VIX Analysis of 1992-2016 Elections & What it Means for 2020
Summary
Evaluating the historic change in the VIX from the 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012 and 2016 elections we can see that Q4 of each election year is a downtrend and results in lower volatility until the inauguration in January of the ensuing year, regardless of the result.
**CLINTON ADDED To chart AFTER POST PUBLISHING**
Will 2020 be different?
Other factors to consider
Should be interesting to watch on several fronts.
Evaluating the historic change in the VIX from the 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012 and 2016 elections we can see that Q4 of each election year is a downtrend and results in lower volatility until the inauguration in January of the ensuing year, regardless of the result.
**CLINTON ADDED To chart AFTER POST PUBLISHING**
Will 2020 be different?
Other factors to consider
- Nov. 4th is a Wednesday/Contract Expiration Day
- DJIA, IXIC and SPX are all sitting on resistances-flipped-supports from ATH beginning of 2020
Should be interesting to watch on several fronts.
Eric Thies
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