RSI and MA with Trailing Stop Loss and Take Profit (by Coinrule)The relative strength index is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. It measures the speed and magnitude of a coin's recent price changes to evaluate overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that coin. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph essentially) on a scale of zero to 100. When the RSI reaches oversold levels, it can provide a signal to go long. When the RSI reaches overbought levels, it can mark a good exit point or alternatively, an entry for a short position. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought situation. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
A moving average (MA) calculates the average of a selected range of prices, usually closing prices, by the number of periods in that range. Essentially it is used to help smooth out price data by creating a constantly updated average price.
The Strategy enters and closes trades when the following conditions are met:
Entry Conditions:
RSI is greater than 50
MA9 is greater than MA50
RSI increases by 5
Exit Conditions:
Price increases by 1% trailing
Price decreases by 2% trailing
This strategy is back-tested from 1 January 2022 to simulate how the strategy would work in a bear market. The strategy provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
BTC-D
Time Based Crypto DayTrade StrategyThis is a time based strategy, designed to enter and exit within the same day of the week, using different hours for entry and exit.
The script is long only direction, and it has no risk management inside, so use it with caution.
At the same time you can also calculate each individual hour return within a certain day, and make your own idea about the best moments to be enter.
In order to filter a bit from the bad trades, I have applied an ATR filter, to check if that volatility is rising in order to help eliminate some of the bad trades when there is no volatility around.
For this example, on BTC, it seems that for the last years, on tuesday and thursday, enterring at the beginning of the daily candle, 01:00hours and exit at 00:00 hours, seems to give positive results giving the idea that can be converted in some sort of edge into our favor.
However dont take this entirelly for granted and conduct your own searches
Trend Following based on Trend ConfidenceThis is a Trend Following strategy based on the Trend Confidence indicator.
The goal of this strategy is to be a simple Trend Following strategy, but also to be as precise as possible when it comes to the question 'how confident are we that a linear trend is ongoing?'. For this we calculate the 'confidence' of a linear trend in the past number of closing prices. The idea of this strategy is that past a certain confidence, the ongoing linear trend is more likely to continue than not.
Trend Confidence:
The Trend Confidence shows us how strong of a linear trend the price has made in the past number (given by Length parameter) of closing prices. The steepness of the price change makes the Trend Confidence more extreme (more positive for an uptrend or more negative for a downtrend), and the deviation from a straight line makes the Trend Confidence less extreme (brings the confidence closer to 0). This way we can filter out signals by wild/sudden price moves that don't follow a clear linear trend.
Math behind the Trend Confidence:
A linear fit is made on the past number of closing prices, using Ordinary Linear Regression. We have the steepness of the linear fit: b in y=a+bx . And we have the standard deviation of the distances from the closing prices to the linear fit: sd . The Trend Confidence is the ratio b/sd .
Entries and Exits:
For entry and exit points we look at how extreme the Trend Confidence is. The strategy is based on the assumption that past a certain confidence level, the ongoing linear trend is more likely to continue than not.
So when the Trend Confidence passes above the 'Long entry" threshold, we go Long. After that when the Trend Confidence passes under the 'Long exit' threshold, we exit. The Long entry should be a positive value so that we go Long once a linear uptrend with enough confidence has been detected.
When the Trend Confidence passes below the 'Short entry' threshold, we go Short. After that when the Trend Confidence passes above the 'Short exit' threshold, we exit. The Short entry should be a negative value so that we go Short once a linear downtrend with enough confidence has been detected.
Default Parameters:
The strategy is intended for BTC-USD market, 4 hour timeframe. The strategy also works on ETH-USD with similar parameters.
The Length is arbitrarily set at 30, this means we look at the past 30 closing prices to determine a linear trend. Note that changing the length will change the range of Trend Confidence values encountered.
The default entry and exit thresholds for Longs and Shorts do not mirror each other. This is because the BTC-USD market goes up more heavily and more often than it goes down. So the ideal parameters for Longs and Shorts are not the same.
The positive results of the strategy remain when the parameters are slightly changed (robustness check).
