short xau
looking to short this, either 1hr close, or 15m rejection, wont' force it, but will look for some fail to break, take note also news coming up likely bad for xau.
Catatan
tp, looks honestly based on weekly, there's a chance to break down, we got a shs on weekly at least back down to 2222.10Catatan
areas of interest, 2315.48, 2319.89, 2323.46Catatan
think buyers needs to hit the liquidity area first. then sellers might kick in.Catatan
i want it to really try and pump to grab liquidty first. then i'll short on candle close after that or on the next 15m upCatatan
when price hasn't hit liquidty, can still be choppy also take note of news.Catatan
see this 1hr closeCatatan
our entry is liqudity, hopefully 1hr pumps it, then im expecting a red candle after.Catatan
couldn't post just now, seems it got frozen, posted in comments insteadCatatan
damn, next 1hr candle is going to be news, i might try get best price before news happens.Catatan
if buyers still got some bullets to still buy, it might actually hard pump it first, before the news gets released too. lets hope for a drop before news happens.Catatan
closed first. saw 1.6R, but news coming up, im worried.Catatan
took it at 1RCatatan
the drop is abit slow, yes best see 1hr close. but but honestly i want to see bigger drop then this, for 1hr close.Catatan
good seller as my sl was really near. price just touched liqudity and getting rejected now.Catatan
2323.54, if news is higher then 2%, and price pumps to here, i'll likely take another short.Catatan
news bullish for xau, but not sure if can hit 200 ema, now failing to break 100 ema, see 1hr close. likely sellers will take 1 attempt to short it. but i'll scalp it only. depending on the level of drop.Catatan
best see this 1hr close.Trade aktif
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max tp 2304.79Catatan
my conditions to hold. price must hold here, then next 1hr must drop hard.Catatan
my sl is above next resistance above at 2328.95, but i may shift sl nearer, to 15m wick high plus abit more. extraCatatan
there's a chance next candle goes to the 1hr wick, then drops hard. if closes 1hr on wick, im getting out.Catatan
saw1.2R on 2x orders.Catatan
think once UJ and US gov 10 yr bonds find a support then xau should dump, at least a real attempt to dump it.Catatan
price must be under 200 ema 1hr , okCatatan
right now, i think is ok, sl 2328.95, i added marginCatatan
2323.94 is my 3rd order shortCatatan
15m i want to see lower low man, if not it will try break support again, buyers havne't gvien upCatatan
ok we do have slightly lower low, but buyers really strong see 1hr close. more importantCatatan
yikes, not looking too good. see 1hr closeCatatan
tmw, jp looks like will dump xau as well. 15m looking ok, lower lower, higher low so far. but tmw USA pce looking like a hard xau pump.
Catatan
saw 2.5RCatatan
US10y, hard dump, will watch 15m, if 2nd or 3rd time can't break this support 15m swing low, or the wicks, im getting out.Catatan
if 1hr liek this, better close this trade, spnning top? with that big wick? no thank youCatatan
lol our group just reminded me on the pending homes sales news, lol. but likely it will drop xau. so won't change my sl for now.Catatan
1hr spinning top, honstly can get out, always another chance to trade, i'll hold it through if no higher high on 15mCatatan
damn! that pending home news, i got slappedCatatan
slippage, man, about 20% too. i managed to close early but 1 order got me slappedCatatan
i took another short at 2327.51 2x orders, closed already. took a 1.5R win, but overall still down 2R, didn't see the bloody news. i should have closed it. our group managed to close it early, at BECatatan
over all our group was profitable by little bit, we all won today this afternoon, NY session 2 guys BE, and i took a fat hit on 3x orders. tried to sell early when i saw it moving up and the news so bullish for XAU, but it was too late. orders didn't get executed till at the top. not trading here, if holds longer, and 1hr turns bullish then i'll look for along, but not yet. we on seller zone now and sellers still in control. won't F with it.Catatan
oh yeah, that short strat, usually has high win rate, 60 to 80% win rate. i reckon if not for the news, it would have won it. lets see what happens tmw,
Catatan
didn't post it here, but entered a short just now. about 3R now in profit, already 75% closed. covered back yesterdays loss.news was bad for GJ on japan side. took the short. on 2nd retracement up. will see later if any thing worht to tradeCatatan
closed all, caught about 2.5R, im planning to switch if pric eholds her eon 1hr. close. any bullish signs then tp to resistance above.Catatan
to 200.638 tpCatatan
see 1hr close, if spinning top, then i enter.Catatan
Uk news coming up in 10 mins, yellow news, usually will follow same direction after hitting support/resistance. through out day until NY sessionCatatan
ok current acc news better then last time, GDP news is good 0.7, UK really needed it, past few months was pretty horibleCatatan
yeah, good is switched if not BECatatan
taking a quick scalp on xau short too. suggest not to follow. we got higher higher. but, im thinking we might get a shs, then hit back down to 2314.19. may close anytime,Catatan
anything higher then last 15m candle high im closing.Catatan
1hr big wick on GJ im closing too.Catatan
closed xau, 0.6R lossCatatan
added margin on GJCatatan
about 1.8R up now on GJ. but this bloody xau, lol. get kicked out then drop, lol. will look at liquidity zone next time.Catatan
aaa shucks, this xau, lol, i entered too early, kicked out first. bs. anyways GJ about 2 r now. 203.474 if can't close above this, just take it on GJCatatan
up 3R on GJCatatan
SL entry, risk free trade. now about 4R profitCatatan
seems failing to break, on 15. i'll just let it be, im already up today. if 1hr cannot break then i closeCatatan
1hr we still got a long timeCatatan
closed 75%Catatan
the rest sl entryCatatan
closed realised profit about 3RCatatan
over all up about 3.5R up todayCatatan
bloody hell, i super missed out GJ, damn it. 8R by now, i just came backe home, saw that entry, just JUST missed out. FK!then saw PCE news, was bad for usa, likely they will buy GBP on support instead.i litterally mised it by 30 secs entry. 202.593, guess missed out. damn, would be another nice winner day if i saw it, im moving around and was in the bank most of day and travelling.
Catatan
i also wanted to long XAu but 4hr xau looks damn messy, more like buyers tryign to break some big resistance. so i didn't want to enter XAU.Catatan
did a interview on a financial prop firm, see it on the link below commentsthe youtube link
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