Emas / Dollar A.S.Pembelian
RIGHT NOW #145 B, 60 POINTS UNDER MEDIUM TERM FAIR VALUE
So probably need to happen. But all dependent on purple line holding for 12 hours. If so, we should clear 2700 by end of NY session. This post continues directly from #145.
Catatan
Catatan
1) in chart AT TOP the blue hi-light is just a search for first possible spike
2) it doesn't mean that it's the favorite short term
3) favorite short term is the orange route (see last post, orange/yellow in notes)
4) but medium term fair value is 2720
5) so that's my call in chart at top
6) the question marks mean I don't know what price should do here
7) the pattern follow through calls for 2662 again
8) but by that time fair value is well above 2700
9) so I this part is incredibly tough to call once prices form a second top
Catatan
10) again, WATCH BOLD PURPLE LINE
11) it doesn't be perfect hold
12) it can cross a bit that's fine
13) nothing longer than an hour, that's TOO LONG
Catatan
14) 9/26, 12:12 AM, if this all of sudden drops to 2653, that means orange route is in play
15) I just don't think price should get to 70 behind medium term fair value in rally mode
Catatan
Catatan
16) 2:26 AM, in chart above...
17) in my opinion a slower move like orange route
18) would still finish 2850
19) but with a much more bearish result afterwards
20) because of an unstable structure
21) this would imply an bigger retrace after 2850
22) whereas stable structure would promise 2700 floor afterwards
23) unstable structure has an unknown floor but 2620 as a first suggestion
Catatan
3:22 AM, London opened and rejected the move at 2664.
a) this is not happening
b) end of post
Catatan
c) this doesn't mean orange either
d) so something in between
e) but not like yellow in last post...
f) basically up, I just can't figure out what pattern it will take
Catatan
3:43 AM ... so we are going up
a) at the beginning it will be FASTER than route at top
b) will make seem like it's spiking vertical
c) BUT IT WILL STALL 2675-2680 and drop again probably to 2666-2670
d) and won't continue up until Friday, 24 hours from now...
e) so for the sake of not having time, here's best I can manage:
Catatan
Catatan
f) in chart abov, that's my best attempt
g) slower than blue
h) faster than orange...
Catatan
i) 9/26, 8:46 AM so that move a bit stronger and made 2684
j) and corrected to 2668
k) I just don't feel that the correction is done for the curves
Catatan
9.30 am.
Driving
Correction done
Catatan
8.51 am.
Correction over done at 2658.
Once again 60 pts under medium term fair value.
So the correction will get corrected HARD and maybe faster than I anticipate.
Which puts us on same speed as chart at top.
Catatan
Catatan
10:03 still driving so parking for this update.Catatan
1) the correction will get corrected
2) I am looking for 2 big stair cases
3) and a final break out to hit fair value ..
4) which is 2715 as I type
5) it can happen in 6 hours
6) but has 12 hours to fulfill
Catatan
SO #145C YOU CAN ONLY ACCESS THROUGH THIS LINK:
Catatan
here is #146
<deleted>
Catatan
<deleted>
Catatan
for whatever reason , I cannot post the linkCatatan
try again:
<deleted>
Catatan
yeah... it keeps deleting it Catatan
2:48 PM, strange, so get it from my avatar page by clicking on my logo.
1) or click chart above this
2) scroll to the end
3 there's a link there
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