Technicals: After Gold bullish push we are now seeing some sellers enter the market (More details in economics below) I am initially looking for a short position. After price reaches the Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.5%-0.618) I will look to move SL to breakeven and enter a long position if we see signs of rejection.
Economics: We saw a large run on Gold when the Isreal-Hamas war started as investors allocated capital out of risk-on assets and into risk-off assets, such as Gold. There was a general fear the war could spread and involve more parties. This fear is dying down now so we are seeing Gold move lower as investors move capital back into risk-on assets. The move lower is what I will attempt to join.
The consensus pre-war was that Gold could reach the 2000.00 level, if not higher by EoY. I still see this as valid, this is the reason for hedge long position.
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