Blockchain Fundamentals: Liquidity Cycle MomentumLiquidity Cycle Momentum Indicator
Overview:
This indicator analyzes global liquidity trends by calculating a unique Liquidity Index and measuring its year-over-year (YoY) percentage change. It then applies a momentum oscillator to the YoY change, providing insights into the cyclical momentum of liquidity. The indicator incorporates a limited historical data workaround to ensure accurate calculations even when the chart’s history is short.
Features Breakdown:
1. Limited Historical Data Workaround
Function: The limit(length) function adjusts the lookback period when there isn’t enough historical data (i.e., near the beginning of the chart), ensuring that calculations do not break due to insufficient data.
2. Global Liquidity Calculation
Data Sources:
TVC:CN10Y (10-year yield from China)
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
ECONOMICS:USCBBS (US Central Bank Balance Sheet)
FRED:JPNASSETS (Japanese assets)
ECONOMICS:CNCBBS (Chinese Central Bank Balance Sheet)
FRED:ECBASSETSW (ECB assets)
Calculation Methodology:
A ratio is computed (cn10y / dxy) to adjust for currency influences.
The Liquidity Index is then derived by multiplying this ratio with the sum of the other liquidity components.
3. Year-over-Year (YoY) Percent Change
Computation:
The indicator determines the number of bars that approximately represent one year.
It then compares the current Liquidity Index to its value one year ago, calculating the YoY percentage change.
4. Momentum Oscillator on YoY Change
Oscillator Components:
1. Calculated using the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) applied to the YoY percent change with a user-defined momentum length.
2. A weighted moving average (WMA) that smooths the momentum signal.
3. Overbought and Oversold zones
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the momentum crosses upward from an oversold condition, suggesting a potential upward shift in liquidity momentum.
Sell Signal: Triggered when crosses below an overbought condition, indicating potential downward momentum.
State Management:
The indicator maintains a state variable to avoid repeated signals, ensuring that a new buy or sell signal is only generated when there’s a clear change in momentum.
5. Visual Presentation and Alerts
Plots:
The oscillator value and signalline are plotted for visual analysis.
Overbought and oversold levels are marked with dashed horizontal lines.
Signal Markers:
Buy and sell signals are marked with green and maroon circles, respectively.
Background Coloration:
Optionally, the chart’s background bars are colored (yellow for buy signals and fuchsia for sell signals) to enhance visual cues when signals are triggered.
Conclusion
In summary, the Liquidity Cycle Momentum Indicator provides a robust framework to analyze liquidity trends by combining global liquidity data, YoY changes, and momentum oscillation. This makes it an effective tool for traders and analysts looking to identify cyclical shifts in liquidity conditions and potential turning points in the market.
Btctrend
BTC Arcturus IndicatorBTC Arcturus Indicator: This indicator is designed to create buy and sell signals based on the market value of Bitcoin. It also predicts potential market tops with the Pi Cycle Top indicator.
How Does It Work?
1. MVRVZ (Market Value to Realized Value-Z Score) Calculation:
MC: Bitcoin's market cap (Market Cap) is pulled daily from Glassnode data.
MCR: Realized Market Cap of Bitcoin is taken daily from Coinmetrics data.
MVRVZ: It is calculated by dividing the difference between Bitcoin's market value and realized market value by one standard deviation. This value indicates whether the market is overvalued or undervalued.
2. Reception and Warning Signals:
Buy Signal: When MVRVZ falls below the -0.255 threshold value, the indicator gives a "Buy" signal. This indicates that Bitcoin is undervalued and may be a buying opportunity.
Warning Signal: A warning signal turns on when MVRVZ exceeds the threshold value of 2.765. This indicates that the market is approaching saturation and caution is warranted.
3. Tracking the Highest MVRVZ Value:
The indicator records the highest MVRVZ value in the last 10 candlesticks. This value is used to determine whether the market has reached its highest risk levels.
4. Warning Display:
If the MVRVZ value matches the highest value in the last 10 bars and this warning has not been displayed before, a "Warning" signal is displayed.
Once the warning signal is shown, no further warnings are shown for 10 candles.
5. Pi Cycle Top Indicator:
Pi Cycle Top: This indicator predicts Bitcoin tops by comparing two moving averages (350-day and 111-day). If the short-term moving average falls below the long-term moving average, this is considered a sell signal.
The indicator displays this signal with the label "Sell", indicating a potential market top.
User Guide:
Green Buy Signal: It means Bitcoin is cheap and offers a buying opportunity.
Yellow Warning Signal: Indicates that Bitcoin has reached possible profit taking points and caution should be exercised.
Red Sell Signal: Indicates that Bitcoin has reached market saturation and it may be appropriate to sell.
Percent Rank HistogramThis Pine script indicator is designed to create a visual representation of the percent rank for multiple financial instruments. Here's a breakdown of its key features:
Percent Rank Calculation:
The core functionality of this Pine script indicator revolves around the calculation of the percent rank for each selected financial instrument.
The percent rank is a statistical measure that indicates the percentage of historical data points that are less than or equal to the current value in a given series.
Symbol Selection:
The script allows the user to select up to 10 financial instruments (tickers) for analysis. The default symbols include various cryptocurrencies such as BTCUSD, ETHUSD etc., and TOTAL market cap at ticker 1, to show overal trend of crypto market.
(Top 9 Coins by market cap).
Columns and Colors:
The script visually represents the percent rank using columns based on lines.
The color of each column is determined by a gradient from red to green based on the calculated percent rank, providing a quick visual indication of the instrument's relative performance.
BTC Trending Up while other coins are underperformance:
Labels:
Labels are displayed on the chart, indicating the symbol name and the corresponding percent rank percentage.
The labels include directional arrows (▲ or ▼) to denote whether the percent rank is increasing or decreasing.
Customization:
Users can customize parameters such as the percent rank length and column width to adapt the indicator to their specific preferences, or select needed assets to compare them to each other.
Chart Desk and Scales:
The script includes the visualization of a chart desk with scale lines to provide additional context to the chart. When Percent Rank above middle scale line (50) usually it signaling about asset trending up and below 50 asset trending down.
Mozilla Public License:
The script is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
This indicator is useful for traders and analysts interested in visually assessing the percent rank of multiple financial instruments simultaneously, helping them identify potential opportunities or trends in the market.
KAYA_TRENDThis is a trend indicator created for follow trend. You can follow trend from candle colors.
Lime = Bullish Trend
Red = Bearish Trend
Yellow = Trend is turning. Or trend is weakening.
Also you I added 1000 period LSMA with ATR bands for understanding trend.
If have a question please comment below.