The USD/JPY currency pair has emerged as a prominent player in the Asian session, currently trading above 147.15. The pair's resilience is attributed to a combination of factors, including a modest uptick in US Treasury bond yields and the impact of dovish statements made by Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino.
Deputy Governor Himino emphasized the BoJ's commitment to maintaining an accommodative policy, stating that the central bank will patiently adhere to easy monetary measures until a sustained and stable achievement of the price target is in sight. This assurance has provided a supportive backdrop for the USD/JPY pair.
Adding to the dynamic, a slight rebound in US Treasury bond yields has contributed to the pair's strength. Despite an overall retreat in the US Dollar across various currencies, the USD/JPY is holding its ground. Investors are currently navigating a cautious market environment, assessing the likelihood of US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts as early as March 2024.
The previous day's economic indicators played a pivotal role in shaping the USD/JPY landscape. US JOLTS Job Openings for October disappointed, plunging to a two-year low of 8.733 million. This served as evidence of a cooling US labor market, prompting a swift initial sell-off in the US Dollar. However, this downturn was swiftly reversed on the back of robust US ISM Services PMI data.
The US ISM Services PMI for November rose from 51.8 to 52.7, surpassing expectations set at 52.0. This positive turn in economic sentiment provided the US Dollar with a much-needed boost.
From a technical standpoint, the USD/JPY is undergoing a deep retracement within an uptrend. Analyzing the H4 timeframe reveals a potential bullish setup. Combining this technical analysis with the positive fundamental factors, including the outlook for a growing US economy, market participants are eyeing a potential long setup for the USD/JPY.
In conclusion, the USD/JPY is navigating a complex landscape shaped by both fundamental and technical factors. As the market digests dovish BoJ comments, mixed US economic indicators, and the broader sentiment around the US Dollar, traders are carefully weighing their options for potential setups in the coming sessions.
Our preference
Long positions with targets at 147.80 & 148.50 in extension.
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