Description: As shown above we have USDJPY. Currently this pair is ranging and consolidating between 110.650 – 114.550, Since the 5th Feburary Price was bearish falling into this zone, from mid 2015. For that reason i expect price to retrace to at least a 38.2 of the previous yearly high.The Monthly timeframe candlestick is currently a Doji also the RSI is at 50.0 or just below indicating some indecision & possible turning point. The Weekly is showing us a Bullish Harami Pattern, indicating previous and present buying power.
However we have a spinning top on the daily, which could see a pause in the bullish momentum and a possible retracement of 0.382-0.50 Which is the setup i will be posting now.I posted a chart earlier this week which had shown the strong support and buying ground we had at Monthly Support 110.650 for This reason I'm still long on this pair overall.
On the Daily we have a Spinning Top, This seems to be a result of price rallying but failing to close beyond Weekly Resistance. I am wary price could follow through to retest Weekly Resistance on So the previous long setup is still valid.However i expect it will not happen straight away and a break of the Black TL could see the retracement happen.
Using these indicator/s: [200 EMA,20 EMA,10 EMA] We can see the 200 crossing above price just above Weekly Resistance!, The 10 acting as a primary support and the 20 as secondary, holding price up magnetically. Also shown on the RSI price is currently in bullish territory, However we are Overbought which indicates price may be ready to decline.
Duration: Short Term
Decision: I will short this pair simply saying what goes up must come down! Now if we see a break in structure [Short Term Support] Highlighted In BLUE with the EMA's & Black TL breached these will signal a short term sell for me.. We have Weekly Resistance @ 113.300 holding price down. Demonstrating a potential Bearish setup. If price breaks black TL I will post an update.
Thank you for viewing my idea. If you decide to take this trade,please leave a comment and a thumbs up. I will be happy to stay in touch to see how the setup is planning out. Your also welcome to post you analysis below.
Remember to always trade your stratergy... Happy Trading
Useful Information:
TREND: Bullish
INDICATORS Moving average [ 10,20,200 ] Relative Strength Index
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