts.
It’s frequently utilized by traders to identify potential trend reversals in financial markets, especially in volatile markets like cryptocurrencies and forex. SFP helps traders recognize failed attempts to breach key support or resistance levels, providing strategic opportunities for trades.
The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) is a popular strategy among traders used to identify false breakouts and potential trend reversals in the market. This strategy involves spotting moments where the price attempts to break above or below a previous high or low (breakout) but fails to sustain the move, leading to a sharp reversal.
Traders use this strategy to identify liquidity zones where stop orders (stop hunt) are typically placed and targeted by larger market participants or whales.
When the price penetrates these areas but fails to hold the levels, a liquidity sweep occurs, signaling exhaustion in the trend and a potential reversal. This strategy allows traders to enter the market at the right time and capitalize on opportunities created by false breakouts.
🟣 Types of SFP
When analyzing SFPs, two main variations are essential :
Real SFP : This occurs when the price breaks a critical level but fails to close above it, then quickly reverses. Due to its clarity and strong signal, this SFP type is highly reliable for traders.
Considerable SFP : In this scenario, the price closes slightly above a key level but quickly declines. Although significant, it is not as definitive or trustworthy as a Real SFP.
🟣 Understanding SFP
The Swing Failure Pattern, or False Breakout, is identified when the price momentarily breaks a crucial support or resistance level but cannot maintain the movement, leading to a rapid reversal.
The pattern can be categorized as follows :
Bullish SFP : This type occurs when the price dips below a support level but rebounds above it, signaling that sellers failed to push the price lower, indicating a potential upward trend.
Bearish SFP : This pattern forms when the price surpasses a resistance level but fails to hold, suggesting that buyers couldn’t maintain the higher price, leading to a potential decline.
🔵 How to Use
To effectively identify an SFP or Fake Breakout on a price chart, traders should follow these steps :
Identify Key Levels: Locate significant support or resistance levels on the chart.
Observe the Fake Breakout: The price should break the identified level but fail to close beyond it.
Monitor Price Reversal: After the breakout, the price should quickly reverse direction.
Execute the Trade: Traders typically enter the market after confirming the SFP.
🟣 Examples
Bullish Example : Bitcoin breaks below a $30,000 support level, drops to $29,000, but closes above $30,000 by the end of the day, signaling a Real Bullish SFP.
Bearish Example : Ethereum surpasses a $2,000 resistance level, rises to $2,100, but then falls back below $2,000, forming a Bearish SFP.
🟣 Pros and Cons of SFP
Pros :
Effective in identifying strong reversal points.
Offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Applicable across different timeframes.
Cons :
Requires experience and deep market understanding.
Risk of encountering false breakouts.
Should be combined with other technical tools for optimal effectiveness.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Logical settings
Swing period : You can set the swing detection period.
SFP Type : Choose between "All", "Real" and "Considerable" modes to identify the swing failure pattern.
Max Swing Back Method : It is in two modes "All" and "Custom". If it is in "All" mode, it will check all swings, and if it is in "Custom" mode, it will check the swings to the extent you determine.
Max Swing Back : You can set the number of swings that will go back for checking.
🟣 Display settings
Displaying or not displaying swings and setting the color of labels and lines.
🟣 Alert Settings
Alert SFP : Enables alerts for Swing Failure Pattern.
Message Frequency : Determines the frequency of alerts. Options include 'All' (every function call), 'Once Per Bar' (first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (final script execution of the real-time bar). Default is 'Once per Bar'.
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : Configures the time zone for alert messages. Default is 'UTC'.
🔵 Conclusion
The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP), or False Breakout, is an essential analytical tool that assists traders in identifying key market reversal points for successful trading.
By understanding the nuances between Real SFP and Considerable SFP, and integrating this pattern with other technical analysis tools, traders can make more informed decisions and better manage their trading risks.
Indikator
False Breakouts [TradingFinder] Fake Breakouts Failure🔵 Introduction
Technical indicators are essential tools for analysts and traders in financial markets, helping them predict price movements and make better trading decisions. One of the key concepts in technical analysis that should be carefully considered is the "False Breakout."
