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BTC - complex B wave

This is analysis is an extension of the linked Elliot wave analysis. The current wave appears to be the second subset of a complex B wave.
Trade aktif
Stop: 12405
Target 7321
Catatan
Hourly and 21 min ADX both = 10; trend is extremely flat, new trend likely to form soon cuplikan
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Catatan
6Hr fast SMA (77; Orange) finding resistance under slow SMA (235; Blue; Circled).
ADX touch 50 and drop, RSI overbought (arrows) = potential reversal
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Catatan
Fib Time Zone: cuplikan
Short term breakdown on latest cycle: cuplikan
Catatan
My confidence in the position is much lower following this bullish bounce, I will still hold the position, since my invalidation point is the long term descending fib speed fan level above. I may de-risk by taking some profit on the position.

BB midline support on 77 SMA (Orange) is particularly concerning
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Catatan
Resistance under fast fib speed lines (circled)
Hourly BB midline bear cross through 77 SMA (yellow arrow)
Hourly RSI in oversold (often happens at the start of a trend; purple star)
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Catatan
Outcome of earlier forecast (above) cuplikan

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