What is the $VIX showing us?
Good Morning
SMALL THREAD
While we did call the
NDX weakness & top, at that time we didn't think it would be as bad as it got, at least I didn't.
Last year we really thought
VIX would break out & the markets would collapse. Our original expectations didn't pan out but we, mostly I, changed as more data came in.
We called a bunch of bounces & tops, ALL DOCUMENTED, BUT our best call was becoming BULLISH in late September on
DJI & Bullish on NDX in October.
Since then we've been cautious Bull with a few bearish calls but ultimately, we were/are still bullish.
During this time theVIX was forming a HUGE Symmetrical Triangle that we posted on countless times.
We were biased and thought theVIX would break out and #stocks would be cremated. Obviously, were bullish after Sept 2022 but we thought there would be an eventual harsh crash that made 2022 like a walk in the park.
When #VIX broke down we were SHOCKED! That's when we knew that the can was being kicked further down the road. There's a lot more at play that we've been discussing on occasion.
SPX has been on a tear but it is currently in a consolidation phase as seen on a daily chart. However, as you can see, RSI can remain overbought on a weekly for long periods of time.
VIX is slowly closing in on a major support level. While it can break through, IMO, don't think it will do it the 1st time.
#VIX will likely get a nice bounce. This bounce will likely be strong and could mean possible weakness for #stocks, soon.
SMALL THREAD
While we did call the
NDX weakness & top, at that time we didn't think it would be as bad as it got, at least I didn't.Last year we really thought
VIX would break out & the markets would collapse. Our original expectations didn't pan out but we, mostly I, changed as more data came in.We called a bunch of bounces & tops, ALL DOCUMENTED, BUT our best call was becoming BULLISH in late September on
DJI & Bullish on NDX in October.Since then we've been cautious Bull with a few bearish calls but ultimately, we were/are still bullish.
During this time the
VIX was forming a HUGE Symmetrical Triangle that we posted on countless times.We were biased and thought the
VIX would break out and #stocks would be cremated. Obviously, were bullish after Sept 2022 but we thought there would be an eventual harsh crash that made 2022 like a walk in the park.When #VIX broke down we were SHOCKED! That's when we knew that the can was being kicked further down the road. There's a lot more at play that we've been discussing on occasion.
SPX has been on a tear but it is currently in a consolidation phase as seen on a daily chart. However, as you can see, RSI can remain overbought on a weekly for long periods of time.VIX is slowly closing in on a major support level. While it can break through, IMO, don't think it will do it the 1st time.#VIX will likely get a nice bounce. This bounce will likely be strong and could mean possible weakness for #stocks, soon.
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