PROTECTED SOURCE SCRIPT

Zscore correlation volatility Demi vie Ilker

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This is an all-in-one "regime" dashboard for pairs trading. It's designed to stop you from taking bad mean-reversion trades by first identifying if the market conditions are stable.
It answers two key questions:
1. "Is this a good time to trade a mean-reversion strategy?" (The Regime Filter)
2. "If yes, how fast should I expect the trade to work?" (The Half-Life)
## 📈 Key Features
This script runs four main calculations at once:
1. The Price Z-Score (Blue Line)
This is your primary entry signal. It shows you how "cheap" (e.g., -2.0) or "expensive" (e.g., +2.0) the spread is relative to its short-term history (z_len).
2. The Regime Background (Green / Red)
This is the most important part. It acts as a "traffic light" for your trading:
• 🟢 GREEN (Stable Regime): It's safe to look for mean-reversion trades. This means both the correlation and volatility filters are stable.
• 🔴 RED (Unstable Regime): DO NOT trade mean-reversion. The relationship between the assets is broken. Any signal is likely a trap.
3. The Regime Filters (Your "Guards")
These two filters determine the background color:
• Correlation Z-Score (Purple Line): It measures the stability of the correlation. If this purple line drops below the red threshold (corr_z_threshold), it means the correlation has broken down, and the background turns RED.
• Volatility Ratio (Orange Line): It compares the volatility of the two assets. If one asset suddenly becomes much more volatile than the other (deviating from its average ratio), the background turns RED.
4. The Half-Life Dashboard (Top-Right Table)
This is your "speedometer." Based on an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model, it calculates the average time (in bars) it takes for the spread to revert 50% of the way back to its mean.
• HL: 13.86 periods: You can expect it to take ~14 bars to go from a Z-Score of 2.0 to 1.0.
• N/A (Divergent): A critical warning. The math shows the spread is currently diverging and has no tendency to revert.
## 💡 How to Use This Indicator
Setup (Required):
1. Load a spread chart (e.g., type MES/MNQ or MGC/SIL into the TradingView search).
2. Add this indicator to the spread chart.
3. Go into the indicator's Settings (⚙).
4. In the "Inputs" tab, you must enter the two individual tickers:
• Symbol 1 Ticker: MGC
• Symbol 2 Ticker: SIL
(This is so the script can calculate the Correlation and Volatility filters).
Trading Signals
1. Mean-Reversion Signals
• BUY Signal (Green Triangle ▲): Appears only if the background is GREEN and the Price Z-Score (blue line) crosses below the -2.0 band.
• SELL Signal (Red Triangle ▼): Appears only if the background is GREEN and the Price Z-Score (blue line) crosses above the +2.0 band.
• EXIT: Your target is a reversion back to the 0 line. The Half-Life value gives you an idea of how long to wait.
2. Divergence Warning Signals
• Blue/Fuchsia Triangles (▲ / ▼): These appear at the exact moment the background turns RED. They warn you that the "stable" regime is broken and a new "divergence" or "trend" regime may be starting. This is a signal to stay out or manage any existing positions.
This tool is designed to add a layer of quantitative, risk-management logic to a standard Z-Score strategy. It helps you trade only when the statistics are in your favor.

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