{Gunzo} Stock to Flow (Gold, Silver, Dollar, Bitcoin)This indicator displays the Stock to Flow (S2F) ratio for popular commodities (Gold, Silver, Dollar, Euro, Bitcoin, Ethereum) in order to
compare them and determine which ones could be a good Store of Value (SoV).
OVERVIEW :
Stock to Flow is a popular indicator used to predict commodities scarcity. It evaluates the total stock of a commodity against the total amount that can be produced during a year. This model supposes that if scarcity is increasing, the price is going to increase.
This model has been used over the last years on Bitcoin to determine if the asset was undervalued or overvalued, and even make prediction models on the future price.
This script is going to focus on the Stock to Flow ratio (total stock/amount produced) to compare the following assets over time :
Mining resources (mined) for Gold and Silver
Cryptos assets (mined) for Bitcoin and Ethereum
FIAT currencies (banknotes printed) for Dollar and Euro
CALCULATION :
The calculation of the Stock to Flow ratio evaluates the total stock of a commodity produced against the production made for a specific year. The data is calculated on a yearly basis, then interpolated to get monthly or daily values.
DATA ORIGIN :
The main information needed to calculate the Stock to Flow ratio is the "yearly production" of a commodity. I tried to retrieve that information from the most reliable sources :
for Gold from research on www.gold.org
for Silver from research on www.silverinstitute.org
for Ethereum from research on etherscan.io
for Bitcoin from data source "QUANDL:BCHAIN/TOTBC" from www.quandl.com
for Dollar from research on www.federalreserve.gov
for Euro from research on www.ecb.europa.eu
SETTINGS :
Smoothing for interpolated data : Smoothing factor for assets that are calculated yearly and then interpolated (Gold, Silver, Dollar, Euro, and Ethereum)
Smoothing for non interpolated data : Smoothing factor for assets that are calculated daily and not interpolated (Bitcoin)
Display asset names : Display assets names in a colored rectangle on the right side of the chart
Display asset values : Display assets Stock to Flow ratio in a colored rectangle on the right side of the chart
Display key events for assets : Display important events for the assets at the bottom of the chart using the same color as the assets lines (for example Orange diamond is a Bitcoin halving). Please refer to the script code for the details of all events.
USAGE :
This script can be used on any asset available on TradingView as the data used is either static or external.
However I recommend using it the Gold asset from currency.com as the depth of the chart will be bigger (since 1980s).
It is recommended to used this script on the monthly timeframe as the chart data is calculated yearly and then interpolated.
Komoditas
Lumber to Gold ratioDISCRIPTION:-
Lumber to gold ratio helps to predict up upcomming market correction as investors are flocking towards safe heaven.
USE CASE SCENARIO:-
If the ratio is above the zero horizontal line it is a risk of scenario
If the ratio plunge below zero it might show imminent market correction.
Sideways detection bollinger bandsSideways detection indicator using Bollinger bands .
In this case we take the original ratio between lower and upper and we smooth it even harder in order to get a better idea about the accuracy of the trend.
If the initial ratio is not between 0 and 1 and the smooth ratio is higher than our selected value, we get an idea if we are a in trending market or not.
Of course using it as a standalone has no usage, and it has to be combined with other tools like moving average, oscillators and so on.
IF you have any questions let me know
[astropark] Moon Phases [alarms]Dear Followers,
today I'm glad to present you an indicator which calculates Moon Phases and let's you set an alert over it.
This is a public free indicator based on the public one by @paaax:
I added my usual alert system logic, plus some more customization inputs for easy coloring.
The lower the timeframe you use it and set your alerts on, the more precise the alert value you get.
Here below the script for backtesting it:
Enjoy!
-- astropark
SWING for GOLD / BITCOIN Hey everyone
I want to share my swing trading system with you.Based on two moving averages coupled to RSI
The options
Shows current trends and entries for trades. Average trade retention 15-20 days
Entries for trades with a crossover of two lines
The percentage of successful test deals XAU/USD for 2010-2021: 69%
[RickAtw] ZONE Trend 3█ OVERVIEW
This indicator tracks current trends. Trends are determined by the zones created for them, the brighter the zone, the higher the probability of a market reversal.
█ FEATURES
The indicator adapts to any market.
You can set your own values for your system
Any timeframe can be used
You can increase the number of zones
█ HOW TO USE
If the market starts to enter the red zone, open buy and hold until the second or third zone.
If the market moves towards the blue zone, we sells and hold until the next zone.
█ The author of the work
Rick Atwood
Financial Astrology Moon LongitudeMoon energy represent the masses, crowds, public places, children and emotions. The transit of the Moon through the zodiacal signs will color the crowd emotional responses that fluctuate based on the elemental qualities of the signs: fire (energetic and impulsive), earth (rigid, static, patient), water (assimilation, transformation, humor fluctuations), air (expansion, fervent, germination).
