DashBoard Alt Season by KziHere is a Dashboard to have an overview of the Alt Season oportunity.
Multiple time frame (Month / Week / Daily /4H)
How to use it?
You have 4 columns
TOTAL Crypto / Btc dominance / Btc Price / Alt ?
The alt? column is the resulte of the price and dominance of btc + 1 point with the total crypto
BTC Dominance UP ? Yes = Négatif for ALTS
/// Btc Price UP ?= > Yes = Positif for ALTS
NO = super négatif for ALTS
No = Positif for ALTS
/// Btc Price UP ?= > Yes = super Positif for ALTS
NO = Neutral
The total market just smooth the total.
If Alt columm is Green= It's OK
If Alt columm is orange = carrefull
If Alt Columm is red = leave the alt
You have to considered that you look on the time frame where you want to trade.
The overtime frame help to understand the bigger view.
Hop you like it and give comment to help the évolutions.
BTC-M
MicroStrategy MetricsA script showing all the key MSTR metrics. I will update the script every time degen Saylor sells some more office furniture to buy BTC.
All based around valuing MSTR, aside from its BTC holdings. I.e. the true market cap = enterprise value - BTC holdings. Hence, you're left with the value of the software business + any premium/discount decided by investors.
From this we can derive:
- BTC Holdings % of enterprise value
- Correlation to BTC (in this case we use CME futures...may change this)
- Equivalent Share Price (true market cap divided by shares outstanding)
- P/E Ratio (equivalent share price divided by quarterly EPS estimates x 4)
- Price to FCF Ratio (true market cap divided by FCF (ttm))
- Price to Revenue (^ but with total revenue (ttm))
TrendTracers Bitcoin Stock to Flow ModelFor the best results, make sure to view this indicator on a bitcoin chart with a very long history (e.g. BNC:BLX)!
This model treats Bitcoin as being comparable to commodities such as gold, silver or platinum. These are known as ‘store of value’ commodities because they retain value over long time frames due to their relative scarcity. It is difficult to significantly increase their supply i.e. the process of searching for gold and then mining it is expensive and takes time. Bitcoin is similar because it is also scarce. In fact, it is the first-ever scarce digital object to exist. There are a limited number of coins in existence and it will take a lot of electricity and computing effort to mine the remaining coins still to be mined, therefore the supply rate is consistently low.
The stock-to-flow model predicts value changes in a straightforward manner. It compares an asset’s current stock to the rate of new production, or how much is produced in a year.
Calculation:
Take bitcoin production in a period, divide it by that period and then multiply by 365 to get the estimated yearly production and then calculate the stock to flow.
yearlyFlow = ((stockChange) / period ) * 365
stockToFlow = (stock - missingBitcoins) / yearlyFlow
Model Value = -1.84ᵉ * stockToFlow³.³⁶ (mathematical model to calculate the model price)
For more information about the calculations followed: stats.buybitcoinworldwide.com
Features:
Works on the Daily, Weekly and Monthly Timeframe.
Allows you to adjust between a 10-day period and a 463-day period.
Has the option to account for missing bitcoins, lets you adjust the amount of missing bitcoins.
The ability to toggle a standard deviation of the Model Value with a multiplier of 1, 2 or 3
Displays a Stock to Flow Deviation Ratio: If the Deviation Ratio is close to 0 it means the price of Bitcoin is close to the Model Value Line(or Stock to Flow Ratio). If the Deviation Ratio is close to 1 or -1, it means the price of bitcoin is near the selected deviation levels.
You can toggle between the Overlay version and the Oscillator version, default is on Oscillator version. If you want to switch: Untick Oscillator mode in the indicator settings, click on the three dots and select "move to existing pane above". Then click on the three dots again and select Pin to scale A. Done!
As a bonus: Now you can toggle a "1-year Realized Price" graph, while it's not officially part of the Stock to Flow Model it does share similar technicals about supply and scarcity. The 1-year Realized Price is the realized market cap divided by total amount of generated coins.
I just noticed that, while the color gradient function is pretty cool, it does not allow for end users to customize their colors after applying this indicator to their chart. Sorry!