The strategy uses 100% equity per trade, but has a 10% stop loss so that a maximum of 10% is risked per trade.
Commission is set at 0.1% as is the highest commission for most crypto exchanges.
Slippage is set at 5 ticks, source for this is theblock.co.
Ichimoku Cloud with MACD and Trailing Stop Loss (by Coinrule)The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The Ichimoku Cloud was developed by Goichi Hosoda, a Japanese journalist, and published in the late 1960s. It provides more data points than the standard candlestick chart. While it seems complicated at first glance, those familiar with how to read the charts often find it easy to understand with well-defined trading signals.
The Ichimoku Cloud is composed of five lines or calculations, two of which comprise a cloud where the difference between the two lines is shaded in.
The lines include a nine-period average, a 26-period average, an average of those two averages, a 52-period average, and a lagging closing price line.
The cloud is a key part of the indicator. When the price is below the cloud, the trend is down. When the price is above the cloud, the trend is up.
The above trend signals are strengthened if the cloud is moving in the same direction as the price. For example, during an uptrend, the top of the cloud is moving up, or during a downtrend, the bottom of the cloud is moving down.
The MACD is a trend following momentum indicator and provides identification of short-term trend direction. In this variation it utilises the 12-period as the fast and 26-period as the slow length EMAs, with signal smoothing set at 9.
This strategy combines the Ichimoku Cloud with the MACD indicator to better enter trades.
Long/Exit orders are placed when three basic signals are triggered.
Long Position:
Tenkan-Sen is above the Kijun-Sen
Chikou-Span is above the close of 26 bars ago
Close is above the Kumo Cloud
MACD line crosses over the signal line
Exit Position:
Price increases 3% trailing
Price decreases 3% trailing
The script is backtested from 1 June 2022 and provides good returns.
The strategy assumes each order is using 30% of the available coins to make the results more realistic and to simulate you only ran this strategy on 30% of your holdings. A trading fee of 0.1% is also taken into account and is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance.
BTC Indicator By Megalodon TradingThis indicator is designed help you see the potential reversal zones and it helps you accumulate for the long run.
This combines price data on any chart. The chart isolates between 0 and -100. Below -80 is a buy, above -20 is a sell location.
In these locations, try to Slowly Buy and Slowly Sell (accumulate...)
Story Of This Indicator
~I was always obsessed with Fibonacci and used Fibonacci all the time. Thus, i wanted to make a tool to see buying locations and selling locations.
Instead of drawing fibonacci's and manually interpreting buy/sell locations, i wanted algorithms to do the job for me. So, i created this algorithm and many more like it.
If you think i did a good job and want to do further work with me, feel free to contact.
I have a ton of other tools that can change everything for your trading/investing.
Best wishes
~Megalodon
Linear EDCA v1.2Strategy Description:
Linear EDCA (Linear Enhanced Dollar Cost Averaging) is an enhanced version of the DCA fixed investment strategy. It has the following features:
1. Take the 1100-day SMA as a reference indicator, enter the buy range below the moving average, and enter the sell range above the moving average
2. The order to buy and sell is carried out at different "speed", which are set with two linear functions, and you can change the slope of the linear function to achieve different trading position control purposes
3. This fixed investment is a low-frequency strategy and only works on a daily level cycle
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Strategy backtest performance:
BTCUSD (September 2014~September 2022): Net profit margin 26378%, maximum floating loss 47.12% (2015-01-14)
ETHUSD (August 2018~September 2022): Net profit margin 1669%, maximum floating loss 49.63% (2018-12-14)