This phenomenon occurs when a price temporarily breaks through a significant support or resistance level but fails to hold and quickly returns to its previous range. Understanding this concept and applying it in trading can reduce risks and increase profitability.
🟣 What is a False Breakout?
A Fake Breakout, as the name suggests, refers to a breakout that appears to occur but fails to sustain, leading the price to quickly revert back to its previous range. This situation often happens when inexperienced or non-professional traders, under psychological pressure and eager to enter the market quickly, initiate trades.
This creates opportunities for professional traders to take advantage of these short-term fluctuations and execute successful trades.
🟣 The Importance of Recognizing False Breakouts
Recognizing False Breakouts is crucial for any trader aiming for success in financial markets. False Breakouts typically occur when the market approaches a critical support or resistance level.
In these situations, many traders are waiting to see if the price will break through this level. However, when the price quickly returns to its previous range, it indicates weakness in the movement and the inability to sustain the breakout.
🟣 How to identify False Breakouts?
To identify Fake Breakouts, it is important to carefully analyze price charts and look for signs of a quick price reversal after breaking a key level.
Here are some chart patterns that may help you identify a False Breakout :
1. Pin Bar Pattern : The Pin Bar is a candlestick pattern that indicates a price reversal. This pattern usually appears near support and resistance levels, showing that the price attempted to break through a key level but failed and reversed.
2. Fakey Pattern : This pattern, which consists of several candlesticks, indicates a False Breakout and a quick price return to the previous range. It usually appears near key levels and can signal a trend reversal.
3. Using Multiple Timeframes : One way to identify False Breakouts is by using charts of different timeframes. Sometimes, a breakout on a one-hour chart may be a False Breakout on a daily chart. Analyzing charts across multiple timeframes can help you accurately identify this phenomenon.
🔵 How to Use
Once you identify a False Breakout, you can use it as a trading signal. For this, it is best to look for trading opportunities in the opposite direction of the False Breakout. In other words, if a False Breakout occurs at a resistance level, you might consider selling opportunities, and if it happens at a support level, you might look for buying opportunities.
Here are some key points for trading based on False Breakouts :
1. Patience and Discipline : Patience and discipline are crucial when trading with False Breakouts. Wait for the False Breakout to clearly form before entering a trade.
2. Use Stop Loss : Setting an appropriate stop loss is vital when trading based on False Breakouts. Typically, the stop loss can be placed near the level where the False Breakout occurred.
3. Seek Confirmations : Before entering a trade, look for additional confirmations. These can include other analyses or technical indicators that show the price is likely to return to its previous level.
🔵 Settings
🟣 Logical settings
Swing period : You can set the swing detection period.
Max Swing Back Method : It is in two modes "All" and "Custom". If it is in "All" mode, it will check all swings, and if it is in "Custom" mode, it will check the swings to the extent you determine.
Max Swing Bac k: You can set the number of swings that will go back for checking.
🟣 Display settings
Displaying or not displaying swings and setting the color of labels and lines.
🟣 Alert Settings
Alert False Breakout : Enables alerts for Breakout.
Message Frequency : Determines the frequency of alerts. Options include 'All' (every function call), 'Once Per Bar' (first call within the bar), and 'Once Per Bar Close' (final script execution of the real-time bar). Default is 'Once per Bar'.
Show Alert Time by Time Zone : Configures the time zone for alert messages. Default is 'UTC'.
🔵Conclusion
False Breakouts, as a key concept in technical analysis, are powerful tools for identifying sudden price changes and using them in trading. Understanding this phenomenon and applying it can help traders perform better in financial markets and avoid potential losses.
To benefit from False Breakouts, traders need to carefully analyze charts and use the appropriate analytical tools. By leveraging this strategy, traders can achieve lower-risk and higher-reward trades.