Bitcoin Power Law Bands (BTC Power Law) Indicator█ OVERVIEW
The 'Bitcoin Power Law Bands' indicator is a set of three US dollar price trendlines and two price bands for bitcoin , indicating overall long-term trend, support and resistance levels as well as oversold and overbought conditions. The magnitude and growth of the middle (Center) line is determined by double logarithmic (log-log) regression on the entire USD price history of bitcoin . The upper (Resistance) and lower (Support) lines follow the same trajectory but multiplied by respective (fixed) factors. These two lines indicate levels where the price of bitcoin is expected to meet strong long-term resistance or receive strong long-term support. The two bands between the three lines are price levels where bitcoin may be considered overbought or oversold.
All parameters and visuals may be customized by the user as needed.
█ CONCEPTS
Long-term models
Long-term price models have many challenges, the most significant of which is getting the growth curve right overall. No one can predict how a certain market, asset class, or financial instrument will unfold over several decades. In the case of bitcoin , price history is very limited and extremely volatile, and this further complicates the situation. Fortunately for us, a few smart people already had some bright ideas that seem to have stood the test of time.
Power law
The so-called power law is the only long-term bitcoin price model that has a chance of survival for the years ahead. The idea behind the power law is very simple: over time, the rapid (exponential) initial growth cannot possibly be sustained (see The seduction of the exponential curve for a fun take on this). Year-on-year returns, therefore, must decrease over time, which leads us to the concept of diminishing returns and the power law. In this context, the power law translates to linear growth on a chart with both its axes scaled logarithmically. This is called the log-log chart (as opposed to the semilog chart you see above, on which only one of the axes - price - is logarithmic).
Log-log regression
When both price and time are scaled logarithmically, the power law leads to a linear relationship between them. This in turn allows us to apply linear regression techniques, which will find the best-fitting straight line to the data points in question. The result of performing this log-log regression (i.e. linear regression on a log-log scaled dataset) is two parameters: slope (m) and intercept (b). These parameters fully describe the relationship between price and time as follows: log(P) = m * log(T) + b, where P is price and T is time. Price is measured in US dollars , and Time is counted as the number of days elapsed since bitcoin 's genesis block.
DPC model
The final piece of our puzzle is the Dynamic Power Cycle (DPC) price model of bitcoin . DPC is a long-term cyclic model that uses the power law as its foundation, to which a periodic component stemming from the block subsidy halving cycle is applied dynamically. The regression parameters of this model are re-calculated daily to ensure longevity. For the 'Bitcoin Power Law Bands' indicator, the slope and intercept parameters were calculated on publication date (March 6, 2022). The slope of the Resistance Line is the same as that of the Center Line; its intercept was determined by fitting the line onto the Nov 2021 cycle peak. The slope of the Support Line is the same as that of the Center Line; its intercept was determined by fitting the line onto the Dec 2018 trough of the previous cycle. Please see the Limitations section below on the implications of a static model.
█ FEATURES
Inputs
• Parameters
• Center Intercept (b) and Slope (m): These log-log regression parameters control the behavior of the grey line in the middle
• Resistance Intercept (b) and Slope (m): These log-log regression parameters control the behavior of the red line at the top
• Support Intercept (b) and Slope (m): These log-log regression parameters control the behavior of the green line at the bottom
• Controls
• Plot Line Fill: N/A
• Plot Opportunity Label: Controls the display of current price level relative to the Center, Resistance and Support Lines
Style
• Visuals
• Center: Control, color, opacity, thickness, price line control and line style of the Center Line
• Resistance: Control, color, opacity, thickness, price line control and line style of the Resistance Line
• Support: Control, color, opacity, thickness, price line control and line style of the Support Line
• Plots Background: Control, color and opacity of the Upper Band
• Plots Background: Control, color and opacity of the Lower Band
• Labels: N/A
• Output
• Labels on price scale: Controls the display of current Center, Resistance and Support Line values on the price scale
• Values in status line: Controls the display of current Center, Resistance and Support Line values in the indicator's status line
█ HOW TO USE
The indicator includes three price lines:
• The grey Center Line in the middle shows the overall long-term bitcoin USD price trend
• The red Resistance Line at the top is an indication of where the bitcoin USD price is expected to meet strong long-term resistance
• The green Support Line at the bottom is an indication of where the bitcoin USD price is expected to receive strong long-term support
These lines envelope two price bands:
• The red Upper Band between the Center and Resistance Lines is an area where bitcoin is considered overbought (i.e. too expensive)
• The green Lower Band between the Support and Center Lines is an area where bitcoin is considered oversold (i.e. too cheap)
The power law model assumes that the price of bitcoin will fluctuate around the Center Line, by meeting resistance at the Resistance Line and finding support at the Support Line. When the current price is well below the Center Line (i.e. well into the green Lower Band), bitcoin is considered too cheap (oversold). When the current price is well above the Center Line (i.e. well into the red Upper Band), bitcoin is considered too expensive (overbought). This idea alone is not sufficient for profitable trading, but, when combined with other factors, it could guide the user's decision-making process in the right direction.