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How the strategy works:
Buying Conditions:
The closing price of the day is below the 1100 SMA, and the ratio of buying positions is determined by the deviation of the closing price from the moving average and the buySlope parameter
Selling Conditions:
The closing price of the day is above the 1100 SMA, and the ratio of the selling position is determined by the deviation of the closing price and the moving average and the sellSlope parameter
special case:
When the sellOffset parameter>0, it will maintain a small buy within a certain range above the 1100 SMA to avoid prematurely starting to sell
The maximum ratio of a single buy position does not exceed defInvestRatio * maxBuyRate
The maximum ratio of a single sell position does not exceed defInvestRatio * maxSellRate
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Version Information:
Current version v1.2 (the first officially released version)
v1.2 version setting parameter description:
defInvestRatio: The default fixed investment ratio, the strategy will calculate the position ratio of a single fixed investment based on this ratio and a linear function. The default 0.025 represents 2.5% of the position
buySlope: the slope of the linear function of the order to buy, used to control the position ratio of a single buy
sellSlope: the slope of the linear function of the order to sell, used to control the position ratio of a single sell
sellOffset: The offset of the order to sell. If it is greater than 0, it will keep a small buy within a certain range to avoid starting to sell too early
maxSellRate: Controls the maximum sell multiple. The maximum ratio of a single sell position does not exceed defInvestRatio * maxSellRate
maxBuyRate: Controls the maximum buy multiple. The maximum ratio of a single buy position does not exceed defInvestRatio * maxBuyRate
maPeriod: the length of the moving average, 1100-day MA is used by default
smoothing: moving average smoothing algorithm, SMA is used by default
useDateFilter: Whether to specify a date range when backtesting
settleOnEnd: If useDateFilter==true, whether to close the position after the end date
startDate: If useDateFilter==true, specify the backtest start date
endDate: If useDateFilter==true, specify the end date of the backtest
investDayofweek: Invest on the day of the week, the default is to close on Monday
intervalDays: The minimum number of days between each invest. Since it is calculated on a weekly basis, this number must be 7 or a multiple of 7
The v1.2 version data window indicator description (only important indicators are listed):
MA: 1100-day SMA
RoR%: floating profit and loss of the current position
maxLoss%: The maximum floating loss of the position. Note that this floating loss represents the floating loss of the position, and does not represent the floating loss of the overall account. For example, the current position is 1%, the floating loss is 50%, the overall account floating loss is 0.5%, but the position floating loss is 50%
maxGain%: The maximum floating profit of the position. Note that this floating profit represents the floating profit of the position, and does not represent the floating profit of the overall account.
positionPercent%: position percentage
positionAvgPrice: position average holding cost
--------------------------------
策略说明：
Linear EDCA（Linear Enhanced Dollar Cost Averaging）是一个DCA定投策略的增强版本，它具有如下特性：
1. 以1100日SMA均线作为参考指标，在均线以下进入定买区间，在均线以上进入定卖区间
2. 定买和定卖以不同的“速率”进行，它们用两条线性函数设定，并且你可以通过改变线性函数的斜率，以达到不同的买卖仓位控制的目的
3. 本定投作为低频策略，只在日级别周期工作
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策略回测表现：
BTCUSD（2014年09月~2022年09月）：净利润率26378%，最大浮亏47.12%（2015-01-14）
ETHUSD（2018年08~2022年09月）：净利润率1669%，最大浮亏49.63%（2018-12-14）
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策略工作原理：
买入条件：
当日收盘价在 1100 SMA 之下，由收盘价和均线的偏离度，以及buySlope参数决定买入仓位比例
卖出条件：
当日收盘价在 1100 SMA之上，由收盘价和均线的偏离度，以及sellSlope参数决定卖出仓位比例
特例：
当sellOffset参数>0，则在 1100 SMA以上一定范围内还会保持小幅买入，避免过早开始卖出
单次买入仓位比例最大不超过 defInvestRatio * maxBuyRate
单次卖出仓位比例最大不超过 defInvestRatio * maxSellRate
