HEADER - Odds of August/September rally has dropped dramatically in last week. This is now the long term favorite.
SUMMARY - This means that gold bull market thesis will be in doubt until November at the earliest. The setup for the rally would not be ready until December this year. Furthermore, if gold does not take this December's route up (and it maybe as late as January to finish in February), bear market thesis becomes impossible to ignore.
DETAILS - This is very early, 1-day bar, we are 150-80 days from first good entry. Just want to get this up to reference later.