█ LIMITATIONS
The indicator is based on a static model, and for this reason it will gradually lose its usefulness. The Center Line is the most durable of the three lines since the long-term growth trend of bitcoin seems to deviate little from the power law. However, how far price extends above and below this line will change with every halving cycle (as can be seen for past cycles). Periodic updates will be needed to keep the indicator relevant. The user is invited to adjust the slope and intercept parameters manually between two updates of the indicator.
█ RAMBLINGS
The 'Bitcoin Power Law Bands' indicator is a useful tool for users wishing to place bitcoin in a macro context. As described above, the price level relative to the three lines is a rough indication of whether bitcoin is over- or undervalued. Users wishing to gain more insight into bitcoin price trends may follow the author's periodic updates of the DPC model (contact information below).
█ NOTES
The author regularly posts on Twitter using the @DeFi_initiate handle.
█ THANKS
Many thanks to the following individuals, who - one way or another - made the 'Bitcoin Power Law Bands' indicator possible:
• TradingView user 'capriole_charles', whose open-source 'Bitcoin Power Law Corridor' script was the basis for this indicator
• Harold Christopher Burger, whose Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth article (2019) was the basis for the 'Bitcoin Power Law Corridor' script
• Bitcoin Forum user "Trololo", who posted the original power law model at Logarithmic (non-linear) regression - Bitcoin estimated value (2014)
Chanu Delta RSIThis Chanu Delta RSI indicates the strength of the Bitcoin market. The problem with the previous Chanu Delta Indicator was that it was simply based on the price difference between the two Bitcoin markets, so there was no universality. However, this new Chanu Delta RSI solves the problem by introducing an RSI that compares the price difference trend.
This indicator is selectable from both reference and large amplitude BTCUSD markets. I recommend using BYBIT:BTCUSDT for the reference market and COINBASE:BTCUSD for the large amplitude market.
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이 지표는 비트코인 시장의 단기적인 추세를 판단하는데 도움을 줄 수 있습니다. 기존 Chanu Delta 지표의 문제점은 단순히 두 비트코인 시장의 가격차를 기준으로 하여 보편성이 없었다는 점이다. 하지만 이번 새로운 Chanu Delta RSI는 가격차이 추세를 비교하는 RSI를 도입해 문제를 해결했습니다.
이 지표는 레퍼런스 및 큰 진폭 BTCUSD 시장에서 모두 선택할 수 있습니다. 레퍼런스 시장에는 BYBIT:BTCUSDT를 사용하고 큰 진폭 시장에는 COINBASE:BTCUSD를 사용하는 것이 좋습니다.
BTC Gravity OscillatorThis indicator is a deviation of a Center of Gravity Oscillator corrected for the diminishing returns of Bitcoin.
I've set up this indicator for it to be used on the weekly timeframe. The indicator oscillates between 0 and 10, where 0 indicates oversold conditions and 10 indicates overbought conditions.
The indicator plots in any BTCUSD spot, futures , BLX index and BTCEUR .
It paints in all time frames, but Weekly time frame is the correct one to interpret the 'official' read of it.
Cowen CorridorI'm reposting the Cowen Corridor that was originally developed by Benjamin Cowen of "Into the Cryptoverse"
This indicator was originally developed by Ben publicly on stream. It may be used to predict upper and lower bound limits for the price of Bitcoin .
I've set up this indicator for it to be used on the weekly timeframe as was intended.
The indicator plots in any BTCUSD spot, futures , BLX index and BTCEUR .
It paints in all time frames, but Weekly time frame is the correct one to interpret the 'official' read of it.
For that reason, I've enabled by default an option that forces the indicator to display on the Weekly value even though the time frame could be higher or lower.