The daily average speed of the Moon is 13 degrees, for this reason the emotional elemental energy is transforming in average every 2 days and few hours, this mood fluctuations produces the short term instinctive and emotional actions performed by traders that forget the precise mathematical / statistical approach in favor of irrational and emotional impulses.
Based on statistical buy/sell frequency analysis we discovered that for BTC-USD, the Moon is usually bullish in zodiac signs: Aries, Libra, Scorpio, Aquarius and Pisces, the most relevant bullish sign is "Aquarius", from 206 observations in all the BTC-USD price history where Moon was in this sign the 60% of those days the price increased compared to the previous day. The bearish zodiac signs for BTC-USD are: Taurus, Cancer, Leo, Sagittarius and Capricorn, the most relevant bearish sign is "Capricorn".
Interestingly this zodiac sign locations tends to fluctuate during some periods of time and from the last 10 observations of the Moon transiting through Aries we noted that 7 of the 10 observations coincide with a dip, sometimes the Moon in Aries indicate the reversal of the short term trend, this is kind of expected considering that when Moon approaches Taurus the fall becomes more likely due to the fact that Moon in Taurus is a bearish signal.
With this indicator there is unlimited possibilities to explore across different markets and complementing with Moon phases this may be the perfect financial astrology indicator for those intraday traders that keep positions only for few hours.
We encourage you to analyze the Moon zodiac sign cycles in different markets and share with us your observations, leave us a comment with your research outcomes. Happy trading!
Note: The Moon longitude indicator is based on an ephemeris array that covers years 2010 to 2030, prior or after this years the longitude is not available, this daily ephemeris are based on UTC time so in order to align properly with the price bars times you should set UTC as your chart reference timezone.
Swing or scalping GOLD [RickAtwood] Swing or scalping - automatically determine the currently active trends. Various moving averages are used. It is also designed for any type of trader from scalping to swing.
The key 3 moving averages are designed to identify support and resistance. If the price bounces off them, boldly open and place a stop of 10-20 pips(currency pairs)
Functional
buy ---> green candles
sell ----> red candles
There are alerts for buy and sell based on crossovers
If the price is above the cloud then buy. If the price is below the cloud then sell. The main thing is to open deals only at the very beginning when the price starts to leave the cloud. Also, your stops will be minimal.
When testing this system, we opened 750 trades manually. Success rate of 71% for currency pairs and for gold
P.s If you have any questions about how to open, how to close deals. Always write to me, I will help you) Success to all.
T3 Gold Sniper [RickAtw]Gold Sniper based on support and resistance looks for a sniper entry for trades. Used together with EMA
Key signal
Buy ------> Green Line
Sell ------> Red Line
Functional
The system was made for gold and everything is tuned for it.
I am a professional investor and I test each system for how long. If the system makes an income, it gets to my page. Use it for gold, cryptocurrencies and pairs AUD/USD GBP/USD
Full CRYPTO pack macd, rsi, obv, ema alert versionThis is the indicator version of a simple, yet very efficient crypto strategy, adapted to 4h time frame, on big coins like ETH and BTC . However it can be adapted to other markets, timeframes etc
For this strategy I use a combination of a trend line , an oscillator, price action and volume .
This study has alert for both long and short entries/exit.
The rules are the next ones:
Long : we check that current candle is ascending and above the moving average, the macd is in positive range, rsi is below overbought level and volume is bigger than the moving avg of volume .
For short, we have the opposite long rules.
If you have any questions, please let me know !
Full CRYPTO pack macd, rsi, obv, ema strategyThis is a simple, yet very efficient crypto strategy, adapted to 4h time frame, on big coins like ETH and BTC. However it can be adapted to other markets, timeframes etc
For this strategy I use a combination of a trend line, an oscillator, price action and volume.
This strategy has both the opportunity to go long and short.
As well, it has a leverage simulator .
The rules are the next ones:
Long : we check that current candle is ascending and above the moving average, the macd is in positive range, rsi is below overbought level and volume is bigger than the moving avg of volume.
For short, we have the opposite long rules.
If you have any questions, please let me know !
[RickAtw] T2 Trend Signal GOLDTrend gold signal Ema strategy
The system finds the best entries for a trade. Use in gold, all numbers have been customized for it.
Functional
T2 trend gold is the second version of my trading system. Be sure to check out the first part! This system gives a signal earlier.
Key signals
Buy -----> Blue triangle to buy
Sell -----> Red triangle to sell
Remarks
I personally tested this system on my own trading and it helps me find entries for deals. The main thing is, if consolidation has begun, turn off the system, because the trading range is small at this moment, use oscillators
Thanks to everyone who supports me. Good luck to you friends
Rate ConverterThis is a simple rate converter that can convert almost anything into almost anything else. It supports cryptocurrencies, currencies and most commodities.