----------------
版本信息：
当前版本v1.2（第一个正式发布的版本）
v1.2版本设置参数说明：
defInvestRatio: 默认定投比例，策略会根据此比例和线性函数计算得出单次定投的仓位比例。默认0.025代表2.5%仓位
buySlope: 定买的线性函数斜率，用来控制单次买入的仓位倍率
sellSlope: 定卖的线性函数斜率，用来控制单次卖出的仓位倍率
sellOffset: 定卖的偏移度，如果大于0，则在一定范围内还会保持小幅买入，避免过早开始卖出
maxSellRate: 控制最大卖出倍率。单次卖出仓位比例最大不超过 defInvestRatio * maxSellRate
maxBuyRate: 控制最大买入倍率。单次买入仓位比例最大不超过 defInvestRatio * maxBuyRate
maPeriod: 均线长度，默认使用1100日MA
smoothing: 均线平滑算法，默认使用SMA
useDateFilter: 回测时是否要指定日期范围
settleOnEnd: 如果useDateFilter==true，在结束日之后是否平仓所持有的仓位平仓
startDate: 如果useDateFilter==true，指定回测开始日期
endDate: 如果useDateFilter==true，指定回测结束日期
investDayofweek: 每次在周几定投，默认在每周一收盘
intervalDays: 每次定投之间的最小间隔天数，由于是按周计算，所以此数字必须是7或7的倍数
v1.2版本数据窗口指标说明（只列出重要指标）：
MA：1100日SMA
RoR%: 当前仓位的浮动盈亏
maxLoss%: 仓位曾经的最大浮动亏损，注意此浮亏代表持仓仓位的浮亏情况，并不代表整体账户浮亏情况。例如当前仓位是1%，浮亏50%，整体账户浮亏是0.5%，但仓位浮亏是50%
maxGain%: 仓位曾经的最大浮动盈利，注意此浮盈代表持仓仓位的浮盈情况，并不代表整体账户浮盈情况。
positionPercent%: 仓位持仓占比
positionAvgPrice: 仓位平均持仓成本
QQE Student's T-Distribution Bollinger Bands ScreenerThis script scans 20 custom symbols and displays the QQE Students T-Distribution Bollinger Bandwidth as a percentage, the quarter segment percentage, a score that tells you what segment of the band the price is in, and what direction the market is going in. This is useful because it can tell you how volatile a market is and how much reward is in the market. It also tells you what direction the market is going in so you can pick a symbol that has the best looking reward. I really hope that this script complements the group of indicators I have made so far. Here is a list of the other two indicators related to this script.
Please enjoy!
rt maax EMA cross strategythis just sample of our strategies we published with open source, to learning our investor the way of trading and analysis, this strategy just for study and learning
in this strategy we use expontial moving avarage 20 , 50 , 200 and the we build this strategy when the price move up ema 200 and ema 20,50 cross up the 200 ema in this conditions the strargey will open long postion
and the oppisit it is true for short postion in this sitation the price should be under ema 200 and the ema 20 , 50 should cross under 200 ema then the strategy will open the short postion
we try this strategy on forex ,crypto and futures and it give us very good result ,, also we try this postion on multi time frame we find the stragey give us good result on 1 hour time frame .
in the end our advice for you before you use any stratgy you should have the knowledg of the indecators how it is work and also you should have information about the market you trade and the last news for this market beacuse it effect so much on the price moving .
so we hope this strategy give you brefing of the way we work and build our strategy
FieryTrading: Buy The Dip - Sell The RipDear Tradingview community,
Today I want to share a very powerful, yet easy to use indicator with you. The indicator will find local tops or bottoms and will help you determine when it's a good time to trade a potential reversal.
How does it work?
The indicator makes use of the RSI to detect extremities and waits until the RSI reverses. Furthermore, a long-term moving average is used to determine whether we're in bullish or bearish market conditions. In bullish conditions the indicator will only go long, in bearish conditions the indicator will only go short.
How do I use it?
Favorite the indicator and apply it to your chart! You can add an alert to the indicator to receive a message once it has detected a good point for a reversal trade.
The indicator can be used on all assets and on all timeframes. Personally, I've found the 1 - 4 hourly timeframes to yield the best results.
Good luck!
BTC's #4 Whale Sells [TheSecretGuy]Hello there !
I have been tracking BTC richests wallets for some time - and one of them seems to be aligning its sells pretty well with what the market is about to do.
BTC's Whale #3 (now Whale #4) has been selling his BTC in very crutial moments - therefore I felt that converting this into an indicator will give us a pretty visual feedback of what that Whale expects to happen at a given point.