Credit for this idea goes to Benjamin Cowen: @intocryptoverse
Saylor to Schiff RatioI'm reposting the Saylor to Schiff Ratio indicator that was originally developed by Michael Silva
This indicator may be used to predict key momentum shifts in the price of Bitcoin
I've set up this indicator for it to be used on the weekly timeframe as was intended.
The indicator plots in any BTCUSD spot, futures , BLX index and BTCEUR .
It paints in all time frames, but Weekly time frame is the correct one to interpret the 'official' read of it.
For that reason, I've enabled by default an option that forces the indicator to display on the Weekly value even though the time frame could be higher or lower.
Credit for this idea goes to Michael Silva: @mikepsilva
BTC Cap Dominance RSIBTC Cap Dominance RSI indicator is a combination of the RSI of Bitcoin Market Cap and the RSI of Bitcoin Dominance. The concept of this indicator is to get a good grasp of the bitcoin market flow by combining bitcoin dominance as well as bitcoin market cap.
BTC Cap Dominance (BCD) RSI is defined as:
BCD RSI = (BTC Cap RSI + BTC Dominance RSI) / 2
Case 1 (Bull market):
Both Cap RSI and Dominance RSI values are high
Case 2 (Neutral market):
Cap RSI is high but Dominance RSI is low
Cap RSI is low but Dominance RSI is high
Case 3 (Bear market):
Both Cap RSI and Dominance RSI values are low
(Note) Please note that the market capitalization symbols (CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL and CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2) of TradingView started in January 2020, so you can check the indicator value from this point on.
Neowave chart cash dataScript Cash is a neo-analytic style data. Add to use on the chart and then hide the candlesticks and enjoy the cash data.
The daily data cache is set normally. To change the settings, be sure to change the D indicator to W for weekly and M for monthly.
Also enter the number of minutes to use in the hourly time frame, for example four hours (240)
...
When you change the data cache settings in the settings, you must follow the rule of one fortieth of the Neowave style and move the time frame chart to forty to analyze it, for example, for a daily time frame go to 30 minutes.
I hope it is used.
Bitcoin Golden Bottom Oscillator (MZ BTC Oscillator)This indicator uses Elliot Wave Oscillator Methodology applied on "BTC Golden Bottom with Adaptive Moving Average" and Relative Strength Index of Resulted EVO to form an Oscillator to detect trend health in Bitcoin price. Ticker is set to "INDEX : BTCUSD" on 1D timeframe.
Methodology
Oscillator uses Adaptive Moving Average with 1 year of length, Minor length of 50 and Major length of 100 to mark AMA as Golden Bottom.
Percentage Elliot Wave Oscillator is calculated between BTC price and AMA.
Relative Strength Index of EVO is calculated to detect trend strength and divergence detection.
Hull Moving Average of resulted RSI is used to smoothen the Oscillator.
Oscillator is hard coded to 'INDEX:BTCUSD' ticker on 1d so it can be used on any other chart and on any other timeframe.
Color Schemes
Bright Red background color indicates that price has left top Fib multiple ATR band and possibly go for top.
Light Red background color indicates that price has left 2nd top Fib multiple ATR band and possibly go for local top.
Lime background color indicates that price has entered lowest band indicating local bottom.
Bright Green background color indicates that price is approximately resting on Golden Bottom i.e. AMA.
Oscillator color is set to gradient for easy directional adaption.
BTC Golden Bottom with Adaptive Moving Average
BTC 1D Safety tradeImportant: use only the BTC/USD pair on the 1D timeframe
The indicator is designed to determine the zones for entry to buy or sell, as well as for closing deals.
The indicator is based on a moving average with a period of 12.
The parameters are not changeable, since the optimal settings (Safety trade) were used for the BTC/USD pair on the 1D timeframe.
The code is open, please change it according to your parameters.
Upper zones for closing long or opening short.
Lower zones for opening long or closing short.
BTC Price OverlayThis is not a crazy strategy like most of the code I write. It's a simple overlay so you can drop BTC on top of whatever chart you are watching. It will track BTC's price on Binance.us (though the exchange is changeable with a few lines of code, maybe I will make it a dropdown on the next iteration of this.)
It uses TradingView's scale function to show both assets on a relative chart. BTC's price is on the left and your asset is on the right.