On the chart we see the following:
USD (US Dollar) into EUR (Euro) as a candle stick chart
WTICO (West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil) into ISK (Icelandic Krona) as a bar chart
ADA (Cardano) into JMD (Jamaican Dollar) as a line chart
XPT (Platinum) into XAG (Silver) as a scatter plot
It supports plotting the rates as japanese candlesticks, bars, lines, or as a scatter plot.
XAU/USD RSI EMA 1hour strategyThis is a strategy made for gold 1h.
Its made of RSI and EMA .
The rules are simple we are above ema and the rsi > oversold area we enter long. For short we are belowe ema and rsi < oversold area
IF you have any questions private message me !
Buy - Take Profit OR Stop Loss % BasedScript looks back for a certain period of time and than enter when price close above that look back period ema. Once enter it does not care for how many times price cross above or below. Once entered, it will either hit percenatage based take profit of stop loss.
gold price levels denominated in usd/gramsPlots the gold price (USD) for the quantities (grams) identified as support or resistance in the indicator settings. Default values are:
75 gold grams
300 gold grams
500 gold grams
1000 gold grams
5000 gold grams
More context: The purchasing power of Bitcoin
Precious Metal RatiosThis is a script that shows the ratios of precious metals, including Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, Copper, Aluminum, and Steel.
You can choose your desired base currency and quote currency. The default ratio is Gold/Silver, where Gold is the base currency and Silver is the quote.
To use, just select your current timeframe from the menu.
Includes an option for repainting -- default value is true, meaning the script will repaint the current bar.
False = Not Repainting = Value for the current bar is not repainted, but all past values are offset by 1 bar.
True = Repainting = Value for the current bar is repainted, but all past values are correct and not offset by 1 bar.
In both cases, all of the historical values are correct, it is just a matter of whether you prefer the current bar to be realistically painted and the historical bars offset by 1, or the current bar to be repainted and the historical data to match their respective price bars.
As explained by TradingView,`f_security()` is for coders who want to offer their users a repainting/no-repainting version of the HTF data.
Amazing strategy for silver -XAGUSD, XAGEUR etcToday I bring an amazing strategy that works for 1h time frames for silver.
Its made of price actions movement combined together with MACD and simple moving average
It does not use neither stop loss/take profit levels. Instead it will always exit at the next candle after it opens a trade.
The rules are the next one :
For short condition : we have a bull candle, and candle is above the moving average, and MACD histogram is > 0 and last high0 and candle close > last high1 and, previus high1 and candle close > last high2
At the same time, viceversa for long condition.
In development terms, this is the formula
long1 = (close > open ) and time_cond and close > out and hist > 0 and hist > hist and high > high and high > high and close > high and close > high and close > high
short1 = (close < open) and time_cond and close < out and hist < 0 and hist < hist and low < low and low < low and close < low and close < low and close < low
But when we enter the trade, we enter in reverse, like lets say we go long -> for this we apply the short1 condition. If we go short we apply the long1 condition.
If you have any questions , please let me know .
Total Inflation ModelMeasure of the total economy wide inflation of the US Dollar.
Total Inflation = growth rate of money supply / economic output
XAGUSD Long/Short Signal ~ By: Sarp GokdagAbout the Oscillator :
The Rex Oscillator is a study that measures market behavior based on the relationship of the close to the open, high and low values of the same bar. The theory behind the Rex Oscillator is that a big difference between the high and close on a bar indicates weakness. Conversely, wide disparity between the low and close indicates strength. The difference between open and close also indicates market performance.
The True Value of a Bar (TVB) gives us an indication of how healthy the market is. It is possible to have a negative close and a positive TVB, and vice versa. This indicates that the market is building strength on the opposing side of the trend. The Rex Oscillator is a moving average of the TVB, indicating the inertia of the market. When the Rex Oscillator turns positive in a bearish trend, a reversal is indicated. Likewise, Rex turning negative in a bull market indicates a reversal to the downside.
When the Rex Oscillator turns positive in a bearish trend, a reversal is indicated. Likewise, Rex turning negative in a bull market indicates a reversal to the downside.
The REX Strategy goes long when the REX line of the REX Oscillator crosses above the Signal line and Short when the REX line crosses below the Signal line. The strategy is a reversal strategy through the use of the 'Cover and go Long' and 'Close and go Short' Actions. The REX Oscillator properties of Period' and Signal' can be changed for testing purposes using the available Rex1 'Factor.'
The blue line indicates the difference between the Rex MA and the Signal.
If the blue line crosses above "0", go Long.
If the blue line crosses below "0", go Short.
To achieve best results from this strategy, set your chart range minimum 4hrs, max 1 Day.
The above references an opinion and is for information purposes only. It is not intended to be investment advice. Seek a duly licensed professional for investment advice.
Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index by DGTPsychology of a Market Cycle - Where are we in the cycle?