In order to do that, I have listed manually all of his sells (dates) until today and placed a vertical line on the chart on each of these dates.
This sadly can't be automated as Pinescript language doesn't allow to reach outter data - I'd need to update this manually.
Hope this helps you a bit, Cheers!
BTC Agg VolumeBTC Volumes for stablecoin trading pairs from multiple exchanges. Volume is grouped by exchanged and appears as stacked bars. Volume data can be filtered by exchange and stablecoin pair. Appearance can be resized over with an option to apply standard deviations.
Hussarya compare DJI SPX BTCScript shows relations between DJI downJones SPX and BTC:USD.
DJI chart must be set from candlestick to line
Red line is price (close). x 8
Green line ist te price BTCUSD from Binance price (close) x 1.5
Crypto Map Dashboard v1.0🔰Overview
Charts are an essential part of working with data, as they are a way to condense large amounts of data into an easy to understand format. Visualizations of data can bring out insights to someone looking at the data for the first time, as well as convey findings to others who won’t see the raw data. There are countless chart types out there, each with different use cases. Often, the most difficult part of creating a data visualization is figuring out which chart type is best for the task at hand.
What are the types of metrics, features, or other variables that you plan on plotting? Although it depended on some multiple factors!
But my choices of the chart type for this Crypto datas was Pie chart or Donut char for crypto dominances ,and Colum (Bar) chart for Total MarketCaps .
The audiences that I plan on presenting this for them could be all tradingviewrs , especially crypto lovers ,or those who just aim to have an initial exploration for themselves ,like me!
so this indicator mostly could be an educational indicator script for pine coders !
We can use the " Crypto Map Dashboard " indicator to Get an quick overview of the crypto market and monitor where the smart money Flow changing by comparing the dominances and totals Caps .
In general, it consists of 4 parts:
✅1 =>> Table1 : If you like to see and compare and monitor the changes of dominances of (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Usdt , Usdc , etc.) and their market cap in different times you can see the table on The upper-right corner.
✅2 =>> Table2: Also, in the table lower-right corner, you can see the changes of the totals(Total, Total2 , Total3 and TotalDefi) in the same time periods.
✅3 =>> pie chart or donut chart: By viewing this , you understand better about Table1 Datas, that it depicts exactly how Dominance is distributed and specialized.
✅4 =>> column chart (bar chart) : And in the last you can clearly compare the total marketcaps and see how far they are from their ATHs.
You also can even notice the entry and exit of liquidity from the crypto market!
I must also mention that I am definitely still a beginner compared to more experienced pine coders, and there may be some bugs in my codes and calculations, but I am an open person and I welcome your comments ,Also Let me know if you have any questions.
Lots of Love to all tradingviewers and pineCoder ,Cheers!💚❤️💙
Scalping The Bull - BTC Chart for Trend AnalysisName: BTC Chart for Trend Analysis
Category: Scalping, Trend Analysis .
Timeframe: 1M, 5M, 30M, 1D depending on the specific technique.
Technical Analysis: The indicator supports the operations of the trader named "Scalping The Bull" who uses BTC as an Index for Crypto trading.
Suggested usage: When trading on altcoins, to check whether or not they are trending with Bitcoin and whether those anticipate its movements.
It is therefore possible to see Bitcoin specifically if it makes red or green candles and how it is positioned with respect to the EMA 5, 10, 60, 223, however configurable from the panel.
Used in conjunction with Scalping The Bull Indicator or PRO Indicator, on the main panel.
Configuration:
EMA Length:
- EMA 1: by default 5, configurable
- EMA 2: by default 10, configurable
- EMA 3: by default 60, configurable
- EMA 4: by default 223, configurable
Colors can be modified from "Settings" > "Style"
Designed to be used with the following the indicator:
BTC Europe-America-Asia market backgrounds - 1h max frameMarket indicator - Europe - America - Asia.
Based on my trading experience. Therefore, time zones are of different sizes.
