🧭 5Y T-Note Futures – Liquidity Pivot Ahead of Key Macro Prints
VolanX Protocol | SMC Alignment | Macro Positioning Setup
🗓️ July 19, 2025 | 1D TF | Symbol: ZFU2025 | DSS Score: Long Bias
🔍 Smart Money Structure Breakdown
5Y T-Note is consolidating between discount and equilibrium zones with clear evidence of institutional rebalancing:
✅ CHoCH → BOS confirmed, with price reclaiming equilibrium near 108’07
📍 Previous sweep of discount zone → buyers defended strong low
🟥 Targeting premium inefficiency zone between 109’16 – 110’16
👁️ Watch for internal BOS + liquidity raid to validate leg 2 of upward structure
🌐 Macro Catalysts Driving this Trade
Yield Curve Re-steepening (5Y–30Y)
→ Traders pricing in end of hiking cycle; demand shifts toward medium duration bonds.
Fed Policy Outlook (September FOMC)
→ CME FedWatch: Odds of rate cut rise above 40% for Sept.
→ 5Y notes become favored rate-sensitive vehicle for directional plays.
Labor Market Softening
→ Non-farm payrolls revisions and lower JOLTS suggest wage pressure easing.
→ Bond bulls rotating into belly of curve.
Options Flow
→ Institutional OI building near 108’00–108’16 strikes; defensive rotation aligning with macro risk-off positioning.
🎯 WaverVanir VolanX Trading Plan
Element Value
Entry Zone 107’28 – 108’08 (current)
Stop Loss Below 107’04 (structure invalidation)
TP1 109’16 (Premium Low)
TP2 110’12 (FVG closure)
TP3 (Stretch) 111’00 (mid-2024 inefficiency)
📌 Risk Management
Position Sizing: Max 1.5% risk allocation
Trigger: Long bias only if price reclaims 108’12 with volume
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~3.6R on TP2
VolanX DSS Protocol: High Probability Zone activated if macro catalyst (rate cut) is confirmed by next CPI/FOMC
🧠 WaverVanir Narrative Bias
“As macro stress builds and the Fed nears its pivot point, duration exposure becomes the silent alpha. 5Y notes offer a clean risk/reward entry into the evolving disinflation thesis.”
🔺#WaverVanir #VolanXProtocol #5YNote #ZFU2025 #BondFutures #FOMCTrade #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #RateCut #MacroCatalyst #YieldCurve #DSS #InstitutionalSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy
VolanX Protocol | SMC Alignment | Macro Positioning Setup
🗓️ July 19, 2025 | 1D TF | Symbol: ZFU2025 | DSS Score: Long Bias
🔍 Smart Money Structure Breakdown
5Y T-Note is consolidating between discount and equilibrium zones with clear evidence of institutional rebalancing:
✅ CHoCH → BOS confirmed, with price reclaiming equilibrium near 108’07
📍 Previous sweep of discount zone → buyers defended strong low
🟥 Targeting premium inefficiency zone between 109’16 – 110’16
👁️ Watch for internal BOS + liquidity raid to validate leg 2 of upward structure
🌐 Macro Catalysts Driving this Trade
Yield Curve Re-steepening (5Y–30Y)
→ Traders pricing in end of hiking cycle; demand shifts toward medium duration bonds.
Fed Policy Outlook (September FOMC)
→ CME FedWatch: Odds of rate cut rise above 40% for Sept.
→ 5Y notes become favored rate-sensitive vehicle for directional plays.
Labor Market Softening
→ Non-farm payrolls revisions and lower JOLTS suggest wage pressure easing.
→ Bond bulls rotating into belly of curve.
Options Flow
→ Institutional OI building near 108’00–108’16 strikes; defensive rotation aligning with macro risk-off positioning.
🎯 WaverVanir VolanX Trading Plan
Element Value
Entry Zone 107’28 – 108’08 (current)
Stop Loss Below 107’04 (structure invalidation)
TP1 109’16 (Premium Low)
TP2 110’12 (FVG closure)
TP3 (Stretch) 111’00 (mid-2024 inefficiency)
📌 Risk Management
Position Sizing: Max 1.5% risk allocation
Trigger: Long bias only if price reclaims 108’12 with volume
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~3.6R on TP2
VolanX DSS Protocol: High Probability Zone activated if macro catalyst (rate cut) is confirmed by next CPI/FOMC
🧠 WaverVanir Narrative Bias
“As macro stress builds and the Fed nears its pivot point, duration exposure becomes the silent alpha. 5Y notes offer a clean risk/reward entry into the evolving disinflation thesis.”
🔺#WaverVanir #VolanXProtocol #5YNote #ZFU2025 #BondFutures #FOMCTrade #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #RateCut #MacroCatalyst #YieldCurve #DSS #InstitutionalSetup #RiskManagement #TradingStrategy
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Pernyataan Penyangkalan
Informasi dan publikasi tidak dimaksudkan untuk menjadi, dan bukan merupakan saran keuangan, investasi, perdagangan, atau rekomendasi lainnya yang diberikan atau didukung oleh TradingView. Baca selengkapnya di Persyaratan Penggunaan.