Indikator
Breakout Detector (Previous MTF High Low Levels) [LuxAlgo]The Breakout Detector (Previous MTF High Low Levels) indicator highlights breakouts of previous high/low levels from a higher timeframe.
The indicator is able to: display take-profit/stop-loss levels based on a user selected Win/Loss ratio, detect false breakouts, and display a dashboard with various useful statistics.
Do note that previous high/low levels are subject to backpainting, that is they are drawn retrospectively in their corresponding location. Other elements in the script are not subject to backpainting.
🔶 USAGE
Breakouts occur when the price closes above a previous Higher Timeframe (HTF) High or below a previous HTF Low.
On the advent of a breakout, the closing price acts as an entry level at which a Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) are placed. When a TP or SL level is reached, the SL/TP box border is highlighted.
When there is a breakout in the opposite direction of an active breakout, previous breakout levels stop being updated. Not reaching an SL/TP level will result in a partial loss/win,
which will result in the box being highlighted with a dotted border (default). This can also be set as a dashed or solid border.
Detection of False Breakouts (default on) can be helpful to avoid false positives, these can also be indicative of potential trend reversals.
This indicator contains visualization when a new HTF interval begins (thick vertical grey line) and a dashboard for reviewing the breakout results (both defaults enabled; and can be disabled).
As seen in the example above, the active, open breakout is colored green/red.
You can enable the setting ' Cancel TP/SL at the end of HTF ', which will stop updating previous TP/SL levels on the occurrence of a new HTF interval.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Principles
Every time a new timeframe period starts, the previous high and low are detected of the higher timeframe. On that bar only there won't be a breakout detection.
A breakout is confirmed when the close price breaks the previous HTF high/low
A breakout in the same direction as the active breakout is ignored.
A breakout in the opposite direction stops previous breakout levels from being updated.
Take Profit/Stop Loss, partially or not, will be highlighted in an easily interpretable manner.
🔹 Set Higher Timeframe
There are 2 options for choosing a higher timeframe:
• Choose a specific higher timeframe (in this example, Weekly higher TF on a 4h chart)
• Choose a multiple of the current timeframe (in this example, 75 minutes TF on a 15 min chart - 15 x 5)
Do mind, that when using this option, non-standard TFs can give less desired timeframe changes.
🔹 Setting Win/Loss Levels
The Stop Loss (SL) / Take Profit (TP) setting has 2 options:
W%:L% : A fixed percentage is chosen, for TP and SL.
W:L : In this case L (Loss-part) is set through Loss Settings , W (Win-part) is calculated by multiplying L , for example W : L = 2 : 1, W will be twice as large as the L .
🔹 Loss Settings
The last drawing at the right is still active (colored green/red)
The Loss part can be:
A multiple of the Average True Range (ATR) of the last 200 bars.
A multiple of the Range Cumulative Mean (RCM).
The Latest Swing (with Length setting)
Range Cumulative Mean is the sum of the Candle Range (high - low) divided by its bar index.
🔹 False Breakouts
A False Breakout is confirmed when the price of the bar immediately after the breakout bar returns above/below the breakout level.
🔹 Dashboard
🔶 ALERTS
This publication provides several alerts
Bullish/Bearish Breakout: A new Breakout.
Bullish/Bearish False Breakout: False Breakout detected, 1 bar after the Breakout.
Bullish/Bearish TP: When the TP/profit level has been reached.
Bullish/Bearish Fail: When the SL/stop-loss level has been reached.