BTC spot volumeIndicator with aggregated volume for all the most actively traded bitcoin spot markets.
Can be denominated in either US dollars or the number of coins traded.
Can be displayed as stacked volume or an index that shows the percentage market share each market has.
In the settings you can exclude any market so that it only shows the individual and total volume of the markets you're interested in.
The currency it's traded against is always specified (e.g. USDT, BUSD, ...).
It's public and free for anyone to use.
BTC perpetual swaps volumeIndicator with aggregated volume for all the most actively traded bitcoin perpetual swaps.
Can be denominated in either US dollars or the number of coins traded.
Can be displayed as stacked volume or an index that shows the percentage market share each contract has.
In the settings you can exclude any contract so that it only shows the individual and total volume of the markets you're interested in.
"Linear" or "inverse" refers to the type of perpetual swap contract it is.
Inverse contracts use coin margin, so in this case BTC.
Linear contracts use some type of dollar equivalent margin like USDT for example.
The margin is always specified for the linear contracts.
It's public and free for anyone to use.
Heiken Ashi & Super TrendThis is one of my open source 1h strategies
It works on Binance: BTCUSDTPERP charts
This strategy involves two indicators
1. Heiken Ashi - a typical technical indicator to help highlight and clarify the current trend. This somehow allows the chart to ignore unnecessary fluctuations and make the trend more visible.
2.Super Trend - - One of the most common ATR-based indicators, the SuperTrend indicator is useful to help you catch big trends.
Buy entry conditions are as follows.
1. The Super Trend indicator running on the Heiken Ashi chart gives a buy signal.
2. Buy at the current market price and take profit at 1% of the normal k-line at this time.
Take profit
TP - 1%
Stop Loss
None
Auto Fibonacci Levels + Auto Trend Line generatorAnother indicator for you guys!!!
This indicator consists of the 5 key Fibonacci retracement levels, plotted automatically to user input settings. I also have included an auto support/resistance trend line generator.
What is a Fibonacci retracement?
'Fibonacci retracement is a method of technical analysis for determining support and resistance levels. It is named after the Fibonacci sequence of numbers, whose ratios provide price levels to which markets tend to retrace a portion of a move before a trend continues in the original direction.' - Wikipedia
How to use the Fibonacci retracement?
- The Fibonacci levels are default. These percentiles from price to the average of the high in a sample and low in a sample give you a guideline of where a bottom may be, where a top may be, and where a range is being created.
- Look for the price to reject from 61.8% and 76.4%, and also look for price to bounce from 38.2% and 23.6%. If a lower low/higher high is made, the fib levels will follow and the percentiles within will be recalculated after a 5 candle offset period.
- If you see price trending towards the lower percentiles (38&23) and using the 50% as resistance, look for a break downwards and vice versa.
-This Fibonacci set as all others is subject to fake-out, always use this with another series indicator, or don't use it as a signal for entry at all (unless you have a backdated strategy)
How to use the trend line generator?
-The trend line generator will only plot when a lower low/higher high has taken place within the input amount of candles. It is also offset by a user amount.
-The check box will give the option to have the trend line's plot or not.
- If you see a green/red dot it means that that will be your first coordinate for the trend line, and until the computations are complete it will give you an idea of which direction it will be in (resistance or support)
-When opening this indicator zoom out all the way to connect any trend lines that do not load automatically.
Let me know if you have any questions, suggestions or issues! Thank you everyone!
-Cheatcode1 :)
SP:SPX TVC:DXY BMFBOVESPA:EUR1! CME:BTC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Volume Buy/Sell (by iammaximov)Buy/Sell Volume
Buy/Sell volume based on total bar amplitude (high/low price) and close/open (for calculate vbuy > vsell or vbuy < vsell)
Bitfinex Shorts StratOverview
This strat applies the data from BITFINEX:USDSHORTS to the RSI indicator in order to provide SHORT/LONG entries as the number of contracts goes up and down. Although Bitfinex has lost relevance over the years its generally considered an exchange dominated by smart money rather than retail. I'd like to see if any insights can be gained by following their trading behaviour.
