Perak / Dollar A.S.
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Elliott Wave Analysis: Another Dead Cat Bounce in Silver?

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Hello Traders,

The precious metal group does not get any break in the past 7 years. The move lower has been relentless and rally has been short lived. Silver in particular has corrected 70% from the 2011 high at $50 and still has not shown any sign of serious recovery. Our short term Elliott Wave view suggests that Silver is doing a 5 waves impulsive Elliott Wave move from April 19, 2018 high where blue wave (1) ended at $16.06, blue wave (2) ended at $17.31, blue wave (3) ended at $13.94, and blue wave (4) ended at $14.91.

Blue wave (5) is currently in progress as an impulse where red wave 1 of (5) ended at $13.87. Internal of red wave 1 also unfolded as an impulse of lesser degree where black wave ((i)) ended at $14.46 and black wave ((ii)) ended at $14.72. Black wave ((iii)) ended at $13.91, black wave ((iv)) ended at $14.05 as triangle, and black wave ((v)) of 1 ended at $13.87. Red wave 2 rally is currently in progress as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where black wave ((a)) of 2 ended at $14.23 and black wave ((b)) of 2 ended at $14.08. Black wave ((c)) of 2 has a target of $14.44 – $14.66 and as far as pivot at 11/2 high ($14.91) stays intact, expect Silver to extend lower. We don’t like buying Silver.

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