Note that when a new Breakout causes the previous Breakout to stop being updated, only an alert is provided of the new Breakout.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Set Higher Timeframe
Option : HTF/Mult
HTF : When HTF is chosen as Option , set the Higher Timeframe (higher than current TF)
Mult : When Mult is chosen as Option , set the multiple of current TF (for example 3, curr. TF 15min -> 45min)
🔹 Set Win/Loss Level
SL/TP : W:L or W%:L%: Set the Win/Loss Ratio (Take Profit/Stop Loss)
• W : L : Set the Ratio of Win (TP) against Loss (SL) . The L level is set at Loss Settings
• W% : L% : Set a fixed percentage of breakout price as SL/TP
🔹 Loss Settings
When W : L is chosen as SL/TP Option, this sets the Loss part (L)
Base :
• RCM : Range Cumulative Mean
• ATR : Average True Range of last 200 bars
• Last Swing : Last Swing Low when bullish breakout, last Swing High when bearish breakout
Multiple : x times RCM/ATR
Swing Length : Sets the 'left' period ('right' period is always 1)
Colours : colour of TP/SL box and border
Borders : Style border when breakout levels stop being updated, but TP/SL is not reached. (Default dotted dot , other option is dashed dsh or solid sol )
🔹 Extra
Show Timeframe Change : Show a grey vertical line when a new Higher Timeframe interval begins
Detect False Outbreak
Cancel TP/SL at end of HTF
🔹 Show Dashboard
Location: Location of the dashboard (Top Right or Bottom Right/Left)
Size: Text size (Tiny, Small, Normal)
See USAGE/DETAILS for more information Indikator
Perpustakaan
Indikator
2B Reversal Pattern (Expo)█ Overview
The 2B reversal pattern , also called the "spring pattern", is a popular chart pattern professional traders use to identify potential trend reversals. It occurs when the price appears to be breaking down or up and then suddenly bounces back up/down, forming a "spring" or "false breakout" pattern. This pattern indicates that the trend is losing momentum and that a reversal is coming.
In a bearish market , the "spring pattern" occurs when the price of an asset breaks below a support level, causing many traders to sell their positions and causing the price to drop even further. However, the selling pressure eases at some point, and the price begins to rebound, "springing" back above the support level. This rebound creates a long opportunity for traders who can enter the market at a lower price.
In a bullish market , the "spring pattern" occurs when the price of an asset breaks above a resistance level, causing many traders to buy into the asset and drive the price up even further. However, the buying pressure eases at some point, and the price begins to decline, "springing" below the resistance level. This decline creates a selling opportunity for traders who can short the market at a higher price.
█ What are the benefits of using the 2B Reversal Pattern?
The benefits of using the 2B Reversal pattern as a trader include identifying potential buying or selling opportunities with reduced risk. By waiting for the price to "spring back" to the initial breakout level, traders can avoid entering the market too soon and minimize the risk of potential losses.
█ How to use
Traders can use the 2B reversal pattern to identify reversals. If the pattern occurs after an uptrend, traders may sell their long positions or enter a short position, anticipating a reversal to a downtrend. If the pattern occurs after a downtrend, traders may sell their short positions or enter a long position, anticipating a reversal to an uptrend.
█ Consolidation Strategy
First, traders should identify a period of price consolidation or a trading range where the price has been trading sideways for some time. The key feature of the "spring pattern" is a sudden, sharp move downward/upwards through the lower/upper boundary of this trading range, often accompanied by high volume.
However, instead of continuing to move lower/higher, the price then quickly recovers and moves back into the trading range, often on low volume. This quick recovery is the "spring" part of the pattern and suggests that the market has rejected the lower/higher price and that buying/selling pressure is building.
Traders may use the "spring pattern" as a signal to buy/sell the asset, suggesting strong demand/supply for the stock at the lower/higher price level. However, as with all trading strategies, it is important to use other indicators and to manage risk to minimize potential losses carefully.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes! Indikator
False Breakout (Expo)█ Overview
False Breakout (Expo) is an indicator that detects false breakouts in real-time. A false breakout occurs when the price moves through a certain level but doesn't continue to accelerate in that direction. This is because the price does not have enough momentum and the buying interest at this level is not high enough to keep pushing the price in that direction. Instead, the market reverses! All breakout traders are now forced to close their positions at a loss. However, contrarian traders that have identified this false breakout do get a perfect entry for a great reversal trade!
False Breakout is one of the most important price action trading patterns to learn because it can help traders understand whether a breakout is valid or false.