Before proceeding with the question "where", let's first have a quick look at "What is market psychology?"
Market psychology is the idea that the movements of a market reflect the emotional state of its participants. It is one of the main topics of behavioral economics - an interdisciplinary field that investigates the various factors that precede economic decisions. Many believe that emotions are the main driving force behind the shifts of financial markets and that the overall fluctuating investor sentiment is what creates the so-called psychological market cycles - which is also dynamic.
Stages of Investor Emotions:
* Optimism – A positive outlook encourages us about the future, leading us to buy stocks.
* Excitement – Having seen some of our initial ideas work, we begin considering what our market success could allow us to accomplish.
* Thrill – At this point we investors cannot believe our success and begin to comment on how smart we are.
* Euphoria – This marks the point of maximum financial risk. Having seen every decision result in quick, easy profits, we begin to ignore risk and expect every trade to become profitable.
* Anxiety – For the first time the market moves against us. Having never stared at unrealized losses, we tell ourselves we are long-term investors and that all our ideas will eventually work.
* Denial – When markets have not rebounded, yet we do not know how to respond, we begin denying either that we made poor choices or that things will not improve shortly.
* Fear – The market realities become confusing. We believe the stocks we own will never move in our favor.
* Desperation – Not knowing how to act, we grasp at any idea that will allow us to get back to breakeven.
* Panic – Having exhausted all ideas, we are at a loss for what to do next.
* Capitulation – Deciding our portfolio will never increase again, we sell all our stocks to avoid any future losses.
* Despondency – After exiting the markets we do not want to buy stocks ever again. This often marks the moment of greatest financial opportunity.
* Depression – Not knowing how we could be so foolish, we are left trying to understand our actions.
* Hope – Eventually we return to the realization that markets move in cycles, and we begin looking for our next opportunity.
* Relief – Having bought a stock that turned profitable, we renew our faith that there is a future in investing.
It's hard to predict with certainty where we exactly are in the market cycle, we can only make an educated guess as to the rough stage based on data available. And here comes the study "Trading Psychology - Fear & Greed Index"
Factors taken into account in this study include:
1-Price Momentum : Price Divergence/Convergence versus its Slow Moving Average
2-Strenght : Rate of Return (RoR) also called Return on Investment (ROI) is a performance measure used to evaluate the efficiency of an investment, net gain or loss of an investment over a specified time period, the rate of change in price movement over a period of time to help investors determine the strength
3-Money Flow : Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a technical analysis indicator used to measure Money Flow Volume over a set period of time. CMF can be used as a way to further quantify changes in buying and selling pressure and can help to anticipate future changes and therefore trading opportunities. CMF calculations is based on Accumulation/Distribution
4-Market Volatility : CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the Volatility Index, or VIX, is a real-time market index that represents the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility. Derived from the price inputs of the S&P 500 index options, it provides a measure of market risk and investors' sentiments. It is also known by other names like "Fear Gauge" or "Fear Index." Investors, research analysts and portfolio managers look to VIX values as a way to measure market risk, fear and stress before they take investment decisions
5-Safe Haven Demand : in this study GOLD demand is assumed
What to look for :
*Fear and Greed Index as explained above,
*Divergencies
Tool tip of the label displayed provides details of references
Conclusion:
As investors, we always get caught up in the day to day price movements, and lose sight of the bigger picture. The biggest crashes happen not when investors are cautious and fearful, it's when they're euphoric and expecting financial instruments to continue going higher. So as we continue investing, don’t forget to stop and ask yourself, where in the chart do you think we are right now? The Market Psychology Cycle shines light on how emotions evolve, fear and greed index can come in handy, provided that it is not the only tool used to make investment decisions. It is easy to look back at market cycles and recognize how the overall psychology changed. Analyzing previous data makes it obvious what actions and decisions would have been the most profitable. However, it is much harder to understand how the market is changing as it goes - and even harder to predict what comes next. Many investors use technical analysis (TA) to attempt to anticipate where the market is likely to go. Investors are advised to keep tabs on fear for potential buying the dips opportunities and view periods of greed as a potential indicator that financial instruments might be overvalued.
Warren Buffett's quote, buy when others are fearful, and sell when others are greedy
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
Disclaimer : The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
Intraday BUY/SELLBUY & SELL Scalp Signals for Crude Oil Future Contracts (Or it can be used with any scrip with good amount of Volume) based on Sma & RSI overbought/oversold alert (!) for possible reversal indication.
Take Buy position only if candle breaks the high of alert candle & for Sell positions, take position if candle breaks low of the alert candle.
Best to perform with 3 min timeframe on Crude Oil Futures
Borsa İstanbul Correlation Analysis&Center of Gravity IndicatorFormula Used :
COG = SUM of closing prices Pn x (n+1) / Sum of closing prices Pn