How to use
Select the underlying security you wish to trade and load the indicator. Select the appropriate short security by searching in the Bitfinex Short Symbol. RSI settings apply to short symbol not the actual asset. Strategy shorts the underlying asset when shorts rise and longs when they drop. The shorts symbol will follow the value of the loaded chart. Works best on 4 hour chart.
Why use shorts only rather than both long/shorts?
Bitfinex longs seem to be on a long-term uptrend accounting for 25x the number of shorts. Might be enormous confidence on part of the whales, but more likely reflects selling spot and buying perp. Given the size disparity and price action I don't think longs info is adding much.
Problems with script:
a) We don't really know the intentions of short players (e.g. speculation or hedging spot)
b) The script uses a decline in shorts as a long signal
c) RSI is a blunt tool there are probably better options for calculating high/lows in shorts
d) Shorts are accumulated both at highs and also when BTC price is already heavily trending down. This suggests some are speculative (at the highs) or protective/hedging during a decline
Takeaways:
Based on this strat Bitfinex whales are more wrong than right.
Results don't carry across well into altcoins using the accompanying short symbol. However, what is interesting is that applying the BITFINEX:BTCUSDSHORTS to altcoin charts does work pretty well.
Strat needs some refinement to control for entries under different circumstances.
Probably not a great idea to use this as a strategy in isolation, but highlights how Bitfinex whale behaviour is a good gauge to follow.
Directional Index Macro IndicatorWhat is This For?
The default settings for this indicator are for BINANCE:BTCUSDT and intended to be used on the 3D timeframe to identify market trends. This indicator does a great job identifying whether the market is bullish, bearish, or consolidating. This can also work well on lower time frames to help identify when a trend is strong or when it's reversing.
Directional Index Rate of Change
Core to this indicator is the rate at which DI+ and DI- are moving away or towards each other. This is called The Rate of Change (ROC). "The ROC length dictates how many bars back you want to compare to the current bar to see how much it has changed. It is calculated like this:
(source - source /source ) * 100"
The rate of change is smoothed using an EMA. A shorter EMA length will cause the ROC to flip back and forth between positive and negative while a larger EMA length will cause the ROC to change less often. Since the rate of change is used to indicate periods of 'consolidation', you want to find a setting that doesn't flip back and forth too often. Between the DI+ and DI- is a blue centerline. Offset from this centerline is a channel that is used to filter out false crosses of the DI+ and DI-. Sometimes, the DI+ and DI- lines will come together in this channel and cross momentarily before resuming the direction prior to the cross. When this happens, you don't want to flip your bias too soon. The wider the channel, the later the indicator will signal a DI reversal. A narrower channel will call it sooner but risks being more choppy and indicating a false cross.
Indicator Status Line
This indicator has 4 values in the status line (in order):
DI+
DI-
Distance between DI+ and DI-
DI Rate of Change ( how quickly are DI+ and DI- moving away or towards center )
Indicator Plots
This indicator plots DI+ (green), DI- (red), and a center channel between DI- and DI+. Across the top of the indicator, red and green triangles indicate the market trend while the background changes to show whether the price is in an impulse wave or consolidating. This makes up 4 possible scenarios:
Bullish impulse wave ( green triangle up + green background )
Bullish consolidation ( green triangle up + yellow background )
Bearish impulse wave ( red triangle down + red background )
Bearish consolidation ( red triangle down + yellow background )
Summary
Combined with support and resistance levels, volume, and your other favorite indicators, this can be a useful tool for validating that your entries are not going against the trend.
Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Do not take trades only based on the DI+ and DI- crossing. Always use multiple indicators to validate your entries and never take a trade when you aren’t emotionally grounded. Have a plan. Stick to the plan.
The screenshot for this strategy is of a manual historical review of BTC on the 3 day chart. The indicator was built to try and mimic the chart above. You’ll see that it nails it sometimes, is a little late sometimes, and chops around between consolidation and impulse waves when it should stay in consolidation. Share your settings if you are able to improve the choppiness without sacrificing catching the reversals early.
