Fellow traders please manage your risk, i will never risk more than 1% of my capital on a trade and i seriously urge you do to the same!
I watched Exxon Mobil XOM very carefully in the past few days and spotted a possible entry. The structure of the last few days looks like a Wave 1-2-3-4 and we already corrected to the 0.5 retracement. Because of the risk/reward of 9.0 i just opened a long position, beware that this is a risky move and i normally don't trade in this short timeframe.
I am trading with a guaranteed stop loss order (GSL), if the price should drop heavily in the pre-market session.
Primary scenario: Likelyhood 55% We are forming a solid 3-4 setup and are setting us up for Wave 5 which will bring us to 35$.
Alternative scenario: Likelyhood 45% My alternative scenario will get triggered if we break the previous high of wave 1 @31.13$. A further drop of about 10% will be very likely and the future of XOM remains uncertain.
If you should have any questions regarding our analysis or elliot wave counts feel free to contact us.
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