I've made this available for free because it is quick and easy. I plan to write a bot based around this code and that one will be private.
Bitmex BTC Perpetual Premium and FundingThis script tracks the premium (default red line) and the funding rate (default yellow area) of the Bitmex XBTUSD pair perpetual contract.
The calculations are based on the 8H TWAP of interest rates and premium index from Bitmex.
(D7R) BAKKT Bitcoin FuturesBAKKT Bitcoin Quarterly Contract Futures Price with 3 different display modes: (Percentage, Delta, Absolute).
This information can be used to understand when futures are trading at relative strong/weak premium or discount against each other.
This information can either be used for cash-n-carry arbitrage, inter-exchange arbitrage, hedging or directional price speculation.
(D7R) CME Bitcoin FuturesCME Bitcoin Quarterly Contract Futures Price with 3 different display modes: (Percentage, Delta, Absolute).
This information can be used to understand when futures are trading at relative strong/weak premium or discount against each other.
This information can either be used for cash-n-carry arbitrage, inter-exchange arbitrage, hedging or directional price speculation.
CRC.i Bollinger Bands ®This script is yet another variant of the famous Bollinger Bands® TA tool used to track price volatility as it deviates from the mean of a security using standard deviations (positive &negative). Built for my own personal preferences. But perhaps you might like it, too.
Includes
+ Chart Lines: price, upper and lower bands
+ User Options: SMA length, stdev value
+ Heads up Display (HUD) with TARGET's and other related stats
Bugs? Comments? Requests? Ping me @calmrat
SmartProfit - Trend Indicator (Main Version) - RUSmartProfit - Trend Indicator (Main Version) detects trend direction and gives trading signals for Short and Long positions.
You can use "SmartProdit - Trend Indicator" for any timeframe, from daily, 4h, to fewer ones, even minute timeframe.
We recommend using those timeframes:
4h. and 3h. - for swing trading
15min. и 30min. - for scalping
"SmartProfit - Trend Indicator" features:
1. Sell and Buy signals ( For setup, we have three parameters: HB, sensitivity, and stop )
2. TakeProfit values for Long and Short signals ( Prices for profit fixing )
3. Profit table ( Show profit of current indicator settings for chosen time range )
4. Current position table ( Show data for the current position in real-time. At this table you have all that you need to enter the position )
5. Trend lines ( Draw Global and local trend lines. )
6. Fibonacci levels ( Automatically draw global and local Fibonacci levels )
7. Fibonacci channel ( Automatically draw global and local Fibonacci channels )
8. Auto setting - sorts out more than 6000 variants of settings at one loop and gives the best one.
For best results, you should set up an indicator for each trading pair. For setup, we have three parameters: HB, sensitivity, and stop. We have an additional feature for auto setting, which sorts out more than 6000 variants of settings at one loop and give the best one.
For work with indicators we made 3 strategies:
First - we enter the position after the signal is approved. Close and reenter to position with approved signal for another side.
Second and third - the same, we enter the position after the signal is approved, but we use TakeProfit and StopLoss values to fix the position.
"SmartProdit - Trend Indicator" определяет направления тренда и дает торговые сигналы для входа в Короткую или Длинную позицию.
Индикатор позволяет торговать на любых Таймфреймах , как на дневных, так и на более мелких временных интервалах, вплоть до минутных.
Мы рекомендуем использовать Таймфреймы:
4ч. или 3ч. - для Свинг-торговли
15мин. и 30мин. - для Скальпинга
Подробнее о функционале индикатора SmartProfit:
1. Сигналы Покупки или Продажи ( Для настройки используется уникальные параметры HB и Чувствительность )
2. Значения TakeProfit для Long и Short сигналов ( Зоны фиксации прибыли )
3. Таблица прибыльности ( Отображает прибыльность текущей настройки на выбранном интервале времени )
4. Таблица Текущей позиции ( Показывает текущую позицию в режиме реального времени - в ней есть всё, что нужно для входа в позицию )
5. Трендовые линии ( Рисует как Глобальные, так и локальные трендовые линии, в зависимости от настроек )
6. Уровни Фибоначчи ( Автоматически строит уровни Фибоначчи, как Глобальные так и Локальные )
7. Каналы по Фибоначчи ( Автоматически строит каналы по Фибоначчи, как Глобальные так и Локальные )
8. Автоподсчет всех настроек индикатора - автоматически делает подбор более 6000 вариаций настроек за раз и выдаёт лучшие под каждый актив. Вам не надо тратить недели и месяцы чтобы вручную подбирать настройки, наш инструмент подберет лучшие настройки для Вас.