█ How to use
Identify False Breakouts
Identify Reversal trades
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes! Indikator
Indikator
stop out or margin call price levelsAbstract
This script finds the potential stop out or margin call price levels without considering timeframe.
This script computes stop out or margin call price levels that over leveraged positions buy cheap enough.
You can use this indicator to follow stop hunters.
Introduction
Stop hunting exists because of benefit conflict.
When most of retails traders are in the correct direction, big banks do not want to buy more expensive then retail traders.
Therefore, Big banks create sell pressure to make retail traders misunderstand their trade decisions are wrong.
When retail traders decide to cut loss, it is time big banks buy cheaper.
Many courses recommend average true range as a stop loss reference.
However, in different timeframe, average true ranges are different.
Therefore, we need to have a method to measure potential stop hunting levels which is not relative to timeframe.
There is a method because there are observable levels where over leveraged positions must cut loss.
For example, for a 100 leverage position, its margin call level is 0.005, so 0.005 drawdown is a potential stop hunting level.
Computing
For buy
potential stop out or margin call price level = low * ( 1 - ratio )
For sell
potential stop out or margin call price level = high * ( 1 + ratio )
Parameters
There are 4 levels available for adjusting.
The default values are :
(1) 0.001 : 500 leverage , 50% margin call
(2) 0.0025 : 200 leverage , 50% margin call
(3) 0.005 : 100 leverage , 50% margin call
(4) 0.010 : 50 leverage , 50% margin call
Usage
(1) Find an oversold price level. If you don't want to use an another indicator, you can use previous low.
(2) Memorize their stop out or margin call price levels of that level.
(2) Consider buy near those levels.
(3) If there are quick price rejection near those levels, better entry opportunities.
(4) Take profit and stop loss : you decide.
Conclusion
This script can find potential stop out or margin call price levels that over leveraged positions buy cheap enough.
If you are bored, you can consider find 100 signals you are interested in and share your observation.
Reference
Brokers, leverage and margin call threshold
Indikator
False BreakoutA false breakout is when the price temporarily moves above or below a key support or resistance level, but then later retreats back to the same side as it started.
The “False Breakout” indicator reveals false breakouts in comparison to the previous candle.
In case we're looking to trade the stock for long this would mean that the price of the stock broke the previous low (support) and then got back above that low.
In case we're looking to trade the stock for short then a false breakout would mean the stock broke the previous high (resistance) and then got back below that high.
How to use the indicator?
First choose the direction you're looking to trade, meaning either long or short.
Then choose how strict you want to be about the Falls brakes.
There are three options:
The first option named “All“ means that it's enough that the stock broke the previous level and then get back to the original side.
The second option is “Supporting Change” meaning not only that the stock broke the previous key level (support or resistance), but also the change at the end of the candle is supporting the main direction - meaning the change is positive for long or negative for short.
The third option is “Engulfing”. This is a well-known candle, but to make it clear, in our case “Engulfing” means that not only the stock broke the previous level but it also ended the day on the other side of the candle - higher than the previous high, in case of long, and lower than the previous low, in case of short.
When you choose the level of strictness you determine how many indications you're going to get on the chart.
If you choose the highest level of strictness, meaning “Engulfing”, you would only see the red flags indicating engulfing candles.
If you choose the lowest level of strictness, meaning “All”, you will get more indications on your chart, including every false breakout.
When the direction you're looking for is long, all indications would appear below the candles.
When the direction you're looking for is short, then all indications would appear above the candles.
The Engulfing candles are represented by Red flags, and the Simple breakouts candles are represented by yellow. All colors may be adjusted to your preference.
Explaining the example above:
In the chart above we can see two consolidations. At the end of each consolidation, we can see a candle with an indication from the indicator that points out that this could be the end of the consolidation and the stock might continue its move.
In “consolidation 1” we can see that there is an orange flag below the candle right before the stock began to move up again.
In “consolidation 2” we can see that there is a red flag below the candle, right before the stock began another move.
Wishing you all the best :) Indikator
Indikator
