OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Diupdate Spread Trading Z-Score
Indicator: Z-Score Spread Indicator
Description
The "Z-Score Spread Indicator" is a powerful tool for traders employing mean-reversion strategies on the spread between two financial assets (e.g., futures contracts like MNQ and MES). This indicator calculates and plots the Z-score of the price spread, indicating how far the current spread deviates from its historical mean. It features customizable entry and exit thresholds with adjustable offsets, along with an estimated p-value displayed in a table to assess statistical significance.
Key Features
Asset Selection: Allows users to select two asset symbols (e.g., CME_MINI:MNQ1! and CME_MINI:MES1!) via customizable inputs.
Z-Score Calculation: Computes the Z-score based on the spreadโs simple moving average and standard deviation over a user-defined lookback period.
Customizable Thresholds with Offset: Offers adjustable base entry and exit thresholds, with an optional offset to fine-tune trading levels, plotted as horizontal lines.
P-Value Estimation: Provides an approximate p-value to evaluate the statistical significance of the Z-score, displayed in a table anchored to the top-left corner.
Visual Representation: Plots the Z-score with a zero line and threshold lines for intuitive interpretation.
Adjustable Parameters
Asset A Symbol: Symbol for Asset A (default: CME_MINI:MNQ1!).
Asset B Symbol: Symbol for Asset B (default: CME_MINI:MES1!).
Z-Score Lookback: Lookback period for Z-score calculation (default: 40, minimum 2).
Base Entry Threshold: Threshold for entry signals (default: 1.8, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Base Exit Threshold: Threshold for exit signals (default: 0.5, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Threshold Offset (+/-): Offset to adjust entry and exit thresholds symmetrically (default: 0.0, range -5.0 to 5.0, step 0.1).
Usage
Add the indicator to your chart via the "Indicators" tab.
Customize the parameters based on your preferred assets and trading strategy (lookback period, thresholds, offset).
Observe the Z-score plot and threshold lines (red for short entry, green for long entry, orange dotted for exits) to identify potential trade setups.
Check the p-value table in the top-left corner to assess the statistical significance of the current Z-score.
Use this data to inform mean-reversion trading decisions, ideally in conjunction with other indicators.
Notes
A Z-score above the entry threshold (positive) or below the negative entry threshold suggests a potential short or long entry, respectively. Exits are signaled when the Z-score crosses the exit thresholds.
The p-value is an approximation based on the normal distribution; a value below 0.05 typically indicates statistical significance, but further validation is recommended.
The indicator uses a simple spread (Asset A - Asset B) without volatility adjustments; consider pairing it with a lots calculator for hedging.
Limitations
The p-value is an approximation and may not reflect advanced statistical tests (e.g., ADF) due to Pine Script constraints.
No automatic trading signals are generated; it provides data for manual analysis.
Author
Developed by grogusama, October 15, 2025, 07:29 PM CEST.
Description
The "Z-Score Spread Indicator" is a powerful tool for traders employing mean-reversion strategies on the spread between two financial assets (e.g., futures contracts like MNQ and MES). This indicator calculates and plots the Z-score of the price spread, indicating how far the current spread deviates from its historical mean. It features customizable entry and exit thresholds with adjustable offsets, along with an estimated p-value displayed in a table to assess statistical significance.
Key Features
Asset Selection: Allows users to select two asset symbols (e.g., CME_MINI:MNQ1! and CME_MINI:MES1!) via customizable inputs.
Z-Score Calculation: Computes the Z-score based on the spreadโs simple moving average and standard deviation over a user-defined lookback period.
Customizable Thresholds with Offset: Offers adjustable base entry and exit thresholds, with an optional offset to fine-tune trading levels, plotted as horizontal lines.
P-Value Estimation: Provides an approximate p-value to evaluate the statistical significance of the Z-score, displayed in a table anchored to the top-left corner.
Visual Representation: Plots the Z-score with a zero line and threshold lines for intuitive interpretation.
Adjustable Parameters
Asset A Symbol: Symbol for Asset A (default: CME_MINI:MNQ1!).
Asset B Symbol: Symbol for Asset B (default: CME_MINI:MES1!).
Z-Score Lookback: Lookback period for Z-score calculation (default: 40, minimum 2).
Base Entry Threshold: Threshold for entry signals (default: 1.8, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Base Exit Threshold: Threshold for exit signals (default: 0.5, adjustable with a step of 0.1).
Threshold Offset (+/-): Offset to adjust entry and exit thresholds symmetrically (default: 0.0, range -5.0 to 5.0, step 0.1).
Usage
Add the indicator to your chart via the "Indicators" tab.
Customize the parameters based on your preferred assets and trading strategy (lookback period, thresholds, offset).
Observe the Z-score plot and threshold lines (red for short entry, green for long entry, orange dotted for exits) to identify potential trade setups.
Check the p-value table in the top-left corner to assess the statistical significance of the current Z-score.
Use this data to inform mean-reversion trading decisions, ideally in conjunction with other indicators.
Notes
A Z-score above the entry threshold (positive) or below the negative entry threshold suggests a potential short or long entry, respectively. Exits are signaled when the Z-score crosses the exit thresholds.
The p-value is an approximation based on the normal distribution; a value below 0.05 typically indicates statistical significance, but further validation is recommended.
The indicator uses a simple spread (Asset A - Asset B) without volatility adjustments; consider pairing it with a lots calculator for hedging.
Limitations
The p-value is an approximation and may not reflect advanced statistical tests (e.g., ADF) due to Pine Script constraints.
No automatic trading signals are generated; it provides data for manual analysis.
Author
Developed by grogusama, October 15, 2025, 07:29 PM CEST.
Catatan Rilis
Update of spread calculation Catatan Rilis
Update of spread calculation Catatan Rilis
Update beta calculationCatatan Rilis
Update : Hurst exposent addedCatatan Rilis
Update of the calculation methodCatatan Rilis
Reduction of the table sizeCatatan Rilis
Update of information for a trade validationCatatan Rilis
update of the calculation methodCatatan Rilis
Update of the calculation methodCatatan Rilis
Update of the visuals and the final calculation method Catatan Rilis
Garch implementationCatatan Rilis
Lot size adjustedCatatan Rilis
Update calculation method Catatan Rilis
Added a kalman filter Catatan Rilis
Update of the calculation and visuals Catatan Rilis
Update of the calculation method Skrip open-source
Dengan semangat TradingView yang sesungguhnya, penulis skrip ini telah menjadikannya sumber terbuka, sehingga para trader dapat meninjau dan memverifikasi fungsinya. Hormat untuk penulisnya! Meskipun anda dapat menggunakannya secara gratis, ingatlah bahwa penerbitan ulang kode tersebut tunduk pada Tata Tertib kami.
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.
Skrip open-source
Dengan semangat TradingView yang sesungguhnya, penulis skrip ini telah menjadikannya sumber terbuka, sehingga para trader dapat meninjau dan memverifikasi fungsinya. Hormat untuk penulisnya! Meskipun anda dapat menggunakannya secara gratis, ingatlah bahwa penerbitan ulang kode tersebut tunduk pada Tata Tertib kami.
Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.