Для более лучших результатов, для каждого актива индикатор настраивается отдельно !
Для настройки индикатора используются три Уникальных параметра:
HB, Чувствительность, Стоп.
Для работы с индикатором разработаны три стратегии:
Первая - мы входим в позицию при закреплении сигнала и переворачиваемся (то есть выходим из позиции и заходим в противоположную сторону) по обратному сигналу.
По 2-ой и 3-ей стратегии мы также входим после закрепления сигнала, но для фиксации прибыли используем зоны TakeProfit, указанные индикатором.
Подробнее о всех возможностях стратегий, а также настройке и работе с индикатором, вы узнаете из нашей инструкции, которую выдаем персонально.
ROC vs BTCThis is a modification of my Rate of Change Percentile script, used to compare the current ticker (e.g. Altcoins) to BTC.
Essentially we are looking at (Current Ticker ROC percentile) vs (Bitcoin ROC percentile).
In other words, we are using the ROC value of both the current ticker and BTC, and ranking each based on their previous ROC.
We compare the rankings to gauge the relative overperformance or underperformance of the current ticker vs BTC.
The blue line is BTC, the columns are the current ticker.
Green columns above the blue line indicate positive ROC and current ticker has higher ROC ranking than BTC.
Red columns below the blue line indicate negative ROC and current ticker has a higher ROC ranking than BTC.
*** PLEASE LEAVE A LIKE AND FOLLOW IF YOU ENJOY THE SCRIPT ***
Any questions, comments or feedback I'd love to hear from you below!
[VIP] Composite BTC Funding Rate APR
Calculates and displays a BTC funding rate (positive or negative) in terms of APR. Positive APR = Positive funding. Negative APR = Negative funding
This calculation is sourced from a variety of spot and perpetual markets on a couple of top-volume exchanges, Binance, FTX, etc.
This logic is utilized in Dip Hunter and Take Profit Hunter
Code is open source! All feedback and improvements encouraged
BTC Puell Multiple with alert functionThe Puell Multiple examines the fundamentals of mining profitability and the way they shape market cycles. It is calculated by taking a ratio of daily coin issuance (in USD) and the 365 moving average of daily coin issuance (in USD).
Interpretation of the Puell Multiple can generally be considered in the following framework:
high values indicate that current miner profitability if high compared to the yearly average. As such, the incentive for miners to liquidate their treasuries is high and greater sell pressure may be expected.
Low values indicate that current miner profitability is low compared to the yearly average. As such, income stress may become a factor, and some miners may need to start reducing hash-power by switching off rigs. This increases the hash-share of remaining miners who can then sell fewer coins to cover their operations, reducing their impact on liquid supply.
Halving events will drop the current coin issuance by 50% relative to the preceding year creating an immediate halving of the Puell Multiple also. The effect on miner profitability will thus be as per the point on low values above.
Crypto Market Sentiment B [Morty]The Crypto Market Sentiment B indicator uses perpetual contracts premium to show the fear & greed mood of the Crypto market.
When the market is showing greed at relative highs, it is often a good selling point.
Markets in a panic mood with stable coins flowing back into cryptocurrencies are often bottom reversal points.
Berish divergence of the indicator may signal a major negative price move.
Crypto Market Sentiment Indicator A and Indicator B can be used together.
Here is the link of Indicator A.
Crypto Market Sentiment A [Morty]The Crypto Market Sentiment A indicator shows stablecoin flows of the Crypto market.
It can be used to look at the general trend of stablecoins activity.
When the market is showing greed at relative highs, it is often a good selling point. There will be a market sell-off and investors are expecting the value of their crypto investment to decline, they may rotate into stablecoins as a safe haven, whilst giving them the quick flexibility of deploying capital back into the crypto market easily.
Markets in a panic mood with stable coins flowing back into cryptocurrencies are often bottom reversal points.
Crypto Market Sentiment Indicator A and Indicator B can be used together.
Here is the link of Indicator B.
